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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 973 records · Page 54

A reforecasting-based dynamic reserve estimation for variable renewable generation and demand uncertainty

The installed capacity of renewables-based energy sources has been increasing in traditional power systems. In order to accommodate the increased variability and uncertainty associated with the deeper penetration of renewable sources like solar and wind, adjusted amounts of dynamic reserve are needed. Although probabilistic dynamic reserve estimation methods have been previously developed, most of them consider the uncertainty to be represented by parametric density functions that tend to perform poorly under extreme events and, moreover, neglect uncertainty introduced by the forecasting model itself. Toward addressing these limitations, this work presents, for the first time, a dynamic reserve estimation method for flexibility that incorporates nonparametric density estimation and a machine learning based reforecasting to provide a day-ahead prediction of the mean and spread of uncertainty around the base forecast. The prediction is, in turn, used to estimate the up and down reserve relative to the base forecast. Here, the present method takes various endogenous and exogenous features, including the calendar variables, as input to estimate the day-ahead reserve. Using a combination of reforecasting and dynamic reserve estimation techniques, the method is shown to adjust better to the dynamic nature of reserve requirements providing only what is needed to accommodate the expected deviations. Considering California Independent System Operator (CAISO) solar, wind and load data over an 18 month period, up to 67% reduction in the amount of reserve capacity needed for a one day reserve and reserve penalty for solar uncertainty is demonstrated. Additionally, the risk of reserve insufficiency in meeting the net demand is reduced by 20% with the proposed method.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Multi-cycle reload analysis of a long cycle gas-cooled fast modular reactor

There is currently significant interest in deploying HALEU-fueled fast reactors, including the General Atomics (GA) Fast Modular Reactor (FMR). Such reactors can achieve very long fuel cycles, but with multi-batch loading will take decades to reach equilibrium. This motivates design and analysis of both the initial core and multi-cycle reload, which is typically performed using fast-running, deterministic fast reactor codes such as the Argonne Reactor Computation (ARC) codes. In this paper, multicycle reload of the GA FMR is analyzed using the ARC codes. The GA FMR utilizes 19.75 % enriched fuel in a 16 year cycle with a three-batch strategy, with twice-burned fuel placed on the core periphery. The GA FMR has a softened neutron spectrum due to reflecting elements in the core, so the neutronic solution is first benchmarked against the OpenMC Monte Carlo code. Discrepancy on k eff is 400–600 pcm, likely due to the softened neutron spectrum, heterogeneous fuel assembly design and central reflector. However, the rms discrepancy on the assembly power distribution is only 0.6 %, despite the presence of the central reflector. A reload strategy is devised for the first three cycles of such a reactor, ultimately spanning the first 45–48 years of its operation. The fresh core uses 19.75 %, 19.25 % and 16.75 % enriched fuel in place of fresh, once-burned and twice-burned and is then subsequently refueled with only 19.75 % enriched fuel. The cycle length is varied over 3 cycles of operation to balance fuel utilization and reactor availability, specifically with use of an extended 18-year Cycle 1, followed by a shortened 11-year Cycle 2. Cycle 3 is close to the target 16-year length. Finally, placing twice burned assemblies next to the GA FMR central reflector can reduce power peaking by 3 %, at the expense of slightly reducing the cycle length.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Advanced Characterization of Solid-State Battery Materials Using Neutron Scattering Techniques

Advanced batteries require advanced characterization techniques, and neutron scattering is one of the most powerful experimental methods available for studying next-generation battery materials. Neutron scattering offers a non-destructive method to probe the complex structural and chemical processes occurring in batteries during operation in truly in situ/in operando measurements with a high sensitivity to battery-relevant elements such as lithium. Neutrons have energies comparable to the energies of excitations in materials and wavelengths comparable to atomic distances in the solid state, thus giving access to study structural and dynamical properties of materials on an atomic scale. In this review, a broad overview of selected neutron scattering techniques is presented to illustrate how neutron scattering can be used to gain invaluable information of solid-state battery materials, with a focus on in situ/in operando methods. These techniques span multiple decades of length and time scales to uncover the complex processes taking place fundamentally on the atomic scale and to determine how these processes impact the macroscale properties and performance of functional battery systems. This review serves the solid-state battery research community by examining how the unique capabilities of neutron scattering can be applied to answer critical and unresolved questions of materials research in this field. A thorough and broad perspective is provided with numerous practical examples showing these techniques in action for battery research.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Economic Extraction and Recovery of REEs and Production of Clean Value-Added Products from Low-Rank Coal Fly Ash

