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Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios

Abstract. Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG)emissions for China are of great concern to the community. A set of globalscenarios regarding future socio-economic and climate developments, combiningshared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) with climate forcing outcomes asdescribed by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), was createdby the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Chinese researchers have also developed various emission scenarios by considering detailed local environmental and climate policies. However, a comprehensive scenario set connecting SSP–RCP scenarios with local policies and representing dynamic emission changes under local policies is still missing. In this work, to fill this gap, we developed a dynamic projection model, the Dynamic Projection model for Emissions in China (DPEC), to explore China'sfuture anthropogenic emission pathways. The DPEC is designed tointegrate the energy system model, emission inventory model, dynamicprojection model, and parameterized scheme of Chinese policies. The modelcontains two main modules, an energy-model-driven activity rate projectionmodule and a sector-based emission projection module. The activity rateprojection module provides the standardized and unified future energyscenarios after reorganizing and refining the outputs from the energy systemmodel. Here we use a new China-focused version of the Global ChangeAssessment Model (GCAM-China) to project future energy demand and supply inChina under different SSP–RCP scenarios at the provincial level. Theemission projection module links a bottom-up emission inventory model, theMulti-resolution Emission Inventory for China (MEIC), to GCAM-China andaccurately tracks the evolution of future combustion and production technologiesand control measures under different environmental policies. We developedtechnology-based turnover models for several key emitting sectors (e.g.coal-fired power plants, key industries, and on-road transportationsectors), which can simulate the dynamic changes in the unit/vehicle fleetturnover process by tracking the lifespan of each unit/vehicle on an annualbasis. With the integrated modelling framework, we connected five SSP scenarios(SSP1–5), five RCP scenarios (RCP8.5, 7.0, 6.0, 4.5, and 2.6), and threepollution control scenarios (business as usual, BAU; enhanced controlpolicy, ECP; and best health effect, BHE) to produce six combined emissionscenarios. With those scenarios, we presented a wide range of China's futureemissions to 2050 under different development and policy pathways. We foundthat, with a combination of strong low-carbon policy and air pollutioncontrol policy (i.e. SSP1-26-BHE scenario), emissions of major airpollutants (i.e. SO 2 , NO x , PM 2.5 , and non-methane volatile organic compounds – NMVOCs) in China willbe reduced by 34%–66% in 2030 and 58%–87% in 2050 compared to 2015. End-of-pipe control measures are more effective for reducing air pollutant emissions before 2030, while low-carbon policy will play a more important rolein continuous emission reduction until 2050. In contrast, China's emissionswill remain at a high level until 2050 under a reference scenario without activeactions (i.e. SSP3-70-BAU). Compared to similar scenarios set from theCMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6), our estimates ofemission ranges are much lower than the estimates from the harmonized CMIP6 emissions dataset in2020–2030, but their emission ranges become similar in the year 2050.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Calcined Polyethyleneimine Coated Optical Fibers for Distributed pH Monitoring at High Pressures and Temperatures

In the oil and gas, CO2 sequestration, H2 subsurface storage, and geothermal energy sectors, subsurface pH measurements are critical for monitoring the geochemical conditions and estimating potential corrosion rates of wellbore systems. Real-time pH measurements in these conditions are vital for detecting and predicting corrosion deterioration of wellbore components that may jeopardize the safety and continued operation of wellbore systems. Building off of earlier TiO2 based pH sensors and the known pH sensitivity of amine-based polymers, a coating based on the secondary amine polymer polyethyleneimine (PEI) was developed. The sensor coating was treated with a high temperature (500 °C) calcination procedure in air to convert it into a more stable oxidized coating capable of withstanding hot aqueous solutions without dissolving while retaining linear pH sensitivity from pH values between 2 and 11. The sensor performance was measured using optical transmission measurements in solutions of various pHs and using optical backscatter reflectometry for distributed pH sensing demonstration in wellbore-relevant pressures (up to 1000 psi) and temperatures (80 °C). A calibration curve with strong differentiation between acidic and alkaline pH was developed for both transmission-based and distributed pH measurements, using fixed wavelength transmission and integrated linear amplitude of backscattered light for distributed measurements.

