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General Purpose Data-Driven Monitoring for Space Operations

As modern space propulsion and exploration systems improve in capability and efficiency, their designs are becoming increasingly sophisticated and complex. Determining the health state of these systems, using traditional parameter limit checking, model-based, or rule-based methods, is becoming more difficult as the number of sensors and component interactions grow. Data-driven monitoring techniques have been developed to address these issues by analyzing system operations data to automatically characterize normal system behavior. System health can be monitored by comparing real-time operating data with these nominal characterizations, providing detection of anomalous data signatures indicative of system faults or failures. Data-driven techniques have a number of advantages over other methods for monitoring complex space vehicles. Unlike model-based systems, the developer does not need to understand or encode the internal operation of the system. The knowledge required to monitor the system is automatically derived from archived data from system operation. Unlike rule-based systems, data-driven systems do not require system analysts to define nominal relationships among sensors. Analysts can and often do determine these relationships for a system with few sensors; it is more difficult to analytically determine the nominal relationship among a large number of sensors. Data-driven techniques are not limited to low-dimensional spaces and work as effectively with dozens of parameters as they do with a few. Knowledge bases formed by data-driven techniques are also easy to update. As the operating envelope of the monitored system is expanded, data-driven techniques can be quickly retrained to incorporate the new behavior into the knowledge base. The expertise and time-consuming process of updating a model or rule base to maintain consistency with the new operation is not required. The Inductive Monitoring System (IMS) is a data-driven system health monitoring software tool that has been successfully applied to several aerospace applications. IMS uses a data mining technique called clustering to analyze archived system data and characterize normal interactions between parameters. This characterization, or model, of nominal operation is stored in a knowledge base that can be used for real-time system monitoring or analysis of archived events. System data is compared with the nominal IMS model to produce a measure of how well current system behavior matches the normal behavior defined by the training data. Significant deviations from the nominal system model can provide alerts to system malfunctions or precursors of significant failures. The scope of IMS based data-driven monitoring applications continues to expand with current development activities. Successful IMS deployment in the International Space Station (ISS) flight control room to monitor ISS attitude control systems has led to applications in other ISS flight control disciplines, such as thermal control. It has also generated interest in data-driven monitoring capability for Constellation, NASA's program to replace the Space Shuttle with new launch vehicles and spacecraft capable of returning astronauts to the moon, and then on to Mars. Several projects are currently underway to evaluate and mature the IMS technology and complementary tools for use in the Constellation program. These include an experiment on board the Air Force TacSat-3 satellite, and ground systems monitoring for NASA's Ares I-X and Ares I launch vehicles. The TacSat-3 Vehicle System Management (TVSM) project is a software experiment to integrate fault and anomaly detection algorithms and diagnosis tools with executive and adaptive planning functions contained in the flight software on-board the Air Force Research Laboratory TacSat-3 satellite. The TVSM software package will be uploaded after launch to monitor spacecraft subsystems such as power and guidance, navigation, and control (GN&C). It will analyze data in real-time to demonstrate detection of faults and unusual conditions, diagnose problems, and react to threats to spacecraft health and mission goals. The experiment will demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of integrated system health management (ISHM) technologies with both ground and on-board experiments. Initially, the TVSM software will run open loop, providing system health information and recommendations to ground operators, without automatically performing fault-mitigating corrective actions. After the end of the satellite's mission, closed loop tests combining TVSM monitoring and diagnosis with reactive capabilities by the flight software will be performed. In addition to monitoring for long periods of actual operation, the experiment will include fault injection into TacSat-3 data as well as commanded operations to test and evaluate automatic ISHM monitoring and recovery under controlled conditions.

Satellites

Opportunities to Intercalibrate Radiometric Sensors from International Space Station

Highly accurate measurements of Earth's thermal infrared and reflected solar radiation are required for detecting and predicting long-term climate change. Consideration is given to the concept of using the International Space Station to test instruments and techniques that would eventually be used on a dedicated mission, such as the Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory (CLARREO). In particular, a quantitative investigation is performed to determine whether it is possible to use measurements obtained with a highly accurate (0.3%,with 95%confidence) reflected solar radiation spectrometer to calibrate similar, less accurate instruments in other low Earth orbits. Estimates of numbers of samples useful for intercalibration are made with the aid of yearlong simulations of orbital motion. Results of this study support the conclusion that the International Space Station orbit is ideally suited for the purpose of intercalibration between spaceborne sensors.

