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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRS2022

Unifying the Validation of Ambient Solar Wind Models

Progress in space weather research and awareness needs community-wide strategies and procedures to evaluate our modeling assets. Here we present the activities of the Ambient Solar Wind Validation Team embedded in the COSPAR ISWAT initiative. We aim to bridge the gap between model developers and end-users to provide the community with an assessment of the state-of-the-art in solar wind forecasting. To this end, we develop an open online platform for validating solar wind models by comparing their solutions with in situ spacecraft measurements. The online platform will allow the space weather community to test the quality of state-of-the-art solar wind models with unified metrics providing an unbiased assessment of progress over time. In this study, we propose a metadata architecture and recommend community-wide forecasting goals and validation metrics. We conclude with a status update of the online platform and outline future perspectives.

Space weather↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Development of 2.05 µm Fiber Lasers for CO2 DIAL Lidar Measuring Martian CO2 and Pressure

The Decadal Survey by the National Academy of Sciences in the United States and NASA’s Science Mission Directorate (SMD) Science Plan both require global CO 2 observations for the Martian atmospheric pressure, dynamics and chemistry. However, there are significant observational gaps in polar regions and during nighttime for global air pressure and CO 2 on Mars. Therefore, recently we proposed a new concept of Martian differential absorption lidar (DIAL) operating in the 2.05 µm CO 2 absorption band for global, including poles, atmospheric CO 2 and pressure observations day and night [1]. Based on the concept, we are awarded to develop 2.05 µm fiber lasers by the NASA Planetary Instrument Concepts for the Advancement of Solar System Observations (PICASSO) Program. The laser is designed to be an all-fiber master oscillator and power amplifier (MOPA) system with laser output of ~3 mJ at a repetition frequency of 2 kHz. The primary master oscillator (PMO) is locked to the center (2.0504280 µm) of the selected CO 2 absorption line. The frequency of a second MO (SMO) is locked to that of PMO. This SMO frequency is adjustable and switched between the online (2.05044156 µm) and offline (2.05050812 µm) wavelengths. The online wavelength is optimally selected so that the CO 2 absorption optical depth (AOD) is ~1.1 at 3 km and the measurement in the low Martian atmosphere has largest signal-to-noise ratio. The online wavelength can also be adjusted to a line slope location where AOD is larger to observe atmospheric pressure at higher altitudes. We will present more detail about this project and instrument development at the conference.

Zhaoyan Liu↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Seeing is Believing: Monitoring Future Time Temporal Logic

Runtime monitors for future-time unbounded temporal logics like RVLTL, LTL 3 and FLTL, have double-exponential (2^2^n) worst-case space complexity bounds in size of the input formula. The semantics of these logics require monitors to perform general satisfiability solving for LTL expressions, a well-studied problem whose computational complexity is NP-hard and PSPACE-complete. This paper introduces an unbounded future-time linear temporal logic defined over a lattice. We call our logic an incremental temporal logic as it can be viewed as incrementally constructing proofs about the trace. On this account, we view online runtime monitoring as a decision procedure for proofs systems about incrementally growing traces. We demonstrate that our incremental temporal logic allows monitor construction to void satisfiability solving while still soundly detecting when the property is violated in an online fashion. This enables asymptotic improvements in space complexity. As proof, we provide a procedure to construct monitors that utilize linear space and time in the size of the input formula, while remaining constant in the size of the input stream and suitable for online monitoring. We further demonstrate, through several examples, that our incremental temporal logic is straightforward to adopt and practical for runtime verification.

temporal logic↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Ensemble Forecasting/Assimilation/Emissions Estimation with WRF-Chem/DART: Accomplishments, Lessons Learned, and Future Plans