Shumski, Alexander↗

Integrated Experimental and Modeling Study of Geochemical Reactions of Simple Fracturing Fluids with Caney Shale

Interactions between rock minerals and hydraulic fluids directly impact the geochemical and geomechanical properties of shale formations. However, the mechanisms of geochemical reactions in shale unconventional reservoirs remain poorly understood. Here, to investigate the geochemical reactions between shale and hydraulic fracturing fluids, a series of batch reactor experiments were undertaken. Three rock samples with different mineralogical compositions and three fluid samples of different compositions (deionized water, deionized water + 2% potassium chloride (KCl), and deionized water + 0.5% choline chloride (C 5 H 14 ClNO) were used. Experiments were undertaken at reservoir temperature and atmospheric pressure. Elemental compositions of effluents after 1, 3, 7, 14, 28 days were analyzed using Inductively Couple Plasma Mass Spectrometry (ICP-MS). Medical Computed Tomography (CT) scan and X-ray Fluorescence (XRF) were conducted on the entire core run to help upscale results obtained from rock-fluid interaction experiments. Geochemical modeling using a reactive simulator, TOUGHREACT, was undertaken to corroborate experimental results. Results show that lower pH triggered high dissolution rates in the rock samples, especially the carbonate components. As pH increased, the rate of dissolution declined significantly, though for most cases dissolution still continued. Observed dissolved silica concentrations were much higher than the quartz solubility, suggesting that much of the silica originates from more soluble silica polymorphs and possibly desorption from clay mineral exchange sites. Concentration of most elemental species in solution increased but aluminium and magnesium concentrations declined rapidly following initial entry into solution. Geochemical modeling corroborated the conclusions regarding mineral dissolution and precipitation observed from experiments, notably; the dissolution of calcite and oxidation of pyrite in reacted shale samples, the likely presence of silica polymorphs such as opal, chalcedony or amorphous silica in these samples, and the reduction of Al and Mg concentrations in solution by precipitation of secondary aluminosilicate phases. The de-flocculation of clay minerals during reaction implies fines migration after hydraulic fracturing. This is detrimental to reservoir productivity as clay fines are displaces and lodged within the micro and nano-fractures created during fracturing. The immediate consumption of aluminium and magnesium also has implications on blockage of hydrocarbon pathways due to precipitation of new minerals in these locations.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

In situ energetics modulation enables high-efficiency and stable inverted perovskite solar cells

In contrast to conventional (n-i-p) perovskite solar cells (PSCs), inverted (p-i-n) PSCs offer enhanced stability and integrability with tandem solar cell architectures, which have garnered increasing interest. However, p-i-n cells suffer from energy level misalignment with transport layers, imbalanced transport of photo-generated electrons and holes, and significant defects with the perovskite films. Here we introduce tris(2,4,6-trimethyl-3-(pyridin-3-yl)phenyl)borane (3TPYMB), a nonionic n-type molecule that, through hydrogen bonding and Lewis acid-base reactions with perovskite surfaces or grain boundaries, enables in situ modulation of perovskite energetics, effectively mitigating the key challenges of p-i-n PSCs. The p-i-n PSCs incorporating 3TPYMB achieve a certified quasi-steady-state power conversion efficiency of 24.55 +- 0.33%, with a reverse scan efficiency of 25.58%. Finally, they also exhibit exceptional stability, with unencapsulated devices retaining 97.8% of their initial efficiency after 1,800 h of continuous operation at maximum power point under N 2 atmosphere, 1 sun illumination and 60 °C conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Data Fusion to Enhance Quality Control and Analysis with Instruments at the Marine and Coastal Research Laboratory

