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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

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DOE OSTI2026

Coalition for Community-Supported Affordable Geothermal Energy Systems (C2SAGES)

The C2SAGES project evaluated the feasibility of a community geothermal system for the planned Windy Ridge affordable housing development in Hinesburg, Vermont. Led by GTI Energy with Vermont Gas Systems, LN Consulting, NREL, and Frontier Energy, the work assessed technical design, energy performance, costs, business models, community engagement, maintenance, workforce development, and permitting. The proposed system was designed to serve 100% of the development’s heating, cooling, and domestic hot water loads. Compared with a baseline using air-source heat pumps and natural gas water heating, the geothermal system was estimated to reduce HVAC and domestic hot water energy use by about 45% to 48%, lower operating and maintenance costs, and reduce 30-year life-cycle costs by 37% for Phase 1 and 10% for Phase 2. Technical testing and modeling indicated that the Windy Ridge site is suitable for a community-scale geothermal system. The project also developed borehole field layouts, piping concepts, pump house designs, controls, maintenance plans, and supporting engineering drawings. The business model analysis found that first cost, ownership structure, and customer affordability remain major deployment challenges. Utility-led maintenance and operation were viewed favorably, but traditional utility cost-recovery models may require subsidy or revised financing structures to be practical for affordable housing. Community engagement highlighted the need for clear public education, transparent financing, reliable long-term maintenance, trained technicians, and the potential to pair geothermal systems with weatherization. Overall, the report concludes that community geothermal is technically feasible and offers meaningful energy, emissions, and life-cycle cost benefits, but broader deployment will depend on workable financing models and workforce readiness.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Potential of Data Center Controls in Grid Services

The rapid proliferation of large data centers brings both challenges and opportunities for grid reliability. The data center resources and their potential flexibility have the potential to contribute resources to grid operations. Through capabilities like energy shifting and resource coordination, data centers can help reduce their net demand on the transmission network, as well as provide additional grid services to support reliable operation on the grid. While transient and long-term grid planning and operations are the scenarios that draw most attention, the quasi-steady state timeseries (QSTS) operation of data centers and grid bring interesting scenarios that can help evaluate the data center controls to aid grid services. This work is focused on modeling data centers for QSTS applications – incorporating the AI data center load profiles and building on the PNNL digital twin model for the thermal management loads to enable simulation studies to reveal the impact of data center controls on grid performance. This includes the integration of a QSTS battery and natural gas generator model to incorporate local resource impacts to the system. The simulation study is performed with a modified IEEE 24-Bus transmission system. Scenarios are focused on evaluating the data center load impacts on the transmission system and leveraging both data center and local generation controls to mitigate those impacts and provide additional grid services. The data center controls revealed the ability to contribute to two main kinds of grid services: preventing congestion on a weak grid by coordinating the data center resources with the collocated BESS and onsite generation; and the ability to help the grid operations during stressed times of operation like during a contingency. Leveraging these and other capabilities has the potential to help data centers become grid responsive assets, aiding in both their integration into the power system and grid reliability.

power grid simulation↗

DOE OSTI2026

Quality Assurance of Legacy Post-Irradiation Examination Data for Metallic Fuels

The U.S. DOE-NE’s Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) Fast Reactor Program (FRP) and the NE-4 Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) have jointly undertaken the qualification of the legacy post-irradiation examination (PIE) data held in the Fuels Irradiation & Physics Database (FIPD), covering metallic fuel experiments conducted in the Experimental Breeder Reactor II (EBR-II) and the Fast Flux Test Facility (FFTF). In FY26 this effort reached a milestone: six major types of PIE data—contact profilometry, isotopic gamma scan, fission gas chemistry, fission gas release, laser profilometry, and neutron radiography—have been qualified for all available experiments in FIPD, and the U.S. nuclear industry can now draw on them with confidence in licensing activities for metallic fuel-based advanced fast reactors. This report documents the qualification process and the resulting status of the PIE data.

