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At least 37 records · Page 2

Probability matched Z-R relations for hurricanes from aircraft observations

Methods are developed to establish the relationship between the equivalent reflectivity factor, Z(e) and rain rate, R, for an airborne radar in a hurricane environment. The PDFs of Z(e) as measured by the radar are matched to those of R as measured by a Knollenberg probe on the same aircraft. The resulting Z(e)-R relation does not depend on an absolute calibration of the radar; it implicitly incorporates all the effects resulting from the way in which the beam averages the 3D reflectivity distribution, and also includes the effects of attenuation on average. Good estimates of the rainfall over a suitable space-time domain can thus be made. The techniques developed apply to any type of storm provided the data are stratified by storm type.

Marks, Frank D., Jr.↗

Understanding and Utilizing PBL Height Data from Multiple Observing Systems in the GEOS System

The accuracy of PBL height simulation is a key issue in many applications including forecasting near surface meteorology and air quality, however, it is a very challenging problem due to the lack of not only comprehensive, global Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) observations but also a strategy and infrastructure to utilize PBL height data from a variety of sensors. Following the designation of PBL as an incubation class observable in the 2017 Decadal Survey, the PBL Incubation Study Team Report [14] made clear that “a future global PBL observing system requires modeling and data assimilation as essential components.” There is an urgent need for global modeling development in order to utilize Program of Record (POR) observations, assess their impacts, and identify gaps to be filled by future PBL missions. Our overall objective is to develop PBL data assimilation capabilities in the NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS), focusing on PBL height from multiple observing systems, to support the assessment and use of future PBL observations. The NASA GEOS system is composed of the GEOS global atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) and the atmospheric data assimilation system (ADAS). The PBL parameterizations include the “Lock” K-profile scheme driven by surface and cloud-top buoyancy fluxes ([4]), and the “Louis” local scheme for stable conditions based on the Richardson number ([5]). Above the mixed layer defined by the Lock surface plume, shallow cumulus convection is represented by the mass flux scheme of [9]. Additional parameterizations are summarized in [1]. The ADAS employs the hybrid 4D Ensemble- Variational (EnVar) configuration ([15]), with the ensemble providing flow-dependent background error covariance information. The resultant analysis increments are fed back to the forecast model through the 4D incremental analysis update (IAU) approach ([11]). In this study, PBL height data are being or have been generated from radiosondes, GNSS RO, satellite (CATS, CALIPSO and ICESat-2) and ground-based (MPLNET) lidars, and wind profiler. Investigations have been conducted to specify quality marks for PBL height retrievals for the data assimilation purpose. These PBL height data have different strengths and weaknesses ([2], [3], [6], [7], [8], [10]), and the satellite PBL height data provide better global coverage and complement in-situ PBL height data. Radiosondes offer high accuracy and in situ measurement of temperature and humidity profiles, but with poor spatio-temporal sampling. The in-situ observing systems like MPLNET and wind profiler provide long history of PBL height records at each station. The GNSS RO based PBL height is retrieved based on the sharp gradients in refractivity profile that represent the fine vertical structure of temperature and moisture changes above the PBL. However, not all RO refractivity profiles reach the surface depending on location and regime, and RO refractivity retrievals can be negatively biased below 2km. The PBL height data from satellite lidars provide high resolution along track PBL height retrievals, but over land they are affected by previous day convective PBL aerosol and strongly associated with mixing layer and retrievals cannot be made below thick, attenuating clouds. A successful assimilation of PBL height data requires a thorough understanding of the observing method and the retrieval algorithm for each observing system in order to use the PBL height data from multiple observing systems properly. Due to the sensitivity of PBL height data to the observing method and choice of algorithm, it is important to use a model definition appropriate for each observation type to compute differences between PBL height data and model PBL height (OmFs). The GEOS model currently includes two PBL height definitions suitable for direct comparison with observed PBL height, and additional definitions are being added in this study. Evaluation of different model PBL height definitions is underway. Meanwhile, efforts have been made in the GEOS data assimilation system to develop PBL height data assimilation capability. PBL height data can be assimilated using two different approaches. The traditional approach is to construct an observation operator and its tangent linear and adjoint, which link control variables to PBL height data from each observing system. This observation operator can be very complicated, e.g., the lidar-based PBL height observation operator includes the backscatter lidar forward observation operator, the algorithm to derive PBL height from attenuated total backscatter, interpolation, and calculations handling the mismatch between observed and model scales. The other approach is to augment PBL height to the control variable vector, and it is adopted in this study. The latter approach was also used in previous studies, e.g., the assimilation of PBL height data from radiosonde and aircraft in the Real Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) system for a dispersion modelling study ([13]); the PBL height assimilation study using lidar PBL height data at Greensburg, Kansas for a field campaign ([12]). The PBL height assimilation from multiple observing systems in this study allows us to take advantage of the diverse PBL height data that provide much better global coverage collectively under different meteorological conditions and with different temporal and spatial scales. As all the PBL heights are tightly coupled with the PBL thermodynamic variables, the strong correlations, which are provided by the 4D ensemble forecast, enable PBL height data from various sources to interact and combine coherently and provide additional information for PBL temperature and moisture fields. The results of comparisons among PBL height data from different sources and the evaluation of the model PBL height definitions with the PBL height data will be presented, and the PBL height data synergy strategies and preliminary results will also be discussed at the conference.