Deploying environmental monitoring instruments in the marine environment can be challenging, facing challenges around device survivability, biofouling and corrosion, and consistent data collection. This project explores the use of data fusion – the process of integrating multiple data sources to produce more consistent, accurate, and useful information – to build a consistent long-term monitoring system at the Marine and Coastal Research Laboratory (MCRL) in Sequim, Washington. Unused instruments that had been acquired from past projects were inventoried and deployments planned on the MCRL pier and floating dock. A total of 8 instruments were deployed including a tide gauge, hydrophone, acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP), photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) sensors, meteorological station, and three water quality sensors. Deployments were planned to be well-protected around the pier structure and a maintenance schedule was created for cleaning and recalibration. An automated data pipeline was created to aggregate data on edge computers that push data to Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud storage every 15 minutes, performing automated quality control and data transformations using the Time Series Data Analytical Toolkit (TSDAT). Continued efforts are underway to maintain this system into the future, take a data-driven approach to maintenance scheduling, improve the reliability of the system, and share the data with a variety of end-users.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integration of Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage (SMES) Systems Optimized with Second-Generation, High-Temperature Superconducting (2G-HTS) Technology with a Major Fossil-Fueled Asset

Utility companies and fossil fueled generation assets are seeking combinations of “hybrid energy storage” to allow power to be provided in advance of, and to otherwise complement, peaking natural gas-fired generation. American Maglev Technology of Florida Inc. (AMT) learned during the Phase I program based on interactions with NRG Energy (NRG) that energy storage such as superconducting magnetic energy storage (SMES) can qualify as a Black Start unit in most markets, ensuring orderly re-start of grid operations and fossil fueled power plants and serving as an important asset of hybrid energy storage technology. In conjunction with the University of Houston (UH), AMT and NRG are working together to scale up low-cost, high- efficiency, second-generation high-temperature superconducting (2G-HTS) technology for deployment across several markets, with a primary focus on the commercial development of utility grid-scale SMES (g-SMES) systems. Ultimately the program confirmed that the novel g-SMES design can meet the performance and financial requirements of the fossil power plant industry, while exhibiting continuous grid-voltage regulation; cost-effective, peak-hour energy storage with almost infinite life; increased input/output efficiency; and the capability to undergo millions of charging cycles, without degradation, representing a significant improvement over lithium ion and other conventional storage technologies. We believe wide scale deployment of this technology is feasible and practical when compared to the higher life cycle cost and relatively short lifespan of chemical batteries. Based on these findings, the future for deployment of SMES at many fossil-fueled power plants exceeding 100MW capability is bright. Further de-risking g-SMES technology would pave the way for the construction of a subscale prototype. Eventually, scaled-down versions of SMES are expected to be competitive with the multi-billion-dollar lithium-ion market for a wide range of commercial, industrial, and transportation uses. There is long-term potential for commercialization and widespread deployment of this disruptive technology, which would spawn a new worldwide supply chain and create domestic, high-tech manufacturing jobs in the green industry.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Ecosystems and Networks Integrated with Genes and Molecular Assemblies (ENIGMA). Final report

The goal of the Stahl lab is to use a combination of isotopic, genomic, and activity-based analyses in the field, of selected field isolates, and defined synthetic communities to identify sources and sinks of different nitrogen species in the field, focusing on the FRC at the ORNL. The most general research objective is to characterize variants in the pathway for denitrification among field isolates and synthetic microbial assemblies as a foundation for predicting the biotic and abiotic controls of nitrogen and carbon transformations in the field. Specifically, we have focused on characterizing environmental controls of nitrous oxide emissions, an important greenhouse gas and ozone depleting molecule. Studies have mapped the flux of nitrous oxide and controlling genetic elements within the FRC subsurface, indicating the importance of different enzyme variants in nitrous oxide production and consumption in controlling surface emissions. We have developed methods to quantify and catalog the isotopic signatures imparted on nitrous oxide by different nitrous oxide reductase variants in isolated organisms and model synthetic communities. We have developed methods to quantify and catalog the nitrous oxide affinity of field relevant isolates and their biomass yield when respiring nitrous oxide on different carbon substrates. We continue to expand the collection of field-relevant microbial isolates within ENIGMA by focused enrichment and isolation from field material. These objectives have been facilitated by the development of new technologies, including: 1) the development of a multiplexed automated optical density measurement system for quantifying growth kinetics of microorganisms dependent on gaseous substrates in monoculture or gas exchange in synthetic communities and 2) the development of a microcalorimetric analysis format to quantify the impact of environmental stress on microbial maintenance energy. Since field relevant processes are mediated by assemblies of organisms interacting with each other and their local environment, we have also collaborated with other ENIGMA investigators on the assembly and characterization of synthetic communities. These studies have evaluated the role of organisms lacking a complete pathway for denitrification in the control of field processes, measuring process rates of assemblies of organisms that individually lack the full denitrification pathway but mediate the complete denitrification when growing together. These efforts have so far resulted in the publication of 18 peer reviewed papers ranging from ecological and physiological drivers of pathway optimization to field-scale process characterization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Efficient excitation and control of integrated photonic circuits with virtual critical coupling

