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At least 19 records

Role of ocean coupling in the weakening of the extratropical storm tracks from Arctic sea ice loss

Abstract Within the changing climate, the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks have been projected to shift poleward and expand eastward. Changes in the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks arise from a variety of sometimes competing effects on the region's baroclinicity. Arctic amplification weakens the meridional temperature gradient, hence weakening the storm track, while low-latitude warming has the opposite effect, and surface-amplified warming at high latitudes reduces static stability. To determine the mechanisms driving these competing changes, we use a hierarchy of models with different levels of ocean-atmosphere coupling, using forcings from the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) to assess the role of Arctic sea ice loss on the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks. We find that ocean-atmosphere coupling enhances and sharpens the weakening of both the North Atlantic and North Pacific storm tracks in response to Arctic sea ice loss, that surface turbulent heat flux modulates the intensity of the weakening, and that local ocean dynamics controls the meridional location of the response. A moist isentropic diagnostic of the atmospheric overturning circulation shows that most of the weakening of the storm tracks and its associated changes in atmospheric heat transport (AHT) arise from a weakening of the transient eddy mass flux. Poleward of the storm tracks, the AHT also decreases, but through weakened effective stratification rather than weakening mass fluxes, an effect which occurs even in the absence of ocean dynamical coupling.

Audette, Alexandre (ORCID:0000000163321088)

Direct observations of transient weakening during phase transformations in quartz and olivine

Phase transformations are widely invoked as a source of rheological weakening during subduction, continental collision, mantle convection and various other geodynamic phenomena. However, despite more than half a century of research, the likelihood and magnitude of such weakening in nature remain poorly constrained. Here we use experiments performed on a synchrotron beamline to reveal transient weakening of up to three orders of magnitude during the polymorphic quartz to coesite (SiO 2 ) and olivine to ringwoodite (Fe 2 SiO 4 ) phase transitions. Weakening becomes increasingly prominent as the transformation outpaces deformation. We suggest that this behaviour is broadly applicable among silicate minerals undergoing first-order phase transitions and examine the likelihood of weakening due to the olivine-spinel, (Mg,Fe) 2 SiO 4 , transformation during subduction. Modelling suggests that cold, wet slabs are most susceptible to transformational weakening, consistent with geophysical observations of slab stagnation in the mantle transition zone beneath the western Pacific. In conclusion, our study highlights the importance of incorporating transformational weakening into geodynamic simulations and provides a quantitative basis for doing so.

Cross, Andrew J. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institu

Implications of a weakening N = 126 shell closure away from stability for r -process astrophysical conditions

The formation of the third r-process abundance peak near A ∼ 195 is highly sensitive to both nuclear structure far from stability and the astrophysical conditions that produce the heaviest elements. In particular, the N = 126 shell closure plays a crucial role in shaping this peak. Experimental data hints that the shell weakens as proton number departs from Z = 82, a trend largely missed by global mass models. To investigate its impact on r-process nucleosynthesis, we employ both standard global models with strong closures and modified Duflo-Zuker (DZ) models that reproduce the weakening, combined with three sets of β − -decay rates. Strong shell closures generate sharply peaked abundances, whereas weakened closures consistent with the experimental trend produce broader, flatter patterns. Accurately reproducing the solar third peak under weakened shell strength requires sufficiently neutron-rich conditions that significant fission occurs, and slower decay rates. These results demonstrate that a weakening N = 126 shell closure away from stability imposes significant constraints on the astrophysical environments of the r-process and underscores the need for precise mass measurements and improved characterization of β − -decay properties in this region.

N = 126 closed shells

Recent Weakening of the Global Radiative Feedback

Earth's climate stability, characterized by the global radiative feedback parameter (𝜆), varies decadally due to changing surface temperature patterns. Recent variations in 𝜆 are poorly understood as coordinated model simulations typically end in 2014. We apply a convolutional neural network trained on climate model simulations to observation-based surface temperature reconstructions to estimate variations in 𝜆 up to 2025. We find that 𝜆 reached a minimum (maximum stability) around the mid 1990s (𝜆 ≃ −3 Wm −2 /K), but has since weakened significantly (𝜆 ≃ −2 Wm −2 /K). We confirm these results with climate model simulations extended to 2022. The recent 𝜆 weakening is not significantly affected by El Niño Southern Oscillation or Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Attribution reveals that warming in the subtropical Northeast Pacific is an important driver of the recently weakened feedback, confirmed by targeted experiments in E3SMv2. Our approach enables near real-time monitoring of Earth's climate stability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Why Does Atmospheric Radiative Heating Weaken Midlatitude Cyclones?

Abstract Recent work has indicated that atmospheric radiative heating reduces the kinetic energy of large‐scale eddies in the midlatitudes. However, a physical mechanism that connects radiation to the midlatitude eddy kinetic energy is still uncertain. Using a high‐resolution general circulation model we perform an experiment in which the radiative cooling profile at each model time step is overwritten with the climatological mean, computed from a control simulation. This approach separates the mean and transient effects of radiative heating on the extratropical circulation. We find that, when radiative heating is fixed, the globally‐averaged eddy kinetic energy is enhanced by ∼6%. We show that thermal radiation dampens temperature anomalies near the surface and tropopause in low‐pressure systems, destroying eddy available potential energy and eddy kinetic energy. We identify this as a possible mechanism by which atmospheric radiative heating weakens midlatitude cyclones.

Mischell, Eric

Examining the Robustness of Weakened Orographic Influence on Precipitation in Downscaled Climate Projections Over the Western US

Assessing local climate change impacts often requires downscaling coarse global climate model (GCM) output to finer resolution. Two main approaches exist: dynamical downscaling using high-resolution regional climate models, and statistical downscaling based on historical relationships between large-scale and local variables. In a recent analysis of five dynamically downscaled simulations over the western United States, Koszuta et al. (2024, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl107298) found that warming weakens orographic influence on winter precipitation, damping increases on windward slopes and amplifying them in rain-shadowed regions. Here we show that this effect is robust across seasons and multiple dynamically downscaled ensembles, and is more pronounced at higher model resolutions. However, it is absent in projections from a widely used statistical model (LOCA2), even when trained on high-resolution future simulations (LOCA2-Hybrid). This highlights a key limitation of many statistical downscaling methods: their preservation of parent GCM trends, which usually fail to capture emergent changes in orographic precipitation patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Stratospheric aerosol injection can weaken the carbon dioxide greenhouse effect

Abstract Stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method for offsetting greenhouse gas-induced warming by introducing scattering aerosols into the lower stratosphere to reflect sunlight. Here we explore a potentially more efficient alternative: weakening the Earth’s greenhouse effect by deploying absorptive aerosols in the upper stratosphere (~10 hPa). These aerosols warm the carbon dioxide emission level—where outgoing longwave radiation is most sensitive to temperature—thereby enhancing top-of-atmosphere infrared emission without altering atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. Idealized climate model simulations indicate that this approach can reduce global temperatures an order of magnitude more efficiently per unit aerosol mass than conventional scattering-based interventions. Although based on simplified model experiments lacking interactive aerosol processes and operational constraints, our results identify a distinct physical mechanism for climate intervention, arguing for further research into the impacts—especially potential unintended side effects—of injecting absorptive aerosols into the upper stratosphere as an alternative solar radiation management strategy.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology

Scalable, biologically sourced depolymerizable polydienes with intrinsically weakened carbon–carbon bonds

Currently, there are few examples of circularly recyclable polymers with all-carbon backbones, probably owing to the challenge of using selective C–C bond cleavage to efficiently produce monomers in recycling processes. Furthermore, here we demonstrate a series of biologically sourced polymuconate polymers synthesized via simple free-radical polymerization that exhibit intrinsically weakened C–C bonds and controlled chemical recycling to monomers. Modifying the side chains and copolymerization ratios allows a wide range of mechanical property tuning, achieving performances comparable to those of commercial plastics such as polystyrene, polymethyl methacrylate and polybutadiene. Techno-economic analysis and life cycle assessment for production at a scale of 100 kilotons per year show that the materials are currently slightly more expensive and environmentally intensive compared with conventional rubbers. However, use of recycled materials via depolymerization can greatly decrease the cost and environmental impacts of polymuconate production (for example, down to US$1.59 per kilogram) to outperform its commercial counterparts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Hyperconjugation-controlled molecular conformation weakens lithium-ion solvation and stabilizes lithium metal anodes