The University of North Dakota (UND) Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) teamed with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) , the North Dakota Industrial Commission Lignite Research Program, and commercial partners Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Great River Energy, and Southern Company to execute a Cooperative Agreement funded by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) focused on identifying unique pathways and pretreatments to extract rare-earth elements (REEs) from low-rank coal (LRC) ash in a more economical and environmentally benign manner than current methods. The EERC drew upon the unique and deep knowledge of the team regarding LRC geochemistry, ash transformation mechanisms during combustion, and fly ash chemistry in the approach to understand the portioning of REEs in LRC ash. A comprehensive characterization effort was undertaken to fully establish the form, associations, and partitioning of the REEs and other elements/minerals of interest in fly ash, as well as the ash chemistry, mineralogy, and morphology. Using this information, the team tested methods of REE extraction to take advantage of the unique and advantageous properties of LRC ash. Multiple complementary approaches were evaluated that combined both novel and proven methods to develop an extractive process for REEs and other high-value metals from LRC ash that provide technological and economic progress on the current state of the art. Methodologies were also evaluated for the potential to synergistically remove toxic metals while extracting other high-value metals from the ash, generating a clean, safe ash material as a value-added product. This would eliminate waste and offer significant additional revenue potential. Based on laboratory-scale testing, an initial high-level technical and economic analysis to estimate operating expenses and product revenues to guide future phases of technology development was implemented. By focusing on minimizing process steps and consumptive use of extraction solutions, a tunable, economically viable process for REE extraction from LRC ash was developed. The tunable process has the ability to be adjusted to adapt to the differing ash chemical and physical properties that are characteristic of LRC ash. This is key to deployment as a commercial process. In demonstrating the process, the EERC was able to illustrate mixed REE concentration greater than the goal of 2 wt%. High-level economic analysis of the process with LRC ash of moderate REE levels demonstrated the potential of the process, but recovery of just the REEs was insufficient to cover operational costs. With the additional extraction of other high-value metals found in LRC ash, the process economics approach would break even, and it is anticipated that with process optimization, the developed process could potentially be economically sound. The same economic analysis performed utilizing LRC ash with high levels of REEs showed the recovery of the REEs alone would make the process economically viable even without further optimization.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Parallel Multigrid in Time and Space for Extreme-Scale Computational Science: Chaotic and Hyperbolic Problems

The coming massive parallelism of exascale computing presents a pressing challenge for the many DOE simulations of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs), which typically use traditional sequential time stepping methods. Since this traditional approach is inherently serial, it presents a sequential bottleneck when moving to exascale computing, because future performance gains will come through greater concurrency, not faster clock speeds. Thus, the goal of this work is to research parallelism in time, i.e., methods that compute multiple time values simultaneously, not sequentially. The focus will be on hyperbolic and chaotic problems of interest to DOE, with the goal of enabling scalable simulations of time-dependent hyperbolic and chaotic problems on future architectures. The chosen methodology for solving these problems parallel-in-time is multigrid, because multigrid (when it works) is a powerful, optimal, and scalable solver for discretized PDEs. Multigrid is already commonly used in many DOE simulations for scalably and optimally solving space-only PDE problems. The areas of hyperbolic and chaotic problems are chosen because of their relevance to problems of programmatic interest to DOE. However, these problems are also well-known to be difficult for parallelin-time methods, with the most common method, parareal, diverging in many cases. The current stateof-the-art for parallel-in-time at LLNL is the multigrid reduction in time (MGRIT) XBraid package, which also struggles for such problems, while still showing some improvement over parareal. In summary, new methods are needed for an efficient parallel-in-time scheme for hyperbolic and chaotic problems, and this work shall research promising new multigrid methods in this area. In particular, we take inspiration from the Least Squares Shadowing (LSS by Wang) approach for solving chaotic problems. Here, an optimization approach is able to find “well-conditioned” shadow trajectories/solutions to the original “ill-conditioned” chaotic problem. Thus, the new multigrid methods researched here also arise in an optimization context.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Hanford Lead Canister Collaboration

