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At least 19 records

Methods and Tools To Assess Robustness of Nuclear Plant Outages

Refueling outages are one of the most challenging phases in a nuclear power plant (NPP) operating cycle. Refueling outages are extremely costly for an NPP due to the large amount of required resources and because of lost revenue due to plant being off the grid. Outage durations have steadily decreased across the industry over that last few decades primarily due to improved planning and coordination, but there are still many plants that struggle to meet the performance metrics accomplished by other utilities. Schedule resilience is one of the issues. NPP outages require scheduling thousands of activities within 30 days on average. Despite detailed planning, once the outage starts, numerous emergent issues typically appear along with schedule delays requiring continuous replanning and adjustment. When schedule disruption occurs during an outage, plant staff make urgent efforts to recover but are often not able to maintain the planned outage duration. These outage delays can cost a utility several million dollars per day. Tools that could help outage schedulers create a more resilient schedule and allow them to optimally reschedule emergent work could significantly reduce outage delays. One key aspect of creating a resilient schedule is to have accurate estimates for activity duration. Another important outage scheduling capability is the ability to schedule emergent work with minimal disruption. This paper focuses on developing tools and methods to support NPPs with outage schedule optimization and it describes the initial development of tools to support outage management that leverage computational and machine learning methods.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Success Path Method: Introduction to the Success Path Method Software Tool©

As part of its commitment to advancing safety and reliability assessment methodologies, Argonne National Laboratory pioneered the use of an evaluation method called the Success Path Method (SPM) to improve risk management for offshore oil and gas operations. The development of the SPM at Argonne has been driven by the need to improve existing risk assessment methodologies by focusing on the steps necessary for success rather than failure modes alone. This is particularly important for industrial environments like offshore facilities that perform multiple functions under a continuously evolving set of operational conditions – such as water depth and temperature, currents, and weather conditions. In these dynamic environments, the traditional Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) approach is far too complex as it focuses on what can go wrong – which comprises an infinite failure space that must be fully explored and understood. By shifting the focus to a finite space of success paths, the SPM enables operators and decision makers to prioritize a manageable number of steps that must go right to ensure success. Building on its five decades of experience in safety assessments for the nuclear industry, Argonne made major adaptations to existing risk assessment methods utilizing features similar to fault trees that are traditionally used in PRA to map all pathways in which the system can malfunction. In contrast, SPM identifies the components and processes that must function correctly to achieve specific outcomes – such as preventing the uncontrolled release of hydrocarbons during drilling operations. The SPM framework integrates equipment, procedures, software, processes, and human actions to ensure that physical barriers meet critical safety functions in dynamic operational conditions. This approach helps identify failure modes and improve operational risk management by narrowing the focus to key success elements, which in turn reduces uncertainty and helps users understand, manage, and respond to failures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Extending the Nuclide Inventory Validation Basis for High-Burnup Fuel with New Radiochemical Assay Data

Efforts are underway at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to improve the nuclide inventory validation basis for spent nuclear fuel at high burnups. Recently conducted radiochemical assay experiments provided new measurement data for nine samples of fuel irradiated in a pressurized water reactor, with estimated sample burnups in the 30 to 70 GWd/t range. This type of destructive assay data is essential for validating computational methods, tools, and nuclear data applied in nuclear safety analyses and for improving our understanding of the bias and uncertainty in code predictions. The measurement data include key actinides and fission products that span a gamut of needs and interests for nuclear science and engineering applications in criticality safety, reactor physics, nuclide inventory, decay heat, and radiation shielding. The SCALE 6.3 code system with ENDF/B-VII.1 cross-section libraries was used to simulate the irradiation histories of the measured fuel samples. The calculated nuclide concentrations are compared to corresponding measurement data. The significance of the comparisons is discussed, emphasizing how the addition of the new measurement data fills gaps in the validation basis at high burnups and contributes to the decrease in bias and uncertainty for predicted nuclide concentrations. The discussion addresses the effect of the sample burnup used in the simulation—which is based on reactor operator records or on calibration to measured data for burnup indicator fission products—on the validation results.

Nuclide inventory

AR4IR (Automated Reasoning for Incident Response) [SWR-24-103]

A basic formal methods tool with the ability to aid and/or automate a utilities’ incidence response and instills confidence that the proposed action satisfies the system’s physical constraints, the organization’s cyber policies, and will not cause violations of technical standards.

Etigowni, Sriharsha [National Renewable Energy Lab

EcoBOT: an AI/ML enabled automated phenotyping capability for model plants

Introduction: Advances in automation and AI/ML offer new opportunities for plant science, including design, modeling, and analysis. This study aimed to develop an automated platform for researching small model plants under axenic conditions and integrate it with AI/ML tools. Methods: The EcoBOT platform was developed, which consists of sterile containers (EcoFABs) for growing plants and imaging for monitoring plant growth and health. Brachypodium distachyon was grown on the EcoBOT, and its response to nutrient limitation and copper stress was evaluated. Results: The results showed that Brachypodium distachyon grown in the EcoBOT maintained sterility and responded to nutrient limitation and copper stress. Analysis of over 6,500 root and shoot images revealed varying sensitivity and response rates to copper. Bayesian Optimization was used to improve model accuracies relating copper concentrations to plant biomass via sequential experiments, resulting in a >30% improvement. Discussion: The findings of this study demonstrate the potential of the EcoBOT platform for researching plant responses to environmental factors. Future experiments could focus on relating other chemical stresses and microbial interactions to create generalized models of plant responses.

AI image analysis

Anomaly Detection in Electronic Health Records Across Hospital Networks: Integrating Machine Learning With Graph Algorithms

In a large hospital system, a network of hospitals relies on electronic health records (EHRs) to make informed decisions regarding their patients in various clinical domains. Consequently, the dependability of the health information technology (HIT) systems responsible for collecting EHR data is of utmost importance for patient safety. Recently, novel methods and tools aimed at identifying anomalies in EHR data to bolster the reliability of HIT systems have been introduced. However, these existing methods and tools primarily concentrate on individual hospitals, which limits our understanding of system-wide anomalous events and their potential impact on patient safety across multiple hospitals. In this article, we introduce a new approach to detecting anomalies in EHR data within a network of hospitals. This is achieved by combining advanced machine learning techniques with graph algorithms to create a tool capable of swiftly identifying and responding to deviations. Our proposed approach employs a combination of five machine learning models, harnessing the unique strengths of each model to provide a more robust detection system. The detected anomalies are then represented as graphs, allowing us to recognize patterns across the hospital network. This aids in identifying anomalies that span multiple medical facilities, potentially indicating broader system-level risks. Extensive real-world testing of our approach demonstrated its ability to offer actionable insights compared to existing methods. Additionally, its scalable design ensures seamless integration into existing HIT infrastructures.

Niu, Haoran [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL),

Explosively Formed Helical Closure for Radioactive Material Packaging

Benefits • Allows for the creation of features in thin-walled metal parts that would otherwise be impossible or impractical to create. • Reduces margin of error during radioactive material package closure. • Increases efficiency of package closure and opening. Applications and Industries • The tooling and method could be used to create closures for any industrial application. There may be use for the geometry produced by the tooling and method that is outside of closures.

Timmons, Darren

INTEGRATION OF DATA ANALYTICS WITH SYSTEM HEALTH PROGRAMS

Industry equipment reliability and asset management programs are essential elements that help ensure the safe and economical operation of nuclear power plants. The effectiveness of these programs is addressed in several industry developed and regulatory programs. However, these programs have proven to be labor intensive and expensive. There is an opportunity to significantly enhance the collection, analysis, and use of this information to provide more cost-effective plant operation. Additionally, there is an acute industry need to leverage advanced technology to reduce costs and improve operational effectiveness. The goal of this paper is to provide effective and efficient analytical methods and tools to support risk-informed decisions for the equipment reliability and asset management programs at nuclear power plants. This is accomplished by creating a direct bridge between component health/lifecycle data and decision making (e.g., maintenance scheduling and project prioritization). Here we are supporting typical system engineer decisions regarding maintenance activity scheduling and component ageing management. This is performed in a risk-informed context where herein the term “risk” is broadly constructed to include both plant reliability and economics. This framework combines data analytics tools to analyze equipment reliability data with risk-informed methods designed to support system engineer decisions (e.g., maintenance and replacement schedules, optimal maintenance posture) in a customizable workflow. A challenge is that the structure of this workflow strongly depends on the decision that needs to be made, the type of data available, and the constraints that need to be considered. Current methods are designed to provide specific answers to specific problems; however, these methods might prove to be inadequate even when problem settings slightly change (e.g., different types of requirements, additional dependencies between system reliability and economics). We tackled this challenge by designing framework in a flexible and modular fashion such that the user can assemble and customize his/her own workflow that integrates SSC economic lifecycle models (e.g., maintenance and replacement costs), system reliability models, and optimization methods.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Capturing Surface Coverage Effects in Heterogeneous Catalysis