Tuning the solvation structure of lithium ions via electrolyte engineering has proven effective for lithium metal (Li) anodes. Further advancement that bypasses the trial-and-error practice relies on the establishment of molecular design principles. Expanding the scope of our previous work on solvent fluorination, we report here an alternative design principle for non-fluorinated solvents, which potentially have reduced cost, environmental impact, and toxicity. By studying non-fluorinated ethers systematically, we found that the short-chain acetals favor the [gauche, gauche] molecular conformation due to hyperconjugation, which leads to weakened monodentate coordination with Li + . The dimethoxymethane electrolyte showed fast activation to >99% coulombic efficiency (CE) and high ionic conductivity of 8.03 mS cm -1 . The electrolyte performance was demonstrated in anode-free Cu$∥$LFP pouch cells at current densities up to 4 mA cm -2 (70 to 100 cycles) and thin-Li$∥$high-loading-LFP coin cells (200–300 cycles). Overall, we demonstrated and rationalized the improvement in Li metal cyclability by the acetal structure compared to ethylene glycol ethers. We expect further improvement in performance by tuning the acetal structure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Heterobimetallic multi-site concerted proton electron transfer (MS-CPET) promotes coordination-induced O–H bond weakening

Coordination-induced bond weakening of X–H bonds (X = O, N, C) has been observed in a number of low-valent transition metal compounds. However, the impact of an appended electron reservoir on the bond dissociation free energy of the O–H bond (BDFE O–H ) of a substrate bound to a d 0 metal is poorly understood. To gain insight into the ability of separated deprotonation and oxidation sites to decrease the BDFE O–H during proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) reactions, a bimetallic system in which the sites of proton and electron loss are two distinct metal sites is described. Herein, the interconversion of tris(phosphinoamide) Zr/Co complexes HO–Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu and O$≡$Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu via hydrogen atom addition/abstraction was studied. Since the Zr center remains in the d 0 Zr IV state throughout these transformations, the electron transfer process is mediated by the appended redox-active Co 0/I center. A series of open-circuit potential (OCP) measurements on the HO–Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu and O$≡$Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu complexes was performed, from which the BDFE O–H was found to be 64 ± 1 kcal mol −1 . The BDFE O–H value was further verified through a series of stoichiometric H atom transfer reactions, stoichiometric protonation/deprotonation reactions, and computational studies.

Chemistry

Nitrogen Deposition Weakens Soil Carbon Control of Nitrogen Dynamics Across the Contiguous United States

ABSTRACT Anthropogenic nitrogen (N) deposition is unequally distributed across space and time, with inputs to terrestrial ecosystems impacted by industry regulations and variations in human activity. Soil carbon (C) content normally controls the fraction of mineralized N that is nitrified ( ƒ nitrified ), affecting N bioavailability for plants and microbes. However, it is unknown whether N deposition has modified the relationships among soil C, net N mineralization, and net nitrification. To test whether N deposition alters the relationship between soil C and net N transformations, we collected soils from coniferous and deciduous forests, grasslands, and residential yards in 14 regions across the contiguous United States that vary in N deposition rates. We quantified rates of net nitrification and N mineralization, soil chemistry (soil C, N, and pH), and microbial biomass and function (as beta‐glucosidase (BG) and N ‐acetylglucosaminidase (NAG) activity) across these regions. Following expectations, soil C was a driver of ƒ nitrified across regions, whereby increasing soil C resulted in a decline in net nitrification and ƒ nitrified . The ƒ nitrified value increased with lower microbial enzymatic investment in N acquisition (increasing BG:NAG ratio) and lower active microbial biomass, providing some evidence that heterotrophic microbial N demand controls the ammonium pool for nitrifiers. However, higher total N deposition increased ƒ nitrified , including for high soil C sites predicted to have low ƒ nitrified , which decreased the role of soil C as a predictor of ƒ nitrified . Notably, the drop in contemporary atmospheric N deposition rates during the 2020 COVID‐19 pandemic did not weaken the effect of N deposition on relationships between soil C and ƒ nitrified . Our results suggest that N deposition can disrupt the relationship between soil C and net N transformations, with this change potentially explained by weaker microbial competition for N. Therefore, past N inputs and soil C should be used together to predict N dynamics across terrestrial ecosystems.

