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At least 577 records · Page 32

Steady-State Mechanical Analysis for Target Assembly in the Material Plasma Exposure eXperiment Facility

The Material Plasma Exposure eXperiment (MPEX) steady-state linear plasma facility is currently under design at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to expose target specimens to fusion divertor regimes. The neutron-irradiated target is actively cooled and remote handled in the MPEX facility for conducting plasma-material–interaction (PMI) experiments. Here, the steady-state stresses in the target and target assembly system are investigated using two-dimensional (2-D) and three-dimensional (3-D) models to provide expected stresses/strains under the heat loads to which various system components would be exposed during MPEX operation. The calculated temperatures from the 2-D axisymmetric mechanical model were found to be in excellent agreement with those from the full 3-D thermohydraulic model, providing a strong model validation. Numerical simulation results for the steady-state mechanical model indicate nonuniform distributions for the temperature, stress, and deformation within the critical components. For the initial design, the deformation results indicate possible gap openings between contacting surfaces below the plasma-facing materials. To reduce the possibility of interfacial gap opening, the target assembly was slightly changed and evaluated using the 2-D stress model. Numerical simulation results indicate that the interfacial gap openings can be minimized without drastically changing the entire target assembly. The stress-strain conditions for the target will be further used to assess the appropriate operation during MPEX experiments and gain insight into materials science phenomena during PMI.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Socio-Techno-Economic Feasibility of Deep Geothermal with EGS for Residential District Heating in the Northeastern United States

In this paper, we present socio-techno-economic simulation results for enhanced geothermal system (EGS) district heating systems in the northeastern United States. We applied the geospatial Distributed Geothermal Market Demand (dGeo) tool coupled with GEOPHIRES to evaluate the feasibility of geothermal deep direct-use, utilizing EGS reservoirs for providing residential heating with district heating systems. The results were combined with JEDI results to assess social impacts. Simulation results assuming doublet EGS reservoirs with target production temperature of 80 degrees C and newly constructed district heating systems indicate a wide range in system levelized cost of heat (LCOH) values ranging from ~$15/MMBtu to over $1,000/MMBtu, with most the attractive regions urban areas with high total thermal demand and high thermal demand density. We estimate about 60 GWth in potential installed capacity with LCOH values under $50/MMBtu and 100 GWth in potential capacity with LCOH values under $100/MMBtu, respectively.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Adoption Pathways for DC Power Distribution in Buildings

Driven by the proliferation of DC energy sources and DC end-use devices (e.g., photovoltaics, battery storage, solid-state lighting, and consumer electronics), DC power distribution in buildings has recently emerged as a path to improved efficiency, resilience, and cost savings in the transitioning building sector. Despite these important benefits, there are several technological and market barriers impeding the development of DC distribution, which have kept this technology at the demonstration phase. This paper identifies specific end-use cases for which DC distribution in buildings is viable today. We evaluate their technology and market readiness, as well as their efficiency, cost, and resiliency benefits while addressing implementation barriers. The paper starts with a technology review, followed by a comprehensive market assessment, in which we analyze DC distribution field deployments and their end-use characteristics. We also conduct a survey of DC power and building professionals through on-site visits and phone interviews and summarize lessons learned and recommendations. In addition, the paper includes a novel efficiency analysis, in which we quantify energy savings from DC distribution for different end-use categories. Based on our findings, we present specific adoption pathways for DC in buildings that can be implemented today, and for each pathway we identify challenges and offer recommendations for the research and building community.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Data and scripts associated with “Sequential Precipitation Input Tagging (SPIT) to Estimate Water Transit Times and Hydrologic Tracer Dynamics within Water-Tagging Enabled Hydrologic Models” (v3)

