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At least 595 records · Page 33
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

From Ensemble Climate to Ensemble Impacts

Many climate-risk tools rely on ensemble mean projections or endpoint climate snapshots to characterize future hazards. Although convenient for communication, these representations remove the statistical, temporal, and physical information that real infrastructure systems respond to. Infrastructure degradation and failure arise from extremes, sequences, cumulative stress, compound hazards, and nonlinear fragility relationships, none of which survive ensemble averaging or temporal compression. Power-system failure statistics and cascading failure models further show that infrastructure risk is dominated by tail events and path-dependent dynamics rather than by mean conditions. This paper demonstrates why ensemble mean or endpoint-only climate representations are mathematically and physically inconsistent with engineering-grade risk analysis. We outline a model-resolved, time-series-based workflow that preserves extremes, variability, and sequencing by propagating each climate-model realization independently through hazard formation, exposure, fragility, and cascading failure mechanisms. Taking the ensemble of impacts—rather than the ensemble of climate—provides a defensible, physically coherent foundation for infrastructure resilience planning, regulatory compliance, and long-term investment decisions.

54 - ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES/GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Strain-Based Assessment of Shale Caprock during Cyclic Underground Hydrogen Storage

Successful large-scale underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in depleted gas reservoirs depends on the integrity of the overlying caprock to prevent hydrogen loss during cyclic injection and depletion. Prior studies on crushed Marcellus shale, a potential caprock, indicate that cyclic hydrogen injection and depletion induces microstructural changes, increasing porosity and permeability. However, the extent of these changes in intact shale remains unclear. This study presents a strain-based experimental approach to quantify volumetric strain evolution in intact Marcellus shale matrix under unconstrained stress conditions. A quadrant-shaped shale sample without visible fractures underwent eight hydrostatic pore-pressure cycles (injection to 1500 psi and depletion to 500 psi in 250 psi steps). Linear strain gauges measured strain in three orthogonal directions. Results indicate progressive plastic strain accumulation, leading to an ∼12% increase in matrix porosity after eight cycles, with an estimated 19% increase after 30 cycles. This porosity increase follows a logarithmic trend, suggesting a diminishing effect in later cycles. Additionally, permeability and diffusive mass flux are projected to rise by ∼70% over 30 cycles, enhancing hydrogen migration risk. The shale matrix also exhibited mechanical stiffening over successive cycles, limiting large-scale deformation but not preventing porosity enhancement. A new parameter, α, was introduced to characterize shale sensitivity to cyclic loading, aiding UHS caprock assessments. These findings underscore the necessity of incorporating cyclic loading effects in UHS site selection and operational strategies to ensure long-term storage integrity.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impurity radiation seeding of neoclassical tearing mode growth

Abstract The physics of neoclassical tearing modes (NTMs) is of great concern to tokamak plasma stability and performance, especially in the burning plasma regime. Whereas in many situations the seed events can be clearly identified, such as sawteeth and edge localized modes, the potential seeding mechanism of NTMs due to the resistive tearing instability driven by the impurity radiation cooling still needs more study. Recent NIMROD simulations have demonstrated that local impurity radiation cooling can drive the seed island growth and trigger the subsequent onset of NTM instability. The seed island is mainly driven by the local helical perturbation of the diamagnetic current induced by the perturbed pressure gradient as a result of the impurity radiative cooling on the rational surface. A heuristic closure for the neoclassical viscosity is adopted, and the seed island is further driven by the perturbed bootstrap current induced from the neoclassical electron viscous stress in the extended Ohm’s law. The growth rate of the NTM in simulations is found proportional to the electron neoclassical viscosity, and a theoretical neoclassical driving term is adopted to account for the nonlinear neoclassical island growth in the simulations.

