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DOE OSTI · 3022146

Toward real-time optimization through model reduction and model discrepancy sensitivities

Abstract

Optimization problems arise in a range of scenarios, from optimal control to model parameter estimation. In many applications, such as the development of digital twins, it is essential to solve these optimization problems within wall-clock-time limitations. However, this is often unattainable for complex systems, such as those modeled by nonlinear partial differential equations. One strategy for mitigating this issue is to construct a reduced-order model (ROM) that enables more rapid optimization. In particular, the use of nonintrusive ROMs—those that do not require access to the full-order model at evaluation time—is popular because they facilitate the computation of optimization solutions within the wall-clock time requirements. However, the optimization solution will be unreliable if the iterates move outside the ROM training data. This article proposes the use of hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy (HDSA-MD) as a computationally efficient tool to augment ROM-constrained optimization and improve its reliability. The proposed approach consists of two phases: (i) an offline phase where several full-order model evaluations are computed to train the ROM, and (ii) an online phase where a ROM-constrained optimization problem is solved, a limited number of full-order model evaluations are computed, and HDSA-MD is used to enhance the optimization solution. Numerical results are demonstrated for two examples, atmospheric contaminant control and wildfire ignition location estimation, in which a ROM is trained offline using inaccurate atmospheric data. In conclusion, the HDSA-MD update yields a significant improvement in the ROM-constrained optimization solution using only one full-order model evaluation online with corrected atmospheric data.

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BibTeXRIS

Hart, Joseph Lee [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)] (ORCID:0000000169327894), McQuarrie, Shane A. [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); Brigham Young Univ., Provo, UT (United States)], Morrow, Zachary Benjamin [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)] (ORCID:0000000279860702), van Bloemen Waanders, Bart G. [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)] (ORCID:0000000168694916). 2026-02-19. Toward real-time optimization through model reduction and model discrepancy sensitivities. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-025-04241-2

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PDE-constrained optimization