This data package is associated with the publication “Sequential Precipitation Input Tagging (SPIT) to Estimate Water Transit Times and Hydrologic Tracer Dynamics within Water-Tagging Enabled Hydrologic Models” submitted to Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (Butler et al. 2025). This study developed the Sequential Precipitation Input Tagging (SPIT) framework to tag input precipitation and estimate water transit times and hydrologic tracers. SPIT tags all precipitation events at regular intervals over an extended period (monthly tags over seven years) in a hydrologic model from 2016-2022. SPIT is applied at six National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) sites across the continental United States to calculate transit time distributions (TTD) and derive from these mean transit times (MTT), fractions of young water (Fyw), and hydrologic tracer concentrations in stream water (δ18O) within a water-tagging enabled version of the Weather Research and Forecast (WT-WRF-Hydro) model with national water model (NWM) configurations. We go on to validate WT-WRF-Hydro estimates against Butler et al. (2023), who analyzed the same NEON sites using stable water isotope data to estimate water transit times. This new tracking method provides a detailed picture of water movement and helps improve predictions about water availability in the future. This data package was originally published in January 2025. It was updated May 2025 (v2; new and modified files) and October 2025 (v3; new and modified files). File and folder names were not revised to indicate changes. See the change history section in the readme for more details. This data package contains the data and scripts used to develop the SPIT framework WT-WRF-Hydro (Water Tagging Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrologic) model and is associated with the following GitHub repository: https://github.com/zbutler33/SPIT-Framework. This data package contains five parent folders: (1) “Manipulated_outputs”, (2) “Metadata”, (3) “Observed”, (4) “Outputs”, and (5) “Scripts”. Each of these parent folders contains additional subfolders and files. Please see the FLMD (“v*_Butler_2024_WT_WRF_Hydro_flmd.csv”) for a list of all the files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. See the data dictionary (“v*_Butler_2024_WT_WRF_Hydro_dd.csv”) for definitions and units of all of the tabular (files ending in “.csv” and ".tsv") column headers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Phylodynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Lineages B.1.1.7, B.1.1.529 and B.1.617.2 in Nigeria Suggests Divergent Evolutionary Trajectories

Background: The early months of the COVID-19 pandemic were characterized by high transmission rates and mortality, compounded by the emergence of multiple SARS-CoV-2 lineages, including Variants of Concern (VOCs). This study investigates the phylodynamic and spatio-temporal trends of VOCs during the peak of the pandemic in Nigeria. Methods: Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data from three major VOCs circulating in Nigeria, B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.617.2 (Delta), and B.1.1.529 (Omicron), were analyzed using tools such as Nextclade, R Studio v 4.2.3, and BEAST X v 10.5.0. The spatial distribution, evolutionary history, viral ancestral introductions, and geographic dispersal patterns were characterized. Results: Three major lineages following WHO nomenclature were identified: Alpha, Delta, and Omicron. The Delta variant exhibited the widest geographic spread, detected in 14 states, while the Alpha variant was the least distributed, identified in only eight states but present across most epidemiological weeks studied. Evolutionary rates varied slightly, with Alpha exhibiting the slowest rate (2.66 × 10 −4 substitutions/site/year). Viral population analyses showed distinct patterns: Omicron sustained elevated population growth over time, while Delta declined after initial expansion. The earliest Times to Most Recent Common Ancestor (TMRCA) were consistent with the earliest outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 globally. Geographic transmission analysis indicated a predominant coastal-to-inland spread for all variants, with Omicron showing the most diffuse dispersal, highlighting commercial routes as significant drivers of viral diffusion. Conclusion: The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Nigeria was characterized by multiple variant introductions and a dominant coastal-to-inland spread, emphasizing that despite lockdown measures, commercial trade routes played a critical role in viral dissemination. These findings provide insights into pandemic control strategies and future outbreak preparedness.