Mo, Kun↗

DOE OSTI2026

Dielectric Spectroscopy Cable NDE for Unequal Aging Over Different Lengths

This Pacific Northwest National Laboratory milestone report assesses the effect of unequal aging over different lengths of cable on dielectric spectroscopy (DS) bulk impedance measurements from the cable end. DS measurements can indicate the remaining useful life of cables; however, most benchmark tests are based on accelerated aging of the entire cable. If only a portion of the cable is exposed to a harsh environment (as is frequently the case), the DS measurement will indicate a significantly less-aged cable than if the entire cable were exposed to a uniform environmental stress. The DS measurement is primarily related to the intrinsic insulation material relative permittivity—typically between 1.5 and 3.0. Insulation aging increases permittivity and, correspondingly, the cable’s overall capacitance measured from the cable end. To judge the health of the overall cable system, operators are primarily interested in the condition of the most severely aged section since that is where a failure is most likely to occur. This can be expressed as the dimensionless relative permittivity of the severely aged section divided by the permittivity of a pristine cable. This relative permittivity is an intrinsic material parameter independent of cable length and can serve as a quantitative indication of the insulation condition. If the relative percentages of cable exposed to a harsh and benign environment are known, the DS measurement of the entire cable length, including both pristine and aged sections, can be compensated to predict the relative permittivity (relative to pristine permittivity) of the most severly aged segment. A test was performed on three 50 ft (16 m) cables with 10%, 50%, and 90% of the cable inside a thermal aging oven. Predictably, the aging effect on the DS response was greatest in the 90% sample, followed by the 50% sample, and then the 10% sample. The more interesting result is the ratio of the aged insulation permittivity to the pristine insulation permittivity. Based on prior work, an end-of-life cable has a value of approximately 1.35. If the relative percentages of pristine and severely aged cable lengths are known, and the total cable-length capacitance of the initial pristine cable and the combined pristine plus aged cable are known, the relative aged permittivity (ratio of aged section permittivity / pristine section permittivity) can be estimated. The relative cable lengths exposed to a harsh environment may be known or estimated based on plant layout drawings or cable reflectometry tests that can locate the oven entry and exit points. The compensation was verified using a lumped-parameter model to predict the aged-segment permittivity e2/e1, where e2 is the aged-segment permittivity and e1 is the pristine-segment permittivity. For all three percentages of aged cable lengths, the ratio was quite similar, as would be expected since all cable segments were exposed to the same aging environment. This ratio of aged permittivity to pristine permittivity can be compared to other damage indicating tests, including elongation at break, to assess cable condition.

ARENA Test Bed↗

DOE OSTI2026

U.S. ESCO Industry Report: Industry Size and Recent Market Trends, 2022- 2024

The latest edition of the U.S. Energy Service Company (ESCO) Industry Report by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) finds that the U.S. ESCO industry continues to show strong growth. The report draws from ESCO industry reported revenue data for the 2022-2024 period, detailing the current size and characteristics of the U.S. ESCO industry. Following 20 years of ESCO industry reports, the 2024 report explores significant revenue trends across market segments, geographic regions, ESCO size, financing structures, and business activities. New analysis in this report outlines customer priorities and non-energy benefit drivers of Energy Savings Performance Contract projects, adjusted revenue analysis detailing the impacts of inflation on industry growth, and project challenges by market segment.

Chelminski, Kathryn↗

DOE OSTI2022

Ground heat exchanger design tool with rowwise placement of boreholes

Simulation-based design tools have been used since the late 1980s for designing ground heat exchangers (GHE) used with ground source heat pump (GSHP) systems. The ground heat exchanger simulations used in these tools rely on thermal response functions known as g-functions. Because of the significant computational burden in computing g-functions for even a single configuration, the design tools have relied on libraries of pre-computed g-functions. These g-functions were available for standard configuration shapes, such as lines, rectangles, open rectangles, L-shapes, and U-shapes. Standard shapes are often sub-optimal. For any building on a site, the available land may preclude use of a standard shape. For large GSHP systems with significantly imbalanced annual heat rejection and extraction loads, large rectangular fields may experience significant heat build-up (or heat draw-down) in the interior of the field. This paper describes a new ground heat exchanger design tool capable of automatically selecting and sizing both standard and irregular configurations. The focus of this paper is a method for creating, selecting and sizing irregular configurations where the available land area and "no-go" zones are described as irregular polygons.

