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DOE OSTI2024

statemodify: a Python framework to facilitate accessible exploratory modeling for discovering drought vulnerabilities

The Colorado River Basin (CRB) is experiencing an unprecedented water shortage crisis brought upon by a combination of factors arising from interactions across the region’s coupled human and natural systems. Allocation of water to the seven states that rely on the Colorado River was settled in the Colorado River Compact of 1922 during a period now known to be characterized by atypically high flows (Christensen et al., 2004). Since then, aridification due to anthropogenic-driven warming has steadily reduced the overall water supply available in the basin, with a 10% decrease in the river’s flow occurring over just the past two decades (Bass et al., 2023). The river is further strained by increasing demands associated with a growing population and diverse multi-sectoral demands. Navigating these challenges also requires accounting for the complex prior appropriation water rights system governing water allocation across the region’s diverse users.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Converting tabular data into images for deep learning with convolutional neural networks

Abstract Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been successfully used in many applications where important information about data is embedded in the order of features, such as speech and imaging. However, most tabular data do not assume a spatial relationship between features, and thus are unsuitable for modeling using CNNs. To meet this challenge, we develop a novel algorithm, image generator for tabular data (IGTD), to transform tabular data into images by assigning features to pixel positions so that similar features are close to each other in the image. The algorithm searches for an optimized assignment by minimizing the difference between the ranking of distances between features and the ranking of distances between their assigned pixels in the image. We apply IGTD to transform gene expression profiles of cancer cell lines (CCLs) and molecular descriptors of drugs into their respective image representations. Compared with existing transformation methods, IGTD generates compact image representations with better preservation of feature neighborhood structure. Evaluated on benchmark drug screening datasets, CNNs trained on IGTD image representations of CCLs and drugs exhibit a better performance of predicting anti-cancer drug response than both CNNs trained on alternative image representations and prediction models trained on the original tabular data.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling of surface-state induced inter-electrode isolation of n -on- p devices in mixed-field and γ -irradiation environments

Position sensitive n-on-p silicon sensors will be utilized in the tracker and in the High Granularity Calorimeter (HGCAL) of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment at High Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC). The detrimental effect of the radiation-induced accumulation of positive net oxide charge on position resolution in n-on-p sensors has typically been countered by the application of isolation implants like p-stop or p-spray between n + -electrodes. In addition to the positively charged layer inside the oxide and close to the Si/SiO 2 -interface, surface damage introduced by ionizing radiation in SiO 2 -passivated silicon particle detectors includes the accumulation of trapped-oxide-charge and interface traps. A previous study of either n/γ (mixed field)- or γ-irradiated Metal-Oxide-Semiconductor (MOS) capacitors showed evidence of substantially higher introduction rates of acceptor- and donor-type deep interface traps (N it,acc/don ) in mixed-field environment. Here, in this work, an inter-pad and -strip resistance (or resistivity (ρ int )) simulation study of n-on-p sensors with and without p-stop isolation implants was conducted for both irradiation types. Higher levels of ρint showed correlation to higher densities of deep N it,acc/don , with the inter-pad isolation performance of the mixed-field irradiated sensors becoming independent of the presence of p-stop implant between the n + - electrodes up to about 100 kGy. The low introduction rates of deep N it,acc/don in γ-irradiated sensors resulted in high sensitivity of ρ int to the presence and peak doping of p-stop above the lowest dose of about 7 kGy in the study. As a consequence of the advantageous influence of radiation-induced accumulation of deep N it on the inter-electrode isolation, position sensitive n-on-p sensors without isolation implants may be considered for future HEP-experiments where the radiation is largely due to hadrons.

Akchurin, N. [Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX (Unite↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Detailed Vehicle Modeling & Simulation Study Quantifying Energy Consumption and Cost Reduction of Advanced Vehicle Technologies Through 2050

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO) aim to develop sustainable, affordable, and efficient technologies for transportation of goods and people. Translating investments in advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate vehicle-level fuel savings potential is critical for understanding DOE’s impact. In this work, we simulated technologies funded by VTO and HFTO for light duty vehicles. The simulations were performed across: (1) Multiple powertrain configurations (conventional, power-split, extended-range electric vehicle, battery electric drive, and fuel-cell vehicles); (2) Vehicle classes (compact car, midsize car, small sport utility vehicle [SUV], midsize SUV, and pickup trucks); and (3) Fuels (gasoline, diesel, natural gas, hydrogen, and battery electricity). These various technologies are assessed for six different timeframes: laboratory years 2015 (reference), 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2045. A delay of five years is assumed between laboratory year and model year (the year the technology is introduced into production).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Latent Twins