Nigeria↗

Burrowing Owl Conservation Report: 2020

The Western Burrowing Owl (Athene cunicularia) is a small migratory species of owl found throughout the Western United States. Burrowing Owls are found throughout a variety of habitats including shrubsteppe; and during the breeding season the Hanford Site is situated at the center of the predicted distribution of Burrowing Owls in Washington State (Smith et al. 1997). The Western Burrowing Owl is declining over much of its range, including on the Hanford Site and throughout the Columbia Basin (HNF-59375, Conway 2006). These declines have been attributed to habitat loss and a subsequent loss in burrowing mammals that the owls depend on for nesting habitat (Conway et al. 2006, Johnson et al. 2010). The Washington State Department of Fish and Wildlife lists Western Burrowing Owls as a Candidate Species, meaning the species is a candidate for listing as Sensitive, Threatened, or Endangered in Washington (WDFW 2020). Without intervention, continued declines may result in the extirpation of Burrowing Owls from the Hanford Site and the Columbia Basin.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nonequilibrium Behavior in Isoprene Secondary Organic Aerosol

Recent studies have shown that instantaneous gas-particle equilibrium partitioning assumptions fail to predict SOA formation, even at high relative humidity (~85%), and photochemical aging seems to be one driving factor. In this study, we probe the minimum aging time scale required to observe nonequilibrium partitioning of semivolatile organic compounds (SVOCs) between the gas and aerosol phase at ~50% RH. Seed isoprene SOA is generated by photo-oxidation in the presence of effloresced ammonium sulfate seeds at <1 ppbv NO x , aged photochemically or in the dark for 0.3–6 h, and subsequently exposed to fresh isoprene SVOCs. Our results show that the equilibrium partitioning assumption is accurate for fresh isoprene SOA but breaks down after isoprene SOA has been aged for as short as 20 min even in the dark. Modeling results show that a semisolid SOA phase state is necessary to reproduce the observed particle size distribution evolution. The observed nonequilibrium partitioning behavior and inferred semisolid phase state are corroborated by offline mass spectrometric analysis on the bulk aerosol particles showing the formation of organosulfates and oligomers. Here, the unexpected short time scale for the phase transition within isoprene SOA has important implications for the growth of atmospheric ultrafine particles to climate-relevant sizes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Workshop Report: Rural Electric Cooperative Distributed Energy Resource Business Model Development Workshops

The United States' energy future is being shaped by decades of technology innovation, rapidly changing consumer requirements, and governmental focus on securing reliable, low-cost energy sources. With expanded electrification and increased emphasis on grid reliability coupled with the heightened complexity and risks associated with transmission infrastructure, the use of distributed energy resources (DERs) is more commonly being considered a safe, efficient, and cost-effective way to maintain grid resilience and reliability. Amidst improvements in performance, decreasing costs, and unprecedented federal policy support for DERs, electric cooperatives are considering new opportunities to use these assets to ensure secure and reliable operations for millions of customers. In light of these developments, a series of workshops were held to collaborate on the development of business models for DERs in rural electric cooperative ecosystems. The first workshop was held July 11, 2024, at the Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association Inc. headquarters in Westminster, Colorado (hereafter referred to as the "Tri-State Workshop"). The second workshop was hosted by PNGC Power on Oct. 9, 2024, in Portland, Oregon (hereafter referred to as the "PNGC Power Workshop"). These workshops convened representatives from G&Ts, distribution cooperatives,2 the energy industry, the financial community, the U.S. government, national and regional organizations, and national laboratories to share perspectives on the unique needs, challenges, and opportunities that they face as DERs are further integrated into the grid. The workshops were designed to address the following objectives: (1) develop the enabling attributes of electric cooperative DER business models, (2) explore pathways for generating community benefits from these assets, and (3) identify technical challenges and market risks for DERs in rural electric cooperative service territories. This report outlines key findings and major themes identified by workshop participants that federal agencies, G&Ts, distribution cooperatives, and other entities can consider to advance electric cooperative DER business models.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Tuning Structural and Electronic Configuration of FeN 4 via External S for Enhanced Oxygen Reduction Reaction

