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Results for “distributionally robust optimization”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Resilient Autonomous Wind Farms

With the advent of an increasing number of control strategies that seek to optimize wind turbine performance on a farm level, taking into account individual wind turbine information to achieve wind-farm-level objectives has become an increasingly important goal. Methods for controlling wind turbines on an individual and farm level have experienced significant development, and an abundance of new implementations for gathering and using data from turbines have created potential for novel control mechanisms that can further optimize the performance and delivery characteristics of a wind farm. A key element of making these wind farms more efficient is to develop reliable algorithms that use local sensor information that is already being collected, such as from local meteorological stations, nearby radars, sodars, and lidars, and supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data. Making use of information from all wind turbines in a wind farm can enable such approaches as determining the atmospheric conditions across the farm, improving fault-finding, and ensuring more efficient overall control of farmwide optimizations through mechanisms such as wake steering. However, these approaches typically involve a centralized communications and control center. In order to ensure the resilient operation of the farm, it is necessary to develop an approach that distributes the calculation and communication amongst multiple nodes throughout the farm. In this fashion, a redundant, robust, and secure network can be created, which can tolerate faults in calculation, communication, and even external attacks that seek to disrupt the operation of the wind farm. This paper introduces the use of the Raft-Byzantine-Fault-Tolerant algorithm in the implementation of autonomous control of a wind farm. This implementation will allow for fault tolerance for malfunctioning nodes, sensors, transmitters, and connectors. This approach is equally extensible to account for malicious actors. It will...

fault tolerance↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sequential ensemble transform for Bayesian inverse problems

In this work, we present the Sequential Ensemble Transform (SET) method, an approach for generating approximate samples from a Bayesian posterior distribution. The method explores the posterior distribution by solving a sequence of discrete optimal transport problems to produce a series of transport plans which map prior samples to posterior samples. We prove that the sequence of Dirac mixture distributions produced by the SET method converges weakly to the true posterior as the sample size approaches infinity. Furthermore, our numerical results indicate that, when compared to standard Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, the SET approach is more robust to the choice of Markov mutation kernels and requires less computational efforts to reach a similar accuracy when used to explore complex posterior distributions. Finally, we describe adaptive schemes that allow to completely automate the use of the SET method.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2026

4D beam matrix reconstruction in particle accelerators

Transverse beam parameters in particle accelerators are commonly described using the Twiss parameters, which are experimentally accessible yet inherently limited because they neglect correlations between different transverse coordinates. Such correlations frequently arise from uncompensated cathode magnetic fields or misaligned focusing quadrupoles, affecting beam quality and accelerator performance. To address this limitation, we propose and validate a novel diagnostic method for the complete four-dimensional (4D) transverse beam matrix. Our method involves passing the beam through a beamline comprising both conventional and skew quadrupole magnets, followed by downstream measurements of the resulting two-dimensional (2D) beam profiles. These measurements represent distinct 2D projections of the underlying 4D transverse phase–space distribution. By systematically varying quadrupole strengths, multiple independent projections of the beam phase space are obtained. We reconstruct the original 4D beam matrix from these measured projections using an optimization-based least-square fit, providing fast and robust reconstruction regardless of the specific beamline configuration. Through extensive numerical simulations and realistic particle-tracking studies, we demonstrate the diagnostic’s accuracy, robustness, and capability to achieve reconstruction uncertainties smaller than measurement errors, particularly when employing sufficient numbers of quadrupole scans. This method presents a powerful and flexible approach for comprehensive beam characterization and accelerator tuning.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Consensus-Based Control and Optimization of Power System Inertia

The integration of distributed energy resources (DERs), such as solar, wind, and energy storage systems, into power grids through inverter-based resources reduces power system inertia, leading to faster frequency dynamics and potential grid instability. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a distributed, consensus-based approach for the real-time control and optimization of inertia sources (synchronous generators and/or DERs) during system disturbances, enhancing both system stability and economic performance. The distributed control and optimization approach assumes each inertia source exchanges information solely with its neighbor ones, making it easily scalable to large power grid networks. The impacts of the communication connectivity among the inertia sources as well as their generation capacity limits on the distributed approach are investigated. We also demonstrate the approach’s robustness in scenarios involving communication time delays and packet losses, validating its effectiveness through numerical simulations on a 4-bus test system and a two-area 8-bus test system.

