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DOE OSTI2025

Total Column Infrared Trace Species in Baltimore Field Campaign Report

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility Coast-Urban-Rural Atmospheric Gradient Experiment (CoURAGE), including the first ARM Mobile Facility (AMF1), occurred during 2025 at a site in Baltimore, Maryland owned by Morgan State University. Our goal was to supplement the measurements taken by locating a Bruker EM27/SUN spectrometer at the site to make total column measurements of trace gases in the near-infrared. This EM27 location was one of six locations in the Washington, D.C./Maryland region during the summer of 2025, and the network of observations was intended to help us better understand emissions in the region, as well as how emissions interact with meteorology to affect air quality and other atmospheric attributes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the Whole Set of Accurate Sparse Interpretable Models

In data science applications, there are often many models that fit the data well. This phenomenon was called the Rashomon Effect by Leo Breiman. The set of good models is called the Rashomon Set, and the goal of this project is to locate, store, and study the Rashomon sets for classes of interpretable models, including decision trees and generalized additive models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Over three decades, and counting, of near-surface turbulent flux measurements from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility

Processes mediating the coupling of terrestrial, aquatic, biospheric, and atmospheric systems influence weather, climate, and ecosystem dynamics via transfer of energy, momentum, water, and carbon (or other species). These exchange processes are quantified by measurements of near-surface turbulent fluxes. Understanding processes at these interfaces provides insight toward understanding and predicting current and future states within the Earth system. The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility has been conducting measurements of near-surface turbulent fluxes since the early 1990s at long-term fixed locations and shorter-term mobile deployments across the Earth. ARM has utilized two established methods for conducting these measurements: energy balance Bowen ratio (EBBR) and eddy covariance (EC). Primary measurements from the former include sensible and latent heat flux, while the latter also measures fluxes of momentum and carbon (primarily carbon dioxide, with methane fluxes measured at two locations to date). The EBBR systems have been deployed at 22 locations, and, to date, the EC systems have been deployed at over 50 sites, with plans for additional novel site locations in the future. Herein, the history, evolution, and key aspects of these instrument systems are documented, along with information on data quality assurance and post-processing, as well as best use practices. Additionally, three data validation experiments were recently conducted, and their key findings are summarized. Finally, ancillary datasets acquired by ARM, which can contextualize and aid interpretation of the near-surface turbulent flux measurements, are discussed. The datasets described herein include the eddy correlation flux measurement system: 30ECOR (https://doi.org/10.5439/1879993, Sullivan et al., 1997), 30QCECOR (https://doi.org/10.5439/1097546, Gaustad, 2003), ECORSF (https://doi.org/10.5439/1494128, Sullivan et al., 2019a), and associated AmeriFlux and Methane Value-Added Product, AMCMETHANE (https://doi.org/10.5439/1508268, Billesbach, 2011); the energy balance Bowen ratio system: 30EBBR (https://doi.org/10.5439/1023895, Sullivan et al., 1993) and 30BAEBBR (https://doi.org/10.5439/1027268, Gaustad and Xie, 1993); and the carbon dioxide flux measurement system: CO2FLX (https://doi.org/10.5439/1287574, https://doi.org/10.5439/1287575, https://doi.org/10.5439/1287576, Koontz et al., 2015a, b, c; https://doi.org/10.5439/1989774, https://doi.org/10.5439/1989776, https://doi.org/10.5439/1992202, Biraud and Chan, 2002a, b, c). These data can be found by searching the above data stream names at https://adc.arm.gov/discovery/#/results/ (last access: 8 September 2025).

Sullivan, Ryan C. [Argonne National Laboratory (AN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Assessment of Clonal Expansion Using CarcSeq Measurement of Lung Cancer Driver Mutations and Correlation With Mouse Strain- and Sex-Related Incidence of Spontaneous Lung Neoplasia

Quantification of variation in levels of spontaneously occurring cancer driver mutations (CDMs) was developed to assess clonal expansion and predict future risk of neoplasm development. Specifically, an error-corrected next-generation sequencing method, CarcSeq, and a mouse CarcSeq panel (analogous to human and rat panels) were developed and used to quantify low-frequency mutations in a panel of amplicons enriched in hotspot CDMs. Mutations in a subset of panel amplicons, Braf, Egfr, Kras, Stk11, and Tp53, were related to incidence of lung neoplasms at 2 years. This was achieved by correlating median absolute deviation (MAD) from the overall median mutant fraction (MF) measured in the lung DNA of 16-week-old male and female, B6C3F1 and CD-1 mice (10 mice/sex/strain) with percentages of spontaneous alveolar/bronchioloalveolar adenomas and carcinomas reported in bioassay control groups. A total of 1586 mouse lung mutants with MFs > x 10-4 were recovered. The ratio of nonsynonymous to synonymous mutations was used to assess the proportion of recovered mutations conferring a positive selective advantage. The greatest ratio was observed in what is considered the most lung tumor-sensitive model examined, male B6C3F1 mice. Of the recurrent, nonsynonymous mouse mutations recovered, 55.5% have been reported in human tumors, with many located in or around the mouse equivalent of human cancer hotspot codons. MAD for the same subset of amplicons measured in normal human lung DNA samples showed a correlation of moderate strength and borderline significance with age (a cancer risk factor), as well as age-related cumulative lung cancer risk, suggesting MAD may inform species extrapolation.

Toxicology↗

DOE OSTI2020

Development of the Mobile Systems for Conditioning of Disused Sealed Radioactive Sources in Serbia - 20105

Sealed radioactive sources (SRS) are being used worldwide in the field of medicine, agriculture, industry and research. They can be found in mobile as well as stationary devices. SRS contains radioactive material that is (a) permanently sealed in a capsule or (b) closely bounded and in a solid form. The capsule or material of an SRS should be strong enough to maintain leak tightness under the conditions of use and purpose for which the source was designed, also in case of accidents. In this case only emitted radiation is utilized. Firstly, the hazard from external radiation has to be considered, but the possibility of contamination due to fracture of the capsule should not be disregarded. The radioactive sources are composed of the radiating isotope contained in the filling medium, the single or double isotope holder that partially or totally surrounds the filling medium, the outer cover that contains the parts mentioned above and the capsule closed airtightly by welding or using some other method. The capsule must be tested for leakage periodically. If the SRS is no longer needed (e.g. replaced by a different technique) or it becomes useless for the intended application (e.g. the activity becomes too weak, the equipment containing the source works poorly or becomes obsolete, the source is damaged or leaking) it is considered disused. Disused sealed radioactive sources (DSRS) are typically conditioned and disposed if a facility is available. If the disposal option is not available, conditioned DSRS should be stored under proper conditions. In some cases, the radionuclide(s) in DSRS can be recovered/recycled or the DSRS can be repurposed for other applications. Conditioning of DSRS ensures containment of the radioactive material, provides confinement for leaking sources, provides sufficient radiation shielding, reduces storage/disposal volume by allowing consolidation of multiple sources into a single storage/disposal container, facilitates transport operations and contributes to safety and security as well. Typically, conditioning technologies are deployed either as permanently installed stationary systems in centralized or mobile on-site waste processing facilities, or in a mobile configuration. Centralized stationary facilities provide a single processing location for multiple users that requires transport of the waste to the facility. On the other hand, mobile systems may be provided for the selection and application of the optimum technology for a specific waste stream (such as DSRS) by bringing the process to the point where the waste is generated. In addition, mobile systems could offer additional flexibility by sharing equipment among multiple waste generating sites for processing campaigns that vary in duration, from very short periods to several years. The term 'mobile processing system' refers to any radioactive waste processing system or component which is designed to be transportable and which is not considered permanently installed. Two mobile system for conditioning of disused sealed radioactive sources are developed in the Public Company Nuclear Facilities of Serbia. Development of these mobile systems was supported by SRB9005 national project via Technical Cooperation of the IAEA. The first mobile system, built inside the 20 feet ISO container, will be used for conditioning of DSRS category 3 to 5. The second mobile system, built inside the 7 m long vehicle (Iveco Daily Van), will be used for dismantling of ionizing smoke detectors mostly with Am-241 sources. Designs of the mobile systems were defined in cooperation with two companies from Belgium (Belgoprocess and Leniko) and a Croatian company Ekoteh as well as with the support of the IAEA experts. The generic safety assessment and operational procedures for the mobile systems are developed. Based on safety assessment the acceptance criteria and operational limits and conditions are established. Operational procedures include: (a) equipment and material requirements, (b) assembling procedure of the mobile unit, (c) procedure for acceptance of devices for dismantling and conditioning, (d) dismantling procedure for devices to recover the DSRS, (e) characterization of DSRS, (f) encapsulation procedure of DSRS, (g) disassembling procedure of the mobile unit, and (h) keeping records, identification and traceability. In addition, radiation safety, health safety, security and emergency preparedness plans are prepared. The generic safety assessment and operational procedures could be updated with site specific requirements, DSRS inventory, and different needs for future customers. Developed mobile systems could be used in all situations when it is feasible to perform conditioning of DSRS on the spot in the county and worldwide. Development of these mobile units was just the first step to create the Reference Center for Radioactive Waste Treatment and Disused Radioactive Sources Conditioning for Small Facilities which can become a regional training center in the future, and/or as a tool for comprehensive national search and secure programmes. In the next phases development of e-learning platforms and blended learning packages as well as application for the IAEA Qualified Technical Centre (QTC) for the management of DSRS is foreseen. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2026