Over the past ten years, we have been conducting research on regional ensemble atmospheric composition forecasting/data assimilation/emissions estimation with WRF-Chem/DART. WRF- Chem/DART integrates the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) with online chemistry (WRF-Chem) into the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART). DART is an ensemble data assimilation system based on the ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) with adaptive inflation, localization (physical and state space), and an optional non-Gaussian formulation of the EAKF. DART includes assimilation of meteorological and limited chemical observations. WRF-Chem/DART extends DART to include assimilation of: MOPITT CO; IASI CO and O3; MODIS AOD; OMI O3, NO2, and SO2; TROPOMI CO, O3, NO2, and SO2, TES CO, CO2 (research mode), O3, NH3, and CH4 (research mode); CrIS CO, O3, NH3, CH4 (research mode), and PAN; SCIAMACHY NO2; GOME2a NO2; MLS O3 and HNO3; and proxy TEMPO O3, and NO2 satellite retrievals as raw retrievals or as ‘compact phase space retrievals’ (CPSRs) for profile retrievals. WRF-Chem/DART also assimilates in situ atmospheric composition measurements and uses the ‘state augmentation method’ for emissions estimation. In our presentation, we will provide an overview of WRF-Chem/DART: • applications and results; • lessons learned from: (i) independent versus joint assimilation; (ii) total/partial column versus profile retrieval assimilation; (iii) joint in situ and retrieval assimilation; (iv) assimilation at grid resolutions ranging from 100 km to 4 km; (v) dynamic emissions estimation; and • future work related to wildfire emissions estimation and intercomparison of CMAQ (online)/JEDI and CMAQ (online and offline)/DART.

WRF-Chem/DART↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Progress of 2.05 μm Fiber Laser Development for CO2 DIAL Measurements of Martian CO2 and Pressure

The Decadal Survey by the US National Academy of Sciences in the United States and NASA’s Science Mission Directorate (SMD) Science Plan both require global CO2 observations for the Martian atmospheric pressure, dynamics and CO2 variations. However, there are significant observational gaps in polar regions and during nighttime for global air pressure and CO2 on Mars. Therefore, recently we proposed a new concept of Martian differential absorption lidar (DIAL) operating in the 2.05 μm CO2 absorption band for global, including poles, atmospheric CO2 and pressure observations day and night. Based on the concept, we are awarded to develop 2.05 μm fiber lasers by the NASA Planetary Instrument Concepts for the Advancement of Solar System Observations (PICASSO) Program. The laser is designed to be an all-fiber master oscillator and power amplifier (MOPA) system with laser out put of ~3 mJ at a repetition frequency of 2 kHz. The primary master oscillator (PMO) is locked to the center (2.0504280 μm) of the selected CO2 absorption line. The frequency of a second MO (SMO) is locked to that of PMO. This SMO frequency is adjustable and switched between the online (2.05044156 μm) and offline (2.05050812 μm) wavelengths. The online wavelength is optimally selected so that the CO2 absorption optical depth (AOD) is ~1.1 at 3 km and the measurement in the low Martian atmosphere has largest signal-to-noise ratio. The online wavelength can also be adjusted to a line slope location where AOD is larger to observe atmospheric pressure at higher altitudes. We will present more details about this project and instrument development.

CO2↗

DOE OSTI2021

Introducing PRIMRE’s MRE Software Knowledge Hub

This paper focuses on the role of the Marine Renewable Energy (MRE) Software Knowledge Hub on the Portal and Repository for Information on Marine Renewable Energy (PRIMRE). The MRE Software Knowledge Hub provides online services for MRE software users and developers, and seeks to develop assessments and recommendations for improving MRE software in the future. Online software discovery platforms, known as the Code Hub and the Code Catalog, are provided. The Code Hub is a collection of open-source MRE software that includes a landing page with search functionality, linked to files hosted on the MRE Code Hub GitHub organization. The Code Catalog is a searchable online platform for discovery of useful (open-source or commercial) software packages, tools, codes, and other software products. To gather information about the existing MRE software landscape, a software survey is being performed, the preliminary results of which are presented herein. Initially, the data collected in the MRE software survey will be used to populate the MRE Software knowledge hub on PRIMRE, and future work will use data from the survey to perform a gap analysis and develop a vision for future software development. Additionally, as one of PRIMRE’s roles is to support development of MRE software within project partners, a silo of knowledge relating to best practices has been gathered.

marine, energy, open source software, MHKiT, MRE C↗

DOE OSTI2021

Introducing PRIMRE's MRE Software Knowledge Hub (February 2021)