Over the past decade, scientific machine learning has transformed the development of mathematical and computational frameworks for analyzing, modeling, and predicting complex systems. From inverse problems to numerical partial differential equations (PDEs), dynamical systems, and model reduction, these advances have pushed the boundaries of what can be simulated. Yet they have often progressed in parallel, with representation learning and algorithmic solution methods evolving largely as separate pipelines. With Latent Twins, we propose a unifying mathematical framework that creates a hidden surrogate in latent space for the underlying equations. Whereas digital twins mirror physical systems in the digital world, Latent Twins mirror mathematical systems in a learned latent space governed by operators. Through this lens, classical modeling, inversion, model reduction, and operator approximation all emerge as special cases of a single principle. We establish the fundamental approximation properties of Latent Twins for both ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and PDEs and demonstrate the framework across three representative settings: (i) canonical ODEs, capturing diverse dynamical regimes; (ii) a PDE benchmark using the shallow-water equations, contrasting Latent Twin simulations with deep operator network and forecasts with a four-dimensional variational method baseline; and (iii) a challenging real-data geopotential reanalysis dataset, reconstructing and forecasting from sparse, noisy observations. Latent Twins provide a compact, interpretable surrogate for solution operators that evaluate across arbitrary time gaps in a single-shot, while remaining compatible with scientific pipelines such as assimilation, control, and uncertainty quantification. Looking forward, this framework offers scalable, theory-grounded surrogates that bridge data-driven representation learning and classical scientific modeling across disciplines.

Latent Twins↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluation of AGR-3/4 In-pile Silver Release Predictions Against Post-Irradiation Examination Measurements

Fuel performance modeling codes that accurately predict the transport of radionuclides in high-temperature gas-cooled reactors that utilize tristructural isotopic (TRISO) fuel particles are an important aspect of reactor safety analyses. One objective of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR)-3/4 experiment was to assess the transport of fission products through fuel particles and their subsequent release into the compact matrix and structural graphite materials. This was accomplished by irradiating uranium oxycarbide (UCO) driver fuel particles and designed-to-fail (DTF) particles to serve as known sources of fission products. The fission product of particular interest when it comes to such transport is silver (Ag-110 m), as it has a 250-day half-life and has relatively high mobility in the TRISO coating layers. Furthermore, to assess the current modeling capabilities and diffusion parameters employed in the fuel performance codes PARFUME and BISON, the fractional release of silver release predicted by the two codes were compared against post-irradiation examination measurements from the AGR-3/4 experiment.

AGR-3/4 Experiment↗

DOE OSTI2024

Gravitational production of heavy particles during and after inflation

Abstract We investigate the gravitational production of a scalar fieldχwith a mass exceeding the Hubble scale during inflationm χ ≳H I , employing both analytical and numerical approaches. We demonstrate that the steepest descent method effectively captures the epochs and yields of gravitational production in a compact and simple analytical framework. These analytical results align with the numerical solutions of the field equation. Our study covers three spacetime backgrounds: de Sitter, power-law inflation, and the Starobinsky inflation model. Within these models, we identify two distinct phases of particle production: during and after inflation. During inflation, we derive an accurate analytic expression for the particle production rate, accounting for a varying Hubble rate. After inflation, the additional burst of particle production depends on the inflaton mass around its minimum. When this mass is smaller than the Hubble scale during inflation,H I , there is no significant extra production. However, if the inflaton mass is larger, post-inflation production becomes the dominant contribution. Furthermore, we explore the implications of gravitationally produced heavy fields for dark matter abundance, assuming their cosmological stability.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Reactive extrusion of frontally polymerizing continuous carbon fiber reinforced polymer composites

The manufacturing of carbon fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites demands rapid and energy-efficient strategies. Frontal polymerization (FP) enables the manufacturing of CFRP using dicyclopentadiene (DCPD) thermoset polymer which meets these requirements. In this work, we introduce reactive extrusion of CFRP (RE-CFRP), where two rollers provide localized heat and pressure to sustain the curing reaction and the consolidation of a continuous carbon fiber tow pre-impregnated with DCPD. We study the effect of the extrusion speed, temperature, and compaction force on the properties of the produced CFRP. Mechanical testing confirms that the resulting fiber volume fraction and the elastic modulus are similar to bulk cured tows. A homogenized thermo-chemical model is developed to study the effect of the process parameters on the polymerization reaction. The process produces hollow woven composite tubes directly via extrusion and in situ curing. Overall, this process offers advantages in curing, tooling, speed, and energy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design and testing of ultrasound probe adapters for a robotic imaging platform

