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At least 415 records · Page 23

Matilda v1.0: An R package for probabilistic climate projections using a reduced complexity climate model

A primary advantage to using reduced complexity climate models (RCMs) has been their ability to quickly conduct probabilistic climate projections, a key component of uncertainty quantification in many impact studies and multisector systems. Providing frameworks for such analyses has been a target of several RCMs used in studies of the future co-evolution of the human and Earth systems. In this paper, we present Matilda, an open-science R software package that facilitates probabilistic climate projection analysis, implemented here using the Hector simple climate model in a seamless and easily applied framework. The primary goal of Matilda is to provide the user with a turn-key method to build parameter sets from literature-based prior distributions, run Hector iteratively to produce perturbed parameter ensembles (PPEs), weight ensembles for realism against observed historical climate data, and compute probabilistic projections for different climate variables. This workflow gives the user the ability to explore viable parameter space and propagate uncertainty to model ensembles with just a few lines of code. The package provides significant freedom to select different scoring criteria and algorithms to weight ensemble members, as well as the flexibility to implement custom criteria. Additionally, the architecture of the package simplifies the process of building and analyzing PPEs without requiring significant programming expertise, to accommodate diverse use cases. We present a case study that provides illustrative results of a probabilistic analysis of mean global surface temperature as an example of the software application.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

IEA Wind Energy Task 37 - System Engineering - Aerodynamic Optimization Case Study

This paper presents the results from the first IEA Wind Task 37 aerodynamic optimization case study. 8 participants applied their optimization tools to a purely aerodynamic problem and the results were compared. Overall, the different tools produced widely different designs, while there was better agreement in the improvement achieved. This highlights the fact that further investigation is needed to try to understand these differences and develop best practices. There were too many differences between the different analysis and optimization codes to determine the sources of these differences. However, several potential sources of discrepancy were identified for further investigation. One hypothesis is that one potential source of discrepancy is that the design problem itself is relatively flat in design directions of constant loading. This flatness would impact the convergence in the optimization, while at the same time mean that discrepancies in the design itself would be less severe.

49 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Wind (EE-4W↗

IEA Wind Energy Task 37 System Engineering Aerodynamic Optimization Case Study: Preprint

This paper presents the results from the first IEA Wind Task 37 aerodynamic optimization case study. Eight participants applied their optimization tools to a purely aerodynamic problem and the results were compared. Overall, the different tools produced widely different designs, while there was better agreement in the improvement achieved. This highlights the fact that further investigation is needed to try to understand these differences and develop best practices. There were too many differences between the different analysis and optimization codes to determine the sources of these differences. However, several potential sources of discrepancy were identified for further investigation. One hypothesis is that one potential source of discrepancy is that the design problem itself is relatively flat in design directions of constant loading. This flatness would impact the convergence in the optimization, and at the same time mean that discrepancies in the design itself would be less severe.

49 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Wind (EE-4W↗

Magnetothermal properties of Ho 1-x Dy x Al 2 (x = 0, 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, 0.25 and 0.50) compounds

Magnetic and magnetocaloric properties of H o 1 - x D y x A l 2 compounds with x = 0 , 0.05 , 0.10 , 0.15 , 0.25 and 0.50 , modelled using a Hamiltonian that includes the exchange interactions between Ho-Dy, Ho-Ho and Dy-Dy ions in addition to the crystalline electric field and the Zeeman effects, have been compared with those determined experimentally. In order to reproduce experimentally observed global ferromagnetic ordering temperatures and spin reorientation transition temperatures as x Dy varies, the exchange interactions between Ho-Dy and Ho-Ho were set as free parameters and adjusted to match the experimental results. We demonstrate that heat capacity of polycrystalline materials in non-zero magnetic fields can be satisfactory reproduced by using the average of multiple magnetic field directions with respect to the crystallographic coordinate system, while reasonably good agreement between experimentally determined and theoretically predicted magnetocaloric effects can be achieved considering an average of only three field directions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Understanding the Cascade: Removing GCM Biases Improves Dynamically Downscaled Climate Projections

Polarization surrounding bias correction (BC) in creating climate projections arises from its lack of physicality. Here, we perform and analyze 18 dynamical downscaling simulations (with and without BC) to better understand the physical impacts of BC, applied before downscaling, on regional climate output across the western United States. Without BC, downscaled precipitation is systematically and unrealistically wet biased compared to a hierarchy of observationally based datasets over the 1980–2014 period due to cascading mean–state Global Climate Model (GCM) biases: (a) overly strong lower–tropospheric lapse rates (5 K/km), (b) overly cold (2 K) tropospheric temperatures, and (c) anomalous mid–tropospheric cyclonic vorticity advection. With BC, downscaled precipitation (snow) biases are virtually eliminated (halved). Identified GCM biases are common to the broader Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. Physical effects of BC on the quality of the regionalized projections, pending an evaluation of BC's distortion of the downscaled climate response, may motivate its broader application by dynamical downscalers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Magnetic field frustration of the metal-insulator transition in V 2 O 3

Despite decades of efforts, the origin of metal-insulator transitions (MITs) in strongly correlated materials remains one of the main long-standing problems in condensed-matter physics. An archetypal example is V 2 O 3 , which undergoes simultaneous electronic, structural, and magnetic phase transitions. This remarkable feature highlights the many degrees of freedom at play in this material. In this work, acting solely on the magnetic degree of freedom, we reveal an anomalous feature in the electronic transport of V 2 O 3 : On cooling, the magnetoresistance changes from positive to negative values well above the MIT temperature, and shows divergent behavior at the transition. In this work, the effects are attributed to the magnetic field quenching antiferromagnetic fluctuations above the Néel temperature $T_N$, and preventing long-range antiferromagnetic ordering below $T_N$. In both cases, suppressing the antiferromagnetic ordering prevents the opening of the incipient electronic gap. This interpretation is supported by Hubbard model calculations which fully reproduce the experimental behavior. Our study sheds light on this classic problem providing a clear and physical interpretation of the nature of the metal-insulator transition.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Phase coexistence at the first-order Mott transition revealed by pressure-dependent dielectric spectroscopy of κ - (BEDT-TTF) 2 - Cu 2 (CN) 3

The dimer Mott insulator kappa - (BEDT-TTF) 2 - Cu 2 (CN) 3 can be tuned into metallic and superconducting states on applying pressure of 1.5 kbar and more. We have performed dielectric measurements (7.5 kHz to 5 MHz) on kappa - (BEDT-TTF) 2 - Cu 2 (CN) 3 single crystals as a function of temperature (down to T = 8 K) and pressure (up to p = 4.3 kbar). In addition to the relaxor-like dielectric behavior seen below 50 K at p = 0, that moves toward lower temperatures with pressure, a second peak emerges in ε 1 (T) around T = 15 K. When approaching the insulator-metal boundary, this peak diverges rapidly reaching ε 1 ≈ 10 5 . Our dynamical mean-field theory calculations substantiate that the dielectric catastrophe at the Mott transition is not caused by closing the energy gap, but due to the spatial coexistence of correlated metallic and insulating regions. We discuss the percolative nature of the first-order Mott insulator-to-metal transition in all details.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Understanding KOtBu in atomic layer deposition – in situ mechanistic studies of the KNbO3 growth process

Functional coatings based on alkali metals have become increasingly attractive in the current shift towards sustainable technologies. While lithium-based compounds have a natural impact on batteries, other alkali metal compounds are important as replacements for toxic materials in a range of electronic devices. This is especially true for potassium, being a major component in e.g. K x Na 1-x NbO 3 (KNN) and KTa x Nb 1-x O 3 (KTN), with hope to replace Pb(Zr x Ti 1-x )O 3 (PZT) in piezo-/ferroelectric and electrooptic devices. ALD facilitates functional conformal coatings at deposition temperatures far below what is reported using other techniques and with excellent compositional control. The ALD growth of potassium-containing films using KO t Bu has, however, been unpredictable. Untraditional response to the pulse composition and precursor dose, severe reproducibility issues, and very high growth per cycle are some of the puzzling features of these processes. In this article, we shed light on the growth behavior of KO t Bu in ALD by in situ quartz crystal microbalance and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy studies. We study the precursor's behavior in the technologically interesting KNbO 3 -process, showing how the potassium precursor strongly affects the growth of other cation precursors. We show that the strong hygroscopic nature of the intermediary potassium species has far-reaching implications throughout the growth. This helps not only to enhance the understanding of alkali metal containing compounds’ growth in ALD, but also to provide the means to control the growth of novel sustainable technological materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Extension of the PINN diffusion model to k-eigenvalue problems

This paper extends our recent work on the Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINN) approach for the fixed source diffusion models and applies it to the diffusion theory based k-eigenvalue problems. To make the PINN equitable for the eigenvalue problems, we introduce a novel integral regularization term to the loss function in the framework, and allow the direct inference of the principal eigenvalue and the associated eigenfunction. The regularization term enforces a pre-defined value on the integration of the model predictions, and this value can be directly related to a physical property of the system. We also introduce an additional learnable parameter to approximate the principal eigenvalue. As a proof of principle, we solve the one-group two-dimensional k-eigenvalue neutron diffusion equation in this work. We then provide two numerical examples to demonstrate the applicability of the PINN approach. In each example, we solve the k-eigenvalue diffusion equation in a multi-region configuration constrained with a set of Robin boundary conditions for generality. We use a FEM solution based on the power-iteration method to verify the results of the PINN solution. The results showed relative percentage error in the predicted eigenvalue of about 0.77% and about 1.2% for example 1 and example 2, respectively. The mean absolute error in the predicted flux for example 1 is ∼ 0.002 and for example 2 is ∼ 0.0024. These results indicate some preliminary successes of the PINN application to k-eigenvalue problems. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comparison of venous and pooled capillary hemoglobin levels for the detection of anemia among adolescent girls

Introduction: Blood source is a known preanalytical factor affecting hemoglobin (Hb) concentrations, and there is evidence that capillary and venous blood may yield disparate Hb levels and anemia prevalence. However, data from adolescents are scarce. Objective: To compare Hb and anemia prevalence measured by venous and individual pooled capillary blood among a sample of girls aged 10–19 years from 232 schools in four regions of Ghana in 2022. Methods: Among girls who had venous blood draws, a random subsample was selected for capillary blood. Hb was measured using HemoCue® Hb-301. We used Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) to quantify the strength of the bivariate relationship between venous and capillary Hb and a paired t-test for difference in means. We used McNemar’s test for discordance in anemia cases by blood source and weighted Kappa to quantify agreement by anemia severity. A multivariate generalized estimating equation was used to quantify adjusted population anemia prevalence and assess the association between blood source and predicted anemia risk. Results: We found strong concordance between Hb measures (CCC = 0.86). The difference between mean venous Hb (12.8 g/dL, ± 1.1) and capillary Hb (12.9 g/dL, ± 1.2) was not significant (p = 0.26). Crude anemia prevalence by venous and capillary blood was 20.6% and 19.5%, respectively. Adjusted population anemia prevalence was 23.5% for venous blood and 22.5% for capillary ( = 0.45). Blood source was not associated with predicted anemia risk (risk ratio: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). Discordance in anemia cases by blood source was not significant (McNemar p = 0.46). Weighted Kappa demonstrated moderate agreement by severity (k =0.67). Among those with anemia by either blood source (n = 111), 59% were identified by both sources. Conclusion: In Ghanaian adolescent girls, there was no difference in mean Hb, anemia prevalence, or predicted anemia risk by blood source. However, only 59% of girls with anemia by either blood source were identified as having anemia by both sources. These findings suggest that pooled capillary blood may be useful for estimating Hb and anemia at the population level, but that caution is needed when interpreting individual-level data.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Tracking the reaction networks of acetaldehyde oxide and glyoxal oxide Criegee intermediates in the ozone-assisted oxidation reaction of crotonaldehyde

The reaction of unsaturated compounds with ozone (O 3 ) is recognized to lead to the formation of Criegee intermediates (CIs), which play a key role in controlling the atmospheric budget of hydroxyl radicals and secondary organic aerosols. The reaction network of two CIs with different functionality, i.e. acetaldehyde oxide (CH 3 CHOO) and glyoxal oxide (CHOCHOO) formed in the ozone-assisted oxidation reaction of crotanaldehyde (CA), is investigated over a temperature range between 390 K and 840 K in an atmospheric pressure jet-stirred reactor (JSR) at a residence time of 1.3 s, stoichiometry of 0.5 with a mixture of 1% crotonaldehyde, 10% O 2 , at an fixed ozone concentration of 1000 ppm and 89% Ar dilution. Molecular-beam mass spectrometry in conjunction with single photon tunable synchrotron vacuum-ultraviolet (VUV) radiation is used to identify elusive intermediates by means of experimental photoionization energy scans and ab initio threshold energy calculations for isomer identification. Addition of ozone (1000 ppm) is observed to trigger the oxidation of CA already at 390 K, which is below the temperature where the oxidation reaction of CA was observed in the absence of ozone. The observed CA + O 3 product, C 4 H 6 O 4 , is found to be linked to a ketohydroperoxide (2-hydroperoxy-3-oxobutanal) resulting from the isomerization of the primary ozonide. Products corresponding to the CIs uni- and bi-molecular reactions were observed and identified. A network of CI reactions is identified in the temperature region below 600 K, characterized by CIs bimolecular reactions with species like aldehydes, i.e., formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, and crotonaldehyde and alkenes, i.e., ethene and propene. The region below 600 K is also characterized by the formation of important amounts of typical low-temperature oxidation products, such as hydrogen peroxide (H 2 O 2 ), methyl hydroperoxide (CH 3 OOH), and ethyl hydroperoxide (C 2 H 5 OOH). Detection of additional oxygenated species such as alcohols, ketene, and aldehydes are indicative of multiple active oxidation routes. This study provides important information about the initial step involved in the CIs assisted oligomerization reactions in complex reactive environments where CIs with different functionalities are reacting simultaneously. It provides new mechanistic insights into ozone-assisted oxidation reactions of unsaturated aldehydes, which is critical for the development of improved atmospheric and combustion kinetics models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Differential multi-probe thermal transport measurements of multi-walled carbon nanotubes grown by chemical vapor deposition

Carbon nanotubes (CNTs) are quasi-one dimensional nanostructures that display both high thermal conductivity for potential thermal management applications and intriguing low-dimensional phonon transport phenomena. In comparison to the advances made in the theoretical calculation of the lattice thermal conductivity of CNTs, thermal transport measurements of CNTs have been limited by either the poor temperature sensitivity of Raman thermometry technique or the presence of contact thermal resistance errors in sensitive two-probe resistance thermometry measurements. Here we report advances in a multi-probe measurement of the intrinsic thermal conductivity of individual multi-walled CNT samples that are transferred from the growth substrate onto the measurement device. The sample-thermometer thermal interface resistance is directly measured by this multi-probe method and used to model the temperature distribution along the contacted sample segment. The detailed temperature profile helps to eliminate the contact thermal resistance error in the obtained thermal conductivity of the suspended sample segment. A differential electro-thermal bridge measurement method is established to enhance the signal-to-noise ratio and reduce the measurement uncertainty by over 40%. The obtained thermal resistances of multiple suspended segments of the same MWCNT samples increase nearly linearly with increasing length, revealing diffusive phonon transport as a result of phonon-defect scattering in these MWCNT samples. The measured thermal conductivity increases with temperature and reaches up to 390 ± 20 W m –1 K –1 at room temperature for a 9-walled MWCNT. In conclusion, theoretical analysis of the measurement results suggests submicron phonon mean free paths due to extrinsic phonon scattering by extended defects such as grain boundaries. The obtained thermal conductivity is decreased by a factor of 3 upon electron beam damage and surface contamination of the CNT sample.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Wall modes and the transition to bulk convection in rotating Rayleigh-Bénard convection

We investigate states of rapidly rotating Rayleigh-Bénard convection in a cylindrical cell over a range of Rayleigh numbers 3 × 10 5 ≤ Ra ≤ 5 × 10 9 and Ekman numbers 10 − 6 ≤ Ek ≤ 10 − 4 for Prandtl number Pr = 0.8 and aspect ratios 1 / 5 ≤ Γ ≤ 5 using direct numerical simulations. We characterize, for perfectly insulating sidewall boundary conditions, the first transition to convection via wall mode instability and the nonlinear growth and instability of the resulting wall mode states, including a secondary transition to time dependence. We show how the radial structure of the vertical velocity u z and the temperature T is captured well by the linear eigenfunctions of the wall mode instability where the radial width of u z is δ u z ∼ Ek 1 / 3 r / H whereas δ T ∼ e − k r ( k is the wave number of a laterally infinite wall mode state). The disparity in spatial scales for Ek = 10 − 6 means that the heat transport is dominated by the radial structure of u z since T varies slowly over the radial scale δ u z . We further describe how the transition to a state of bulk convection is influenced by the presence of the wall mode states. We use temporal and spatial scales as measures of the local state of convection and the Nusselt number Nu as representative of global transport. Our results elucidate the evolution of the wall state of rotating convection and confirm that wall modes are strongly linked with the boundary zonal flow being the robust remnant of nonlinear wall mode states. We also show how the heat transport ( Nu ) contributions of wall modes and bulk modes are related and discuss approaches to disentangling their relative contributions. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Machine Learning Vacancy Formation Energy in Nickel-Based Superalloys

Thermal vacancies play a critical role in high-temperature Ni-based superalloys and influence various properties such as creep resistance, oxidation, etc. This study systematically investigates the impact of commonly used transition metals (Cr, Co, Fe), refractory metals (Nb, Ta, Mo, W) and other elements (Al, Cu, Ti, Mn) on the thermodynamic stability of 36 binary, 20 ternary, 11 quaternary, 9 quinary, and 3 senary FCC Ni-based alloys covering various elemental combinations. Density functional theory-based studies on Ni-X binary alloys show that higher concentrations of Cr, Nb, Ta, Al, and Ti introduce significant lattice distortions and broaden the distribution of vacancy formation energies (standard deviation up to 0.15 eV). These elements partially donate electrons, reducing their self-consistent chemical potentials relative to single-element reference values and lowering vacancy formation energies, while Co, Fe, Mo, and W show lower charge localization. These trends extend from 3-6 element alloys, where Cr, Nb, and Ta-rich compositions have low-energy states (~0.5 eV) that increase vacancy concentrations. Finally, graph neural network models are developed to screen over 5000 virtual alloys. Eleven leading compositions are identified with mean vacancy formation energy higher than 1.75 eV and vacancy concentration ~2 orders of magnitude lower than pure Ni at 1000 K. These results provide valuable guidelines to achieve controlled defect engineering in structural alloys.

DFT↗

Nanocomposite additives based on graphene sheets and silica nanofibers

A method for producing a composite polymeric article, an additive for a polymeric article, and a composite polymeric article are provided. The method generally includes providing a plurality of graphene nanoplatelets, providing a plurality of silica nanofibers, providing a polymeric material, and distributing the plurality of silica nanofibers and the plurality of graphene nanoplatelets within the polymeric material to achieve a composite article. The additive for a polymeric article includes a plurality of graphene nanoplatelets and a plurality of silica nanofibers. The composite polymeric article includes a plurality of graphene nanoplatelets, a plurality of silica nanofibers, and a polymeric matrix. The plurality of graphene nanoplatelets and the plurality of silica nanofibers are distributed within the polymeric matrix. The silica nanofibers have a mean cross sectional diameter of not more than 100 nm.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ferrimagnetic 120 ° magnetic structure in Cu 2 OSO 4

We report magnetic properties of a 3d 9 (Cu 2+ ) magnetic insulator Cu 2 OSO 4 measured on both powder and single crystal. The magnetic atoms of this compound form layers whose geometry can be described either as a system of chains coupled through dimers or as a kagome lattice where every third spin is replaced by a dimer. Specific heat and DC susceptibility show a magnetic transition at 20 K, which is also confirmed by neutron scattering. Magnetic entropy extracted from the specific heat data is consistent with an S=1/2 degree of freedom per Cu 2+ , and so is the effective moment extracted from DC susceptibility. The ground state has been identified by means of neutron diffraction on both powder and single crystal and corresponds to an ~120° spin structure in which ferromagnetic intradimer alignment results in a net ferrimagnetic moment. No evidence is found for a change in lattice symmetry down to 2 K. Finally, our results suggest that Cu 2 OSO 4 represents a type of model lattice with frustrated interactions where interplay between magnetic order, thermal and quantum fluctuations can be explored.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Multiplicity dependence of charged-particle intra-jet properties in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV

The first measurement of the multiplicity dependence of intra-jet properties of leading charged-particle jets in proton–proton (pp) collisions is reported. The mean charged particle multiplicity and jet fragmentation distributions are measured in minimum-bias and high-multiplicity pp collisions at center-of-mass energy $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV using the ALICE detector. Jets are reconstructed from charged particles produced in the midrapidity region (|η| < 0.9) using the sequential recombination anti-k T algorithm with jet resolution parameters R = 0.2, 0.3, and 0.4 for the trans verse momentum (p T ) interval 5–110 GeV/c. The high multiplicity events are selected by the forward V0 scintilla tor detectors. The mean charged-particle multiplicity inside the leading jet cone rises monotonically with increasing jet p T in qualitative agreement with previous measurements at lower energies. The distributions of jet fragmentation function variables z ch and ξ ch are measured for different jet-p T intervals. Jet-p T independent fragmentation of leading jets is observed for wider jets except at high- and low-z ch values. The observed “hump-backed plateau” structure in the ξ ch distribution indicates suppression of low-p T particles. In high-multiplicity events, an enhancement of the fragmen tation probability of low-z ch particles accompanied by a suppression of high-zch particles is observed compared to minimum-bias events. This behavior becomes more promi nent for low-p T jets with larger jet radius. The results are compared with predictions of QCD-inspired event generators, PYTHIA 8 with Monash 2013 tune and EPOS LHC. It is found that PYTHIA 8 qualitatively reproduces the jet modification in high-multiplicity events except at high jet p T . These measurements provide important constraints to models of jet fragmentation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