Zeng, Shiyong (ORCID:000000017098818X)↗
DOE OSTI2024

An enrichment wall modeling framework for spectral element methods

In the present work, a first-of-its-kind enrichment wall-model is developed within the spectral element method (SEM) framework for large-eddy simulations (LES) of wall-bounded turbulent flows. The method augments the polynomial solution in the wall-adjacent elements with an analytical law-of-the-wall enrichment function representing the mean velocity near the wall. In the solution representation, this enrichment function captures the large gradients in the boundary layer, which allows the polynomial modes to represent the turbulent fluctuations. The enriched solution is able to resolve the shear stress at the wall without any modification to the no-slip wall boundary conditions, which allows for greater accuracy in the near-wall region compared to traditional methods. The enrichment wall modeling approach is implemented in a high-order SEM computational fluid dynamics solver, Nek5000, and its performance is assessed in turbulent channel flow wall-modeled LES for a range of Reynolds numbers. It is demonstrated that the enrichment wall-model improves solution accuracy on under-resolved near-wall grids as compared to traditional shear stress wall-models.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Nitrogen Status Rewires Transcriptional Regulation of Dhurrin, a Dual‐Purpose Defense Metabolite in Sorghum bicolor

Dhurrin, a cyanogenic glucoside, plays an important role in Sorghum bicolor physiology and defense. The concentration of dhurrin in sorghum is influenced by both nitrogen status and stage of plant organ development. While nitrogen resupply activates the expression of genes for dhurrin biosynthesis, the molecular mechanisms underlying this regulation remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the transcriptional response of sorghum to nitrogen resupply following growth under nitrogen-limiting conditions. Using a time-course design, we measured hydrogen cyanide potential (HCNp), growth, and nitrate content at 0-, 2-, 6-, 12-, 24-, 36-, 48-, and 60-h after resupply and collected tissue for RNAseq analysis in parallel for analysis of gene expression and construction of gene regulatory networks (GRNs). HCNp (mg g −1 DW) increased significantly in leaf and stem tissues following nitrogen resupply, with increases in the leaf partially driven by continued declines in controls under ongoing nitrogen stress. Expression of the dhurrin pathway genes was upregulated in leaves from 24 h after nitrogen resupply, with diel expression patterns observable over the remaining time points. No upregulation was observed in roots or stems, suggesting that developmental context overrides environmental cues. GRN analysis identified candidate transcription factors regulating dhurrin biosynthesis genes, including members of the MYB, bZIP, and GARP-type transcription factor families. Some of these candidate transcription factors may be involved in relieving senescence-associated suppression of dhurrin biosynthesis and link nitrogen signaling to pathway activation. These findings provide new insight into the nitrogen-responsive regulation of dhurrin in sorghum, highlighting candidate regulators for future functional characterization.

S. bicolor↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sorghum bicolor BTx623 Nitrogen Grown Conditions Gene Expression Profiling

Dhurrin, a cyanogenic glucoside, plays an important role in Sorghum bicolor physiology and defense. The concentration of dhurrin in sorghum is influenced by both nitrogen status and stage of plant organ development. While nitrogen resupply activates the expression of genes for dhurrin biosynthesis, the molecular mechanisms underlying this regulation remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the transcriptional response of sorghum to nitrogen resupply following growth under nitrogen-limiting conditions. Using a time-course design, we measured hydrogen cyanide potential (HCNp), growth, and nitrate content at 0-, 2-, 6-, 12-, 24-, 36-, 48-, and 60-h after resupply and collected tissue for RNAseq analysis in parallel for analysis of gene expression and construction of gene regulatory networks (GRNs). HCNp (mg g−1 DW) increased significantly in leaf and stem tissues following nitrogen resupply, with increases in the leaf partially driven by continued declines in controls under ongoing nitrogen stress. Expression of the dhurrin pathway genes was upregulated in leaves from 24 h after nitrogen resupply, with diel expression patterns observable over the remaining time points. No upregulation was observed in roots or stems, suggesting that developmental context overrides environmental cues. GRN analysis identified candidate transcription factors regulating dhurrin biosynthesis genes, including members of the MYB, bZIP, and GARP-type transcription factor families. Some of these candidate transcription factors may be involved in relieving senescence-associated suppression of dhurrin biosynthesis and link nitrogen signaling to pathway activation. These findings provide new insight into the nitrogen-responsive regulation of dhurrin in sorghum, highlighting candidate regulators for future functional characterization.