Medical imaging-based triage is a critical tool for emergency medicine in both civilian and military settings. Ultrasound imaging can be used to rapidly identify free fluid in abdominal and thoracic cavities which could necessitate immediate surgical intervention. However, proper ultrasound image capture requires a skilled ultrasonography technician who is likely unavailable at the point of injury where resources are limited. Instead, robotics and computer vision technology can simplify image acquisition. As a first step towards this larger goal, here, we focus on the development of prototypes for ultrasound probe securement using a robotics platform. The ability of four probe adapter technologies to precisely capture images at anatomical locations, repeatedly, and with different ultrasound transducer types were evaluated across more than five scoring criteria. Testing demonstrated two of the adapters outperformed the traditional robot gripper and manual image capture, with a compact, rotating design compatible with wireless imaging technology being most suitable for use at the point of injury. Next steps will integrate the robotic platform with computer vision and deep learning image interpretation models to automate image capture and diagnosis. This will lower the skill threshold needed for medical imaging-based triage, enabling this procedure to be available at or near the point of injury.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Kilopower Reactor Using Stirling TechnologY (KRUSTY) Component Critical Experiments

A series of critical experiments were conducted at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) in Nevada to evaluate the operational performance of a compact reactor that eventually will resemble the flight unit the National Aeronautics and Space Administration will use for deep space exploration. The results from the experiments are compared to preliminary results from computational models using MCNP and ENDF/B-7.1 neutron cross-section data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Optimum Injector Parameters for Thermoacoustic Stability in a Multi-Nozzle Can Combustion System

Abstract High-frequency transverse instabilities are an important concern in can combustor configurations. In these configurations which are typically operated with multiple injectors around a central injector, each injector is subjected to different parts of the acoustic mode shape and thus respond differently for the same instability mode. Recent work by the author has modeled the response of premixed flames to excitation by natural high-frequency transverse modes in a can combustor both in the center and outer nozzles. The stability of these acoustically non-compact flames was assessed using the Rayleigh criterion (Rayleigh Integral denoted as RI) and not the overall unsteady heat release as is the case for compact flames. Several key control parameters were studied, namely — flame angle, swirling strength, nozzle location. For non-axisymmetric modes such as the commonly occurring 1-T mode, both radial and azimuthal offsets of the nozzle location affected stability. The framework was applied to an optimization study to identify the optimal combination of parameters that minimizes RI for the different nozzles in the multi-nozzle system. In this study, a N-around-1 configuration was studied, and the results indicated that the different nozzles needed to be operated at different flame angles and swirl numbers to result in an overall minimum RI. However, the specific response of the different injectors was not considered. The helical mode distribution at each injector varies as we azimuthally go around the combustor’s injector distribution and thus the most amplified mode and the resulting flame response would be different. To minimize RI, it is important to determine the injector configurations that result in a hydrodynamic profile that minimizes the individual RI for each nozzle. The resulting relationship between the injector’s flow and local hydrodynamics can then be used in a hydrodynamics study of an individual injector so that the most optimal injector is chosen depending on its location in the combustor dump plane.

Acharya, Vishal↗

DOE OSTI2022

NIR fluorescence lifetime macroscopic imaging with a time-gated SPAD camera

The performance of SwissSPAD2 (SS2), a large scale, widefield time-gated CMOS SPAD imager developed for fluorescence lifetime imaging, has recently been described in the context of visible range and fluorescence lifetime imaging microscopy (FLIM) of dyes with lifetimes in the 2.5 – 4 ns range. Here, we explore its capabilities in the NIR regime relevant for small animal imaging, where its sensitivity is lower and typical NIR fluorescent dye lifetimes are much shorter (1 ns or less). We carry out this study in a simple macroscopic imaging setup based on a compact NIR picosecond pulsed laser, an engineered diffuser-based illumination optics, and NIR optimized imaging lens suitable for well-plate or small animal imaging. Because laser repetition rates can vary between models, but the synchronization signal frequency accepted by SS2 is fixed to 20 MHz, we first checked that a simple frequency-division scheme enables data recording for different laser repetition rates. Next, we acquired data using different time gate widths, including gates with duration longer than the laser period, and analyzed the resulting data using both standard nonlinear least-square fit (NLSF) and phasor analysis. We show that the fixed synchronization rate and large gate widths characterizing SS2 (10 ns and over) are not an obstacle to accurately extracting lifetime in the 1 ns range and to distinguishing between close lifetimes. As a result, SS2 and similar very large gated SPAD imagers appear as a versatile alternative to other widefield time-resolved detectors for NIR fluorescence lifetime imaging, including preclinical molecular applications.

