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At least 451 records · Page 25

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NASA NTRS2015

The GEWEX Process Evaluation Study: GEWEX-PROES

Progress in realistically simulating the energy and water cycles in weather and climate models has been slower than desirable. Climate models submitted to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP-5), while more comprehensive than their predecessors, have shown little to no improvement in their biases in simulating key features of the climate system. As a result, uncertainties in global climate and hydrological sensitivities, and in the simulation of regional climate change, have not been reduced significantly. It is time to make use of these opportunities to significantly advance our understanding of key energy and water cycle processes at a wide range of space and time scales, and to provide a more insightful evaluation of the representation of these processes within models. This will require new ways of both analyzing the observations and diagnosing model behavior. The keys to success will be in skillfully combining different data sets and exploring relationships between them, as well as in the ability of models to reproduce those relationships correctly. In response to this challenge, a new GEWEX-wide activity, the GEWEX Process Evaluation Study, will take advantage of the opportunities that the combination of many of the existing data sets provide.

climate models↗

NASA NTRS1994

Satellite remote sensing of H2SO4 aerosol using the 8- to 12-microns window region: Application to Mount Pinatubo

Monitoring stratospheric aerosols containing H2SO4 using the brightness temperature (BT) difference between 11 and 8.3 microns (BT(sub 8)-BT(sub 11)) spectral channels is demonstrated using theoretical calculations and satellite observations. Assuming an aqueous solution of 50% and 75% sulfuric acid, radiative transfer calculations indicate that over oceans an increase in the optical depth of the stratospheric aerosol results in an increase in BT(sub 8)-BT(sub 11). Theoretical simulations suggest that the technique is sensitive to visible optical depths greater than approximately 0.15. The simulations also demonstrate a lack of sensitivity to the particle size distribution. Changes in pre- and post-Pinatubo observations by the High-resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder 2 (HIRS2) on board the NOAA 10 are consistent with observed optical depth measurements and confirm the sensitivity of these channels to the presence of the aerosol. The technique is also applied to cold tropical convective clouds and desert regions where the signal, though evident, is less conclusive. Time series analysis is applied to the NOAA 10 and NOAA 12 combined BT(sub 8-BT(sub 11) observations to detect the periodicity of the spread of the volcanic aerosol. Over a region of the southern Pacific a 18- to 26-day period is present. Model simulations were conducted to demonstrate a trispectral with observations near 8, 11, and 12 microns. The trispectral approach has high potential in that the spectral signature of cirrus, water vapor, and H2SO4 aerosols are different. Observations from NOAA 10 and NOAA 11 are combined to demonstrate the capabilities of these infrared wavelengths of detecting the aerosol. The signal is clearly evident when a region of the South Atlantic is compared for pre- and post-Pinatubo conditions.

Ackerman, Steven A.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Blurring the Inputs: A Natural Language Approach to Sensitivity Analysis

To document model parameter uncertainties and to automate sensitivity analyses for numerical simulation codes, a natural-language-based method to specify tolerances has been developed. With this new method, uncertainties are expressed in a natural manner, i.e., as one would on an engineering drawing, namely, 5.25 +/- 0.01. This approach is robust and readily adapted to various application domains because it does not rely on parsing the particular structure of input file formats. Instead, tolerances of a standard format are added to existing fields within an input file. As a demonstration of the power of this simple, natural language approach, a Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis is performed for three disparate simulation codes: fluid dynamics (LAURA), radiation (HARA), and ablation (FIAT). Effort required to harness each code for sensitivity analysis was recorded to demonstrate the generality and flexibility of this new approach.

Kleb, William L.↗

DOE OSTI2023

SOFE2023 Presentation: "Tritium Safety and Sensitivity Analysis of Tritium Extraction eXperiment (TEX) PbLi Loop Using MELCOR-TMAP"

