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Lowering post‐construction yield assessment uncertainty through better wind plant power curves
Abstract Many operational analyses of wind power plants require a statistical relationship, which can be called the wind plant power curve, to be developed between wind plant energy production and concurrent atmospheric variables. Currently, a univariate linear regression at monthly resolution is the industry standard for post‐construction yield assessments. Here, we evaluate the benefits in augmenting this conventional approach by testing alternative regressions performed with multiple inputs, at a finer time resolution, and using nonlinear machine‐learning algorithms. We utilize the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's open‐source software package OpenOA to assess wind plant power curves for 10 wind plants. When a univariate generalized additive model at daily or hourly resolution is used, regression uncertainty is reduced, in absolute terms, by up to 1.0 % and 1.2 % (corresponding to a −59 % and −80 % relative change), respectively, compared to a univariate linear regression at monthly resolution; also, a more accurate assessment of the mean long‐term wind plant production is achieved. Additional input variables also reduce the regression uncertainty: when temperature is added as an input to the conventional monthly linear regression, the operational analysis uncertainty connected to regression is reduced, in absolute terms, by up to 0.5 % (−43 % relative change) for wind power plants with strong seasonal variability. Adding input variables to the machine‐learning model at daily resolution can further reduce regression uncertainty, with up to a −10 % relative change. Based on these results, we conclude that a multivariate nonlinear regression at daily or hourly resolution should be recommended for assessing wind plant power curves.
Power and particle exhaust in the ST-E1 fusion power plant
Power exhaust challenges and potential solutions for a 5 m major radius, low-aspect ratio burning tokamak have been explored. 1D edge plasma models have been used to screen for access to detachment using short and long outer divertor legs in double and single null configurations, using Ar as the primary impurity and assuming tungsten plasma-facing components (PFCs). These show that detachment access can be accessed for all but the most conservative assumptions on scrape-off layer (SOL) width and power, but that trade-offs will be required between magnet engineering and the size of the acceptable window of as-yet uncertain plasma parameters. SOLPS-ITER was used to further model selected plasma scenarios, confirming that Ar seeding can be used to achieve dissipative divertor scenarios with peak deposited heat fluxes below 15 MWm -2 . Initial scoping of first wall loads and positioning of limiters has been carried out, showing the feasibility of protecting the breeding blanket wall during steady state without impeding tritium breeding. Initial PFC technology selection is also presented, identifying this as a critical area where further work is needed to find an attractive solution for helium-cooled PFCs that can handle high heat fluxes without excessive power requirements. Key questions and trade-offs for concept development have been identified, including: how to achieve high radiation for reduction of SOL power without core performance degradation; whether power exhaust can be well-controlled in a double null plasma; mechanical design and materials challenges of high-heat flux PFCs; and control of material erosion, redeposition and tritium retention.
Transitioning Coal Power Plants to Nuclear Power
Most large U.S. power companies are setting zero-carbon-emission goals and is a reflection of utility commitments to carbon reduction and policies at the Federal and State levels. Increasing the rate of coal power plant (CPP) retirements has been seen across the industry. Previous transitions of coal to gas fuel are becoming less desirable as having zero carbon emissions become ever more import. As CPPs are retired, a reliable and affordable zero-emission power replacement is desired. Nuclear power plants (NPP) is the only existing dispatchable and clean source of energy that can directly replace a CPP. The report covers different factors that affect CPP to NPP projects.
Flight Performance of a Jet Power Plant: operating characteristics of a jet power plant as a function of altitude - III
The performance of a jet power plant consisting of a compressor and a turbine is determined by the characteristic curves of these component parts and is controllable by the characteristics of the compressor and the turbine i n relation t o each other. The normal. output, overload, and throttled load of the Jet power plant are obtained on the basis of assumed straight-line characteristics.
Opportunities for Research and Development of Hybrid Power Plants
Hybrid power plants show promise to provide significant value to the electric grid system especially as shares of renewable energy in systems increase from 10% to 20% or more. Many manufacturers and developers are proactively developing hybrid power plant strategies to ensure plant profitability in markets where it’s important to provide energy that is more predictable and controllable, with higher capacity values, as well as various ancillary services to the grid system. However, there still are many questions around if and when hybrid power plants make sense versus leaving it to the larger grid system to ensure low cost and reliable supply by engaging directly with all individual assets. This report summarizes literature on the state-of-the-art in research concerning hybrid power plants from multiple perspectives including: 1) resource and market opportunities, 2) technology selection and sizing, 3) physical design, and 4) operation and control. The emphasis was placed on wind and solar hybrid power plants (with or without storage) but additional technologies were briefly considered and merit further investigation.