FLIM↗

DOE OSTI2025

Divertor Plasma Detachment Control Neural Network

DivControlNN is a state-of-the-art software tool that leverages advanced machine learning techniques to predict and control divertor plasma behavior in fusion reactors. Plasma, a highly energetic and electrically charged gas, requires meticulous management to protect reactor components and maintain optimal energy production. Conventional simulation methods, although extremely detailed, typically demand extensive computational time-making them unsuitable for real-time control scenarios. DivControlNN addresses this challenge by learning from tens of thousands of high-fidelity simulations, thereby creating a rapid surrogate model that can deliver near-instantaneous predictions. At the core of its functionality is a sophisticated technique known as latent space mapping, which condenses complex, high-dimensional plasma data into a compact, lower-dimensional representation. This streamlined representation enables the system to quickly forecast essential plasma properties and determine the precise conditions required for effective detachment. Detachment is a crucial process in which the plasma is cooled before reaching the divertor plates, thereby reducing heat loads and mitigating material erosion. In recent experiments conducted on the KSTAR tokamak in South Korea, DivControlNN successfully guided the detachment process without any fine-tuning-even when applied to a new tungsten divertor configuration. By achieving a computational speed-up of over one hundred million times compared to traditional simulation methods while maintaining low prediction errors, DivControlNN stands to significantly enhance real-time control and diagnostic capabilities in future fusion reactors. This breakthrough paves the way for safer, more reliable reactor operation and represents a major advancement toward realizing fusion energy as a practical, sustainable, and clean power source.

Xu, Xueqiao [Lawrence Livermore National Laborator↗

DOE OSTI2021

Can we safely go to 200 °C? An integrated approach to assessing impacts to the engineered barrier system in a high-temperature repository

Abstract. This presentation gives on overview of the complex thermo-hydro-mechanical-chemical (THMC) processes occurring during the disposal of heat-producing high-level radioactive waste in geologic repositories. A specific focus is on the role of compacted bentonite, which is commonly used as an engineered backfill material for emplacement tunnels because of its low permeability, high swelling pressure, and radionuclide retention capacity. Laboratory and field tests integrated with THMC modeling have provided an effective way to deepen our understanding of temperature-related perturbations in the engineered barrier system; however, most of this work has been conducted for maximum temperatures around 100 ∘C. In contrast, some international disposal programs have recently started investigations to understand whether local temperatures in the bentonite of up to 200 ∘C could be tolerated with no significant changes to safety relevant properties. Raising the maximum temperature is attractive for economical and safety reasons but faces the challenge of exposing the bentonite to significant temperature increases. Strong thermal gradients may induce complex moisture transport processes while geochemical processes, such as cementation and perhaps also illitization effects may occur, all of which could strongly affect the bentonite and near-field rock properties. Here, we present initial investigations of repository behavior exposed to strongly elevated temperatures. We will start discussing our current knowledge base for temperature effects in repositories exposed to a maximum temperature of 100 ∘C, based on data and related modeling analysis from a large heater experiment conducted for over 18 years in the Grimsel Test Site in Switzerland. We then show results from coupled THMC simulations of a nuclear waste repository in a clay formation exposed to a maximum temperature of 200 ∘C. We also explore preliminary data from a bench-scale laboratory mock-up experiment, which was designed to represent the strong THMC gradients occurring in a “hot” repository, and we finally touch on a full-scale field heater test to be conducted soon in the Grimsel Test Site underground research laboratory in Switzerland (referred to as HotBENT).

