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Report on RIA Relevant Modified Burst Testing of ATF Cladding Materials

The mechanical performance of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding candidates in light-water reactors (LWRs) must be similar to or better than that of current conventional nuclear fuel claddings to reduce dose to the public and ensure a that the core coolable geometry is maintained during a postulated reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) in light-water reactors (LWRs). During an RIA event, the rapid thermal expansion of nuclear fuel can deform the cladding once the fuel–cladding gap closes. In some cases, the pellet–cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) can induce mechanical failure in ATF candidates. Thus, the mechanical response of ATF cladding must be investigated by mimicking the conditions of RIA and potentially performing Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) experiments to establish or verify the safety envelope. The work presented in this report investigated the failure behavior of as-received, hydrided, and chromium-coated (Cr-coated) Zircaloy-4 (Zry-4) cladding tube under strain-driven mechanical conditions, mimicking postulated RIA loading conditions. Mechanical testing was performed at 300°C via modified burst test (MBT) equipment with pulse width control previously developed under the Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Advanced Fuel Campaign (AFC). The mechanical strains were determined using 2D digital image correlation (DIC) techniques. The base Zry-4 acquired by Cameco Inc. was in stress-relieved annealed (SRA) condition. Because of the observed large deformation of the cladding tubes, the failure strain definition was updated for the MBT, which can also be applied to other tube tests where significant bulging (out-of-plane deformation) is present. The failure strain was determined to be affected by the speed of the test or the RIA event. As the RIA-like event duration decreased from 75 to 15 ms, the failure strain decreased 5, 7 and 1% for as-received, hydrided, and Cr-coated specimens, respectively. Fractography on the Cr-coated specimens indicated the presence of two failure mechanisms: (i) crenulation at the outer surface of the coating due to the tensile tractional forces along with coatings grain microstructure and (ii) formation of critical defect at the coating/cladding interface that initiated coating rupture after severe plastic deformation of the Zry- 4 substrate. Based on the MBT results and fractography observations, performing mechanical property testing at high strain rates—in particular on Cr-coated tubes—and semi-integral TREAT experiments are required future efforts to ensure ATF cladding performance during transients. The testing recommended would also inform the development of long-term generalized cladding technologies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Irradiation creep measurement and microstructural analysis of chromium nitride–coated zirconium alloy using pressurized tubes

Environmental barrier coatings for Zr-based materials are currently under development to reduce oxidation and embrittlement in light-water reactors. Chromium nitride is one such candidate for this application, particularly as accident-tolerant fuel cladding. However, quantifying the impact of coatings on the irradiation-induced creep of zircaloy (Zry) is critical as this mechanism often exceeds thermal creep rates under light-water reactor operating conditions and can be a limiting design characteristic. Additionally, examining irradiation effects in the microstructure at the coating interface is key to understanding the compatibility of the material system. Here, to accelerate the experimental measurement of irradiation creep and microstructure evolution in CrN-Zry, compact, pressurized creep tubes were fabricated and irradiated in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Miniature, thin-walled rodlets fabricated from annealed Zr-Sn barstock were coated with CrN using physical vapor deposition (PVD) to nominal thicknesses of 4 and 8 μm. Coated and uncoated rodlet specimens were internally pressurized and welded, generating nominal circumferential hoop stresses of 0, 90, or 180 MPa under 300°C irradiation conditions. Twelve specimens were measured diametrically prior to irradiation using a low-cost, automated, contactless laser profilometer developed for this work. Specimens were irradiated in sealed capsules for one 25-day HFIR cycle, accumulating approximately 1.8 $\times$ 10 21 n/cm 2 fast fluence (E n > 10 MeV). The irradiated samples were retrieved and remeasured using the same profilometry system in a shielded hot cell facility. Irradiation creep between specimens was compared using standard statistical tests and showed that both thicknesses of CrN coating had a negligible effect on the irradiation creep strain of the Zry material. Microstructure characterization of pre- and post-irradiated CrN-Zry specimens showed minimal changes due to irradiation but did show a substantial O-rich region at the Zry-CrN interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Combined modeling and experiments to predict corrosion and embrittlement in dual-phase stainless steels within the MARMOT framework

Extending service of Light Water Reactors (LWRs) to beyond 60 years will demand high integrity of materials and components in the reactors. The accurate evaluation and prediction of materials performance under anticipated operating conditions are of particular importance for ensuring the safety of nuclear power plants over their extended lifetime. Stainless steels are extensively used as structural alloys in light water reactor (LWR) systems because of their excellent combination of mechanical properties and corrosion resistance. Austenitic stainless steel welds and cast austenitic stainless steels (CASS) contain significant amounts of ferrite ~5-30% and are ubiquitous in LWR piping (elbows, pump casings, valves) and internal structural components. During their lifetime, these components are subjected to thermal aging at the temperature range of 288-327°C for pressurized water reactors (PWR). A phase transformation within the ferrite phase of these materials leads to embrittlement and degradation in corrosion resistance, which undermines the materials selection criteria.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Pressurized Water Reactor Gadolinia Pin Location Optimization

This report presents the results of lattice optimization studies performed to find optimum locations for gadolinia burnable absorber (BA) rods in pressurized water reactor (PWR) lattice fuel designs. Initial excess reactivity suppression allows core designers to further improve operational economics by extending cycle length. Gadolinia BAs are commonly used in boiling water reactor assembly designs for this purpose. In recent years, gadolinia absorbers have been used in PWR designs owing to their longer effectiveness for reactivity suppression compared with common BAs used in PWR assemblies. This report examines the optimum gadolinia pin placement in 17 × 17 PWR lattices at different fuel and gadolinia concentrations for optimized lattice performance, using the SCALE/Polaris lattice physics code. The completed work is continuation of the Light Water Reactor LEU+ Lattice Optimization (ORNL/TM-2021/2366) project. An optimization driver called the metaheuristic optimization tool (MOT) is used to automate domain space exploration and optimization of the lattice designs. Heuristics from previous light-water reactor (LWR) lattice optimization studies were used to construct the objective function and define the domain space for optimization. This work successfully demonstrated that the optimization algorithms of MOT can generate feasible, nonproprietary PWR lattice designs with gadolinia.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Effects of Radiation-Induced Defects on Corrosion

The next generation of nuclear reactors will expose materials to conditions that, in some cases, are even more extreme than those in current fission reactors, inevitably leading to new materials science challenges. Radiation-induced damage and corrosion are two key phenomena that must be understood both independently and synergistically, but their interactions are often convoluted. In the light water reactor community, a tremendous amount of work has been done to illuminate irradiation-corrosion effects, and similar efforts are under way for heavy liquid metal and molten salt environments. While certain effects, such as radiolysis and irradiation-assisted stress corrosion cracking, are reasonably well established, the basic science of how irradiation-induced defects in the base material and the corrosion layer influence the corrosion process still presents many unanswered questions. In this review, we summarize the work that has been done to understand these coupled extremes, highlight the complex nature of this problem, and identify key knowledge gaps.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CASL Annual Report (FY2018)

The Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) was established in July 2010 as the first US Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Innovation Hub. The consortium was initially funded for five years to develop advanced modeling and simulation (M&S) tools that can be used to analyze issues associated with the operation of US commercial light water reactors (LWRs). During this period, the program focused primarily on capabilities to solve challenges related to pressurized water reactor (PWR) operation. In January 2015, the program was extended for an additional five years with the goal of finalizing development and deployment of CASL tools for PWR analysis and extending the program’s tools for use in small modular reactor (SMR) operation and boiling water reactor (BWR) analyses. In February 2018, the CASL program was authorized to receive additional funds to focus on the use of advanced M&S tools in a regulatory environment.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Oxidation Resistance in 1200°C Steam of a FeCrAl Alloy Fabricated by Three Metallurgical Processes

Abstract FeCrAl alloys are a leading candidate material for accident tolerant fuel cladding due to their good performance in both normal light-water reactor operating conditions as well as their resilience to high-temperature accident scenarios. For commercial-scale production, new fabrication techniques need to be investigated. In this study, the effects of fabrication methods on the high-temperature steam oxidation performance of C26M (Fe12Cr6Al2Mo in wt.%) were investigated. Three variants of C26M were manufactured: wrought (cast and forged) (WC26M), powder metallurgy hot isostatic pressing (PMC26M), and laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing (AMC26M). All three variants were exposed to steam at 1200°C for 2 h. Results showed no significant variation in mass change between the variants after steam exposure. All three variants effectively formed stable protective alumina films with ~0.6–1.3 µ m thickness. This study suggests FeCrAl alloys have excellent resilience to high-temperature steam in nuclear reactor accident scenarios regardless of the fabrication method.

Materials Science↗

Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Supply Chain (NFCSC) Technical Monthly September FY-24

AFC hosted the Light Water Reactor (LWR) Fuels Research Workshop and Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) Collaborative Research on Advanced Fuel Technologies (CRAFT) Meeting September 9-13, 2024. The Department of Energy's (DOE) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) program is pivotal in advancing clean energy through collaborative innovation in fuel technology for light water reactors (LWRs). For over a decade, AFC has engaged a wide array of stakeholders—researchers, industry participants, and regulatory bodies—both within the U.S. and internationally to develop ATF technology. This initiative aims to enhance the safety and economic performance of both Pressurized Water Reactors (PWRs) and LWRs. To foster community relationships and disseminate research, AFC initiated annual LWR Fuel workshops in 2024, supplementing ongoing industry-led CRAFT workshops.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Screening and qualification methodology for SiC end plug processing methods

Deployment of SiC-ceramic-based fuel cladding for light water reactors requires a hermetic end plug–to–cladding joint that can withstand neutron irradiation during normal operation and maintain integrity during design-basis accidents. Reactor experiments have shown that some SiC composite tubes with SiC end plugs can retain hermeticity after irradiation. However, achieving consistent joint performance under irradiation remains a key challenge. Resolving this issue is essential to enable integral irradiation testing and to demonstrate fuel integrity under commercial-reactor irradiation conditions. This report aims to: (1) provide guidance for designing radiation-tolerant end plug joints for SiC cladding; (2) demonstrate experimental methods to detect processing defects that are unstable under neutron irradiation at light-water-reactor-relevant temperatures and doses; and (3) outline a step-by-step approach for designing and conducting reactor experiments to screen joining methods. The resulting data will be used to improve joint processing and to define critical defect types and sizes that must be detected and eliminated through non-destructive evaluation for quality assurance. Based on prior irradiation experiments at the High Flux Isotope Reactor, differential swelling among the cladding, bonding layer, and end plug was identified as an underlying mechanism for irradiation-induced joint degradation. Accordingly, this effect must be considered in the design of radiation-tolerant joining techniques. In this work, miniature SiC end plug joint specimens irradiated during the previous project were analyzed using X-ray computed tomography to characterize the joint microstructure. Digital volume correlation of the tomography data quantified radiation-induced microstructural changes and enabled evaluation of defect-related risks. Finally, ongoing neutron irradiation efforts using larger specimen volumes are presented. These efforts aim to statistically assess joint performance and to build a microstructure–performance (e.g., leak-tightness) dataset to inform processing improvements and quality control.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Design of a Loss of Coolant Blowdown Capsule for Remote Assembly with High Burnup Fuel

The Transient Water Irradiation System is an enhanced capability capsule type irradiation vehicle designed to support fuel safety research for light water reactor specimens in the Transient Reactor Test Facility and is designed to simulate loss of coolant and reactivity-initiated accidents. The capsule was designed, deployed, and commissioned with fresh fuel specimens to validate instrumentation and prepare for previously irradiated high burnup specimens. The irradiation system features an extensive in-situ instrumentation package to detect phenomena typical to light water reactor fuels. To accommodate the assembly with high burnup specimens inside the Hot Fuel Examination Facility, and to ensure instrumentation integrity is maintained throughout assembly, the design was updated to support remote handling. The updated design features a hinge mechanism which allows for remote pre-irradiated specimen loading and assembly while protecting sensitive instrumentation by relocating during loading. Fixtures and equipment have been developed to handle the experiment capsule and components in cell, and to support remote assembly. The experiment module also includes radiation shielding and contamination control to support operations after removal from the hot cell.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Hermeticity of SiC/SiC composite and monolithic SiC tubes irradiated under radial high-heat flux

Demonstration of hermetic SiC fiber–reinforced SiC matrix composite cladding under normal operating environments has been identified as one of the most critical feasibility issues for accident-tolerant fuel cladding in light-water reactors. This study provides critical experimental data needed for understanding the effects of irradiation on hermeticity. SiC composite and monolithic tubes were neutron-irradiated to 2 displacements per atom with and without a nominal radial heat flux of 0.6 MW/m2 to produce a simulated in-pile stress state for the normal operation of a light-water reactor. The through-thickness temperature gradient under irradiation results in a gradient in swelling, which causes a significant stress buildup. Such irradiation-induced stress was modeled using a commercial finite element analysis code. The radial heat flux–irradiation synergism was experimentally investigated by constructing a special irradiation capsule and evaluating the helium hermeticity of the specimens. The simulated stress state exhibited a near equi-biaxial tensile axial and hoop stress of ~150 MPa at the inner surface of the SiC composite tube. This stress level is potentially beyond the matrix cracking stress. Degradation of hermeticity of the SiC composite tubes was observed after irradiation, indicating irradiation-induced cracking, whereas the irradiated monolithic SiC tubes remained hermetic. In conclusion, the results indicate that loss of hermeticity caused by radiation-induced microcracking is a potential issue for SiC composite cladding, depending on the magnitude of the temperature gradients. Coating the outer surface of the cladding was identified as a mitigation strategy that might overcome the cracking issue.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CTF Theory Manual: Version 4.4

Coolant-Boiling in Rod Arrays – Two Fluids (COBRA-TF) is a thermal/hydraulic (T/H) simulation code designed for light-water reactor (LWR) vessel analysis. It uses a two-fluid, three-field (i.e., fluid film, fluid drops, and vapor) modeling approach. Both subchannel and 3D Cartesian forms of its governing equations are available for the solution. The code was originally developed by Pacific Northwest Laboratory in 1980 and has been used and modified by several institutions over the last few decades. COBRA-TF also found use at the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) by the Reactor Dynamics and Fuel Modeling Group (RDFMG) and has been improved, updated, and subsequently rebranded as CTF. CTF was later adopted in the early 2010s by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for use in the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) program, which led to a significant advancement of the code’s software quality, modeling accuracy, testing systems, and capabilities for improved support in modeling common LWR nominal and transient behavior. As part of the improvement process, it was necessary to generate sufficient documentation for the public domain code which had lacked such material upon being adopted by RDFMG. This document serves as a theory manual for CTF, detailing the many two-phase heat transfer, drag, and important accident scenario models contained in the code, as well as the numerical solution process utilized. Additional documents available in the CTF documentation suite include the user manual and the verification and validation manual.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

CTF Theory Manual: Version 4.3

Coolant-Boiling in Rod Arrays—Two Fluids (COBRA-TF) is a thermal/hydraulic (T/H) simulation code designed for light water reactor (LWR) vessel analysis. It uses a two-fluid, three-field (i.e., fluid film, fluid drops, and vapor) modeling approach. Both subchannel and three-dimensional Cartesian forms of its governing equations are available for the solution. The code was originally developed by Pacific Northwest Laboratory in 1980, and had been used and modified by several institutions over the last few decades. COBRA-TF also found use at the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) by the Reactor Dynamics and Fuel Modeling Group (RDFMG) and has been improved, updated, and subsequently rebranded as CTF. CTF was later adopted in the early 2010s by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for use in the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) program, which led to a significant advancement of the code software quality, modeling accuracy, testing systems, and capabilities for improved support of modeling of common LWR nominal and transient behavior. As part of the improvement process, it was necessary to generate sufficient documentation for the public domain code which had lacked such material upon being adopted by RDFMG. This document serves as a theory manual for CTF, detailing the many two-phase heat transfer, drag, and important accident scenario models contained in the code, as well as the numerical solution process utilized. Additional documents available in the CTF documentation suite include the user manual and verification and validation manual.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

BISON capability and validation for U3Si2, Cr2O3-doped UO2, FeCrAl, and Cr-coated Zircaloy ATF concepts

Development, implementation, and validation of material and behavior models for accident tolerant fuel (ATF) concepts in the BISON fuel performance code began in 2014 in response to the events that occurred at the Fukushima Daichii nuclear power plant in March 2011. Early on, the focus was on U3Si2 fuel and FeCrAl cladding as part of a high-impact problem through the Nuclear Energy and Advanced Model- ing Simulation program [1]. Then, developments for Cr2O3- doped UO2 fuel, as well as SiC-SiC and Cr-coated Zircaloy cladding began based upon industry interests. Near the end of fiscal year 2018 the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors took over further Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) work in BISON in support of Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) engagement. Discussions with the NRC clarified their list of priority fuel and cladding concepts, which included Cr2O3-doped UO2 and U3Si2 fuels, as well as Cr-coated Zircaloy and FeCrAl claddings. Further, reports similar in form to NUREG/CR-7024 [2] that was developed for traditional light water reactor (LWR) materials, UO2 fuel with Zircaloy claddings were created for the priority fuel and cladding concepts. In this paper select details from the reports entitled "ATF material model development and validation for priority fuel concepts" [3] and "ATF material model development and validation for priority cladding concepts" [4] are presented. First, a brief overview of the available models and their associated uncertainty are provided for the priority fuel and cladding concepts. Then, for the concepts with experimental data, comparisons between simulation and experiment are shown taking into account forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques. For the concepts without publicly available experimental data, parametric studies incorporating forward UQ are completed to verify claims made about the materials’ behavior.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Species Transport Framework Development in SAM for System-Level Tritium Source Term Analysis

The SAM code is under development as a modern system-level modeling and simulation tool for advanced non–light water reactor safety analyses, with recent efforts to add capabilities to evaluate radiological source term risks in these novel reactor concepts. By leveraging the established system-level multiphysics thermal-hydraulic models in SAM, a framework for tightly coupled species transport modeling has been integrated into the code for engineering-scale source term evaluation. This species transport framework was first applied to the simulation of tritium, which is a well-known source term in conventional light water reactors. Tritium poses a unique risk in salt-cooled reactors, especially those with lithium-bearing salts such as the fluoride salt–cooled high-temperature reactor (FHR) concept, as tritium is generated in the salt coolant in significant quantities due to neutron interactions. A compounding factor is the increased mobility of tritium at high temperatures, which is able to permeate through metals while also potentially being retained in graphite pebbles and structures. Engineering-scale models for the tritium transport pathways in a FHR have been developed using the new species transport framework in SAM. The capabilities are assessed through analytical verification problems and validated with data from a graphite retention experiment. In conclusion, the system-level model is demonstrated by performing an initial estimate of baseline tritium generation and flows in a generic reference SAM FHR model, setting a foundation for future studies of source term transient analysis with the potential for further multiscale and multiphysics integration.

SAM↗

A comparison of wrought and powder metallurgical FeCrAl claddings under simulated LWR accident transients

Iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloys are potential accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding candidates for light-water reactors but are difficult to fabricate as thin-walled tubes via conventional cast-and-wrought routes. Powder metallurgy (PM) offers a manufacturing alternative with improved compositional control, but its transient accident performance has not been directly benchmarked against wrought variants. This study evaluates the burst behavior of commercially developed PM-processed FeCrAl alloys, PM-C26M (Fe-12Cr-6Al-2Mo) and the high precipitate density FA-SMT (Fe-22Cr-5Al-3Mo), under simulated light-water reactor accident transient conditions. Burst testing was conducted using the Severe Accident Test Station with heating rates of 5 °C/s and 50 °C/s and internal pressures ranging from 25 MPa to 100 MPa. PM-C26M reproduced wrought C26M burst behavior within 7–37 °C across the stress range, indicating that PM processing does not compromise transient strength. FA-SMT exhibited markedly higher burst temperatures and reduced heating-rate sensitivity, consistent with its engineered precipitate strengthening. FA-SMT rupture exhibited axial "unzipping" rather than the lateral tearing characteristic of PM- and wrought C26M. Post-test EBSD and fractography indicate that this behavior is strongly correlated with strain-gated intergranular void nucleation associated with the dense precipitate architecture of FA-SMT, a response absent in the comparatively clean PM-C26M matrix and consistent with rupture morphologies reported for oxide-dispersion strengthened (ODS) FeCrAl of similar base-matrix chemistry to PM-C26M. These findings highlight the potential of powder metallurgy as a viable fabrication route for ATF claddings from an accident performance standpoint.

Bell, Sam [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000251905657)↗

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 30, No. 1, January-March 1989]

Nuclear Safety is a review journal that covers significant developments in the field of nuclear safety. Its scope includes the analysis and control of hazards associated with nuclear energy, operations involving fissionable materials, and the products of nuclear fission and their effects on the environment. Primary emphasis is on safety in reactor design, construction, and operation; however, the safety aspects of the entire fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing, nuclear waste disposal, handling of radioisotopes, and environmental effects of these operations, are also treated. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 1 International Conference on Thermal Reactor Safety: NUCSAFE 88 by A. P. Malinauskas and J. G. Pruett; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 18 Chernobyl Today: State of Research by A. Yu. Gagarinskii; CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 23 Problems Associated with Routine In-Plant Radioactive Effluent Monitoring Systems at U.S. Light-Water Reactors by Barry G. Wahlig, David M. Walker, Mahmoud R. Ghavi, and John M. Palms; DESIGN FEATURES: 34 Twentieth DOE/NRC Nuclear Air-Cleaning Conference by R. R. Bellamy, D. W. Moeller, and M. W. First, 46 Design Options for the Core Support Structure for Liquid-Metal-Cooled Reactor Plants by J. P. Burelbach, W. J. Kann, J. G. Saiveau, and R. W. Seidensticker; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS: 53 The Radiological Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident by L. V. Konstantinov and A. J. González; WASTE AND SPENT FUEL MANAGEMENT: 70 Activities Related to Waste Management Compiled by E. G. Silver; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 80 Fuel Performance Annual Report for 1986 by W. J. Bailey, 103 Safety Considerations Related to 12-Hour Shift Schedules by S. Gould, 105 Reactor Shutdown Experience Compiled by J. W. Cletcher, 108 Operating U.S. Power Reactors Compiled by E. G. Silver; RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: 130 General Administrative Activities Compiled by E. G. Silver, 140 Reports, Standards, and Safety Guides by D. S. Queener, 145 Status of Power-Reactor Licensing Activities Compiled by E. G. Silver, 153 Proposed Rule Changes as of Sept. 30, 1988; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 69 Northwestern University Short Course on Radiation Safety, 79 International Seminar on Fission Product Transport Processes in Reactor Accidents, 129 Harvard School of Public Health Offers Short Courses, 152 MIT Offers Summer Short Courses on Reactor Safety and Nodal Analysis, 152 Seminar on Use of PCs in Probabilistic Safety Analysis, 157 The Authors, 160 Indexes to Nuclear Safety, Volume 29.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors in Africa

This report assesses the feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors, including large-scale plants, advanced small modular reactors (SMRs), and microreactors, in African countries. Case studies focus on South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, Ghana, and Nigeria, examining nuclear energy’s role in Africa’s rapidly evolving energy landscape, marked by fast-growing demand, significant electricity access gaps, increasing renewable penetration, and strong policy commitments to industrialization and energy security. Several U.S. reactor technologies and designs are considered based on their development status and readiness for deployment. The analysis finds that nuclear power can provide reliable, clean baseload and flexible generation, as well as high-temperature process heat for desalination, hydrogen production, and industrial applications. However, suitability is highly country-specific, depending on grid size and stability, transmission capacity, cooling water availability, regulatory readiness, and fuel supply chains. Near-term deployment opportunities are strongest for light-water reactors (such as NuScale, BWRX-300, AP300, and SMR-300) that use low-enriched uranium and build on proven technology. More advanced concepts, including gas-cooled, sodium-cooled, molten-salt cooled reactors, and microreactors, will likely be relevant for African deployment in the 2030s or later, contingent on demonstration projects, high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel availability, and mature international licensing frameworks. Economic analysis shows that SMRs are capital-intensive, with projected overnight costs for 300 MWe units in 2025 ranging from approximately 1.4 to 2.6 billion USD per module. The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is highly sensitive to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Given typically higher financing costs and utility balance-sheet weaknesses in many African countries, bankable project structures will require sovereign guarantees, robust offtake arrangements, and layered financing from export credit agencies, development finance institutions, and vendor nations. Comparisons with recent large nuclear projects in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Egypt underscore the central role of state-backed loans, long tenors, and concessional terms. Country case studies illustrate a spectrum of readiness and opportunity. South Africa operates two 920 MWe pressurized light water reactors (totaling 1,840 MWe) at Koeberg and has the most mature regulatory and industrial base, positioning it as a prime candidate for both large reactors and SMRs to replace coal, support desalination, and anchor industrial hubs. Egypt is constructing four VVER-1200 units at El Dabaa with strong state leadership and could later complement this fleet with SMRs for coastal and industrial applications. Kenya and Ghana are advancing through IAEA Milestones with growing institutional capacity and clear interest in SMRs that match their smaller grids and industrialization plans. Nigeria has the largest demand potential but faces acute constraints in grid reliability, project bankability, and regulatory capacity; targeted deployments of large reactors and SMRs near coastal or industrial sites could have high impact if accompanied by major grid upgrades and institutional reforms. The report identifies cross-cutting challenges such as financing, political continuity, public acceptance, nonproliferation and security, waste and back-end management, regulatory capacity, grid adequacy, and long deployment timelines for first-of-a-kind designs, and ANL/NSE-26/3 ii proposes broad directions for resolution. These include stronger multifaceted financing for nuclear, long-term national energy strategies that transcend electoral cycles, proactive stakeholder engagement, strengthened regional and national regulators, and systematic workforce development through centers of excellence and expanded training. The United States should develop partnerships with African countries and offer end-to-end nuclear package similar to those used effectively by competitors: coordinated project development, state-backed financing, long-term fuel services, and durable in-country support through regional offices and sustained workforce/regulatory training. With timely planning, sustained political commitment, and appropriate financing and institutional support, nuclear energy, both large reactors and advanced SMRs, can become a meaningful, though not dominant, pillar of Africa’s future power mix, enhancing energy security, enabling industrial growth, and supporting climate goals.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