Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “performance prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 541 records · Page 30

Classical symmetries and the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm

Here, we study the relationship between the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) and the underlying symmetries of the objective function to be optimized. Our approach formalizes the connection between quantum symmetry properties of the QAOA dynamics and the group of classical symmetries of the objective function. The connection is general and includes but is not limited to problems defined on graphs. We show a series of results exploring the connection and highlight examples of hard problem classes where a nontrivial symmetry subgroup can be obtained efficiently. In particular, we show how classical objective function symmetries lead to invariant measurement outcome probabilities across states connected by such symmetries, independent of the choice of algorithm parameters or number of layers. To illustrate the power of the developed connection, we apply machine learning techniques toward predicting QAOA performance based on symmetry considerations. We provide numerical evidence that a small set of graph symmetry properties suffices to predict the minimum QAOA depth required to achieve a target approximation ratio on the MaxCut problem, in a practically important setting where QAOA parameter schedules are constrained to be linear and hence easier to optimize.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The nucleardatapy toolkit for simple access to experimental nuclear data, astrophysical observations, and theoretical predictions

Systematic comparisons across theoretical predictions for the properties of dense matter, nuclear physics data, and astrophysical observations (also called meta-analyses) are performed. Existing predictions for symmetric nuclear and neutron matter properties are considered, and they are shown in this paper as an illustration of the present knowledge. Asymmetric matter is constructed assuming the isospin asymmetry quadratic approximation. It is employed to predict the pressure at twice saturation energy-density based only on nuclear-physics constraints, and we find it compatible with the one from the gravitational-wave community. To make our meta-analysis transparent, updated in the future, and to publicly share our results, the Python toolkit nucleardatapy is described and released here. Hence, this paper accompanies nucleardatapy, which simplifies access to nuclear-physics data, including theoretical calculations, experimental measurements, and astrophysical observations. This Python toolkit is designed to easily provide data for: (i) predictions for uniform matter (from microscopic or phenomenological approaches); (ii) correlation among nuclear properties induced by experimental and theoretical constraints; (iii) measurements for finite nuclei (nuclear chart, charge radii, neutron skins or nuclear incompressibilities, etc.) and hypernuclei (single particle energies); and (iv) astrophysical observations. This toolkit provides data in a unified format for easy comparison and provides new meta-analysis tools. It will be continuously developed, and we expect contributions from the community in our endeavor.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Analysis of Inlier and Outlier Compounds with Respect to Artificial Neural Network Cetane Number Prediction Accuracy

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are exceptional at forming non-linear correlations between multivariate input and target variables; however, they are often seen as a “black box” approach, since how ANNs form these correlations is somewhat ambiguous. Furthermore, the process underlying how ANNs learn from inlier and outlier samples within the input dataset is not fully understood. Intuitively, it is expected that training ANNs with inlier samples will increase prediction accuracy and training with outlier samples will reduce prediction accuracy; though, in practice, this is not always true. The present work identifies and analyzes inliers and outliers of existing experimental cetane number (CN) data encompassing a variety of compounds and compound groups. It also investigates how ANNs trained to predict CN perform with and without outliers included in the training data, and whether a relationship exists between inliers/outliers and ANN prediction accuracy across the whole dataset and for individual samples. Additionally, individual outlier compounds are analyzed, highlighting how they structurally differ from inlier compounds.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Instability of Rock-Salt Cubic NbN in Density Functional Calculations

All-nitride semiconductor/superconductor heterojunctions utilizing cubic niobium nitride (NbN) are a promising approach to superconducting quantum circuits for next-generation quantum-information systems. However, there are fundamental open questions on the atomic structure of NbN. In calculations with several levels of density functional theory (DFT), we find that the cubic rocksalt structure NbN (Fm-3m, 225) is energetically very unstable against the ground state hexagonal NbN in a tungsten carbide (P-6m2, 187) type lattice. To better understand the appearance of a cubic phase in numerous experiments, we perform a DFT study on possible NbN structures, determining the energy ordering between different polymorphs from databases and structure prediction. We perform supercell calculations of disordered NbN, finding that the rocksalt structure is dynamically unstable and relaxes to a lower energy monoclinic phase (C2/m, 12), which retains an approximate average cubic symmetry. However, the associated energy gain is not substantial enough for a plausible explanation for cubic NbN. We further investigate the role of external factors such as in-plane strain during epitaxial growth as well as the presence of off-stoichiometry and impurity doping on the energy ordering.

CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND SU↗

Facilitating Screening of MOFs for Mixed Matrix Membranes Using Machine Learning and the Maxwell Model

Metal organic framework (MOF)-based mixedmatrix membranes (MMMs), which embed MOF particles in polymer matrices, combine the advantages of polymeric and inorganic membranes. Multiple previous studies have used the Maxwell model together with molecular simulations and machine learning (ML) to predict the performance of MOF/polymer MMMs. However, the assumption of rigid MOF frameworks in molecular simulations limited the accuracy of the data used in the predictions, particularly in predicting molecular diffusivities. We developed a novel workflow integrating ML models with consideration of MOF flexibility to predict the permeability and selectivity of 131,722 MMMs for CO 2 /CH 4 , O 2 /N 2 and He/H 2 separations. The full range of achievable MMM performance within the Maxwell model was analyzed, and several promising MOFs were identified using this workflow. This approach offers an efficient tool for screening any polymer and MOF combination in gas separation applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

LTAU-FF: Loss Trajectory Analysis for Uncertainty in atomistic Force Fields

Model ensembles are effective tools for estimating prediction uncertainty in deep learning atomistic force fields. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by high computational costs and overconfident error estimates. In this work, we address these challenges by leveraging distributions of per-sample errors obtained during training and employing a distance-based similarity search in the model latent space. Our method, which we call LTAU (Loss Trajectory Analysis for Uncertainty), efficiently estimates the full probability distribution function of errors for any test point using the logged training errors, achieving speeds that are 2–3 orders of magnitudes faster than typical ensemble methods and allowing it to be used for tasks where training or evaluating multiple models would be infeasible. We apply LTAU towards estimating parametric uncertainty in atomistic force fields (LTAU-FF), demonstrating that it produces well-calibrated confidence intervals and predicts errors that correlate strongly with the true errors for data near the training domain. Furthermore, we show that the errors predicted by LTAU-FF can be used in practical applications for detecting out-of-domain data, tuning model performance, and predicting failure during simulations. We believe that LTAU will be a valuable tool for uncertainty quantification in atomistic force fields and is a promising method that should be further explored in other domains of machine learning.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Digital Signal Processing of Radar Pulse Echoes

Modern high-performance radar systems are employing ever-more Digital Signal Processing (DSP), replacing ever-more formerly analog components. Precisely predicting the performance of digital filters and correlators requires an awareness of some of the finer points and characteristics of digital filters. We examine a representative radar receiver DSP chain that is processing a Linear Frequency Modulated (LFM) chirp.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

PHELIX Shallow Cassette Liner Performance Tests 1 and 2 Post-Shot Simulation Report

PHELIX shallow cassette liner performance Tests 1 (PHELIX No. 151) and 2 (PHELIX No. 156) were conducted on August 07, 2020, and September 16, 2020, respectively. The primary purpose for these tests was to assess liner performance within the new shallow cassette PHELIX design configuration. Specific goals included: (1) an assessment of liner performance in terms of velocity and symmetry (both axial and azimuthal), and (2) an assessment of our ability to accurately predict liner performance. Test 1 was conducted with a driving potential of 70 kV. Test 2 was conducted with a driving potential of 75 kV.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Machine learning prediction of the mechanical properties of refractory multicomponent alloys based on a dataset of phase and first principles simulation