cyanogenic glucoside↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structural basis for human NKCC1 inhibition by loop diuretic drugs

Abstract Na + –K + –Cl − cotransporters functions as an anion importers, regulating trans-epithelial chloride secretion, cell volume, and renal salt reabsorption. Loop diuretics, including furosemide, bumetanide, and torsemide, antagonize both NKCC1 and NKCC2, and are first-line medicines for the treatment of edema and hypertension. NKCC1 activation by the molecular crowding sensing WNK kinases is critical if cells are to combat shrinkage during hypertonic stress; however, how phosphorylation accelerates NKCC1 ion transport remains unclear. Here, we present co-structures of phospho-activated NKCC1 bound with furosemide, bumetanide, or torsemide showing that furosemide and bumetanide utilize a carboxyl group to coordinate and co-occlude a K + , whereas torsemide encroaches and expels the K + from the site. We also found that an amino-terminal segment of NKCC1, once phosphorylated, interacts with the carboxyl-terminal domain, and together, they engage with intracellular ion exit and appear to be poised to facilitate rapid ion translocation. Together, these findings enhance our understanding of NKCC-mediated epithelial ion transport and the molecular mechanisms of its inhibition by loop diuretics.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗
DOE OSTI2025

High pressure Raman spectroscopy of boron-rich boron carbides up to 50 GPa

We investigated the effects of increased boron content on the resistance to non-hydrostatic stress-induced (NHSI) local amorphous zones in boron-rich boron carbide (BxC) compounds. Using high-pressure Raman spectroscopy, we subjected B 4.3 C, B 6.4 C, and B 10.4 C to pressures up to 50 GPa and monitored their responses. Our results show that higher boron content delays the onset of NHSI local amorphous zone formation, shifting it from 35 GPa in B 4.3 C to approximately 50 GPa in B 10.4 C. This enhanced resistance is attributed to a reduction in the formation of the B 12 (CCC) polytype, which is susceptible to amorphization, and the greater flexibility of B–B–B chains. Furthermore, alternative mechanisms, such as boron vacancy-driven C–C bond formation, provide additional insights into defect-mediated structural changes that may influence the amorphization process. In conclusion, these findings highlight the dual role of boron content and defect mechanisms in improving the structural stability of B x C materials under extreme environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Chromosome-scale Genome Assembly of the Most Abundant Ectomycorrhizal Fungus Cenococcum Geophilum Reveals Massive TE Expansion and RIP Defense Mechanism

Transposable elements (TEs) play crucial roles in genome evolution and ecological adaptation in fungi, yet their dynamics in ectomycorrhizal species remain poorly understood. Cenococcum geophilum, the most widespread ectomycorrhizal fungus in boreal and temperate forests with its large, repeat-rich genome, represents an ideal system to investigate TE-mediated adaptation to the physical environment and symbiotic lifestyle. However, previous studies have been limited by fragmented genome assemblies that prevented the resolution of repeat-rich regions. We assembled a telomere-to-telomere reference genome of C. geophilum strain 1.58 using PacBio HiFi and Hi-C datasets, resulting in a 178.54 Mbp genome with seven contiguous chromosomes. We identified 14,145 genes and over 78% of the genome consists of transposable elements (TEs). Of these, 94% are affected by repeat-induced point mutations (RIP), a genome defense mechanism that acts during the sexual reproduction phase, indicating cryptic or ancient sexual reproduction in this putatively asexual fungus. Long terminal repeat retrotransposons, LINEs, and DNA transposons dominate, with three TE families (Ty3, Ty1, and Tad1) contributing over 60% of the genome size, indicating recent transposition bursts. Screening of 15 additional C. geophilum strains revealed recent and lineage-specific TE expansions, implying that several TEs escaped the RIP machinery and retained potential activity. Supporting TE activity in the context of symbiosis, we found 56 TEs differentially transcribed between ectomycorrhizal and free-living mycelium tissues. An even higher number (n = 66) of TEs were differentially expressed between stress resistance morphology (i.e. sclerotia) and free-living mycelium. This supports that TEs are differentially regulated as a response to symbiotic and stress-related conditions. Our results demonstrate that the C. geophilum genome expansion was driven by a few lineage-specific TE families in recent history, with high RIP activity attesting to sexual reproduction. We also provide insights how TEs could respond to lifestyle transitions and traits associated with desiccation resistance.