The Hanford Site, Management of the Cesium and Strontium Capsules (MCSC) Project is preparing to place cesium and strontium material into dry storage using stainless steel canisters that are housed inside vertical concrete casks. Part of the site’s aging management program is to use a spare canister system as a leading indicator canister to provide advance warning for signs of chloride induced stress corrosion cracking (CISCC) or any other kind of canister degradation that might take place over the system’s 300-year design life. The Hanford Lead Canister (HLC) will use electric heaters to simulate the decay heat of cesium and strontium to ensure the HLC simulates the environment and conditions the capsule-loaded systems will experience. In addition to being part of the site’s aging management program, the HLC is being made available for research and development that advances the industry regarding canister mitigation and repair (M&R). The HLC system closely resembles current spent nuclear fuel (SNF) dry storage systems, making the HLC useful for demonstrating technologies or performing research that is relevant to SNF canisters . Several organizations are collaborating to prepare the HLC, along with technical strategy, to perform the needed research and development activities, to include the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Central Plateau Cleanup Company (CPCCo), and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). In one example of this collaborative research, EPRI is planning to use the HLC to demonstrate in-situ M&R technologies under controlled conditions before the HLC is deployed at Hanford. There is a period of several years when the HLC will be available for canister M&R activity before it is deployed. This paper describes the development of the HLC, its role in the Hanford site’s MCSC Project aging management program, and some of the research activities that are planned for the HLC.

Klymyshyn, Nicholas A.↗

Why is My Zero Energy Home Not a Zero Carbon Home?

For years, carbon calculations were done very simply. The method of calculation was to take annual totals of energy consumption and multiply by an average emission factor, either for the grid serving a project or for a larger region (e.g. an EPA eGRID sub region). The level of accuracy of this approximation was reasonably good, although the issue of accuracy was not, to our knowledge, tested. And the data required were minimal – just a year’s worth of bills for each fuel and one lookup factor. But this method assures that a net zero energy home is automatically a net zero carbon home because zero times any possible emission factor is still zero. Starting in the early 2010s, things changed – grids were starting to rely more and more heavily on renewables, and the difference was showing up on aggregate load curves. This was perhaps noticed first in California, where aggressive renewable policies led to significant renewable power generation large enough to affect the overall shape of the diurnal load curve for the Independent Systems Operator.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The coset construction for non-equilibrium systems

We propose a systematic coset construction of non-equilibrium effective field theories (EFTs) governing the long-distance and late-time dynamics of relativistic, finite-temperature condensed matter systems. Our non-equilibrium coset construction makes significant advances beyond more standard coset constructions in that it takes advantage of recently-developed techniques, which allow the formulation of non-equilibrium effective actions that account for quantum and thermal fluctuations as well as dissipation. Because these systems exist at finite temperature, the EFTs live on the closed-time-path of the Schwinger-Keldysh contour. Since the coset construction and the non-equilibrium effective actions may be unfamiliar to many readers, we include brief introductions to these topics in an effort to make this paper self-contained. To demonstrate the legitimacy of this coset construction, we successfully reproduce the known EFTs for fluids and superfluids at finite temperature. Then, to demonstrate its utility, we construct novel EFTs for solids, supersolids, and four phases of liquid crystals, all at finite temperature. We thereby combine the non-equilibrium effective action and the coset construction to create a powerful tool that can be used to study many-body systems out of thermal equilibrium.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Electromagnetic energy calibration of the SoLid detector with horizontal muons