Energy and Comfort Impacts of High Performance Facades in Office Buildings

Building facades have a major effect on energy use, occupant comfort, and well-being. Yet adoption of high-performance facades is often slowed by limited data and unclear cost benefits. To address this gap, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, in collaboration with the Facade Tectonics Institute, conducted whole-building energy simulations to evaluate fenestration technologies for small and medium office buildings across three weather locations: hot (Tampa, Florida, weather zone 2A), mixed (New York, New York, weather zone 4A), and cold (Rochester, Minnesota, weather zone 6A). The simulations included parametric variations in window-to-wall ratio (30%–70%), U-values (0.1–1 Btu/h∙ft 2 ∙°F), solar heat gain coefficients (0.2–0.8), and solar control strategies and devices (e.g., interior shades and switchable glazing). Performance metrics included annual cooling, heating, and total heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) energy use intensity, as well as nonenergy factors such as useful daylight illuminance, glare frequency, and thermal comfort during typical office hours (8 a.m.–6 p.m.). Results indicate that cooling energy consumption is most sensitive to solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) in hot weather, whereas heating energy consumption is strongly influenced by U-value in cold weather. Total HVAC reflects these trade-offs, showing up to 60% difference for a window in total HVAC energy use intensity between different combinations of U-value and SHGC. Daylight dimming generally reduces cooling loads but can increase heating demands in colder locations. Interior solar shades improve useful daylight and reduce discomfort glare, whereas switchable glazing delivers the largest cooling reductions in hot weather but may increase heating loads in winter by limiting passive solar gains. Thermal comfort improves with lower window-to-wall ratios and lower SHGC in hot locations and with lower U-values in cold locations.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Prairie State Generating Company 2D Seismic Interpretation

The objectives of the Illinois Storage Corridor (ISC) project are to accelerate commercial deployment of carbon capture utilization and storage at two individual sites and receive approvals for Underground Injection Control (UIC) Class VI permits for construction at each site (ISC Project Narrative, 2020). As part of this project, and as part of the subsurface geologic characterization, two-dimensional (2D) seismic data was acquired at both sites. This report summarizes the findings from two phases of 2D acquisition and seismic interpretation at the Prairie State Generating Company site near Marissa, Illinois. The seismic data indicates the presence of three faults that completely transect the storage and confining units. The initial 2021 2D seismic acquisition revealed the presence of a feature two miles east of the Lively Grove #1 characterization well. The feature is a polyphase fault with a component of strike-slip motion, forming a small positive flower structure. The second phase of 2D seismic acquisition in 2022 constrained the maximum extent of the fault, indicating it has a relatively limited length. Other 2022 seismic lines revealed the presence of two other faults that transect the storage and confining units in the southwest and northeast portions of the 2D seismic acquisition area. The 2021 and 2022 2D seismic surveys have identified three specific locations within the project area that may have an elevated risk of out of zone CO 2 migration due to faulting. Further technical work will be needed to quantify this risk and determine how and if this risk will impact the placement of CO 2 injection wells across the project area.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Framework for Optimal Placement of Rooftop Photovoltaic: Maximizing Solar Production and Operational Cost Savings in Residential Communities

Optimizing the placement of photovoltaic (PV) panels on residential buildings has the potential to significantly increase energy efficiency benefits to both homeowners and communities. Strategic PV placement can lower electricity costs by reducing the electricity fed from the grid during on-peak hours, while maintaining PV panel efficiency in terms of the amount of solar radiation received. In this article, we present a framework that identifies the ideal location of PV panels on residential rooftops. Our framework combines energy and environmental simulation, parametric modeling, and optimization to inform PV placement as it relates to and affects the entire community (in terms of both energy use and financial cost), as well as individual buildings. Ensuring that our framework accounts for shading from nearby buildings, different utility rate structures, and different buildings’ energy demand profiles means that existing communities and future housing developments can be optimized for energy savings and PV efficiency. The framework comprises two workflows, each contributing to optimal PV placement with a unique target: (a) maximizing PV panel efficiency (i.e., solar generation) and (b) minimizing operational energy cost considering utility rate structures for operational energy. We apply our framework to a residential community in Fort Collins, Colorado, to demonstrate the optimal PV placement, considering the two workflow targets. Here, we present our results and illustrate the effect of PV location and orientation on solar energy production efficiency and operational energy cost.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mass spectrometry structural analysis of intrinsically disordered phosphoproteins

Phosphorylation is a ubiquitous protein modification that is known to play important roles in many biological phenomena including cell signaling, the opening and closing of membrane protein channels, and even triggering of amyloid protein aggregation. Despite the effects phosphorylation has on protein function, the impact phosphorylation has on the structure of proteins is not well understood. Here, to determine how phosphorylation affects the structure of proteins, top-down mass spectrometry (TD-MS) and ion mobility-mass spectrometry (IM-MS) were performed on various phosphorylated proteins and their dephosphorylated proteoforms. TD-MS with collision- and electron-based fragmentation techniques was utilized to locate phosphorylation sites on the intrinsically disordered amyloid proteins β-casein and α-synuclein. TD-MS also provided evidence that alkaline phosphatase dephosphorylates β-casein from the N-terminus to the C-terminus. Furthermore, IM-MS of common phosphorylated proteins such as β-casein, α-casein, ovalbumin, and phosvitin indicates that phosphorylation promotes compaction of protein structure in denaturing as well as native conditions. Increases in abundance of more compact conformers are also observed when the disease related amyloid protein α-synuclein is phosphorylated at serine 129. We interpret the increased abundance of more compact conformers when proteins are phosphorylated as evidence that salt bridges form between negatively charged phosphates and positively charged residues, which alters protein structure. Salt bridge formation due to phosphorylation could be a mechanism for regulating protein function and be responsible for many of the phenomena observed in nature.

Amyloid proteins↗

DOE OSTI2023

Genetic encoding of 3–nitro–tyrosine reveals the impacts of 14–3–3 nitration on client binding and dephosphorylation

14–3–3 proteins are central hub regulators of hundreds of phosphorylated “client” proteins. They are subject to over 60 post–translational modifications (PTMs), yet little is known how these PTMs alter 14–3–3 function and its ability to regulate downstream signaling pathways. An often neglected, but well–documented 14–3–3 PTM found under physiological and immune–stimulatory conditions is the conversion of tyrosine to 3–nitro–tyrosine at several Tyr sites, two of which are located at sites considered important for 14–3–3 function: Y130 (β–isoform numbering) is located in the primary phospho–client peptide–binding groove, while Y213 is found on a secondary binding site that engages with clients for full 14–3–3/client complex formation and client regulation. By genetically encoding 3–nitro–tyrosine, we sought to understand if nitration at Y130 and Y213 effectively modulated 14–3–3 structure, function, and client complexation. The 1.5 Å resolution crystal structure of 14–3–3 nitrated at Y130 showed the nitro group altered the conformation of key residues in the primary binding site, while functional studies confirmed client proteins failed to bind this variant of 14–3–3. But, in contrast to other client–binding deficient variants, it did not localize to the nucleus. Further, the 1.9 Å resolution structure of 14–3–3 nitrated at Y213 revealed unusual flexibility of its C–terminal α–helix resulting in domain swapping, suggesting additional structural plasticity though its relevance is not clear as this nitrated form retained its ability to bind clients. Collectively, our data suggest that nitration of 14–3–3 will alter downstream signaling systems, and if uncontrolled could result in global dysregulation of the 14–3–3 interactome.

14-3-3↗

DOE OSTI2021

Gas hydrate deposit formation in transient flowloop tests and mitigation with a surface treatment

Thermodynamic and thermal mitigation strategies are traditionally utilized to prevent gas hydrate formation but may be rendered ineffective for certain unplanned, extended shut-in scenarios. Unfortunately, the current knowledge regarding transient gas hydrate formation has been extremely limited to only a few studies and unable to address this complex issue adequately. This work, conducted in a lab-scale flowloop, aims to add to the understanding of this area by delving into the implications of transient conditions on gas hydrate formation mechanisms, while also exploring a possible mitigation strategy of a surface treatment. Specifically, the effects of phase separation on gas hydrate formation locations, transportability, and plugging are presented for an oil-dominated system. An omniphobic surface treatment is shown to affect initial gas hydrate deposition and its wall adherence strength, as well as the overall plugging outcome. Overall, this work combines observational information with process data measurements to provide a better understanding of phase separated gas hydrate systems and passive deposition mitigation strategies. This can further aid advanced gas hydrate modeling efforts, which currently do not adequately address transient flow effects on phase separation/dispersion. Here, it offers representative gas hydrate testing for coatings, which have exclusively been limited to non-flowing and/or bench-scale analysis, to give confidence in their potential application as advanced deposition prevention tools.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Ordinary and exotic mesons in the extended Linear Sigma Model

The extended Linear Sigma Model (eLSM) is a hadronic model based on the global symmetries of QCD and the corresponding explicit, anomalous, and spontaneous breaking patterns. In its basic three-flavor form, its mesonic part contains the dilaton/glueball as well as the nonets of pseudoscalar, scalar, vector, and axial–vector mesons, thus chiral symmetry is linearly realized. In the chiral limit and neglecting the chiral anomaly, only one term – within the dilaton potential – breaks dilatation invariance, and all terms are chirally symmetric. Spontaneous symmetry breaking is implemented by a generalization of the Mexican-hat potential, with explicit symmetry breaking responsible for its tilting. The overall mesonic phenomenology up to ~2 GeV is in agreement with the PDG compilation of masses and partial and total decay widths. The eLSM was enlarged in a straightforward way to include other conventional quark–antiquark nonets (pseudovector and orbitally excited vector mesons, tensor and axial-tensor mesons, radially excited (pseudo)scalar mesons, etc.), as well as two nonets of hybrid mesons, the lightest one with exotic quantum numbers J $\mathscr{PC}$ = 1 -+ not allowed for $\bar{q}q$ objects, such as the resonance π 1 (1600) and the recently discovered η 1 (1855) . In doing so, different types of chiral multiplets are introduced: heterochiral and homochiral multiplets, which differ in the way they transform under chiral transformations. Moreover, besides the scalar glueball that is present from the beginning as dilaton, other glueballs, the tensor, the pseudoscalar and the vector glueballs were coupled to the eLSM: the scalar resonance ƒ 0 (1710) turns out to be mostly gluonic, the tensor glueball couples strongly to vector mesons, and the pseudoscalar glueball couples sizably to $ππη'$ and can be assigned to X (2370) or X (2600). In all cases above, masses and decays can be analyzed allowing for a better understanding of both conventional and non-conventional mesons: whenever data are available, a comparison is performed and, when this is not the case, predictions of decay widths and decay ratios are outlined. The eLSM contains chiral partners on an equal footing and is therefore well suited for studies of chiral symmetry restoration at nonzero temperature and densities: this is done by coupling it to the Polyakov loop. Finally, the QCD phase diagram and the location of the critical endpoint were investigated within this framework.

Chiral symmetry↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterization of spent nuclear fuel canister surface roughness using surface replicating molds

In this study we present a replication method to determine surface roughness and to identify surface features when a sample cannot be directly analyzed by conventional techniques. As a demonstration, this method was applied to an unused spent nuclear fuel dry storage canister to determine variation across different surface features. In this study, an initial material down-selection was performed to determine the best molding agent and determined that non-modified Polytek PlatSil23-75 provided the most accurate representation of the surface while providing good usability. Other materials that were considered include Polygel Brush-On 35 polyurethane rubber (with and without Pol-ease 2300 release agent), Polytek PlatSil73-25 silicone rubber (with and without PlatThix thickening agent and Pol-ease 2300 release agent), and Express STD vinylpolysiloxane impression putty. The ability of PlatSil73-25 to create an accurate surface replica was evaluated by creating surface molds of several locations on surface roughness standards representing ISO grade surfaces N 3 , N 5 , N 7 , and N 8 . Overall, the molds were able to accurately reproduce the expected roughness average (R a ) values, but systematically over-estimated the peak-valley maximum roughness (R z ) values. Using a 3D printed sample cell, several locations across the stainless steel spent nuclear fuel canister were sampled to determine the surface roughness. These measurements provided information regarding variability in normal surface roughness across the canister as well as a detailed evaluation on specific surface features (e.g., welds, grind marks, etc.). The results of these measurements can support development of dry storage canister ageing management programs, as surface roughness is an important factor for surface dust deposition and accumulation. This method can be applied more broadly to different surfaces beyond stainless steel to provide rapid, accurate surface replications for analytical evaluation by profilometry.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

A source of gamma rays coincident with the shell of the supernova remnant CTB 80

ABSTRACT CTB 80 (G69.0+2.7) is a relatively old (50–80 kyr) supernova remnant (SNR) with a complex radio morphology showing three extended radio arms and a radio and X-ray nebula near the location of the pulsar PSR B1951+32. We report on a study of the GeV emission in the region of CTB 80 with Fermi-Large Area Telescope data. An extended source with a size of 1.3°, matching the size of the infrared shell associated to the SNR, was discovered. The GeV emission, detected up to an energy of ∼20 GeV, is more significant at the location of the northern radio arm where previous observations imply that the SNR shock is interacting with ambient material. Both hadronic and leptonic scenarios can reproduce the multiwavelength data reasonably well. The hadronic cosmic ray energy density required is considerably larger than the local Galactic value and the gamma-ray leptonic emission is mainly due to bremsstrahlung interactions. We conclude that GeV particles are still trapped or accelerated by the SNR producing the observed high-energy emission when interacting with ambient material.

Araya, M.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Indications of a Decrease in the Depth of Deep Convective Cores with Increasing Aerosol Concentration during the CACTI Campaign

Abstract An aerosol indirect effect on deep convective cores (DCCs), by which increasing aerosol concentration increases cloud-top height via enhanced latent heating and updraft velocity, has been proposed in many studies. However, the magnitude of this effect remains uncertain due to aerosol measurement limitations, modulation of the effect by meteorological conditions, and difficulties untangling meteorological and aerosol effects on DCCs. The Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) campaign in 2018–19 produced concentrated aerosol and cloud observations in a location with frequent DCCs, providing an opportunity to examine the proposed aerosol indirect effect on DCC depth in a rigorous and robust manner. For periods throughout the campaign with well-mixed boundary layers, we analyze relationships that exist between aerosol variables (condensation nuclei concentration > 10 nm, 0.4% cloud condensation nuclei concentration, 55–1000-nm aerosol concentration, and aerosol optical depth) and meteorological variables [level of neutral buoyancy (LNB), convective available potential energy, midlevel relative humidity, and deep-layer vertical wind shear] with the maximum radar-echo-top height and cloud-top temperature (CTT) of DCCs. Meteorological variables such as LNB and deep-layer shear are strongly correlated with DCC depth. LNB is also highly correlated with three of the aerosol variables. After accounting for meteorological correlations, increasing values of the aerosol variables [with the exception of one formulation of aerosol optical depth (AOD)] are generally correlated at a statistically significant level with a warmer CTT of DCCs. Therefore, for the study region and period considered, increasing aerosol concentration is mostly associated with a decrease in DCC depth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Electropotential Verification for Nuclear Safeguards

The international safeguards regime desires methods to efficiently verify that facilities are only performing declared activities. Electropotential verification (EPV) is a newly proposed technique that was tested for its feasibility to perform facility design information verification (DIV) and verification of spent nuclear fuel while in a cooling pool. EPV works by passing a constant, low voltage current through a conductive system (facility infrastructure of nuclear fuel assembly) and measuring the resulting voltage at various places throughout the infrastructure in order to establish a baseline. Changes made to the system affect these voltage readings, which will deviate from the baseline and indicate that a change to the system was made. For facility DIV, it appears feasible that changes in configuration of the system’s grounding can be detected in real-time, and the location of the change can be inferred from the measured intensity of the change in voltage. Determination of whether or not spent fuel was present in a fuel rod, as well as the presence/absence of a fuel rod from an assembly using EPV, proved unsuccessful with the sensitivity of instrumentation used in this study.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Elastic Changepoint Detection for Globally-indexed Functional Time Series Data with Climate Applications

Changepoint detection is a vital tool in the application of climate data analysis. Numerous types of climate observation data are most properly represented by functional time series, implying a need for accurate changepoint detection methods applicable to functional time series data. Such data taken at a global scale often contain both spatial heterogeneity and dependence as well as phase (time) misalignment. In this report, we present methods which can detect spatially-dependent changepoints while allowing different estimates of change time and change strength depending on location. Additionally, we provide extensions to this spatially-predicted model which controls for phase variability among observations. Our methods provide the ability to detect a single change, or control for epidemic changes (where a “return-to-normal” change is more likely to be detected than the initial change). We showcase results analyzing the June 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, where our methods demonstrate the ability to accurately detect both single and epidemic changepoints even in the presence of strong seasonal variability. We find that our spatially-predicted model improves the detection of relevant changepoints versus methods which do not take spatial information into account, and we find that controlling for phase variability helps to control the false discovery rate during the detection process.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Pilot Development Progress to Demonstrate Electric Thermal Energy Storage (ETES) Using Low-Cost Particles

The rapid growth of future energy demand increases the need to economically store electrical energy over durations up to several days in long-duration energy storage (LDES) applications. LDES can reduce the grid stress for improving the resilience of the grid. The integration of renewable power and storage has several significant and positive impacts including expanding the renewable energy portion of electricity generation, meeting peak-load demand, and coordinating supply and demand. Several energy storage approaches including mechanical, chemical and electrochemical methods are currently deployed or under development. However, LDES requirements pose unique challenges for scalability, energy capacity, and cost. Thermal energy storage (TES) has the ability to store a large capacity of energy with improved site flexibility compared to incumbent LDES technologies (i.e., pumped hydro) and has attracted significant interest. Our development in TES technology using solid particles as the storage medium has shown feasibility and potential in serving LDES purposes. Particle TES has various advantages over commercialized molten nitrate salt TES and has emerged as a promising storage technology originating from Generation 3 concentrating solar power (CSP) development. Stable, inexpensive silica sand produced in the Midwestern U.S. was identified as a suitable storage medium and has been validated through lab heating and cycling tests. We have successfully developed particle TES for bidirectional electric energy storage to broaden the applications for TES beyond CSP technologies and into standalone electric-thermal energy storage (ETES) systems. Key component designs and performance were verified with prototype testing and model simulations. The ETES system uses high-temperature, low-cost particle thermal energy storage coupled with a unique pressurized fluidized bed heat exchanger that supports a high-efficiency, air-Brayton combined power cycle. At times of low energy demand or high renewable production, an electric particle heater heats large quantities of solid particles to high temperatures in excess of 1100 degrees C. The particles are stored in internally insulated silos. At times of high electricity demand, the hot particles are gravity-fed through the heat exchanger where stored thermal energy is transferred to the power cycle working fluid to drive the gas turbine power generation system, thereby converting the thermal energy back into electricity for the grid. The cold particles leaving the heat exchanger are returned to the storage silos by a well-insulated particle conveyor. This ETES technology using particle TES can be sited anywhere and is predicted to be economic and efficient. Moreover, this ETES technology could be co-located with a retired coal or gas plant to leverage existing power generation and grid infrastructure. Our work has focused on the development of each of the key components (e.g., the electric particle heater, particle storage silos, and the particle-to-gas pressurized fluidized bed heat exchanger) through conceptual designs, prototype testing, and computational modeling. These developments demonstrate technological feasibility and are an important step towards the next phase of development of this promising LDES technology. This presentation will show the progress in developing a pilot demonstration of the ETES system on a commercially relevant scale.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