In this work, a dataset including structural and mechanical properties of refractory multicomponent alloys was developed by fusing computations of phase diagram (CALPHAD) and density functional theory (DFT). The refractory multicomponent alloys, also named refractory complex concentrated alloys (CCAs) which contain 2–5 types of refractory elements were constructed based on Special Quasi-random Structure (SQS). The phase of alloys was predicted using CALPHAD and the mechanical property of alloys with stable and single body-centered cubic (BCC) at high temperature (over 1,500°C) was investigated using DFT-based simulation. As a result, a dataset with 393 refractory alloys and 12 features, including volume, melting temperature, density, energy, elastic constants, mechanical moduli, and hardness, were produced. To test the capability of the dataset on supporting machine learning (ML) study to investigate the property of CCAs, CALPHAD, and DFT calculations were compared with principal components analysis (PCA) technique and rule of mixture (ROM), respectively. It is demonstrated that the CALPHAD and DFT results are more in line with experimental observations for the alloy phase, structural and mechanical properties. Furthermore, the data were utilized to train a verity of ML models to predict the performance of certain CCAs with advanced mechanical properties, highlighting the usefulness of the dataset for ML technique on CCA property prediction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Genomic prediction of regional-scale performance in switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum ) by accounting for genotype-by-environment variation and yield surrogate traits

Switchgrass is a potential crop for bioenergy or carbon capture schemes, but further yield improvements through selective breeding are needed to encourage commercialization. To identify promising switchgrass germplasm for future breeding efforts, we conducted multisite and multitrait genomic prediction with a diversity panel of 630 genotypes from 4 switchgrass subpopulations (Gulf, Midwest, Coastal, and Texas), which were measured for spaced plant biomass yield across 10 sites. Our study focused on the use of genomic prediction to share information among traits and environments. Specifically, we evaluated the predictive ability of cross-validation (CV) schemes using only genetic data and the training set (cross-validation 1: CV1), a subset of the sites (cross-validation 2: CV2), and/or with 2 yield surrogates (flowering time and fall plant height). We found that genotype-by-environment interactions were largely due to the north–south distribution of sites. The genetic correlations between the yield surrogates and the biomass yield were generally positive (mean height r = 0.85; mean flowering time r = 0.45) and did not vary due to subpopulation or growing region (North, Middle, or South). Genomic prediction models had CV predictive abilities of –0.02 for individuals using only genetic data (CV1), but 0.55, 0.69, 0.76, 0.81, and 0.84 for individuals with biomass performance data from 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 sites included in the training data (CV2), respectively. To simulate a resource-limited breeding program, we determined the predictive ability of models provided with the following: 1 site observation of flowering time (0.39); 1 site observation of flowering time and fall height (0.51); 1 site observation of fall height (0.52); 1 site observation of biomass (0.55); and 5 site observations of biomass yield (0.84). The ability to share information at a regional scale is very encouraging, but further research is required to accurately translate spaced plant biomass to commercial-scale sward biomass performance.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Machine Learning-Based Classification of Lignocellulosic Biomass from Pyrolysis-Molecular Beam Mass Spectrometry Data

High-throughput analysis of biomass is necessary to ensure consistent and uniform feedstocks for agricultural and bioenergy applications and is needed to inform genomics and systems biology models. Pyrolysis followed by mass spectrometry such as molecular beam mass spectrometry (py-MBMS) analyses are becoming increasingly popular for the rapid analysis of biomass cell wall composition and typically require the use of different data analysis tools depending on the need and application. Here, the authors report the py-MBMS analysis of several types of lignocellulosic biomass to gain an understanding of spectral patterns and variation with associated biomass composition and use machine learning approaches to classify, differentiate, and predict biomass types on the basis of py-MBMS spectra. Py-MBMS spectra were also corrected for instrumental variance using generalized linear modeling (GLM) based on the use of select ions relative abundances as spike-in controls. Machine learning classification algorithms e.g., random forest, k-nearest neighbor, decision tree, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, gradient boosting, and multilayer perceptron classifiers were used. The k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) classifier generally performed the best for classifications using raw spectral data, and the decision tree classifier performed the worst. After normalization of spectra to account for instrumental variance, all the classifiers had comparable and generally acceptable performance for predicting the biomass types, although the k-NN and decision tree classifiers were not as accurate for prediction of specific sample types. Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) classifiers performed better than the k-NN and the decision tree classifiers for the prediction of biomass mixtures. The data analysis workflow reported here could be applied and extended for comparison of biomass samples of varying types, species, phenotypes, and/or genotypes or subjected to different treatments, environments, etc. to further elucidate the sources of spectral variance, patterns, and to infer compositional information based on spectral analysis, particularly for analysis of data without a priori knowledge of the feedstock composition or identity.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Energy I-Corps 2023: Distributed Wind Energy Toolkit