The Fe–N–C material represents an attractive oxygen reduction reaction electrocatalyst, and the FeN 4 moiety has been identified as a very competitive catalytic active site. Fine tuning of the coordination structure of FeN 4 has an essential impact on the catalytic performance. Herein, we construct a sulfur‐modified Fe–N–C catalyst with controllable local coordination environment, where the Fe is coordinated with four in‐plane N and an axial external S. The external S atom affects not only the electron distribution but also the spin state of Fe in the FeN 4 active site. The appearance of higher valence states and spin states for Fe demonstrates the increase in unpaired electrons. With the above characteristics, the adsorption and desorption of the reactants at FeN 4 active sites are optimized, thus promoting the oxygen reduction reaction activity. This work explores the key point in electronic configuration and coordination environment tuning of FeN 4 through S doping and provides new insight into the construction of M–N–C‐based oxygen reduction reaction catalysts.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Search for Z' bosons decaying to pairs of heavy Majorana neutrinos in proton-proton collisions at $ \sqrt{s} $ = 13 TeV

A search for the production of pairs of heavy Majorana neutrinos (N ℓ ) from the decays of Z' bosons is performed using the CMS detector at the LHC. The data were collected in proton-proton collisions at a center-of-mass energy of $\sqrt s$ = 13 TeV, with an integrated luminosity of 138 fb –1 . The signature for the search is an excess in the invariant mass distribution of the final-state objects, two same-flavor leptons (e or μ) and at least two jets. No significant excess of events beyond the expected background is observed. Upper limits at 95% confidence level are set on the product of the Z' production cross section and its branching fraction to a pair of N ℓ , as functions of N ℓ and Z' boson masses (m N ℓ and m Z' , respectively) for m Z' from 0.4 to 4.6 TeV and m N ℓ from 0.1 TeV to m Z' /2. In the theoretical framework of a left-right symmetric model, exclusion bounds in the m N ℓ -m Z' plane are presented in both the electron and muon channels. The observed upper limit on m Z' reaches up to 4.42 TeV. These are the most restrictive limits to date on the mass of N ℓ as a function of the Z' boson mass.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Investigating the linkage between simulated precipitation climatology and ENSO-related precipitation anomaly based on multi-model and perturbed parameter ensembles

It remains a challenge for climate models to correctly capture the relationship between precipitation and ENSO. This studyexamines the linkage between the simulated precipitation climatology and ENSO-related precipitation anomaly during borealwinter based on the multi-model ensemble from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (AMIP5) and perturbedparameter ensemble (PPE) with the Beijing Climate Center (BCC) atmospheric model. The AMIP5 models have large biases insimulating the tropical precipitation anomaly during El Niño, such as the shifts of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)and South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ). The inter-model differences show that the precipitation change in response to seasurface temperature (SST) change increases with enhanced precipitation climatology. The ENSO-related precipitation anomalycan also be related to the spatial distribution of the mean-state precipitation. The simulated ITCZ/SPCZ displacements aresignificantly correlated with the spatial precipitation-SST relationship in the mean state. Models with stronger mean-stateprecipitation-SST relationship also produce stronger SPCZ/ITCZ displacements. The mean-state tropical precipitation also hasstrong impacts on the ENSO-related precipitation anomalies over East Asia. In the BCC PPE, the connection between the mean-state precipitation and ENSO-related precipitation anomaly is overall consistent with that in AMIP5. Parameters associated withthe low-cloud and deep convection processes are the most influential ones for the precipitation simulations in BCC. Comparedwith the version in AMIP5, the new BCC model can better simulate the precipitation climatology and the relationship betweenENSO and precipitation over southern China. These results have important implications for model development and model-basedclimate predictions.

Yang, Ben↗

Transfer learning for probabilistic localization of hidden cracks in concrete structures