Y. Zhu↗

Method for observing the features characterizing the surface of a land mass

A method is described where a propeller driven, hydrazine powered aircraft is remotely piloted through rarefied atmosphere of a selected planet, including the planet Earth. It is employed as a communication platform for a telemetry system provided for relaying information relating to features characterizing the surface of the planet.

Reed, R. D.↗

Formation of Al{sub 15}Mn{sub 3}Si{sub 2} Phase During Solidification of a Novel Al-12%Si-4%Cu-1.2%Mn Heat-Resistant Alloy and Its Thermal Stability

The formation of Al{sub 15}Mn{sub 3}Si{sub 2} phase in Al-12Si-4Cu-1.2Mn (wt.%) alloy during solidification was investigated by adopting CALPHAD method and microstructural observation by optical microscopy, SEM–EDS, TEM–EDS/SAD and XRD analysis; SEM fixed-point observation method was applied to evaluate its thermal stability. As-cast microstructural observation consistently demonstrates the solidification sequence of the studied alloy predicted by phase diagram calculation. Based on the phase diagram calculation, SEM–EDS, TEM–EDS/SAD and XRD analysis, as well as evidences on Al-Si-Mn-Fe compounds from the literature, the primary and eutectic Mn-rich phases with different morphologies in the studied alloy are identified to be Al{sub 15}Mn{sub 3}Si{sub 2} that has a body-centered cubic (BCC) structure with a lattice constant of a = 1.352 nm. SEM fixed-point observation and XRD analysis indicate that Al{sub 15}Mn{sub 3}Si{sub 2} phase has more excellent thermal stability at high temperature than that of CuAl{sub 2} phase and can serve as the major strengthening phase in heat-resistant aluminum alloy that has to face a high-temperature working environment. Results of tension test show that addition of Mn can improve the strength of Al-Si-Cu alloy, especially at elevated temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Physics-Informed Deep Neural Network Method for Limited Observability State Estimation

The precise knowledge regarding the state of the power grid is important in order to ensure optimal and reliable grid operation. Specifically, knowing the state of the distribution grid becomes increasingly important as more renewable energy sources are connected directly into the distribution network, increasing the fluctuations of the injected power. In this paper, we consider the case when the distribution grid becomes partially observable, due to for example cyber attacks, and the state estimation problem is under-determined. We present a new methodology that leverages a deep neural network (DNN) to estimate the grid state. The standard DNN training method is modified to explicitly incorporate the physical information of the grid topology and line/shunt admittance. We show that our method leads to a superior accuracy of the estimation when compared to the case when no physical information is provided. Finally, we compare the performance of our method to the standard state estimation approach, which is based on the weighted least squares with pseudo-measurements, and show that our method performs significantly better with respect to the estimation accuracy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Detection method and observed data of high-energy gamma rays under the influence of quantum gravity

The interaction of high-energy particles affected by quantum gravity is argued from the experimental viewpoint of raising a question, 'our detection method for high-energy γ-rays supplies trustworthy observation data and we are now seeing the true image of the universe through high-energy γ-rays?' The modified dispersion relation (MDR) for particles' energy and momentum is applied to the equation of energy-momentum conservation in particle reactions, to study the restriction imposed on the kinematic state of high-energy particles by the Lorentz invariance violation (LIV) due to quantum gravity, as a function of the incident particle energy of the reaction. The result suggests that the interaction utilized for γ-ray detection is not free from the effect of quantum gravity when γ-ray energy is higher than 10{sup 13} ∼ 10{sup 17} eV depending on models of MDR. Discussion is presented on the prospect of finding clear evidence of the LIV effect from γ-ray observations, as well as on the radiation and propagation mechanism of γ-rays under the influence of the LIV effect.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Testing Fractal Methods on Observed and Simulated Solar Magnetograms

The term "magnetic complexity" has not been sufficiently quantified. To accomplish this, we must understand the relationship between the observed magnetic field of solar active regions and fractal dimension measurements. Using data from the Marshall Space Flight Center's vector magnetograph ranging from December 1991 to July 2001, we compare the results of several methods of calculating a fractal dimension, e.g., Hurst coefficient, the Higuchi method, power spectrum, and 2-D Wavelet Packet Analysis. In addition, we apply these methods to synthetic data, beginning with representations of very simple dipole regions, ending with regions that are magnetically complex.