Cenococcum geophilum↗
DOE OSTI2025

Step-loaded creep testing of Zircaloy-4 cladding at higher temperatures in the α-phase

A refined understanding of zirconium-based cladding thermomechanical performance during rapid transients is essential for enhancing the safety and operation of light-water reactors. Traditional models for zirconium alloys under accident conditions generally assume that creep dominates fuel cladding performance. Here, these historic models have largely remained unchanged and serve as the basis for safety criteria development. As the U.S. nuclear industry pursues higher burnup levels, the increased release of fission gases during transients raises the risk of cladding failure in the low-temperature hcp α-phase, making the fidelity of these models of greater importance. Creep testing was conducted from 550–700°C with 25–120 MPa applied hoop stresses to investigate Zircaloy-4 deformation at accident-relevant temperatures in the α-phase. Step-loading was employed to capture creep behavior across a wide stress range from a single sample. The stress-strain rate data at higher temperatures (650 and 700°C) were well-described by isotropic versions of the Erbacher and Kaddour models, while the lower temperature data (550 and 600°C) were underpredicted by both anisotropic and isotropic model variants. Greater strain rates during the initial loading step at 650 and 700°C were attributed to recrystallization and grain growth of sub-micron crystallites. Yet, texture analysis revealed the basal split texture remained after testing. These observations produced results suggesting Zircaloy-4 claddings experience higher creep rates across the α-phase than previously thought, possibly related to dynamic anisotropy due to temperature dependent activation of deformation mechanisms, effects of biaxial loading, and variation in material condition between the current testing used in previous model development.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of correlations between intrinsic ductility and electronic density of states in refractory alloys

High entropy alloys (HEAs) correspond to a new and emerging class of materials that allows us to explore a large composition space to tune mechanical strength and thermal stability. Therefore, to design better alloys, it is important to scan the high-dimensional space of chemistry, composition and temperature. Here, to facilitate this search, we present a method to screen intrinsically ductile body centered cubic (BCC) refractory alloys from electronic structure calculations by using the density of states (DOS) at the Fermi level, g(μ F ). This correlation between intrinsic ductility and g(μ F ) is tested by analyzing group V (V, Nb, Ta) and VI (Mo, W) refractory metals, binary alloys, such as W-Nb, W-V, Mo-Nb and Mo-V, and refractory alloys for which experimental stress-strain measurements are available. In addition, we perform a high-throughput exploration of the entire composition space of a recently proposed alloy system, CrMoNbV, and identify compositions that exhibit high intrinsic ductility.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Populus PtrbHLH011 Is a Transcriptional Co‐Regulator Involved in the Activation of Cell Wall Biosynthesis by Iron Deprivation

The lack of a mechanistic understanding of the environmental plasticity of secondary cell wall (SCW) biosynthesis restricts large-scale biomass and bioenergy production on marginal lands. Using Populus (poplar), a key bioenergy crop, we discovered that iron deprivation, a prevalent abiotic stress on marginal lands, stimulates SCW biosynthesis in stems. We identified the transcription factor PtrbHLH011 as a critical regulator underlying this response. Through integrated analyses involving phenotypic characterisation of PtrbHLH011 knockout and overexpression plants, functional genomics and molecular investigations, we established that PtrbHLH011 functions as a central regulator of SCW biosynthesis, iron homeostasis and flavonoid biosynthesis by directly repressing essential genes in these pathways. Iron deprivation downregulates PtrbHLH011 expression, subsequently activating these biosynthetic pathways. Notably, cytosine base editing-based knockout of PtrbHLH011 significantly enhanced plant growth, yielding up to a 110% increase in stem diameter and a 300% increase in leaf iron content. These findings present a novel regulatory mechanism linking environmental iron availability to SCW biosynthesis and illustrate a practical strategy to improve biomass yield on iron-deficient marginal lands. Furthermore, our mechanistic insights into PtrbHLH011 target recognition and regulation provide a valuable foundation for precise manipulation of gene regulatory networks, facilitating the development of high-performance bioenergy crops adapted to marginal environments.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Formation of distinctive nanostructured metastable polymorphs mediated by kinetic transition pathways in germanium

High-pressure β -Sn germanium may transform into diverse metastable allotropes with distinctive nanostructures and unique physical properties via multiple pathways under decompression. However, the mechanism and transition kinetics remain poorly understood. Here, we investigate the formation of metastable phases and nanostructures in germanium via controllable transition pathways of β -Sn Ge under rapid decompression at different rates. High-resolution transmission electron microscopy reveals three distinct metastable phases with the distinctive nanostructures: an almost perfect st12 Ge crystal, nanosized bc8/r8 structures with amorphous boundaries, and amorphous Ge with nanosized clusters (0.8–2.5 nm). Fast in situ x-ray diffraction and x-ray absorption measurements indicate that these nanostructured products form in certain pressure regions via distinct kinetic pathways and are strongly correlated with nucleation rates and electronic transitions mediated by compression rate, temperature, and stress. This work provides deep insight into the controllable synthesis of metastable materials with unique crystal symmetries and nanostructures for potential applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

3D TRISO particle-explicit compact meshing

The TRI-structural ISOtropic (TRISO) layered fuel particle is a robust nuclear fuel form offering enhanced safety and performance for advanced reactor concepts, including high-temperature gas-cooled reactors and other Generation IV designs. These poppy-seed-sized particles are embedded in a graphite matrix to form fuel elements that must withstand elevated temperatures and high burn-up levels. The heterogeneous nature of these fuel elements — comprising thousands of randomly distributed TRISO particles — produces complex stress fields and thermal gradients that one- and two-dimensional models cannot accurately capture. While three-dimensional modeling has improved predictions of dimensional changes, internal pressure buildup, and fission product transport under irradiation, current approaches rely on homogenized material properties that are known to have considerable divergence from experimental observations. This work presents a methodology for optimized random packing of TRISO fuel compacts and full three-dimensional mesh generation within the BISON fuel performance code, with each particle coating layer individually discretized. The resulting mesh was demonstrated through heat conduction simulations under representative in-reactor operating conditions, showing strong agreement with expected behavior. This capability enables detailed analysis of particle-to-particle interactions, matrix cracking mechanisms, and the statistical distribution of coating layer failures — all of which directly govern fuel performance and safety margins.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects of chemical composition and physicochemical properties of poplar biomass on the performance of 3D printed poplar-reinforced PLA materials

Lignocellulosic biomass has been well-acknowledged as a filler for making 3D printed composites. The technical performances of composites were influenced by the characteristics of the components. The correlations between poplar biomass properties and the mechanical and thermal performances of the 3D printed poplar-plastic composites were investigated. The characteristics of poplar were modified by different pretreatment methods, including using hot water, dilute acid, and organic solvent (organosolv), and each treated poplar biomass was applied as a filler in a polylactic acid (PLA) polymer matrix to produce eco-friendly materials. These solvent pretreatments increased the hydrophobicity and surface area of poplar. Organosolv treated poplar showed the highest cellulose content and significantly increased Young's modulus of its biocomposites. Principal component analysis revealed that the specific surface area and water contact angle of biomass contributed to the thermal stability of biocomposites. Additionally, the degree of polymerization of cellulose and xylan content within the biomass correlated with the biocomposites' break stress. Notably, the crystallinity of biocomposites impacted the modulus of these materials. The reported relationships between biomass characteristics and 3D printed composite behaviors provide guidance for optimizing biomass processing in biocomposite applications.