Power system inertia↗
NASA NTRS1988

International Conference on Advances in Communication and Control Systems, 1st, Washington, DC, June 18-20, 1987, Proceedings

Theoretical models of communication and control systems are discussed in reviews and reports. Topics addressed include smoothing and identification for random fields, the information and coding capacities of mismatched Gaussian channels, recursive least-squares estimation and Kalman filtering by systolic arrays, Kemp echo digital filters, a periodic test-scheduling scheme for communication and queuing processes, and receivers for direct-sequence systems. Consideration is given to a distributed-parameter model for detecting cracks in rotors, active control of aeroelastic systems governed by functional differential equations, robust multivariable control of large space structures, finite-rank relatively bounded perturbations of semigroup generators, and sensitivity analysis of convex optimal-control problems.

Declaris, Nicholas↗
NASA NTRS2009

A New Monte Carlo Filtering Method for the Diagnosis of Mission-Critical Failures

Testing large-scale systems is expensive in terms of both time and money. Running simulations early in the process is a proven method of finding the design faults likely to lead to critical system failures, but determining the exact cause of those errors is still time-consuming and requires access to a limited number of domain experts. It is desirable to find an automated method that explores the large number of combinations and is able to isolate likely fault points. Treatment learning is a subset of minimal contrast-set learning that, rather than classifying data into distinct categories, focuses on finding the unique factors that lead to a particular classification. That is, they find the smallest change to the data that causes the largest change in the class distribution. These treatments, when imposed, are able to identify the settings most likely to cause a mission-critical failure. This research benchmarks two treatment learning methods against standard optimization techniques across three complex systems, including two projects from the Robust Software Engineering (RSE) group within the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Ames Research Center. It is shown that these treatment learners are both faster than traditional methods and show demonstrably better results.

Gay, Gregory↗
NASA NTRS2019

Quantum Technologies for UAS (QTech)

Recent advances in small Unmanned Aerial System (sUAS) technologies lower the barriers for use by both private and commercial entities. However, these advances are also likely to lead to greater vehicle densities, a more heterogenous mix of vehicles and equipment and greater levels of vehicle autonomy, which can increase the chance for communications disruptions. For the safe and secure operation of these vehicles, it is essential to have a robust communications network. This work is focused on harnessing the power of quantum technologies to enable this robust communications network by: (1) utilizing quantum optimization algorithms to design robust network with routing redundancy that can respond adaptively to dynamically changing real-time environment and disruptions, (2) utilize quantum optimization algorithms resource allocation for detection, localization, and tracking of mobile communication disruption agents and (3) utilize quantum key distribution (QKD) to execute secure key sharing in anti-jamming protocols for secure radio frequency (RF) communication. Efforts to map these quantum optimization algorithms to commercially available quantum annealers and soon to be available general-purpose gate-model quantum hardware architectures will be reviewed, and plans for testing the solutions to these algorithms through indoor sUAS flight tests will be discussed. Lastly, efforts to miniaturize and practically deploy Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) hardware, which could ultimately be used to securely exchange encryption keys, in sUAS networks will be reviewed.

Quantum Computing↗
NASA NTRS2016

Coupled Retrieval of Aerosol Properties and Surface Reflection Using the Airborne Multi-Angle SpectroPolarimetric Imager (AirMSPI)

The Airborne Multi-angle SpectroPolarimetric Imager (AirMSPI) has been flying aboard the NASA ER-2 high altitude aircraft since October 2010. In step-and-stare operation mode, AirMSPI acquires radiance and polarization data at 355, 380, 445, 470*, 555, 660*, 865*, and 935 nm (* denotes polarimetric bands). The imaged area covers about 10 km by 10 km and is observed from 9 view angles between ±67° off of nadir. We have developed an efficient and flexible code that uses the information content of AirMSPI data for a coupled retrieval of aerosol properties and surface reflection. The retrieval was built based on the multi-pixel optimization concept, with the use of a hybrid radiative transfer model that combines the Markov Chain and adding/doubling methods. The convergence and robustness of our algorithm is ensured by applying constraints on (a) the spectral variation of the Bidirectional Polarization Distribution Function (BPDF) and angular shape of the Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF); (b) the spectral variation of aerosol optical properties; and (c) the spatial variation of aerosol parameters across neighboring image pixels. Our retrieval approach has been tested using over 20 AirMSPI datasets having low to moderately high aerosol loadings (~0.02<AOD550-nm<~0.45) and acquired during several field campaigns. Results are compared with AERONET aerosol reference data. We also explore the benefits of AirMSPI’s ultraviolet and polarimetric bands as well as the use of multiple view angles.

