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DOE OSTI2023

Improved Modeling of Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Disposal Room Porosity

Disposal rooms at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) contain waste and gas, and their porosity evolves over time. This report presents several improvements to the disposal room porosity model and presents new porosity predictions for use in future WIPP Performance Assessment activities. The improvements pertain to three sub-models: the geomechanical model, the waste compaction model, and the gas pressurization model. The impacts of each major improvement were quantified and the new porosity predictions were shown to be both mesh and domain size converged. Also, sensitivity studies on the disposal room horizon, clay seam friction coefficients, and homogenized waste representation were performed to support assumptions in the disposal room porosity model. To compare the legacy and new porosity predictions, the simulation results were plotted as a response surface, where gas pressure and time are inputs and porosity is the output. The new porosity response surface is insensitive to pressures beneath lithostatic pressure and highly sensitive to pressures above lithostatic pressure. The legacy porosity response surface, on the other hand, has moderate porosity gradients over all pressures. The new porosity response surface has a stronger scientific foundation than the legacy surface and may now be used for Compliance Decision Analyses.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Oak Ridge National Laboratory's Strategic Research and Development Insights for Digital Twins

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is pleased to provide our response to the NITRD RFI on Digital Twins Research and Development. Digital twins are virtual representations of physical systems, leveraging real-time data to simulate and predict behaviors. ORNL is advancing digital twin technology across various disciplines, including neutron scattering, networking, science ecosystems, supercomputing, secure facilities, mobility technologies, materials design and discovery, power systems, fusion reactors, biological sciences, and earth observation. These efforts aim to enhance scientific research, operational efficiency, and decision-making processes. ORNL facilities, such as the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR), Grid-C, Spallation Neutron Source (SNS), and Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF), provide the infrastructure to develop and demonstrate these digital twin technologies. In this document, we lay out key challenges, research gaps, and future opportunities based on our experience with digital twins that aim to serve as useful contributions towards a National Digital Twins R&D Strategic Plan. In the remaining document, we address nine of the thirteen topic areas specified in the RFI.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

End-to-End Optimization for Battery Materials and Molecules by Combining Graph Neural Networks and Reinforcement Learning

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), together with the Colorado School of Mines (CSM) and Colorado State University (CSU), has developed a machine learning-enhanced approach to the design of new battery materials. Currently, such materials are designed in part via numerous expensive high-fidelity computational simulations that predict the performance of a given composition. Even with computational screening tools, the vast landscape of possible molecular or crystal structures exceeds current and future computational capacity. Improving the efficiency by which new materials can be optimized will therefore disrupt the cost, risk, and time required to bring new energy solutions to the marketplace. Predicting the properties of an organic molecule or periodic crystalline material given its structure has grown increasingly common. These approaches leverage large-scale computational and experimental databases and ML approaches such as graph neural networks. The inverse design problem of finding a material that possesses desired properties is substantially more challenging, since enumerating all valid material structures is not feasible. In this project, we leveraged recent success in reinforcement learning to efficiently navigate this high-dimensional search space. Just as algorithms can find the optimal chess moves from nearly limitless options, we train an approach to evolve a simple starting structure into a complex structure that possess the desired properties. Our solution has been demonstrated by applying it to two related design application tasks for short- and long-term energy storage, respectively: (1) the design of solid-state ion conductors and (2) the design of organic redox-active materials. The project has resulted an open-source software library for material design, documented examples of applying the library to both organic and inorganic material optimization, and peer-reviewed publications detailing the data, computational models, and resulting candidate materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Vibrational signatures of S Vacancies in monolayer tungsten disulfide

S vacancies in WS 2 affect material performance but a difficult to detect. In this work I use theoretical simulations to predict the vibrational frequencies associated with S vacancies in monolayer WS 2 . I report the phonon spectrum and band structure of the isolated monolayer and the frequencies that are introduced to the spectrum when a vacancy is created.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying and Optimizing the Energy Benefits of Mass Timber Construction

The International Mass Timber Alliance (IMTA) is a global organization of industry leaders, engineers, scientists, and associations dedicated to advancing mass timber construction. Its mission is to generate and disseminate scientific data supporting the development of standardized construction and energy efficient practices that promote the adoption of mass timber worldwide. IMTA collaborated with Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to leverage ORNL’s expertise in building envelope modeling and testing to evaluate how mass timber construction can reduce peak heating and cooling demand, lower overall energy use, and improve resilience during power outages. A previous study of 80 mass timber buildings in Finland found measured energy use up to 50% lower than predicted by simulation. This project aimed to validate and extend those findings for U.S. buildings through analytical modeling, laboratory testing, and full-scale building evaluations. The research focused on the thermal performance of low-embodied-energy wall assemblies, such as cross-laminated timber (CLT) panels and log walls, with particular attention to the effects of thermal inertia on indoor comfort and energy performance. While mass timber’s structural and fire-resistance properties are well documented, its whole-building thermal behavior has received limited attention. Field data, simulation results, and resilience testing from this study will inform future modeling practices, design guidelines, and construction practices by quantifying the unique thermal and demand-flexibility benefits of mass timber construction.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Development of local hybrid density functionals to treat self-interaction error and many-electron effects

The goal of this project was to improve density functional theory (DFT) for systems where conventional semilocal approximations are limited by self-interaction error (SIE) and by near-degeneracy or strong many-electron effects. While DFT remains the only broadly practical first-principles framework for large-scale materials simulations, its predictive accuracy is often challenged in situations involving stretched bonds, charge transfer, transition-metal chemistry, magnetic couplings, band gaps, and correlated electronic states. This project addressed these limitations by developing physically grounded and numerically robust exchange–correlation functionals that retain the efficiency of modern DFT while extending its predictive scope.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

PyDA: A Hands-On Introduction to Dynamical Data Assimilation with Python

Dynamic data assimilation offers a suite of algorithms that merge measurement data with numerical simulations to predict accurate state trajectories. Meteorological centers rely heavily on data assimilation to achieve trustworthy weather forecast. With the advance in measurement systems, as well as the reduction in sensor prices, data assimilation (DA) techniques are applicable to various fields, other than meteorology. However, beginners usually face hardships digesting the core ideas from the available sophisticated resources requiring a steep learning curve. In this tutorial, we lay out the mathematical principles behind DA with easy-to-follow Python module implementations so that this group of newcomers can quickly feel the essence of DA algorithms. We explore a series of common variational, and sequential techniques, and highlight major differences and potential extensions. We demonstrate the presented approaches using an array of fluid flow applications with varying levels of complexity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Influence of Cross Perturbations on Turbulent Kelvin–Helmholtz Instability

Kelvin–Helmholtz instability has been studied extensively in 2D. This study attempts to address the influence of turbulent flow and cross perturbation on the growth rate of the instability and the development of mixing layers in 3D by means of direct numerical simulation. Two perfect gases are considered to be working fluids moving as opposite streams, inducing shear instability at the interface between the fluids and resulting in Kelvin–Helmholtz instability. The results show that cross perturbation affects the instability by increasing the amplitude growth while adding turbulence has almost no effect on the amplitude growth. Furthermore, by increasing the turbulence intensity, a more distinct presence of the inner flow can be seen in the mixing layer of the two phases, and the presence of turbulence expands the range of high-frequency motion significantly due to turbulence structures. The results give a basis for which 3D Kelvin–Helmholtz phenomena should be further investigated using numerical simulation for predictive modeling, beyond the use of simplified 2D theoretical models.

Sementilli, Mae (ORCID:0000000207125928)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Digital Twin Applications in the Water Sector: A Review

As cities develop and resource demands rise, the water sector faces crucial challenges to deliver reliable, sustainable, and efficient services. Digital Twins (DTs), virtual replicas of physical systems, offer a promising tool to transform how we manage water infrastructure. Originally developed in the aerospace industry, DTs are now gaining traction in the water sector, enabling real-time monitoring, simulation, and predictive control of water and wastewater treatment, collection and distribution networks, and water reclamation and reuse systems. While still emerging in the water sector, DTs have shown potential to enhance operational efficiency, reduce environmental impacts, and support smarter, more resilient water management. This review study provides a comprehensive overview of current DT applications in the water sector, highlighting successful case studies, technical challenges, and knowledge gaps. It also explores how DTs can help bridge the water–energy nexus by optimizing resources utilized across interconnected systems. By synthesizing recent advances and identifying future research directions, this paper illustrates how DTs can play a central role in building sustainable, adaptive, and digitally-enabled water infrastructure.

digital twin↗

DOE OSTI2024

Astrometric Microlensing by Primordial Black Holes with the Roman Space Telescope

