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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Toward The Development of Hailstorm Climatologies Derived From Reanalyses and Infared/Passive Microwave Satellite Imagers

Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and Meteosat series, provide both historical and near-real-time observations of cloud top patterns that are commonly associated with severe convection. Environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are thought to be represented well by reanalyses. Predicting exactly where convection and costly storm hazards like hail will occur using models or satellite imagery alone, however, is extremely challenging. The multivariate combination of satellite-observed cloud patterns with reanalysis environmental parameters, linked to United States Next Generation Weather Radar- (NEXRAD-) estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) using a deep neural network (DNN), enables estimation of potentially severe hail likelihood for any observed storm cell. These estimates are specifically designed to make hail likelihood distinctions based on satellite-indicated points of deep convection within environments favorable for storm development. We seek an approach that can be used to estimate climatological hailstorm frequency and risk throughout the historical satellite data record. This presentation demonstrates that statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis show separation between non-severe/severe hailstorm classes for predictors including overshooting cloud top temperature and area characteristics, convective available potential energy, vertical wind shear, 500 hPa temperature, mid-level lapse rate, precipitable water, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN to produce a hail likelihood metric with a critical success index of 0.504 and Heidke skill score of 0.403, which is exceptional among recent analogous hail studies. Furthermore, applications of the DNN to select case studies demonstrate good qualitative agreement between hail likelihood and MESH. These hail classifications are aggregated across an 11-year GOES-12/13 image database to derive a hail frequency and severity climatology, which denotes the Central Plains, the Midwest, and northwestern Mexico as being the most hail-prone regions within the domain studied. Opportunities for training and applying DNN-based hailstorm predictions to recently developed GOES-8/10/12/13/16 and Meteosat Second Generation convective storm detection and characterization climatologies over South America and South Africa, respectively, will also be presented.

Kristopher Bedka↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing and Testing Two Interfaces for Supplemental Data Service Provider (SDSP) Tools to Support UAS Traffic Management (UTM)

Researchers conducted a usability study using two graphical user interfaces (GUIs) to explore how individuals interpret and interact with different preflight information displays, and to inform the development of Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) preflight planning predictive support tools to assess and mitigate flight hazards and risks. A series of preflight risk-assessment tasks were developed to evaluate participant performance using the Supplemental Data Service Provider-Consolidated Dashboard (SDSP-CD) and the Human Automation Team Interface System (HATIS) GUIs. Participants were trained to use both interfaces and their performance was evaluated. These evaluations focused on participants’ preflight planning activities. Objective data on performance tasks across different scenarios involving multi-UASs, as well as self-reports of interactions and subjective experiences using the GUIs were collected. Scores on the system usability scale (SUS) and on a simple task set were examined, as well as user feedback on open-ended questions, to inform development and identify potential improvements to the interfaces.

sUAAV interfaces↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing and Testing Two Interfaces for Supplemental Data Service Provider (SDSP) Tools to Support UAS Traffic Management (UTM)

sUAAV interfaces↗

NASA NTRS2023

Orbital Debris Quarterly News, June 2023

Inside - DAS Release - Recent Advances in Modeling Hollow Objects During Reentry - Two Years of Space Traffic: Current Trends in New Payloads and Debris in Orbit - Overview of ORDEM Web Application Features - Workshop Report - Upcoming Meetings - Space Missions and Satellite Box Score

Heather Cowardin↗

NASA NTRS2023

Probabilistic Forecasting of Ground Magnetic Perturbation Spikes at Mid-Latitude Stations

