Engineering topics

Wilson, Robert M.

Publications and source records attributed to Wilson, Robert M..

111 records · Page 7

NASA NTRS1987

On the prospect of using butterfly diagrams to predict cycle minimum

Features enabling the prediction of the beginning and the length of a solar cycle, in addition to the turning points in the period-growth dichotomy, have been identified based on butterfly diagrams for the period from 1874 to the present. The present results indicate that cycle 21 will be a long-period cycle ending after July 1987. On the assumption that April 1985 was the first occurrence of high latitude new cycle (cycle 22) spots during the decline of cycle 21 (the old cycle), it is suggested that the last occurrence of high latitude old cycle spots was September 1983 and that the minimum for cycle 22 will be about 1986.7 + or - 1.1 yr.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

NASA NTRS1987

10.7-cm solar radio flux and the magnetic complexity of active regions

During sunspot cycles 20 and 21, the maximum in smoothed 10.7-cm solar radio flux occurred about 1.5 yr after the maximum smoothed sunspot number, whereas during cycles 18 and 19 no lag was observed. Thus, although 10.7-cm radio flux and Zurich sunspot number are highly correlated, they are not interchangeable, especially near solar maximum. The 10.7-cm flux more closely follows the number of sunspots visible on the solar disk, while the Zurich sunspot number more closely follows the number of sunspot groups. The number of sunspots in an active region is one measure of the complexity of the magnetic structure of the region, and the coincidence in the maxima of radio flux and number of sunspots apparently reflects higher radio emission from active regions of greater magnetic complexity. The presence of a lag between sunspot-number maximum and radio-flux maximum in some cycles but not in others argues that some aspect of the average magnetic complexity near solar maximum must vary from cycle to cycle. A speculative possibility is that the radio-flux lag discriminates between long-period and short-period cycles, being another indicator that the solar cycle switches between long-period and short-period modes.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

An apparent 'even-odd' cycle distribution in Mt. Wilson 'numbers of spots' data

Mt. Wilson 'numbers of spots' data (Howard et al., 1984) appear to be distributed according to 'even-odd' cycle numbering. Linear fits of annual 'numbers of spots' versus annual sunspot number for even- and odd-numbered cycles have slopes which are statistically different at the 5 percent level of significance. The existence of an 'even-odd' split in Mt. Wilson 'numbers of spots' data may be due either to a real difference in even- and odd-numbered cycles on the sun or to a difference in weather at Mt. Wilson during even- and odd-numbered cycles, or both. For cycle 22, an even-numbered cycle, the peak 'numbers of spots' is estimated to be near 2600.

Wilson, Robert M.↗