Abstract Primordial black holes (PBHs) could explain some fraction of dark matter and shed light on many areas of early-Universe physics. Despite over half a century of research interest, a PBH population has so far eluded detection. The most competitive constraints on the fraction of dark matter comprised of PBHs ( f DM ) in the (10 −9 –10) M ⊙ mass ranges come from photometric microlensing and bound f DM ≲ 10 −2 –10 −1 . With the advent of the Roman Space Telescope with its submilliarcsecond astrometric capabilities and its planned Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (GBTDS), detecting astrometric microlensing signatures will become routine. Compared with photometric microlensing, astrometric microlensing signals are sensitive to different lens masses–distance configurations and contain different information, making it a complimentary lensing probe. At submilliarcsecond astrometric precision, astrometric microlensing signals are typically detectable at larger lens–source separations than photometric signals, suggesting a microlensing detection channel of pure astrometric events. We use a Galactic simulation to predict the number of detectable microlensing events during the GBTDS via this pure astrometric microlensing channel. Assuming an absolute astrometric precision floor for bright stars of 0.1 mas for the GBTDS, we find that the number of detectable events peaks at ≈10 3 f DM for a population of 1 M ⊙ PBHs and tapers to ≈10 f DM and ≈100 f DM at 10 −4 M ⊙ and 10 3 M ⊙ , respectively. Accounting for the distinguishability of PBHs from stellar lenses, we conclude the GBTDS will be sensitive to a PBH population at f DM down to ≈10 −1 –10 −3 for (10 −1 –10 2 ) M ⊙ likely yielding novel PBH constraints.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Characterizing the Roman Grism Redshift Efficiency of Type Ia Supernova Host Galaxies for the High-latitude Time-domain Survey

The High-latitude Time-domain Survey (HLTDS) for the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (Roman) will discover thousands of high-redshift Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) to set generation-defining cosmological constraints on dark energy. To construct the Roman SN Hubble diagram, a strategy to obtain redshifts must be determined. While the nominal HLTDS will use only the Roman prism, in this work, we consider the utility of the Roman grism observations from overlap with the High-latitude Wide-area Survey for SN Ia cosmology. We determine a galaxy grism redshift recovery rate by simulating dispersed grism images and measuring redshifts with the Grizli software, obtaining an H-band 50% redshift recovery at magnitude 20.61 and 90% recovery at magnitude 19.27. To estimate the total number of spectroscopic redshifts expected for Roman SN cosmology, we also consider a Roman prism SN redshift efficiency and a ground-based telescope redshift efficiency for host galaxies. We apply these redshift efficiencies to SN Ia catalog-level simulations and predict that ∼6800 SNe will have an SN or host spectroscopic redshift. Second, we evaluate the size of potential systematics related to modeling the grism redshift efficiency by considering the impact of additional dependences on stellar mass and host-galaxy color. We estimate the largest potential size of this systematic to be 0.0066 ± 0.002 and −0.0266 ± 0.0079, roughly 42.9% and 49.6% of the statistical uncertainty, for w 0 and w a , respectively. Lastly, we consider the effects of assuming different redshift sources on the optimization of the HLTDS survey strategy by measuring relative changes to the dark energy figure of merit.

Chen, Rebecca C. [Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United S↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Kinematically Hot, Extremely Metal-poor C-19 Stellar Stream in DESI DR2

Stellar streams are the result of a host galaxy’s gravitational potential tidally disrupting satellite dwarf galaxies and globular clusters (GCs), causing them to grow leading and trailing tidal tails. The C-19 stellar stream is an extremely metal-poor stellar population, showing chemical abundance patterns characteristic of a GC. However, its large velocity dispersion is difficult to reconcile with a conventional, purely baryonic, disrupting-GC progenitor. Current techniques for stream characterization are primarily applied to Gaia DR3, relying heavily on proper-motion measurements. Using the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), which provides radial velocities and metallicities for over 10 million stars and reaches significantly fainter magnitudes than comparable surveys, we employ a mixture model approach to jointly characterize stream populations in proper motions, radial velocities, and metallicities against a Milky Way halo background. By applying this framework to the C-19 stellar stream, we identify a total of 47 spectroscopically confirmed member stars, of which 41 are newly identified and only 6 were previously reported in the literature. In this work, we measure a velocity dispersion of $7.8^{+1.5}_{-1.3}$km s −1 and a mean metallicity of [Fe/H] = $-3.36^{+0.12}_{-0.10}$. We further identify a novel “spur” feature within the stream. We conclude that our measurements are in line with previous works identifying C-19 as a “hot,” metal-poor stream. In forthcoming work, we will apply this approach to many more streams in the DESI footprint, enabling population-level comparisons with predictions from simulations.

Mohammed, Nasser [University of Toronto; Dunlap In↗

DOE OSTI2026

Hygrothermal Performance of Bio-Based Materials in Residential Building Wall Envelope Systems

In the United States, building envelope systems contribute approximately 28% of building energy consumption, with walls being a primary factor. As the construction industry explores new approaches to lower the energy intensity needed to manufacture materials and, in turn, reduce energy consumption, bio-based materials are gaining attention as a promising alternative. While prior studies have demonstrated that bio-based materials can decrease material energy intensity, their long-term hygrothermal behavior within a whole residential wall system is not yet fully understood. This study aims to evaluate the potential of replacing Oriented Strand Board (OSB) and drywall in residential wall systems with bio-based alternatives. The research focuses on two bio-based materials, assessing their hygrothermal performance under Chicago climate condition (Climate Zone 5). To achieve that, a series of laboratory experiments were conducted to measure key properties of the bio-based materials such as thickness, dimensions, density, thermal conductivity (as a function of temperature and humidity), moisture-dependent permeance and water vapor permeability (WVP), and sorption isotherms. These properties were then used in WUFI® simulations to predict the moisture durability of a standard residential wall system in Climate Zone 5. Results show that substituting OSB and drywall with bio-based materials can achieve acceptable moisture durability, effectively mitigating risks of mold growth and structural damage over time.

Palani, Hevar [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000220211994)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Investigation of Flux Spreading in a Light-Trapping, Planar-Cavity Receiver for Enclosed Solar Particle Heating

Concentrating solar thermal power (CSP) technology development has recently focused on increasing the operating temperatures to accommodate high efficiency power cycles and thermochemical processes. Inert solid particles as heat transfer media enable solar receivers to operate above 700 degrees Celsius resulting in increased system thermal efficiency compared to the conventional molten salt based CSP system. An open-cavity falling-particle solar receiver that can efficiently heat particles by direct heating from concentrated solar radiation faces challenges with large particle losses from wind and unable to support thermochemical reactions. A light-trapping, planar cavity reiver (LTPCR) where particles are indirectly heated can significantly minimize the particle losses during the operation, support thermochemical reactions, and offer scalability potential. The LTPCR features an array of vertical planar receiver/absorber panels arranged within a cavity configuration. Concentrated solar radiation from heliostats is focused onto the receiver walls, where heat is indirectly transferred to solid particles flowing inside the receiver channels. Heat transfer occurs through direct contact between the receiver panel walls and particles, and can be enhanced by fluidizing particles with air. This fluidization increases particle-wall contact and extends particle residence time, maximizing heat transfer efficiency. The unique vertical planar receiver structure originated from a near-blackbody tubular light absorber, effectively distributing the incoming solar beam spread across the panel walls and trapping light. This flux spreading effect, driven by cosine projection, converts high incident solar flux into a lower, more uniform heat flux on the panel walls. This redistribution enhances heat transfer efficiency between particle-wall or reaction gases-wall, while preventing localized overheating of the receiver panel. Indirect planar cavity solar receivers completely separate solid particles from the ambient environment that can greatly reduce the thermal losses in heated particles resulting in high efficiency at high temperatures above 700 degrees Celsius. This design ensures no particle losses to the environment during the operation while open-cavity designs can experience significant particle losses from wind. An experimental investigation was conducted to observe flux spreading on the receiver panel wall. A lab-scale prototype planar receiver, fabricated using Haynes 230 alloy, was tested under direct concentrated solar radiation using the high-flux solar furnace (HFSF) facility at NREL. The experiment was performed under normal peak radiative heat fluxes ranging from 800 to 1900 kW/m2. A temperature distribution on the panel wall was measured using a thermal imaging camera (FLIR A 6600). To prevent overheating at the receiver front tip, prism-shaped heat shields (Zircar UNIFROM C1) were placed in front of the receiver, and their influence on flux spreading was also studied. Absorbed flux distribution on the panel wall was modeled using SolTrace. The total solar power and flux distributions delivered from HFSF were determined based on the heliostat mirror optical properties, direct normal irradiance (DNI) on the on-sun testing days, peak flux measurement during the on-sun testing, and shutter/attenuator settings Due to the large incident angles of the solar beam on the panel wall, the angular optical properties of Haynes 230 alloy and Zircar heat shields were incorporated into the model. This flux distribution model was then integrated into a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation to predict the receiver panel wall temperature, which was compared with the experimental measurements. Both prediction and measurements identified a temperature hotspot at the backside of the panel, indicating that the incident solar beam can fully reach to the rear of the receiver. The heat shields positioned at the front of the receiver effectively reduced the excessive temperature rise at the receiver front tip. Overall, the temperature was well distributed over the panel wall, with a minor hotspot at the back of the receiver. The model slightly overpredicted the temperature, possibly due to discrepancies in optical properties of the panel and an underprediction of thermal loss in the receiver. The advancement of the particle LTPCR offers a viable alternative to open-cavity receivers by addressing particle loss issues. Additionally, it presents a pathway for enabling solar thermochemical processes, extending CSP technology beyond power generation to fuel and chemical production.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

CHARACTERIZATION ON ANISOTROPIC THERMAL CONDUCTIVITY FOR BIG AREA ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING WITH POLYMERS

Additive manufacturing with polymers has been used mainly for prototyping. A recent development of Big Area Additive Manufacturing (BAAM) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory has opened its applications in the mold and die industry. A numerical simulation and prediction for a mold heating performance requires accurate anisotropic thermal properties of the printed material, which are challenging to obtain, and often requires the use of multiple techniques. The transient plane source (TPS) technique has been widely used due to its ability to measure the thermal properties of an extensive range of materials (solids, liquids, powder). Despite the capability to characterize thermal conductivity k of isotropic and anisotropic materials, the measurements of latter materials are limited to the cases, where the samples have the same thermal conductivity k along x- and y-axis that form the radial plane. In this work, the method for a characterization of k in all three dimensions is developed, and the application of TPS is extended to the determination of thermal properties along the x-, y-, and z-axis individually. The materials are represented by additively manufactured polymers including polylactic acid (PLA) and styrene maleic anhydride (SMA). The developed method consists of (1) a determination of the heat capacity of the polymers by means of TPS in combination with the developed in this work data analysis procedure, (2) a machining three types of cylindrical samples from the same material, with the height corresponding either to x-, y-, or z-direction of printing, and (3) a determination of axial thermal conductivity employing anisotropic model and using previously determined heat capacity

Trofimov, Artem↗

DOE OSTI2022

Personalized learning via task load optimization

A method for providing task load-optimized computer-generated training experiences to a user of a training system that includes: a display, a training simulator, a prediction program (ML1), and a training optimization program (ML2). In response to receiving a predicted optimal task load, ML2 provides a first training experience recommendation related to the training content and/or training conditions that, if utilized in providing a training experience to the user, is predicted to result in the predicted actual task load of the user equaling the predicted optimal task load. In response to receiving biometric information or performance metric information, ML1 determines the predicted actual task load. If the predicted actual task load does not match the predicted optimal task load, ML2 provides a second training experience recommendation and a second training experience is provided where at least one of the training content or the training conditions is changed.

Bertolli, Michael G.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Digital Twin + AI: Control Room of the Future

A digital twin enhances power grid control room operations by providing real-time monitoring, predictive insights, simulation capabilities, remote control, training opportunities, data integration, and decision support. This technology empowers control room operators to effectively manage the grid, optimize performance, and ensure reliable and efficient energy distribution.

control room of the future↗

DOE OSTI2022

Phase-field modeling of radiation-induced segregation for multicomponent alloys

Structural alloys under irradiation are known to undergo radiation-induced solute redistribution (RIS) at grain boundaries, leading to detrimental effects such as intergranular corrosion and stress-assisted cracking. To better understand the phenomenon, improved models of RIS applicable to concentrated, multicomponent alloys, and mesoscale microstructures are needed. In this talk, we present a novel grand-potential-based phase-field model to account for the complete set of multicomponent kinetic and thermodynamic couplings between atoms and point defects in the Onsager transport equations. We demonstrate multiscale modeling capability by deriving the Onsager coefficient matrix from atomistic-based Kinetic Monte Carlo simulations. Model predictions and validations of RIS and the effect of defect production, grain boundary sink strength and density are demonstrated for a model FCC FeCrNi system. We also demonstrate the novel capability to describe RIS in the presence of equilibrium segregation described using a density-based CALPHAD thermodynamic framework. This modeling approach overcomes certain limitations in conventional RIS models and provides a step closer towards multiscale modeling.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