Critical coupling in integrated photonic devices enables the efficient transfer of energy from a waveguide to a resonator, a key operation for many applications. This condition is achieved when the resonator loss rate is equal to the coupling rate to the bus waveguide. Carefully matching these quantities is challenging in practice, due to variations in the resonator properties resulting from fabrication and external conditions. Here, we demonstrate that efficient energy transfer to a non-critically coupled resonator can be achieved by tailoring the excitation signal in time. We rely on excitations oscillating at complex frequencies to load an otherwise overcoupled resonator, demonstrating that a virtual critical coupling condition is achieved if the imaginary part of the complex frequency equals the mismatch between loss and coupling rate. We probe a microring resonator with tailored pulses and observe a minimum intensity transmission T = 0.11 in contrast to a continuous-wave transmission T = 0.58, corresponding to 8 times enhancement of intracavity intensity. Our technique opens opportunities for enhancing and controlling on-demand light-matter interactions for linear and nonlinear photonic platforms.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-channel front-end ASIC for a 3D position-sensitive detector

Arrays of 3D position-sensitive detectors (3DPSD), operating at room temperature and using cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) and thallium bromide (TIBr) sensors, are suitable for gamma-ray spectrometry in many applications. One detector configuration, the 3D position-sensitive Virtual Frisch-Grid detector (VFG), is particularly advantageous for integrating into large area arrays. The signals generated inside each detector of the array are captured with the anode, cathode and four pads that enable the reconstruction of the position and energy of the ionizing interaction by measurements of amplitude and timing of the signals. For these applications, a low-noise front-end ASIC has been developed, capable of processing bipolar signals (needed because of AC-coupling of certain electrodes). The ASIC can be coupled to an ADC in order to form a compound “waveform digitizer” capable of post-processing the analog signals and determining amplitude and timing information. This paper describes a 32-channel front-end ASIC that is suitable for reading out a 3 × 3 or 4 × 4 element matrix in the VFG configuration. Each channel is composed of a low-noise charge amplifier with an adaptive continuous reset feedback circuit suitable for both positive and negative charge, a first order shaper and a single-to-differential converter output stage. Voltage and current references are all internally generated by 10-bit DACs and the chip is fully controllable with the I 2 C communication protocol. The readout channel response has been verified using the implemented injection circuit. Linear behavior up to ~75 ke ± with the gain of ~80 mV/fC, and up to ~200 ke ± with the gain of ~30 mV/fC was demonstrated. In conclusion, the first test result waveforms using a 137 Cs radioactive source on a 5 × 5 × 12 mm 3 TIBr crystal are reported.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Perovskite/Perovskite Tandem Photoelectrodes for Low-Cost Unassisted Photoelectrochemical Water Splitting