SoLid is a neutrino experiment at very-short baselinesearching for active-to-sterile oscillations of reactorantineutrinos. The detection principle is based on the pairing oftwo types of solid scintillators: polyvinyl toluene and $^{6}$Li:ZnS(Ag), which is a new technology used in this field ofPhysics. In addition to good neutron-gamma discrimination, thissetup allows the detector to be highly segmented; the basicdetection unit is a 5 cm cube. High segmentation provides numerousadvantages including precise localisation of the Inverse Beta Decay(IBD) products, the derivation of an antineutrino energy estimatorbased on the isolated positron energy, and a powerful backgroundreduction tool that relies on the topological signature of thesignal. Finally, the system is read out by a network ofwavelength-shifting fibres coupled to photosensors. A relativeelectromagnetic calibration is performed with horizontal cosmicmuons. This source poses the simplest calibration problem in which asingle detection unit is involved. In addition, large muon energydeposits allow us to perform a calibration at the most detailedlevel (i.e. per fibre) and to accurately define the fraction ofenergy escaping to neighbouring detection cells. A statisticalprecision at the sub-percent level is reached. The paper alsodiscusses two methods to calibrate the absolute energy scale andpresents their implementation and results. The first method relieson horizontal muons, though the precision is limited to around 10%because of the uncertainty in the energy distribution of suchmuons. A novel, alternative method based on the radioactiveamericium-beryllium source is proposed. It takes advantage of theelectron-positron pair-production process and provides a calibrationpoint at 3.4 MeV (i.e. in the core of the IBD positronspectrum). The paper is concluded with various cross-check includinga determination of the energy spectrum of the standard cosmogenicbackground candle: $^{12}$B.

Abreu, Y. [Antwerp U.]↗

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage hub development on the Gulf Coast

Abstract The Gulf Coast of the United States hosts diverse power generation, refining, and petrochemical processing facilities, resulting in the nation's largest volumetric concentration of industrial CO 2 emissions, rivaled only by the Ohio River Valley. These emissions sources are concentrated in specific industrial clusters that allow combining emissions streams to achieve economies of scale. The region is currently undergoing globally significant industrial expansion and investment as a result of abundant and inexpensive regional unconventional natural gas availability, and is a growing exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Opportunities to integrate CO 2 emission management within the diverse energy chains in the region are volumetrically significant and include both concentrated and dilute sources. Significant examples of capture, transport, and storage exist. Offshore storage is particularly attractive, as it provides simplified land leasing models (single governmental land owner), proven reservoir quality, and presents fewer risks to both protected groundwater and populated areas. Projects can now take advantage of recently expanded opportunities under section 45Q of the Internal Revenue Service tax code. The region continues to evolve as an active carbon‐handling hub, and is uniquely suited to justify additional investment in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies via a large‐scale integrated project development. Continued development of integrated projects will allow the region to continue to grow economically within its strong fossil‐fuel handling competence focus while advancing low‐carbon energy technologies that maintain globally competitiveness. © 2021 The Authors. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

45Q↗

Sizing Small-Scale Renewable Energy Systems for the Navajo Nation and Rural Communities

The Navajo Nation consists of about 55,000 residential homes spread across 27,000 square miles of trust land in the Southwest region of the United States. The Navajo Tribal Utility Authority (NTUA) reports that approximately 15,000 homes on the reservation do not have electricity due to the high costs of connecting rural homes located miles from utility distribution lines. In order to get these rural homeowners access electricity, NTUA and other Native owned companies are examining small-scale renewable energy systems to provide power for necessary usage such as lighting and refrigeration. The goal of this study is to evaluate the current renewable deployment efforts and provide additional considerations for photovoltaic (PV) systems that will optimize performance and improve efficiency to reduce costs. There are three case studies presented in different locations on the Navajo Nation with varying solar resource and energy load requirements. For each location, an assessment is completed that includes environmental parameters of the site- specific landscape and a system performance analysis of an off-grid residential PV system. The technical process, repeated for each location, demonstrates how the variance and uniqueness of each household can impact the system requirements after optimizations are applied. Therefore, the household variabilities and difference in locations must be considered. The differing results of each case study suggests additional analysis is needed for designing small-scale PV systems that takes a home-land-family specific approach to allow for better efficiency and more flexibility for future solar innovations to be considered for overall cost reductions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Outage Cause Classification of Power Distribution Systems with Machine Learning and Real-World Data

Power distribution systems are geographically dispersed by nature. It may be affected by various factors, such as vegetation, weather, animal and human behaviors. Present response procedures to an outage event massively rely on expert experience and thus tend to be time-consuming. Automatic outage event detection and classification will help to reduce the responding and restoration time. However, this issue is less addressed with existing research done in this area. In this applied research, a set of waveform pre-processing techniques are first proposed to prepare the waveform data for being used as inputs to the classification algorithm. Further, a machine learning-based algorithm is proposed to classify the outage events according to their root causes, e.g. tree contact, animal contact, lightning, etc. Available data include three phase current & voltage waveforms and contextual information during the distribution system outages. The proposed machine learning algorithm takes the current and voltage waveforms as direct inputs in search of features that humans are unable to capture. Real data provided by a distribution company in the East Tennessee region is used to test the proposed pre-processing techniques and the classification algorithm.

Sun, Haoyuan↗

Scalability of Real-time Distribution Models

This work will focus on developing the capabilities and validating the models for a sub transmission network with multiple feeders and microgrids. To achieve this scale of Hardware-in-the-loop (HitL) simulation, it is necessary to federate and collaborate. The work aims to design the large-scale feeder models to allow federation with complementary testbeds in the future. The feeder would be designed to be reconfigurable to put the system into a variety of modes. Aggregators models will be included in each distribution network’s federate to take control actions and interact with the management systems. Lastly, the feeder model will support large scale resilience studies involving complex Distributed Energy Resources (DER) controls, microgrid studies and emulation of complex data flows in future grid architectures.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Unification Framework for Euclidean and Hyperbolic Graph Neural Networks

Hyperbolic neural networks have recently gained significant attention due to their promising results on several graph problems including node classification and link prediction. The primary reason for this success is the effectiveness of hyperbolic space in capturing the inherent hierarchy of graph datasets. However, they are limited in terms of generalization, scalability, and have inferior performance when applied to non-hierarchical datasets. In this paper, we take a completely different perspective for modeling hyperbolic networks and answer the following question: is an Euclidean model able to approximate a function or behavior in the hyperbolic space? Extending the universal approximation theory developed for Euclidean models, We draw an analogy from the hyperbolic components to the Euclidean counterparts and conclude that, in order to capture hierarchical features, it is possible to generalize hyperbolic models to be a special case of Euclidean models with the proposed Pseudo-Poincaré technique. We applied our non-linear hyperbolic normalization to the current state-of-the-art homogeneous and multi-relational graph networks and demonstrate significant improvements in performance compared to both Euclidean and hyperbolic counterparts. The primary impact of this work lies in its ability to capture hierarchical features in the Euclidean space, and thus, can replace hyperbolic networks without any loss in performance metrics while simultaneously leveraging the power of Euclidean networks such as interpretability and efficient execution of various model components.

Khatir, Mehrdad↗

A Multiphysics Multiscale Simulation Platform for Damage, Environmental Degradation, and Life Prediction of CMCs in Extreme Environments

This project successfully developed a multiphysics, multiscale computational framework to enhance the design and development of CMCs, with a focus on modeling highly nonlinear, time-dependent damage mechanisms and material degradation under extreme conditions, such as those experienced in turbine service environments. The project made significant advances in improving our understanding of progressive damage, oxidative degradation, and time-dependent inelastic deformation in CMCs, with particular attention to the role of uncertainties in predictions. Key outcomes include the integration of advanced material characterization, uncertainty quantification, and multiphysics constitutive models to predict the behavior of CMCs over their service life. A novel multiscale methodology was employed, which integrated microscale constituent behaviors with structural-scale responses, enabling the manufacturing defects in the microstructure that are prone to damage nucleation. Through the development of DL algorithms, the project advanced the prediction of damage initiation and crack propagation, taking into account the defect morphology and statistical variations across multiple scales. The framework was rigorously validated using thermomechanical experiments, which tested CMCs under various mechanical loadings at elevated temperatures, further enhancing the model's predictive capability. Overall, the research outcomes have provided a more accurate, reliable method for predicting CMC component life, significantly advancing material design, and improving component reliability in extreme environments. This work has strong implications for the optimization of turbine components and other high-performance applications where CMCs are used.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Analyzing the upscaling potential and geospatial siting of calcination-free calcium hydroxide production in the United States