This paper focuses on the role of the Marine Renewable Energy (MRE) Software Knowledge Hub on the Portal and Repository for Information on Marine Renewable Energy (PRIMRE). The MRE Software Knowledge Hub provides online services for MRE software users and developers, and seeks to develop assessments and recommendations for improving MRE software in the future. Online software discovery platforms, known as the Code Hub and the Code Catalog, are provided. The Code Hub is a collection of open-source MRE software that includes a landing page with search functionality, linked to files hosted on the MRE Code Hub GitHub organization. The Code Catalog is a searchable online platform for discovery of useful (open-source or commercial) software packages, tools, codes, and other software products. To gather information about the existing MRE software landscape, a software survey is being performed, the preliminary results of which are presented herein. Initially, the data collected in the MRE software survey will be used to populate the MRE Software knowledge hub on PRIMRE, and future work will use data from the survey to perform a gap analysis and develop a vision for future software development. Additionally, as one of PRIMRE's roles is to support development of MRE software within project partners, a silo of knowledge relating to best practices has been gathered. An early draft of new guidance developed from this knowledge is presented.

gap analysis↗

DOE OSTI2025

Digitizing and Enhancing Accessibility of the Fusion Safety Archives

This project focuses on the digitization and public accessibility to the Fusion Safety Archives at the Idaho National Laboratory. The first phase involves a thorough review of each document in the physical archives to determine its online availability. For documents that are available online, PDF copies and unique identifiers are collected for database integration. Documents not available online are delivered to Red Inc. for digitization. Additionally, defunct storage devices such as diskettes are sent to INL’s archival department for data retrieval where possible. The second phase of the project involves the creation of a comprehensive database to house the digital copies of the archives. The database will facilitate easy access and management of the digitized documents. Following the database creation, we plan to train a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) based AI on publicly available documents. The trained AI will be integrated into a front-facing application, allowing the public to easily access information from the Fusion Safety Archives. This project aims to preserve valuable historical data, improve accessibility, and promote transparency in fusion safety research.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Incorporate day-ahead robustness and real-time incentives for electricity market design

In this paper, we propose a two-stage electricity market framework to explore the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a day-ahead (DA) market and a real-time (RT) market. The objective is to determine the optimal bidding strategies of the aggregated DERs in the DA market and generate online incentive signals for DER-owners to optimize the social-welfare taking into account network operational constraints. Distributionally robust optimization is used to explicitly incorporate data-based statistical information of renewable forecasts into the supply/demand decisions in the DA market. We evaluate the conservativeness of bidding strategies distinguished by different risk aversion settings. In the RT market, a bi-level time-varying optimization problem is proposed to design the online incentive signals to tradeoff the RT imbalance penalty for distribution system operators (DSOs) and the costs of individual DER-owners. This enables tracking their optimal dispatch to provide fast balancing services, in the presence of time-varying network states while satisfying the voltage regulation requirement. Simulation results on both DA wholesale market and RT balancing market demonstrate the necessity of this two-stage design, and its robustness to uncertainties, the performance of convergence, the tracking ability and the feasibility of the resulting network operations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Data association algorithm for large-scale multi-object tracking with complex interactions

We present an online multi-object tracking algorithm to track multiple objects across a large number of image frames. Our work is motivated by the need to study evolution of nanoscale objects by transmission electron microscopy. The proposed approach is based on the existing multi-way data association tracking algorithm that is capable of tracking interacting objects with complex behaviors (i.e., merge, split, overlap, and appearance or disappearance). The multi-way data association is an offline algorithm to associate objects across all image frames at one step with a global optimization, which does not scale very well for large number of image frames. The proposed online tracking algorithm processes image frames as they arrive by detecting all objects in the newly arrived image frame and making the associations of the objects to those detected from the previous frame by the multi-way data association. This frameby-frame association scheme can cause fragmented traces of the objects that are occasionally misdetected for some image frames. We overcome this issue by allowing previously unassociated objects to be associated when the objects reappear within a fixed number of future image frames, namely the frame-delayed association. We combine the multi-way data association with the frame-delayed association to be able to track interacting objects with accurate handling of object disappearance events. The proposed method is validated through applications to simulated multi-object tracking problem and a real multi-object tracking problem. Here, the outcome of the proposed method is compared with four state-of-the-art algorithms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Streaming Compression of Scientific Data via Weak-SINDy

