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2010-2012 California Household Travel Survey

The 2010-2012 California Household Travel Survey (CHTS) was administered by the California Department of Transportation, which collected demographic and travel behavior characteristics for residents across the entire state. At the time, it was the largest such regional or statewide survey ever conducted in the United States. Detailed travel behavior information was obtained from more than 42,500 households via multiple data-collection methods, including computer-assisted telephone interviewing, online and mail surveys, wearable (7,574 participants) and in-vehicle (2,910 vehicles) global positioning system devices, and on-board diagnostic sensors that gathered data directly from a vehicle's engine. Details of personal travel behavior were gathered within the region of residence, inter-regionally within the state, and in adjoining states and Mexico. The survey sampling plan was designed to ensure an accurate representation of the entire population of the state. The CHTS included additional features, such as vehicle-acquisition decisions, parking choices, work schedules and flexibility, use of toll lanes/priced facilities, and walk and bicycle trips, to support advanced model development.

1Hz data↗

Experimentally Validated Computational Modeling of Creep and Creep-Cracking for Nuclear Concrete Structures

In a Nuclear Power Plant, one of the most important components is the concrete nuclear reactor cavity, which serves both a structural and protective function as the biological radiation shield. Given that creep has been identified as a major knowledge gap in the assessment of nuclear structures (NUREG/CR-7153), this work helps to further the understanding of creep behavior of massive concrete containment structures for decades to enable safe and long-term operation of these facilities. This project has developed a robust, experimentally validated model to predict creep in nuclear concrete structures for up 60 years using short-term creep data thereby enabling a longer service life of critical facilities and early detection of structural failure. The work presented in this report is a pairing of computational and experimental methods. For the first time, the time temperature superposition (TTS) principle was successfully used to generate a uniaxial creep compliance master curve to predict mortar creep response for up to 22,500 days (nearly 60 years) at a reference temperature of 20°C. These data were used as input into finite element analysis (FEA) codes that use highly realistic random, 3D concrete microstructures from reconstructed coarse limestone aggregates. Finite element analysis performed provides the ability to quickly upscale mortar viscoelastic behavior to long-term concrete creep/relaxation data. A master creep compliance curve, constructed from the TTS principle, spanning 27 years, was used to validate two and a half decades of simulated concrete creep. Concurrently, three different simulated wall specimens were designed to mimic the behavior of post-tensioned concrete nuclear containment facility vessel walls over time as a result of concrete creep. The specimens were designed with different thicknesses, transverse and longitudinal reinforcement ratios, and level of post-tensioning stress. Each specimen contained various instrumentation to measure internal concrete temperature, concrete strain, and post-tensioning strain hourly for over 3 years. The concrete creep model developed in this project, based on the FEA concrete simulations, was applied to simulate the structural-scale experiments of prestressed concrete walls conducted in this project using the Grizzly code. These models can represent the effects of reinforcing and prestressing. Although there are some discrepancies with the experimental data, the model can predict the overall trends of the creep response in these experiments. One of these experimental models was also applied to an extended time to demonstrate how the findings from this study can be used to predict the behavior of actual structures of interest that have been in service for extended periods of time.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Combining artificial intelligence, Earth observations, and climate models to improve predictability of ice-biogeochemistry interactions

Focal Area: Predictive Modeling. We describe how artificial intelligence (AI) can be combined with state-of-the-science Earth system models to better predict future regional climate responses. To demonstrate, we describe a case study in biogeochemical interactions with sea ice. Science Challenge: Biogeochemical models are poorly constrained for high latitude systems. Machine learning methods and edge computing can be combined with Earth system models, such as the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), to gain insight into ice-biogeochemical interactions and improve sea ice extent prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Roadmap for thermal property measurements of Molten Salt Reactor systems

Thermal properties of molten salts, both with and without fissile and fertile material, are fundamental to modeling and simulation that supports design, construction, operation, and accident progression evaluation of molten salt reactors. This roadmap provides guidance to the research community on the types and amounts of required data for base, or carrier, salt systems, recommends simulated burnup fuel salt compositions to evaluate, and provides a technical foundation for a focused salt property evaluation matrix. The property values generated from both computation and experimental methods are used to develop models that constitute the Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database (MSTDB). While the building blocks of MSTDB are fundamental in nature, its data facilitates constructing engineering models that allow stakeholders to investigate the behavior of specific compositions of interest and supports broader modeling and simulation of MSRs through coupling to multi-physics, multi-scale mass accountancy tools.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Approximating and incorporating model uncertainty in an inversion for seismic source functions: Preliminary results