This study evaluates the techno-economic feasibility and the embodied carbon dioxide intensity (eCI) of a novel process for producing nominally pure (>95 mass %) calcium hydroxide without the need for the thermal calcination of limestone. The process relies on the aqueous extraction of calcium from alkaline industrial wastes following which portlandite (Ca(OH) 2 : CH, a.k.a. slaked lime or hydrated lime) is precipitated by application of a waste-heat based thermal swing. This approach takes advantage of the temperature dependent solubility of CH at ambient pressure. We evaluated the feasibility of implementing this process in the U.S. based on the geospatial availability of waste heat and slags as a Ca-source. For the base case, the cost of production of “Low-Temperature Portlandite (LTP)” is 2-to-3 times that of traditional portlandite (~$180/tonne). The main driver of cost is the electricity demand for reverse osmosis (RO) which is used to concentrate Ca-ions in solution, and the costs of membrane replacement. Our sensitivity analysis showed that parity with the cost of production of traditional portlandite is readily achievable by selecting membranes with better durability (i.e., better pH resistance) and flux (i.e., higher permeability) without sacrificing selectivity. Significantly, LTP features an eCI that is between 40%- and - 80 % lower than its traditional counterpart when electricity is sourced from natural gas combustion or wind power, respectively. Finally, our geospatial analysis reveals that there are three areas in the U.S. with the potential for implementation of industrial-scale facilities that could produce at least 50 tonnes of pure Ca(OH) 2 per day, while achieving a production cost of ~$270 per tonne of Ca(OH) 2 , owing to the proximity between slag feedstocks and waste heat sources.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Development and Demonstration of a Risk-Informed Approach to the Regulatory Required Fuel Reload Safety Analysis

The United States (U.S.) nuclear industry is facing a strong challenge to maintain regulatory-required levels of safety while ensuring economic competitiveness to stay in business. Safety remains a key parameter for all aspects related to the operation of light water reactor (LWR) nuclear power plants (NPPs) and can be achieved more economically by using a risk-informed ecosystem such as that being developed by the Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program. The LWRS Program is promoting a wide range of research and development (R&D) activities with the goal to maximize both the safety and economically efficient performance of NPPs through improved scientific understanding, especially given that many plants are considering second license renewal. The RISA Pathway has two main goals: (1) the deployment of methodologies and technologies that enable better representation of safety margins and the factors that contribute to cost and safety; and (2) the development of advanced applications that enable cost-effective plant operation. The plant reload optimization framework development project aims to build an artificial intelligence, i.e., Genetic Algorithm (GA), based reactor core designing tool taking into account reactor safety and fuel performance analyses.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Accelerating discoveries at DIII-D with the Integrated Research Infrastructure

DIII-D research is being accelerated by leveraging high performance computing (HPC) and data resources available through the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC) Superfacility initiative. As part of this initiative, a high-resolution, fully automated, whole discharge kinetic equilibrium reconstruction workflow was developed that runs at the NERSC for most DIII-D shots in under 20 min. This has eliminated a long-standing research barrier and opened the door to more sophisticated analyses, including plasma transport and stability. These capabilities would benefit from being automated and executed within the larger Department of Energy Advanced Scientific Computing Research program’s Integrated Research Infrastructure (IRI) framework. The goal of IRI is to empower researchers to meld DOE’s world-class research tools, infrastructure, and user facilities seamlessly and securely in novel ways to radically accelerate discovery and innovation. For transport, we are looking at producing flux matched profiles and also using particle tracing to predict fast ion heat deposition from neutral beam injection before a shot takes place. Our starting point for evaluating plasma stability focuses on the pedestal limits that must be navigated to achieve better confinement. This information is meant to help operators run more effective experiments, so it needs to be available rapidly inside the DIII-D control room. So far this has been achieved by ensuring the data is available with existing tools, but as more novel results are produced new visualization tools must be developed. In addition, all of the high-quality data we have generated has been collected into databases that can unlock even deeper insights. This has already been leveraged for model and code validation studies as well as for developing AI/ML surrogates. The workflows developed for this project are intended to serve as prototypes that can be replicated on other experiments and can be run to provide timely and essential information for ITER, as well as next stage fusion power plants.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