Birkholzer, Jens T. (ORCID:0000000279891912)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Design study of a combined interferometer and polarimeter for a high-field, compact tokamak

This article is the first design study of a combined interferometer and polarimeter on a compact, high-field, high-density, net-energy tokamak. Recent advances in superconducting technology have made possible designs for compact, high magnetic field fusion power plants, such as ARC [Sorbom et al., Fusion Eng. Des. 100, 378 (2015)], and experiments, such as SPARC [Greenwald et al., PSFC Report No. RR-18-2 (2018)]. These new designs create both challenges and opportunities for plasma diagnostics. The diagnostic proposed in this work, called InterPol, takes advantage of unique opportunities provided by high magnetic field and density to measure both line-averaged density and poloidal magnetic field with a single set of CO 2 and quantum cascade lasers. These measurements will be used for fast density feedback control, constraint of density and safety factor profiles, and density fluctuation measurements. Synthetic diagnostic testing using a model machine geometry, called MQ1 (Mission Q ≥ 1), and profiles simulated with Tokamak Simulation Code indicate that InterPol will be able to measure steady state density and poloidal magnetic field, as well as fluctuations caused by toroidal Alfven eigenmodes and other phenomena on a high-field compact tokamak.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dissipative Dark Substructure: The Consequences of Atomic Dark Matter on Milky Way Analog Subhalos

Using cosmological hydrodynamical zoom-in simulations, we explore the properties of subhalos in Milky Way analogs that contain a subcomponent of atomic dark matter (ADM). ADM differs from cold dark matter (CDM) due to the presence of self-interactions that lead to energy dissipation, analogous to standard model baryons. This model can arise in dark sectors that are natural and theoretically motivated extensions to the standard model. The simulations used in this work were carried out using GIZMO and utilize the FIRE-2 galaxy formation physics in the standard model baryonic sector. For the parameter points we consider, the ADM gas cools efficiently, allowing it to collapse to the center of subhalos. This increases a subhalo's central density and affects its orbit, with more subhalos surviving small pericentric passages. The subset of subhalos that host satellite galaxies have cuspier density profiles and smaller stellar half-mass radii relative to CDM. The entire population of dwarf galaxies produced in the ADM simulations is more compact than those seen in CDM simulations, unable to reproduce the entire diversity of observed dwarf galaxy structures. Additionally, we also identify a population of highly compact subhalos that consist nearly entirely of ADM and form in the central region of the host, where they can leave distinctive imprints in the baryonic disk. This work presents the first detailed exploration of subhalo properties in a strongly dissipative dark matter scenario, providing intuition for how other regions of ADM parameter space, as well as other dark sector models, would impact galactic-scale observables.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Multi-modal tomographic imaging system for poolside characterization of nuclear test fuels: Design considerations and studies

Testing and qualification of advanced nuclear fuels involves an iterative process of prototyping, in-pile irradiation testing, and in-situ or ex-situ examination. Fuel restructuring and fission product migration during burnup are among the most important aspects of fuel evolution that affect several important performance characteristics such as heat removal, accident tolerance, and fission product retention. Pool-side non-destructive characterization techniques provide fuel developers with tools to understand fuel evolution at different points of burnup. A design for a compact, submersible, and multi-modal gamma-ray tomography system for imaging irradiated nuclear fuel is presented here. Detector selection, collimator geometry and fabrication, mechanical design, imaging protocol and acquisition speed are discussed. Modeling calculations show that sub-millimeter resolution can be achieved in both transmission computed tomography images as well as in emission computed tomography images in a matter of hours. Several design compromises and fabrication challenges are discussed which should be taken into consideration for future submersible gamma-ray tomography instruments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling the behavior of concentrated aqueous HNO 3 using machine learning interatomic potentials

We develop two multi-defect machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) trained at the BLYP-D2 and PBE-D3 density functional theories using the DeepMD-kit, allowing for the investigation of structural and thermodynamic properties of nitric acid over a wide range of concentrations via molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. We directly compute the degree of dissociation, α, and pK a from MD simulations, revealing that HNO 3 behaves as a weaker acid at higher concentrations, noting that our standard-state pK a value is in excellent agreement with the experimental one. In general, good agreement is observed with experimental results such as α and density outside the training dataset, with only modest deviations at low-to-medium concentrations. We benchmark our custom multi-defect DeepMD MLIPs against foundational models MACE-MP0 and MACE-OFF23. The foundation models capture some aspects of HNO 3 /NO 3 − solvation in concentrated nitric acid but show noticeable density errors and miss subtle structural features relevant to spectroscopy, whereas the bespoke DeepMD MLIPs yield more compact solvation shells, reproduce density-concentration trends, and run ∼12–15× faster than MACE-MP0. Although classical FFs are still more efficient and match experimental densities better, they lack chemical reactivity and thus cannot predict α or pK a , underscoring the need for system-specific reactive MLIPs beyond universal MLIPs.

Dinpajooh, Mohammadhasan [Pacific Northwest Nation↗