Study Involving IRSN, LANL, & PRNL Sensitivity/Uncertainty Tools to Support Validation [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
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Investigating Fission Reaction Rate Ratio Sensitivities [Slides]
One EUCLID project goal is to create a NEW capability in the MCNP6 code. This is being tested on reaction rate sensitivities and compared with SENSMG results. Reaction rate ratio sensitivities were added to EUCLID sensitivity library and investigated to determine value toward designing optimized experiments aimed at reducing compensating errors in nuclear data. The use of adjustment using multiple responses (and underlying/required capabilities) may benefit many applications. These include a tool for adjustment using multiple integral responses (ND adjustment and validation community); sensitivities of additional responses (ND adjustment and validation community); sensitivity capabilities (users in many application areas including safeguards/nonproliferation, criticality safety, etc.); and experiment optimization capability (applications which can benefit from integral experiments). Team is working to build and test future tools and to understand compensating errors
235U↗
Verification of MCNP Critical Benchmark Model of U233-COMP-THERM-004 [Slides]
The verification of U233-COMP-THERM-004 contributed to the LANL centralized repository that’s currently under development. Revisions made to the MCNP model were statistically significant. Magnitude of bias is relatively small in comparison to other uranium benchmark biases and thus will likely have not a significant effect on the USL.
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Deterministic and Monte Carlo Nuclear Data Adjustment Methods [Slides]
For the Bayesian Monte Carlo methodology, a need to understand convergence of the posterior moments as a function of the number of parameter realizations is required. In high-dimensional systems, it can be very costly to sample entire parameter space and perform functional evaluation for every realization. Bayesian Monte Carlo allows one to relax the GLLS approximations of model linearity and prior/posterior PDF shape. The Bayesian Stochastic Collocation Method is a deterministic approach to “sample” the parameter space. It allows one to relax the GLLS approximations of model linearity and posterior PDF shape. Higher-order posterior moments (i.e., skewness, kurtosis, etc.) can be studied through polynomial expansion. Tensor product quadrature scales poorly and can use sparse grid quadrature methods.
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Benchmark Evaluation of one Dimensional Array of HEU Moderated and Reflected by Lucite [Poster]
Two critical experiments with HEU-Lucite were performed using the Planet Universal Critical Assembly Machine at Los Alamos National Laboratory in 2019. HEU foils were interleaved with Lucite in a column stack for moderation and reflection from the square Lucite plates. The evaluation of the experiments is presented. A Monte-Carlo (MCNP6) calculation model was developed for the determination of uncertainties and their effect on the multiplication factor. Experimental uncertainties were found to be low with the overall uncertainty in k eff approximately 240 pcm. The comparison of calculations with experimental data is presented.
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LLNL Analytical Methods Update [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
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Comparative Critical Mass Calculations for NNL and ENDF/B-VIII.0 Zirconium Hydride Thermal Scattering Laws [Slides]
Zirconium Hydride (ZrH x ) is a moderator material for TRIGA reactors and SNAP-10A.The thermal scattering has the behavior of quantum oscillator favorable for moderator feedback. ZrH x occurs as a corrosion product in LWR. Previously new phase specific TSL evaluations were generated and submitted to ENDF/B- VIII.1. These include the effects of crystal structure on elastic scattering of Zr(ZrH x ), permit flexibility in stoichiometry for use in reactor physics calculations and fuel characterization, and expand the TSL material sub-library. ENDF/B-VIII.0 ZrH TSLs do not distinguish between material phase. Current work involves preliminary validation & verification testing on the effect of TSLs on critical mass and associated thermal flux.
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Polaris Depletion Calculations: Selected Best Practices [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
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Sensitivity/Uncertainty Analysis for Nuclear Criticality Safety Validation [Slides]
Sensitivity coefficients predict the expected change in a response ($\kappa$) due to a change in some input parameter ($\Sigma$). These responses can be k eff (or ratios of reaction rates). These input parameters are typically nuclear data. The coefficients are dimensionless ratios. What would happen to the system k eff if some piece of data were changed by some amount? The coefficient is calculated without making the change.
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Calculation of Spent Fuel Pool Time-to-Boil using Polaris/ORIGAMI [Slides]
The goal of this experiment was to calculate time-to-boil (TTB) for a Spent Fuel Pool (SFP). TTB is important for SFP management that represents the amount of time available to address loss of forced cooling. Researchers calculated and compared TTB for two cases using SCALE: SFP containing representative LEU fuel (≤ 5 wt %) and SFP containing representative LEU+ fuel (5 – 8 wt %). There were approximately 2300 fuel assemblies in the SFP for each case. Researchers concluded that the impact of LEU+ core on time-to-boil is very small. At such low cooling times, the impact of increased decay heat is not significant. Decay heat of SFP assemblies is small compared to discharge core decay heat.
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Illustration of Neutronic Decoupling in Fresh Fuel Storage Environments [Slides]
Operations beyond static storage of fuel assemblies occur in SFPs (moving around the pool, inspection, etc.). These assemblies are assumed suitably distanced at 30 cm. When assemblies are separated by enough water, the neutrons from one cannot cause fission in another, which results in neutronic decoupling. This assumption was investigated for PWR and BWR assemblies as part of ORNL-TM/2021/2330.
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Criticality and Radiation Shielding Impacts of ENDF/B-VIII.0 [Slides]
Several impacts of ENDF/B-VIII.0 on Radiation Shielding Applications were observed by researchers. Most reaction rates, attenuation ratios, and dose rates are similar for ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0. A significant reduction in reactor dosimetry results was noted. Investigation continues to reveal underlying data for discrepancies.
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SCALE Sensitivity Tutorial [Slides]
In sensitivity analysis, we seek to quantify the degree to which fundamental data (i.e., nuclear data) influence a system’s response. In uncertainty analysis, we seek to quantify the degree to which uncertainty in fundamental data contributes to uncertainty in a system’s response. In SCALE, the TSUNAMI suite provides tools for sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, similarity analysis, and nuclear data and covariance adjustment.
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Cumulative χ 2 Metric for VALID for ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 in SCALE 6.3b9 [Slides]
Quantifying the performance of a new evaluation is difficult and doing so for a new library is significantly more challenging. Cumulative χ 2 metric is an established approach to comparing distributions. In this case, C/E results from different libraries. Andrei Trkov and Roberto Capote have published cumulative χ 2 results for ENDF/B-VIII.0. Cumulative χ 2 metric was recently calculated for VALID library maintained at ORNL.
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Bayesian Monte-Carlo Evaluation Framework for Imperfect Nuclear Data [Slides]
BMC evaluation is a tool used to address imperfect data and models, non-linear models, and non-normal PDFs. ENDF-6 format does not allow non-normal parameter PDFs. Storing posterior sets allows for variance, covariance, skewness, etc. To better predict criticality, we should document non-normal parameter PDFs (i.e. asymmetric uncertainty) and consider non-linear sensitivity of $k_{\text{eff}}$ to resonance parameters.
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Bayesian Monte-Carlo Framework: New Methods for Resonance Parameter Evaluation [Slides]
BMC evaluation is a tool to address imperfect data & models, non-linear models, and non-normal PDFs. ENDF-6 format does not allow non-normal parameter PDFs. Storing posterior sets allow for variance, covariance, skewness, etc. To better predict criticality, we could document non-normal parameter PDFs (i.e. asymmetric uncertainty), consider non-linear sensitivity of $\kappa$ eff to resonance parameters, and reduce uncertainty in key resonance parameters.
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ORNL Neutron Cross Section Measurements of 90 Zr NCSP ND-1 Task [Slides]
Luiz Leal's idea to integrate the experimental uncertainties, covariances, and sensitivities in this workflow and centralize the process at one location led to the creation of a cohesive tool for data testing. It has been practiced for more than two decades by the NCS and ND groups at ORNL. The development and use of the ORNL codes TSUNAMI and TSURFER within SCALE made it possible. Today, it has been extended to SAMINT which enables the coupling of differential and integral data evaluation in a continuous-energy framework.
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