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At least 19 records

Rejection Sampling with Autodifferentiation -- Case study: Fitting a Hadronization Model

We present an autodifferentiable rejection sampling algorithm termed Rejection Sampling with Autodifferentiation (RSA). In conjunction with reweighting, we show that RSA can be used for efficient parameter estimation and model exploration. Additionally, this approach facilitates the use of unbinned machine-learning-based observables, allowing for more precise, data-driven fits. To showcase these capabilities, we apply an RSA-based parameter fit to a simplified hadronization model.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Adjoint Klein-Nishina Sampling Methods: Efficiency, Speed and Applications

Three new rejection sampling methods for generating samples from the adjoint Klein-Nishina cross section are discussed: the two-branch rejection sampling procedure, the three-branch linear rejection sampling procedure and the three-branch inverse rejection sampling procedure. These methods have all been implemented in the Framework for REsearch in Nuclear ScIence and Engineering (FRENSIE). The efficiency and sample generation rate of each of these methods are evaluated to characterize the methods and to make recommendations regarding their use. The use of these methods in realistic transport simulations is also evaluated by incorporating a scattering function into the sampling process. Furthermore, the results of an infinite medium problem are presented to verify that the sampling procedure can be used in an adjoint Monte Carlo simulation to generate results that are in agreement with an equivalent forward simulation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Deterministic Linear Time for Maximal Poisson‐Disk Sampling using Chocks without Rejection or Approximation

Abstract We show how to sample uniformly within the three‐sided region bounded by a circle, a radial ray, and a tangent, called a “chock.” By dividing a 2D planar rectangle into a background grid, and subtracting Poisson disks from grid squares, we are able to represent the available region for samples exactly using triangles and chocks. Uniform random samples are generated from chock areas precisely without rejection sampling. This provides the first implemented algorithm for precise maximal Poisson‐disk sampling in deterministic linear time. We prove O(n · M(b) log b), where n is the number of samples, b is the bits of numerical precision and M is the cost of multiplication. Prior methods have higher time complexity, take expected time, are non‐maximal, and/or are not Poisson‐disk distributions in the most precise mathematical sense. We fill this theoretical lacuna.

Mitchell, Scott A.↗

Evaluation of Naturally Occurring Be-7 Activity on LANL Stack Filter Clumps

Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) is responsible for providing solutions to challenging issues through multidisciplinary science, engineering, and technology that impact national security. As part of the Radioactive Air Emissions Management (RAEM) Team, it is our responsibility to ensure LANL operates within the requirements of the Code of Federal Regulations 40 CFR 61, Subpart H, National Emission Standards for Emissions of Radionuclides Other Than Radon From Department of Energy Facilities (Rad-NESHAP). The standard states, “Emissions of radionuclides to the ambient air from Department of Energy facilities shall not exceed those amounts that would cause any member of the public to receive in any year an effective dose equivalent of 10 mrem/yr” (EPA, 2002) During a routine assessment of LANL’s Rad-NESHAP compliance program, an opportunity for improvement was identified that addresses the evaluation of routine stack samples which potentially have naturally occurring radioactive materials (NORM) on the filter media. In the past and based on professional judgment, detections of NORM such as K-40 and Be-7 typically were rejected from the analytical results. The assessment finding suggested developing a technical criterion to ensure that such rejections were justified, comparing actual measured values with anticipated NORM concentrations for various stacks located at LANL. The significance of accepting or rejecting samples as “true” or “NORM” and its impact on the RAEM’s mission and compliance to the regulations is explained later in the document. Additionally, this document will describe the process and calculations for how such results are to be accepted as actual samples “true positive” or rejected as NORM.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Resonance Scattering Treatment with the Windowed Multipole Formalism

A new method for directly sampling the resonance upscattering effect is presented. Alternatives have relied on inefficient rejection sampling techniques or large tabular storage of relative velocities. None of these approaches, which require pointwise energy data, are particularly well suited to the windowed multipole cross-section representation. The new method, called multipole analytic resonance scattering, overcomes these limitations by inverse transform sampling from the target relative velocity distribution where the cross section is expressed in the multipole formalism. The closed-form relative speed distribution contains a novel special function we deem the incomplete Faddeeva function, and we present the first results on its efficient numerical evaluation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