Abstract The utility of discriminative supervised learning models built using multiple training-data sources is investigated for hidden crack localization in concrete. Feed-forward neural network (FFNN) is chosen as the model architecture, and transfer learning is used to assimilate the information obtained from different sources (computational physics simulations and laboratory experiments). The labeled training data consists of values of a damage index and the known locations of hidden cracks. The classification models need to learn how the presence of damage (hidden cracks) affects the damage index at different sensors for different test conditions. To this end, diagnostic FFNN models are built by sequentially adding and training new hidden layers to assimilate labeled information from computer models (different model geometries, test conditions, crack lengths, crack locations) and laboratory experiments on a plain cement slab. These transfer learning-based models are then used to localize damage in concrete specimens that reflect real-world conditions (i.e., specimens with steel reinforcement and randomly distributed aggregate). The actual damage state in these specimens is determined by extracting cores and performing petrographic studies on the extracted cores. The damage probability estimated by transfer learning-based models is compared with the petrographic damage rating index (DRI) to identify the most suitable approach to train the diagnostic models. The transfer learning-based diagnostic methodology shows promise and could be used in various structural health monitoring applications, where sufficient labeled data are typically not available from a single data source.

Miele, S.↗

Plentiful electricity turns wholesale prices negative

In 2020, average wholesale electricity prices in the United States fell to $21/MWh, their lowest level since the beginning of the 21st century. Low natural gas prices and the proliferation of low marginal cost resources like wind and solar had already established a trend toward lower wholesale prices, and this trend was exacerbated by declining electricity demand due to the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Negative real-time hourly wholesale prices occurred in about 4% of all hours and wholesale market nodes across the United States, but these were not distributed evenly. Regional clusters emerged, for example, in the Permian Basin in western Texas, and in Kansas and western Oklahoma in the Southwest Power Pool (SPP), negative prices accounted for more than 25% of all hours. Negative electricity prices result either from local congestion of the transmission system leading supply to exceed demand locally or due to system-wide oversupply. Looking at the latter condition in SPP, we find that all major generator types contribute to this excess supply, because of limited ramping flexibility or self-scheduled out-of-market unit commitments. Additional monetary production incentives such as renewable energy credits or tax credits also enable negative bids; indeed, negative prices predominantly occur when demand levels are low and wind production levels are high. Frequent negative prices can inform the value of additional renewable energy investments at specific locations, the need for transmission and storage development, and opportunities load growth or adaptation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Synergy of tensile strength and high cycle fatigue properties in a novel additively manufactured Al-Ni-Ti-Zr alloy with a heterogeneous microstructure

Alloy design strategies in additive manufacturing (AM) to achieve grain refinement and terminal eutectic solidification have been introduced to engineer Al alloys having microstructural hierarchy and heterogeneity. Such alloy design strategies enable crack-free builds with an expanded AM processing window and pushed the strength limit in Al alloys. However, fatigue performance of Al alloys made by AM is restricted by the presence of process induced defects and its stochasticity. In this work, tensile and high cycle fatigue (HCF) behavior of a novel Al-Ni-Ti-Zr alloy with a heterogeneous microstructure is studied in the as-built condition, supplemented by detailed microstructural and mechanical characterization. Excellent strength-ductility synergy of 342 MPa and 16% failure strain achieved in the alloy was associated with the microstructural attributes that pertain to the novel alloy. Additionally, the alloy showed excellent HCF performance with a fatigue endurance limit to ultimate tensile strength ratio of 0.29 in flexural fatigue mode. The study revealed the existence of multiple crack retardation mechanisms and favorable crack propagation pathways through the fine-grained regions which enabled good fatigue performance to the alloy. Further, a probabilistic model has been used to estimate the fatigue life of the alloy as a function of the stochastic microstructure by utilizing the statistical distribution of pores, solid-state inclusions, and grains in the AM Al alloy. Finally, the model parametric trends are consistent with the experimental observations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dimensionality effect of conductive carbon fillers in LiNi 1/3 Mn 1/3 Co 1/3 O 2 cathode

