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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

Computational Tools and Workflows for Quantitative Risk Assessment and Decision Support for Geologic Carbon Storage Sites: Progress and Insights from the U.S. DOE’s National Risk Assessment Partnership

The 2005 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on CCS raised the profile of CO2 capture and storage (CCS) as an important technology for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. CCS is now recognized as a key component of most climate change mitigation scenarios. Since publication of that report the international research, development, and deployment (RD&D) community has advanced key technical aspects, clarified regulatory requirements, explored value chain and infrastructure solutions, and developed incentive paradigms to enable and promote large-scale deployment of CCS. These efforts have included research to better characterize geologic storage resources, to improve injection performance and storage efficiency, to assess and manage subsurface environmental risks, and to advance monitoring technologies to assure system conformance. These efforts have helped to build confidence in the viability of geologic carbon storage (GCS), but stakeholder concerns about long-term risks and liability associated with GCS remain a hurdle to broad acceptance and large-scale deployment of CCS. Since 2010, the U.S. DOE’s National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) – a research collaboration between five contributing national laboratories – has worked to establish and demonstrate methods and tools to quantify and manage the subsurface environmental risks associated with GCS, amidst uncertainty. This work supports the Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management Carbon Transport and Storage Program’s goal of advancing safe and secure commercial-scale GCS deployment. To address the technical challenge of simulating the physical response of the GCS site to large-scale CO2 injection, NRAP has adopted an approach that relies on coupling computationally efficient reduced-order and/or data-driven proxy models of important system components (i.e., storage reservoir, sealing caprock, leakage pathways, intermediate formations, overlying groundwater aquifers, and the atmosphere) in integrated assessment framework. That integrated model of the physical system is complemented with fit-for purpose functionality to support site characterization and risk-related decisions. The recently released NRAP Phase II toolset includes the Open-Source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM) for evaluation of trends in leakage risk and potential impact, tools to support monitoring design optimization (Designs for Risk Evaluation and Management – DREAM v3.0 and Passive Seismic Monitoring Tool - PSMT), and tools for state of stress evaluation (State-of-Stress Analysis Tool - SOSAT) and forecasting induced seismicity risk. The NRAP team has also released a pair of reports describing conceptual workflows to incorporate physics-based, quantitative risk assessment into many of the design, planning, operation, and closure decisions for GCS projects. An online catalogue highlights published studies where these tools and methods are demonstrated. In this presentation, the utility of these products to assess risks and address key stakeholder questions will be highlighted through examples, and related insights about the safety and security of geologic carbon storage in qualified storage sites will be discussed. The prospect of rapid, large-scale deployment of GCS technology to aggressively reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions requires careful consideration of interference between multiple commercial-scale storage projects within a basin. Going forward, NRAP is expanding and adapting site-scale risk quantification tools and methods to enable assessment of risks and inform management decisions for basin-scale deployment. Increasingly, this work will leverage next-generation approaches for surrogate modelling, fast prediction, and advanced visualization enabled by machine learning and artificial intelligence to promote virtual learning, scenario evaluation, and augment risk-based decision making.

quantitative risk assessment, geologic carbon stor↗

High-Performance Integrated Window and Façade Solutions for California

The researchers developed a new generation of high-performance façade systems and supporting design and management tools to support industry in meeting California’s greenhouse gas reduction targets, reduce energy consumption, and enable an adaptable response to minimize real-time demands on the electricity grid. The project resulted in five outcomes: (1) The research team developed an R-5, 1-inch thick, triplepane, insulating glass unit with a novel low-conductance aluminum frame. This technology can help significantly reduce residential cooling and heating loads, particularly during the evening. (2) The team developed a prototype of a windowintegrated local ventilation and energy recovery device that provides clean, dry fresh air through the façade with minimal energy requirements. (3) A daylight-redirecting louver system was prototyped to redirect sunlight 15–40 feet from the window. Simulations estimated that lighting energy use could be reduced by 35–54 percent without glare. (4) A control system incorporating physics-based equations and a mathematical solver was prototyped and field tested to demonstrate feasibility. Simulations estimated that total electricity costs could be reduced by 9-28 percent on sunny summer days through adaptive control of operable shading and daylighting components and the thermostat compared to state-of-the-art automatic façade controls in commercial building perimeter zones. (5) Supporting models and tools needed by industry for technology R&D and market transformation activities were validated. Attaining California’s clean energy goals require making a fundamental shift from today’s ad-hoc assemblages of static components to turnkey, intelligent, responsive, integrated building façade systems. These systems offered significant reductions in energy use, peak demand, and operating cost in California.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Data-driven Quasi-static Surrogate Model for Nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems

The integration of nuclear power into energy systems presents a promising avenue to address the growing global energy demands while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we introduce a data-driven quasi-static surrogate model for nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems (IES) that comprises various components, including a small modular reactor (SMR), energy manifold (EM), balance of plant (BOP), high-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE), and district heating (DH) system. Traditional physics-based models for these components often entail significant computational overhead and time consumption, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. The development of a complete surrogate model for the IES involves the creation of individual surrogate models for each component, leveraging machine learning techniques and simulated data. These isolated surrogate models are subsequently integrated, enabling a holistic view of the IES and reducing the computational burden associated with detailed physics-based simulations. This paper outlines the development process, validation, and the performance evaluation of the surrogate models. The findings shed light on the accuracy and applicability of the surrogate models in practical scenarios, demonstrating their potential to expedite the analysis of nuclear-powered IES and inform future research and development efforts.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

High Fidelity Simulations of Air-Cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System

Nuclear energy is increasingly acknowledged as pivotal in the global shift towards cleaner energy solutions. Advanced nuclear technologies, including High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs), stand out as appealing options among Generation IV reactors due to their high temperature heat output and potential for cogeneration. HTGR designs incorporate passive safety systems, such as the Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS), which utilize natural principles to manage heat dissipation from the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) during accidents or routine shutdowns. Regulatory bodies require thorough validation of safety systems like the RCCS to ensure they meet specified standards. Consequently, there is a pressing need within the industry for advanced simulation tools capable of assessing these systems’ performance accurately. There is a knowladge gap in the literature concerning high-fidelity data for the RCCS, which motivates the focus of this study. This research focuses on a specific RCCS designed for the Modular High-Temperature Gas Reactor developed by General Atomics (GA- MHTGR). Experimental studies on a scaled version of the air-cooled RCCS of GA-MHTGR were conducted by the University of Wisconsin-Madison. This work contributes to a broader initiative aimed at establishing a numerical benchmark based on the UW-Madison experiments. As first step we performed high fidelity simulations of the experimental facility setup, to analyze flow physics in such systems and validate NekRS and the MOOSE heat transfer and radiation modules.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Quantifying Energetic and Entropic Pathways in Molecular Systems

When examining dynamics occurring at nonzero temperatures, both energy and entropy must be taken into account to describe activated barrier crossing events. Furthermore, good reaction coordinates need to be constructed to describe different metastable states and the transition mechanisms between them. Here we use a physics-based machine learning method called state predictive information bottleneck (SPIB) to find nonlinear reaction coordinates for three systems of varying complexity. SPIB is able to correctly predict an entropic bottleneck for an analytical flat-energy double-well system and identify the entropy- and energy-dominated pathways for an analytical four-well system. Lastly, for a simulation of benzoic acid permeation through a lipid bilayer, SPIB is able to discover the entropic and energetic barriers to the permeation process. Given these results, we thus establish that SPIB is a reasonable and robust method for finding the important entropy, energy, and enthalpy barriers in physical systems, which can then be used to enhance the understanding and sampling of different activated mechanisms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Hierarchical Testing of a Hybrid Machine Learning‐Physics Global Atmosphere Model

Machine learning (ML)-based models have demonstrated high skill and computational efficiency, often outperforming conventional physics-based models in weather and subseasonal predictions. While prior studies have assessed their fidelity in capturing synoptic-scale atmospheric dynamics, their performance across timescales and under out-of-distribution forcing, such as +3K or +4K uniform-warming forcings, and the sources of biases remain elusive, to establish the model's reliability for Earth science. Here, we design three sets of experiments targeting synoptic-scale phenomena, interannual variability, and out-of-distribution uniform-warming forcings. We evaluate the Neural General Circulation Model (NeuralGCM), a hybrid model integrating a dynamical core with ML-based component, against observations and physics-based Earth system models (ESMs). At the synoptic scale, NeuralGCM captures the evolution and propagation of extratropical cyclones with performance comparable to ESMs. At the interannual scale, when forced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, NeuralGCM successfully reproduces associated teleconnection patterns but exhibits deficiencies in capturing nonlinear response. Under out-of-distribution uniform-warming forcings, NeuralGCM simulates similar responses in global-average temperature and precipitation and reproduces large-scale tropospheric circulation features similar to those in ESMs. Notable weaknesses include overestimating the tracks and spatial extent of extratropical cyclones, biases in the teleconnected wave train triggered by tropical SST anomalies, and differences in upper-level warming and stratospheric circulation responses to SST warming compared to physics-based ESMs. The causes of these weaknesses were explored. Despite the noted weaknesses, NeuralGCM reproduces responses across experiments reasonably and performs comparably to ESMs. By integrating a dynamical core with ML, NeuralGCM shows potential for developing ML-based ESMs.

