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Jordan, Dirk

Publications and source records attributed to Jordan, Dirk.

At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative Program and Methodology

The US Department of Energy’s PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative has been launched in order to collect and evaluate production data across multiple PV fleet partners. Performance statistics are anonymized, aggregated and shared to represent a snapshot of the US commercial and utility-scale fleet. Production data have been collected from over 1500 systems representing more than 1.3 GWdc capacity. Preliminary analysis indicates median performance loss rates are in line with previous publications of system degradation, on the order of –0.6%/yr to –0.9%/yr (preliminary numbers subject to change). These values are higher than module-only degradation rates which are often used in pro-forma estimates of project performance and economics, potentially exposing owner/operators to increased risk if systems under-perform over time.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗
DOE OSTI2021

On the Ambiguity of Using Isc for Analyzing Suns-Voc Data on Modules

In standard silicon solar modules, cells are strung in series with bypass diodes incorporated to reduce the effects of shading. When all of the strings are partially shaded the measured short circuit current is affected and the Isc of the module will be equal to that of the lowest current cell in the least shadowed string. In bifacial modules the ability to assess losses due to shading is especially important. This paper advocates an alternative approach to converting the raw suns-voc data to pseudo IV data in modules where shading may be affecting the suns-voc curve results.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Activation Energy for End-of-Life Solder Bond Degradation: Thermal Cycling of Field-Aged PV Modules

The longevity of solar photovoltaic modules depends on the durability and reliability of their components, one of which is the solder bonds in interconnect ribbons. The solder joints experience stresses from thermal cycling and constant elevated temperatures (40 °C-70 °C) in regular field operation leading to thermo-mechanical fatigue and intermetallic compound formation. To study the end-of-life wear-out mechanisms and to obtain activation energy of solder bond degradation, here two field-aged modules from Arizona-a 21-year-old Solarex MSX60 module (with Sn62Pb36Ag2 at the solder joints) and an 18-year-old Siemens M55 module (with Sn60Pb40 at the solder joints)-underwent 800 and 400 modified thermal cycles, respectively. Using three heating blankets, each module had three temperature zones maintained at 85, 95, and 105 °C during the 15-min hot dwell time of the thermal cycle. Cell-level series resistance data obtained from three temperature zones enabled the calculation of activation energy for solder bond degradation for the MSX60 and the M55 modules to be 0.12 eV and 0.35 eV, respectively. From each temperature zone in both modules, busbar-solder samples were obtained, imaged through SEM, and analyzed with energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy. In the MSX60 module with traces of Ag in the solder material, phase segregation and growth were primarily observed at high temperatures. For M55 modules without Ag in the solder material, major phase segregation was observed in all temperature zones. The IMC thickness for both modules increased with increasing module temperature. The beneficial effect of Ag in solder material on mitigating solder bond degradation is presented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

System-level performance and degradation of 21 GWDC of utility-scale PV plants in the United States

We assess the performance of a fleet of 411 utility-scale (i.e., >5 MWAC and ground-mounted) photovoltaic (PV) projects totaling 21.1 GWDC (16.3 GWAC) of capacity, which achieved commercial operations in the United States from 2007 to 2016. This fleet of projects contributed more than 50% of all solar electricity generated in the United States in 2017. Using detailed information on individual project characteristics, in conjunction with modeled irradiance data, we assess the extent to which actual first-year performance has lived up to both modeled and stated expectations. We then analyze system-level performance degradation in subsequent years by employing a “fixed effects” regression model to statistically isolate the impact of age on system performance. We find that this fleet of utility-scale PV projects has generally lived up to ex ante expectations for first-year performance but that subsequent system-level degradation—found to be −1.3%/year (±0.2%)—has, on average, been worse than both ex ante expectations (commonly −0.5%/year) and results from past studies (ranging from −0.8%/year to −1.0%/year). We emphasize that −1.3%/year is a system-level estimate that captures more than just module degradation (e.g., including soiling, balance of plant degradation, and downtime for maintenance and/or other events). A side analysis of a variety of project characteristics suggests that system-level degradation rates tend to be of lower magnitude among newer projects and larger projects and at sites with lower long-term average temperatures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative (March 2020 Methodology Report)

Data for thousands of systems by multiple sources were transmitted to NREL for evaluation. Initial automated data quality assurance (QA) checks identified hundreds of systems (QA Tier 1) with high-quality meteorological and AC production data and hundreds of QA Tier 2 systems with adequate data quality. A standard RdTools analysis was conducted for these systems, evaluating performance loss on an annualized basis. To date with the systems evaluated so far, we find a median performance loss rate (aka Rd or degradation rates) for the entire fleet of -0.72%/year based on individual inverter data, which is in line with historical degradation rates previously published for modules and systems (-0.5% to -0.9% / yr, Jordan et al. 2016). A fleet-scale distribution based on revenue-grade meter data rather than inverter AC (alternating current) data yields a slightly different result. We are working to understand the difference between this result and the inverter-based result of -0.72%/year.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Prediction of Climate-Specific Degradation Rate for Photovoltaic Encapsulant Discoloration