Ji, Anqi [State Univ. of New York (SUNY), Syracuse↗
DOE OSTI2026

Numerical Simulation of a Natural Convection–Driven Air-Cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System Experiment

Ensuring the efficient removal of decay heat from the reactor vessel is essential for the safety of advanced reactor technologies. Several Generation-IV concepts incorporate variations in the reactor vessel cooling systems to achieve this objective. High-temperature gas-cooled reactors utilize a reactor cavity cooling system (RCCS), a passive ex-vessel system designed to operate without active components or external power during accident conditions. The RCCS removes decay heat primarily through radiative and convective heat transfer mechanisms. Here, this study presents a comprehensive validation of a computational fluid dynamics Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes model for the University of Wisconsin-Madison air-cooled RCCS facility. Validation was conducted for both high- and low-power natural convection cases under a uniform heating profile. Near-wall resolution was found to be critical for accurately modeling natural convection in the RCCS; employing an all-𝑦 + wall treatment resulted in wall temperature discrepancies exceeding 50 °⁢𝐶 compared to a wall-resolved mesh. Thermal-hydraulic behaviors under natural and forced convection conditions were compared within the heated cavity and RCCS. A turbulence model sensitivity analysis indicated that low-Reynolds number k-ɛ, k-ω shear stress transport (SST), and Reynolds stress transport models produce similar wall temperature predictions. A buoyancy modeling sensitivity study revealed that the Boussinesq approximation significantly underpredicted thermal-hydraulic behavior in the RCCS. Based on these findings, modeling recommendations are provided. The validated data set along with identified sensitivities refine the modeling of natural convection in the RCCS. The information produced by this study supports RCCS design, optimization, and safety evaluations, enabling the calibration and verification of reduced-order thermal-hydraulic models.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Greening Future Elevates Flash Drought Risk in Northern Mid‐to‐High Latitudes

Flash droughts have become a growing concern, as they can emerge rapidly and increase the risk of crop failure. Although past studies have investigated the meteorological drivers and future changes of flash drought, why flash drought is more frequent over humid and vegetated regions remains underexplored. This study delves further into the mechanism by which vegetation regulates flash drought and its future change using observations from multiple data sets and large ensemble simulations from three Earth system models. On an interannual timescale, both observations and simulations show robust increases in flash drought frequency and a higher flash-to-sub-seasonal drought ratio during spring or antecedent conditions with dense vegetation, supporting the important role of vegetation in flash drought occurrence, especially in the northern mid-to-high latitudes. In the latter regions, the large ensemble simulations show robust increases in flash drought (e.g., 67% and 46% increases in Eastern U.S. and North Asia in 2050–2100 relative to 1950–2000 under the high emission scenario), where the growing season is lengthening. Although greening might suggest reduced drought stress, it drives precipitation-soil moisture-evapotranspiration decoupling by increasing evapotranspiration partitioning to transpiration. As transpiration can access deep soil water through the plant root system, its increased portion can weaken the constraints of concurrent precipitation on evapotranspiration, thus accelerating soil moisture depletion under high evaporative demand, driving a slow-to-rapid drought transition. How vegetation regulates flash drought by regulating surface moisture budget is supported by observations and simulations. Although warming supports early planting, agriculture may increasingly be threatened by surging flash drought risk.

Drought↗
DOE OSTI2025

Microseismicity Modulation Due To Changes in Geothermal Production at San Emidio, Nevada, USA

Brief cessations of geothermal production can induce seismicity, a phenomenon that has drawn increasing attention in recent years. Such observations are rare, and the underlying mechanism requires careful analysis. In April 2022, a dense seismic and hydrologic monitoring system was deployed at the San Emidio geothermal field, Nevada, to accompany a planned power plant shutdown. Using the dense seismic array data, we detected and located ∼1,800 microseismic events (MSEs) and developed a high-resolution tomographic P-wave velocity model. We observed substantially increased microseismicity during shutdown. Most MSEs occurred on pre-existing normal faults, which are contained within extremely low-velocity zones that are likely damaged, fluid-filled, and hydraulically connected to nearby production wells. Hydrologic data show rapid fluid pressure increases of <60 kPa following the shutdown. We suggest that the cessation of production rapidly increased fluid pressures along pre-existing fault zones, activating critically stressed fault patches and fractures and producing microseismicity.

Guo, Hao [University of Wisconsin-Madison, WI (Uni↗