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At least 19 records

Preventive Power Outage Estimation Based on a Novel Scenario Clustering Strategy

The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events is challenging power grid operation. For extreme weather events, the system operator is responsible for estimating the power outages and scheduling the restoration resources. This paper proposes an outage evaluation framework to identify the possible unserved load profiles, vulnerable areas, and mobile energy adequacy. The outputs of an outage prediction model tool are used to generate numerous faulted line scenarios. Next, each scenario's nodal unserved load profile is obtained by solving a three-phase restoration model that considers repair crews and mobile energy resources (MERs). Then, a novel scenario clustering strategy is developed to cluster the unserved load profiles into multiple representative profiles which the system operator can focus on. Finally, case studies on a distribution system evaluate the damage caused by an extreme weather event and verify the effectiveness of the proposed scenario clustering strategy.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING,POWER TRANSMISSION AND D

Bayesian estimation of HIV acquisition dates for prevention trials

Accurate timing estimates of when participants acquire HIV in HIV prevention trials are necessary for determining antibody levels at acquisition. The Antibody-Mediated Prevention (AMP) Studies showed that a passively administered broadly neutralizing antibody can prevent the acquisition of HIV from a neutralization-sensitive virus. We developed a pipeline for estimating the date of detectable HIV acquisition (DDA) in AMP Study participants using diagnostic and viral sequence data. Using a Bayesian strategy that combines three streams of data (REN [rev/vpu/env/Δnef] sequence, GP [gag/Δpol] sequence, and diagnostic) where their 95% credible intervals overlap based on pre-specified criteria and decision rules. We evaluated the performance of our AMP pipeline using PacBio viral sequence data from 41 participants across two prospective acute HIV acquisition cohort studies, FRESH and RV217, with twice-weekly sampling. These cohort studies enrolled young women in South Africa and men and women in Kenya and Thailand, respectively, with a high likelihood of HIV acquisition. In evaluating performance, “true DDA” was the center of bounds between last-negative and first-positive RNA diagnostic tests (median time 4 days, range 2–7 days); bias was the mean difference between estimated and true DDA. Using diagnostic data alone yielded timing estimates with a bias of 2.4 days and root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.9 days. These results were improved using sequence + diagnostic data (bias 1.5 days, RMSE 6.9 days), as well as by restricting sequence-based estimation to samples from ≤5 weeks post-DDA (bias 0.2 days, RMSE 7.8 days).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

A Survey on the Design, Detection, and Prevention of Pre-Silicon Hardware Trojans

The complexity of the semiconductor design lifecycle and globalized manufacturing process creates concern over the threat of deliberate malicious alterations, or hardware Trojans, being inserted into microelectronic designs. This has resulted in a significant corpus of hardware Trojan research including Trojan design and benchmarking efforts and development of corresponding metrics and detection and prevention techniques, over the last two decades. In this survey, we first highlight efforts in Trojan design and benchmarking, followed by a cataloging of seminal and recent works in Trojan detection and prevention and their accompanied metrics. Given the volume of literature in this field, this survey considers only pre-silicon techniques. We make this distinction between pre- and post-silicon to properly scope and provide appropriate context into the capabilities of existing hardware Trojan literature. Each major section (design, prevention, and detection) is accompanied by insights, and common pitfalls, which we highlight can be addressed by future research.

42 ENGINEERING

Use of differential plasma rotation to prevent disruptive tearing mode onset from 3-wave coupling

Abstract Plasma differential rotation is found to be capable of preventing disruptive neoclassical tearing modes (NTMs) seeded by nonlinear three-wave coupling. As tearing modes degrade confinement and can lead to disruptions, stabilization strategies are crucial to the successful operation of future devices. In ITER-relevant scenarios on DIII-D, rotationally coupled m / n = 1/1 and 3/2 modes have been observed to drive 2/1 islands through three-wave coupling. The frequency of the driven 2/1 mode is set by matching conditions and the frequencies of the driving modes. When the driven mode frequency matches the local plasma rotation frequency, e.g. at low differential rotation, the driven 2/1 island can grow into a disruptive NTM. Using neutral beam torque as an actuator to scan the differential rotation, these experiments demonstrate that a sufficiently large frequency mismatch prevents destabilization of disruptive 2/1 NTMs by three-wave coupling. This work indicates that differential rotation can be used as an actuator to prevent NTMs seeded by three-wave coupling.

