Can Pseudobreakups be Predicted?

Abstract

We statistically analyze many interplanetary shock events where there are both WIND interplanetary data and POLAR UV imaging data. We find that the shock compression events trigger pseudobreakups (PBs), substorm onsets, or enhance (pre-existing) substorm intensities. Using WIND interplanetary data and ground-based data, it is now believed that we can predict when PBs will occur and when substorm expansion phases will occur.