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At least 379 records · Page 21

Additional Capacity Value From Synergy of Variable Renewable Energy and Energy Storage

Current capacity markets often consider capacity credits from each resource independently, irrespective of the portfolio of resources, potentially overvaluing or undervaluing the capacity contribution of variable renewable energy (VRE) and energy storage (ES) in the grid. We propose a method for calculating the standalone and integrated capacity value of an added VRE resource with existing ES resources. The difference between the integrated and standalone value is the portfolio effect. This is the additional capacity value gained by the synergy of VRE and the existing fleet. Using chronological dispatch simulations and two different reliability metrics to estimate firm capacity, we demonstrate on a small test system that the portfolio effect can be substantial.

capacity credit↗

Evaluation of Maximum Allowable Working Pressure and Svensson Burst Pressure Recommended in API 579-1 2021 Edition

Abstract API 579-1/ASME FFS-1 2021 Edition provides the minimum wall thickness, the maximum allowable working pressure (MAWP), and the membrane stress equations for thin and thick-walled cylindrical shells subject to internal pressure in Section 2C.3.3.1 of Appendix 2C – Thickness, MAWP, and Stress Equations for an FFS Assessment. The minimum wall thickness and MAWP are determined using the hoop stress and the Tresca yield criterion. Section 2C.7 – Estimation of Burst Pressure newly added the Svensson method for calculating burst pressure of cylindrical shells under internal pressure, where the plastic yielding is characterized by the von Mises yield criterion. For thin-walled cylinders, the von Mises flow solution of burst pressure in Equation (2C.179) was recommended. For thick-walled cylinders, an implicit burst pressure solution in an integral equation (2C.176) was recommended. But this integral equation is inconvenient to use in practice. It is well known that the classic plasticity theory includes the Tresca and von Mises yield criteria, with the Tresca criterion predicting a lower bound solution and the von Mises criteria predicting an upper bound solution. In addition, the present author developed an average shear stress yield criterion that can determine more accurate limit and burst pressures for thin and thick-walled cylinders. This work uses these three yield criteria to evaluate the minimum required wall thickness, MAWP and Svensson burst pressure recommended in the API 579 code.

burst pressure↗

The Wiedemann-Franz law in doped Mott insulators without quasiparticles

Many metallic quantum materials display anomalous transport phenomena that defy a Fermi liquid description. In this report we use numerical methods to calculate thermal and charge transport in the doped Hubbard model and observe a crossover separating high- and low-temperature behaviors. Distinct from the behavior at high temperatures, the Lorenz number L becomes weakly doping dependent and less sensitive to parameters at low temperatures. At the lowest numerically accessible temperatures, L roughly approaches the Wiedemann-Franz constant L, even in a doped Mott insulator that lacks well-defined quasiparticles. Decomposing the energy current operator indicates a compensation between kinetic and potential contributions, which may help to clarify the interpretation of transport experiments beyond Boltzmann theory in strongly correlated metals.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Understanding the Interactions of Multiple Pits Under Freely Corroding Conditions

The interactions of two propagating pits on a single cathode surface were evaluated across variations in chloride concentration, water layer (WL), pit sizes, separation distance (x 2 ), and cathode size (L Cath ) under freely corroding conditions using Finite Element Methods (FEM). Calculated FEM current was utilized to predict stability based on the Galvele pit stability product. FEM predictions were utilized to train a neural network machine learning model for rapid stability predictions. Pit one is in the center of a circular cathode while pit two moves radially from the center pit. With two pits, the overall current in each pit is decreased with respect to a single pit, however, the total current is increased. Increasing WL and L Cath generally increased overall current in each pit and increased predicted maximum pit sizes. Increasing x 2 decreased current in pit two due to less cathode being available to support dissolution in proximity to pit two. Increasing chloride concentration from 0.6 to 3 M NaCl increased current, while increasing from 3 to 5.3 M NaCl decreased current. An overall increase in predicted pit size with increase in chloride concentration is predicted. A machine learning model was created to predict current and maximum pit size and captured underlying physics and predicted stability across the multidimensional parameter space.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Balrog

SAND2022-12602 O Balrog uses mathematical methods to calculate spectral line shapes in high-energy-density plasmas. Line shapes are a result of atomic perturbations by their surrounding plasmas, and this model captures much of the physics and generates model spectrum that can be used in data analysis and as an input for other models. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Gomez, Thomas↗

STARLIGHT

A Python package consisting of standard and novel methods for calculating electronic correlation effects and electrical conductivity in lattice models subject to strong magnetic fields.

Staros, Daniel [Los Alamos National Laboratory]↗

Observed Temperature and Moisture Advection Characteristics in the Southern Great Plains

Until recently, advection profiles in the planetary boundary layer have been difficult to quantify from observations. As a result, not much is known about its basic characteristics, like magnitude and diurnal cycles, or how these differ as a function of large-scale environments. Here, to provide insight into advective characteristics, a Green’s Theorem–based method for calculating profiles of advection in the lowest 3 km from an array of ground-based thermodynamic and kinematic profiling instruments has been applied to 2 years of observations from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) observing site. Since advection largely depends on synoptic-scale forcing, a self-organizing map (SOM) was used to classify days based on mean sea level pressure analyses; from that, the diurnal evolution of vertical profiles of advection for different synoptic environments was quantified. The overall mean magnitude of the potential temperature advection is approximately ±3 K h −1 , while the moisture advection is approximately ±1.5 g kg −1 h −1 , with substantial variability in the sign and magnitude of the advective tendencies at different heights and throughout the diurnal cycle. Advection magnitude is strongly connected to the strength of synoptic-scale forcing, which varies depending on the time of year. Variability in advection is larger for potential temperature than it is for moisture, and strongly forced environments, like midlatitude cyclones, feature greater variability in the advection magnitude than weakly forced or quiescent environments.

advection↗

Path Properties of Atmospheric Transitions: Illustration with a Low-Order Sudden Stratospheric Warming Model

Many rare weather events, including hurricanes, droughts, and floods, dramatically impact human life. To accurately forecast these events and characterize their climatology requires specialized mathematical techniques to fully leverage the limited data that are available. Here we describe transition path theory (TPT), a framework originally developed for molecular simulation, and argue that it is a useful paradigm for developing mechanistic understanding of rare climate events. TPT provides a method to calculate statistical properties of the paths into the event. As an initial demonstration of the utility of TPT, we analyze a low-order model of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), a dramatic disturbance to the polar vortex that can induce extreme cold spells at the surface in the midlatitudes. SSW events pose a major challenge for seasonal weather prediction because of their rapid, complex onset and development. Climate models struggle to capture the long-term statistics of SSW, owing to their diversity and intermittent nature. We use a stochastically forced Holton–Mass-type model with two stable states, corresponding to radiative equilibrium and a vacillating SSW-like regime. In this stochastic bistable setting, from certain probabilistic forecasts TPT facilitates estimation of dominant transition pathways and return times of transitions. These “dynamical statistics” are obtained by solving partial differential equations in the model’s phase space. With future application to more complex models, TPT and its constituent quantities promise to improve the predictability of extreme weather events through both generation and principled evaluation of forecasts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Geospatial analysis of preterm and small-for-gestational age births in Washington D.C.

Background: This study is based on the recognition that adverse pregnancy outcomes significantly affect maternal and infant health, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. These outcomes are shaped by a complex interplay of individual-level factors—like maternal age and education—and community-level influences, including socio-economic status and access to healthcare. Understanding these determinants is crucial for developing effective public health strategies, especially for marginalized populations, by identifying high-risk areas and informing targeted interventions that address both individual and structural barriers. Methods: We utilized geospatial analysis to explore the association between individual- and community-level factors and adverse pregnancy outcomes, specifically preterm birth (PTB) and small-for-gestational-age (SGA) birthweight in Washington, D.C. We used Empirical Bayes smoothing methods to calculate rates of adverse birth outcomes from 2010 to 2018 at the U.S. Census tract–level. Spatial scan statistics were used to investigate if adverse birth outcomes clustered in specific areas. ANOVA tests were conducted for individual- and community-level factors within identified clusters. Results: Spatial analysis identified significant high-risk clusters for PTB and SGA infants primarily in southeastern Washington, D.C., particularly in Wards 7 and 8. Individuals residing within these clusters experienced a 47% increased risk of PTB (RR = 1.467) and a 56% increased risk of SGA (RR = 1.560) compared to those outside clusters. Space–time analysis revealed temporal variation, with PTB clusters persisting from 2011 to 2014 and SGA clusters extending through 2017. Compared to low-risk clusters, high-risk clusters had younger birthing individuals (mean age ~26.5 vs. ~33 years), lower maternal college degree attainment (~20% vs. ~80%), higher rates of late or no prenatal care (~16% vs. 11%), and increased prevalence of smoking and hypertension (all P < 0.001). Community-level indicators showed lower median household incomes ($\$40,000$ vs. ~$\$105,000$), greater poverty (~16% vs. ~7% below $\$10,000$/year), higher public assistance use (~32% vs. ~5%), and reduced healthcare access (greater distances to emergency and specialty care) in high-risk areas (all P < 0.001). Neighborhood deprivation indices were significantly elevated, commutes were longer, and population density was lower in these clusters. These findings highlight that adverse birth outcomes cluster in neighborhoods with pronounced socioeconomic and health disparities. Conclusion: High-risk birth clusters highlight intertwined factors: individual, socio-economic, and geographic. Addressing these requires comprehensive interventions focusing on social and structural determinants of health.

Birth outcomes↗

Chromosome-level assembly and analysis of Camelina neglecta : a novel diploid model for Camelina biotechnology research

Camelina neglecta is a new diploid Brassicaceae species, which has great research value because of its close relationship with the hexaploid oilseed crop Camelina sativa. Here, we report a chromosome-level assembly of C. neglecta with a total length of 210 Mb. By adopting PacBio sequencing and Hi-C technology, the C. neglecta genome was assembled into 6 chromosomes with scaffold N50 of 29.62 Mb. C. neglecta has undergone the whole-genome triplication (γ) shared among eudicots and two whole-genome duplications (α and β) shared by crucifers, but it has not undergone a specific whole-genome duplication event. By synteny analysis between C. neglecta and C. sativa, we successfully used the method of calculating Ks to distinguish the three subgenomes of C. sativa and determined that C. neglecta was closest to the first subgenome (SG1) of C. sativa. Further, transcriptomic analysis revealed the key genes associated with seed oil biosynthesis and its transcriptional regulation, including SAD, FAD2, FAD3, FAE1, ABI3, WRI1 and FUS3 displaying high expression levels in C. neglecta seeds. The high representability of C. neglecta as a model species for Camelina-based biotechnology research has been demonstrated for the first time. In particular, floral Agrobacterium tumefaciens infiltration-based transformation of C. neglecta, leading to overexpression of CvLPAT2, CpDGAT1 and CvFatB1 transgenes, was demonstrated for medium-chain fatty acid accumulation in C. neglecta seed oil. This study provides an important genomic resource and establishes C. neglecta as a new model for oilseed biotechnology research.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Error analysis of a hybrid control drum worth model

This paper presents a perturbation-based model for control drum worth prediction which employs both physics-based and statistics-based components. Control drums, or control shims, are cylindrical in shape and span the axial length of the core. A portion of the cylinder is coated in neutron absorbing material and the drum can rotate to introduce the absorbing material to the body of the core to reduce reactivity. The model can be expensive to create due to the requirement for full-core Monte Carlo eigenvalue calculations. Therefore, it is important to analyze how the errors in Monte Carlo calculated k{sub eff} used for model training affect model performance. It was found that the error in predicted criticalities could average to 70 pcm in the most complex form of the model and 215 pcm in the simplest form of the model. Furthermore, it was found that the Monte Carlo uncertainty in quantities calculated with Serpent used to train the models had minimal impact on the error observed from the model. Lastly, one of the forms of the hybrid model could be trained in considerably less computational time if the Monte Carlo calculations were run to higher uncertainty in k{sub eff} with a small penalty to model performance.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Predicted aboveground biomass of Typha angustifolia in an upland brackish tidal marsh, PIE LTER, Byfield, MA (2022-2024)

This dataset contains predicted monthly aboveground Typha angustifolia biomass per sample and per square meter in a brackish tidal marsh site dominated by Typha angustifolia near the Parker River in the upper estuary of the Plum Island Sound, Massachusetts (MA) during the growing seasons (May-September) of 2022, 2023, and 2024. This site is also located within the Plum Island Ecosystems Long Term Ecological Research Station (PIE LTER). Allometric equations were developed from dry weight data and associated maximum heights collected in 2022 and 2023. The goal of this study was to investigate the difference in aboveground biomass between the site’s marsh interior (MI) and the creek bank (CB). Metadata files (Typha_biomass_predictions_dd.csv and Typha_biomass_predictions_flmd.csv) contain detailed information on variable definitions, calculations, sampling methods, and the location of the site.

DATE↗

CO2-SCREEN

CO2 Storage prospeCtive Resource Estimation Excel aNalysis (CO2-SCREEN) is a tool which was developed by the Department of Energy’s National Energy Technology Laboratory (DOE-NETL) to screen saline formations for prospective CO2 storage resources. CO2-SCREEN applies U.S. DOE methods and equations for estimating prospective CO2 storage resources for saline formations. This provides a dependable method for calculating prospective CO2 storage resources which allows for consistent comparison of results between different research efforts. CO2-SCREEN latest version (v5.0) is a python application that utilizes a Java front end user interface. The 3.0 version consists of an Excel spreadsheet containing geologic inputs and outputs, linked to a GoldSim Player model that calculates prospective CO2 storage resources via Monte Carlo simulation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhakk-HYfOI

CO2 Storage Resource,Prospective Storage,Screening↗

Les Houches Lectures on Indirect Detection of Dark Matter

These lectures, presented at the 2021 Les Houches Summer School on Dark Matter, provide an introduction to key methods and tools of indirect dark matter searches, as well as a status report on the field circa summer 2021. Topics covered include the possible effects of energy injection from dark matter on the early universe, methods to calculate both the expected energy distribution and spatial distribution of particles produced by dark matter interactions, an outline of theoretical models that predict diverse signals in indirect detection, and a discussion of current constraints and some claimed anomalies. These notes are intended as an introduction to indirect dark matter searches for graduate students, focusing primarily on intuition-building estimates and useful concepts and tools.

Slatyer, Tracy↗

Cambium Documentation: Version 2020

This is the documentation for the 2020 version of Cambium. Cambium is a tool that assembles structured data sets of simulated hourly cost and operational data for modeled futures of the U.S. electric sector with metrics designed to be useful for long-term decision-making. In this documentation, we define the metrics reported in Cambium databases and document the Cambium-specific methods for calculating those metrics.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Transfer and Flushing Evaluation for Potential Precipitated Solids in the 241-AP-106 to EMF Transfer Pipeline for DFLAW

Waste transfer pipeline flushing is necessary to maintain pipeline performance, but added flush fluid increases the nuclear waste inventory. During the Direct Feed Low-Activity Waste (DFLAW) mission, waste transfer lines from the Interim Low-Activity Waste Storage Tank (i.e., 241-AP-106) to the Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Low-Activity Waste (LAW) Facility must have the capability of being flushed to prevent accumulation of solids and to mitigate corrosion concerns. Operational experience at Hanford has shown that the solids precipitation occurs during processing operations from dilute Hanford liquids. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory was requested to evaluate the potential precipitated solid particle transport and flushing operational capabilities of the AP-106 through the Effluent Management Facility (EMF) low-point drain LAW feed pipeline. The evaluation results do not provide operational requirements, but rather provide a scoping basis for understanding the potential operational significance of solids precipitation in the pipeline. The salt and aluminum phase solids most likely to precipitate from the LAW feeds during cooling, evaporation, or mixing have particle densities that are estimated to range from 1.62 to 2.78 g/mL and a spherical particle size range of 8 to 2100 μm, depending on the solid phase considered. Application of the method to calculate the critical deposition velocity required by TFC-ENG-STD-26 at conservatively bounding estimates for the solids concentrations demonstrates that potentially precipitated solids may deposit on the bottom of the transfer pipe invert at the lower LAW feed pipeline flow rate, but the upper LAW feed pipeline flow rate will likely prevent deposition. The system pressure limit for the AP-106 through the EMF low-point drain LAW feed pipeline likely exceeds any pressure loss at a calculated critical deposition velocity even for the most adverse potential precipitated solid. However, should solids settle as a result of no-flow conditions, the flow capabilities of the AP-106 through the EMF low-point drain LAW feed pipeline are shown, based on the available literature, to be potentially inadequate for effective flushing operations to remove solids, even at solids concentrations below the maximum specified for LAW feed. Thus, stepwise solids accumulations over multiple transfers may be an issue, and eventual line plugging may occur. Further inadequacies may potentially be realized should the cohesive nature of certain precipitates be accounted for.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Nucleon momentum distributions for local chiral interactions [Slides]

We use quantum Monte Carlo methods to calculate single- and two-nucleon momentum distributions in 4 He, 12 C, and 16 O. We use correlated many-body wave functions optimized for local chiral interactions up to next-to-next-to-leading order (N 2 L0).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