global warming↗

Soft matter roadmap

Soft materials are usually defined as materials made of mesoscopic entities, often self-organised, sensitive to thermal fluctuations and to weak perturbations. Archetypal examples are colloids, polymers, amphiphiles, liquid crystals, foams. The importance of soft materials in everyday commodity products, as well as in technological applications, is enormous, and controlling or improving their properties is the focus of many efforts. From a fundamental perspective, the possibility of manipulating soft material properties, by tuning interactions between constituents and by applying external perturbations, gives rise to an almost unlimited variety in physical properties. Together with the relative ease to observe and characterise them, this renders soft matter systems powerful model systems to investigate statistical physics phenomena, many of them relevant as well to hard condensed matter systems. Understanding the emerging properties from mesoscale constituents still poses enormous challenges, which have stimulated a wealth of new experimental approaches, including the synthesis of new systems with, e.g. tailored self-assembling properties, or novel experimental techniques in imaging, scattering or rheology. Theoretical and numerical methods, and coarse-grained models, have become central to predict physical properties of soft materials, while computational approaches that also use machine learning tools are playing a progressively major role in many investigations. This Roadmap intends to give a broad overview of recent and possible future activities in the field of soft materials, with experts covering various developments and challenges in material synthesis and characterisation, instrumental, simulation and theoretical methods as well as general concepts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Emerging Jets Search, Triton Server Deployment, and Track Quality Development: Machine Learning Applications in High Energy Physics

Machine learning is becoming prevalent in high energy physics, with numerous applications in physics analyses and event reconstruction showing great improvements compared to traditional computing methods. This thesis studies three projects which each propose new avenues for machine learning applications within the high energy physics CMS experiment located at CERN. In the first project, a search for a dark matter signal called “emerging jets” is performed, using graph neural networks to greatly increase sensitivity to the signal’s signature within the data. The result of this dark matter search sets the most stringent exclusion limits to date on theoretical emerging jet models. Motivated by inefficiencies encountered when processing the emerging jet graph neural network at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory’s computing centers, the second project re-optimizes the computing centers for machine learning inference. This re-optimization uses NVIDIA Triton Inference Servers to process users’ analysis code heterogeneously, therefore achieving high processing throughput and decreasing user time-to-insight. The last project focuses on an upgrade to the CMS experiment’s real-time event selection system which improves physics object reconstruction under harsh processing conditions. A boosted decision tree is used to quickly and efficiently quantify a reconstructed particle’s “track quality” in order to remove particle tracks reconstructed erroneously. In summary, this thesis will not only present examples of how high energy physics can greatly benefit by leveraging machine learning techniques for physics analysis and reconstruction, but will also provide guidance on how the field can prepare for the inevitable increase in machine learning applications.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Physical vapor deposition simulator by graphical processor unit ray casting

This paper presents fast, accurate software for modeling physical vapor deposition systems over irregular surfaces. The model is implemented using graphics processing unit (GPU) ray casting. Applied models are viewed as a cross section of the area of interest. Given evaporation rate, time, and angular profiles in a vacuum system, an iterative time-step approach for calculating deposition profiles is calculated in the GPU architecture following a ballistic modeling approach. Thin-film technologies for the electronics industry will require evaporations on complex surfaces. Depending on the nature of the surface, a uniform thin film across the topology is wanted for various device parameters. The ray casting method is tested against various profiles. The code is freely distributed on GitHub (see https://github.com/adam-r-thomas/PVDS).

Engineering↗

Preventing native oxide formation in niobium thin films through platinum encapsulation