In this project, we aim to address the challenges of achieving efficient and cost-effective unassisted photoelectrochemical water splitting using perovskite/perovskite tandem photoelectrodes. We utilized the following unique approaches to advance our innovation. (1) We developed stable and efficient low-E g (1.2 – 1.4 eV) perovskites as the bottom electrodes. We demonstrated approaches to improve the photovoltaic performance and photothermal stability of low-E g Sn-Pb iodide perovskite solar cells. (2) We developed a low-temperature synthesis route to fabricate wide-E g (>1.8 eV) perovskite top electrodes. By combining theoretical and experimental investigation, we found methods to reduce the formation of defects and dislocations in the wide-E g mixed halide perovskites and suppress halide segregation. (3) We developed a robust metal oxide-based interconnecting layer to integrate two perovskite layers into tandem photoelectrodes. Our monolithically integrated tandem devices feature a high V OC of more than 2 V and a high J SC of more than 15 mA/cm 2 . We showed the new design of the tandem photoelectrodes that is critical to the stable operation of tandem photoelectrodes for unassisted PV/PEC water splitting. (4) We demonstrated a water-impermeable barrier of carbon paste/epoxy/metal foil composite, which can prevent photocorrosion and water ingress of perovskite active layers. This surface protection enabled the operation of perovskite photoelectrodes in water and significantly enhanced the long-term stability of our tandem devices. (5) We conducted standardized PEC characterization in collaboration with NREL and reported accurate determination of solar-to-hydrogen conversion efficiencies of perovskite/perovskite tandem photoelectrodes. At the end of the project, we demonstrated perovskite/perovskite tandem photoelectrodes with STH efficiencies of up to 18% and less than 20% efficiency loss after continuous operation for more than 500 hours in water. Our results demonstrate the potential to develop a low-cost, durable, and efficient water-splitting system that meets the DOE 2026 and 2031 cost targets for hydrogen production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

MOSCATO Development and Integration in Fiscal Year 2022

During FY21, we conducted ongoing development work for the MOSCATO (Molten Salt Chemistry and Transport) solver. The code development work primarily consisted of transitioning capabilities from the original version of the solver, which was written in OpenFOAM, into Nek5000. In doing so, a fast, highly parallelizable solver was created that is capable of complex chemistry and corrosion simulations for engineering-scale molten salt systems. The Nek5000 version of MOSCATO is now fully featured and capable of higher-fidelity simulations than were previously possible. Demonstration cases including a thermal convection loop have been simulated to test these new capabilities. We built upon the work for FY22 and improved the code from several different perspectives. First, we improved the user interface by adding a new component to the official Nek5000 input file (.par). This new part contains documents parameters like, salt properties (density, viscosity, Cp, thermal conductivity), diffusion coefficients, standard potential, etc. Second, we built a conversion script to extract salt properties from the MSTDB-TP salt database and write to MOSCATO input file. Third, we migrated the code to NekRS, which is the GPU branch of Nek5000 and suitable for next generation supercomputers. Verification and Validation (V&V) work was also continued in FY22. Two tasks were performed. The first V&V task involved the validation of the Poisson-Nernst-Planck equation solver and Butler-Volmer electrode kinetics, by comparing with numerical and experimental data about thermoelectric cells. The second task involved the comparisons to corrosion results from a thermal convection loop run during the MSRE era. Satisfactory agreement was obtained from both tasks.

Yuan, Haomin↗

A machine learning approach for clinker quality prediction and nonlinear model predictive control design for a rotary cement kiln

Abstract Cement manufacturing is energy‐intensive (5Gj/t) and comprises a significant portion of the energy footprint of concrete systems. Incorporating modern monitoring, simulation and control systems will allow lower energy use, lower environmental impact, and lower costs of this widely used construction material. One of the goals of the CESMII roadmap project on the Smart Manufacturing of Cement included developing an analytical process model for clinker quality that includes the chemistry of the kiln feed and accounts for critical process variables. This predictive model will be used in nonlinear model predictive control system designed to significantly reduce process energy use while maintaining or improving product quality. In the cement manufacturing plant used in this study, the kiln feed (meal) is tested every 12 h and used to estimate the mineral composition of the cement kiln output (clinker) using the stoichiometry‐based Bogue's model and the expertise of the plant operators. During kiln operation, kiln output (clinker) is sampled and tested every 2 h to measure its chemical and mineral composition. The predicted and measured values of the clinker composition are used by the plant operators to adjust the kiln input stream and the production process characteristics to maintain stable operation and uniform product quality. However, the time delay between prediction and testing, along with inaccuracies inherent in the Bogue's model have made any process changes designed to minimize energy use problematic, especially in‐light of potential clinker quality issues that process changes often pose. A new analytical model that integrates quality information and process operation information has been developed from data collected from 2 years of production from an operating cement facility. To make the model fuel‐type‐independent, consumed heat energy was computed in the model instead of fuel type and amount. A Feedforward Network was trained and tailored from collected data. Many data‐based simulations were conducted to quantitatively evaluate the proposed model and the 5‐fold cross‐validation procedure was used to test the models. The resulting predictive model was shown to have a low root mean square error (MSE) with respect to the estimated clinker mineral composition compared to that using the industry standard “Bogue’ model”. The end goal of this work was to develop a single machine learning tool that allows the use of quality control data and process control variables to improve energy efficiency of the process in a continuous fashion. The proposed nonlinear model predictive control system (NMPC) can generate predicted kiln production characteristics based on manipulated variables in manner that accurately follows the target product quality values. Simulation results also show that the proposed model produced accurate predictions of kiln outputs that fell within the required constraints, while manipulating control variables within typical operational ranges.

Ali, Asem M.↗

Multilayer Architecture Barriers for High Temperature Nuclear Applications

Innovative thin film multilayer metal/ceramic barrier coatings have been developed by Argonne National Laboratory to protect fuel cladding against different phenomena that can be encountered under the harsh operating conditions of advanced nuclear reactors. One phenomenon is Fuel-Cladding Chemical Interaction (FCCI), which can represent a challenge to the performance of steel-clad metallic fuels in sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), especially when operating to high burnups at elevated cladding temperatures, and long fuel residence time. Another phenomenon is the corrosion of zirconium-based cladding under prototypic boiling water reactor (BWR) conditions and associated cladding during off normal conditions, including loss of coolant accidents (LOCA). This work provides details of the development and testing of a thin film (few microns) multilayer metal/ceramic (CrY/Y 2 O 3 ) coatings on steel cladding and its performance against FCCI. The coating architecture evolved through systematic mechanical testing, radiation tolerance assessments, and high-temperature diffusion studies from a preliminary multilayer concept to an optimized high-performance design. The optimized structure leverages stoichiometric Y 2 O 3 for its exceptional radiation stability, chemical inertness, and ultra-low fission product diffusivity (e.g., Ce diffusivity ~10 -20 m 2 /s in irradiated Y 2 O 3 at 650 °C). This is paired with ductile chromium-rich interlayers (Cr 95 Y 5 ), which significantly enhance fracture toughness and mechanical resilience. Design refinements, including increased ceramic layer thickness and optimized Cr–Y interlayer composition, eliminated fracture propagation and preserved coating integrity under extreme mechanical stress (>10× typical reactor conditions) and prolonged radiation exposure (~300 dpa). Those conditions are well beyond expected conditions during normal operations in SFR, and cover some of the transient conditions as well. In addition, the coating deposition was demonstrated to be applied uniformly to the inner surface of steel tubes representing prototypic SFR cladding. Another phenomenon under consideration in this work is the corrosion of zirconium-based cladding under prototypic boiling water reactor (BWR) conditions and associated off normal conditions including loss of coolant accident (LOCA). Another multilayer thin film coating is considered for mitigation of this phenomenon, where a coating of yttrium aluminum and yttrium aluminum ceramic/metal thin film coating. Preliminary results on the coating performance during high temperature thermal cycling (up to 1000 C) have shown promising performance of the coating. On-going optimization of the coating will continue in FY26.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comprehensive Assessment of On-And Off-Board Vehicle-To-Grid Technology Performance and Impacts on Battery and the Grid