Adams, M.↗

Direct Observation of Pure Cu and Cu-Ag Anode Passivation in H{sub 2}SO{sub 4}-CuSO{sub 4} Aqueous Solution by Channel Flow Double Electrode and Optical Microscopy

The dissolution and passivation of pure Cu and Cu-5 wt pct Ag anodes in H{sub 2}SO{sub 4}-CuSO{sub 4} electrolyte were investigated by a direct observation method that combined the techniques of optical microscopy and channel flow double electrode. Linear sweep voltammetry of the anodes showed that the dissolution of Cu transited from the charge transfer-controlled reaction to the mass transfer-controlled reaction, followed by the passivation of the electrodes. The direct observation of the pure Cu anode revealed that Cu particles were generated on the surface and the particles fell away during passivation. On the other hand, a slime layer of Ag particles that adhered to the surface was generated during the dissolution of the Cu-5 wt pct Ag anode. The Cu-5 wt pct Ag anode was passivated with a lower current density than the pure Cu anode, which suggested that the morphology and adhesive characteristics of the slime on the anode affected the passivation. The direct observation method described herein is useful for understanding reactions on electrodes that undergo drastic changes in their surface morphology. Information obtained from this method can help with the development of new processes for the effective utilization of limited natural resources and energy, such as the recycling of Cu by electrorefining.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methods to Observe Tribological Failures in Self-Mated Steel Contacts

Scuffing, a type of wear found in highly stressed or poorly lubricated contacts, is characterized by a rapid increase in friction and severe plastic deformation of the near-surface material. Scuffing has proven difficult to study because it initiates unpredictably, progresses rapidly, and typically develops within an inaccessible contact interface. Although there have been successful in-situ studies of scuffing in real-time, the transparent counter body needed for these studies changes the interactions between the surfaces and the lubricant, which affects the scuffing process in unknown ways. This paper describes the development of X-ray-compatible tribometry to study the scuffing of self-mated steels in-situ and in real-time. The method uses a crossed cylinders configuration with a thin (500 μm thick) stationary component and a small (≈200 μm) contact width to maximize X-ray interactions with atoms within the stress field generated by the contact. The resulting instrument and method are used to benchmark the scuffing response of self-mated 52,100 steel under tribologically challenging ‘oil-off’ lubrication conditions. The results demonstrate reliable scuffing in this configuration despite the relatively small contact areas and loads used. Following scuffing, gross plastic deformation was observed on both surfaces along with significant subsurface grain refinement and flow only on the stationary surface, which experienced constant contact. Interestingly, high friction initiated at specific locations of the migratory surface, which experienced intermittent contact, and then propagated across the track over time, suggesting that local conditions of the migratory surface dominated friction leading into the failure event.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluating Probability of Containment Effectiveness at a GCS Sites using integrated assessment modeling approach with Bayesian decision Networks

Improved scientific and engineering understanding of the behavior of geologic CO2 storage together with established regulatory framework and incentive structures raise the prospects for accelerated, large-scale deployment of this greenhouse gas emissions reduction approach. Incentive structures call for the establishment of appropriate verification and accounting approaches to support claims of the integrity of a geologic storage complex and to justify taking credit for long-term storage. In this study, we present a framework for assessing the probability of containment effectiveness over the lifetime of a geologic carbon storage site (e.g., after 70 years of injection and post-injection site performance) using forward stochastic model realizations based on site characterization data and using a monitoring-informed Bayesian network based on hypothetical detectability from surface seismic surveys over the site injection and post-injection phases. The National Risk Assessment Partnership’s open-source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM) was utilized to develop an ensemble of 10,000 a priori stochastic forecasts of CO2 containment. Those simulations were used to train the Bayesian network model to estimate the prior probabilities of the CO2 leakage mass into overlying, monitorable aquifers considering the uncertainties in the reservoir properties, permeability of potentially leaky wells and the overlying aquifers. The conditional probabilities in the Bayesian network were either learned from the NRAP-Open-IAM simulations or derived from the predefined detection thresholds for the monitoring method. Observations obtained from monitoring, over time during the site operation phases were then used to generate updated posterior probabilities of containment (and any loss from containment) in the Bayesian network by propagating the prior probabilities through the conditional probabilities. We demonstrate how to construct and use the Bayesian network for verifying the long-term storage complex effectiveness informed by monitoring based on the NRAP-Open-IAM simulations previously developed for the FutureGen 2.0 site. This approach may have relevance for stake holders to demonstrate secure geologic storage, provide a defensible, probabilistic approach to claim credit for geologic storage, and to estimate the likelihood that any fraction of the claimed credit may need to be refunded to the creditor based on available monitoring information.