Spitler, Jeffery↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Unification Framework for Euclidean and Hyperbolic Graph Neural Networks

Hyperbolic neural networks have recently gained significant attention due to their promising results on several graph problems including node classification and link prediction. The primary reason for this success is the effectiveness of hyperbolic space in capturing the inherent hierarchy of graph datasets. However, they are limited in terms of generalization, scalability, and have inferior performance when applied to non-hierarchical datasets. In this paper, we take a completely different perspective for modeling hyperbolic networks and answer the following question: is an Euclidean model able to approximate a function or behavior in the hyperbolic space? Extending the universal approximation theory developed for Euclidean models, We draw an analogy from the hyperbolic components to the Euclidean counterparts and conclude that, in order to capture hierarchical features, it is possible to generalize hyperbolic models to be a special case of Euclidean models with the proposed Pseudo-Poincaré technique. We applied our non-linear hyperbolic normalization to the current state-of-the-art homogeneous and multi-relational graph networks and demonstrate significant improvements in performance compared to both Euclidean and hyperbolic counterparts. The primary impact of this work lies in its ability to capture hierarchical features in the Euclidean space, and thus, can replace hyperbolic networks without any loss in performance metrics while simultaneously leveraging the power of Euclidean networks such as interpretability and efficient execution of various model components.

Khatir, Mehrdad↗

DOE OSTI2020

Performance Characterization of a Natural Gas–Air Rotating Detonation Engine

An experimental study of a rotating detonation engine (RDE) operating with natural gas and air at elevated chamber pressures and air preheat temperatures was conducted to quantify its performance at conditions representative of land-based power generation gas turbine engines. Here, the thrust produced by the combustor was measured to characterize its work output potential. High-frequency pressure transducers and broadband chemiluminescence measurements of the flame provided information about the wave structure and dynamics. Analysis of common performance metrics demonstrated the necessity of normalizing any RDE performance parameter by the driving system potential, typically the reactant manifold pressure. Application of a thermodynamic performance model to a generic RDE identified the area ratio between the RDE exhaust and injection throats as the primary parameter affecting delivered pressure gain. The model was further applied to draw comparison with experimental measurements of net pressure gain for identical flow conditions. Only one of the two tested injector configurations followed the predicted trends, suggesting that performance of the second was governed by physical processes other than the reactant thermodynamics. Although an absolute pressure gain was not demonstrated, it is promising that the natural gas–air RDE delivered up to 90% of the theoretical performance.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Prediction of Detonation-Induced Disturbances Propagating Upstream into Inlets of Rotating Detonation Combustors

Disturbances caused by the detonation wave in a rotating detonation combustor (RDC) propagate upstream through the inlet, and can potentially affect and couple to upstream components, such as turbomachinery or isolators. These disturbances can potentially also affect the operation of the RDC itself. By drawing from the analogy of a detonation wave bounded by an inert gas, the pressure disturbances observed upstream of the inlet are explained as the consequence of the passage of an upstream propagating oblique shock. In this study, the pressure rise in the plenum from the oblique shock is measured in an axial air inlet RDC. The speed of the upstream propagating wave is estimated to be moderately above the acoustic speed of the oxidizer in the plenum. The wave propagates into the plenum despite local regions of choking in the inlet. It is estimated that the time it takes a fluid particle to transit from the plenum to the detonation channel through the inlet is much larger than the rotational time of the detonation wave. This implies that a fluid particle experiences multiple shocks prior to entering the detonation channel. The oblique shock propagating upstream through the inlet area change is modeled by leveraging an analogy with a quasi-1D shock wave moving in a variable area duct with mean (incoming) flow. Due to flow expansion along the area change, fluid particles are found to experience stronger shocks in the inlet than in the plenum, thereby creating different thermodynamic states within the fill region as the oxidizer emerges from the inlet.

