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Species-specific flowering phenology responses to experimental warming and drought alter herbaceous plant species overlap in a temperate–boreal forest community
Abstract Background and Aims Warmer temperatures and altered precipitation patterns are expected to continue to occur as the climate changes. How these changes will impact the flowering phenology of herbaceous perennials in northern forests is poorly understood but could have consequences for forest functioning and species interactions. Here, we examine the flowering phenology responses of five herbaceous perennials to experimental warming and reduced summer rainfall over 3 years. Methods This study is part of the B4WarmED experiment located at two sites in northern Minnesota, USA. Three levels of warming (ambient, +1.6 °C and +3.1 °C) were crossed with two rainfall manipulations (ambient and 27 % reduced growing season rainfall). Key Results We observed species-specific responses to the experimental treatments. Warming alone advanced flowering for four species. Most notably, the two autumn blooming species showed the strongest advance of flowering to warming. Reduced rainfall alone advanced flowering for one autumn blooming species and delayed flowering for the other, with no significant impact on the three early blooming species. Only one species, Solidago spp., showed an interactive response to warming and rainfall manipulation by advancing in +1.6 °C warming (regardless of rainfall manipulation) but not advancing in the warmest, driest treatment. Species-specific responses led to changes in temporal overlap between species. Most notably, the two autumn blooming species diverged significantly in their flowering timing. In ambient conditions, these two species flowered within the same week. In the warmest, driest treatment, flowering occurred over a month apart. Conclusions Herbaceous species may differ in how they respond to future climate conditions. Changes to phenology may lead to fewer resources for insects or a mismatch between plants and pollinators.
A sweet new study: tropical forest species use nonstructural carbohydrates in different ways during drought
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Recovery of seedling carbon balance despite hydraulic impairment following hot drought
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Forcing data (CESM2/CMIP6) for projection of drought impacts (2015-2100) at the K34 site in Manaus, Brazil
Historical and projected output data variables extracted and derived from Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2) runs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) archive. CESM2 is a fully coupled Earth system model used in simulations of Earth's past, present, and future climates (Danabasoglu et al., 2020). Variables in this dataset are in six-hourly resolution, and include air temperature (both in K and ℃), specific humidity (kg kg-1), air pressure (Pa), relative humidity (%), and vapor pressure deficit (kPa). CESM2 was the only CMIP6 model that provided VPD at the high temporal resolution required for this analysis. Data are included in .csv files, and the text file CESM2-CMIP6_forcing_K34-Manaus_headers.txt provides descriptions of data file headers.
Drought index using micrometeorological data from Embrapa weather station at Adolpho Ducke Reserve in Manaus, Brazil
This dataset includes daily resolution time series data including precipitation, minimum and maximum daily air temperature, and air relative humidity downloaded from the Embrapa InfoClima portal (https://www.cnpaf.embrapa.br/infoclima/), with data for the Adolpho Ducke Reserve climatological station in Manaus, Brazil, for the period of January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016. Using this precipitation record, a Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was calculated and added to the dataset, using daily resolution for 180 day intervals and with 20 years for calibration (1980-1999) and adopting a gamma distribution. These data were applied as a proxy for analyzes of precipitation and SPI for the Manaus ZF2 Research station, located approximately 50 Km North of the Adolpho Ducke Reserve. Data are included in a .csv file, and the text file Drought-Indices-Embrapa-Ducke_met_spi_headers.txt provides descriptions of the data file headers.
statemodify: a Python framework to facilitate accessible exploratory modeling for discovering drought vulnerabilities
The Colorado River Basin (CRB) is experiencing an unprecedented water shortage crisis brought upon by a combination of factors arising from interactions across the region’s coupled human and natural systems. Allocation of water to the seven states that rely on the Colorado River was settled in the Colorado River Compact of 1922 during a period now known to be characterized by atypically high flows (Christensen et al., 2004). Since then, aridification due to anthropogenic-driven warming has steadily reduced the overall water supply available in the basin, with a 10% decrease in the river’s flow occurring over just the past two decades (Bass et al., 2023). The river is further strained by increasing demands associated with a growing population and diverse multi-sectoral demands. Navigating these challenges also requires accounting for the complex prior appropriation water rights system governing water allocation across the region’s diverse users.
AI-Based Approach for Advancing the Understanding of Spatiotemporal Drought Characteristics
Focal Area (3): Our proposal will focus on insight gleaned from observed and simulated complex data by using artificial intelligence (AI), big data analytics, and other advanced methods.
AI-Constrained Bottom-Up Ecohydrology and Improved Prediction of Seasonal, Interannual, and Decadal Flood and Drought Risks
Focal Areas: (2) Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system composed of a hierarchy of models (3)Insight gleaned from complex data (both observed & simulated) using AI, big data analytics, and other advanced methods, including explainable AI and physics- or knowledge-guided AI
Tracking plant water use, plant-microbe interactions and vulnerability to drought using neutron imaging [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
Analysis of RNA viral function from metatranscriptomic reads in drought simulated soils
Soil viruses have received increased interest in recent years because of their abundance and unelucidated potential as drivers for organic carbon derived from fungal and bacterial necromass. With decreasing levels of rainfall and climbing instances of unseasonal conditions, it becomes crucial to our goals for negative carbon emissions to understand how soil carbon flux is affected. Here we leveraged metatranscriptomic data from a section of research plot of Hopland Research and Extension in northern California with a suite of viral detection tools: VirSorter, DRAMv, and VContact2. We aimed to cross analyze moisture regiments with viral populations. We find that viral diversity is driven by site, like bacteria. We found that viral diversity at face value showed some differentiation but did not significantly differ by legacy moisture content. Additionally, there was detection of auxiliary metabolic genes in a viral sequence which may further support virus’s direct input into the soil carbon pool.
Machine Learning and Reservoir Computing for Watershed-Scale Drought Prediction
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Accounting for Renewable Resource Droughts in Energy Infrastructure Planning for California, Part II: Nodal Capacity Expansion Planning
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Editorial: Systems Biology and Synthetic Biology in Relation to Drought Tolerance or Avoidance in Plants
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Root Pulling Force Across Drought in Maize Reveals Genotype by Environment Interactions and Candidate Genes
High-throughput, field-based characterization of root systems for hundreds of genotypes in thousands of plots is necessary for breeding and identifying loci underlying variation in root traits and their plasticity. We designed a large-scale sampling of root pulling force, the vertical force required to extract the root system from the soil, in a maize diversity panel under differing irrigation levels for two growing seasons. We then characterized the root system architecture of the extracted root crowns. We found consistent patterns of phenotypic plasticity for root pulling force for a subset of genotypes under differential irrigation, suggesting that root plasticity is predictable. Using genome-wide association analysis, we identified 54 SNPs as statistically significant for six independent root pulling force measurements across two irrigation levels and four developmental timepoints. For every significant GWAS SNP for any trait in any treatment and timepoint we conducted post hoc tests for genotype-by-environment interaction, using a mixed model ANOVA. We found that 8 of the 54 SNPs showed significant GxE. Candidate genes underlying variation in root pulling force included those involved in nutrient transport. Although they are often treated separately, variation in the ability of plant roots to sense and respond to variation in environmental resources including water and nutrients may be linked by the genes and pathways underlying this variation. While functional validation of the identified genes is needed, our results expand the current knowledge of root phenotypic plasticity at the whole plant and gene levels, and further elucidate the complex genetic architecture of maize root systems.
Evaluating Response of Southern California Chaparral Landscapes to Short-interval Fire and Drought (1984-2018)
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