Developing advanced electrode architectures through modifying active materials, conductive fillers, binders, and electrolytes as well as processing methods has drawn significant research interest. Due to the insufficient electrical conductivity of many active materials, adding conductive carbon fillers to composite electrodes provides the necessary electrical conductivity. The dimensionality effect among different conductive fillers has a significant impact on electrochemistry, which can be associated with morphological and chemical heterogeneities of electrodes. In this study, synchrotron X-ray mosaic nanotomography and X-ray spectroscopy nanoimaging provided direct three-dimensional (3D) visualization and quantification capabilities to investigate the dimensionality effects of Super P (SP) and single-walled carbon nanotube (SWCNT) fillers on the capacity retention of LiNi 1/3 Mn 1/3 Co 1/3 O 2 (NMC111). The results indicate that NMC/SWCNT electrodes, with a wrapping effect from the SWCNTs, exhibited more homogeneous particle size distributions, morphological changes, and chemical states than NMC/SP electrodes, without the wrapping effect. This work developed a framework of 3D quantification methods to study the capacity fading behavior associated with morphological and chemical heterogeneities and paved the way toward designing electrodes for high rate energy storage applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Consequences of plane-strain and plane-stress assumptions in fully coupled chemo-mechanical Li-ion battery models

In Li-ion battery research, it is common to simulate chemo-mechanical phenomena in reduced dimensions (e.g., 2-D) as opposed to fully resolve these complex physics in 3-D. It is common to assume either (1) the out-of-plane strain is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-strain), or (2) the out-of-plane stress is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-stress). However, there is typically little consideration as to the quantitative consequences of these approximations. Furthermore, the influence of these out-of-plane assumptions can be compounded and convoluted when chemo-mechanics models implement so-called “fully coupled” formulations, where the local species concentrations influence the stress-state and the stress-state influences the local species fluxes. Here, the present manuscript explores the implications of using plane-stress and plane-strain assumptions in 2-D as compared to simulating a full 3-D electrode particle. This comparative study includes simulating both isotropic and anisotropic particle intercalation where the particles can be surrounded by either a liquid or solid electrolyte. Additionally, common Li-ion battery-model metrics such as the state-of-stress, intercalation fraction distribution, and specific capacity are compared, while also considering the effects of particle size and C-rate. As alternatives to the pure plane-strain and plane stress approximations, two modified plane-strain assumptions are found to better approximate the fully coupled chemo-mechanical 3-D behavior.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Explicit modeling of pebble temperature in the porous-media model for pebble-bed reactors

In this study, we developed a multiscale model to include an explicit pebble-temperature model nested in the porous-media model for pebble-bed reactor applications. The multiscale solid-phase energy balance model, including the pebble surface energy balance equation and an explicit modeling of pebble temperature, can predict the macroscopic (pebble bed) and microscopic (pebble) temperature distributions under both steady-state and transient conditions. The proposed multiscale model is solved in a fully coupled manner using the Newton- Krylov method, and therefore iterations between the macroscopic (pebble-bed-scale) and microscopic (pebble- scale) model are avoided. Extensive code verifications, validation, and demonstrations have been performed for this newly developed model. By explicitly modeling pebble temperatures, this new model addresses a major deficiency of the basic porous-media model, which assumes homogeneous solid-phase temperature and is not appropriate for pebble-bed reactor design and safety analyses.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Conical Intersection Passages of Molecules Probed by X-ray Diffraction and Stimulated Raman Spectroscopy

Conical intersections (CoIns) play an important role in ultrafast relaxation channels. Their monitoring remains a formidable experimental challenge. We theoretically compare the probing of the S 2 → S 1 CoIn passage in 4-thiouracil by monitoring its vibronic coherences, using off-resonant X-ray-stimulated Raman spectroscopy (TRUECARS) and time resolved X-ray diffraction (TRXD). The quantum nuclear wavepacket (WP) dynamics provides an accurate picture of the photoinduced dynamics. Upon photoexcitation, the WP oscillates among the Franck–Condon point, the S2 minimum, and the CoIn with a 70 fs period. A vibronic coherence first emerges at 20 fs and can be observed until the S 2 state is fully depopulated. The distribution of the vibronic frequencies involved in the coherence is recorded by the TRUECARS spectrogram. Here, the TRXD signal provides spatial images of electron densities associated with the CoIn. In combination, the two signals provide a complementary picture of the nonadiabatic passage, which helps in the study of the underlying photophysics in thiobases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