This project defined, developed, and tested the open standards-based requirements, engineering design and system integration of on and off-vehicle Vehicle-to-Grid technologies both on the grid and on the PEV, to assess their effectiveness in implementing the use cases that create value for the grid, which in turn, can be passed on to the ratepayers and the PEV owners. The project comprised of three key categories of work and four key sub-areas of work. The three key categories were: On-Vehicle V2G, Off-Vehicle V2G, and impact of V2G operation on the battery capacity degradation. The four key sub-areas of work under each of these categories were: defining requirements, implementing the technology, performing system integration testing, and estimating the value of each of the grid services under specific assumptions, on a per-vehicle and on an aggregated basis. The technical implementation demonstrated the validity of standards-based approach to grid integration that led to interoperability, in addition to assessing the operational details with grid constraints imposed at the transformer level. The technology implementation also identified the subtle gaps in the standards definition to close the feedback loop on the accuracy of the standards as written, which are being implemented as revisions to the appropriate protocols. The battery impacts assessment developed a test cycle that the batteries from a real PHEV were subjected to for both the mobility-only and mobility with V2G specific energy cycling. While the battery impact results show a clear incremental degradation in response to additional throughput for V2G application purposes, the amount of additional kWh that can be made available without exceeding the end-of-life capacity definition of the battery at its 10-year warranty period was found to be significant. Given that the PEV battery being exercised during testing was a PHEV battery (smaller energy capacity), and 44% of its usable energy (i.e., SOC) was utilized daily for V2G applications, the EVs with much larger batteries will fare much better, either in terms of extracting more value in terms of incremental kWh for V2G, or in terms of relative incremental degradation of the capacity through the battery lifespan. Further, this battery was the second-generation Lithium-Ion chemistry circa 2015, which is at least two generations ago. Continual improvements in electrochemistry and manufacturing techniques as well as on-board capacity will enable the future batteries to provide even more energy for non-mobility-related services. Finally, the valuation of V2G energy services at the premise, distribution, and the ISO/market level was carried out for both the on-vehicle and off-vehicle cases, to understand both the GHG mitigation and operational efficiency improvements in quantitative terms. The analysis indicates that between $\$400$ and $\$1400$ per year of total value to the grid can be realized. When netted of costs to implement V2G either on or off-vehicle, the net value is available to be shared between the ratepayers and the EV owners. Over the life of the EV, therefore, this value becomes significant and can easily provide both ratepayer and EV owner benefits more than the cost of the equipment, either on or off-board, in addition to providing GHG mitigation benefits both on the grid and on the mobility sides. For these benefits to accrue, the key learnings from both the on- and off-vehicle V2G parts of the project indicate the need for at-scale demonstrations through involvement of real EV owners to validate both the technical feasibility, interoperability, as well as real grid benefits by performing extensive data collection and analysis. This will help inform the grid planners, the program designs, and tariff designers, as well as automotive and equipment manufacturers how best to create their products to maximize grid, ratepayer, and EV owner value.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

High-$Q_0$ treatment of CEBAF 1.5 GHz SRF cavities

The Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) was the first large-scale accelerator to employ superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities for continuous-wave operation. Ongoing research and development efforts continue to focus on increasing the intrinsic quality factor (Q 0 ) of these cavities in order to reduce cryogenic losses while maintaining operational gradients. Here, in this work, we report on the application of high-Q 0 surface treatments to single-cell and multicell C100 and C75 style 1.5 GHz niobium cavities used in the CEBAF accelerator. Nitrogen infusion and oxygen alloying via medium-temperature baking were applied under heat-treatment constraints relevant to existing cavity hardware. Both processes yielded substantial improvements in Q 0 at moderate accelerating gradients, achieving values of approximately 2 × 10 10 at 2.07 K and 20 MV/m. The effectiveness of nitrogen infusion at reduced annealing temperatures and the successful extension of oxygen alloying to multicell cavities are demonstrated. These results establish viable pathways for implementing high-Q 0 treatments in CEBAF-compatible cavities and support future integration into cryomodules for reduced operational cryogenic load.