We present preliminary work on propagating model uncertainty into the estimation of the time domain source time functions of the seismic source. Our method is based on an estimated model covariance function, which we estimate from the data. The model covariance function is then used to construct a suite of surrogate Greens functions which we use in a Monte Carlo type inversion scheme. The result is a probability density function of the six independent source time functions, each of which corresponds to an individual component of the seismic moment tensor. We compare the results of our method with those obtained using a computationally expensive finite difference Monte Carlo method and find that our new method produces results that are deficient in low frequencies. The advantage of our new method, which we term the Karhunen-Loeve Monte Carlo (KLMC) method, is that is several orders of magnitude faster than our current method, which uses a finite difference scheme to produce the suite of forward models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Benchmark Specification for FFTF LOFWOS Test #13

The Fast Flux Test Facility (FFTF) at the Hanford site in Washington was designed by the Westinghouse Electric Corporation for the U.S. Department of Energy. FFTF was a 400 MW thermal, oxide-fueled, liquid sodium cooled test reactor, built to assist development and testing of advanced fuels and materials for fast breeder reactors. After reaching criticality in 1980, FFTF operated until 1992, providing the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) with the means to test fuels, materials, and other components in a fast neutron flux environment. In July 1986, a series of unprotected transients (with the plant protection system intentionally disabled) were performed in FFTF as part of the passive safety demonstration program. Among these were thirteen loss of flow without scram (LOFWOS) tests. The goals of this program included confirming the liquid metal reactor safety margins, providing data for computer code validation, and demonstrating the inherent and passive safety benefits of specific design features. The test defined in this benchmark is LOFWOS Test #13, which was initiated at 50% power and 100% flow with the pump pony motors turned off. This benchmark specification is intended to support collaborative efforts within international partnerships on the validation of simulation tools and models in the area of Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) safety. Validated tools and models are needed to evaluate SFR inherent safety characteristics and assess the impact of passive design features in response to accident initiators. Comparisons with experimental data and the results of safety analyses from other groups create unique opportunities to improve predictive capabilities of computational codes and methods for SFR modeling and simulation. The conditions of the LOFWOS test along with the feedback from FFTF’s limited free bow core restraint system and the novel passive reactivity control Gas-Expansion Modules (GEMs) pose a very challenging and uniquely valuable benchmark exercise.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Composing preconditioners for multiphysics PDE systems with applications to Generalized MHD

New patch smoothers or relaxation techniques are developed for solving linear matrix equations coming from systems of discretized partial differential equations (PDEs). One key linear solver challenge for many PDE systems arises when the resulting discretization matrix has a near null space that has a large dimension, which can occur in generalized magnetohydrodynamic (GMHD) systems. Patch-based relaxation is highly effective for problems when the null space can be spanned by a basis of locally supported vectors. The patch-based relaxation methods that we develop can be used either within an algebraic multigrid (AMG) hierarchy or as stand-alone preconditioners. These patch-based relaxation techniques are a form of well-known overlapping Schwarz methods where the computational domain is covered with a series of overlapping sub-domains (or patches). Patch relaxation then corresponds to solving a set of independent linear systems associated with each patch. In the context of GMHD, we also reformulate the underlying discrete representation used to generate a suitable set of matrix equations. In general, deriving a discretization that accurately approximates the curl operator and the Hall term while also producing linear systems with physically meaningful near null space properties can be challenging. Unfortunately, many natural discretization choices lead to a near null space that includes non-physical oscillatory modes and where it is not possible to span the near null space with a minimal set of locally supported basis vectors. Further discretization research is needed to understand the resulting trade-offs between accuracy, stability, and ease in solving the associated linear systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Grid Event Signature Library Analytics Report: Signature Matching Tool Development Efforts

This report describes the purpose and features of the Signature Matching Tool (SMT), employed in the Department of Energy (DOE) Grid Event Signature Library (GESL). The SMT supports a user of GESL to identify snippets of electric signatures, usually from sensor devices measuring electric characteristics such as phase voltages and currents, frequency, etc., suspected to represent certain events in the power grid but are not known to the user. The SMT uses a classification method to identify an event of the unknown signature, using the repository of known and labeled signatures in the GESL. The classifier applies a local binary classifier per node (LCN) approach to the unique event tag taxonomy used in the GESL, where training phases are separated based on the Primary labels in the taxonomy, sensor type, and voltage level. Results show that this method helps with computing time during training, in comparison to a flat, multinomial classifier, and produces acceptable average accuracy of 83% across all Primary labels. The report concludes with planned future work including integration to the web interface and API.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Super Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data With Wind From Reanalysis Data (Sup3rWind) and Application to Ukraine [Slides]

In this work we present a novel deep learning-based downscaling method, using generative adversarial networks (GANs), for generating high-resolution wind resource data from ECMWF Reanalysis v5 data (ERA5). We show that by training a GAN model on ERA5, as opposed to coarsened high-resolution data, we achieve results that are competitive with conventional dynamical downscaling. This GAN-based downscaling method additionally reduces computational costs over dynamical downscaling by two orders of magnitude. All GANs are trained on data sampled from CONUS, selected to provide a diverse sampling of terrain conditions, and validated on observational data along with data held out from training. This cross-validation shows low error and high correlations with observations and excellent agreement with hold out data across physical distributions. Our approach is finally used to downscale 30km hourly ERA5 to 2-km 5-minute wind data, for January 2000 through December 2023, at multiple hub heights, over Ukraine, Moldova, and part of Romania. Comparisons against observational data from Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) and multiple wind farms show the same level of performance as for CONUS validation. This 24 year data record is the first member of the "super resolution for renewable energy resource data with wind from reanalysis data" dataset (Sup3rWind).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

In Vitro Evolution and Computational Approaches to Predict, Prevent and Control Future Pandemics

The natural tendency of virus to mutate and the under-sampling of the environment makes it difficult to become aware of the emergence of new viral strains with pandemic potential. Being able to predict what mutations make a virus more infective might allow to spot such strains with minimal sampling and potentially allow to predict/prevent the next pandemic. The team attempted to mimic natural viral mutations and recombination through computational and experimental methods producing a variety of mutants of a SARS-COV-2 protein (receptor binding domain, RBD, of spike protein) responsible for viral entry in mammalian cells. The library of mutants was then interrogated for ability and lack-there-of to interact with the host cell receptor ushering viral entry, Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). The negative and positive data set is intended to “teach the rules” of virus-host receptor interaction. Additionally, the positive clones were used to screen a set of antibody mutants designed to widen the breadth of viral mutants recognition, to demonstrate that this kind of libraries could also be a tool to produce antibody therapeutics impervious to viral mutation, even before a pandemic strain is discovered.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A review of the shear rheology of carbon black suspensions

The microstructural link to the rheology of carbon black suspensions has recently become clear as a result of advances in computational and experimental methods. This understanding reveals the important role of the restructuring, build-up, and break-up of carbon black agglomerates in simple shear, rationalized by a dimensionless balance of the hydrodynamic forces acting to break the agglomerates apart against the cohesive forces holding them together (i.e., the Mason number). The Mason number not only can predict the origin of reversible thixotropy seen in carbon black suspensions observed at higher shear intensities, but can also be used to rationalize the evolution of microstructure at lower shear intensities. This review focuses on carbon black suspension behavior, but the insights derived from carbon black suspensions are broadly applicable to a diverse class of soft matter including colloidal gels relevant to a variety of applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Infrared-Fused Vision-Based Thermoregulation Performance Estimation for Personal Thermal Comfort-Driven HVAC System Controls

Thermal comfort is one of the primary factors influencing occupant health, well-being, and productivity in buildings. Existing thermal comfort systems require occupants to frequently communicate their comfort vote via a survey which is impractical as a long-term solution. Here, we present a novel thermal infrared-fused computer vision sensing method to capture thermoregulation performance in a non-intrusive and non-invasive manner. In this method, we align thermal and visible images, detect facial segments (i.e., nose, eyes, face boundary), and accordingly read the temperatures from the appropriate coordinates in the thermal image. We focus on the human face since it is often clearly visible to cameras and is not merged into a hot background (unlike hands). We use a regularized Gaussian Mixture model to track the thermoregulation changes over time and apply a heuristic algorithm to extract hot and cold indices. We present a personalized and a generalized comfort modeling method, selected based on the availability of the occupant historical indices measurements in a neutral environment, and use the time-series of the hot and cold indices to define corrections to HVAC system operations in the form of setpoint constraints. To evaluate the efficacy of our proposed approach in responding to thermal stimuli, we designed a series of controlled experiments to simulate exposure to cold and hot environments. While applying personalized modeling showed an acceptable average accuracy of 91.3%, the generalized model’s average accuracy was only 65.2%. This shows the importance of having access to physiological records in modeling and assessing comfort. We also found that individual differences should be considered in selecting the cooling and heating rates when some knowledge of the occupant’s overall thermal preference is available.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Detecting gas leaks using unmanned aerial vehicles

Methods, systems and computer program products for detecting gas leaks using a drone are provided. Aspects include capturing a first set of data regarding a presence of a gas in the geographic area while flying along the initial flight path. Aspects also include creating secondary flight paths through regions in the geographic area in which the presence of the gas exceeds a threshold amount and capturing a second set of data regarding a concentration of the gas in the one or more regions while flying along the secondary flight paths. Aspects further include capturing wind data while flying along the initial and second flight paths and creating a three-dimensional gas plume model for gas leaks identified in the geographic area based on the first set of data, the second set of data and the wind data, wherein the three-dimensional gas plume model identifies a source of the gas leaks.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogenities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Optimizing branch re-wiring in a software instruction cache

A method includes a computer device receiving a branch instruction; the computer device managing two tables, where a first table relates to application blocks and a second table relates to available address slots; and the computer device calculating a target of the branch instruction using a branch-to-link register, the computer device optimizes re-wiring in a cache using the calculation and the managed two tables.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