Encapsulant discoloration is a well-known field degradation mode of crystalline-silicon photovoltaic modules, particularly in the hot climate zones. The discoloration rate is influenced by several weathering factors, such as UV light, module temperature, and humidity, as well as the permeability of oxygen into the module. Here, a rate dependence model employing the modified Arrhenius equations to predict the degradation rate for encapsulant discoloration in different climates is presented. Two modeling approaches are introduced, which utilize the field and accelerated UV testing degradation data in conjunction with the field meteorological data to determine the acceleration factor for encapsulant browning. A novel method of accelerated UV stress testing at three simultaneous module temperatures in a single environmental chamber test run is implemented to estimate the activation energy for browning. The test was performed on three field-retrieved modules to capture the wear-out failure mechanism. The degradation in short-circuit current Isc rather than maximum power is used as a decisive parameter for the discoloration analysis. Furthermore, the developed model has been used to predict the Isc degradation rate for the Arizona field characterized by a hot and dry climate and is validated against the field-measured value. It has also been applied to other climate types, e.g., the cold and dry climate of New York.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

PV Field Reliability Status--Analysis of 100,000 Solar Systems

In this paper, we analyzed annual production data from 100 000 photovoltaic systems as well as comments relating to their performance and maintenance. Our analysis revealed that 80% to 90% of all systems performed within 10% of the predicted production or better. Also, 56% of the systems were still performing above P50 or the median at 5 years. However, a small but significant tail of about 7000 systems perform below P90 expectations. In general, residential systems have a lower rate of failure than utility or commercial systems. Despite higher rates of component failures, utility systems lose less power than residential or commercial systems. This outcome is likely due to closer monitoring and better operations and maintenance practices. Inverters are still the components that reportedly fail most often (4%-6%), but other failures such as unspecified repair and meters cause more production loss. Reported module failures are relatively rare (0.2%) and are within the range of historical values. Installation quality affects performance and safety as indicated by data showing connector, wiring, breaker, and fuse failures due to undersizing, electrical design, and improper connection. Lastly, early detection of degradation and proactive response resulted in less impact on production than reactive, unplanned repairs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Activation Energy for Solder Bond Degradation: Thermal Cycling of Field-aged Modules at Multiple Upper Temperatures

The reliability of solder joints in the solar cell metallization-interconnect system influences the lifetime of photovoltaic modules. Two field-aged modules-one with Sn 62 Pb 36 Ag 2 solder at the solder joints (Solarex MSX 60), and the other with the standard Sn 60 Pb 40 solder (Siemens M55)-were subjected to a modified thermal cycling (TC) test of IEC 61215. Three sections in each module were maintained at 85 degrees C, 95 degrees C, and 105 degrees C during the 15-minute high temperature dwell time. Current equivalent to the module short-circuit current was injected through the module when the chamber temperature was above 25 degrees C to simulate regular field operation. This novel approach aims to induce thermomechanical fatigue (TMF) at the solder joints and intermetallic compound (IMC) formation at the metal/solder interfaces. The activation energy (E a ) for solder bond degradation was calculated based on the series resistance (R s ) increase in TC testing rather than power drop to avoid the effect of confounding variables. Module-level R s increase in MSX 60 module after TC800 cycles and in M55 module after TC400 cycles was 1.22% and 183.7%, respectively. The E a determined for the module with 2wt% Ag is 0.24 eV and for that with the standard solder is 0.27 eV. The solder bond degradation seems to have been driven by TMF rather than IMC formation for both modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

PV Degradation - Mounting & Temperature

Several studies have found indications that PV degradation may increase in hotter climates. We show in this paper that degradation does correlate to higher module temperatures, but that these temperatures are significantly affected by the module mounting and. The mechanisms of degradation vary with module technology and quality. Using data from different HIT module installations we were able to extract an activation energy that is consistent with hydrogen passivation layer degradation. In addition, we show that low degradation in hot climates can be achieved for Al-BSF technology if properly installed to reduce heat transfer in order to thermally decouple the modules from the roof. We also found that monofacial and bifacial PERC module degradation is in line with historical degradation rates of Al-BSF.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Field-Aging Test Bed for Behind-the-Meter PV + Energy Storage

Small DC-coupled battery test systems are deployed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory to evaluate capacity fade models and report on performance parameters such as round-trip efficiency under indoor and outdoor deployment scenarios. Initial commercial battery products include LG Chem RESU lithium-ion (Li-ion) and Avalon vanadium redox flow batteries. Adapting indoor lab-scale test methods to outdoor systems has challenges, including maintaining constant temperature and fully controlling batteries through standard discharge curves. Initial measurements show the Li-ion battery systems performing within expectations, near 85% round-trip efficiency. Initial lifetime modeling and measurements indicate that battery capacity could degrade by 20%-35% over 10 years at current rates.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Numerical Validation of an Algorithm for Combined Soiling and Degradation Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems

We describe and demonstrate an open-source algorithm for simultaneously quantifying degradation and soiling of photovoltaic (PV) systems from energy-production time series data. The new analysis is based on year-on-year degradation rate analysis combined with stochastic rate and recovery soiling analysis. The algorithm is designed to fit into the workflow provided by RdTools, a Python module maintained by NREL and collaboratively developed with the community, which provides a framework and functions for degradation and loss-factor analysis of PV field data. We demonstrate the method on numerically simulated PV data sets and show that it reduces the root-mean-square error of the P50 degradation rate estimate when soiling is present.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Field Aging Testbed for Behind-the-Meter PV + Energy Storage

Small DC-coupled battery test systems are deployed at NREL to evaluate capacity fade models and report on performance parameters such as round-trip efficiency under indoor and outdoor deployment scenarios. Initial commercial battery products include LG Chem RESU Lithium-ion and Avalon vanadium-redox flow batteries. Adapting indoor lab-scale test methods to outdoor systems has challenges, including maintaining constant temperature and fully controlling batteries through standard discharge curves. Initial measurements show the Lithium Ion battery systems performing within expectation, near 85% round-trip efficiency. Initial lifetime modeling and measurements indicate battery capacity may degrade by 20%-35% over 10 years.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Nondestructive Characterization and Accelerated UV Testing of Browned Field-Aged PV Modules

Encapsulant browning is one of the most common degradation modes found in crystalline silicon field-aged photovoltaic modules. Browning, usually undetected unless severe, reduces the short-circuit current (Isc) produced by a module. Therefore, field-aged browned modules have been subjected to accelerated UV testing to obtain true end-of-life activation energy for the encapsulant browning mechanism. A novel time- and resource-saving accelerated UV exposure testing method simultaneously allowing multiple module temperatures to be maintained in a single chamber run is presented. Six field-aged crystalline silicon modules of glass/backsheet construction (three each from BP Solar/Solarex MSX 60 and Siemens M55) with similar glass and encapsulant formulation were exposed to a UV dosage of 450 kWh/m2 . Through passive heating, the average module temperatures for the BP Solar/Solarex modules were 60 degrees C, 77 degrees C, and 85 degrees C and those of Siemens M55 were 75 degrees C, 80 degrees C, and 837 degrees C. To study UV browning, the modules were intermittently characterized through visual imaging, UV fluorescence imaging, electroluminescence imaging, quantum efficiency measurements, module, and cell-level light I-V measurements. An Isc decrease corroborated the increased extent of browning with increased module temperature. For the BP Solar/Solarex modules, the Low T, Mid T, and the High T modules showed a 1.37%, 2.48%, and 3.26% Isc drop, respectively. The Siemens modules showed a 4.11%, 5.65%, and 6.95% Isc drop. The multiple cell-level Isc data points obtained for each module temperature increased provided statistical significance. Activation energy for encapsulant browning was calculated as 0.44 and 0.72 eV for MSX 60 and M55 modules, respectively.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

The Role of Reliability and Durability in Photovoltaic System Economics

This presentation was delivered as a webinar to members of the Durable Modules Materials Consortium (led by NREL) on February 11, 2019. We are now preparing it for posting to the DuraMAT website. The presentation offered an overview of how NREL's technoeconomic analysis helps to guide DuraMAT's work. Specifically, the presentation offers several examples of how analysis helps answer the question 'what is the value of solving a particular problem?'

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Activation Energy Determination for Photovoltaic Encapsulant Discoloration by Indoor Accelerated UV Testing

A novel methodology for determining the activation energy of photovoltaic encapsulant discoloration using an indoor accelerated ultraviolet (UV) stress test while simultaneously maintaining multiple module temperatures in a single weathering chamber is presented. The testing was performed on some fresh mini-modules with a glass/EVA/cell/EVA/backsheet construction. The short-circuit current degradation from individual cells was used to quantify transmittance losses due to discoloration. Activation energy determined using indoor accelerated UV test data and Modified Arrhenius model ranges from 26 to 44 kJ/mol (0.27 to 0.46 eV). Activation energy was also determined from the outdoor field degradation data by employing different physical models that consider the individual or combined effects of key environmental factors. The approach here is instrumental to evaluating the reliability studies on encapsulant degradation mechanisms using relatively less time and resources.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Analysis of the Long-Term Performance Degradation of Crystalline Silicon Photovoltaic Modules in Tropical Climates

For this study, the long-term performance degradation of five different types of commercial crystalline silicon (c-Si) photovoltaic (PV) modules (one sample for each type) in the tropics, or more specifically the tropical rainforest climate 'Af' by the Koppen climate classification (Singapore), is investigated over a period of seven years, based on outdoor I-V measurements at 10-s intervals. The degradation rates of these c-Si PV modules, based on the temperature-corrected performance ratio, range from -0.03 to -0.47%/year, which satisfy the products' performance warranty. Further analysis of the short-circuit current (I sc), open-circuit voltage, and fill factor for these modules shows that the performance degradation is mainly attributed to the l sc loss. Lastly, the possible causes of the module performance deterioration are also discussed.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