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At least 883 records · Page 49

WE-AB-209-01: A Monte Carlo-Based Method to Include Random Errors in Robust Optimization

Purpose: To develop an efficient method to implement random set-up errors and organ motion in robust optimization for proton therapy treatment planning. Methods: The plans were created with an in-house robust optimizer, coupled with a super-fast Monte Carlo (MC) engine (less than 1 minute for final dose). MC simulates random errors by shifting randomly the starting point of each particle, according to their probability distribution. Such strategy assumes a sufficient number of treatment fractions. Two strategies are presented: 1) Full robust optimization with beamlets that already include the effect of random errors and 2) Mixed robust optimization, where the nominal beamlets are involved but a correction term C modifies the prescription. Starting from C=0, the method alternates optimization of the spot weights with the nominal beamlets and updates of C, with C=Drandom-Dnominal and where Drandom results from a regular MC computation (without pre-computed beamlets) that simulates random errors. Updates of C can be triggered as often as necessary by running the MC engine with the last corrected values for the spot weights as input. The method was applied to lung and prostate cases. For both patients the range error was set to 3%, systematic setup error to 5mm and standard deviation for random errors to 5 mm. Comparison between full robust optimization and the mixed strategy (with 3 updates of C) is presented. Results: Target coverage was far below the clinical constraints (D{sub 95} > 95% of the prescribed dose) for plans where random errors were not simulated, especially for lung case. However, by using the proposed strategies the plans achieved a target coverage above clinical constraints. Conclusion: Full robust optimization gives better results than the mixed strategy, but the latter can be useful in cases where a MC engine is not available or too computationally intensive for beamlets calculation.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

WE-AB-207B-11: Optimizing Tumor Control Probability in Radiation Therapy Treatment - Application to HDR Cervical Cancer

Purpose: The ultimate goal of radiotherapy treatment planning is to find a treatment that will yield a high tumor-control-probability(TCP) with an acceptable normal-tissue-complication probability(NTCP). Yet most treatment planning today is not based upon optimization of TCPs and NTCPs, but rather upon meeting physical dose and volume constraints defined by the planner. We design treatment plans that optimize TCP directly and contrast them with the clinical dose-based plans. PET image is incorporated to evaluate gain in TCP for dose escalation. Methods: We build a nonlinear mixed integer programming optimization model that maximizes TCP directly while satisfying the dose requirements on the targeted organ and healthy tissues. The solution strategy first fits the TCP function with a piecewise-linear approximation, then solves the problem that maximizes the piecewise linear approximation of TCP, and finally performs a local neighborhood search to improve the TCP value. To gauge the feasibility, characteristics, and potential benefit of PET-image guided dose escalation, initial validation consists of fifteen cervical cancer HDR patient cases. These patients have all received prior 45Gy of external radiation dose. For both escalated strategies, we consider 35Gy PTV-dose, and two variations (37Gy-boost to BTV vs 40Gy-boost) to PET-image-pockets. Results: TCP for standard clinical plans range from 59.4% - 63.6%. TCP for dose-based PET-guided escalated-dose-plan ranges from 63.8%–98.6% for all patients; whereas TCP-optimized plans achieves over 91% for all patients. There is marginal difference in TCP among those with 37Gy-boosted vs 40Gy-boosted. There is no increase in rectum and bladder dose among all plans. Conclusion: Optimizing TCP directly results in highly conformed treatment plans. The TCP-optimized plan is individualized based on the biological PET-image of the patients. The TCP-optimization framework is generalizable and has been applied successfully to other external-beam delivery modalities. A clinical trial is on-going to gauge the clinical significance. Partially supported by the National Science Foundation.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Machine learning enhanced characterization and optimization of photonic cured MAPbI 3 for efficient perovskite solar cells