The prediction of large fluctuations in the ground magnetic field (dB/dt) is essential for preventing damage from Geomagnetically Induced Currents. Directly forecasting these fluctuations has proven difficult, but accurately determining the risk of extreme events can allow for the worst of the damage to be prevented. Here we trained Convolutional Neural Network models for eight mid-latitude magnetometers to predict the probability that dB/dt will exceed the 99th percentile threshold 30–60 min in the future. Two model frameworks were compared, a model trained using solar wind data from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) satellite, and another model trained on both ACE and SuperMAG ground magnetometer data. The models were compared to examine if the addition of current ground magnetometer data significantly improved the forecasts of dB/dt in the future prediction window. A bootstrapping method was employed using a random split of the training and validation data to provide a measure of uncertainty in model predictions. The models were evaluated on the ground truth data during eight geomagnetic storms and a suite of evaluation metrics are presented. The models were also compared to a persistence model to ensure that the model using both datasets did not over-rely on dB/dt values in making its predictions. Overall, we find that the models using both the solar wind and ground magnetometer data had better metric scores than the solar wind only and persistence models, and was able to capture more spatially localized variations in the dB/dt threshold crossings.

Michael Coughlan↗

NASA NTRS2023

Automated Fiber Placement Through Thickness Defect Stacking Optimization

In its 2022 commercial market outlook, Boeing forecasted an 80% increase in the global fleet through 2041 compared to 2019 pre-pandemic levels. This sharp rise in demand will drive pressure onto airframe manufacturers to ramp up production and find more efficient ways to design and manufacture airplanes. Complicating this challenge is the industry’s recent transformation from traditional metal-based airframes towards hybrid composite-metal aircraft. While composites have been used in aviation for decades, aircraft manufacturers are still struggling to design and manufacture quality parts at a high rate. Automated Fiber Placement (AFP) is one of the main manufacturing techniques used to produce large-scale composite parts. After a design has been created, a manufacturing strategy has to be developed based on the working material, part geometry, and machine capabilities. This process planning stage is essential to the AFP workflow and currently requires a high level of manual input from an experienced process planner. In an effort to automate and optimize this stage, the Computer Aided Process Planning (CAPP) module was developed. CAPP assists process planners in identifying optimal starting point location and layup strategy for each ply of a laminate. This Ply-Level Optimization (PLO) phase operates on the quantification of ply quality through predictable geometry-based defects such as gaps, overlaps, angle deviation, and steering. As you move from PLO to Laminate-Level Optimization (LLO) the design space grows exponentially, emphasizing the need for automated optimization. The work presented in this thesis expands CAPP’s functionality by comparing the planned fiber paths through the thickness of the laminate to mitigate stacked area defects and achieve an optimal laminate-level manufacturing strategy. Within CAPP, predicted gap and overlap defects are imported from Vericut Composites Programming (VCP) and then discretized to streamline the through-thickness comparison. Two objective functions are used to score different combinations of ply layup strategies based on defect stacking both globally and locally. Four combinatorial optimization algorithms were coupled with these objective functions to investigate the laminate-level manufacturing strategy design space and converge on the optimal plan. These algorithms were evaluated based on accuracy and efficiency through virtual testing on a complex tool surface. A separate LLO approach was developed to achieve near-optimal laminates in significantly less time. The end result is a software package which greatly reduces the required input from process planners, shortening the design-build cycle time and improving part quality.

AFP↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Light as a Reactive Countermeasure to Sleep Inertia: Translating Laboratory Findings to the Field

Sleep inertia describes the brief period of impaired alertness, mood, and cognitive performance experienced after waking. Under laboratory settings, light exposure upon waking during a habitual sleep period has been shown to improve sleep inertia symptoms. We investigated whether a field-deployable light-emitting device would help to mitigate sleep inertia in a real-world setting.\ Thirty-six participants (18 female; 26.6 years ± 6.1) completed an at-home, within-subject, randomized crossover study. Participants followed their habitual sleep-wake schedule for five nights before an adaptation and experimental night. Forty-five minutes after bedtime on the experimental night, participants received a phone call and were instructed to wear light-emitting glasses with the light either on (light condition) or off (control). A 5-minute psychomotor vigilance task (PVT), the Karolinska Sleepiness Scale (KSS), visual analog scales of mood (VASmood), and a 3-minute descending subtraction task (DST) were performed starting at +2, +12, +22, and +32 minutes after the call. Participants then went back to sleep and were called 45 minutes after lights out for the opposite condition. A series of mixed-effects models were performed with fixed effects of test bout, condition, test bout × condition, and a random effect of participant. Covariates included pre-sleep baseline scores, randomization order, sex, and sleep history. Participants rated themselves as more alert and energetic in the light condition compared to the control condition (VASalert-sleepy p = .01; VASlethargic-energetic p = .001). There was no effect of condition for DST outcomes, but there was a significant improvement in DST total responses in the light condition in a subset of participants waking from N3 (p = .03). There was a significant effect of condition for PVT outcomes, with faster responses (p < .001) and fewer lapses (p < .001) in the control condition. Our results under naturalistic at-home settings suggest that, similar to the in-laboratory study findings, the light intervention improved subjective alertness and mood, while working memory improved after waking from N3. Future studies of light interventions should include measures of visual acuity and comfort to assess the full feasibility and efficacy of interventions in real-world environments.

sleep inertia↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Earth Science Data Processing With Nextflow

Earth science data processing tasks present many challenges. These tasks often process large input datasets and require scores of CPU-hours to generate results. All but the simplest tasks will be decomposed into a series of computational or data manipulation steps, also known as a scientific workflow. In order to reduce the burden of orchestrating and running the dependent processing steps, a workflow execution engine is required. This poster describes the lessons learned by the CLARREO Pathfinder (CPF) team while developing multiple scientific workflows and utilizing the open-source Nextflow engine to execute them in a cloud computing environment. The Nextflow engine is designed with the following stated goals: first, the engine does not dictate how individual steps in the task are implemented (i.e. it is language and interface agnostic); second, the engine supports easy configuration and modularity at the workflow level so that others can easily execute our workflows to reproduce results; lastly, the engine eases development by transparently scaling execution from local to remote environments. Nextflow was developed for the bioinformatics domain but is a good fit for other scientific workflows where the overall task is well-described by a dataflow diagram. The CPF team has developed Nextflow pipelines (i.e. scientific workflows) to simulate CLARREO radiance, generate large look-up tables for inter-calibration algorithms, and generate L4 intercalibration data products. These pipelines consume from single-digits to hundreds of thousands of CPU-hours. In the development and evolution of these pipelines we have discovered many design patterns, pitfalls, and solutions to common problems. Our goal is to demonstrate important aspects of how to design, implement, run, and ultimately share Nextflow pipelines in the domain of Earth science.

Aron D Bartle↗

NASA NTRS2023

Orbital Debris Quarterly News, August 2023

- IOC II Announces Program and Venue - Continuing Development of ISO Debris Mitigation Standards - DAS Release - MEO Releases New Example Library - Updated Flux Interpolation in ORDEM - Evolution of Major Debris Clouds in LEO - ODPO Receives the 2022 Agency Group Achievement Honor Award - Upcoming Meetings - Orbital Debris Environment Plot - Space Missions and Satellite Box Score

Heather Cowardin↗

NASA NTRS2023

Automated Machine Learning to Evaluate the Information Content of Tropospheric Trace Gas Columns for Fine Particle Estimates Over India: A Modeling Testbed

India is largely devoid of high-quality and reliable on-the-ground measurements of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ). Ground-level PM 2.5 concentrations are estimated from publicly available satellite Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) products combined with other information. Prior research has largely overlooked the possibility of gaining additional accuracy and insights into the sources of PM using satellite retrievals of tropospheric trace gas columns. We evaluate the information content of tropospheric trace gas columns for PM 2.5 estimates over India within a modeling testbed using an Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) approach, which selects from a menu of different machine learning tools based on the data set. We then quantify the relative information content of tropospheric trace gas columns, AOD, meteorological fields, and emissions for estimating PM 2.5 over four Indian sub-regions on daily and monthly time scales. Our findings suggest that, regardless of the specific machine learning model assumptions, incorporating trace gas modeled columns improves PM 2.5 estimates. We use the ranking scores produced from the AutoML algorithm and Spearman’s rank correlation to infer or link the possible relative importance of primary versus secondary sources of PM 2.5 as a first step toward estimating particle composition. Our comparison of AutoML-derived models to selected baseline machine learning models demonstrates that AutoML is at least as good as user-chosen models. The idealized pseudo-observations (chemical-transport model simulations) used in this work lay the groundwork for applying satellite retrievals of tropospheric trace gases to estimate fine particle concentrations in India and serve to illustrate the promise of AutoML applications in atmospheric and environmental research.

Machine learning↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Usability of Pre-Flight Planning Interfaces for Supplemental Data Service Provider Tools to Support Uncrewed Aircraft System Traffic Management

Small uncrewed aircraft systems (sUASs) operate in low-altitude, uncontrolled airspace – where support services for their operators (UASOs) are not currently provided. NASA’s System-Wide Safety (SWS) project is identifying the potential risks and hazards to sUAS operations to provide, inform, and improve the designs of In-time Aviation Safety Management Systems (IASMS). The IASMS will include a suite of data-driven tools that compile and analyze data collected from aviation systems and environmental sources to predict hazards, and provide information to allow operators to mitigate these risks (Young et al., 2020). These risk and hazard services can be run and displayed to operators on graphical user interfaces (GUIs), as they relate to a vehicle(s)’ route of flight. These interfaces offer both a means to present hazard service output and offer an opportunity to test user understanding of the information, user decision making, and the best ways to present such data to an operator. Based on these future technologies and intended missions, it is important to investigate interface requirements and evaluate how operators might use these tools. Presenting salient and meaningful risk assessment information to operators is necessary to increase situation awareness and ultimately safety. Building on previous research (Feldman et al., 2022), a usability study comparing two GUIs was conducted to explore how individuals interacted with different styles of information displays. A series of pre-flight hazard and risk-assessment tasks were developed to evaluate participant performance using the Supplemental Data Service Provider Consolidated Dashboard and the Human Automation Team Interface System interfaces. Participants were trained to use both GUIs and their performance was analysed across different scenarios involving multiple sUASs. Performance on simple tasks and the System Usability Scale scores were reported by Feldman et al., 2023. Additional analyses and evaluations on more complex tasks (e.g., risk assessment, prioritization), workload and response times are examined in this paper.

sUAV interfaces↗

NASA NTRS2023

Huntsville Urban Development II: Utilizing NASA Earth Observations to Map the Urban Heat Island and Evaluate Vulnerability in Huntsville, Alabama

Huntsville, Alabama has seen a boom in growth over recent years. One consequence of this urban expansion is the exacerbation of the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect across the city. This project identified the areas within Huntsville the greatest potential for heat reduction and community health benefits from tree-planting efforts. The team created maps of land surface temperature (LST), the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and the normalized difference built-up index (NDBI) over June through August from 2019 to 2022 using data from ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station, Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS), Landsat 9 OLI-2 and TIRS-2. The team identified areas with high LST, low NDVI, and high NDBI as areas with the greatest potential for heat reduction via tree-planting. Social factors relating to age, race, income, and self-reported health were adapted from Tree Equity Score to map community need for tree cover. When combining social with environmental factors, the team determined areas with the greatest potential for UHI mitigation: west-central and north downtown Huntsville. The team’s partner organization, the City of Huntsville, can use this priority map to guide their future tree-planting, and weigh the factors assessed according to their preference.

James Karroum↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Usability of Pre-flight Planning Interfaces for Supplemental Data Service Provider Tools to Support Uncrewed Aircraft System Traffic Management

sUAV interfaces↗

NASA NTRS2024

Evaluation of Intranasal Scopolamine for the Prevention of Wave Motion Induced Motion Sickness While Maintaining Performance on Operationally Relevant Tasks

Motion sickness represents one of the greatest clinical challenges impacting crew activities during and following g-transitions. Our overall goal is to characterize the effectiveness of motion sickness countermeasures during controlled laboratory experiments using capsule wave motion simulation and during field testing in operational environments. This laboratory study focused on prevention of motion sickness using intranasal scopolamine using a double-blinded repeated measures design in 30 subjects (19M, 11F). Intranasal scopolamine was provided by Defender Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (DPI-386 Nasal Gel, referred to as Inscop) self-administered by a nasal pump (Aptar Pharma) that delivers 0.4 mg dose (0.2 mg / nostril). During each session, subjects were exposed to complex wave motion on a six degree-of-freedom platform that included pitch, roll and heave at provocative stimulus frequencies (0.1-0.25 Hz) while seated in an illuminated cabin deprived of external visual cues. Motion sickness symptoms were compared across treatment and placebo control sessions counterbalanced across subjects and separated by at least one week. The time-to-motion sickness endpoint was based on severe malaise, defined as symptom score of ≥8 points using the Pensacola Diagnostic Index [1]. The bioavailability of scopolamine for each session was estimated from plasma concentrations obtained every 15 min[2]. Side effects during the treatment session were minimal, and performance was not impaired on a test battery including motion perception tracking, tablet-based eye-hand coordination and psychomotor vigilance testing. The plasma concentration remained near-peak levels throughout the 45 min motion sickness testing for most subjects. The percentile ranking on the Motion Sickness Susceptibility Questionnaire [MSSQ, 3]was moderately correlated with the motion sickness time-to-endpoint during the placebo control session (rho = –0.3, p=0.056). Seventeen subjects did not reach an endpoint during their placebo session and were eliminated from subsequent analysis. Another subject was excluded due to insufficient plasma concentration during the treatment session. For the remaining 12 subjects, the change in time-to-motion sickness endpoint between placebo and treatment sessions was moderately correlated with plasma concentration (rho =0.48, p = 0.056), improving on average 4.4 ± 18.4 min, mean ± std with Inscop versus placebo. Our results are consistent with previous findings that intranasal delivery of scopolamine can be effective at reducing motion sickness symptoms with minimal cognitive or sedative side effects. Future work is needed to optimize the delivery of Inscop for rescue (treatment) of symptoms following g-transitions as one of the key advantages of this formulation is self-administration in a suited environment. We will also explore how the combination of Inscop with non-pharmaceutical sensory aids, e.g., vibrotactile feedback of Earth vertical, may further mitigate motion sickness and improve task performance.

S J Wood↗

NASA NTRS2023

Orbital Debris Quarterly News, October 2023

In this issue: - ISS Maneuvers to Avoid Potential Collisions Twice in August 2023 - Derelict Cosmos Communications Spacecraft Breaks Up in June 2023 - Gene Stansbery, Former NASA Program Manager for Orbital Debris, Passes - HUSIR Radar Measurements of the Orbital Debris Environment: 2022 - Thirty Years Later: A Look Back at the 1993 JSC Perseid Stormwatch Center - IOC II Commences in December 2023 - NASA ODPO and HVIT Abstract - Conference Report - Orbital Debris Environment Plots - Space Missions and Satellite Box Score

Heather Mae Cowardin↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Light as a Reactive Countermeasure to Sleep Inertia: Translating Laboratory Findings to the Field

Sleep inertia describes the brief period of impaired alertness, mood, and cognitive performance experienced after waking. Under laboratory settings, light exposure upon waking during a habitual sleep period has been shown to improve sleep inertia symptoms. We investigated whether a field-deployable light-emitting device would help to mitigate sleep inertia in a real-world setting. Thirty-six participants (18 female; 26.6 years ± 6.1) completed an at-home, within-subject, randomized crossover study. Participants followed their habitual sleep-wake schedule for five nights before an adaptation and experimental night. Forty-five minutes after bedtime on the experimental night, participants received a phone call and were instructed to wear light-emitting glasses with the light either on (light condition) or off (control). A 5-minute psychomotor vigilance task (PVT), the Karolinska Sleepiness Scale (KSS), visual analog scales of mood (VASmood), and a 3-minute descending subtraction task (DST) were performed starting at +2, +12, +22, and +32 minutes after the call. Participants then went back to sleep and were called 45 minutes after lights out for the opposite condition. A series of mixed-effects models were performed with fixed effects of test bout, condition, test bout × condition, and a random effect of participant. Covariates included pre-sleep baseline scores, randomization order, sex, and sleep history. Participants rated themselves as more alert and energetic in the light condition compared to the control condition (VASalert-sleepy p = .01; VASlethargic-energetic p = .001). There was no effect of condition for DST outcomes, but there was a significant improvement in DST total responses in the light condition in a subset of participants waking from N3 (p = .03). There was a significant effect of condition for PVT outcomes, with faster responses (p < .001) and fewer lapses (p < .001) in the control condition. Our results under naturalistic at-home settings suggest that, similar to the in-laboratory study findings, the light intervention improved subjective alertness and mood, while working memory improved after waking from N3. Future studies of light interventions should include measures of visual acuity and comfort to assess the full feasibility and efficacy of interventions in real-world environments.

sleep inertia↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Bone Conduction Headphone Research and Human-in-the-Loop Test Results

The new space suit being developed for exploration EVAs on the surface of the Moon and in microgravity environments is called xEMU. A government reference model had been developed and had undergone testing. This suit contains new upgrades from the current EMU on ISS, such as integrated speakers and microphones, eliminating the need for astronauts to wear a Communications Carrier Assembly (CCA) on their head during spacewalks. However, upon testing, it was noticed that this feature causes acoustic coupling, that results in communications echo and feedback. A proposed solution to this issue is to have the astronaut wear a bone conduction headset for audio capabilities while on EVA to receive incoming voice communications from Mission Control and other EVA or IVA crew members. This would eliminate the acoustic coupling and echo effect while being more ergonomically sound than the current CCA and leave the ear open to suit ambient sound for situational awareness. A human-in-the-loop evaluation was performed, comparing five commercially available bone conduction headsets, to evaluate comfort, fit, and adjustability for long-duration wear. Five engineering test subjects with different head sizes were utilized to wear the headsets for six hours and provide succinct feedback and score the headsets on a variety of factors, to help determine which of the headsets performed the best and could advance to future bone conduction audio testing. Three of the headsets were well-received among the diverse group of subjects, and at least one of these will advance to further testing to be considered for future use under the xEMU helmet for exploration EVAs. Rating results and evaluation methods for this bone conduction headset evaluation will be presented.

Bridget M Cavanaugh↗

NASA NTRS2023

Modeling and Simulation Credibility Assessments of Whole-Body Finite Element Computational Models for Use in NASA Extravehicular Activity Applications

Computational finite element (FE) models are used in suited astronaut injury risk assessments; however, these models’ verification, validation, and credibility (VV&C) procedures for simulating injuries in altered gravity environments are limited. Our study conducts VV&C assessments of THUMS and Elemance whole-body FE models for predicting suited astronaut injury biomechanics using eight credibility factors, as per NASA-STD-7009A. Credibility factor ordinal scores are assigned by reviewing existing documentation describing VV&C practices, and credibility sufficiency thresholds are assigned based on input from subject matter experts. Our results show the FE models are credible for suited astronaut injury investigation in specific ranges of kinematic and kinetic conditions correlating to highway and contact sports events. Nevertheless, these models are deficient when applied outside these ranges. Several credibility elevation strategies are prescribed to improve models’ credibility for the NASA-centric application domain.

Finite Element↗