Feleo, Alexander↗

DOE OSTI2021

Cytochrome Nanowire XRD

Microbial metabolism plays an important role in the global cycling of carbon, nutrients, and metals. Recent discovery of microorganisms sharing energy using direct electrical connections might represent a prominent strategy by which anaerobic microorganisms interact with the diversity of environments. The purpose of the proposed research is to apply these newly developed principles of electron exchange in microbial communities to the study of biogeochemical cycling in climate and subsurface systems. Previous studies revealed that soil bacteria Geobacter sulfurreducens produce conductive pili nanofilaments that facilitate long-range electron transport to extracellular electron acceptors and other cells. This discovery has already transformed our understanding of the function of microbial communities in diverse environments, making basic contributions to microbial ecology and helping to improve practical applications such as increasing current output of microbial fuel cells and enhancing the conversion of organic waste to methane. Microbial electron exchange via pili may also contribute to methane production in terrestrial environments that are major sources of atmospheric methane. However, the mechanism of electron transport through pili is not well understood. Initial studies have suggested that pili exhibit metallic-like conductivity similar to conducting polymer polyaniline. However, these studies were limited to electrical measurements. X-ray diffraction studies have suggested that aromatic amino acids tyrosine and phenylalanine are closely packed in pili. But these studies used homology modeling to predict the pilus assembly and information about the number of monomers in each pilus assembly unit and their organization are still lacking. The central hypothesis of this proposal is aromatics in pili enable intermolecular electron delocalization due to pi-stacking that can give rise to metallic-like conductivity. By analyzing pili structure using infrared scattering-scanning near field optical microscope (IR s-SNOM) and combining with solution NMR, Focused Ion Beam (FIB and computational capabilities, this work will provide comprehensive understanding of the conduction mechanism from a structure-function perspective. The specific aims are: 1) With infrared scattering scanning near field optical microscope (IR s-SNOM), image the organization and density of pilin monomers and pH-induced conformational changes in a pilus filament. 2) With solution NMR, resolve pH-induced structural changes in the pilin monomer. 3) Using Focused Ion Beam (FIB), draw electrodes on single pili to measure their conductivity. 4) With computational modeling using the NWChem, simulate the effect of environment on the electronic properties of pili as a function of pH. The proposed work will gain the nanoscale insight into the structure of the pili, as the basis for understanding interspecies electrical communications. The improved understanding will be harnessed to accelerate bioenergy production and bioremediation using pili as well as for predictive modeling of carbon cycling in diverse environments to reach the central goals of DOE-BER to develop sustainable energy sources, regulate the contaminants in the subsurface and understand the effects of greenhouse gas emissions on biosphere. The proposed studies will provide design principles for engineering of electrical interactions among these communities by manipulating the amino acid composition of pili. Moreover, these studies will identify the forces that maintain the function of these communities in the face of environmental perturbation. Therefore, these studies will help to address the need "to incorporate process understanding of biogeochemical cycling into a scalable hierarchy of predictive capabilities" specified in EMSL's Science Themes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

ATOMIC Simulations and Experimental Data for Basalt-like Compounds

This data consists of simulations and experimental measurements of laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). The simulations are produced by ATOMIC, a general purpose plasma modeling and kinetics code that has been designed to compute emission (or absorption) spectra from plasmas [2]. The makeup of the plasma was considered to be divided into some proportion water, some proportion Martian atmosphere (CO2), and some proportion target (from the rock or object impacted by the laser), where these proportions add to 1. Based on expert knowledge, the proportion of water was kept in the range [0.0,0.5] and the proportion of atmosphere was kept in the range [0.02, 0.9]. Our overall suite of simulations contains six sets of simulations that differ in which elements were considered to make up the target. Within each set, we used uniformly drawn temperatures and log mass densities within pre-specified ranges. The temperature range was [0.5,1.5] eV and the log (base 10) mass density range was [-7,-4]. The proportion of water, atmosphere, and target were drawn from a symmetric Dirichlet distribution, but draws in which the propor- tion of water or atmosphere exceeded the pre-specified limits were rejected from the design. Up to eleven constituent elements (Si, Al, Fe, Mg, Ca, O, Ti, Mn, Na, K, P) were considered for the target, as they are the most common elements found in basalt compounds and were used in [1]. For each run, the proportions of the constituent elements making up the target were drawn from a symmetric Dirichlet distribution. We ran 1,350 simulations that included nonzero proportions of all eleven elements. We also ran simulations which excluded some of these elements. In particular, we ran 1,000 simulations that only included nonzero proportions for the six most common elements (Si, Al, Fe, Mg, Ca, O). We also ran five sets, each with 500 simulations, that only included nonzero proportions for five of the six most common elements (but where all sets included O). Thus, we generated a total of 4,850 spectra representing basalt-like compounds in which the target was comprised of oxygen and between four and ten other elements. The ATOMIC code produced spectra over a range of 240nm - 880nm that roughly mimics the range collected by the ChemCam instrument on the Mars rover Curiosity. Each spectra had 32,000 wavelengths split across three spectrometer ranges (to mimic ChemCam). The experimental data, described in [1], measures a prepared basalt sample. All files are kept in directories whose names indicate the set of elements considered for the target with file names numbered to indicate the line in the design files used to produce the simulation. The designs are provided as text files with names indicating their purpose. The experimental data is provided as a CSV file which contains a header with measurement information, followed by a collection of 50 shots across a collection of wavelengths, along with the computed median and mean across shots.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Pilgrim Hot Springs Building Dimensions and Energy Modeling