Transitioning to Hybrid Power Plants
Hybrid power plants are power generation systems that combine two or more types of electricity generation or storage, creating systems where the optimal dispatch provides more benefits that the sum of the individual components can. These plants exemplify the interconnected challenges of grid modernization. On one hand, rapid increase in deployment and enhanced controllability of renewable energy assets is needed to meet clean energy targets, but on the other, increasing electrification makes it more difficult to manage load and growth in the number of endpoints and stakeholders involved with hybrid plants complicates asset management and cybersecurity. This talk will cover trends in hybrid power plant technologies and deployments, identify future prospects for hybrid systems, and discuss the challenges and research opportunities that exist to transition from the traditional power grids of today to smart, distributed, hybrid power grids we may see in the next few decades.
AI for Interpreting Nuclear Power Plant Documents for Power Uprates
To reduce the cost and time needed for regulatory compliance, nuclear power plants (NPPs) can utilize artificial intelligence (AI) to assist in interpreting complex and voluminous documents that typically span thousands of pages. Usually, the process of interpreting a plant’s technical specifications (TSs) and associated documents is labor intensive. This study aims to understand what processes state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) can automate and to identify the pitfalls associated with using LLMs to reduce human labor costs and time. This research uses a recent AI technology called retrieval augmented generation (RAG), which retrieves pages of information from TSs and associated documents to assist with NPP power uprates (cleared to produce more power). LLMs are integral to RAG because they create human-like responses based on the retrieved information, aiding in the interpretation and application processes. A baseline case demonstrates how LLMs can operate successfully for a power uprate application. Then five use cases show five types of potential failures: (1) RAG retrieving the incorrect information, (2) RAG misinterpreting the retrieved information, (3) RAG relying on knowledge not contained in the retrieved information, (4) RAG hallucinating, and (5) RAG refusing to answer. The results of the five use cases suggest that automating the human interpretation of TSs and associated documents with AI should be approached with caution. A subject-matter expert reviewed the AI outputs from the five use cases and concluded that an LLM can produce technical information that is needed to produce power uprate applications in certain instances.
Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment and game theory for cyber security risk analysis in nuclear power plants
Nuclear Power Plants and energy systems have become more prone to cyber-attacks with their digitalization and the increased use of smart equipment. Hence, it is important to quantify the risk associated with cyber-attacks in such systems. Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment which involves studying the evolution of a system due to random events and operator and attacker actions during a cyber-attack by employing a physics-based model of the system is a suitable framework to quantify cybersecurity risk in nuclear power plants. In addition to the plant dynamics, it is also important to model the strategies of the attackers and plant operators for an effective cybersecurity risk assessment. Game theory provides a set of necessary tools to model such strategic interactions. In this research, a framework that integrates dynamic probabilistic risk assessment with game theory for cybersecurity risk analysis in nuclear power plants is presented. The mathematical formulation is derived based on the theory of continuous event trees. We propose a game theory based action model, that utilizes physics-based rewards to define the strategies of attackers and operators at every decision epoch. As a case study, the risk associated with cyber-attacks on the digital components in the secondary side of a pressurized water reactor is studied using a reduced order model. A set of attacker actions and a set of operator actions are defined for the system. The operator and attacker interactions were modelled using simultaneous game, their action policies were computed using the concept of mixed strategy Nash equilibrium and the evolution of the system was studied.
Development of an Innovative Inspection Tool for Superheater Tubes in Fossil Fuel Power Plants
Fossil fuel power plants are complex systems containing multiple components that require periodic health monitoring. Failures in these systems can lead to increased downtime for the plant, reduction of power, and significant cost for repairs. Inspections of the plant’s superheater tubes are typically manual, laborious, and extremely time-consuming. This is due to their small diameter size (between 1.3 and 7.6 cm) and the coiled structure of the tubing. In addition, the tubes are often stacked close to each other, limiting access for external inspection. This paper presents the development and testing of an electrically powered pipe crawler that can navigate inside 5 cm diameter tubes and provide an assessment of their health. The crawler utilizes peristaltic motion within the tubes via interconnected modules for gripping and extending. The modular nature of the system allows it to traverse through straight sections and multiple 90° and 180° bends. Additional modules in the system include an ultrasonic sensor for tube thickness measurements, as well as environmental sensors, a light detecting and ranging (LiDAR) sensor, and camera. Furthermore, these modules utilize a gear system that allows for 360° rotation and provides a means to inspect the entire internal circumference of the tubes.
Impacts of EPA’s finalized power plant greenhouse gas standards
Emissions reductions may be met with relatively small costs.
Technoeconomic analysis of thermoelectric power plant condensers with nonwetting surfaces
Not provided.