Xu, Feng↗
DOE OSTI2025

Adaptive Linear State Estimation for Unbalanced Distribution System

The inclusion of PMU functionality in distribution relays enables the implementation of a linear state estimator (LSE) in Distribution Systems (DS). However, the unbalanced topology and phase coupling in distribution lines necessitate modifications to the LSE formulation. Additionally, the higher fault frequency in distribution systems requires a state estimation approach that is resilient to contingencies. This work proposes an adaptive linear state estimation algorithm tailored for unbalanced distribution systems with single-phase and two-phase laterals. Furthermore, a modified Optimal PMU Placement (OPP) strategy is introduced to ensure full observability in distribution systems with single-phase and two-phase buses. To maintain adaptability to topology changes, the state estimator incorporates circuit breaker status data provided by PMUs, ensuring robust performance during topology changes triggered by faults. The performance of the algorithm is verified on the IEEE 13-bus, 34-bus, and 123-bus systems.

PMUs↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Simultaneous Development and Robust Optimization of a Microstructure Dependent Material

Recent microstructure characterization techniques combined with Symbolic Regression(SR)analysis has been proven to generate white box plasticity models well suited for incorporation into FEA software.The current work builds upon those efforts and demonstrates the applicability of Sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC) methods within SR analysis to condense model development and robust optimization into a single, co-dependent process. In this project, SMC methods provide a mechanism through which the observed microstructure features and associated variability can be incorporated into the discovery phase of model development and simultaneously recover approximate parameter distributions through SR analysis. The demonstration utilized a data set consisting of tensile test results from a limited number of sample specimens with corresponding EBSD data from which microstructure features were characterized.The maximum threshold stress model in the Visco-Plastic Self-Consistent (VPSC) code developed by Los Alamos National Laboratories was calibrated using mechanical test data.Synthetic volume elements with statistically equivalent microstructure were generated with DREAM3Dbased on the observed EBSD data. VPSC was used to simulate the corresponding tensile test response for each of the synthetic volume elements. The simulated microstructure and tensile test data was used astraining datafor SMC-SR algorithm and the resulting model was validated with data from the original empirical data set.

Karl Garbrecht↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of a Vibration Technique Based on Geometric Optimization for Fatigue Life Evaluation of Sandwich Composite Structures

A major obstacle to obtaining cost-effective experimental data on the fatigue life of sandwich panels is the prohibitive amount of time and cost required to carry out millions of cycles. On the other hand, vibration techniques applied to sandwich geometries fail to match the stress patterns that are obtained from standard flexural fatigue tests. To overcome such limitations, a vibration-based fatigue technique is proposed, which entails the use of sandwich specimens whose geometries are optimized to reproduce the stress distribution observed during three point bend loading while vibrating at the first resonant frequency. The proposed vibration technique was experimentally validated. The results, compared with the average number of cycles to failure at different stress ratios obtained via the Three-Point Bending test, showed high levels of accuracy. The proposed method is robust and time effective and indicates the possibility of attaining fatigue lifetime prediction of a wide class of composite elements, such as sandwich panels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Stochastic Framework for Optimal Control of Planetary Reentry Trajectories Under Multilevel Uncertainties

We present a novel stochastic optimal control framework that accounts for various types of uncertainties, with application to reentry trajectory planning. The formulation of the optimal trajectory control problem is presented in the context of an indirect method where a functional objective associated with the terminal vehicle speed is to be minimized. Uncertain input parameters in the optimal trajectory control model, including aerodynamic parameters and initial and terminal conditions, are modeled as aleatory random variables, while the statistical parameters of these aleatory distributions are themselves random variables. The parametric and model uncertainties are simultaneously propagated through an extended polynomial chaos expansion (EPCE) formalism. Several metrics are described to evaluate response statistics and presented as insightful tools for robust decision making. Specifically, the response probability density function (PDF) reflecting influence of both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is obtained. By sampling over the random variables representing model error, an ensemble of response PDFs is generated and the associated failure probability is estimated as a random variable with its own polynomial chaos expansion. Besides, the sensitivity index functions of response PDF with respect to the statistical parameters are evaluated. Coupling parametric and model uncertainties within the EPCE framework leads to a robust and efficient paradigm for multilevel uncertainty propagation and PDF characterization in general optimal control problems.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2023

Data efficiency and extrapolation trends in neural network interatomic potentials

Abstract Recently, key architectural advances have been proposed for neural network interatomic potentials (NNIPs), such as incorporating message-passing networks, equivariance, or many-body expansion terms. Although modern NNIP models exhibit small differences in test accuracy, this metric is still considered the main target when developing new NNIP architectures. In this work, we show how architectural and optimization choices influence the generalization of NNIPs, revealing trends in molecular dynamics (MD) stability, data efficiency, and loss landscapes. Using the 3BPA dataset, we uncover trends in NNIP errors and robustness to noise, showing these metrics are insufficient to predict MD stability in the high-accuracy regime. With a large-scale study on NequIP, MACE, and their optimizers, we show that our metric of loss entropy predicts out-of-distribution error and data efficiency despite being computed only on the training set. This work provides a deep learning justification for probing extrapolation and can inform the development of next-generation NNIPs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data-Driven Mean-Corrected Recursive Estimation-Based Optimal DER Dispatch for Distribution System Voltage Control