This dataset was created to model the anticipated heating load of a geothermal project in development for the historical site of Pilgrim Hot Springs, and adds to the history of geothermal studies at the site. Models include an historical building (Nun's Quarters), existing modern buildings (Caretaker's Cabin, Igloo, Visitor's Cabin, Staff Shower Hut), and planned building projects (Changing Room, Greenhouse). Modeling results were used to determine feasible geothermal system typologies. The previous study linked below ("Village of Solomon Development of Energy Efficiency Building Standards for New Construction") feeds in to this project. The dataset includes DWG drawings and AKwarm energy models (.hm2) of a subset of existing buildings at the site of Pilgrim Hot Springs. All buildings were modeled in their current state, and some were additionally modeled with improvements to the building envelope. Energy modeling results exported from AKwarm include .htm and .png images.

AKwarm↗

DOE OSTI2023

Fan and Pump Efficiency in Modelica based on the Euler Number

Simulation programs often assume constant hydraulic efficiency for fan or pump models when performance curves are unavailable. This is inaccurate because the hydraulic efficiency varies with the operation condition. It therefore consistently underestimates the power draw at off-design conditions at which the hydraulic efficiency drops. Use of a modified Euler number allows computing the hydraulic efficiency and shaft power with limited data. Others showed the validity of the modified Euler number for fan efficiency calculations. We show that it is also applicable for pumps, and present its implementation in Modelica for a fan or pump model. Here, the only input required from the user is one data point at which the hydraulic efficiency is at its maximum. The reported method is applicable regardless of the type, size, or operational region of the fan or pump. Across a sample of eighteen sets of pump data and seven sets of fan data, the errors of the computed power from interpolated data were within 15% for the range of 20% - 70% of maximum flow rate and 40% - 90% of maximum pressure rise, excluding outliers.

component model↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Guide to Conquer the Biological Network Era Using Graph Theory

Networks are one of the most common ways to represent biological systems as complex sets of binary interactions or relations between different bioentities. In this article, we discuss the basic graph theory concepts and the various graph types, as well as the available data structures for storing and reading graphs. In addition, we describe several network properties and we highlight some of the widely used network topological features. We briefly mention the network patterns, motifs and models, and we further comment on the types of biological and biomedical networks along with their corresponding computer- and human-readable file formats. Finally, we discuss a variety of algorithms and metrics for network analyses regarding graph drawing, clustering, visualization, link prediction, perturbation, and network alignment as well as the current state-of-the-art tools. We expect this review to reach a very broad spectrum of readers varying from experts to beginners while encouraging them to enhance the field further.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dependable classical-quantum computing systems engineering

Increasing evidence suggests quantum computing (QC) complements traditional High-Performance Computing (HPC) by leveraging its unique capabilities, leading to the emergence of a new, hybrid paradigm, QHPC. However, this integration introduces new challenges, with dependability–defined by reproducibility, resiliency, and security and privacy–emerging as a central concern for building trustworthy systems that provide an advantage to the users. This paper proposes a framework for dependable QHPC system design, organized around these three pillars. We identify integration challenges, anticipate roadblocks, and highlight productive synergies across QC, HPC, cloud platforms, and network security. Drawing from both classical computing principles and quantum-specific insights, we present a roadmap for co-design that supports robust hybrid architectures. Our approach offers concrete metrics for assessing dependability, provides design guidance for engineers working at the QC-HPC interface, and surfaces new engineering questions around complexity, scale, and fault tolerance. Ultimately, designing for dependability is key to realizing practical, scalable QHPC systems and accelerating the broader quantum ecosystem capable of translating quantum promises into actual application delivery.

HPC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Coexistence Praxis: The Role of Resource Managers in Wolf-Livestock Interactions on Federal Lands