Evaluation of the potential for wake steering for U.S. land-based wind power plants
The wind power plant-wide control strategy known as wake steering involves the misalignment of upstream turbines with the wind direction to deflect wakes away from downstream turbines, increasing net wind plant power production. In this paper, we evaluate the potential of wake steering for U.S. land-based wind power plants. First, we outline a method for simulating and optimizing wake steering control for existing wind plants by combining the flow redirection and induction in steady state wake steering engineering model with the U.S. Wind Turbine Database and Wind Integration National Dataset Toolkit wind resource dataset. Next, to better understand the potential benefits of wake steering beyond those for existing wind plants, we evaluate the relative impacts of turbine specific power, turbine spacing, and mean wind speed on energy gain and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) using a model land-based wind power plant. For a subset of 60 existing wind plants, assuming a constant turbulence intensity of 8%, wake steering was found to yield an average annual energy production (AEP) gain of 0.80%, equivalent to recovering 13.85% of baseline wake losses. Further, we present a linear approximation between baseline wake losses and AEP gains that can be used to estimate wake steering gains for other wind power plants. Highlighting additional benefits of wake steering, for the model wind power plant we found that energy gains from wake steering enabled an approximate 30% reduction in turbine spacing while keeping LCOE constant.
Battery Degradation Modeling in Hybrid Power Plants: An Island System Unit Commitment Study: Preprint
As hybrid power plants (HPPs), such as photovoltaic (PV) and battery combinations, become increasingly important in power systems with high renewable energy penetration to address PV variability and ensure grid stability. This paper focuses on the urgent need to model the coordination between PV and battery systems in HPPs while accounting for battery degradation. We present a generation scheduling model that explicitly incorporates PV-battery hybridization in the unit commitment problem. Moreover, the cost function of the HPP scheduling problem endogenously considers battery degradation with adjustable weights to strike a balance between minimizing production costs and prolonging battery life, particularly when providing energy arbitrage and ancillary services. Using a realistic island system simulation, we demonstrate that accounting for battery degradation in the scheduling problem can significantly extend battery life with only minor additional production costs.
UF6 breeder reactor power plants for electric power generation
The reactor concept analyzed is a U-233F6 core surrounded by a molten salt (Li(7)F, BeF2, ThF4) blanket. Nuclear survey calculations were carried out for both spherical and cylindrical geometries. Thermodynamic cycle calculations were performed for a variety of Rankine cycles. A conceptual design is presented along with a system layout for a 1000 MW stationary power plant. Advantages of the gas core breeder reactor (GCBR) are as follows: (1) high efficiency; (2) simplified on-line reprocessing; (3) inherent safety considerations; (4) high breeding ratio; (5) possibility of burning all or most of the long-lived nuclear waste actinides; and (6) possibility of extrapolating the technology to higher temperatures and MHD direct conversion.
A New Offering for the Seaman Status Labyrinth - Seaman Status for Nuclear Reactor Operators on Floating Nuclear Power Plants
Floating nuclear power plants present a unique operating environment for land-based nuclear reactor operators. Traditionally located in the control room of a nuclear power plant on land, development of floating nuclear power plants exposes the traditional land-based employees to the marine environment. With the extension of nuclear power generation facilities into the maritime domain, do nuclear reactor operators working on a floating nuclear power plant qualify as seaman under maritime law? Applying existing maritime law, the answer is no, a nuclear reactor operator who operates the nuclear reactor on a floating nuclear power plant does not qualify as a seaman because their work is not in support of the mission of the vessel and the reactor is not connected to a vessel because a floating nuclear power plant is not a vessel. Applying the analysis developed by the Supreme Court in Chandris v. Latsis and the recent Sanchez v. Smart Fabricators of Texas, L.L.C. en banc decision by the Fifth Circuit, a nuclear reactor operator on a floating nuclear power plant does not qualify for seaman status under the Jones Act because their function supports the operation of the reactor and the structure on which the reactor resides does not meet the reasonable person standard established in Lozman v. City of Riviera Beach. Further, existing case law highlights that rendering a structure practically impossible to move eliminates the structure from consideration as a vessel. Because a floating nuclear power plant may be anchored at a seaport or anchored offshore but connected via transmission cables and protected by physical protection barriers, a floating nuclear power plant, with no current means of propulsion is rendered a power plant on water, which is its true function. Recognizing that technological change may alter the conclusion presented in this Article, current designs and structures that exist illustrate the intersection between nuclear and maritime law and the ever-evolving concepts that underpin seamen status in maritime law.
Impact of Plant Siting on Performance and Economics of Indirect Supercritical CO2 Coal Fired Power Plants
This study presents the impact of plant siting on the performance and economics of coal-fired utility scale power plants based on indirect sCO2 power cycles with carbon capture and storage (CCS). Presentation of paper made at the 2021 ASME Turbo Expo, GT2021-58867.
Optimized Performance and Cost Potential for Indirect Supercritical CO2 Coal Fired Power Plants
This presentation given at the 2021 ASME Turbo Expo (GT2021-58865) summarizes the techno-economic global optimization results of coal-fired utility scale power plants based on indirect sCO2 power cycles with and without carbon capture and storage (CCS).