CORRLA-RS

The CORRLA-RS package provides a suite of statistical methods for sampling multidimensional distributions and to conduct sensitivity and correlation analysis of large scale data in the Rust programming language. The software provides a unique solution to multidimensional constrained sampling problems utilizing a combination of parallelized Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and traditional rejection sampling. The sensitivity and correlation analysis methods are backed by a high performance randomized singular value decomposition implementation which enables datasets larger than the random access memory (RAM) size to be analyzed. Additionally, CORRLA-RS implements the active subspace identification method using a KD-Tree and the randomized singular value decomposition acting in concert.

Gurecky, William [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (O↗

Adjoint DSMC for nonlinear spatially-homogeneous Boltzmann equation with a general collision model

We derive an adjoint method for the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method for the spatially homogeneous Boltzmann equation with a general collision law. This generalizes our previous results in Caflisch et al., which was restricted to the case of Maxwell molecules, for which the collision rate is constant. The main difficulty in generalizing the previous results is that a rejection sampling step is required in the DSMC algorithm in order to handle the variable collision rate. We find a new term corresponding to the so-called score function in the adjoint equation and a new adjoint Jacobian matrix capturing the dependence of the collision parameter on the velocities. The new formula works for a much more general class of collision models.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Hyperparameter Setting for a Marked Multidimensional Hawkes Process with Dissimilar Decays

We provide further details for using Lim, et al.'s marked multidimensional Hawkes processes with dissimilar decays. We first describe what makes these different from other Hawkes processes, then describe each model hyperparameter and how to initialize it informed by the input data and any prior biases. We derived tighter bounds than Lim, et al. for faster convergence of rejection sampling. The resulting hyperparameters and bounds have been helpful against both synthetic and real-world datasets.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

CALIPSO Lidar Level 3 Aerosol Profile Product: Version 3 Algorithm Design

The CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations) level 3 aerosol profile product reports globally gridded, quality-screened, monthly mean aerosol extinction profiles retrieved by CALIOP (the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization). This paper describes the quality screening and averaging methods used to generate the version 3 product. The fundamental input data are CALIOP level 2 aerosol extinction profiles and layer classification information (aerosol, cloud, and clear-air). Prior to aggregation, the extinction profiles are quality-screened by a series of filters to reduce the impact of layer detection errors, layer classification errors, extinction retrieval errors, and biases due to an intermittent signal anomaly at the surface. The relative influence of these filters are compared in terms of sample rejection frequency, mean extinction, and mean aerosol optical depth (AOD). The “extinction QC flag” filter is the most influential in preventing high-biases in level 3 mean extinction, while the “misclassified cirrus fringe” filter is most aggressive at rejecting cirrus misclassified as aerosol. The impact of quality screening on monthly mean aerosol extinction is investigated globally and regionally. After applying quality filters, the level 3 algorithm calculates monthly mean AOD by vertically integrating the monthly mean quality-screened aerosol extinction profile. Calculating monthly mean AOD by integrating the monthly mean extinction profile prevents a low bias that would result from alternately integrating the set of extinction profiles first and then averaging the resultant AOD values together. Ultimately, the quality filters reduce level 3 mean AOD by −24 and −31 % for global ocean and global land, respectively, indicating the importance of quality screening.

Tackett, Jason L.↗

FIGS: spectral fitting constraints on the star formation history of massive galaxies since the cosmic noon

We constrain the stellar population properties of a sample of 52 massive galaxies – with stellar mass log (M(s)/M(⊙)) ≳ 10.5 – over the redshift range 0.5 < z < 2 by use of observer-frame optical and near-infrared slitless spectra from Hubble Space Telescope’s ACS and WFC3 grisms. The deep exposures (∼100 ks) allow us to target individual spectra of massive galaxies to F160W = 22.5 AB. Our spectral fitting approach uses a set of six base models adapted to the redshift and spectral resolution of each observation, and fits the weights of the base models, including potential dust attenuation, via a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. Our sample comprises a mixed distribution of quiescent (19) and star-forming galaxies (33). We quantify the width of the age distribution (Δt) that is found to dominate the variance of the retrieved parameters according to principal component analysis. The population parameters follow the expected trend towards older ages with increasing mass, and Δt appears to weakly anticorrelate with stellar mass, suggesting a more efficient star formation at the massive end. As expected, the redshift dependence of the relative stellar age (measured in units of the age of the Universe at the source) in the quiescent sample rejects the hypothesis of a single burst (aka monolithic collapse). Radial colour gradients within each galaxy are also explored, finding a wider scatter in the star-forming subsample, but no conclusive trend with respect to the population parameters.

Ignacio Ferreras↗

Effects of long term exposure on optical substrates and coatings (SOO50-2)

Kodak included 12 substrate and coating samples on the Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) structure. There were 3 fused silica and 3 ultra low expansion (ULE(tm)) uncoated glass samples, 2 ULE(tm) samples with a high reflectance silver coating, 2 fused silica samples with an antireflectance coating, and 2 fused silica samples with a solar rejection coating. The sample dimensions were 32 mm diameter by 1 mm thick. A set of duplicate control samples was also manufactured and stored in a controlled environment for comparison purposes. A preliminary evaluation of the flight samples for effects from the 5 year mission showed that a contaminant was deposited on the samples, a micrometeroid impact occurred on one of the samples, and the radiation darkening which was expected for the glass did not occur. The results are presented in more detail.

John Vallimont↗

nautilus : boosting Bayesian importance nested sampling with deep learning

ABSTRACT We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested sampling (NS) or Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, importance sampling techniques can use all likelihood evaluations for posterior and evidence estimation. However, for efficient importance sampling, one needs proposal distributions that closely mimic the posterior distributions. We show how to combine INS with deep learning via neural network regression to accomplish this task. We also introduce nautilus, a reference open-source python implementation of this technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation. We compare nautilus against popular NS and MCMC packages, including emcee, dynesty, ultranest, and pocomc, on a variety of challenging synthetic problems and real-world applications in exoplanet detection, galaxy SED fitting and cosmology. In all applications, the sampling efficiency of nautilus is substantially higher than that of all other samplers, often by more than an order of magnitude. Simultaneously, nautilus delivers highly accurate results and needs fewer likelihood evaluations than all other samplers tested. We also show that nautilus has good scaling with the dimensionality of the likelihood and is easily parallelizable to many CPUs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A simple test of independence for truncated data with applications to redshift surveys

This paper presents an easily applied permutation test for H0, closely related to Lyden-Bell's (1971) estimate of the marginal distribution of truncated data. The test is applied to two redshift-magnitude surveys, one of galaxies and one of quasars. Assuming statistical independence, testing H0 amounts to testing validity of the cosmological model. Segal's (1986) chronomatic cosmological model is rejected under H0. On the other hand, for the quasar sample H0 is rejected strongly in a conventional cosmological model (and in a chronomatic model as well) indicating either incorrectness of the models or, as is more commonly assumed, indicating strong luminosity evolution.

Efron, Bradley↗

Effects of long term space environment exposure on optical substrates and coatings (S0050-2)

Eastman Kodak Company included twelve substrate and coating samples on the Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) structure. There were three Fused Silica and three Ultra Low Expansion (ULE) uncoated glass samples, two ULE samples with a high reflectance silver coating, two Fused Silica samples with an antireflectance coating, and two Fused silica samples with a solar rejection coating. A set of duplicate control samples was also manufactured and stored in a controlled environment for comparison purposes. Kodak's samples were included as a subset of the Georgia Institute of Technology tray, which was located on row 5-E, tray S0050-2. This placed the samples on the trailing edge of the structure, which protected them from the effects of atomic oxygen bombardment. An evaluation of the flight samples for effects from the 5 year mission showed that a contaminant was deposited on the samples, a micrometeoroid impact occurred on one of the samples, and the radiation darkening which was expected for the glass did not occur. The results are listed in more detail.

Harvey, Keith↗