Intercalibrate

Exceedance Probabilities and Recurrence Intervals for Extended Power Outages in the United States

This report provides estimates of recurrence intervals and conditional exceedance probabilities for major power outages by U.S. region between 2015 and 2021. Additionally, we provide estimates for grid management, particularly outages caused by California’s public safety power shutoffs (PSPS), and for natural outages caused by major hurricanes. Outage recurrence intervals are the average number of years between outage events, and conditional exceedance probabilities are the likelihoods that a customer who experiences a major power outage will experience an outage exceeding a given duration. Major outage events are those that affect 10,000 or more customers, as defined by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Electric Emergency Incident and Disturbance Report, called OE-417 (DOE 2020). These results can be applied to determine the likelihood of experiencing long-duration outages, which can be integrated into cost-benefit analyses of resilience solutions and broader energy resilience studies.

Ericson, Sean [National Renewable Energy Laborator

Thermoplastic Matrix Composite Design for Cryotanks Using Multiscale Modeling and Bayesian Optimization

Designing lightweight, robust cryogenic storage tanks is critical for future launch vehicles, in-space propellant storage, and hydrogen powered aircraft. This work presents a multiscale modeling and Bayesian optimization framework for the design of thermoplastic matrix composite cryotanks. Molecular dynamics simulations are first used to determine temperature-dependent constituent properties for candidate thermoplastic matrices, which are homogenized to the lamina scale using NASA’s Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT). These lamina properties, in combination with laminate family generation rules, are evaluated in HyperX structural optimization software to identify stacking sequences that meet all cryogenic load requirements. A Bayesian optimization framework is applied, with HyperX in the loop (via the HyperX API) to efficiently search across material and laminate design variables, yielding an optimized cryotank configuration with significant reductions in design cycle time compared to exhaustive search approaches.

thermoplastics

Lessons Learned From A Cryogenic Motor Configuration Study for Aircraft Propulsion

Cryogenic electric machines are a promising technology for multi megawatt electric aircraft drivetrains. Superconducting stators that make use of low AC loss superconducting wires are considered to be a key component for these cryogenic machines. NASA has undertaken 6-year technical challenge to address this need by designing a 5 MW superconducting motor and cryogenic drive and developing multi-MW prototypes. This poster shares the lessons learned from a completed design study that evaluated several configurations of a 5 MW cryogenic motor for this application. The lessons are drawn from a qualitative study of 16 configurations and a quantitative study of 8 down selected configurations. The quantitative study involved using a motor design code based on analytical calculations (electromagnetic, thermofluid, mechanical, and motor sizing) to determine each configuration’s Pareto front of total efficiency and total specific power. This poster builds upon preliminary results that were previously presented by (1) reporting final results based on a revised design code for each configuration, including a considerable increase in fidelity for a novel radial flux motor and (2) making a down selection of the configuration for future detailed design and demonstration and documenting the rationale for the selection.

Superconductors

Thermodynamic Properties of Uranium-Zirconium Carbide Solid Solutions with Oxygen

Uranium-zirconium carbide solid solutions are potential candidates for fuel in space nuclear reactors. To support development of advanced robust fuels for space applications, (U y Zr 1-y )C x O z solid solutions were synthesized via carbothermic reduction with uranium, carbon, and oxygen contents raging from y=0.05 – 0.3, x=0.95 – 0.98, and z = 0.02 – 0.07. These solid solutions were subsequently characterized by X-ray diffraction and elemental combustion analysis. High-temperature oxidative drop solution calorimetry in molten sodium molybdate solvent at 1073 K was employed to determine the formation, oxidation, and mixing enthalpies of (U y Zr 1-y )C x O z solid solutions, and thereby for evaluating their thermodynamic stability. The solid solutions are enthalpically less stable than the UC and ZrC end members. They also become less stable and more reactive towards oxidation with increasing uranium content. Incorporation of oxygen into solid solutions increases their solid solution-stability and improves their oxidation resistance.