This presentation covers the purpose and scope of an Energy I-Corps project focused on refining a suite of analytical tools designed to support distributed wind deployment. These tools - the Distributed Generation Market Demand (dGen), Distributed Wind Tools Assessing Performance (TAP), and the Hybrid Optimization and Performance Platform (HOPP) - combine to provide users with the ability to simulate consumer purchasing behavior, accurately assess wind resource to better predict turbine performance, and effectively design and optimize hybrid systems that include distributed wind.

deployment↗

SaltStone Wastewater Cement Study Using Isothermal Calorimetry, Standard Concrete Characterization Techniques, and CemGEMS - 25169

Cementitious reagents are used to solidify/stabilize aqueous radioactive, hazardous, and mixed salt solutions, and sludges to meet low-level radioactive waste (LLW) and Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) requirements for disposal at Department of Energy (DOE). It is flexible enough to solidify radioactive wastewater saturated in complex species that include but are not limited to radioactive isotopes from the bombardment of neutrons in reactor operation, corrosion products from metallic components, and a variety of soluble organic compounds. [1,2]. Waste form testing typically includes processing or fresh properties, cured properties, compressive strength and hydraulic properties, porosity, density, saturated and unsaturated moisture transport, and leachability of contaminants in the waste form pore solution. Properties are collected over a relatively limited time, typically 28 to 365 days [3]. In addition, changes in the waste form as the result of time and changing conditions are important for concrete engineers to predict overall performance of the forms and potential release of contaminants in the disposal process via unintended filtration into the environment [4]. These predictions are determined/calculated characterizing young waste forms (relative to the standard age of concrete) and are based on transport through soluble ions in pore solutions. Characterization methods include X-ray, SEM, and isothermal calorimetry among other methods used to define the composition, amorphous vs. crystalline nature of the components, and the energetic formation mechanisms for multi-phase mineral systems. [5–7] Isothermal calorimetry is a well standardized technique for cements and concretes and can be used to predict the timing and nature of the hydration reactions.[8] The technique can measure long term energetic

Bustamante, Michael E. [Savannah River National La↗

High-temperature compressive creep tests of U 3 Si 2 with spark plasma sintering: Experiments and finite element modeling

This paper reports a systematic high-temperature creep behavior of dense U 3 Si 2 pellets using a spark plasma sintering (SPS) apparatus at elevated temperatures and pressures under vacuum conditions. The stress exponent was subsequently derived to be 3.21 at 1173 K and 2.17 at 1223 K, respectively, indicating a grain boundary sliding creep mechanism. The creep activation energy was determined to be 203.6 ± 19.0 kJ/mol, which agrees well with the literature. Finite element modeling was performed using the creep parameters fitted from the strain-time plot. Additionally, the results suggest an excellent match with the experimental data, confirming the validity of the experiments. Microstructure characterizations indicate that the main phase of the specimens after creep tests remains to be U 3 Si 2 , with a 4 μm thick layer of nano-sized particles induced from the diffusion between U 3 Si 2 and alumina disc used to avoid electric current passing through the sample. The successful conduct of creep experiments demonstrates the great potential of SPS to perform high-temperature mechanical testing of nuclear fuels under vacuum conditions. The subsequent finite element modeling exhibits excellent capabilities for accurately predicting material performance in the creep tests and provides a practical tool in evaluating nuclear fuels’ performance for a much-extended time scale.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

PdAu/YSZ composite hydrogen separation membranes with enhanced stability in the presence of CO

The effects of gold composition on the tolerance of palladium-based composite membranes to CO exposure was studied under the presence of high CO concentrations. Membranes with PdAu compositions ranging up to 41% by mass were exposed to binary 50/50 H 2 /CO gas atmospheres and both hydrogen flux and purity were monitored over time. It was observed that the highest gold composition (41%) suffered no degradation in membrane performance in terms of permeate hydrogen purity and hydrogen permeation flux during the 48 h exposure. Furthermore, for lower gold compositions, X-ray diffraction patterns suggested that carbon entered the film and could be removed by exposure to a non-CO containing gas mixture over time. However, removal of the carbon adversely affected purity; interestingly, some of the purity decline could be reversed upon re-exposure to the CO gas mixture. It is hypothesized that carbon loading in the palladium films causes lattice expansion and may even fill pore defects, thus lowering leaks through the Pd films. Furthermore, this study suggests that a membrane exposed to a CO mixture should not be cycled between CO and non-CO environments, but rather run continuously for best performance. Additionally, the choice of Pd-alloy and metal composition should be considered in regard to its carbon solubility to best predict lifetime performance.

08 HYDROGEN↗

EF-Hand Battle Royale: Hetero-ion Complexation in Lanmodulin

The lanmodulin (LanM) protein has emerged as an effective means for rare earth element (REE) extraction and separation from complex feedstocks without the use of organic solvents. Whereas the binding of LanM to individual REEs has been well characterized, little is known about the thermodynamics of mixed metal binding complexes (i.e., heterogeneous ion complexes), which limits the ability to accurately predict separation performance for a given metal ion mixture. In this paper, we employ the law of mass action to establish a theory of perfect cooperativity for LanM-REE complexation at the two highest-affinity binding sites. The theory is then used to derive an equation that explains the nonintuitive REE binding behavior of LanM, where separation factors for binary pairs of ions vary widely based on the ratio of ions in the aqueous phase, a phenomenon that is distinct from single-ion-binding chemical chelators. We then experimentally validate this theory and perform the first quantitative characterization of LanM complexation with heterogeneous ion pairs using resin-immobilized LanM. Importantly, the resulting homogeneous and heterogeneous constants enable accurate prediction of the equilibrium state of LanM in the presence of mixtures of up to 10 REEs, confirming that the perfect cooperativity model is an accurate mechanistic description of REE complexation by LanM. We further employ the model to simulate separation performance over a range of homogeneous and heterogeneous binding constants, revealing important insights into how mixed binding differentially impacts REE separations based on the relative positioning of the ion pairs within the lanthanide series. In addition to informing REE separation process optimization, these results provide mathematical and experimental insight into competition dynamics in other ubiquitous and medically relevant, cooperative binding proteins, such as calmodulin.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparative Study on the Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Adsorption Energies for Ring and Chain Species on Metal Catalyst Surfaces

Computation of adsorption and transition state energies for a large number of surface intermediates for numerous active site models pose significant computational overhead in computational screening of catalysts. Machine learning (ML) techniques can be used to predict part of these energies. To predict the energies, ML models need to be fed appropriate metal and species descriptors. For complex surface chemistries, the structures of the intermediate species can vary greatly. In this paper, working with the hydrodeoxygenation of succinic acid on six different metal surfaces, we have studied the effect of linear and non-linear ML models used along with pen-and-paper based species descriptors and two categories of metal descriptors on two different categories of intermediate species: chain and ring. More specifically, our computations include the prediction of chain species when trained on only chain species and also when trained on both chain and ring species. Similar computations were performed for predictions of ring species. In each case, results of linear ML models were compared with kernel based non-linear models. Our results indicate that ring species data does not improve the prediction of chain species. Similarly, chain species data does not improve the prediction of ring species. The use of non-linear ML models, however, did help to minimize the prediction errors compared to the linear models. Furthermore, the study also shows that electronic or adsorption energy based metal descriptors along with bond count based species fingerprints can achieve a mean absolute error (MAE) of less than 0.2 eV for complex chain molecules when used with an appropriate machine learning model.

Adsorption↗

AWCC Simulations

Neutron well counters provide a means to measure fissile mass by detecting coincident neutrons, which is a unique signature to fission. For coincidence counting, mass is determined using a calibration curve established with items that have the same material characteristics. Multiplicity analysis solves the point model equations for mass using known detector parameters. In both cases, mass measurements may exhibit a bias due to item characteristics and should be corrected for. Experiments can be done to estimate bias and material effects, but they require having both the well counter and the material well defined. In pursuit of estimating measurement bias and uncertainty in a High Efficiency Neutron Counter (HENC), an MCNP simulation was matched to measurements performed with an Active Well Coincidence Counter (AWCC) to de ne a neutron source term. The neutron source term will be used to predict measurement performance of similar material types in a HENC.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