Here, in this paper, a streaming weak-SINDy algorithm is developed specifically for compressing streaming scientific data. The production of scientific data, either via simulation or experiments, is undergoing a stage of exponential growth, which makes data compression important and often necessary for storing and utilizing large scientific data sets. As opposed to classical “offline” compression algorithms that perform compression on a readily available data set, streaming compression algorithms compress data “online” while the data generated from simulation or experiments is still flowing through the system. This feature makes streaming compression algorithms well suited for scientific data compression, where storing the full data set offline is often infeasible. This work proposes a new streaming compression algorithm, streaming weak-SINDy, which takes advantage of the underlying data characteristics during compression. The streaming weak-SINDy algorithm constructs feature matrices and target vectors in the online stage via a streaming integration method in a memory efficient manner. The feature matrices and target vectors are then used in the offline stage to build a model through a regression process that aims to recover equations that govern the evolution of the data. For compressing high-dimensional streaming data, we adopt a streaming proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) process to reduce the data dimension and then use the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm to compress the temporal data of the POD expansion. We propose modifications to the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm to accommodate the dynamically updated POD basis. By combining the built model from the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm and a small amount of data samples, the full data flow could be reconstructed accurately at a low memory cost, as shown in the numerical tests.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Developing Subgrantee Administrative Training for the Weatherization Assistance Program

During Fiscal Years (FY) 2019 and 2020, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed a series of online trainings for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP) to support Subgrantee administrative professionals. NREL and its subcontractor developed a series of online administrative trainings for WAP Subgrantees. In total, 29 administrative training courses were developed for WAP Subgrantees, focused on the following job roles: Weatherization Director, Fiscal Manage, Quality Assurance Manager. As of September 8, 2020, 2,840 users in nearly all WAP Grantee jurisdictions had registered with the learning management system and completed over 23,000 courses. This report provides a summary of the development process, rollout, and outreach to the WAP network, user response, and lessons learned.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

Analytics-at-scale of Sensor Data for Digital Monitoring in Nuclear Plants (4th Annual Report)

Nuclear plant sites collect and store large volumes of data collected from various equipment and systems. These datasets typically include plant process parameters, maintenance records, technical logs, online monitoring data, and equipment failure data. The collection of such data affords an opportunity to leverage data-driven machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies to provide diagnostic and prognostic capabilities within the nuclear power industry to reduce operating and maintenance costs. In this way, nuclear energy can become more economically competitive with other energy sources, and premature closures can be avoided. From a maintenance standpoint, savings can be achieved by leveraging machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies to develop data-driven algorithms to better diagnose and predict potential faults within the system. Improved model accuracy can lead to reductions in unnecessary maintenance and more efficient planning of future maintenance, thus lowering the costs associated with parts, labor, and unnecessary planned, forced, or extended outages. From an operations perspective, cost savings can be generated by shifting from route-based monitoring to wireless technologies for online monitoring, and by transitioning from onsite- to cloud-based computing and storage services. Wireless monitoring would reduce the operator manhours required for taking routine measurements, while cloud computing services would generate cost savings by reducing the amount of hardware needing to be purchased and maintained—all while scaling to both computational and storage demands. This report summarizes this project’s effort to shift from costly, labor-intensive preventative maintenance to cheaper predictive maintenance.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Concept for an irradiation experiment to test a laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy off-gas sensor for molten salt systems

This paper focuses on laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) as an off-gas sensor and details a conceptual irradiation experiment to evaluate its performance in an environment that is more realistic of an operational molten salt reactor (MSR). MSRs are a promising advanced nuclear design that use high-temperature liquid salts as the coolant, fuel, or a combination of both. They will generate and subsequently evolve fission products into the reactor headspace during operation. These evolved fission products will necessitate an online off-gas system to treat the reactor cover gas before recycling it to the core. Such a system, especially during the early deployment phase, will benefit from online sensors to inform operators of the treatment system’s performance. Optical spectroscopy is well-suited to fit this task as it can be remotely deployed using fiber-optics and can detect most species at high frequencies. LIBS can detect nearly every element on the Periodic Table, stable or radioactive, making it an ideal candidate. The provided conceptual experiment discusses the facility requirements, salt capsule design, and detailed testing campaigns with corresponding simulated LIBS spectra.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evolution of Intent and Social Influence Networks and Their Significance in Detecting COVID-19 Disinformation Actors on Social Media