Photonic curing (PC) can facilitate high-speed perovskite solar cell (PSC) manufacturing because it uses high-intensity light pulses to crystallize perovskite films in milliseconds. However, optimizing PC conditions is challenging due to its many variables, and using power conversion efficiency (PCE) as the optimization metric is both time-consuming and labor-intensive. This work presents a machine learning (ML) approach to optimize PC conditions for fabricating methylammonium lead iodide (MAPbI 3 ) films by quantitatively comparing their ultraviolet-visible (UV-vis) absorbance spectra to thermal annealed (TA) films using four similarity metrics. We perform Bayesian optimization coupled with Gaussian process regression (BO-GP) to minimize the similarity metrics. Refining PC conditions using active learning based on BO-GP models, we achieve a PC MAPbI3 film with an absorbance spectrum closely matching a TA reference film, which is further verified by its crystalline and morphological properties. Thus, we demonstrate that the UV-vis absorption spectrum can accurately proxy film quality. Additionally, we use an AI-based segmentation model for a more efficient grain size analysis. However, when we use the optimized PC condition to fabricate PSCs, we find that interaction between MAPbI 3 and the hole transport layer (HTL) during PC critically degrades the PSC performance. By adding a buffer layer between the HTL and MAPbI 3 , the optimized PC PSCs produce a champion PCE of 11.8%, comparable to the TA reference of 11.7%. Using UV-vis similarity metrics instead of device PCE as the objective in our BO-GP method accelerates the optimization of PC processing conditions for MAPbI 3 films.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DAKOTA : a multilevel parallel object-oriented framework for design optimization, parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification, and sensitivity analysis.

The DAKOTA (Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications) toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. DAKOTA contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the DAKOTA toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a theoretical manual for selected algorithms implemented within the DAKOTA software. It is not intended as a comprehensive theoretical treatment, since a number of existing texts cover general optimization theory, statistical analysis, and other introductory topics. Rather, this manual is intended to summarize a set of DAKOTA-related research publications in the areas of surrogate-based optimization, uncertainty quantification, and optimization under uncertainty that provide the foundation for many of DAKOTA's iterative analysis capabilities.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

A large-scale benchmarking of deterministic and stochastic derivative-free optimization algorithms

This presentation summarizes our work in the PrOMMiS project on benchmarking of data-driven optimization algorithms and their applications in self-driving laboratories. This work supports the broader project goal of accelerating the identification of promising separation methods and operating conditions for critical minerals separation processes. We present a systematic benchmarking study of 42 data-driven optimization algorithms on a broad collection of 502 test problems. The results identify BAM, GLCCLUSTER, and MULTIMIN as the most effective optimization solvers, with BAM showing the highest overall performance and solving more than 80% of the benchmark problems. The study also shows that no single solver consistently outperforms the others across all problem types, indicating that our future laboratory applications may benefit from using a small set of strong solvers rather than relying on a single method. The presentation also illustrates an in-silico chemical reactor case study showing that data-driven optimization methods can guide autonomous experimentation in a self-driving laboratory and identify optimal operating conditions within a small number of experiments. Overall, the results provide a basis for selecting efficient optimization methods and demonstrate the practical use of data-driven optimization in self-driving laboratory workflows.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Insights into Methodologies and Stochastic Optimization of Thermal Energy Storage-Coupled Advanced Reactor Systems: A Comparison of Methods for Accessing Long-Term Sub-System Sizing Adequacy