Bayesian network, Risk assessment, Monitoring, car↗

X-ray methods to observe and quantify adhesive penetration into wood

To accelerate the development of new and improved wood adhesives for engineered wood products, the optimal penetration of adhesives into wood needs to be determined. Adhesive penetration includes both the flow of adhesives into wood micron-scale voids and the infiltration into the polymer components of the wood cell wall layers. In this work, X-ray computed tomography (XCT) and X-ray fluorescence microscopy (XFM) were used to study adhesive flow and infiltration. Model wood-adhesive bondlines were made using loblolly pine ( Pinus taeda ) latewood substrates and bromine-substituted phenol formaldehyde (BrPF) resins with different weight average molecular weight (M W ). The Br substitution facilitated both qualitative and quantitative observations using XCT and XFM. The BrPF resin flow into wood was visualized using XCT volume reconstructions and quantified by calculating the weighted penetration (WP). Examination of the shape of the cured BrPF-air interface in longitudinal tracheid lumina revealed that capillary played a role in the majority of BrPF flow into lumina. XFM mapping revealed the pathways of BrPF infiltration into the wood cell walls, and the results were used to calculate BrPF cell wall weight percent gain (WPG CW ) in individual wood cell wall layers. Both WP and WPG CW decreased with increasing BrPF M W . Also, the middle lamella had higher WPG CW than its neighboring secondary cell walls, and within a given bondline the WPG CW decreased with increasing distance of the cell from the bondline. Along these lines, the results provide new insights that are needed in the development of improved models to understand and predict wood adhesive bondline performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A method to observe field-region oxide charge and inter-electrode isolation from CV-characteristics of n-on-p devices

Abstract N-on-psilicon sensors will be utilized in the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) detector's tracker and High Granularity Calorimeter (HGCAL) in the High Luminosity upgrade of the Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC). Among their several advantages in terms of radiation hardness over the traditionalp-on-nsensors in the extreme radiation environment of the HL-LHC are electron collection instead of holes and overlapping maxima of weighting and electric fields at the charge-collecting electrodes. The disadvantage of the multi-channel SiO 2 -passivatedn-on-psensors is the generation of an inversion layer under the Si/SiO 2 -interface by a positive interface-oxide-charge (N ox ) that at high densities can compromise the position resolution by creating a conduction channel between the electrodes. This issue is typically addressed by including additional isolnts (p-stp,p-spray) between n + -electrodes. Focusing on the guard-ring regions ofn-on-psensors where no isolation implants are applied between the electrodes, a capacitance-voltage (CV) characterization study of both 6-inch wafer test diodes and 8-inch HGCAL prototype and pre-series sensors showed a distinct threshold voltage (V th,iso ) in theCV-characteristics of a biased n + -electrode when its enclosing guard-ring was left floating. When reproduced by simulations, the measuredV th,iso was found to contain information on the field-regionN ox and indicate the threshold where the two electrodes become electrically isolated by the influence of the reverse bias voltage. Together with previous studies on the inter-electrode isolation of irradiatedn-on-psensors, the results indicate that position sensitiven-on-psensors without isolation implants may be feasible in future HEP experiments.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

A method for observing gas evolution during plastic laminate cure

Polyimide, phenolic, and other resins which develop volatiles during laminating or molding cure are studied using optimum cure cycles. The specimen is placed on a platen and sealed in a plastic bag, then heated and observed for gas evolution using a binocular microscope. A cover plate is added to sumulate an autoclave.

Nicholls, A. H.↗

The mean magnetic field of the sun - Method of observation and relation to the interplanetary magnetic field

The mean solar magnetic field as measured in integrated light has been observed since 1968. Since 1970 it has been observed both at Hale Observatories and at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory. The observing procedures at both observatories and their implications for mean field measurements are discussed. A comparison of the two sets of daily observations shows that similar results are obtained at both observatories. A comparison of the mean field with the interplanetary magnetic polarity shows that the IMF sector structure has the same pattern as the mean field polarity.

Scherrer, P. H.↗