Nieland, Matthew A. [Stockbridge School of Agricul

Coordination-Induced Weakening of N–H Bonds Driven by Bimetallic Cooperativity in Zr/Co Compounds

The bond dissociation free energy (BDFE) of the element-hydrogen bonds of protic substrates have been found to decrease upon metal coordination. Herein, an early/late heterobimetallic complex is used to examine the impact on the BDFE N−H when the substrate binding site and the redox-active site are two different metals that are spatially separated. A tris- (phosphinoamide) framework is used to link a d 0 ZrIV center with an accessible substrate binding site to a coordinatively saturated redox-active Co center, which serves as an appended electron reservoir. A series of aniline, amido, and imido Zr/Co model compounds were synthesized starting from the Zr IV /Co −I aniline adduct PhH 2 N−Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu (2). 2,4,6-tristert- butylphenoxyl radical ( t Bu 3 ArO • ) was used to abstract one or two H atoms and produce the amido and imido complexes PhHNZr( MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCN t Bu (3) and PhN≡Zr(MesNP i Pr 2 ) 3 CoCNtBu (4), respectively. Using open-circuit potential measurements, the BDFE N−H within 2 and 3 were determined to be 37 kcal/mol (2) and 55 kcal/mol (3). Cyclic voltammetry measurements were conducted to determine the Co I/0 and Co 0/−I redox potentials. The pK a s were then estimated using the Bordwell equation to provide further insight into the thermochemical aspects of the observed proton coupled electron transfer (PCET) reactions.

Bond dissociation free energy

Land change, fire, and climate weaken carbon sink in the conterminous United States

The land carbon sink of the conterminous United States was evaluated using a bottom-up modeling framework and 30-meter land change data from 1985 to 2020. This cross-scale, cross-landscape, and cross-system approach tracked fractional land cover changes and applied regional model calibration. Results show average terrestrial and aquatic carbon sinks of +110 ± 37 and +19 ± 0.5 teragrams of carbon per year, respectively. The terrestrial carbon sink, showing no clear trend, peaked in the 1990s, with more years as a carbon source since 2000, contradicting recent national and global studies. Land change had the largest impact (−70 ± 5.5 teragrams of carbon per year), exceeding impacts of climate (−33 ± 48 teragrams of carbon per year), wildfire (−7.7 ± 2.4 teragrams of carbon per year), and erosion transport (−1.9 ± 0.13 teragrams of carbon per year). The positive CO 2 fertilization effect (+69 ± 12 teragrams of carbon per year) was insufficient to maintain the carbon sink strength. Our framework reveals key paths of carbon loss, with implications for carbon budget and energy policies in the United States and beyond.

Liu, Jinxun [US Geological Survey, Reston, VA (Uni

Characterizing Mesoscale Cellular Convection in Marine Cold Air Outbreaks With a Machine Learning Approach

Abstract During marine cold‐air outbreaks (MCAOs), when cold polar air moves over warmer ocean, a well‐recognized cloud pattern develops, with open or closed mesoscale cellular convection (MCC) at larger fetch over open water. The Cold‐Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment provided a comprehensive set of ground‐based in situ and remote sensing observations of MCAOs at a coastal location in northern Norway. MCAO periods that unambiguously exhibit open or closed MCC are determined. Individual cells observed with a profiling Ka‐band radar are identified using a watershed segmentation method. Using self‐organizing maps (SOMs), these cells are then objectively classified based on the variability in their vertical structure. The SOM nodes contain some information about the location of the cell transect relative to the center of the MCC. This adds classification noise, requiring numerous cell transects to isolate cell dynamical information. The SOM‐based classification shows that comparatively intense convection occurs only in open MCC. This convection undergoes an apparent lifecycle. Developing cells are associated with stronger updrafts, large spectrum width, larger amounts of liquid water, lower surface precipitation rates, and lower cloud tops than mature and weakening cells. The weakening of these cells is associated with the development of precipitation‐induced cold pools. The SOM classification also reveals less intense convection, with a similar lifecycle. More stratiform vertical cloud structures with weak vertical motions are common during closed MCC periods and are separated into precipitating and non‐precipitating stratiform cores. Convection is observed only occasionally in the closed MCC environment.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences