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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Experimental and numerical investigation of fracture conductivity between non-smooth rock surfaces with and without proppant

The enhancement of fracture conductivity is vital for the efficient recovery of subsurface resources, such as geothermal energy and petroleum hydrocarbons. Proppants, granular materials injected into hydraulic fractures to maintain their conductivity, have been studied primarily in the context of smooth fractures (i.e., fractures between smooth rock surfaces). However, non-smooth fractures (i.e., fractures between rough rock surfaces) are common in geoenergy reservoirs and thus require further investigations. In this study, we conducted laboratory measurements of fracture conductivity on shale slabs with non-smooth surfaces and carried out numerical simulation using the lattice Boltzmann (LB) method, which aimed to investigate the conductivity of non-smooth fractures with and without proppants placement. When ceramic proppant with an areal concentration of 2 lb/ft 2 was placed in the fracture, the conductivity was enhanced by roughly 3-8 times compared to fractures without proppant. In fractures with proppant, gas-measured conductivity was higher than that measured with water due to proppant embedment caused by water. The experiments demonstrate the advantages of using proppant in fractures, even if the rock surface roughness can provide certain fracture conductivity via the self-propping mechanism. For fractures without proppants, high rock surface roughness is not necessarily favorable for enhancing fracture conductivity because the self-propping mechanism requires shear slip along the fracture surface. If there is no shear slip, high rock surface roughness can cause a detrimental effect on the fracture conductivity due to the interlocking effect. Utilizing advanced experimental equipment and LB modeling, this research explores the interplays between proppant placement, fracture geometry, and stress conditions to develop a comprehensive understanding of the productivity in non-smooth fractures. Further, the outcomes of this investigation indicate the importance of creating fractures with surface roughness during hydraulic fracturing and will contribute to the development of more efficient stimulation techniques for subsurface energy extraction.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Simulation of Microcapsule Transport in Fractured Media Using Coupled CFD‐DEM

Geothermal energy is sustainable and gaining momentum as a solution to energy crises and environmental issues. However, challenges like production temperature and thermal breakthrough can impact geothermal project efficiency. One innovative solution to alleviate the thermal breakthrough is to inject polymer-based materials that are encapsulated in microcapsules into fractures to modify fracture permeability and prevent preferential flow. In our study, we utilized a coupled computational fluid dynamics and discrete element method to simulate the transport of microcapsules under various scenarios controlled by microcapsule size, microcapsule concentration, and fracture roughness. For a smooth fracture, the results indicate that small microcapsules can travel through a smooth fracture regardless of their concentrations. Large microcapsules can transport through a smooth fracture when present in lower concentrations. However, medium and mixed-size microcapsules tend to cause the sealing of a smooth fracture, irrespective of their concentrations. For a rough fracture, the transport of microcapsules is complicated by their interactions with the rough fracture walls. The presence of two sealing positions in a rough fracture adds further complexity to this transport phenomenon. The size and concentration of microcapsules control one sealing location, while the rough fracture walls determine the other sealing location. The rough walls substantially affect microcapsule transport, rendering the role of microcapsule size and concentration less significant. The simulation results suggest that complex fracture surfaces significantly elevate the occurrence of sealing behavior. To mitigate sealing behavior within more complex fractures, it would be beneficial to use smaller and lower concentrations of microcapsules.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Exploring the effects of molecular beam epitaxy growth characteristics on the temperature performance of state-of-the-art terahertz quantum cascade lasers

This study conducts a comparative analysis, using non-equilibrium Green’s functions (NEGF), of two state-of-the-art two-well (TW) Terahertz Quantum Cascade Lasers (THz QCLs) supporting clean 3-level systems. The devices have nearly identical parameters and the NEGF calculations with an abrupt-interface roughness height of 0.12 nm predict a maximum operating temperature (T max ) of ~ 250 K for both devices. However, experimentally, one device reaches a T max of ~ 250 K and the other a T max of only ~ 134 K. Both devices were fabricated and measured under identical conditions in the same laboratory, with high quality processes as verified by reference devices. The main difference between the two devices is that they were grown in different MBE reactors. Our NEGF-based analysis considered all parameters related to MBE growth, including the maximum estimated variation in aluminum content, growth rate, doping density, background doping, and abrupt-interface roughness height. From our NEGF calculations it is evident that the sole parameter to which a drastic drop in T max could be attributed is the abrupt-interface roughness height. We can also learn from the simulations that both devices exhibit high-quality interfaces, with one having an abrupt-interface roughness height of approximately an atomic layer and the other approximately a monolayer. However, these small differences in interface sharpness are the cause of the large performance discrepancy. This underscores the sensitivity of device performance to interface roughness and emphasizes its strategic role in achieving higher operating temperatures for THz QCLs. We suggest Atom Probe Tomography (APT) as a path to analyze and measure the (graded)-interfaces roughness (IFR) parameters for THz QCLs, and subsequently as a design tool for higher performance THz QCLs, as was done for mid-IR QCLs. Our study not only addresses challenges faced by other groups in reproducing the record T max of ~ 250 K and ~ 261 K but also proposes a systematic pathway for further improving the temperature performance of THz QCLs beyond the state-of-the-art.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

SURFACE FINISHING AND ELECTROLESS NICKEL PLATING OF ADDITIVELY MANUFACTURED (AM) METAL COMPONENTS

This study investigates the application of electroless nickel deposition on additively manufactured stainless steel samples. Current additive manufacturing (AM) technologies produce metal components with a rough surface. Rough surfaces generally exhibit fatigue characteristics, increasing the probability of initiating a crack or fracture to the printed part. For this reason, the direct use of as-produced parts in a finished product cannot be actualized, which presents a challenge. Post-processing of the AM parts is therefore required to smoothen the surface. This study analyzes chempolish (CP) and electropolish (EP) surface finishing techniques for post-processing AM stainless steel components CP has a great advantage in creating uniform, smooth surfaces regardless of size or part geometry EP creates an extremely smooth surface, which reduces the surface roughness to the sub-micrometer level. In this study, we also investigate nickel deposition on EP, CP, and as-built AM components using electroless nickel solutions. Electroless nickel plating is a method of alloy treatment designed to increase manufactured component's hardness and surface resistance to the unrelenting environment. The electroless nickel plating process is more straightforward than its counterpart electroplating.. We use low-phosphorus (2-5% P), medium-phosphorus (6-9% P), and high-phosphorus (10-13% P). These Ni deposition experiments were optimized using the L9 Taguchi design of experiments (TDOE), which compromises the prosperous content in the solution, surface finish, plane of the geometry, and bath temperature. The pre-and post-processed surface of the AM parts was characterized by KEYENCE Digital MicroscopeVHX-7000 and Phenom XL Desktop SEM. The experimental results show that electroless nickel deposition produces uniform Ni coating on the additively manufactured components up to 20 μm per hour. Mechanical properties of as-built and Ni coated AM samples were analyzed by applying a standard 10 N scratch test. Nickel coated AM samples were up to two times scratch resistant compared to the as-built samples. This study suggests electroless nickel plating is a robust viable option for surface hardening and finishing AM components for various applications and operating conditions.

Keywords: additive manufacturing, fatigue, chempol↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Novel Laser-Aided Machining and Polishing Process for Additive Manufacturing Materials with Multiple Endmill Emulating Scan Patterns

In additive manufacturing (AM), the surface roughness of the deposited parts remains significantly higher than the admissible range for most applications. Additionally, the surface topography of AM parts exhibits waviness profiles between tracks and layers. Therefore, post-processing is indispensable to improve surface quality. Laser-aided machining and polishing can be effective surface improvement processes that can be used due to their availability as the primary energy sources in many metal AM processes. While the initial roughness and waviness of the surface of most AM parts are very high, to achieve dimensional accuracy and minimize roughness, a high input energy density is required during machining and polishing processes although such high energy density may induce process defects and escalate the phenomenon of wavelength asperities. In this paper, we propose a systematic approach to eliminate waviness and reduce surface roughness with the combination of laser-aided machining, macro-polishing, and micro-polishing processes. While machining reduces the initial waviness, low energy density during polishing can minimize this further. The average roughness (Ra=1.11μm) achieved in this study with optimized process parameters for both machining and polishing demonstrates a greater than 97% reduction in roughness when compared to the as-built part.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fatigue performance of laser powder bed fusion hydride-dehydride Ti-6Al-4V powder

We report hydride-dehydride (HDH) Ti-6Al-4V alloy with particle size distribution of 50–120 µm is laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF) processed using optimum processing parameters and a near-fully dense structure with a density of 99.9 % is achieved. Microstructural observations and phase analyses indicate formation of columnar β grains with acicular α/α' phases in as-built condition. The roughness of the as-fabricated samples is significant with an average roughness of R a = 15.71 ± 3.96 µm and a root mean square roughness of R rms = 108.4 ± 24.9 µm, however, both values are reduced to R a = 0.19 ± 0.04 µm and R rms = 4.9 ± 0.6 µm after mechanical grinding. Mechanical tests are carried out on as-fabricated specimens followed by stress relief treatment. All samples are tested to failure in fatigue, under fully-reversed tension-compression conditions of R = –1. The as-built samples failed from the surface with crack initiation mainly at micro-notches, whereas after mechanically grinding, crack initiation changed to subsurface defects such as pores. Minimizing surface roughness by mechanically grinding eliminates surface micro-notches which improves fatigue strength in the high cycle fatigue region. Fatigue notch factor calculations showed that the effect of surface roughness was significantly lower when HDH powder is used compared to standard spherical powder. X-ray diffraction analysis revealed an in-plane compressive stress, micro-strain and grain refinement on the surface of the mechanically ground samples. Fractography observations (macroscale) revealed a fully brittle fracture in the first stage of crack growth with a transition to a dominantly ductile fracture in the third stage of crack growth. On the other hand, at the micro scale, even the brittle fracture regions showed evidence of ductile fracture within the α' martensite laths.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Smoother Surfaces Enhance Diffusion of Nanorods in Entangled Polymer Melts

Coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations are used to study the diffusion of thin nanorods in entangled polymer melts for varying nanorod length and roughness. While prior studies observed a nanorod parallel diffusion constant scaling inversely with rod length D ∥ ~ l –1 , here, we show that this scaling is not universal and depends sensitively on the nanorod surface roughness. We observe D ∥ ~ l –k , where k < 1 and decreases with decreasing surface roughness. The weaker scaling is driven by the non-Gaussian diffusion of nanorods due to the emergence of an intermittent hopping process that becomes more pronounced with decreasing roughness at the monomer scale. Analysis shows that the mean hop size grows for smoother rods but shows little to no variation with rod length. The mean hopping frequency shows no dependence on either rod length or roughness, suggesting it originates from the polymer melt environment. Further, our results show that the small-scale features of the nanorod surface strongly influence the large-scale and long-time transport of nanorods in polymer matrices, creating new material design opportunities for precisely engineered nanocomposites.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Wetting transition and fluid trapping in a microfluidic fracture

Immiscible fluid–fluid displacement in confined geometries is a fundamental process occurring in many natural phenomena and technological applications, from geological CO 2 sequestration to microfluidics. Due to the interactions between the fluids and the solid walls, fluid invasion undergoes a wetting transition from complete displacement at low displacement rates to leaving a film of the defending fluid on the confining surfaces at high displacement rates. While most real surfaces are rough, fundamental questions remain about the type of fluid–fluid displacement that can emerge in a confined, rough geometry. Here, we study immiscible displacement in a microfluidic device with a precisely controlled structured surface as an analogue for a rough fracture. We analyze the influence of the degree of surface roughness on the wetting transition and the formation of thin films of the defending liquid. We show experimentally, and rationalize theoretically, that roughness affects both the stability and dewetting dynamics of thin films, leading to distinct late-time morphologies of the undisplaced (trapped) fluid. Finally, we discuss the implications of our observations for geologic and technological applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Extending the capillary wave model to include the effect of bending rigidity: X-ray reflectivity and diffuse scattering

The surface roughness of a thin film at a liquid interface exhibits contributions of thermally excited fluctuations. This thermal roughness depends on temperature (𝑇), surface tension (𝛾), and elastic material properties, specifically the bending modulus (𝜅) of the film. A nonzero 𝜅 suppresses the thermal roughness at small length scales compared to an interface with zero 𝜅, as expressed by the power spectral density of the thermal roughness. The description of the x-ray scattering of the standard capillary wave model (CWM), which is valid for zero 𝜅, is extended to include the effect of 𝜅. The extended CWM (eCWM) provides a single analytical form for both the specular x-ray reflectivity (XRR) and the diffuse scattering around the specular reflection, and recovers the expression of the CWM at its zero 𝜅 limit. This theoretical approach enables the use of single-shot grazing incidence x-ray off-specular scattering (GIXOS) measurements for characterizing the structure of thin films on a liquid surface. The eCWM analysis approach decouples the thermal roughness factor from the surface scattering signal, providing direct access to the intrinsic surface-normal structure of the film and its bending modulus. Moreover, the eCWM facilitates the calculation of reflectivity at any desired resolution (pseudo-XRR approach). The transformation into pseudo-XRR provides the benefit of using widely available XRR software to perform GIXOS analysis. The extended range of the vertical scattering vector (𝑄 𝑧 ) available with the GIXOS pseudo-XRR approach allows for a higher spatial resolution than with conventional XRR. Experimental results are presented for various lipid systems, showing strong agreement between conventional specular XRR and pseudo-XRR methods. This agreement validates the proposed approach and highlights its utility for analyzing soft, thin films.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ion irradiation effects on Cr-coated zircaloy-4 surface wettability and pool boiling critical heat flux.

The concept of coating the currently used nuclear fuel cladding (zirconium-based alloy, typically Zircaloy-4 or Zirc-4) with an oxidation preventive layer is a progressing Accident tolerant Fuel (ATF) candidate alloys. The coated Zirc-4-based alloys could be a solution to suppress undesirable fast reaction kinetics with high-temperature steam. Zirc-4 has been the most preferred cladding material in pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Chromium (Cr) based alloys as a coating material provides excellent corrosion protection and good strength and wear resistance. In this paper, we present the surface wettability measurements and pool boiling Critical Heat Flux (CHF) for Cr-coated Zirc-4 claddings pre- and post-exposure to an ion irradiation environment. The wettability measurements, including static contact angle (contact angle, θ) and average surface roughness (surface roughness, Ra), are introduced for samples of different coating thicknesses (5–30 μm thick). The coatings fabricated by the cold spray of Cr-Al particles to 10 mm × 10 mm × 1.95 mm Zirc-4 substrates. Post fabrication, a Pilgering (cold rolling) process, was applied to finalize the coating thickness and resulted in a significant reduction in surface roughness of initially fabricated rough surfaces. The process produced three distinguished samples 5-μm unpolished (as machined), 5-μm, and 30-μm polished (cold rolled). The measurements are presented for the three surfaces and bare Zirc-4 as a baseline surface. The contact angle analyses were implemented in theoretical models from the literature to predict pool boiling CHF. Pool boiling experiments were conducted to measure the pool boiling CHF values and compare them to the predicted values. Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM) images and Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (EDS) analysis was performed to characterize the surfaces for better understanding and interpreting the results. The SEM images showed localized surface damage due to ion irradiation. No recognized change in the measured surface roughness due to ion irradiation. The contact angles of irradiated Cr-coated surfaces are consistently higher (10°) than pre-irradiated surfaces. Decreasing the Cr-coating layer thickness resulted in lower contact angle pre- and post- ion irradiation. The predicted pool boiling CHF using the Kandlikar model is in good agreement with the experimentally measured CHF values within ±12% for all samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Co‐Evolution of Specific Stiffness and Permeability of Rock Fractures Offset in Shear

Abstract Fractures and faults represent planes of weakness and compliance in rock masses that serve as focal points for both microearthquakes and fluid transport, with seismicity and permeability evolution closely linked. Contact stiffness is highly stress‐sensitive and directly influences permeability. We explore the co‐evolution of specific stiffness and permeability of rough fractures under normal stress and shear offset using numerical simulations. Individual rough fractures are represented by variable amplitude (Root mean square) and wavelength ( λ ) using a granular mechanics model. Contacting rough surfaces are mated, offset in shear, and then compacted in displacement mode. The compacting fractures generate stress‐dependent changes in contact porosity, which govern both permeability and stiffness evolution. We establish a universal dimensionless relationship linking specific stiffness and permeability that inherently incorporates the effects of surface roughness, shear offset, and microcracking. The observed cracking effect—where local stress redistribution and pressure‐driven microcrack propagation dynamically alter the aperture field—introduces a nonlinear permeability response at high stress. Increased roughness amplitude and larger shear offsets reduce stiffness while dampening permeability sensitivity to stress, demonstrating a strong interplay between surface texture and hydro‐mechanical behavior. While the model captures this behavior effectively, deviations emerge at very low porosities due to extreme aperture sensitivity in this limit.

He, Xinxin [Energy and Mineral Engineering Pennsyl↗
DOE OSTI2022

Electron beam surface remelting enhanced corrosion resistance of additively manufactured Ti-6Al-4V as a potential in-situ re-finishing technique

This study explores the effect of surface re-finishing on the corrosion behavior of electron beam manufactured (EBM) Ti-G5 (Ti-6Al-4V), including the novel application of an electron beam surface remelting (EBSR) technique. Specifically, the relationship between material surface roughness and corrosion resistance was examined. Surface roughness was tested in the as-printed (AP), mechanically polished (MP), and EBSR states and compared to wrought (WR) counterparts. Electrochemical measurements were performed in chloride-containing media. It was observed that surface roughness, rather than differences in the underlying microstructure, played a more significant role in the general corrosion resistance in the environment explored here. While both MP and EBSR methods reduced surface roughness and enhanced corrosion resistance, mechanical polishing has many known limitations. The EBSR process explored herein demonstrated positive preliminary results. The surface roughness (R a ) of the EBM-AP material was considerably reduced by 82%. Additionally, the measured corrosion current density in 0.6 M NaCl for the EBSR sample is 0.05 µA cm –2 , five times less than the value obtained for the EBM-AP specimen (0.26 µA cm –2 ).

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Revisiting heat treatment and surface activation of GaAs photocathodes: In situ studies using scanning tunneling microscopy and photoelectron spectroscopy

The lifetime of GaAs photocathodes in polarized electron guns is limited due to the delicate activation layer. An atomically clean and smooth GaAs surface is needed to deposit a robust activation layer, such as Cs 2 Te, with longer lifetime compared to traditional (Cs,O) activation. A previous experiment with Cs 2 Te activation on GaAs used heat cleaning temperatures around 400°C to avoid an increase in surface roughness [Bae et al., Appl. Phys. Lett. 112, 154101 (2018)]. Furthermore, high-temperature heat cleaning around 580°C, which results in a relatively contamination-free surface, could be one possible way to improve quantum efficiency. However, one should be cautious about surface roughness degradation during high-temperature heat cleaning. In this paper, we report results of surface roughness measurements on native, heat cleaned, and (Cs,O) activated GaAs photocathodes under vacuum. The results, measured by ultrahigh vacuum scanning tunneling microscopy, show that the surface roughness improves as the heat cleaning temperature is increased, by at least a factor of three for 580°C heat cleaning, compared to the native sample. Activation with (Cs,O) is shown to increase surface roughness by a factor of four compared to a 580°C heat cleaned sample. This confirms that high-temperature heat cleaning can be useful for depositing good quality robust activation layers on GaAs. Additionally, we also report chemical analysis for each step of preparation for p-doped GaAs photocathodes using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), angle-resolved XPS, and ultraviolet photoelectron spectroscopy. Our results indicate that the (Cs,O) activation layer forms a sandwich structure consists of Cs and oxygen. We found no formation of any specific compound such as Cs 2 O or Cs 11 O 3 .

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Rheology of concentrated fiber suspensions with a load-dependent friction coefficient

Here we investigate the effects of fiber aspect ratio, roughness, flexibility, and volume fraction on the rheology of concentrated suspensions in a steady shear flow using direct numerical simulations. We model the fibers as inextensible continuous flexible slender bodies with the Euler-Bernoulli beam equation governing their dynamics suspended in an incompressible Newtonian fluid. The fiber dynamics and fluid flow coupling is achieved using the immersed boundary method. In addition, the fiber surface roughness might lead to interfiber contacts, resulting in normal and tangential forces between the fibers, which follow Coulomb’s law of friction. The surface roughness is modeled as hemispherical protrusions on the fiber surfaces. Their deformation results in a normal load-dependent friction coefficient. Our simulations accurately predict the experimentally observed shear thinning in fiber suspensions. Furthermore, we find that the suspension viscosity η increases with increasing the volume fraction, roughness, fiber rigidity, and aspect ratio. The increase in η is the macroscopic manifestation of a similar increase in the microscopic contact contribution to the total stress with these parameters. In addition, we observe positive and negative first N 1 and second N 2 normal stress differences, respectively, with |N 2 | < |N 1 |, in agreement with previous experiments. Last, we propose a modified Maron-Pierce law to quantify the reduction in the jamming volume fraction by increasing the fiber aspect ratio and roughness. Our results and analysis establish the use of fiber surface tribology to tune the suspension flow behavior.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

U.S. Renewables Portfolio Standards 2021 Status Update: Early Release

Berkeley Lab’s annual status report on U.S. renewables portfolio standards (RPS) provides an overview of key trends associated with U.S. state RPS policies. The report, published in slide-deck form, describes recent legislative revisions, key policy design features, compliance with interim targets, past and projected impacts on renewables development, and compliance costs. The 2021 Early Release, published in lieu of a 2020 edition, presents historical data through year-end 2019, with some limited results for the year 2020. Key trends from this edition of the report include the following: Evolution of state RPS programs: States continue to refine and revise their RPS policies. Among other significant changes since the start of 2019, eight states enacted higher RPS targets or created new clean-energy/zero-carbon targets (AZ, DC, MD, NM, NV, VA, WA), in most cases setting targets equal to at least 50% of retail sales. Historical impacts on renewables development: Roughly half of all growth in U.S. renewable electricity (RE) generation and capacity since 2000 is associated with state RPS requirements, though that percentage has declined in recent years, representing 23% of all U.S. RE capacity additions in 2019. However, within particular regions-namely, the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic-RPS policies continue to serve a central role in motivating RE growth. Future RPS demand and incremental needs: RPS demand growth through 2030 will require roughly 90 GW of new RE capacity and will require total U.S. non-hydro RE generation to reach 17% of electricity sales (compared to 12% in 2019). Relative to EIA projections, this amounts to roughly one-third of projected RE growth over the next decade. RPS target achievement to-date: States have generally met their interim RPS targets in recent years, with only a few exceptions reflecting unique, state-specific issues. REC pricing trends: Prices for NEPOOL Class I RECs rose steeply over 2019, reaching $40/MWh and remaining at roughly that level over 2020. PJM Tier I REC prices continued to rise at a modest pace over the course of 2020, reaching $10/MWh by year-end. Prices for solar RECs remained relatively stable over 2020, and continue to exhibit wide variation across states, with the highest prices ($200-450/MWh) in NJ, MA, and DC.RPS compliance costs and cost caps: RPS compliance costs in 2019 averaged roughly 2.6% of retail electricity bills in RPS states, compared to 2.3% in 2018, with costs in most states ranging from 0.5% to 4.5% of retail electricity bills.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2023

U.S. State Renewables Portfolio & Clean Electricity Standards: 2023 Status Update [Slides]

This report provides an overview and status update on U.S. state renewables portfolio standards (RPS) and has been expanded from previous editions to also cover 100% clean electricity standards (CES) adopted by a growing number of states. The report, published in slide-deck form along with accompanying data files, describes recent legislative revisions, key policy design features, compliance with interim targets, past and projected impacts on clean electricity development, and compliance costs. The 2023 edition presents historical data through year-end 2022 and projections out to 2050. Key trends from this edition of the report include the following: -Evolution of state RPS and CES programs: States continue to refine and revise their RPS policies, often by adopting higher targets and/or broader CES policies. Among the 29 states plus DC with an RPS, 16 states have RPS targets of at least 50% of retail sales, and 17 states have a 100% CES or RPS target. -Historical impacts on renewables development: Roughly half of all growth in U.S. renewable electricity (RE) generation and capacity since 2000 is associated with state RPS requirements, though that percentage has declined in recent years, representing 30% of all U.S. RE capacity additions in 2022. Within some regions, particularly the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, RPS policies play a more central role in motivating RE growth. -Future RPS and CES demand and incremental needs: RPS and CES policies will require roughly 300 terawatt-hours (TWh) of additional clean electricity supply by 2030 and 800 TWh by 2050, requiring total U.S. non-hydro RE generation to reach 28% of electricity sales by 2050 (compared to 17% today). This amounts to roughly one-quarter of EIA’s projected RE growth through 2050. -RPS target achievement to-date: States have generally met their interim RPS targets in recent years, with only a few exceptions reflecting unique, state-specific issues. Most CES targets are not yet in force. -Renewable energy certificate (REC) pricing trends: Prices for NEPOOL Class I RECs remained at roughly $\$40$ /MWh over the past year, just below alternative compliance payment (ACP) rates in the larger state markets, while PJM Tier I REC prices continued to rise, reaching $\$30$ /MWh by year-end. Prices for solar RECs (or SRECs) remained relatively stable, and continue to exhibit wide variation across states, with the highest prices ($\$200-450$ /MWh) in NJ, MA, and DC. -RPS compliance costs: RPS compliance costs average roughly 3.5% of retail electricity bills across RPS states, though vary widely from state to state, with the highest costs (8-12% of retail bills) in states with solar carve-outs and high SREC prices.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2021

The effects of storms and a transient sandy veneer on the interannual planform evolution of a low-relief coastal cliff and shore platform at Sargent Beach, Texas, USA

Coastal cliff erosion is alongshore-variable and episodic, with retreat rates that depend upon sediment as either tools of abrasion or protective cover. However, the feedbacks between coastal cliff planform morphology, retreat rate, and sediment cover are poorly quantified. This study investigates Sargent Beach, Texas, USA, at the annual to interannual scale to explore (1) the relationship between temporal and spatial variability in cliff retreat rate, roughness, and sinuosity and (2) the response of retreat rate and roughness to changes in sand and shell hash cover of the underlying mud substrate as well as the impact of major storms using field measurements of sediment cover, erosion, and aerial images to measure shore platform morphology and retreat. A storm event in 2009 increased the planform roughness and sinuosity of the coastal cliff at Sargent Beach. Following the storm, aerial-image-derived shorelines with annual resolution show a decrease in average alongshore erosion rates from 12 to 4 m yr –1 , coincident with a decrease in shoreline roughness and sinuosity (smoothing). Like the previous storm, a storm event in 2017 increased the planform roughness and sinuosity of the cliff. Over shorter timescales, monthly retreat of the sea cliff occurred only when the platform was sparsely covered with sediment cover on the shore platform, indicating that the tools and cover effects can significantly affect short-term erosion rates. The timescale to return to a smooth shoreline following a storm or roughening event, given a steady-state erosion rate, is approximately 24 years, with the long-term rate suggesting a maximum of ~107 years until Sargent Beach breaches, compromising the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway (GIWW) under current conditions and assuming no future storms or intervention. The observed retreat rate varies, both spatially and temporally, with cliff face morphology, demonstrating the importance of multi-scale measurements and analysis for interpretation of coastal processes and patterns of cliff retreat.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