Calorimetry

Actuating Liquid Crystals Rapidly and Reversibly by Using Chemical Catalysis

Abstract Microtubules and catalytic motor proteins underlie the microscale actuation of living materials, and they have been used in reconstituted systems to harness chemical energy to drive new states of organization of soft matter (e.g., liquid crystals (LCs)). Such materials, however, are fragile and challenging to translate to technological contexts. Rapid (sub‐second) and reversible changes in the orientations of LCs at room temperature using reactions between gaseous hydrogen and oxygen that are catalyzed by Pd/Au surfaces are reported. Surface chemical analysis and computational chemistry studies confirm that dissociative adsorption of H 2 on the Pd/Au films reduces preadsorbed O and generates 1 ML of adsorbed H, driving nitrile‐containing LCs from a perpendicular to a planar orientation. Subsequent exposure to O 2 leads to oxidation of the adsorbed H, reformation of adsorbed O on the Pd/Au surface, and a return of the LC to its initial orientation. The roles of surface composition and reaction kinetics in determining the LC dynamics are described along with a proof‐of‐concept demonstration of microactuation of beads. These results provide fresh ideas for utilizing chemical energy and catalysis to reversibly actuate functional LCs on the microscale.

Chemistry

Time-Resolved Stochastic Dynamics of Quantum Thermal Machines

Steady-state quantum thermal machines are typically characterized by a continuous flow of heat between different reservoirs. However, at the level of discrete stochastic realizations, heat flow is unraveled as a series of abrupt quantum jumps, each representing an exchange of finite quanta with the environment. Here, in this work, we present a framework that resolves the dynamics of quantum thermal machines into cycles classified as enginelike, coolinglike, or idle. We analyze the statistics of individual cycle types and their durations, enabling us to determine both the fraction of cycles useful for thermodynamic tasks and the average waiting time between cycles of a given type. Central to our analysis is the notion of intermittency, which captures the operational consistency of the machine by assessing the frequency and distribution of idle cycles. Our framework offers a novel approach to characterizing thermal machines, with significant relevance to experiments involving mesoscopic transport through quantum dots.

full counting statistics

Validation of the SINDA/FLUINT Code Using Several Analytical Solutions

The Systems Improved Numerical Differencing Analyzer and Fluid Integrator (SINDA/FLUINT) code has often been used to determine the transient and steady-state response of various thermal and fluid flow networks. While this code is an often used design and analysis tool, the validation of this program has been limited to a few simple studies. For the current study, the SINDA/FLUINT code was compared to four different analytical solutions. The thermal analyzer portion of the code (conduction and radiative heat transfer, SINDA portion) was first compared to two separate solutions. The first comparison examined a semi-infinite slab with a periodic surface temperature boundary condition. Next, a small, uniform temperature object (lumped capacitance) was allowed to radiate to a fixed temperature sink. The fluid portion of the code (FLUINT) was also compared to two different analytical solutions. The first study examined a tank filling process by an ideal gas in which there is both control volume work and heat transfer. The final comparison considered the flow in a pipe joining two infinite reservoirs of pressure. The results of all these studies showed that for the situations examined here, the SINDA/FLUINT code was able to match the results of the analytical solutions.

John R Keller

Lunar Elemental Analysis Obtained From the Apollo Gamma-Ray and X-Ray Remote Sensing Experiment

Gamma-ray and X-ray spectrometers carried in the Service Modules of the Apollo 15 and Apollo 16 spacecraft were employed for compositional mapping of the lunar surface. The measurements involved the observation of the intensity and characteristic energy distribution of gamma rays and X-rays emitted from the lunar surface. A large-scale compositional map of over 10 percent of the lunar surface was obtained from an analysis of the observed spectra. The Apollo 15 flight was at a lunar orbital inclination of 29 degrees as compared with a 9-degree inclination of the Apollo 16 flight; thus, the projected ground track of the Apollo 15 flight covered a larger projected surface area than that of the Apollo 16 flight. The objective of the X-ray experiment was to measure the K spectral lines from Mg, Al, and Si. Spectra were obtained and the data were reduced to Al/Si and Mg/Si intensity ratios and ultimately to chemical ratios. Analyses of the results have indicated (1) that the Al/Si ratios are highest in the lunar highlands and considerably lower in the maria, and (2) that the Mg/Si concentrations generally show the opposite relationship. There is a tendency for the Al/Si values to increase from the western mare areas to the eastern limb highlands. There are distinct chemical contrasts between such features: as the small mare basins and the highland rims. The objective of the gamma-ray experiment was to measure the natural and cosmic-ray-induced activity emission spectrum. At this time, the elemental abundances for Th, U, K, Fe, Ti, Si, and O have been determined over a number of major lunar regions. Regions of relatively high natural radioactivity were found in the Mare Imbrium and Oceanus Procellarum regions. High spots of natural radioactivity were also found south of Fra Mauro; somewhat southwest of Archimedes, and south of Aristarchus. An enhanced region of natural radioactivity was found around Van de Graaff on the far side of tile Moon. In regions other than Mare Imbrium and Oceanus Procellarum, an anticorrelation between natural radioactivity and lunar elevation, as determined from the Apollo laser, altimeter, has been found. From the combined results of the gamma-ray and X-ray spectrometer experiments almost complete information concerning the major element composition of over 10 percent of the lunar surface has been obtained. Distributions have also been mapped for K, Th, and Ti. Interesting correlations between lunar topography and magnetic and gravitational properties have been found.

J I Trombka

Thermochemical Stability of Ca2Yb8(SiO4)6O2 Apatite in Presence of Molten Calcium-Magnesium-Aluminosilicate (CMAS)

Thermochemical stability of ytterbium silicon oxyapatite Ca 2 Yb 8 (SiO 4 ) 6 O 2 (CYbS) in the presence of molten calcium-magnesium aluminosilicate (CMAS) has been investigated at elevated temperatures for consideration as a thermal and environmental barrier coating (T/EBC) material. CYbS apatite powder was synthesized from the constituent oxides via a solid-state reaction method. Hot-pressed apatite substrates were exposed to molten CMAS at 1200, 1300, and 1400 °C for 1, 10, and 50 h. Development of phases in the interaction region of the heat-treated specimens was monitored using scanning electron microscopy, transmission electron microscopy, high-angle annular dark-field imaging, selected area electron diffraction, and energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy. Monoclinic cyclosilicate Ca 3 Yb 2 (Si 3 O 9 ) 2 formed from interaction of CYbS apatite with CaO in the CMAS melt at the apatite-CMAS reaction front and continued to nucleate and grow within the residual CMAS in diffusion couples annealed for 1 to 50 h at 1200 °C as well as in those heat treated at 1300 °C for 1 h. Residual CMAS was depleted of Ca when cyclosilicate was present. Dendritic wollastonite (CaSiO3) was observed within the residual CMAS in couples annealed at 1200 and 1300 °C. Ingress of molten CMAS, because of its exponential decrease in viscosity, occurred through open pores and along the grain boundaries of the apatite substrates without any detectable chemical reaction at 1300 and 1400 °C. Results of this study indicate that Ca 2 Yb 8 (SiO 4 ) 6 O 2 apatite has the potential to mitigate the CMAS corrosion up to about 1200 °C but not at higher temperatures.

Narottam P Bansal

Spin‐Polarized Interfaces Redirect CO 2 Reduction From CO to Formate

Achieving high product selectivity in electrocatalytic carbon dioxide reduction (CO 2 RR) remains a critical challenge due to competition between multiple proton-coupled electron-transfer pathways on catalyst surfaces. Meanwhile, chirality-induced spin selectivity (CISS), which enables spin-polarized electron transport through chiral interfaces, has recently emerged as a promising strategy to modulate interfacial electrochemical reactions. Although the CISS effect has been shown to enhance selectivity and efficiency in the spin-sensitive oxygen evolution reaction (OER), its role in regulating CO 2 RR pathways and in stabilizing intermediates remains largely unexplored. Here, chiral molecules (R- and S-1,1′-bi-2-naphthyl-2,2′-diyl hydrogen phosphate, BNP) were integrated with SnO 2 to construct chiral-modified catalysts (R-BNP/SnO 2 and S-BNP/SnO 2 ). Compared with bare SnO 2 and racemic BNP-modified SnO 2 (Rac-BNP/SnO 2 ), the chiral catalysts exhibited a pronounced shift in product selectivity from CO toward formate production. Importantly, in-situ attenuated total reflectance surface-enhanced infrared absorption spectroscopy (ATR-SEIRAS) reveals that the chiral interface selectively stabilizes the O-bound *OCHO intermediate associated with the formate pathway and modulates interfacial water structure and hydrogen-bonding dynamics. These findings demonstrate that spin-polarized interfacial electron transfer can regulate CO 2 RR pathway selectivity by modulating the stabilization of key intermediates. More broadly, this work establishes chiral spin-selective interfaces as a new strategy for regulating competitive electrocatalytic reaction pathways.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Reliability Analysis of Single Crystal NiAl Turbine Blades

As part of a co-operative agreement with General Electric Aircraft Engines (GEAE), NASA LeRC is modifying and validating the Ceramic Analysis and Reliability Evaluation of Structures algorithm for use in design of components made of high strength NiAl based intermetallic materials. NiAl single crystal alloys are being actively investigated by GEAE as a replacement for Ni-based single crystal superalloys for use in high pressure turbine blades and vanes. The driving force for this research lies in the numerous property advantages offered by NiAl alloys over their superalloy counterparts. These include a reduction of density by as much as a third without significantly sacrificing strength, higher melting point, greater thermal conductivity, better oxidation resistance, and a better response to thermal barrier coatings. The current drawback to high strength NiAl single crystals is their limited ductility. Consequently, significant efforts including the work agreement with GEAE are underway to develop testing and design methodologies for these materials. The approach to validation and component analysis involves the following steps: determination of the statistical nature and source of fracture in a high strength, NiAl single crystal turbine blade material; measurement of the failure strength envelope of the material; coding of statistically based reliability models; verification of the code and model; and modeling of turbine blades and vanes for rig testing.

Joseph Palko

Multiscale and multidimensional modeling of particle acceleration and transport in solar flares

Multi-messenger, multi-viewpoint, and time-resolved observations of solar flares are now providing unprecedented constraints on particle acceleration sites, energy conversion, and energy transport. The interpretation of current observations, including microwave imaging spectroscopy from EOVSA, hard x-ray (HXR) imaging from Solar Orbiter/STIX, gamma-ray diagnostics from Fermi, and in situ measurements from Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter, collectively demands modeling frameworks that go beyond traditional spatially unresolved, one-zone models or single-mechanism descriptions. This review surveys multiscale and multidimensional modeling approaches, including kinetic, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD), and macroscopic particle models, that are being developed to meet the need. Kinetic simulations reveal that three-dimensional (3D) effects, including field-line chaos and self-generated turbulence, are essential for sustained power-law particle acceleration. MHD simulations now capture flux-rope eruptions, plasmoid-unstable current sheets, and turbulent flare regions in realistic magnetic topologies. Macroscopic models coupling MHD with energetic-particle models produce spatially resolved electron distributions and synthetic HXR and microwave emissions for direct comparison with observations. Despite these advances, outstanding challenges remain in bridging kinetic and global scales, improving MHD simulations and macroscopic particle models, and achieving quantitative model-observation closure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Tunable Metasurface External-Cavity Quantum Cascade Lasers up to 5.74 THz

Vertical-external-cavity surface-emitting lasers based on amplifying quantum-cascade metasurfaces are demonstrated in the 5–6 THz range for the first time. Enhanced parasitic coupling to lossy surface modes requires updated design guidelines, while elevated losses and lower available material gain limit the scaling of the metasurface period from previous designs. A series of metasurface devices with varying periods employing both uniform and focusing metasurfaces is fabricated and characterized. Reducing the metasurface period below 70% of the free-space wavelength enables devices with superior performance, achieving pulsed operation up to 5.74 THz with peak output powers of 1.3 mW, maximum operating temperatures up to 83 K, and continuous-wave operation up to 54 K with 23 μW of output power. In the best case, single-mode tuning from 5.23–5.73 THz, which corresponds to a 9.1% fractional tuning, is realized with near-Gaussian far-field profiles maintained across the entire range. Finally, these results establish quantum cascade vertical-external-cavity surface-emitting lasers as promising candidates for high-frequency local oscillator applications in heterodyne spectroscopy.