Adsorbate–adsorbate lateral interactions at relevant surface coverages have a significant effect on chemical kinetics, thereby influencing the activity of a heterogeneous catalyst. Coverage-dependent kinetic and thermodynamic parameters therefore must be included in studies of such complex systems to properly predict the turnover frequencies and kinetic trends. Thus, it becomes extremely important to accurately capture the strength of lateral interactions between neighboring species under realistic reaction conditions. In this Perspective, we discuss the various existing computational and experimental methods for determining adspecies coverage and configurational effects. The choice of the tools and methods employed in such studies depends on factors such as time, length scales, computational cost, the presence of solvents, and reaction conditions. The applications of each method and the respective challenges are also discussed here. As a result, we discuss the recent developments and future of the state-of-the-art for inclusion of surface coverage and configuration into a holistic picture for accurate predictions of catalytic behavior.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

Energetics of the nucleation and glide of disconnection modes in symmetric tilt grain boundaries

Grain boundaries (GBs) evolve by the nucleation and glide of disconnections, which are dislocations with a step character. In this work, motivated by recent success in predicting GB properties such as the shear coupling factor and mobility from the intrinsic properties of disconnections, we develop a systematic method to calculate the energy barriers for the nucleation and glide of individual disconnection modes under arbitrary driving forces and a quasi-2D setting. This method combines tools from bicrystallography to enumerate disconnection modes and the Nudged elastic band (NEB) method to calculate their energetics, yielding minimum energy paths and atomistic mechanisms for the nucleation and glide of each disconnection mode. We apply the method to accurately predict shear coupling factors of $[001]$ symmetric tilt grain boundaries in Cu. Particular attention is paid to the boundaries where the dislocation-based disconnection nucleation model produces incorrect nucleation barriers. We demonstrate that the method can accurately compute energy barriers and predict shear-coupling factors in the low-temperature regime. For certain disconnection modes in which the assumptions underlying our method do not hold, we report upper bounds on the energy barriers for disconnection nucleation and glide. In addition, the NEB trajectories reveal interesting phenomena such as the dissociation of a higher energy mode into lower energy modes, and in some cases, shear coupling being mediated by partial disconnections, wherein the GB structure temporarily changes to a metastable state before reverting back to its original structure. Graphical abstract

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Enhancing spectroscopy and microscopy with emerging methods in photon correlation and quantum illumination

Quantum optics has led to important advancements in our ability to prepare and detect correlations between individual photons. Its principles are increasingly translated into nanoscale characterization tools, furthering methods in spectroscopy, microscopy and metrology. Here, in this Review, we discuss the rapid progress in this field driven by advanced technologies of single-photon detectors and quantum-light sources, including time-resolved single-photon counting cameras, superconducting nanowire single-photon detectors and entangled photon sources of increasing brightness. We emphasize emerging applications in super-resolution microscopy, measurements below classical noise limits and photon-number-resolved spectroscopy—a powerful paradigm for the characterization of nanoscale electronic materials. We conclude by discussing key technological challenges and future opportunities in materials science and bionanophotonics alike.

Tsao, Chieh [University of California, Berkeley, C

Data Selection Improvement For MicroBooNE

Data selection is an extremely important part of data analysis for any experiment. Finding a physics result is often the result of sifting through a massive amount of data, keeping data that we believe to be signal, and throwing out data we do not. This process is called data selection. Creating a selection algorithm is an intensive process that must balance keeping enough data to have statistics and maximizing the signal purity of that data. We also need to choose the right reconstruction method, a tool to take raw data from the detector and convert it into physics results. In this study, we used three different reconstruction tools, Pandora, WireCell, and LANTERN, for the MicroBooNE experiment in conjunction to improve the selection algorithm for analysis. For the case of this study, we look into the charged current N proton 0 pions (CCNp0$\pi$) interaction channel. This is the dominant channel for the Short Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program and is expected to be a large contributor to the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). We first investigated each of the three tools to find out more about their strengths and weaknesses as reconstructions, and compared them to the truth information directly from the MicroBooNE simulation pipeline. We then put together a direct comparison of the three methods to find which method or combination of methods would return the best result for us. While the study is ongoing, we have learned a lot about data selection for the experiment and the differences between the reconstruction tools.

Dillon, Brayden [Fermilab]

A rapid embodied carbon assessment tool for priority materials

Embodied carbon limits within building materials are a driving factor in global trade, generating new research and analysis tools in industry. These product assessments, which require utilizing life-cycle assessment (LCA) across broad supply chains, can be expensive, time and data-intensive, and subject to significant variations. Existing methods and tools, such as specific environmental product declarations, typically do not capture these variations and dynamics in supply and manufacturing. Moreover, models and tools must enable stakeholders to assess customized supply chains and future scenarios. In this study, we present the Rapid Embodied Carbon Assessment and Target-setting for Emissions-intensive Materials (REDuCE) tool for building materials. We developed a tool that allows users to select production technologies, transportation mode and distances, concrete carbonation, fuel sources, and regional electricity mixes to supply customization for cement and concrete produced and consumed in California. We generated and integrated a material demand model using residential building stock projections. We provide the user with a wide range of mitigation alternatives through low-carbon production pathways, material use efficiency, transportation modes, and projected electricity grid mixes. In a case study application through four mitigation scenarios, we find emission savings up to 80% by maximizing user mitigation alternatives, primarily driven by reductions in material use intensities. This work represents a foundation for expanding LCA and embodied carbon tools to better enable stakeholders to rapidly and accurately assess customized supply chains while meeting trade requirements.

building materials

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Electricity Resilience Projects: State of the Art and Gap Analysis

Utilities and regulators must weigh the benefits of electricity resilience projects against their costs, which would be passed on to customers. Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) is an appropriate method for assessing this tradeoff. Here, in this paper we review the literature on CBA of electricity resilience projects and analyze gaps in the available methods and tools. The costs of resilience projects are typically straightforward to estimate but their benefits — particularly the avoided costs of power interruptions — are complex to quantify and monetize. A common perception among practitioners is that current CBA tools are not sufficiently mature to be adopted into real-world practice. We propose an electricity resilience CBA framework consisting of several elements: risks, physical impacts, power interruptions, economic impacts, and resilience projects. While methods for some elements are well-developed, there is a need for novel approaches to value avoided power interruptions, integrate multiple risks and benefit streams, and incorporate uncertainty.

Cost-benefit analysis

Assessment of Heavy-Duty Fueling Methods and Components

Chevron, NLR, ANL, and NextEnergy partnered in the development of a comprehensive assessment of heavy-duty (HD) fuel cell electric vehicle fueling protocols. The project leveraged and built upon existing international heavy-duty (HD) fueling protocols and fueling component development activities to deliver component performance assessments, modeling tools and methods evaluations, techno-economic assessments of industry-selected protocol structures and experimental validations of the strategies performed at NLR's HD hydrogen fueling station.

08 HYDROGEN

MARVEL Reactor Digital Engineering Developments

The MARVEL reactor project has served to introduce a new generation of engineers to the processes required to transform a reactor design from simply an idea on paper into what will be an approved, constructed, and operational nuclear power system. Much as there have been advances in materials, analysis, and evaluation methodologies over the 50 years since the last reactor was built at INL, so too has the technology for managing the engineering process itself advanced. Digital Engineering tools and methods provide improved coordination between previously siloed engineering disciplines, reduced burdens of non-value-added data transcription processes and bring forward insights and improvements that might otherwise fall later in the design stage, where changes are much more costly. While the tools and techniques to support the full digital engineering vision are not yet complete, the MARVEL design processes provide valuable demonstrations and validations of key aspects and illuminate further areas for implementation by subsequent projects.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN

DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF RISK ANALYSIS TOOLKIT FOR PLANT RESOURCE OPTIMIZATION

This paper presents the development of methods and tools that are being designed to optimize plant operations (e.g., maintenance/replacement schedules and optimal maintenance postures for plant components) in a manner that is more cost effective than current approaches and makes better use of available component health and cost data. These methods include both data- and model-based optimization methods. Model-based optimization methods directly include reliability and cost models to determine an optimal plant operational strategy. We consider gradient-based and evolutionary (based on genetic algorithms) optimization methods. The second class of methods target more specific use cases (e.g., project schedule optimization) and are not based on reliability models directly, but they require specific component reliability and cost data. This class of methods is based on variants of the knapsack problem with an aim to determine an optimal project schedule that maximizes the overall NPV. This paper also presents multi-objective methods designed to identify an optimal maintenance posture based on a Pareto frontier analysis. Rather than dictating the “right” tradeoff (i.e., identify the absolute best posture), we show how it is possible to perform a trade space exploration approach (i.e., identify value and costs of several postures and let the analysis account for desired value and cost metrics). This is performed by identifying maintenance postures that maximize value (e.g., system availability) and minimize operational costs, i.e., the Pareto frontier in a value-cost trade space. For all these methods we present detailed applicative examples that show their validity from a decision-making perspective.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING