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At least 1,513 records · Page 84

Machine learning based algorithms for uncertainty quantification in numerical weather prediction models

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the corresponding physical parameters during model configuration can significantly impact the accuracy of model forecasts. There is no combination of physical schemes that works best for all times, at all locations, and under all conditions. It is therefore of considerable interest to understand the interplay between the choice of physics and the accuracy of the resulting forecasts under different conditions. This paper demonstrates the use of machine learning techniques to study the uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models due to the interaction of multiple physical processes. The first problem addressed herein is the estimation of systematic model errors in output quantities of interest at future times, and the use of this information to improve the model forecasts. The second problem considered is the identification of those specific physical processes that contribute most to the forecast uncertainty in the quantity of interest under specified meteorological conditions. In order to address these questions we employ two machine learning approaches, random forests and artificial neural networks. The discrepancies between model results and observations at past times are used to learn the relationships between the choice of physical processes and the resulting forecast errors. Numerical experiments are carried out with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The output quantity of interest is the model precipitation, a variable that is both extremely important and very challenging to forecast. The physical processes under consideration include various micro-physics schemes, cumulus parameterizations, short wave, and long wave radiation schemes. The experiments demonstrate the strong potential of machine learning approaches to aid the study of model errors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Development of a Perfectly Matched Layer Technique for a Discontinuous-Galerkin Spectral-Element Method

The numerical simulation of many aerodynamic non-periodic flows of practical interest involves discretized computational domains that often must be artificially truncated. Appropriate boundary conditions are required at these truncated domain boundaries, and ideally, these boundary conditions should be perfectly "absorbing" or "nonreflecting" so that they do not contaminate the flow field in the interior of the domain. The proper specification of these boundaries is critical to the stability, accuracy, convergence, and quality of the numerical solution, and has been the topic of considerable research. The need for accurate boundary specification has been underscored in recent years with efforts to apply higher-fidelity methods (DNS, LES) in conjunction with high-order low-dissipation numerical schemes to realistic flow configurations. One of the most popular choices for specifying these boundaries is the characteristics-based boundary condition where the linearized flow field at the boundaries are decomposed into characteristic waves using either one-dimensional Riemann or other multi-dimensional Riemann approximations. The values of incoming characteristics are then suitably modified. The incoming characteristics are specified at the in flow boundaries, and at the out flow boundaries the variation of the incoming characteristic is zeroed out to ensure no reflection. This, however, makes the problem ill-posed requiring the use of an ad-hoc parameter to allow small reflections that make the solution stable. Generally speaking, such boundary conditions work reasonably well when the characteristic flow direction is normal to the boundary, but reflects spurious energy otherwise. An alternative to the characteristic-based boundary condition is to add additional "buffer" regions to the main computational domain near the artificial boundaries, and solve a different set of equations in the buffer region in order to minimize acoustic reflections. One approach that has been used involves modeling the pressure fluctuations as acoustic waves propagating in the far-field relative to a single noise-source inside the buffer region. This approach treats vorticity-induced pressure fluctuations the same as acoustic waves. Another popular approach, often referred to as the "sponge layer," attempts to dampen the flow perturbations by introducing artificial dissipation in the buffer region. Although the artificial dissipation removes all perturbations inside the sponge layer, incoming waves are still reflected from the interface boundary between the computational domain and the sponge layer. The effect of these refkections can be somewhat mitigated by appropriately selecting the artificial dissipation strength and the extent of the sponge layer. One of the most promising variants on the buffer region approach is the Perfectly Matched Layer (PML) technique. The PML technique mitigates spurious reflections from boundaries and interfaces by dampening the perturbation modes inside the buffer region such that their eigenfunctions remain unchanged. The technique was first developed by Berenger for application to problems involving electromagnetic wave propagation. It was later extended to the linearized Euler, Euler and Navier-Stokes equations by Hu and his coauthors. The PML technique ensures the no-reflection property for all waves, irrespective of incidence angle, wavelength, and propagation direction. Although the technique requires the solution of a set of auxiliary equations, the computational overhead is easily justified since it allows smaller domain sizes and can provide better accuracy, stability, and convergence of the numerical solution. In this paper, the PML technique is developed in the context of a high-order spectral-element Discontinuous Galerkin (DG) method. The technique is compared to other approaches to treating the in flow and out flow boundary, such as those based on using characteristic boundary conditions and sponge layers. The superiority of the current PML technique over other approaches is demonstrated for a range of test cases, viz., acoustic pulse propagation, convective vortex, shear layer flow, and low-pressure turbine cascade flow. The paper is structured as follows. We first derive the PML equations from the non{linear Euler equations. A short description of the higher-order DG method used is then described. Preliminary results for the four test cases considered are then presented and discussed. Details regarding current work that will be included in the final paper are also provided.

Spectral↗

Accurate surface estimation from high-resolution 3D microwave images

Active millimeter and microwave imaging techniques can be used to create a high-resolution 3D image volume of a target’s reflectivity. Millimeter-wave imaging is commonly used for personnel security screening and numerous other applications. Backprojection based image reconstruction techniques form a 3D complex-valued volume. The complex-valued volume is commonly reduced to a real-valued volume by taking the magnitude. For anomaly detection and cross image registration of an object it is beneficial to generate an accurate representation of an object’s surface. Extracting a smooth and accurate surface from a magnitude only image is challenging. One difficulty is the magnitude image has limited resolution in the depth direction which normally limits precision to a moderate fraction of the depth resolution. Another difficulty is that the magnitude of the image depends heavily on the geometry and orientation of the object being imaged. The phase information in a complex-valued image volume provides a means to decouple the magnitude of the image from the geometry of an object and provide precision much finer than the depth resolution would indicate. This enables the generation of a smooth and accurate point cloud representation of the surface of an imaged object. A method to extract a point cloud from the phase information in a 3D complex-valued millimeter-wave image volume is developed and results with simulated and experimental data are presented.

Clark, Richard T.↗

Visualization of fluid dynamics at NASA Ames

Some of the hardware and software tools and techniques in use at NASA's numerical aerodynamic simulation facility for the analysis of computational fluid dynamics are described. The visualization process can be illustrated by video tapes and stereo pictures. Although these visualization tools have dramatically improved the ability to conduct research in fluid dynamics, a comparison of the current environment for analysis with an 'ideal' environment illustrates that there are still major improvements that should be made. The most time-consuming task in future analyses of the increasingly complex computer simulations will be the extraction and clear display of the key features. In addition, the interface between the workstation and the scientist should be improved significantly. Current research on techniques for creating these improvements is described.

Watson, V.↗

Modeling of Ultrasonically Generated Liquid-Liquid Dispersions During Controlled Directional Solidification

There are innumerable two-component systems in which two very different liquid phases co-exist in equilibrium over a range of temperature and composition, e.g., oil and water, salt fluxes and solders, aluminum and lead. Often it is of practical concern to fabricate a solid component consisting of a uniform dispersion of one phase in the other. Unfortunately, uniform microstructural development during solidification of two immiscible liquids is hampered by inherent, often large, density differences between the phases that lead to severe segregation. Uniformity is also compromised by preferential wetting and coalescence phenomena. It is, however, well known that ultrasonic energy can initiate and maintain a fine liquid-liquid dispersion. The work presented here extends that observation by application of ultrasonic energy to promote uniform phase incorporation during controlled directional solidification. To this end experiments with the transparent organic, immiscible, succinonitrile-glycerol system were conducted and the numerous processing parameters associated with this technique were evaluated in view of optimizing dispersion uniformity. In view of the initial experimental results a model that predicts the dispersed liquid droplet size as a function of material properties, sample geometry, and applied energy has been developed. In the mathematical model we consider the ultrasonic field in an experimental ampoule of length L and diameter D induced by a probe having a vibration frequency of f=2OKhz (circular frequency omega = 2 pi f). The amplitude is adjustable from A=65 to 13Omicrons. The probe tip diameter is d, the liquid has a density of p, in which the speed of sound and surface tension are, respectively, c and sigma. The mathematical model and numerical investigation for the experiments [1] is done using the following assumptions: (i) The droplet size is small in comparison to the sound wave length; (ii) The forces between droplets are neglected (relative concentration is small); (iii) The droplet is stable if the kinetic energy, E(sub K), of the liquid motion due to ultrasonic field influence is less then the binding energy, E(sub S), due to the surface tension (it is easy to show that the surface energy of two droplets resulting from one is larger by about a factor of two.); (iv) The stability limit is characterized by E(sub S) to approx. E(sub K).

Grugel, R. N.↗

Evolution and dynamics of shear-layer structures in near-wall turbulence

Near-wall flow structures in turbulent shear flows are analyzed, with particular emphasis on the study of their space-time evolution and connection to turbulence production. The results are obtained from investigation of a database generated from direct numerical simulation of turbulent channel flow at a Reynolds number of 180 based on half-channel width and friction velocity. New light is shed on problems associated with conditional sampling techniques, together with methods to improve these techniques, for use both in physical and numerical experiments. The results clearly indicate that earlier conceptual models of the processes associated with near-wall turbulence production, based on flow visualization and probe measurements need to be modified. For instance, the development of asymmetry in the spanwise direction seems to be an important element in the evolution of near-wall structures in general, and for shear layers in particular. The inhibition of spanwise motion of the near-wall streaky pattern may be the primary reason for the ability of small longitudinal riblets to reduce turbulent skin friction below the value for a flat surface.

Johansson, Arne V.↗

Implementation of Vigneron's streamwise pressure gradient approximation in the PNS equations

For single sweep parabolized Navier-Stokes solvers, the streamwise pressure gradient must be modified in the subsonic region to eliminate numerical instabilities. The accuracy of this modification on the solution of the parabolized Navier-Stokes equations with Vigneron's technique is shown to depend on how the numerical approximation of the pressure gradient is formed. A simple test case of supersonic laminar flow over a flat plate is computed with two different numerical methods for solving the PNS equations. Significant errors in the temperature profile and skin friction coefficient are demonstrated using a fully conservative differencing treatment of Vigneron's splitting for the pressure gradient typically used in parabolized Navier-Stokes solvers. The physical reason for this error is discussed. An alternate formulation is demonstrated which minimizes these errors.

Morrison, Joseph H.↗

Refinement and application of acoustic impulse technique to study nozzle transmission characteristics

An improved acoustic impulse technique was developed and was used to study the transmission characteristics of duct/nozzle systems. To accomplish the above objective, various problems associated with the existing spark-discharge impulse technique were first studied. These included (1) the nonlinear behavior of high intensity pulses, (2) the contamination of the signal with flow noise, (3) low signal-to-noise ratio at high exhaust velocities, and (4) the inability to control or shape the signal generated by the source, specially when multiple spark points were used as the source. The first step to resolve these problems was the replacement of the spark-discharge source with electroacoustic driver(s). These included (1) synthesizing on acoustic impulse with acoustic driver(s) to control and shape the output signal, (2) time domain signal averaging to remove flow noise from the contaminated signal, (3) signal editing to remove unwanted portions of the time history, (4) spectral averaging, and (5) numerical smoothing. The acoustic power measurement technique was improved by taking multiple induct measurements and by a modal decomposition process to account for the contribution of higher order modes in the power computation. The improved acoustic impulse technique was then validated by comparing the results derived by an impedance tube method. The mechanism of acoustic power loss, that occurs when sound is transmitted through nozzle terminations, was investigated. Finally, the refined impulse technique was applied to obtain more accurate results for the acoustic transmission characteristics of a conical nozzle and a multi-lobe multi-tube supressor nozzle.

Salikuddin, M.↗

Numerical simulation of the flow about the F-18 HARV at high angle of attack

This report summarizes research done over the past two years as part of NASA Grant NCC 2-729. This research has been aimed at validating numerical methods for computing the flow about the complete F-18 HARV at alpha = 30 deg and alpha = 45 deg. At 30 deg angle of attack, the flow about the F-18 is dominated by the formation, and subsequent breakdown, of strong vortices over the wing leading-edge extensions (LEX). As the angle of attack is increased to alpha = 45 deg, the fuselage forebody of the F-18 contains significant laminar and transitional regions which are not present at alpha = 30 deg. Further, the flow over the LEX at alpha = 45 deg is dominated by an unsteady shedding in time, rather than strong coherent vortices. This complex physics, combined with the complex geometry of a full aircraft configuration, provides a challenge for current computational fluid dynamics (CFD) techniques. The following sections present the numerical method and grid generation scheme that was used, a review of prior research done to numerically model the F-18 HARV, and a discussion of the current research. The current research is broken into two main topics: the effect of engine-inlet mass-flow rate on the F-18 vortex breakdown position, and the results using a refined F-18 computational model to compute the flow at alpha = 30 deg and alpha = 45 deg.

Murman, Scott M.↗

Numerical simulation of the flow about the F-18 HARV at high angle of attack

This research has been aimed at validating numerical methods for computing the flow about the complete F-18 HARV at alpha = 30 deg and alpha = 45 deg. At 30 deg angle of attack, the flow about the F-18 is dominated by the formation, and subsequent breakdown, of strong vortices over the wing leading-edge extensions (LEX). As the angle of attack is increased to alpha = 45 deg, the fuselage forebody of the F-18 contains significant laminar and transitional regions which are not present at alpha = 30 deg. Further, the flow over the LEX at alpha = 45 deg is dominated by an unsteady shedding in time, rather than strong coherent vortices. This complex physics, combined with the complex geometry of a full-aircraft configuration, provides a challenge for current computational fluid dynamics (CFD) techniques. The following sections present the numerical method and grid generation scheme that was used, a review of prior research done to numerically model the F-18 HARV, and a discussion of the current research. The current research is broken into three main topics; the effect of engine-inlet mass-flow rate on the F-18 vortex breakdown position, the results using a refined F-18 computational model to compute the flow at alpha = 30 deg and alpha = 45 deg, and research done using the simplified geometry of an ogive-cylinder configuration to investigate the physics of unsteady shear-layer shedding. The last section briefly summarizes the discussion.

Murman, Scott M.↗

Conversion of Resonance Parameters Between Wigner-Eisenbud R-matrix and Transition Matrix Pole Representation

The goal of this research is to develop a numerical code for translation between the current standard, Wigner-Eisenbud R-matrix parameters and a novel pole-representation of cross sections. The method follows Ducru et al. and constructs the conversion between these parametric representations of the scattering and reaction data. This pole representation, which expresses cross sections as a sum of simple poles (and their attendant residues), is examined in the context of the advantages provided by this compact, computationally efficient representation. These advantages include the ability to doppler broaden cross sections on-the-fly as well as a lower memory footprint when generating cross sections, an attractive feature to those interested in parallel GPU based Monte Carlo. Some conversion methods between R-matrix parameters and S-matrix poles have relied on curve fitting techniques. It is unknown weather these numerical methods necessarily preserve certain underlying physics properties of the standard R-matrix cross section model (such as unitarity). The direct conversion studied here aim to preserve such properties. This knowledge is of interest for future work into the generation of resonance parameter sensitivities.

CLUTCH↗

Material parameter measurements at high temperatures

Alternate fixtures of techniques for the measurement of the constitutive material parameters at elevated temperatures are presented. The technique utilizes scattered field data from material coated cylinders between parallel plates or material coated hemispheres over a finite size groundplane. The data acquisition is centered around the HP 8510B Network Analyzer. The parameters are then found from a numerical search algorithm using the Newton-Ralphson technique with the measured and calculated fields from these canonical scatters. Numerical and experimental results are shown.

Dominek, A.↗

Resilience and fault tolerance in high-performance computing for numerical weather and climate prediction

Progress in numerical weather and climate prediction accuracy greatly depends on the growth of the available computing power. As the number of cores in top computing facilities pushes into the millions, increased average frequency of hardware and software failures forces users to review their algorithms and systems in order to protect simulations from breakdown. This report surveys hardware, application-level and algorithm-level resilience approaches of particular relevance to time-critical numerical weather and climate prediction systems. A selection of applicable existing strategies is analysed, featuring interpolation-restart and compressed checkpointing for the numerical schemes, in-memory checkpointing, user-level failure mitigation and backup-based methods for the systems. Numerical examples showcase the performance of the techniques in addressing faults, with particular emphasis on iterative solvers for linear systems, a staple of atmospheric fluid flow solvers. The potential impact of these strategies is discussed in relation to current development of numerical weather prediction algorithms and systems towards the exascale. Trade-offs between performance, efficiency and effectiveness of resiliency strategies are analysed and some recommendations outlined for future developments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Report on local data recovery approaches suitable for weather and climate prediction (Deliverable 1.3) (V.1.0)

Numerical weather and climate prediction rates as one of the scientific applications whose accuracy improvements greatly depend on the growth of the available computing power. As the number of cores in top computing facilities pushes into the millions, increasing average frequency of hardware and software failures forces users to review their algorithms and systems in order to protect simulations from breakdown. This report surveys approaches for fault-tolerance in numerical algorithms and system resilience in parallel simulations from the perspective of numerical weather and climate prediction systems. A selection of existing strategies is analyzed, featuring interpolation-restart and compressed checkpointing for the numerics, in-memory checkpointing, user-level failure mitigation-based and backup-based methods for the systems. Numerical examples showcase the performance of the techniques in addressing faults, with particular emphasis on iterative solvers for linear systems, a staple of atmospheric fluid flow solvers. The potential impact of these strategies is discussed in relation to current development of numerical weather prediction algorithms and systems towards the exascale. Trade-offs between performance, efficiency and effectiveness of resiliency strategies are analyzed and some recommendations outlined for future developments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Use of Polarization Lidar for Investigation of Meteorological Formations