Superconducting transmon qubits are a key technology in quantum computing, with niobium (Nb) widely used due to its favorable superconducting properties and compatibility with scalable fabrication. However, the performance of Nb-based qubits is hindered by two-level systems (TLS), which arise predominantly from native oxide layers at surfaces and interfaces. These oxides and suboxides form rapidly in air and contribute significantly to decoherence by introducing dielectric losses. While various mitigation strategies, including thermal-annealing, chemical-etching, and nitrogen plasma treatment, have been explored, many are challenging to integrate into large-scale manufacturing due to complexity and instability in ambient conditions. In this study, we investigate the structural, chemical, and superconducting properties of room-temperature sputtered Nb thin films grown on sapphire substrates. We focus on a surface protection strategy using noble metal encapsulation with platinum (Pt) to suppress oxides and reduce TLS-related losses. Structural and chemical characterization were performed using X-ray diffraction, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and transmission electron microscopy. Superconducting properties were measured using a physical property measurement system. Results demonstrate that Pt encapsulation effectively suppresses surface oxidation and mitigates its detrimental impact on superconducting performance. In conclusion, this approach offers a promising path toward enhancing the coherence of Nb-based qubits while remaining compatible with scalable-fabrication processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Entity—Hardware-agnostic Particle-in-cell Code for Plasma Astrophysics. II. General Relativistic Module

Black hole (BH) environments often host plasmas that are fully collisionless or contain intrinsically collisionless regions, including relativistic jets and coronae, where particle energization is ubiquitous. Capturing the physics of these systems requires numerical methods capable of modeling relativistic, magnetized, collisionless plasmas in strong gravitational fields. In this work, we introduce the general relativistic module for Entity—the first open-source, coordinate-agnostic, performance-portable, particle-in-cell code. The code enables fast axisymmetric simulations of collisionless plasmas around BHs on any modern high-performance computing architecture (both GPUs and CPUs).

Galishnikova, Alisa [Flatiron Institute, New York,↗

Data-driven Quasi-static Surrogate Models for Nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems

The integration of nuclear power into energy systems presents a promising avenue to address the growing global energy demands while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we introduce a data-driven quasi-static surrogate model for nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems (IES) that comprises various components, including a small modular reactor (SMR), steam manifold, balance of plant (BOP), high-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE), and district heating (DH) system. Traditional physics-based models for these components often entail significant computational resource and time consumption, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. The development of a complete surrogate model for the IES involves the creation of individual surrogate models for each component, leveraging machine learning techniques and simulated data. These isolated surrogate models are subsequently integrated, enabling a holistic view of the IES and reducing the computational burden associated with detailed physics-based simulations. This paper outlines the development process, validation, and the performance evaluation of the surrogate models. The exceptional performance, with low root-mean-squared errors and R-squared scores of at least 99.8% across all individual surrogate models, underscores their accuracy and practical applicability. These results demonstrate the potential of these models to expedite the analysis of nuclear-powered IES, offering insights that can shape future research and development efforts.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Delocalization and Universality of the Fractional Quantum Hall Plateau-to-Plateau Transitions

Disorder and electron-electron interaction play essential roles in the physics of electron systems in condensed matter. In two-dimensional, quantum Hall systems, extensive studies of disorder-induced localization have led to the emergence of a scaling picture with a single extended state, characterized by a power-law divergence of the localization length in the zero-temperature limit. Experimentally, scaling has been investigated via measuring the temperature dependence of plateau-to-plateau transitions between the integer quantum Hall states (IQHSs), yielding a critical exponent κ ≃ 0.42. Here, in this study, we report scaling measurements in the fractional quantum Hall state (FQHS) regime where interaction plays a dominant role. Our Letter is partly motivated by recent calculations, based on the composite fermion theory, that suggest identical critical exponents in both IQHS and FQHS cases to the extent that the interaction between composite fermions is negligible. The samples used in our experiments are two-dimensional electron systems confined to GaAs quantum wells of exceptionally high quality. We find that κ varies for transitions between different FQHSs observed on the flanks of Landau level filling factor v = 1/2 and has a value close to that reported for the IQHS transitions only for a limited number of transitions between high-order FQHSs with intermediate strength. We discuss possible origins of the nonuniversal κ observed in our experiments.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Simulation of Methane Oxycombustion in Supercritical Carbon Dioxide

The Allam-Fetvedt Cycle (AFC) offers the potential for electricity generation with minimal or even negative carbon emissions by using oxycombustion in supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2). Because of the extreme high temperatures and pressures encountered in these systems, simulation of oxycombustion requires use of a complex equation of state such as the modified Soave-Redlich-Kwong (SRK) equation, coupled with equally complex correlations for transport properties. The current work simulates a model combustor using both an ideal gas equation of state and the SRK equation of state. The model combustor features a jet of CH4 mixing with and reacting with O2 in the sCO2 ambient. Two jet configurations are considered: one of pure CH4, and one of CH4 mixed with sCO2. Comparison of results shows that key output properties such as combustor temperature and flow distribution are impacted by the choice of equations of state. Inspection of simulation results shows that mixing and reaction rates, as well as the uniformity of the flow, are impacted by the choice of equation of state. These results show that even though use of a complex equation of state greatly increases the computational costs of these simulations, it is critical to accurately capturing the physics of these systems.

