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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying Dam-Induced Fluctuations in Streamflow Frequencies Across the Colorado River Basin

Periodic fluctuations in natural streamflow are a major driver of river ecosystem dynamics and water resource management. However, most U.S. rivers are impacted both by long-term hydroclimatic trends and dams that alter flow variability. Despite these impacts, it remains largely unexplored how dams affect the dominant frequencies of natural streamflow over a highly regulated river network. We investigated the entire Colorado River Basin (CRB) to understand how the annual (10–14 months) and multi-annual (24–60 months) frequencies in natural flow regimes have been progressively altered by dams. Given the significant alteration over the CRB, we captured changes in streamflow frequencies between naturalized and observed monthly flows via wavelet analysis. Based on the similarity of changes in streamflow frequencies (annual and multi-annual) over the last 30 years, sections of the riverine network were classified into four groups. The annual frequency was relatively well preserved downstream of Hoover Dam, while showing a systematic trend of alteration downstream of Glen Canyon Dam until Hoover Dam. Meanwhile, the multi-annual frequency component was highly altered for the entire Lower Colorado main stem (i.e., downstream of Glen Canyon). We also identified dams with significant impacts on streamflow frequency by comparing wavelet coherence estimates. This study advances the notion that dams fundamentally alter river flow regimes across multiple frequencies and with varying amplitudes over time and space, with alteration propagating – or being dampened – by both hydroclimatic fluctuations and water resource management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Computational discovery of a tetragonal MBene phase: diamond-shaped boron lattices, viable MAB precursors, and selective CO 2 reduction

MBenes are a class of two-dimensional transition-metal borides derived from layered MAB phases. Here, we use first-principles calculations to predict a new tetragonal MB (1 : 1) MBene phase featuring a diamond-shaped B–B lattice and systematically assess its phase stability, synthetic accessibility, and catalytic performance towards the CO 2 reduction reaction (CO 2 RR). Four tetragonal configurations are benchmarked against known hexagonal and orthorhombic phases, and a multi-tier screening identifies six robust members (CrB, FeB, MoB, WB, IrB, and PtB). Exploration of the I4/mmm MAB space reveals 11 viable precursors, including the experimentally synthesized Ir 2 ZnB 2 , which validates our screening approach. CO 2 RR free-energy diagrams show that CrB favors CH 3 OH while FeB, MoB, WB, IrB, and PtB preferentially yield HCOOH. The corresponding limiting potentials are competitive with, and in some cases superior to, those reported for state-of-the-art orthorhombic and hexagonal MBenes. These findings expand the MBene landscape by establishing a tetragonal phase with structural, synthetic, and catalytic promise.

Lu, Linguo [University of Puerto Rico, San Juan, P↗
DOE OSTI2020

Resolution matters when modeling climate change in headwaters of the Colorado River

The continued growth of Southwestern cities depends on reliable water export from Rocky Mountain headwaters, which provide ~85% of Colorado River Basin (CRB) streamflow. Despite being more sensitive to warming temperatures, alpine systems are simplified in the regional-scale models currently in use to plan for future water supply. We used an integrated hydrologic model that couples groundwater and surface water with snow and vegetation processes to examine the effect of topographic simplifications as a result of grid coarsening in a representative CRB headwater basin. High-resolution (100 m) simulations predicted headwater streamflow losses of 16% by 2050 while coarse-resolution (1 km) simulations predict only 12%, suggesting that regional-scale models (coarser than 1 km) likely overestimate future Colorado River Basin water supplies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Can we rely on drought–ending “miracles” in the Colorado River Basin?

Unexpected and large spring precipitation events in the Colorado River Basin (CRB) that significantly alleviated an otherwise severe water shortage have been observed for over a century, such as the “Miracle May” of 2015. Although these events are often termed as “drought-busting” or “miracle events” by water managers and the media, they have not been extensively researched or characterized. In this collaborative study with water managers across the CRB, we propose a definition for these hard-to-predict, ultra-high precipitation events occurring during the late-snow or snowmelt season. This characterization provides a framework for quantifying the frequency and intensity of extreme dry-to-wet springtime transitions. Despite limitations of climate model simulations due to uncertainties and the inhomogeneous qualities, our findings suggest that such transitions may become less frequent and less intense in a warming climate. Finally, in view of the potentially wetter but less-snowy climate in the basin, the need for future research to more quantitatively assess these “miracle events” is emphasized.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Model Inputs, Outputs, and Scripts associated with: “Combined effects of stream hydrology and land use on basin-scale hyporheic zone denitrification in the Columbia River Basin”

This data package is associated with the publication “Combined effects of stream hydrology and land use on basin‐scale hyporheic zone denitrification in the Columbia River Basin”, published in Water Resource Research (Son et al.2022) available at https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031131. This data package includes the key model inputs/outputs of the river corridor model for the Columbia River Basin (CRB) and the model source codes used in the manuscript. The model is a carbon-nitrogen-coupled river corridor model (RCM), and the model is used to quantify hyporheic zone (HZ) denitrification at the NHDPLUS stream reach scales. The RCM used in this study combines empirical substrate models derived from observations and three microbially driven reactions, including two-step denitrification and aerobic respiration, are considered within the HZ. The key input data of the model are exchange flux, residence time, and stream solute (dissolved organic carbon (DOC), dissolved oxygen (DO), and nitrate concentrations). These inputs are constant over time and represent long-term averaged values. This study uses the RCM to explore the spatial patterns of HZ denitrification across reaches with different sizes and land use in the CRB. Our main objective is to use the RCM as a virtual reality model, and the machine-learning models as surrogates that encapsulate the complexities of the physics-based model while identifying the importance of different variables that are not evident in the model conceptualization. We do not include a direct comparison of the modeled HZ denitrification and measurements; however, the RCM can capture the overall spatial patterns of the HZ denitrification because the model inputs and its reaction networks are based on well-established theory and a physical-based model. The combination of the model-based predictions and a machine-learning approach (e.g., random forest) is used to improve our understanding of what variables of the model are associated with spatial patterns of the modeled denitrification across reaches with different sizes and land uses, and to develop a proxy model using measurable variables to reproduce the simulated patterns.This dataset contains five folders: (1) model_inputs, (2) model_outputs, (3) Rscripts, (4) figures, and (5) model_codes. It also contains a readme, file level metadata (FLMD), and data dictionary (dd). Please see the FLMD for a list of all the files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. The model_inputs folder contains the model inputs used to drive the model simulations. The model_outputs folder contains key model output files from the river corridor model. The Rscripts folder contains the Rscripts for pre- and post- processing model results. The figures folder contains the raw figures associated with the manuscript. The model_codes folder includes key model source codes/input files. All files are .jpg, .jpeg, .out, .e, .od, .dat, .sub, .F90, .0, .R, .sbx, .cpg, .sbn, .shx, .shp, .dbf, .prj, .tfw, .tif, .xml, .pdf, or .csv.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Elemental and Isotopic Yields from T Coronae Borealis: Predictions and Uncertainties

T Coronae Borealis (T CrB) is a symbiotic recurrent nova system expected to undergo its next outburst within the next 2 yr. Recent hydrodynamic simulations have predicted the nucleosynthetic yields for both carbon–oxygen (CO) and oxygen–neon (ONe) white-dwarf models, but without accounting for thermonuclear reaction rate uncertainties. We perform detailed Monte Carlo postprocessing nucleosynthesis calculations based on updated thermonuclear reaction rates and uncertainties from the 2025 evaluation. We quantify the resulting abundance uncertainties and identify the key nuclear reactions that dominate them. Our results show that both the CO and ONe nova models robustly produce characteristic CNO isotopes. More pronounced abundance differences emerge for elements with A ≥ 20. Sulfur is the most robust observational discriminator between the CO and ONe nova models, with a model-to-model difference of a factor of ≈30 and minimal sensitivity to reaction rate uncertainties. Neon, silicon, and phosphorus exhibit even larger abundance differences (factors of ≈150–250), providing strong diagnostic potential. While their predicted yields are subject to larger uncertainties, these remain smaller than the model-to-model differences, allowing these elements to serve as useful, though less precise, tracers of white-dwarf composition. Chlorine, argon, and potassium also differ between models, but the 1σ-abundance ranges for the CO and ONe models overlap, reducing their present usefulness as composition tracers. We find that only nine nuclear reactions dominate the abundance uncertainties of the most diagnostically important isotopes, and their influence is largely independent of the underlying white-dwarf composition. These results provide guidance for future experimental efforts and for interpreting ejecta compositions in the next eruption of T CrB.

Chemical Abundances↗
DOE OSTI2022

The crystal chemistry of ZrSi

Reported here is a revised crystal structure of β–ZrSi (TlI/CrB structure type), correcting the atomic position and bond distances. The Si–Si bond length has been modified substantially from 2.723(6) Å to 2.4411(8) Å. The β-ZrSi single crystals were grown from an arc-melted button, and were characterized using single crystal X-ray diffraction. A survey of the TlI/CrB structure type shows that changes to the nomenclature would be useful, separating it into four chemically distinct subtypes: TlI, CrB, CaSi, and ThCo. β–ZrSi is an example of the CaSi subtype. α-ZrSi crystallizes in the related FeB structure type, which is also divided here into the subtypes FeB, CeSi, and YNi. The effect of electron count on the relative phase stabilities of the CaSi and CeSi subtypes is rationalized with the aid of the Zintl concept and electronic structure calculations in the Linear Muffin-Tin Orbital (LMTO) basis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Establishing a Theoretical Landscape for Identifying Basal Plane Active 2D Metal Borides (MBenes) toward Nitrogen Electroreduction

Abstract To achieve efficient ammonia synthesis via electrochemical nitrogen reduction reaction (NRR), a qualified catalyst should have both high specific activity and large active surface area. However, integrating these two merits into one single material remains a big challenge due to the difficulty in balancing multiple reaction intermediates. Here, it is demonstrated that the boron‐analogues of MXenes, namely “MBenes”, could cope with the challenge and achieve the high activity and large reaction region simultaneously toward NRR. Using extensive density functional theory computations and taking 16 MBenes as representatives, it is identified that seven MBenes (CrB, MoB, WB, Mo 2 B, V 3 B 4 , CrMnB 2 , and CrFeB 2 ) not only have intrinsic basal plane activity for NRR with limiting potentials ranging from −0.22 to −0.82 V, but also possess superior capability of suppressing the competitive hydrogen evolution reaction. Particularly, different from the MXenes whose surface oxidation may block the active sites, once oxidized, these MBenes can catalyze NRR via the self‐activating process, reducing O*/OH* into H 2 O* under reaction conditions, and favoring the N 2 electroreduction. As a result, the exceptional activity and selectivity, high active area (≈10 19 m −2 ), and antioxidation nature render these MBenes as pH‐universal catalysts for NH 3 production without introducing any dopants and defects.

Guo, Xiangyu↗
DOE OSTI2020

Diverse Thaumarchaeota Dominate Subsurface Ammonia-oxidizing Communities in Semi-arid Floodplains in the Western United States

Subsurface microbial communities mediate biogeochemical transformations that drive both local and ecosystem-level cycling of essential elements, including nitrogen. However, their study has been largely limited to the deep ocean, terrestrial mines, caves, and topsoils (< 30 cm). Here, we present regional insights into the microbial ecology of aerobic ammonia oxidation within the terrestrial subsurface of five semi-arid riparian sites spanning a 900-km N-S transect. We sampled sediments, profiled communities to depths of ≤10 m, and compared them to reveal trends regionally within and surrounding the Upper Colorado River Basin (CRB). The diversity and abundance of ammonia-oxidizing microbial communities were evaluated in the context of subsurface geochemistry by applying a combination of amoA (encoding ammonia monooxygenase subunit A) gene sequencing, quantitative PCR, and geochemical techniques. Analysis of 898 amoA sequences from ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) and bacteria (AOB) revealed extensive ecosystem-scale diversity, including archaeal amoA sequences from four of the five major AOA lineages currently found worldwide as well as distinct AOA ecotypes associated with naturally reduced zones (NRZs) and hydrogeochemical zones (unsaturated, capillary fringe, and saturated). Overall, AOA outnumber AOB by 2- to 5000-fold over this regional scale, suggesting that AOA may play a prominent biogeochemical role in nitrification within terrestrial subsurface sediments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanochemical Solid Form Screening of Zeolitic Imidazolate Frameworks Using Structure-Directing Liquid Additives

We demonstrate a systematic application of the mechanochemical liquid-assisted grinding (LAG) methodology to screen for forms of zinc imidazolate (ZnIm 2 ), of fundamental importance as the simplest member of the zeolitic imidazolate framework materials family. The exploration of 45 different liquid additives, selected based on their molecular structure and physicochemical properties has resulted in eight different ZnIm 2 topological forms, appearing in 13 crystallographically distinct solid forms (including two previously unknown forms of the crb (BCT) topology), amorphous phases, and the interrupted moc-Zn 4 Im 8 HIm. All prepared topological forms were also explored computationally, using dispersion-corrected periodic density functional theory (DFT) calculations, enabling the rationalization of screening outcomes, and setting the stage for future prediction of additive-directed metal–organic framework (MOF) synthesis. This first systematic exploration of LAG in screening for three-dimensional MOFs demonstrates the potential of the liquid additive to not only accelerate materials synthesis, but also to direct it toward topologically different MOFs. The discovery of novel forms of a material that already exhibits at least 21 crystallographically and functionally different forms provides a strong testimony on the power of mechanochemistry in metal–organic materials discovery.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nature of contaminants introduced in silicon wafers during molecular beam epitaxy chamber annealing

Epitaxial monolithic III–V/Si tandem solar cells are one of the most promising technologies to be adopted by the industry after the efficiency of the current market dominating single junction silicon solar cell saturates at its fundamental limit. One of the key limitations of this technology is the degradation of silicon wafers during in situ annealing in the molecular beam epitaxy chamber. Determining the nature of contaminants in this process is key to improve the efficiency of epitaxial tandem solar cells. However, to date, the nature of contaminants from molecular beam epitaxy chambers remains unknown. In this work, we use photoluminescence imaging, lifetime spectroscopy, and deep level transient spectroscopy to measure the electronic properties of extrinsic impurities incorporated during annealing in the molecular beam epitaxy chamber. Photoluminescence images reveal that at least two impurities diffuse into silicon wafers during molecular beam epitaxy annealing. One is highly localized, while the other one is distributed uniformly across the whole wafer. Phosphorus diffusion is found to confine the localized impurity within the diffused layer but is ineffective at preventing the indiffusion of other impurities. Lifetime spectroscopy shows that metastable impurities with characteristic similar to Cr and CrB in our molecular beam epitaxy annealed silicon wafers. No evidence of Fe or FeB was observed. The emission rates and concentrations of the electrically active defects were measured with deep-level transient spectroscopy: The emission rates of detected defects do not match that of known Cr-related defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fathoming the anisotropic magnetoelasticity and magnetocaloric effect in GdNi

Intermetallic GdNi adopts a CrB type of crystal structure (space group Cmcm), and it orders ferromagnetically via a second-order phase transition at 70 K, exhibiting unusually strong spontaneous striction along the three independent crystallographic axes in the ferromagnetically ordered state. Here we introduce a microscopic model to describe anisotropic changes of lattice parameters and elastic contribution to magnetocaloric effect of GdNi. In the model, results of density functional theory (DFT) calculations are used as inputs into a Hamiltonian that includes elastic energy of an anisotropic crystal lattice, exchange interactions, and Zeeman effect. The magnetic and elastic Hamiltonians are coupled through an anisotropic Bean-Rodbell model of magnetoelastic interactions. This coupling gives rise to anisotropic changes in the lattice parameters observed experimentally, and the model reveals good to reasonable agreements between the current theoretical results and earlier experimental data, thus validating the model within the limits of assumptions made. We also show that DFT calculations with 4f electrons of Gd treated as core electrons lead to a more adequate estimate of elastic constants of GdNi in comparison with the LDA + U method where 4f electrons are treated as valence electrons.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multiple magnetic interactions and large inverse magnetocaloric effect in TbSi and TbSi 0.6 Ge 0.4

We present a comprehensive investigation of the electronic structure, magnetization, specific heat, and crystallography of TbSi (FeB structure type) and TbSi 0.6 ⁢Ge 0.4 (CrB structure type) compounds. Both TbSi and TbSi 0.6 ⁢Ge 0.4 exhibit two antiferromagnetic (AFM) transitions at T N⁢1 ≈ 58 and 57 K, and T N⁢2 ≈ 36 and 44 K, respectively, along with an onset of weak metamagneticlike transition around 6 T between T N⁢1 and T N⁢2 . High-resolution specific heat (C P ) measurements show the second- and first-order nature of the magnetic transition at T N⁢1 and T N⁢2 , respectively, for both samples. However, in the case of TbSi, the low-temperature (LT) AFM to high-temperature (HT) AFM transition takes place via an additional AFM phase at the intermediate temperature (IT), where both LT to IT AFM and IT to HT AFM phase transitions exhibit a first-order nature. Both TbSi and TbSi 0.6 ⁢Ge 0.4 manifest significant magnetic entropy changes (Δ⁢S M ) of 9.6 and 11.6 J/kg-K, respectively, for Δ⁢μ 0 ⁢H=7 T, at T N⁢2 . The HT AFM phase of TbSi 0.6 ⁢Ge 0.4 is found to be more susceptible to the external magnetic field, causing a significant broadening in the peaks of Δ⁢S M curves at higher magnetic fields. Temperature- and field-dependent specific-heat data have been utilized to construct the complex HT phase diagram of these compounds. As a result, temperature-dependent x-ray diffraction measurements demonstrate substantial magnetostriction and anisotropic thermal expansion of the unit cell in both samples.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Defect chemistry of Cr-B binary and Cr-Al-B MAB phases: Effects of covalently bonded B networks

Transition metal borides, which are three-dimensional (3D) layered materials containing covalently bonded B networks, have shown a number of excellent properties, such as radiation resistance and the ability to act as a diffusion barrier in integrated circuits. However, defect behavior, which controls many of the materials’ properties, has remained unknown in these materials. In this work, we investigate the effects of the B networks on the defect chemistry in both binary borides (CrB, Cr 3 B 4 , Cr 2 B 3 ) and ternary MAB phases (Cr 2 AlB 2 , Cr 3 AlB 4 , Cr 4 AlB 6 ) using first-principles calculations. We find that increasing the number of B rings in the structure leads to lower formation energies and higher concentrations of Frenkel pairs. The results can be explained by the fact that the strongest Cr-B bond is weakened when borides have more B rings, leading to a reduction in the formation energy of Cr and B vacancies. Also, the bonds associated with Cr atoms bonded within B rings are softer in structures containing more B rings, which allows Cr interstitials to form with a lower energy cost and contributes to an increase in the concentration of Cr interstitials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

statemodify: a Python framework to facilitate accessible exploratory modeling for discovering drought vulnerabilities

The Colorado River Basin (CRB) is experiencing an unprecedented water shortage crisis brought upon by a combination of factors arising from interactions across the region’s coupled human and natural systems. Allocation of water to the seven states that rely on the Colorado River was settled in the Colorado River Compact of 1922 during a period now known to be characterized by atypically high flows (Christensen et al., 2004). Since then, aridification due to anthropogenic-driven warming has steadily reduced the overall water supply available in the basin, with a 10% decrease in the river’s flow occurring over just the past two decades (Bass et al., 2023). The river is further strained by increasing demands associated with a growing population and diverse multi-sectoral demands. Navigating these challenges also requires accounting for the complex prior appropriation water rights system governing water allocation across the region’s diverse users.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Analysis of Space-Conditioning Loads in Commercial Buildings

Space conditioning end-uses, which include heating, cooling, and ventilation, represent a significant fraction of commercial building energy use, with a wide variety of heating and cooling technology options available in the market. In the interest of improving the overall efficiency of heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) technologies, governments, utilities and private sector entities have implemented a variety of market transformation policies that aim to influence consumer purchase decisions. To evaluate the costs and benefits of such programs, analysts typically postulate a hypothetical default equipment choice, and compare it to one that provides comparable service with lower energy and/or power use. The corresponding reduced operating cost provides a benefit that offsets the potential higher cost of improved efficiency. Typically, life-cycle cost or cash-flow analyses are used to quantify the net economic benefit. These analyses require the capability to assess how a given equipment design would perform across a broad range of characteristics, both of the building and of the local weather. While these assessments can be performed using customized building simulations, it is generally not practical to develop and validate detailed building simulation code to cover all the potential variations of equipment design and installation. An alternative, and somewhat simpler, approach is to solely use detailed building simulations to generate time series of heating and cooling loads in commercial buildings. These loads can then be used as input to more detailed, stand-alone engineering models that simulate HVAC system performance under different equipment designs. This approach was used to evaluate a range of high-efficiency commercial packaged air conditioner design options for the Department of Energy’s Appliance and Equipment Standards Program (DOE-EERE 2015). While there may be some loss of precision relative to full simulation, the accuracy of this approach is sufficient for practical applications of cost-benefit analysis. This report describes the development of a database of commercial building heating and cooling loads, generated using the EnergyPlus software package, a whole building energy use model supported by the Department of Energy (DOE-EERE 2020a). EnergyPlus takes as input a set of configuration files that describe the building itself (size, zoning, envelope characteristics, etc.) and the various systems within it (HVAC, lighting, water heating, etc.). This analysis uses a publicly available collection of commercial reference buildings (CRB), comprised of sixteen building types and three vintages (DOE-EERE 2020b; Deru et al 2011). Each building is simulated in eighteen different locations, covering a wide range of climatic conditions. The prototype building description files assign the type of HVAC equipment used, and capacities across climate zones.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

New Blue and Red Variable Stars in NGC 247

Images recorded with the Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph (GMOS) on Gemini South are combined with archival images from other facilities to search for variable stars in the southern half of the nearby disk galaxy NGC 247. Fifteen new periodic and nonperiodic variables are identified. These include three Cepheids with periods <25 days, four semiregular variables, one of which shows light variations similar to those of R CrB stars, five variables with intrinsic visible/red brightnesses and colors that are similar to those of luminous blue variables (LBVs), and three fainter blue variables, one of which may be a noneclipsing close binary system. The S Doradus instability strip defines the upper envelope of a distinct sequence of objects on the (i, g-i) color–magnitude diagram (CMD) of NGC 247. The frequency of variability of an amplitude ≥0.1 magnitude in the part of the CMD that contains LBVs over the seven-month period when the GMOS images were recorded is ~0.2. The light curve of the B[e] supergiant J004702.18–204739.9, which is among the brightest stars in NGC 247, is also examined. Low-amplitude variations on day-to-day timescales are found, coupled with a systematic trend in mean brightness over a six-month time interval.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Ecosystem leaf area, gross primary production, and evapotranspiration responses to wildfire in the Columbia River basin

Wildfires impact vegetation mortality and productivity and are increasing in intensity, frequency, and spatial area in the western United States. The rates of vegetation recovery after fires play a major role in the reestablishment of biomass and ecosystem functioning (e.g., structure, resilience, and productivity), but such recovery rates are poorly understood. Here we use remotely sensed data products from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to quantify the resistance and resilience of leaf area index (LAI), gross primary production (GPP), and evapotranspiration (ET) to 138 wildfires of various burn severity across the Columbia River basin (CRB) of the Pacific Northwest in 2015. Increasing burn severity caused lower resistance and resilience for all three variables. Resistance and resilience are highest in grasslands, intermediate in savanna, and lowest in needleleaf evergreen forests, consistent with the adaptation of these vegetation types to fire. LAI has consistently lower resistance and resilience than GPP and ET, which is consistent with physical and physiological mechanisms that compensate for reduced LAI. Resilience is influenced by precipitation, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and burn severity across all three vegetation types; however, burn severity plays a more minor role in grasslands. Increasing wildfire severity will reduce the resistance and resilience and lengthen the recovery time of vegetation structure and fluxes with climate change, with significant consequences for the provision of ecosystem functioning and implications for model predictions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