Dhakal, Pashupati [Thomas Jefferson National Accel↗

Survey of Cybersecurity Governance, Threats, and Countermeasures for the Power Grid

The convergence of Information Technologies and Operational Technology systems in industrial networks presents many challenges related to availability, integrity, and confidentiality. In this paper, we evaluate the various cybersecurity risks in industrial control systems and how they may affect these areas of concern, with a particular focus on energy-sector Operational Technology systems. There are multiple threats and countermeasures that Operational Technology and Information Technology systems share. Since Information Technology cybersecurity is a relatively mature field, this paper emphasizes on threats with particular applicability to Operational Technology and their respective countermeasures. We identify regulations, standards, frameworks and typical system architectures associated with this domain. We review relevant challenges, threats, and countermeasures, as well as critical differences in priorities between Information and Operational Technology cybersecurity efforts and implications. These results are then examined against the recommended National Institute of Standards and Technology framework for gap analysis to provide a complete approach to energy sector cybersecurity. We provide analysis of countermeasure implementation to align with the continuous functions recommended for a sound cybersecurity framework.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

High-performance LiNi 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 cathode by nanoscale lithium sulfide coating via atomic layer deposition

The commercialization of nickel-rich LiNi 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 (NMC811) has been hindered by its continuous loss of practical capacity and reduction in average working voltage. To address these issues, surface modification has been well-recognized as an effective strategy. Different from the coatings reported in literature to date, in this work, we for the first time report a sulfide coating, amorphous Li 2 S via atomic layer deposition (ALD). Here, our study revealed that the conformal nano-Li 2 S coating shows exceptional protection over the NMC811 cathodes, accounting for the dramatically boosted capacity retention from ~11.6% to ~71% and the evidently mitigated voltage reduction from 0.39 to 0.18 V after 500 charge–discharge cycles. In addition, the Li 2 S coating remarkably improved the rate capability of the NMC811 cathode. Our investigation further revealed that all these beneficial effects of the ALD-deposited nano-Li 2 S coating lie in the following aspects: (i) maintain the mechanical integrity of the NMC811 electrode; (ii) stabilize the NMC electrode/electrolyte interface; and (iii) suppress the irreversible phase transition of NMC structure. Particularly, this study also has revealed that the nano-Li 2 S coating has played some unique role not associated with traditional non-sulfide coatings such as oxides. In this regard, we disclosed that the Li 2 S layer has reacted with the released O 2 from the NMC lattices, and thereby has dramatically mitigated electrolyte oxidation and electrode corrosion. Thus, this study is significant and has demonstrated that sulfides may be an important class of coating materials to tackle the issues of NMCs and other layered cathodes in lithium batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermal Gradient Effects on Redox Evolution and Volatility-Driven Fractionation in Ternary U/Ce/Cs Condensates

Understanding how thermal history influences redox evolution and chemical fractionation is essential for characterizing high-temperature condensation in complex materials, including nuclear debris. Here, we tested the hypothesis that distinct thermal regimes in a plasma flow reactor influence redox pathways and elemental partitioning in ternary U/Ce/Cs systems. A configurable plasma flow reactor was modified with an external tube furnace to impose two distinct thermal gradients: continuous ambient cooling and a furnace-assisted thermal hold-up near 1400 K followed by rapid cooling. Transmission electron microscopy characterized phase identity, morphology, and nanoscale element distributions, while inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry quantified bulk elemental ratios. Across both thermal regimes, uranium and cerium condensed as UO 2 and CeO 2 as dominant refractory oxide products. Uranium partially oxidized to α-UO 3 during extended ambient cooling, while furnace-assisted hold-up preserved UO 2 and produced partial reduction of cerium to Ce 2 O 3 . Cesium remained volatile upstream and condensed later in the reactor, forming Cs 2 O and Cs-uranate phases with the highest incorporation after thermal hold-up. Bulk ICP-MS measurements supported these observations. U/Ce ratios remained comparatively stable and Cs displayed delayed and apparent transient enrichment that matched the nanoscale measurements. This integrated approach provides a quantitative method for linking thermal gradients to redox evolution and volatility-driven fractionation. These results show how the plasma flow reactor can identify where equilibrium descriptions remain adequate and where kinetic effects from residence time and temperature history must be considered when interpreting condensation behavior in multicomponent systems.

and nuclear chemistry↗