gallium arsenide

Surface Characterization Through Shape Oscillations of Drops in Microgravity and 1-g

The goal of these experiments is to determine the rheological properties of liquid drops of single or multiple components in the presence or absence of surface active materials by exciting drops into their quadrupole resonance and observing their free decay. The resulting data coupled with appropriate theory should give a better description of the physics of the underlying phenomena, providing a better foundation than earlier empirical results could. The space environment makes an idealized geometry available (spherical drops) so that theory and experiment can be properly compared, and allows a 'clean' environment, by which is meant an environment in which no solid surfaces come in contact with the drops during the test period. Moreover, by considering the oscillations of intentionally deformed drops in microgravity, a baseline is established for interpreting surface characterization experiments done on the ground by other groups and ours. Experiments performed on the United States Microgravity Laboratory Laboratory (USML-1) demonstrated that shape oscillation experiments could be performed over a wide parameter range, and with a variety of surfactant materials. Results, however, were compromised by an unexpected, slow drop tumbling, some problems with droplet injection, and the presence of bubbles in the drop samples. Nevertheless, initial data suggests that the space environment will be useful in providing baseline data that can serve to validate theory and permit quantitative materials characterization at 1-g.

Robert E Apfel

Photovoltage behaviour of p-Sb 2 S 3 photocathodes for hydrogen evolution: effect of n-In 2 S 3 passivation layers

The 1.76 eV band gap of antimony(iii) sulphide (Sb 2 S 3 ) makes this semiconductor material a promising light absorber for photoelectrochemical water splitting, but scalable fabrication approaches to efficient devices are still lacking. Here we show that compact Sb 2 S 3 films on FTO can be obtained by electrochemical growth from aqueous colloidal sulphur and antimony trichloride solutions, followed by mild annealing. These films can be converted into hydrogen evolution photocathodes after coating with In 2 S 3 passivation layers and the addition of Pt proton reduction co-catalysts. For the first time, vibrating Kelvin probe surface photovoltage (VKP-SPV) spectroscopy is used to observe the carrier dynamics in such photoelectrodes. While the bare Sb 2 S 3 films suffer from high surface recombination rates and poor electron extraction, the In 2 S 3 overlayer is found to raise the photovoltage and cathodic photocurrent density, due to passivation of surface defects and formation of a p–n heterojunction. In thick In 2 S 3 films, these benefits are offset by shading and slow electron transfer. Also, we find that O 2 strongly affects the band bending in the Sb 2 S 3 –air and In 2 S 3 –air junctions and their photovoltage. The optimised devices evolve H 2 at 77.5% Faradaic efficiency and with 0.084% applied bias photon-to-current efficiency (ABPE) at 0.12 V vs. RHE. The low ABPE value is attributed to Sb 2 S 3 sub-bandgap defects visible in SPV spectra, the random orientation of Sb 2 S 3 crystallites in the films, which inhibits charge transport, the absence of crystal facets of Sb 2 S 3 , and a detrimental Schottky junction at the FTO|Sb 2 S 3 interface.

de Araújo, Moisés A. [University of California, Da

Deriving the Landauer Principle From the Quantum Shannon Entropy

We derive an expression to determine the equilibrium probability distribution of a quantum state in contact with a noisy thermal environment that formally separates contributions from quantum and classical forms of probabilistic uncertainty. A statistical mechanical interpretation of this probability distribution enables us to derive an expression for the minimum free energy costs for arbitrary (reversible or irreversible) quantum state changes. In conclusion, based on this derivation, we demonstrate that–in contrast to classical systems–the free energy required to erase or reset a qubit depends sensitively on both the fidelity of the target state and on the physical properties of the environment, such as the number of quantum bath states, due primarily to the entropic effects of system-bath entanglement.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH