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DOE OSTI2026

Hydrogen Infrastructure Analysis Frameworks for Aviation Applications

While aircraft account for less than 10% of United States (U.S.) transportation energy consumption, it is the only mode expected to see sustained growth in energy demand through 2050. Currently, commercially available aircraft rely heavily on either jet fuel or leaded aviation gasoline. Over the past few decades, concerns have grown over the contributing effects that greenhouse gases, which are produced from fossil fuels, have on the environment.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Manufacturing Cost Analysis for PEM Electrolyzers and Perspectives for Future Cost Reduction

Electrolyzer capital costs strongly influence the total levelized cost of hydrogen production and have implications for hydrogen deployment. Current electrolyzer costs are high, and large cost reductions may be needed to achieve competitive hydrogen costs and targets. Understanding pathways for cost reduction via R&D and deployment is a critical research area for informed energy planning and enabling hydrogen use. This work presents bottom-up cost estimates of polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) electrolyzer systems tied to design specifications and discusses perspectives for cost reduction opportunities based on ongoing research. We use a detailed manufacturing and process model for a 1 MW PEM electrolyzer stack and balance of plant (BOP) for rigorous cost estimation. This allows for robust estimates of component and manufacturing costs and examination of key cost contributors. Stack costs are dominated by material costs such as iridium and platinum catalysts, especially at high manufacturing rates; power electronics and hydrogen purification equipment are the largest contributors to BOP cost. At higher manufacturing rates, better equipment utilization could reduce stack costs significantly, and we estimate that experience and bulk purchasing will allow for cost reductions to some BOP components. Still, many well-established BOP technologies and stack material costs are less likely to see significant cost reductions at high manufacturing rates. As such, manufacturing scale is limited in how much it can reduce electrolyzer costs, and additional advances for cost reduction may be needed to achieve cost targets. It will likely take many combined strategies to achieve significant cost reductions for electrolyzers and enable low-cost hydrogen production. We can use our manufacturing cost model to quantify potential cost reductions from the considerations described above and demonstrate pathways to lower cost electrolyzers. This allows for better understanding of cost reduction strategies and enables more informed research, development, and deployment for electrolyzers.

cost↗

DOE OSTI2026

SERA: A Hydrogen Infrastructure Capacity Expansion Model

The Scenario Evaluation and Regionalization Analysis (SERA) model is an infrastructure planning optimization model that can guide hydrogen production, delivery, and end-use investment decisions and accelerate the adoption of low-cost hydrogen at scale, whether for fuel cell electric vehicles or non-transportation applications. In this talk, we will review the SERA model objective function as well as the data inputs and outputs. We will also look at a SERA case study identifying potential dispensed costs of hydrogen along major refueling corridors throughout the United States. In addition to the SERA model, Justin will also discuss his recent work for the Office of Manufacturing and Energy Supply Chains on electrolyzer supply chain readiness, and his work for the Hydrogen Fuel Cell Technologies Office and Environmental Protection Agency on the levelized cost of dispensed hydrogen for heavy-duty trucking.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Analysis of Repurposing Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline Networks to Accommodate Hydrogen Blends

Blending hydrogen into natural gas infrastructure could supplement natural gas supply and increase resilience for applications such as ammonia production, peaking and load-following power plants, and heating. The United States has an extensive network of natural gas pipelines, but the feasibility of employing this infrastructure to transport hydrogen is unclear. We analyze the costs associated with repurposing three distinct natural gas transmission pipelines in different locations within the United States to carry blends of hydrogen up to 100% via three different pipeline network modification methods and compare against the cost of building a new dedicated hydrogen pipeline. We conduct a sensitivity analysis on the hoop stress limit of the existing pipe, techno-economic parameters, emissions, and relative capacity. The results show that the capital costs required to upgrade a pipeline can vary from tens of millions to billions of dollars depending on the length and capacity of the existing pipeline section, whether the existing pipeline already operates at or below its maximum allowable operating pressure, whether future demand is expected to increase or decrease, the network modification method selected, and pipe material costs. The delivered cost of energy to end users is impacted less by the levelized cost of transporting hydrogen blends than by the cost of the natural gas and hydrogen fuels being transported. The emissions impact of blending hydrogen into natural gas transmission networks scales proportionally with the amount of energy displaced with low-emission hydrogen (such as from natural gas with carbon capture and sequestration or electrolysis powered by nuclear, renewable, or geothermal electricity), therefore low blend ratios (e.g., < 20% vol. hydrogen) will result in low emissions impacts. Factors such as permitting and right-of-way costs, the proximity of the pipeline to hydrogen demand and production, and the compatibility of and/or retrofitting costs of end-use gas-fueled technologies will likely be greater drivers in determining whether converting a particular natural gas pipeline to carry hydrogen makes economic sense.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Cost analysis of alternative large-scale high-temperature solid oxide electrolysis hydrogen production facilities

We extend our past cost analysis of gigawatt-scale solid oxide electrolysis (SOE) facilities that produce high purity hydrogen gas from water by estimating construction and operating costs for three new alternative design cases: (1) offsite feed steam generation; (2) near-atmospheric pressure (NAP) stack; and (3) onsite electric boiler feed steam generation. Pressure effects on hydrogen electrode-(cathode-)supported SOE cell (SOEC) stack performance are estimated for the same assumed cell and stack construction and used to determine facility-wide stack capital costs for achieving a fixed H2 production at different pressures. Modular balance of plant (BOP) process equipment capital costs are estimated for each new alternative design case using our past equipment sizing, design, and cost data and scaling relationships. Furthermore, we update BOP equipment sizing and design for the NAP case using Aspen®. Vendor quotes for electric boilers are used to estimate costs for the electric boiler design case. Factory and onsite assembly and installation costs for SOEC stacks and BOP equipment are calculated using our past simplified first-principles approach. First-of-a-kind (FOAK) and N th -of-a-kind (NOAK) production maturity cost estimates are included for all results. The case with NAP stacks offers the lowest facility total capital cost (TCC, ~23% lower than base) while use of small electric boilers requires the highest TCC (~3% higher than base). H 2 production prices decrease from the base of ~$\$2.17$ /kgH 2 to ~$\$1.92$/kgH 2 for 1 GW e DC SIP facilities utilizing NAP stacks supplied by offsites steam situated in large modules and blocks for $\$0.030$/kWh e and $0.009/kWh t prices for electricity and thermal energy, respectively. We report all costs in 2021 US dollars.

Balance of plant (BOP) process equipment↗

DOE OSTI2026

Flexible Natural Gas/Hydrogen CHP System

This project included design, development, and demonstration of a cost-effective and scalable, unique-to-the-industry 2.0 MWe fuel-flexible Caterpillar G3516 CHP genset that can run on 100% hydrogen, 100% natural gas, and up to 25% blends of hydrogen in natural gas (volume basis). This was accomplished based on over two years of extensive R&D work done on a single-cylinder engine for developing innovative hydrogen fueling, combustion, air, and electronic control systems design and strategies. Findings from the single-cylinder engine work were scaled up and applied for modifications of and lab testing and development of a 2.0 MWe 16-cylinder G3516 fuel-flexible engine-genset and electronic controls systems. During this testing and development in the engine lab, the genset was run on 100% hydrogen, 100% natural gas, and up to 25% blends of hydrogen in natural gas (volume basis) and its steady-state and transient performance and emission were documented.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Electromagnetic Energy-Assisted Thermal Conversion of Fossil-Based Hydrocarbons to Low-Cost Hydrogen

The goal of this project was to develop and optimize catalysts for methane decomposition, particularly focusing on regeneration via an electromagnetic energy-assisted mechanism, to produce hydrogen more cost-effectively compared to electrolysis routes. To achieve this goal, the project pursued several key objectives. The project began with the preparation and testing of various catalysts. A nickel-silica based catalyst was identified as the most promising material for the pyrolysis of methane into carbon and hydrogen. Kinetic parameters for methane decomposition were determined, aiding in computational modeling efforts. Structured catalysts were investigated, highlighting the need for frequent cleaning or regeneration to maintain performance, with methane conversion rates exceeding 70% in tube furnace tests. Computational fluid dynamics modeling was employed to optimize reactor designs and electrode angles, leading the project team to propose a multi-compartment thermal conversion system for larger setups. This modeling work was important in understanding reaction characteristics, carbon deposition rates, and temperature profiles under various conditions. A bench-scale reactor system was assembled to evaluate catalyst regeneration using electromagnetic energy-assisted mechanisms. Experiments demonstrated the potential for carbon removal, though further optimization is needed. The carbon produced from the methane conversion process was evaluated for potential use in lithium-ion battery electrodes. The carbon exhibited properties similar to commercially available high-purity multi-walled carbon nanotubes and nanofibers, with a carbon content greater than 95%. Coin cell batteries assembled with this carbon showed that lower replacement levels (10% to 33%) outperformed the control group, improving specific capacity density and stability. However, higher replacement levels (100%) demonstrated poorer performance, suggesting that excessive carbon substitution negatively impacts battery performance. These findings indicate the potential marketability of the produced carbon as a component in lithium-ion batteries, though further testing is necessary to confirm long-term advantages and disadvantages associated with the use of the carbon product. These results however justified further technoeconomic assessments to determine if the process can provide low-cost hydrogen. The economic feasibility and technical performance of methane decomposition for hydrogen production were assessed, focusing on three plant configurations: 100E (electrically heated), 100C (combustion heated using produced hydrogen), and PE-Hybrid (a combination of pyrolysis (indicating decomposition) and electrolysis). The Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) for the pyrolysis configurations was found to be approximately 25% lower than that of electrolysis. The 100E configuration had the lowest LCOH at $\$$3.12/kg. Including carbon product sales significantly improved the economics, with the 100C configuration achieving a negative LCOH of -$\$$0.35/kg. The PE-Hybrid configuration was not economically advantageous compared to pure pyrolysis plants due to its complexity and additional equipment requirements. Ultimately, methane pyrolysis presents a viable method for near carbon dioxide-free hydrogen production, with significant economic advantages over electrolysis, especially when considering the sale of carbon byproducts. The 100E and 100C configurations showed the most promise, with the choice between them ultimately depending on the prices of power and natural gas. In conclusion, this technology has the potential to lower hydrogen production costs by leveraging the methane decomposition process with the sale of valuable carbon byproducts. By optimizing catalyst performance and integrating electromagnetic energy-assisted regeneration, the process can achieve higher efficiency and economic viability, making it a competitive alternative to traditional hydrogen production methods.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2026

System-of-systems optimization of hydrogen infrastructure for heavy-duty freight corridors: The interstate 10 case study

Medium and heavy-duty freight transportation requires hydrogen energy infrastructure that is cost-effective, operationally reliable, spatially coherent, and resilient to demand variability along major corridors. This paper presents an integrated hydrogen corridor planning framework using Oak Ridge National Laboratory's OR-AGENT that couples freight-driven, route-resolved hydrogen demand modeling with optimized station siting, sizing, and station-level techno-economic analysis. The framework is demonstrated for the Interstate 10 freight corridor and the Houston-to-Los-Angeles region. Hydrogen demand is derived from high-resolution origin–destination freight data, duty-cycle characterization, and physics-based energy consumption modeling. Candidate refueling sites are selected from existing heavy-duty diesel fueling locations and optimized subject to onboard storage and station capacity constraints. Resulting station throughputs are evaluated using established techno-economic models for electrolytic hydrogen production and dispensing infrastructure. Results show that a regional, portfolio-level aggregation, average dispensed electrolytic hydrogen cost of $6.87–$7.26/kg is currently feasible, and is strongly influenced by demand density and utilization.

Sujan, Vivek [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000269882342)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessing the levelized cost of energy in South Korea

This study evaluates the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for various energy technologies in the Republic of Korea (Korea) from 2023 to 2050, highlighting cost trajectories and potential crossovers among competing technologies. The analysis projects that, based on our set of assumptions, utility-scale photovoltaic systems achieve lower LCOEs than nuclear by 2030, while fixed offshore wind is expected to become cost-competitive with coal-fired generation around the same time. Floating offshore wind is projected to reach cost parity with coal in the late 2030s. Co-firing with natural gas and green hydrogen is identified as the highest-cost generation option due to high natural gas and green fuel costs and declining capacity utilization. This study further examines the potential for hybrid systems that integrate renewable energy with energy storage to serve as flexible, cost-effective, zero-emission alternatives to green hydrogen-based generation. Spatial LCOE assessments indicate that near-shore offshore wind sites may achieve lower costs despite modest capacity factors, contingent on site-specific factors such as grid integration and social acceptance. The findings indicate that renewable energy technologies are expected to experience continued cost declines, with solar photovoltaic becoming the most competitive energy source in Korea by 2030–2035. Incorporating social costs accelerates this shift from conventional alternatives.

Green hydrogen↗

DOE OSTI2026

Technoeconomic Analysis of Steel Production with Electric Thermal Energy Storage

The iron and steel industry is an important manufacturing sector and one of the largest energy consumers in the United States and globally. Hydrogen direct reduction of iron ore (H2DRI) is considered a promising process that could enhance domestic steel production. This process requires hydrogen inlet temperatures up to 950 degrees C to drive the endothermic reduction of the iron ore pellets. In this work we investigate the technoeconomic performance of an H2DRI plant using electric thermal energy storage (ETES) technologies for the hydrogen heating, compared to conventional natural gas fired heaters, hydrogen fired heaters, and electric hydrogen heaters. A technoeconomic analysis framework for the plant is developed and used in multiple case studies, covering different hydrogen prices, grid electricity profiles, and financing scenarios. The levelized cost of steel production is found out to be in the range of $775-950/mt, which is mostly inside the benchmarked steel price of $941/mt. ETES-based hydrogen heating is found to be in par with conventional natural gas fired heaters, and cheaper than hydrogen fired heaters and electric hydrogen heaters. The major cost drivers are the iron ore and hydrogen feedstock, followed by the hydrogen compression and heating capital. Several insights and suggested future directions are identified.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Broad range material-to-system screening of metal–organic frameworks for hydrogen storage using machine learning

Hydrogen is pivotal in the transition to sustainable energy systems, playing major roles in power generation and industrial applications. Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) have emerged as promising mediums for efficient hydrogen storage. However, identifying potential candidates for deployment is challenging due to the vast number of currently available synthesized MOFs. This study integrates molecular simulations, machine learning, and techno-economic analysis to evaluate the performance of MOFs across broad operation conditions for hydrogen storage applications. While previous screenings of MOF databases have predominantly emphasized high hydrogen capacities under cryogenic conditions, this study reveals that optimal temperatures and pressures for cost minimization depend on the raw price of the MOF. Specifically, when MOFs are priced at $15/kg, among the 9720 MOFs tested, 9692 MOFs achieve the lowest cost at temperatures between 170 K and 250 K and a pressure of 150 bar. Under these optimal conditions, 362 MOFs deliver a lower levelized cost of storage than 350 bar compressed gas hydrogen storage. Furthermore, this study reveals key material properties that result in low system cost, such as high surface areas (>3000 m2/g), large void fractions (>0.78), and large pore volumes (>1.1 cm3/g).

Hydrogen storage↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessing the deployment of solar-driven hydrogen from biomass at scale in the U.S.

Solar hydrogen from biomass gasification is a promising technology to sustainably produce hydrogen, responsibly dispose biomass waste, and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. However, its large-scale deployment faces challenges due to the geospatial misalignment between biomass resources and solar intensity, which introduces additional supply chain logistics costs. We analyze the logistics cost burden imposed by this misalignment and its impact on successful large-scale deployment of solar-driven hydrogen from biomass in the United States. We also consider associated carbon emissions and explore how the mix of deployed technologies evolves under externally imposed carbon penalties. Our findings show that while economies of scale are known to apply at the processing facility level, the reverse effect occurs at the broader systems-level, driven by logistics. Also, at current technology costs, high carbon penalties would be required to favor deployment of solar based technologies over conventional and hybrid alternatives. We further illustrate strategies and system-level changes to reduce logistics costs and enable sustainable, low-cost hydrogen for decarbonizing different industrial sectors.

Iloeje, Chukwunwike O. [Argonne National Laborator↗

DOE OSTI2025

Direct Observation of Phase Change Accommodating Hydrogen Uptake in Bimetallic Nanoparticles

Hydrogen holds great promise as a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels, but its efficient and affordable storage remains a significant challenge. Bimetallic systems, such as Pd and Ni, present a promising option for storing hydrogen. In this study, using the combination of different cutting-edge X-ray and electron techniques, we observed the transformations of Pd–Ni nanoparticles, which initially consist of a NiO-rich shell surrounding a Pd-rich core but undergo a major transformation when they interact with hydrogen. During hydrogen exposure, the Pd core breaks into smaller pockets, dramatically increasing its surface area and enhancing the hydrogen storage capacity, especially in nanoparticles with lower Pd content. The findings provide a deep understanding of the morphological changes at the atomic level during hydrogen storage and contribute to designing cost-effective hydrogen storage using multimetallic systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS1972

Preliminary appraisal of hydrogen and methane fuel in a Mach 2.7 supersonic transport

The higher heating value of hydrogen relative to JP fuel is estimated to reduce fuel weight by three fold and gross weight by 40 percent for comparable designed airplanes of equal payload and range. Engine design parameters were varied to determine the influence of lower noise goals on gross weight and direct operating cost. At current fuel prices, the DOC of a hydrogen airplane would be much higher than that of a JP airplane. A methane airplane could offer an 8.5-percent lower KOC than JP. But future shortages may escalate the prices of both JP and methane, whereas the price of hydrogen manufactured hydrolytically could be reduced from present levels. If in the future all three fuels are postulated to have equal costs per unit of energy, the DOC for hydrogen could be as much as 20 percent below that for JP on the reference 4000-nautical-mile mission. Longer ranges or lower noise requirements would improve the advantage of hydrogen.

Whitlow, J. B., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1975

A preliminary systems-engineering study of an advanced nuclear-electrolytic hydrogen-production facility

An advanced nuclear-electrolytic hydrogen-production facility concept was synthesized at a conceptual level with the objective of minimizing estimated hydrogen-production costs. The concept is a closely-integrated, fully-dedicated (only hydrogen energy is produced) system whose components and subsystems are predicted on ''1985 technology.'' The principal components are: (1) a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) operating a helium-Brayton/ammonia-Rankine binary cycle with a helium reactor-core exit temperature of 980 C, (2) acyclic d-c generators, (3) high-pressure, high-current-density electrolyzers based on solid-polymer electrolyte technology. Based on an assumed 3,000 MWt HTGR the facility is capable of producing 8.7 million std cu m/day of hydrogen at pipeline conditions, 6,900 kPa. Coproduct oxygen is also available at pipeline conditions at one-half this volume. It has further been shown that the incorporation of advanced technology provides an overall efficiency of about 43 percent, as compared with 25 percent for a contemporary nuclear-electric plant powering close-coupled contemporary industrial electrolyzers.

Escher, W. J. D.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Trace levels of PtRu on NiMo foam electrodes towards hydrogen evolution reaction

Electrochemical water splitting plays a critical role in high purity hydrogen production. To lower capital cost and energy consumption, efficient catalysts are required to boost the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), especially in alkaline media. Although PtRu alloy materials are still considered the state-of-the-art catalyst for the HER under alkaline media, large-scale application is hindered by its scarcity and high cost. NiMo alloy catalysts can be potential Pt-free alternatives to drive the sluggish kinetics of the HER under alkaline media, but their HER activity is still not ideal due to the limitation of Volmer step. Herein, we investigated the impact of trace levels of PtRu catalysts on NiMo electrodes towards the HER by incorporating advantages of both PtRu and NiMo catalysts to minimize cost and maintain a promising HER activity. Trace levels of PtRu catalysts from 0.0173 to 0.2648 mg cm −2 were loaded on commercial NiMo foam electrodes by a facile electrodeposition technique utilizing ppm concentration levels of PtRu in electrolyte. The results show that 0.0173 mg cm −2 PtRu loading on NiMo electrode can significantly enhance HER activity compared to the pristine NiMo foam electrode (Tafel slopes drop from ∼170 to ∼60 mV dec −1 ) due to the remarkable decline of energy barriers towards water dissociation and hydrogen adsorption. Meanwhile, the rate determining step (RDS) switches from the Volmer step to the Heyrovsky step when the PtRu loading increases to 0.0675 mg cm −2 . Promising catalytic stability is observed at 100 mA cm −2 over the course of 50 h with a PtRu loading of 0.1198 mg cm −2 . In conclusion, this work demonstrates a potential strategy to decrease the cost and simultaneously maintain superior HER performance by integrating trace levels of PtRu catalyst with NiMo foam electrodes.

Electrochemical water splitting↗

DOE OSTI2026

HydroGEN Consortium: Advancements in Hydrogen Production

HydroGEN Energy Materials Network (EMN) is an U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) EERE Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO)-funded consortium that aims to accelerate the discovery and development of advanced water splitting materials (AWSM) for clean, low-cost hydrogen production. Materials innovations are key to enhancing performance, durability, and cost of hydrogen generation technologies. HydroGEN is focused on low technology readiness level AWS technologies, including low- (alkaline exchanged membrane electrolysis) and high-temperature electrolysis (proton-conducting solid oxide electrolysis), photoelectrochecmical (PEC) and thermochemical (TCH) water splitting. The AWS technologies in this consortium study proton conduction in solid oxide electrolysis and hydroxide conduction in polymer electrolysis, and proton transport in photoelectrochemical water splitting. This presentation will provide an overview of the HydroGEN EMN and technical highlights of a few lab-led and DOE-awarded "seedling" R&D projects. HydroGEN continues to grow its community of industry, university, and national laboratories, forming a national innovation ecosystem focused on renewable hydrogen production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2026

HydroGEN Consortium

08 HYDROGEN↗