In resource management, new terms are frequently introduced, reflecting ongoing evolution in the theory and practice of ecology and governance. Yet understandings of what new concepts mean, for whom, and what they imply for management on the ground can vary widely. Coexistence—a prominent concept within the literature and practices around human-wildlife conflict and predator management—is one such term: widely invoked and yet poorly defined. While for some coexistence is the latest paradigm in improving human-wildlife relations, the concept remains debated and indeed even hotly contested by others—particularly on the multiple-use public lands of the American West, where gray wolf conservation, livestock production, and the claims of diverse stakeholders share space. The multiple meanings of coexistence present serious challenges for conservation practice, as what the concept implies or requires can be contested by those most central to its implementation. In this study we examine wolf-livestock management—a classic case of human-wildlife conflict—by focusing on the experiences and perspectives of U.S. Forest Service (USFS) managers. We reviewed coexistence's multivalence in the literature, complementing semi-structured interviews conducted with USFS employees on case study forests from across the western states. Through this, we highlight the complexity and multi-dimensionality of the concept, and the unique yet under-explored perspective that resource managers bring to these debates. This work draws on insights from political ecology to emphasize the situatedness of manager practice—taking place within a broader set of relations and contextual pressures—while extending political ecologists' traditional focus on the resource user to a concern with the resource manager as a key actor in environmental conflicts. Through our engagement with the experiences and perceptions of USFS managers, who must balance conservation aims with long-established land uses like livestock grazing, we hope to clarify the various dimensions of coexistence. Our hope is that this work thus increases the possibility for empathy and collaboration among managers and stakeholders engaged in this complex socio-ecological challenge.

Martin, Jeff Vance↗

DOE OSTI2026

Multi-system analysis of offshore geologic carbon storage: a review of open-source data science solutions

Geologic carbon storage projects are maturing worldwide and the footprint of deployment in the offshore is expanding. At present, there are ten projects in operation or that have been completed, more than 50 in construction and development, and dozens of characterization studies completed or underway. Offshore geologic carbon storage offers potential benefits over onshore geologic carbon storage. These offshore projects are generally remote in location, distant from population centers, and avoid complicated pore space rights while having abundant prospective storage potential. Some offshore fields targeted for carbon storage have comparatively fewer prior borehole penetrations except for areas that have been explored for petroleum production, minimizing potential issues such as pressure interference and infrastructure impacts. Yet offshore geologic carbon storage projects face distinctive technical and economic challenges, such as seafloor geohazards (e.g., seabed instability), expensive maritime transport, and meteorological-oceanographic conditions that can damage infrastructure and impact operations. Analytical capabilities and improved computational speeds have advanced engineering, earth and energy sciences in the wake of the arrival of modern data science over the last decade. These advancements have created an opportunity for integrated, multi-systems modeling approaches utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning that are no longer limited by computational issues. Analytical tools developed alongside this advancement in data science can be leveraged to calibrate the potential advantages and challenges of carbon storage operations in the offshore. New methods and approaches that incorporate data science to analyze multiple aspects of engineered and natural systems can provide insights that complement the characterization and onsite engineering that traditional commercial and operational software addresses. These new methods and approaches can potentially improve the outcome of energy operations and carbon storage. Providing multi-system, science-driven data analytics enhances the knowledge base that offshore developers, operators, and regulatory bodies may draw from to improve offshore site selection and operational efficiency. Here, we provide a brief synopsis of geologic carbon storage efforts to date, an overview of the engineered and natural systems involved in offshore geologic carbon storage, and a review of publicly available, open-source, offshore and/or carbon storage related data- and science-driven tools developed by 2010 or later that are suitable for screening and assessing regions for offshore geologic carbon storage.

artificial intelligence↗

DOE OSTI2022

We Must Stop Fossil Fuel Emissions to Protect Permafrost Ecosystems

Climate change is an existential threat to the vast global permafrost domain. The diverse human cultures, ecological communities, and biogeochemical cycles of this tenth of the planet depend on the persistence of frozen conditions. The complexity, immensity, and remoteness of permafrost ecosystems make it difficult to grasp how quickly things are changing and what can be done about it. Here, we summarize terrestrial and marine changes in the permafrost domain with an eye toward global policy. While many questions remain, we know that continued fossil fuel burning is incompatible with the continued existence of the permafrost domain as we know it. If we fail to protect permafrost ecosystems, the consequences for human rights, biosphere integrity, and global climate will be severe. The policy implications are clear: the faster we reduce human emissions and draw down atmospheric CO 2 , the more of the permafrost domain we can save. Emissions reduction targets must be strengthened and accompanied by support for local peoples to protect intact ecological communities and natural carbon sinks within the permafrost domain. Some proposed geoengineering interventions such as solar shading, surface albedo modification, and vegetation manipulations are unproven and may exacerbate environmental injustice without providing lasting protection. Conversely, astounding advances in renewable energy have reopened viable pathways to halve human greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and effectively stop them well before 2050. We call on leaders, corporations, researchers, and citizens everywhere to acknowledge the global importance of the permafrost domain and work towards climate restoration and empowerment of Indigenous and immigrant communities in these regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