This paper presents the results of theoretical and experimental, investigations of depolarization characteristics of different meteorological formations. Experimental investigations are carried out with a monostatic lidar. The ruby laser radiation is polarized in a vertical plane. The radiation reflected is accepted by a lens system of 150 rom in diameter and a viewing angle of 12' and further it is divided by Wollaston prism into the components polarized orthogonally. In this case the principal plane of the prism is exposed parallel with the laser polarization plane. Investigations show the degree of radiation polarization, reflected from water clouds, to be changed within 1/0.7 (seldom up to 0.6) depending on their density. In most cases a signal reflected from the cloud leading edge is polarized completely. The time shift is observed between polarized and crosspolarized components of a Fignal, reflected from a cloud, depending on the density of a meteorological object. While penetrating into the cloud depth a degree of polarization decreases up to 0.8-0.7, and the character of this decrease is different for various types of clouds. For crystal clouds the shift between the components of the reflected signal is not observed and the magnitude of polarization degree amounts to 0.1/0.3 in comparison with water clouds. The polarization degree of radiation reflected by fog is not less than 0.6, and that in the rains of average intensity (about 5 mm/h) is always about 1. The authors have suggested an algorithm of numerical solution of nonstationary transfer equation in the vector form to forecast the influence of multiple scattering effects on polarization characteristics of the lidar light signal. The method of statistical simulation (Monte-Carlo technique) forms the basis of the algorithm. Numerical estimates obtained for a model of stratocumulus at lambda = 0.6943 microns under boundary conditions close to the conditions of natural experiment being discussed proved to be in a good agreement with the results of observation. Specifically, Fig. 1 shows the profiles of polarization (p) versus depth (L) of the following drop formations: fog (curve 1) with horizontal meteorological visibility of 4 km two stratocumulus at a height of 1100 m with the attenuation factors delta = 0.01m(exp -1) (curve 2) and delta = 0.05m(exp -1) (curve 3). Curve 3 shows the results of numerical estimates and the value of their statistical error.

Balin, Yu. S.↗

The numerical calculation of laminar boundary-layer separation

Iterative finite-difference techniques are developed for integrating the boundary-layer equations, without approximation, through a region of reversed flow. The numerical procedures are used to calculate incompressible laminar separated flows and to investigate the conditions for regular behavior at the point of separation. Regular flows are shown to be characterized by an integrable saddle-type singularity that makes it difficult to obtain numerical solutions which pass continuously into the separated region. The singularity is removed and continuous solutions ensured by specifying the wall shear distribution and computing the pressure gradient as part of the solution. Calculated results are presented for several separated flows and the accuracy of the method is verified. A computer program listing and complete solution case are included.

Klineberg, J. M.↗

Superconducting axisymmetric finite elements based on a gauged potential variational principle. Part 2: Solutions and numerical results

This paper discusses an incremental-iterative nonlinear solution technique for solving the nonlinear finite element equations of the superconducting state of a superconductor. The untreated equations are highly ill-conditioned and are impossible to solve within the typical 16-place double precision supplied by most computers. A combination of matrix scaling and mesh grading techniques is used to reduce the condition number of the tangent stiffness matrix and increase the accuracy of the current carrying boundary layer representation. Numerical results for a one-dimensional model of a time-independent superconductor treated by the Ginzburg-Landau model are presented and discussed. The computed solutions clearly display the Meissner effect of magnetic field expulsion from the central region of the superconductor. These results are compared to the physics of a low-viscosity fluid problem. From this analogy, a physical argument is advanced about the macroscopic behavior of superconductors.

Schuler, James J.↗

A survey of grid generation techniques in computational fluid dynamics

The use of numerically-generated body-conforming coordinate systems has become well-established in computational fluid dynamics, allowing general codes to be written which can treat boundaries of arbitrary shape. There is now a rapidly increasing interest in the dynamic coupling of the grid with the physical solution so that the grid lines continually move to achieve concentration in regions of strong variation of the physical solution and alignment with shocks, flame fronts, etc. Such adaptive coordinate systems have been developed using a variety of techniques for sensing and reacting to the developing regions of concentration and/or alignment. This paper reviews the techniques and applications of these dynamically adaptive systems and other systems.

Thompson, J. F.↗