sfccldgrid2longcaracena
A regular grid approximation of the cloud fraction at the SGP site.
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A regular grid approximation of the cloud fraction at the SGP site.
The site data in a station data product format used to produce the gridded cloud grid data product, sfccldgrid2caracena.
Analysis of one decade of radar-lidar and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) observations at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program Southern Great Plains (SGP) site reveals that there is excellent agreement in the long-term mean cloud fractions (CF) derived from the surface and GOES data, and the CF is independent of temporal resolution and spatial scales for grid boxes of size 0.5o to 2.5°. When computed over a 0.5-hr (4-hr) period, cloud frequency of occurrence (FREQ) and amount when present (AWP) derived from the point surface data agree very well with the same quantities determined from GOES for a 0.5o (2.5o) region centered on the ARM SGP site. The values of FREQ (AWP) derived from the radar-lidar observations at a given altitude increase (decrease) as the averaging period increases from 5 min to 6 hours. Similarly, CF at a given altitude increases as the vertical resolution increases from 90 to 1000 m. The profiles of CF have distinct bimodal vertical distributions with a lower peak between 1 and 2 km and a higher one between 8 and 11 km. The 10-year mean total CF, 46.9%, varies seasonally from a summer minimum of 39.8% to a maximum of 54.6% during the winter. The annual mean CF is 1-2% less than that from previous studies, ~48-49%, because fewer clouds occurred during 2005 and 2006, especially during winter. The differences in single- and multi-layered CFs between this study and an earlier analysis can be explained by the different temporal resolutions used in the two studies where single-layered CFs decrease but multilayered CFs increase from a 5-min resolution to a 1-hr resolution. The vertical distribution of nighttime GOES high-cloud tops agrees well with surface observations, but during daytime, fewer high clouds are retrieved by the GOES analysis than seen from the surface observations. The frequencies of occurrence for both daytime and nighttime GOES low-cloud tops are significantly higher than surface observations, but the cloud fractions are in good agreement.
While the various instruments maintained at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program Southern Great Plains (SGP) Central Facility (CF) provide detailed cloud and radiation measurements for a small area, satellite cloud property retrievals provide a means of examining the large-scale properties of the surrounding region over an extended period of time. Seasonal and inter-annual climatological trends can be analyzed with such a dataset. For this purpose, monthly datasets of cloud and radiative properties from December 1996 through November 1999 over the SGP region have been derived using the layered bispectral threshold method (LBTM). The properties derived include cloud optical depths (ODs), temperatures and albedos, and are produced on two grids of lower (0.5 deg) and higher resolution (0.3 deg) centered on the ARM SGP CF. The extensive time period and high-resolution of the inner grid of this dataset allows for comparison with the suite of instruments located at the ARM CF. In particular, Whole-Sky Imager (WSI) and the Active Remote Sensing of Clouds (ARSCL) cloud products can be compared to the cloud amounts and heights of the LBTM 0.3 deg grid box encompassing the CF site. The WSI provides cloud fraction and the ARSCL computes cloud fraction, base, and top heights using the algorithms by Clothiaux et al. (2001) with a combination of Belfort Laser Ceilometer (BLC), Millimeter Wave Cloud Radar (MMCR), and Micropulse Lidar (MPL) data. This paper summarizes the results of the LBTM analysis for 3 years of GOES-8 data over the SGP and examines the differences between surface and satellite-based estimates of cloud fraction.
A 5-year, 1-minute resolution observational dataset of clouds and solar radiation was produced that includes two metrics of the variability in surface solar irradiance due to cloud type and fractional sky cover. Multiple regression models were trained to fit observations of surface solar irradiance variability from those two cloud property predictors. We found that ensemble tree-based methods, Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Machine, have the least overfitting issues and showed the best performance with an R2 of 0.42. While the observational data trained in this study was only from one site, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, initial comparisons of the seasonality of the statistics suggest that these results are relatively weather regime independent; the generality of such a finding across sites will be tested in future work. The observational data and developed machine learning model are being used to create a numerical weather prediction model parameterization to enable day-ahead solar variability prediction in a computationally efficient way. This is a first step towards creating a new paradigm of predicting day-ahead variability with the potential to provide a new tool to improve grid operation, planning, and resilience.