This paper investigates the potential of coupling Thermal Energy Storage (TES) with Advanced Reactors (ARs) to address uncertainties posed by climate change in deep decarbonized power systems. The TES Use-case Team at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has examined the potential of storing thermal energy from ARs during low demand periods and optimizing discharge during peak-priced hours, in both steady-state and transient conditions. Building on this groundwork, this study bridges the gaps in optimal sizing of the sub-system of TES-coupled AR systems using Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) and Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON), INL?s framework for grid optimization. By applying this framework, we present statistically-robust optimal charge, discharge including balance of plant (BOP), and storage sizing for the High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (HTGR) with 203 MWth output. To this end, we generated synthetic price samples for 30 years using 2018 ? 2021 real-time market data from ERCOT, PJM and MISO. Our results reveals that the TES-coupled HTGR system is highly effective in maximizing revenue from electricity sales. We observed a substantial increase of 40 % in ERCOT and a noteworthy 15 % increase in PJM and MISO when compared to the conventional BOP without TES. This improvement is achieved through regionally-tailored sub-system sizing, which ranges from 398 to 416 MWth for the discharge system and 610 to 1029 MWth for the TES. We find that the average electricity price directly impacts the overall economics, while price volatility influences storage size. Additional sensitivity analyses were performed to access the impact of key assumptions on system economics and sizing, differentiating the optimization window (i.e., 24 ? 219 hours of chronological observations) and by imposing storage continuity condition in tracking TES cycles. We observed that at the 120-hour of the optimization window, a reasonable balance between computation time and accuracy was achieved. Our analysis also highlights the significance of conducting multi-day cycle analysis (> 120-hour) for TES to capture interaction between electricity prices and storage dynamics, providing a comprehensive understanding of TES behavior that AR developers should integrate into their plant designs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Novel Method for Controlling Crud Deposition in Nuclear Reactors Using Optimization Algorithms and Deep Neural Network Based Surrogate Models

This work presents the use of a high-fidelity neural network surrogate model within a Modular Optimization Framework for treatment of crud deposition as a constraint within light-water reactor core loading pattern optimization. The neural network was utilized for the treatment of crud constraints within the context of an advanced genetic algorithm applied to the core design problem. This proof-of-concept study shows that loading pattern optimization aided by a neural network surrogate model can optimize the manner in which crud distributes within a nuclear reactor without impacting operational parameters such as enrichment or cycle length. Several analysis methods were investigated. Analysis found that the surrogate model and genetic algorithm successfully minimized the deviation from a uniform crud distribution against a population of solutions from a reference optimization in which the crud distribution was not optimized. Strong evidence is presented that shows boron deposition in crud can be optimized through the loading pattern. This proof-of-concept study shows that the methods employed provide a powerful tool for mitigating the effects of crud deposition in nuclear reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Constrained Graph Optimization: Interdiction and Preservation Problems

The maximum flow, shortest path, and maximum matching problems are a set of basic graph problems that are critical in theoretical computer science and applications. Constrained graph optimization, a variation of these basic graph problems involving modification of the underlying graph, is equally important but sometimes significantly harder. In particular, one can explore these optimization problems with additional cost constraints. In the preservation case, the optimizer has a budget to preserve vertices or edges of a graph, preventing them from being deleted. The optimizer wants to find the best set of preserved edges/vertices in which the cost constraints are satisfied and the basic graph problems are optimized. For example, in shortest path preservation, the optimizer wants to find a set of edges/vertices within which the shortest path between two predetermined points is smallest. In interdiction problems, one deletes vertices or edges from the graph with a particular cost in order to impede the basic graph problems as much as possible (for example, delete edges/vertices to maximize the shortest path between two predetermined vertices). Applications of preservation problems include optimal road maintenance, power grid maintenance, and job scheduling, while interdiction problems are related to drug trafficking prevention, network stability assessment, and counterterrorism. Computational hardness results are presented, along with heuristic methods for approximating solutions to the matching interdiction problem. Also, efficient algorithms are presented for special cases of graphs, including on planar graphs. The graphs in many of the listed applications are planar, so these algorithms have important practical implications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Digital Twin for Optimizing Real-time Economy of the Integrated Energy Systems

Economic and safe operation of integrated energy systems (IES) requires real-time optimization (RTO) of the control and actions conducted on each system component. In this regard, digital twins (DTs), which consist of a physical system, a virtual system, and the data communication that occurs between the two, are essential for effective RTO. Through the data warehouse, the virtual system is constantly updated with real-time data from the physical system, and functions as the model in the optimization framework. The reduced-order model of the dynamic process model in the virtual system is used in the optimization framework. The optimization results are then returned, via the data warehouse, as control actions to the physical system. This work demonstrates the software capabilities of DT assets for an IES in the context of preparing a DT for an experimental system comprised of Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Thermal Energy Delivery System and battery system. For the virtual demonstration, the DTs encompass (1) a physical system, including the Modelica models of the Thermal Energy Delivery System and the battery system; (2) virtual optimization via the Optimization of Real-Time Capacity Allocation (ORCA) platform; and (3) the open-source data warehouse software DeepLynx. This work assesses the performance of ORCA, which utilizes a reduced-order model built using the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) and trained on the Modelica models and real-time data pipeline through the graph database hosted in DeepLynx. The proposed optimization workflow will be an RTO model based on DTs and the data they generate.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

On the use of genetic algorithm to optimize industrial assets lifecycle management under safety and budget constraints

The purpose of this paper is to describe the method and tool dedicated to optimize investments planning for industrial assets. These investments may either be preventive maintenance tasks, asset enhancements or logistic investments such as spare parts purchases. The two methodological points to investigate in such an issue are: 1. The measure of the profitability of a portfolio of investments 2. The selection and planning of an optimal set of investments 3. The measure of the risk of a portfolio of investments The measure of the profitability of a set of investments in the IPOP tool is synthesised in the Net Present Value indicator. The NPV is the sum of the differences of discounted cash flows (direct costs, forced outages...) between the situations with and without a given investment. These cash flows are calculated through a pseudo-Markov reliability model representing independently the components of the industrial asset and the spare parts inventories. The component model has been widely discussed over the years but the spare part model is a new one based on some approximations that will be discussed. This model, referred as the NPV function, takes for input an investments portfolio and gives its NPV. The second issue is to optimize the NPV. If all investments were independent, this optimization would be an easy calculation, unfortunately there are two sources of dependency. The first one is introduced by the spare part model, as if components are indeed independent in their reliability model, the fact that several components use the same inventory induces a dependency. The second dependency comes from economic, technical or logistic constraints, such as a global maintenance budget limit or a safety requirement limiting the residual risk of failure of a component or group of component, making the aggregation of individual optimum not necessary feasible. The algorithm used to solve such a difficult optimization problem is a genetic algorithm. After a description of the features of the software a test case is presented showing the influence of the optimization algorithm parameters on its efficiency to find an optimal investments planning. (authors)

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi-objective optimization of a PCHE-type intermediate heat exchanger using genetic algorithms

For the advanced nuclear reactor systems and power conversion units, it is important to optimize the design of intermediate heat exchangers (IHXs) which transfer heat from the primary loop to the secondary or intermediate loop. For a multi-objective optimization problem, a printed circuit heat exchanger-type IHX with zigzag and S-shaped fin channels is selected to be optimized in terms of both the total cost and the heat exchanger thermal effectiveness using genetic algorithms. A computer code is developed to search a set of optimized designs of the zigzag channel geometry. It is found that among the Pareto-optimal solutions, the total cost is approximately linearly related to the thermal effectiveness between 88 and 95% while it rises rapidly after the effectiveness exceeds 95%. An optimal flow channel diameter is also determined through the optimization. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Optimization of a dry, mixed nuclear fuel storage array for nuclear criticality safety - 14339

A dry storage array of used nuclear fuel at the Idaho National Laboratory contains a mixture of more than twenty different types of research and test reactor fuels. Significant neutronic interaction occurs between fuel canisters within this large storage arrangement of 636 fuel storage canisters. Nuclear criticality safety is maintained primarily by moderation control and through control of neutron interaction and leakage provided by the credited geometry. Over the nearly forty years of operation the collected fuels are now arranged in a configuration that does not minimize the system neutron multiplication factor (k{sub eff}). This creates a concern since the entire remaining facility storage capacity cannot be utilized without exceeding the system minimum subcritical state (k{sub safe}) for ensuring nuclear criticality safety. This work determines a more optimal arrangement for the stored fuels with a goal to minimize the system k{sub eff}, but also with a minimum of potential fuel canister relocation movements. The ultimate goal is to establish a solution for this multiple-objective optimization problem by finding the Pareto Front for maximum k{sub eff} reduction versus the number of canister relocations. The process first required additional analysis of the array by Monte-Carlo neutron transport codes (specifically, MCNP) to gain a greater understanding of the interaction characteristics of the disparate fuel types. Some stored fuels are composed of primarily metallic and oxide components that provide very little inherent moderation, while other fuel types contain graphite or zirconium-hydride which can contribute a significant amount of moderation. These factors cause a complex relationship within a fuel arrangement with respect to thermal utilization and axial leakage probability. The new MCNP analysis was utilized to develop a simplified spreadsheet-based empirical model which simulates the array k{sub eff} result. This empirical model was benchmarked against additional MCNP calculations for various arrangements and then employed in the optimization analysis. A Tabu metaheuristic and stochastic approximation optimization was applied to the empirical model with the optimization function to minimize the array k{sub eff}. The optimization algorithm interrogated the empirical model to determine the optimal rearrangement for up to sixty canister movements. The Pareto Front was found, which shows that a limited number of canister relocation movements could allow the existing thirty-one empty array positions to be filled with common research reactor fuels while also yielding a reduction in the overall array k{sub eff} relative to the current arrangement. This will impart an improvement in the facility utilization while also offering an enhancement in the safety margin. The reduction in array reactivity has been confirmed by a final set of MCNP calculations with the proposed new arrangements. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Particle Swarm Optimisation for group structure optimization for radiotherapy shielding

Neutron transport simulations are ubiquitous in nuclear engineering because they allow one to model experimental systems and render a model platform for easy perturbation of experimental designs. In addition, simulations allow one to gain experimental insight without actually having to go through the trouble of building a physical experiment. Neutron transport simulations can be stochastic or deterministic based. Stochastic neutron transport simulations are typically simulated using the Monte Carlo method and yield very accurate solutions but are computationally expensive, while deterministic methods are typically faster but can be less accurate. Here we focus on optimizing the accuracy of deterministic neutron transport simulations for radiotherapy simulations. Deterministic neutron transport requires discretization of angle, energy, and space to appropriately analyze the system one is trying to model. Discretization of energy is challenging because of the highly variable neutron flux at certain neutron energies. Improper discretization of energy in the transport model can lead to erroneous results and therefore inaccurate interpretations of the solution. In this study, we evaluate Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) as a mechanism for selecting optimal group structures for radiotherapy shielding. We tested the particle swarm optimization algorithm on radiotherapy shielding problems using Los Alamos National Laboratory's (LANL) main deterministic transport code PARTISN. Results show that the optimized energy group structures generated from the optimization algorithm outperformed LANL's standard energy group structures, and therefore demonstrate utility in using PSO to expedite computation times due to the increased accuracy obtained with a smaller but optimized group structure. (authors)

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Asynchronously parallel optimization solver for finding multiple minima

This paper proposes and analyzes an asynchronously parallel optimization algorithm for finding multiple, high-quality minima of nonlinear optimization problems. Our multistart algorithm considers all previously evaluated points when determining where to start or continue a local optimization run. Theoretical results show that, under certain assumptions, the algorithm almost surely starts a finite number of local optimization runs and identifies, or has a single local optimization run converging to, every minimum. The algorithm is applicable to general optimization settings, but our numerical results focus on the case when derivatives are unavailable. In numerical tests, a PYTHON implementation of the algorithm is shown to yield good approximations of many minima (including a global minimum), and this ability scales well with additional resources. Our implementation’s time to solution is shown also to scale well even when the time to evaluate the function evaluation is highly variable.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Revealing Decision Conservativeness Through Inverse Distributionally Robust Optimization

This paper introduces Inverse Distributionally Robust Optimization (I-DRO) as a method to infer the conservativeness level of a decision-maker, represented by the size of a Wasserstein metric-based ambiguity set, from the optimal decisions made using Forward Distributionally Robust Optimization (F-DRO). By leveraging the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions of the convex F-DRO model, we formulate I-DRO as a bi-linear program, which can be solved using off-the-shelf optimization solvers. Additionally, this formulation exhibits several advantageous properties. We demonstrate that I-DRO not only guarantees the existence and uniqueness of an optimal solution but also establishes the necessary and sufficient conditions for this optimal solution to accurately match the actual conservativeness level in F-DRO. Furthermore, we identify three extreme scenarios that may impact I-DRO effectiveness. Our case study applies F-DRO for power system scheduling under uncertainty and employs I-DRO to recover the conservativeness level of system operators. Numerical experiments based on an IEEE 5-bus system and a realistic NYISO 11-zone system demonstrate I-DRO performance in both normal and extreme scenarios. An extended version of this paper with additional analyses is available at li2024revealing.

distributionally robust optimization↗

Nonlinear Multiobjective MPC-Based Optimal Operation of a High Consistency Refining System in Papermaking

As one of the most important unit in the papermaking industry, the high consistency (HC) refining system is confronted with challenges such as improving pulp quality, energy saving, and emissions reduction in its operation processes. Here in this correspondence, an optimal operation of HC refining system is presented using nonlinear multiobjective model predictive control strategies that aim at set-point tracking objective of pulp quality, economic objective, and specific energy (SE) consumption objective, respectively. First, a set of input and output data at different times are employed to construct the subprocess model of the state process model for the HC refining system, and then the Wiener-type model can be obtained through combining the mechanism model of Canadian Standard Freeness and the state process model that determines their structures based on Akaike information criterion. Second, the multiobjective optimization strategy that optimizes both the set-point tracking objective of pulp quality and SE consumption is proposed simultaneously, which uses NSGA-II approach to obtain the Pareto optimal set. Furthermore, targeting at the set-point tracking objective of pulp quality, economic objective, and SE consumption objective, the sequential quadratic programming method is utilized to produce the optimal predictive controllers. In conclusion, the simulation results demonstrate that the proposed methods can make the HC refining system provide a better performance of set-point tracking of pulp quality when these predictive controllers are employed. In addition, while the optimal predictive controllers orienting with comprehensive economic objective and SE consumption objective, it has been shown that they have significantly reduced the energy consumption.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Robust A-Optimal Experimental Design for Sensor Placement in Bayesian Linear Inverse Problems

Optimal design of experiments for Bayesian inverse problems has recently gained wide popularity and attracted much attention, especially in the computational science and Bayesian inversion communities. An optimal design maximizes a predefined utility function that is formulated in terms of the elements of an inverse problem, an example being optimal sensor placement for parameter identification. The state-of-the-art algorithmic approaches following this simple formulation generally overlook misspecification of the elements of the inverse problem, such as the prior or the measurement uncertainties. This work presents an efficient algorithmic approach for designing optimal experimental design schemes for Bayesian linear inverse problems such that the optimal design is robust to misspecification of elements of the inverse problem. Specifically, we consider a worst-case scenario approach for the uncertain or misspecified parameters, formulate robust objectives, and propose an algorithmic approach for optimizing such objectives. Furthermore, both relaxation and stochastic solution approaches are discussed with detailed analysis and insight into the interpretation of the problem and the proposed algorithmic approach. Extensive numerical experiments to validate and analyze the proposed approach are carried out for sensor placement in a parameter identification problem.

Bayesian inverse problems↗

HOPP - Hybrid Optimization and Performance Platform

The Hybrid Optimization and Performance Platform, HOPP, is a wind + solar + battery + X design software for optimizing co-located, utility-scale hybrid plants down to the component level for different markets and technoeconomic objectives. Key technology and financial inputs to the HOPP model that inform the objective to be optimized are presented. The layout and performance integration is combined with optimal dispatch and full financial modeling within an optimization framework. With an example scenario, optimal sizing and layout results are shown in a sensitivity analysis of prices for two hybrid configurations.

batteries↗