Recent advances in smart inverters offer opportunities to mitigate adverse grid impacts caused by high penetrations of distributed photovoltaics (PV) in distribution grids, such as voltage violations. Here, this paper proposes a novel measurement-driven optimal power flow (OPF)-based distributed energy resource management system (DERMS) voltage regulation via recursive sensitivity estimation informed coordinated control of distributed PV inverters. The proposed approach leverages available grid and controllable DER measurements, eliminating reliance on system model information while being adaptive and robust to volatile operating conditions. A mean-corrected recursive ridge regression (MCRRR) algorithm is proposed for sensitivity estimation, continuously refining the sensitivity model through a closed-form solution. It effectively manages varying grid operating conditions, such as changes in power injections and topology reconfiguration, to facilitate a time-varying update of the Load Sensitivity Factors (LSF). The proposed approach is formulated as a linear programming (LP) problem and is thus scalable to larger-scale distribution systems. Its effectiveness and efficiency are demonstrated on a realistic distribution feeder with high PV penetrations in Southern California, USA.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS1987

Evaluation of on-line pulse control for vibration suppression in flexible spacecraft

A numerical simulation was performed, by means of a large-scale finite element code capable of handling large deformations and/or nonlinear behavior, to investigate the suitability of the nonlinear pulse-control algorithm to suppress the vibrations induced in the Spacecraft Control Laboratory Experiment (SCOLE) components under realistic maneuvers. Among the topics investigated were the effects of various control parameters on the efficiency and robustness of the vibration control algorithm. Advanced nonlinear control techniques were applied to an idealized model of some of the SCOLE components to develop an efficient algorithm to determine the optimal locations of point actuators, considering the hardware on the SCOLE project as distributed in nature. The control was obtained from a quadratic optimization criterion, given in terms of the state variables of the distributed system. An experimental investigation was performed on a model flexible structure resembling the essential features of the SCOLE components, and electrodynamic and electrohydraulic actuators were used to investigate the applicability of the control algorithm with such devices in addition to mass-ejection pulse generators using compressed air.

Masri, Sami F.↗
DOE OSTI2021

AADL: Anderson Accelerated Deep Learning

We propose a stable, distributed approach to perform AA that accelerates the convergence rate of stochastic first-order optimizers to train neural networks. Differently from previous works, we do not alter neither the scheme to perform AA nor the loss function minimized during the training. To improve robustness against stagnation, we customize general guidelines that suggest to relax the frequency of AA corrections by performing AA only at the end of an entire training epoch. To improve robustness of AA against the stochastic oscillations of first-order optimizers, we average the gradients computed on consecutive stochastic optimization updates. The improved regularity of the converging sequence and the reduced amplitude of stochastic oscillations across consecutive optimization steps allows AA to efficiently extrapolate an improved converging sequence, thereby overcoming limitations of existing approaches to perform AA on stochastic optimization.

Lupo Pasini, Massimiliano [Oak Ridge National Lab.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Time-dependent grid adaptation for meshes of triangles and tetrahedra

This paper presents in viewgraph form a method of optimizing grid generation for unsteady CFD flow calculations that distributes the numerical error evenly throughout the mesh. Adaptive meshing is used to locally enrich in regions of relatively large errors and to locally coarsen in regions of relatively small errors. The enrichment/coarsening procedures are robust for isotropic cells; however, enrichment of high aspect ratio cells may fail near boundary surfaces with relatively large curvature. The enrichment indicator worked well for the cases shown, but in general requires user supervision for a more efficient solution.

Russ D Rausch↗
DOE OSTI2023

Recent Developments in Security-Constrained AC Optimal Power Flow: Overview of Challenge 1 in the ARPA-E Grid Optimization Competition

In “Recent Developments in Security-Constrained AC Optimal Power Flow: Overview of Challenge 1 in the ARPA-E Grid Optimization Competition,” we review the state of the art in practical algorithms for scheduling power-systems operations in the short term and the results of the recent competition organized by the U.S. Advanced Research Projects Agency–Energy. We explain the mixed-integer nonlinear formulation used in the competition for nonspecialists in electrical engineering, the context and organization of the competition, and the performance of competitors. We find that the collective approaches and results of competitors provide support for efforts to move nonlinear optimization techniques into industrial applications, as they have proven to be a robust and efficient alternative to current linear approximation techniques.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