Online disinformation actors are those individuals or bots who disseminate false or misleading information over social media, with the intent to sway public opinion in the information domain towards harmful social outcomes. Quantification of the degree to which users post or respond intentionally versus under social influence, remains a challenge, as individuals or organizations operating the profile are foreshadowed by their online persona. However, social influence has been shown to be measurable in the paradigm of information theory. In this paper, we introduce an information theoretic measure to quantify social media user intent, and then investigate the corroboration of intent with evolution of the social network and detection of disinformation actors related to COVID-19 discussions on Twitter. Our measurement of user intent utilizes an existing time series analysis technique for estimation of social influence using transfer entropy among the considered users. We have analyzed 4.7 million tweets originating from several countries of interest, during a 5 month period when the arrival of the first dose of COVID vaccinations were announced. Our key findings include evidence that: (i) a significant correspondence between intent and social influence; (ii) ranking over users by intent and social influence is unstable over time with evidence of shifts in the hierarchical structure; and (iii) both user intent and social influence are important when distinguishing disinformation actors from non-disinformation actors.

Gunaratne, Chathika↗

DOE OSTI2026

Toward real-time optimization through model reduction and model discrepancy sensitivities

Optimization problems arise in a range of scenarios, from optimal control to model parameter estimation. In many applications, such as the development of digital twins, it is essential to solve these optimization problems within wall-clock-time limitations. However, this is often unattainable for complex systems, such as those modeled by nonlinear partial differential equations. One strategy for mitigating this issue is to construct a reduced-order model (ROM) that enables more rapid optimization. In particular, the use of nonintrusive ROMs—those that do not require access to the full-order model at evaluation time—is popular because they facilitate the computation of optimization solutions within the wall-clock time requirements. However, the optimization solution will be unreliable if the iterates move outside the ROM training data. This article proposes the use of hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy (HDSA-MD) as a computationally efficient tool to augment ROM-constrained optimization and improve its reliability. The proposed approach consists of two phases: (i) an offline phase where several full-order model evaluations are computed to train the ROM, and (ii) an online phase where a ROM-constrained optimization problem is solved, a limited number of full-order model evaluations are computed, and HDSA-MD is used to enhance the optimization solution. Numerical results are demonstrated for two examples, atmospheric contaminant control and wildfire ignition location estimation, in which a ROM is trained offline using inaccurate atmospheric data. In conclusion, the HDSA-MD update yields a significant improvement in the ROM-constrained optimization solution using only one full-order model evaluation online with corrected atmospheric data.

PDE-constrained optimization↗

DOE OSTI2020

Social cybersecurity: an emerging science

Abstract With the rise of online platforms where individuals could gather and spread information came the rise of online cybercrimes aimed at taking advantage of not just single individuals but collectives. In response, researchers and practitioners began trying to understand this digital playground and the way in which individuals who were socially and digitally embedded could be manipulated. What is emerging is a new scientific and engineering discipline—social cybersecurity. This paper defines this emerging area, provides case examples of the research issues and types of tools needed, and lays out a program of research in this area.

Carley, Kathleen M. (ORCID:0000000263560238)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Non-intrusive reduced-order modeling for dynamical systems with spatially localized features

This work presents a non-intrusive reduced-order modeling framework for dynamical systems with spatially localized features characterized by slow singular value decay. The proposed approach builds upon two existing methodologies for reduced and full-order non-intrusive modeling, namely Operator Inference (OpInf) and sparse Full-Order Model (sFOM) inference. We decompose the domain into two complementary subdomains that exhibit fast and slow singular value decay. The dynamics of the subdomain exhibiting slow singular value decay are learned with sFOM while the dynamics with intrinsically low dimensionality on the complementary subdomain are learned with OpInf. The resulting, coupled OpInf-sFOM formulation leverages the computational efficiency of OpInf and the high resolution of sFOM, and thus enables fast non-intrusive predictions for conditions beyond those sampled in the training data set. A novel regularization technique with a closed-form solution based on the Gershgorin disk theorem is introduced to promote stable sFOM and OpInf models. We also provide a data-driven indicator for subdomain selection and ensure solution smoothness over the interface via a post-processing interpolation step. We evaluate the efficiency of the approach in terms of offline and online speedup through a quantitative, parametric computational cost analysis. We demonstrate the coupled OpInf-sFOM formulation for two test cases: a one-dimensional Burgers’ model for which accurate predictions beyond the span of the training snapshots are presented, and a two-dimensional parametric model for the Pine Island Glacier ice thickness dynamics, for which the OpInf-sFOM model achieves an average prediction error on the order of 1% with an online speedup factor of approximately 8$\times$ compared to the numerical simulation.

42 ENGINEERING↗