computational fluid dynamics↗

Explainable discrepancy checker and diagnosis for digital Twin-based supervisory control system

By virtually representing a physical object and process, a digital twin (DT) enables optimal autonomous operations by combining classical and novel frameworks in sensors, state predictions, and multi-input/multi-output systems. A DT’s values depend on how well models estimate quantities of interest and on how uncertainty is handled. Moreover, DTs often combine physics-based and data-driven models with mixed fidelities, where classical uncertainty quantification (UQ) struggles with many sources of uncertainty and real-time constraints. Here, this work presents a UQ-based discrepancy checking and diagnosis tool for a DT-based supervisory control system. The tool is developed using metadata from an automated DT development process to learn correlations between sources of uncertainties and outcomes. During operation, it compares predictions with measurements, attributes discrepancies to dominant sources, and recommends parameter and configuration updates. We verify the workflow on a synthetic temperature-control problem and deploy it on a virtual Thermal Energy Delivery System, reducing mismatch and improving control robustness.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Physics-constrained fault diagnosis framework for monitoring a multi-component thermal hydraulic system

A method for diagnosing faults includes receiving a system description of a thermal hydraulic system, the system description indicating a plurality of components and sensors. The method also includes constructing, based on physical conservations laws and using the system description, a plurality of physics-based models for the plurality of components, each of the plurality of physics-based models including unknown parameters. The method further includes receiving historical measurements and calibrating the physics-based models by calculating the unknown parameters of each of the physics-based models using the historical measurements to produce calibrated models. The method also includes receiving sensor measurements of the sensors, and calculating residuals corresponding to differences between measurements predicted by the plurality of calibrated models and the sensor measurements. The method also includes determining, based on the calculated residuals, a fault of a component or a sensor, and generating an alert indicating the fault.

Nguyen, Tat Nghia↗

Competing Charge/Spin-Stripe and Correlated Metal Phases in Trilayer Nickelates (Pr 1– x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8

We report low valent nickelates R n+1 Ni n O 2n+2 (R = rare earth) containing Ni 1+ (d 9 ) with a quasi-two-dimensional (quasi-2D) square-planar coordination geometry possess structural and electronic properties that are similar to those of high T c cuprates, including superconductivity itself in the doped infinite-layer (n = ∞) RNiO 2 system. Within this R n+1 Ni n O 2n+2 nickelate family, the crystallographic isomorphs Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 and La 4 Ni 3 O 8 exhibit singularly different ground states: Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 is metallic, and La 4 Ni 3 O 8 is a charge- and spin-stripe-ordered insulator. To explore and understand the ground state evolution from metallic Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 to stripe-ordered La 4 Ni 3 O 8 in the R 4 Ni 3 O 8 family, we have grown a series of isovalent, substituted single crystals (Pr 1-x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8 . Combining thermodynamic, transport, magnetic, and synchrotron X-ray single crystal diffraction measurements, we reveal a T = 0 transition between metallic and stripe-insulator phase regions, with this putative quantum phase transition at x ≈ 0.45. We propose two possible models for (Pr 1-x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8 : an electronically inhomogeneous system that could serve as a candidate for exploring quantum Griffiths phase physics or a homogeneous system with a clean quantum critical point at the phase boundary

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Role of collisionality and radiative cooling in supersonic plasma jet collisions of different materials

Currently there is considerable interest in creating scalable laboratory plasmas to study the mechanisms behind the formation and evolution of astrophysical phenomena such as Herbig-Haro objects and supernova remnants. Laboratory-scaled experiments can provide a well diagnosed and repeatable supplement to direct observations of these extraterrestrial objects if they meet similarity criteria demonstrating that the same physics govern both systems. Here, we present a study on the role of collision and cooling rates on shock formation using colliding jets from opposed conical wire arrays on a compact pulsed-power driver. These diverse conditions were achieved by changing the wire material feeding the jets, since the ion-ion mean free path (λmfp-ii) and radiative cooling rates (Prad) increase with atomic number. Low Z carbon flows produced smooth, temporally stable shocks. Weakly collisional, moderately cooled aluminum flows produced strong shocks that developed signs of thermal condensation instabilities and turbulence. Weakly collisional, strongly cooled copper flows collided to form thin shocks that developed inconsistently and fragmented. Effectively collisionless, strongly cooled tungsten flows interpenetrated, producing long axial density perturbations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