The efficient extraction of tritium from the breeder blanket (BB) in a fusion reactor is vital for maintaining the tritium economy for a sustainable and self-sufficient fusion power plant. The vacuum permeator (VP) design is one of several promising technology platforms for extracting tritium from the BB with the advantages of being capable of operating continuously at high temperatures with the aim of achieving high tritium extraction efficiencies. The Tritium Extraction eXperiment (TEX), under construction at the Safety and Tritium Applied Research (STAR) Facility at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), is designed to test the viability of VP technology by introducing atomic hydrogen (H, D, and T) from a source permeator (SP) into a forced convection lead lithium eutectic (PbLi) loop and determining the hydrogen extraction rates from the vanadium VP. Presented here is a computational analysis of the hydrogen inventory and permeation behavior in TEX using the hydrogen transport and accident analysis code MELCOR-TMAP developed at INL. The results of a sensitivity analysis based on MELCOR-TMAP simulations of hydrogen extraction efficiencies from the TEX test section using varying PbLi flow rates, hydrogen source rates from the SP, and material property uncertainties are also reported. Operation scenarios for TEX in consideration of the analyses based on results from MELCOR-TMAP are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

NASA NTRS1997

The Role of Sea Ice in 2 x CO2 Climate Model Sensitivity: Hemispheric Dependencies - Part 2

How sensitive are doubled CO2 simulations to GCM control-run sea ice thickness and extent? This issue is examined in a series of 10 control-run simulations with different sea ice and corresponding doubled CO2 simulations. Results show that with increased control-run sea ice coverage in the Southern Hemisphere, temperature sensitivity with climate change is enhanced, while there is little effect on temperature sensitivity of (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice thickness. In the Northern Hemisphere the situation is reversed: sea ice thickness is the key parameter, while (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice coverage are of less importance. In both cases, the quantity of sea ice that can be removed in the warmer climate is the determining factor. Overall, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage change had a larger impact on global temperature, because Northern Hemisphere sea ice was sufficiently thick to limit its response to doubled CO2, and sea ice changes generally occurred at higher latitudes, reducing the sea ice-albedo feedback. In both these experiments and earlier ones in which sea ice was not allowed to change, the model displayed a sensitivity of -0.02 C global warming per percent change in Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage.

Rind, D.↗

NASA NTRS2015

Thermochemical Ablation Analysis of the Orion Heatshield

The Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle will one day carry astronauts to the Moon and beyond, and Orion's heatshield is a critical component in ensuring their safe return to Earth. The Orion heatshield is the structural component responsible for absorbing the intense heating environment caused by re-entry to Earth's atmosphere. The heatshield is primarily composed of Avcoat, an ablative material that is consumed during the re-entry process. Ablation is primarily characterized by two processes: pyrolysis and recession. The decomposition of in-depth virgin material is known as pyrolysis. Recession occurs when the exposed surface of the heatshield reacts with the surrounding flow. The Orion heatshield design was changed from an individually filled Avcoat honeycomb to a molded block Avcoat design. The molded block Avcoat heatshield relies on an adhesive bond to keep it attached to the capsule. In some locations on the heatshield, the integrity of the adhesive bond cannot be verified. For these locations, a mechanical retention device was proposed. Avcoat ablation was modelled in CHAR and the in-depth virgin material temperatures were used in a Thermal Desktop model of the mechanical retention device. The retention device was analyzed and shown to cause a large increase in the maximum bondline temperature. In order to study the impact of individual ablation modelling parameters on the heatshield sizing process, a Monte Carlo simulation of the sizing process was proposed. The simulation will give the sensitivity of the ablation model to each of its input parameters. As part of the Monte Carlo simulation, statistical uncertainties on material properties were required for Avcoat. Several properties were difficult to acquire uncertainties for: the pyrolysis gas enthalpy, non-dimensional mass loss rate (B´c), and Arrhenius equation parameters. Variability in the elemental composition of Avcoat was used as the basis for determining the statistical uncertainty in pyrolysis gas enthalpy and B´c. A MATLAB program was developed to allow for faster, more accurate and automated computation of Arrhenius reaction parameters. These parameters are required for a material model to be used in the CHAR ablation analysis program. This MATLAB program, along with thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) data, was used to generate uncertainties on the Arrhenius parameters for Avcoat. In addition, the TGA fitting program was developed to provide Arrhenius parameters for the ablation model of the gap filler material, RTV silicone.

Sixel, William↗

NASA NTRS2017

Development of an Atom Interferometer Gravity Gradiometer for Earth Sciences

We report progress towards a prototype atom interferometer gravity gradiometer for Earth science studies from a satellite in low Earth orbit.The terrestrial prototype has a target sensitivity of 8 x 10(exp -2) E/Hz(sup 1/2) and consists of two atom sources running simultaneous interferometers with interrogation time T = 300 ms and 12 hk photon recoils, separated by a baseline of 2 m. By employing Raman side band cooling and magnetic lensing, we will generate atomic ensembles with N = 10(exp 6) atoms at a temperature of 3 nK. The sensitivity extrapolates to 7 x 10(exp -5) E/Hz(sup 1/2) in microgravity on board a satellite. Simulations derived from this sensitivity demonstrate a monthly time-variable gravity accuracy of 1 cm equivalent water height at 200 km resolution, yielding an improvement over GRACE by 1-2 orders of magnitude. A gravity gradiometer with this sensitivity would also benefit future planetary, lunar, and asteroidal missions.

Rakholia, A.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Preliminary Comparison of Neutron Detector Sensitivities [Poster]

Nuclear data (ND) is vital to predictive simulations such as those completed with MCNP®. ND sensitivities are used to optimize the design of benchmark experiments. Diverse benchmarks (including neutron noise) are required to further our understanding of ND. Measured and simulated data of a 4.5-kg Pu sphere was used to calculate neutron noise parameters and associated ND Sensitivities

Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP)↗

DOE OSTI2023

Elucidation of puzzling questions regarding the CrO x /Al 2 O 3 catalyst I. X-ray absorption spectroscopy aided identification of the nature of the chromium oxide species in the CrO x /Al 2 O 3 dehydrogenation catalyst system

The CATOFIN© process produces propylene from propane using a CrO x /Al 2 O 3 catalyst. Despite its use, there are still uncertainties surrounding the nature of Cr species formed during synthesis, regeneration, and aging. It has been observed that ppm levels of Cr 2 O 3 can be oxidized to Cr(VI) in air; however, when Cr 2 O 3 is in direct contact with Al 2 O 3 , Cr(VI) formation increased more than 100-fold. Here, to confirm physical contact between Cr 2 O 3 and Al 2 O 3 results in increased Cr(VI) formation, Cr 2 O 3 and Cr 2 O 3 /Al 2 O 3 samples were synthesized, calcined, and characterized. Catalytic activity measurements confirm propylene selectivity inversely tracks with Cr(VI). Wet chemical titration and X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) quantified and determined the structure of the Cr(VI) species. FEFF X-ray absorption near edge structure simulations determined the potential sensitivity of the XAS to the presence of Al 3+ /Cr 3+ neighboring atoms. XAS correlated to FEFF simulations suggested that Al 3+ x Cr 3+ 2–x Cr 6+ 3 O 12 comprises a significant fraction of the Cr(VI) species formed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2008

Observing Gamma-ray Bursts with GLAST

The Gamma-ray Large Area Telescope (GLAST) is a satellite-based observatory to study the high-energy gamma-ray sky. The Large Area Telescope, the main instrument, is a pair-conversion telescope which will survey the sky in the energy range 20 MeV to greater than 300 GeV. The LAT's wide field of view (greater than 2 sr), large effective area and low deadtime combine to provide excellent high-energy gamma-ray observations of GRB. To tie these frontier high-energy observations to the better-known properties at lower energies, a second instrument, the GLAST Burst Monitor (GBM) will provide important spectra and timing in the 8 keV to 30 MeV range. Upon detection of a GRB by the LAT or the GBM, the spacecraft can autonomously repoint to keep the GRB location within the LAT field of view, allowing high-energy afterglow observations. We describe how the instruments, spacecraft, and ground system work together to provide observations of gamma-ray bursts from 8 keV to over 300 GeV and provide rapid notification of these observations to the wider gamma-ray burst community. Analysis and simulation tools dedicated to the GRB science have been developed. In this contribution we show the expected LAT sensitivity obtained with such simulations, and illustrate the results we expect from GLAST observations with spectral and temporal analysis of simulated GRB.

McEnery, Julie↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Investigation of Aerodynamic Matching Sensitivities for Conceptual Design

A methodology for aerodynamic matching was implemented in the Higher fidelity Conceptual Design and structural optimization (HCDstruct) tool to support transonic flutter simulations. The Enhanced Factor Correction Technique was implemented in HCDstruct to correct the Nastran doublet lattice method using data from corresponding computational fluid dynamics simulations. In this paper, sensitivities associated with this aerodynamic matching technique were investigated using HCDstruct and a Boeing 737-200-like aircraft configuration. Specifically, sensitivities of the aerodynamic matching method were investigated with respect to changes in flight conditions, such as changes in Mach number and angle of attack, and also in key design variables for the main wing, such as changes in aspect ratio and sweep angle. The variations in flight conditions and design parameters were mapped to estimated prediction error in sectional lift for the main wing, which helps to demonstrate the extent to which a user may expect a given aerodynamic correction matrix to provide suitable aerodynamic predictions for a realistic aircraft wing.

Jesse R. Quinlan↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Investigation of Aerodynamic Matching Sensitivities for Conceptual Design

Jesse Ray Quinlan↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Bimodal Diagnostic Cloud Fraction Parameterization. Part II: Evaluation and Resolution Sensitivity

A wide range of approaches exists to account for subgrid cloud variability in regional simulations of the atmosphere. This paper addresses the following questions: 1) Is there still benefit in representing subgrid variability of cloud in convection-permitting simulations? 2) What is the sensitivity to the cloud fraction parameterization complexity? 3) Are current cloud fraction parameterizations scale-aware across convection-permitting resolutions? These questions are addressed for regional simulations of a 6-week observation campaign in the U.S. southern Great Plains. Particular attention is given to a new diagnostic cloud fraction scheme with a bimodal subgrid saturation-departure PDF, described in Part I. The model evaluation is performed using ground-based remote sensing synergies, satellite-based retrievals, and surface observations. It is shown that not using a cloud fraction parameterization results in underestimated cloud frequency and water content, even for stratocumulus. The use of a cloud fraction parameterization does not guarantee improved cloud property simulations, however. Diagnostic and prognostic cloud schemes with a symmetric subgrid saturation-departure PDF underestimate cloud fraction and cloud optical thickness, and hence overestimate surface shortwave radiation. These schemes require empirical bias-correction techniques to improve the cloud cover. The new cloud fraction parameterization, introduced in Part I, improves cloud cover, liquid water content, cloud-base height, optical thickness, and surface radiation compared to schemes reliant on a symmetric PDF. Furthermore, cloud parameterizations using turbulence-based, rather than prescribed constant subgrid variances, are shown to be more scale-aware across convection-permitting resolutions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Informing the Space Launch System Booster Separation Initial CFD Run Matrix with Observed Parametric Sensitivity

It currently requires significant computational cost to simulate the flow physics of the booster separation event on the Space Launch System. This comes from the large parametric space in which the event occurs, as pre-separation flight conditions and separated booster core-relative trajectories can vary. Functionally removing the risk of core-booster collision mandates careful assessment of the fluid dynamics in terms of several trajectory parameters. However, simulating the entire trajectory envelope is computationally intractable given the high parametric dimension. In order to reduce the uncertainty in the resulting low-parametric-resolution aerodynamic booster separation database, a data-driven approach was developed to select which breakpoints should be studied by simulations and experiments and which should be relegated to a regression-based interpolation procedure. This technique works by simulating cases where the flow physics are most sensitive to changes in the parameters and leaving the less parametrically sensitive regions for interpolation. The result is a booster separation run matrix whose computational cost is comparable to that of previous database generations but has lower interpolation errors.

SLS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Informing the Space Launch System Booster Separation Initial CFD Run Matrix with Observed Parametric Sensitivity

SLS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR) Simulation Techniques for Digital Twin Representation of an Electrical Cable

Simulation of cable system response to frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) tests can be instrumental to understanding these tests and the nature and influence of various cable anomalies on test signatures. Reflectometry simulations are based upon a finite element representation of cable conductors and insulation to produce an S-parameter at each evaluated frequency. The aggregate collection of cable model S-parameters can simulate the influence on a test signal injected into a physical cable. Such an approach was undertaken in this work to produce a digital twin simulation of a low-voltage electrical cable. The electrical cable digital twin examined the influence of test simulation parameters and the relative influence of cable anomalies, including thermal aging, water or moisture exposure, water or moisture ingress, and other anomalies. The digital twin in this work included modeling of the conductors, insulation, jacket, and surrounding environment (air, water, etc.). The digital twin could be expanded to include cable bends, junctions and splices, branch or T systems, and termination impedances of motors or instruments. Observations and conclusions of this work include: 1. Fully 3D digital twin simulation of an electrical cable using an FDR approach is possible. However, there are tradeoffs between simulation fidelity and solution time, which must be balanced to ensure the simulation solves in an adequate amount of time (e.g., less than 20 minutes). Simulation parameters to balance include frequency bandwidth, number of frequencies, mesh density, connection impedance, and permittivity tolerance. 2. The digital twin simulation can explain FDR sensitivity to various cable anomalies, including entry and exit from an oven or water bath. 3. The digital twin simulation FDR response attenuates with distance along the cable and is further affected by the frequency bandwidth, which is similar to that observed with physical measurements. 4. The resolution of the digital twin FDR peaks increased with increasing bandwidth and with increasing number of frequencies, again similar to physical measurements. 5. The presence of multiple anomalies in the digital twin does not substantially attenuate the FDR response to anomalies located beyond the first encountered anomaly and impedance mismatch. 6. Spectral variation of the permittivity did not have a significant effect on the FDR response compared to a fixed nominal value. 7. Extension of the digital twin to 1000 ft still allowed for detection of distal anomalies near the far end of the electrical cable from the instrument connection point. 8. The ARENA test bed facilitates efficient NDE evaluations of well understood cable anomalies with various NDE methods without risking actual plant damage.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

First measurement of the characteristic depletion radius of dark matter haloes from weak lensing

ABSTRACT We use weak lensing observations to make the first measurement of the characteristic depletion radius, one of the three radii that characterize the region where matter is being depleted by growing haloes. The lenses are taken from the halo catalogue produced by the extended halo-based group/cluster finder applied to DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys DR9, while the sources are extracted from the DECaLS DR8 imaging data with the fourier_quad pipeline. We study halo masses $12 \lt \log (M_{\rm grp} \,[{\rm M_{\odot }}\, h^{-1}]) \le 15.3$ within redshifts 0.2 ≤ z ≤ 0.3. The virial and splashback radii are also measured and used to test the original findings on the depletion region. When binning haloes by mass, we find consistency between most of our measurements and predictions from the cosmicgrowth simulation, with exceptions to the lowest mass bins. The characteristic depletion radius is found to be roughly 2.5 times the virial radius and 1.7–3 times the splashback radius, in line with an approximately universal outer density profile, and the average enclosed density within the characteristic depletion radius is found to be roughly 29 times the mean matter density of the Universe in our sample. When binning haloes by both mass and a proxy for halo concentration, we do not detect a significant variation of the depletion radius with concentration, on which the simulation prediction is also sensitive to the choice of concentration proxy. We also confirm that the measured splashback radius varies with concentration differently from simulation predictions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Simple Statistical Models for Predicting Overpressure Due to CO2 and Low-Salinity Waste-Fluid Injection into Deep Saline Formations

Deep saline aquifers have been used for waste-fluid disposal for decades and are the proposed targets for large-scale CO2 storage to mitigate CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. Due to relatively limited experience with CO2 injection in deep saline formations and given that the injection targets for CO2 sometimes are the same as waste-fluid disposal formations, it could be beneficial to model and compare both practices and learn from the waste-fluid disposal industry. In this paper, we model CO2 injection in the Patterson Field, which has been proposed as a site for storage of 50 Mt of industrial CO2 over 25 years. We propose general models that quickly screen the reservoir properties and calculate pressure changes near and far from the injection wellbore, accounting for variable reservoir properties. The reservoir properties we investigated were rock compressibility, injection rate, vertical-to-horizontal permeability ratio, average reservoir permeability and porosity, reservoir temperature and pressure, and the injectant total dissolved solids (TDS) in cases of waste-fluid injection. We used experimental design to select and perform simulation runs, performed a sensitivity analysis to identify the important variables on pressure build-up, and then fit a regression model to the simulation runs to obtain simple proxy models for changes in average reservoir pressure and bottomhole pressure. The CO2 injection created more pressure compared to saline waste-fluids, when similar mass was injected. However, we found a more significant pressure buildup at the caprock-reservoir interface and lower pressure buildup at the bottom of the reservoir when injecting CO2 compared with waste-fluid injection.

Ansari, Esmail↗