Richner, N. J. (ORCID:0000000155443915)

Detecting Anomalies for Fire Prevention in Distribution Systems: Challenges and Analytical Techniques

Electric utilities in California have historically been linked to up to 10% of wildfires. To mitigate this risk, Southern California Edison has invested significantly in wildfire prevention strategies, including undergrounding cables and enhancing equipment inspections. This article explores a novel approach to fire prevention by detecting anomalies in the distribution system that may indicate potential fire hazards. The focus is on identifying arcing conditions through high-resolution point-on-wave (POW) measurements. Arcing, a precursor to fires, is challenging to detect due to its subtle transients and complex system topology. The article discusses the use of advanced signal processing and machine learning techniques, such as spectral correlation function and discrete wavelet transform, to extract features from POW data and accurately identify arcing events. The study demonstrates a high accuracy rate in detecting arcing, paving the way for improved fire prevention measures in electric distribution systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

Adaptive Framework for Maintenance Scheduling Based on Dynamic Preventive Intervals and Remaining Useful Life Estimation

Data-based prognostic methods exploit sensor data to forecast the remaining useful life (RUL) of industrial settings to optimize the scheduling of maintenance actions. However, implementing sensors may not be cost-effective or practical for all components. Traditional preventive approaches are not based on sensor data; however, they schedule maintenance at equally spaced intervals, which is not a cost-effective approach since the distribution of the time between failures changes with the degradation state of other parts or changes in working conditions. This study introduces a novel framework comprising two maintenance scheduling strategies. In the absence of sensor data, we propose a novel dynamic preventive policy that adjusts intervention intervals based on the most recent failure data. When sensor data are available, a method for RUL prediction, designated k-LSTM-GFT, is enhanced to dynamically account for RUL prediction uncertainty. The results demonstrate that dynamic preventive maintenance can yield cost reductions of up to 51.8% compared to conventional approaches. The predictive approach optimizes the exploitation of RUL, achieving costs that are only 3–5% higher than the minimum cost achievable while ensuring the safety of critical systems since all of the failures are avoided.

Nunes, Pedro (ORCID:0000000180012172)

Influence of the broadly neutralizing antibody VRC01 on HIV breakthrough virus populations in antibody-mediated prevention trials

In the antibody mediated prevention (AMP) trials, the broadly neutralizing antibody (bNAb) VRC01 demonstrated protective efficacy against susceptible HIV strains. To understand how VRC01 shaped breakthrough infections, deep sequencing was performed on 172 participants (>100,000 gag-Δpol and rev-env-Δnef sequences), at diagnosis and over time, in the placebo and treatment arms of the African (HVTN703/HPTN081; NCT02568215) and Americas/Europe (HVTN704/HPTN085; NCT02716675) cohorts. A high frequency of multilineage infections was detected (38%), including co-infection with both VRC01 sensitive and resistant viruses. This high frequency is largely accounted for by low-abundance lineages. Although VRC01 does not significantly affect the genetic transmission bottleneck compared to placebo, higher VRC01 doses trend towards greater VRC01 neutralization differences among co-infecting lineages. Two-thirds of multilineage infections showed evidence of recombination at the diagnostic timepoint. In the treatment group there is evidence of recombinant viruses preferentially inheriting resistance-associated mutations. This study provides critical insights into viral genetic and antigenic diversity that needs to be targeted to achieve protection, and highlights the role of recombination in facilitating escape.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Prevention of resistive wall tearing mode major disruptions with feedback

Resistive wall tearing modes (RWTMs) can cause major disruptions. A signature of RWTMs is that the rational surface is sufficiently close to the wall to interact with it. For (m,n) = (2,1) modes, a RWTM requires normalized minor radius of the rational surface ρ q2 ≥ 0.75, which can also be expressed as q 75 ≤ 2. Major disruptions can occur when the criterion is satisfied. This is confirmed in simulations and theory and in a DIII-D locked mode disruption database. The q 75 < 2 criterion is valid at high β as well as at low β. A very important feature of RWTMs is that they can be feedback stabilized. If the ρ q2 criterion is not satisfied, or if the wall is ideally conducting, then the mode does not produce a major disruption, although it can produce a minor disruption. Feedback, or rotation of the mode at the wall by complex feedback, can emulate an ideal wall, preventing major disruptions. The ρ q2 criterion depends weakly on the wall radius. A simple geometric model of its dependence on wall radius is given.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Cost-optimal selection of pH control for mineral scaling prevention in high recovery reverse osmosis desalination

Conference proceedings for Foundations of Computer Aided Process Design (FOCAPD) 2024 that details a cost optimization model for pH control to prevent mineral scaling in high recovery reverse osmosis. This work applies a framework for incorporating detailed water chemistry predictions such as precipitation, pH change, and mineral scaling tendencies with process-scale optimization. It demonstrates that the acid choice for pH control can have a significant impact on pretreatment costs.

Amusat, Oluwamayowa

Activation of Thermal Insulation and Contamination Prevention

The goals of this paper are to enhance the understanding of the potential activation and contamination hazards from the use of insulating materials in the Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment and to foster safer work environments through informed decision-making and strategic planning. It was written to resolve a gating comment from the core heating system preliminary design review. The largest dose expected from the considered insulation materials is about 0.1 mrem per year from Pyrogel. Although Cerablanket stood out among the insulation materials for encouraging ALARA practices, it has a higher thermal conductivity. At low power levels, focusing on reducing the generation of dust from ERD activities may be more effective for reducing the potential spread of contamination than changing the insulating material type. However, regardless of the material chosen, PPE and safety conscious procedural practices can help reduce the production and spread of activated dust––thus minimizing the radiological hazard to workers.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN

Preventive Power Outage Estimation Based on A Novel Scenario Clustering Strategy: Preprint

The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events is challenging the power grid operation. In front of the extreme weather, the system operator is responsible for estimating the power outage and scheduling the restoration resources. This paper proposes an outage evaluation framework to identify the possible unserved load profiles, vulnerable areas, and mobile energy adequacy. The predicted vulnerable lines of an outage prediction model tool are utilized to generate numerous faulted line scenarios. Next, each scenario's nodal unserved load profile is obtained by solving a three-phase restoration model that considers the schedule of repair crews and mobile energy resources. Then, a novel scenario clustering strategy is developed to cluster the unserved load profiles into multiple representative ones for straightforward analysis. Finally, case studies on a distribution system evaluate the damage level brought by extreme weather and verify the effectiveness of the proposed scenario clustering strategy.

mobile energy resources

Tetrahedral Zn 2+ doping LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 improves discharge capacity retention by altering surface Ni valence during cycling and preventing oxygen evolution

5 mol-% Zn 2+ was added to the co-precipitation synthesis of LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) to understand Zn's effect on the structural and electronic properties of NMC622. Zn is determined to successfully dope into the NMC crystal lattice as there is an increase in d-spacing along the [003], [104], and [110] directions and an increase in molar volume (100.75 cm 3 mol -1 for NMC622 and 101.00 cm 3 mol -1 for Zn-NMC). Through XPS, Zn is determined to dope on the tetrahedral 6c Wyckoff site in the NMC structure and TEM-EDS reveals that despite a slight ZnO impurity phase, 1.4 mol-% Zn successfully dopes into the crystal structure. Furthermore, cyclic voltammetry shows a suppressed anodic wave associated with oxygen evolution and EIS demonstrates that Zn-doped NMC decreases charge transfer resistance and increases Li diffusion by an order of magnitude. After the formation cycles, NMC has a higher 1 C accessible capacity, 141 mAh/g, over Zn-NMC (132 mAh/g), but after long term cycling Zn-NMC has a higher accessible capacity (117 mAh/g compared to 96 mAh/g for NMC) and increases discharge capacity retention by 18% leading to longer cycle life.

Electrochemistry

Preventing native oxide formation in niobium thin films through platinum encapsulation

Superconducting transmon qubits are a key technology in quantum computing, with niobium (Nb) widely used due to its favorable superconducting properties and compatibility with scalable fabrication. However, the performance of Nb-based qubits is hindered by two-level systems (TLS), which arise predominantly from native oxide layers at surfaces and interfaces. These oxides and suboxides form rapidly in air and contribute significantly to decoherence by introducing dielectric losses. While various mitigation strategies, including thermal-annealing, chemical-etching, and nitrogen plasma treatment, have been explored, many are challenging to integrate into large-scale manufacturing due to complexity and instability in ambient conditions. In this study, we investigate the structural, chemical, and superconducting properties of room-temperature sputtered Nb thin films grown on sapphire substrates. We focus on a surface protection strategy using noble metal encapsulation with platinum (Pt) to suppress oxides and reduce TLS-related losses. Structural and chemical characterization were performed using X-ray diffraction, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and transmission electron microscopy. Superconducting properties were measured using a physical property measurement system. Results demonstrate that Pt encapsulation effectively suppresses surface oxidation and mitigates its detrimental impact on superconducting performance. In conclusion, this approach offers a promising path toward enhancing the coherence of Nb-based qubits while remaining compatible with scalable-fabrication processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Stress engineering for crack and dendrite prevention in solid electrolytes via ion implantation

Solid-state batteries represent a promising technology that offers safer and more densely packed energy storage. A primary cause of failure in solid-state cells is the penetration of metal dendrites through the solid electrolyte. Here, we report that fluorine-ion implantation can enhance the mechanical resistance of solid electrolyte Li 6.5 La 3 Zr 1.5 Ta 0.5 O 12 to dendrite propagation by inducing residual compressive stress in the subsurface of the electrolyte. Ion implantation modifies subsurface residual stress and also alters the electrolyte’s surface, resulting in multifunctional enhancement. The combined chemical and mechanical effects of ion implantation enable reversible lithium metal stripping and plating at elevated current densities while enhancing air stability and mitigating the formation of a harmful carbonate layer at the surface. This study provides new insights into a scalable dendrite-suppression strategy for designing solid-state batteries suitable for cycling at room temperature and low stack pressures.

25 ENERGY STORAGE

Preventing Loss of Selectivity during the Oxidative Dehydrogenation of Propane over Supported Vanadium Catalysts

Supported vanadium materials are promising catalysts for the oxidative dehydrogenation of propane to propylene (ODHP), but a lack of mechanistic understanding limits the rational design of catalysts with improved propylene selectivity. Adding Ta to V/SiO 2 increases the propylene selectivity, as well as the activity, leading to superior performance compared to state-of-the-art boron-based systems. In this contribution, we utilize this surprising promotional effect of Ta to elucidate key elements of the mechanistic cycle. Through a combination of characterization techniques, computational modeling, and kinetic experiments, we show that the catalytic cycle over V/SiO 2 likely involves the formation of an isopropyl alcohol intermediate, the fate of which is in kinetic competition between subsequent dehydration to propylene or further oxidation. Furthermore, we show that the relatively facile propylene overoxidation observed for these materials occurs via the epoxidation of propylene by a proposed peroxovanadium intermediate, rather than the abstraction of propylene’s allylic C–H bond as previously assumed. Using these key mechanistic features, we rationalize the enhanced selectivity and activity of Ta promotion. In conclusion, our mechanistic framework offers avenues for future catalyst development to improve supported vanadium materials for ODHP.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Pressure-Tolerant 3D Anodes Enable Short-Circuit Prevention and Low Heat Generation in Argyrodite Solid-State Batteries

Solid-state batteries (SSBs) offer a safer, higher-energy-density alternative to lithium-ion batteries, yet commercialization is hindered by incompatibility with lithium metal. Here, to overcome these challenges, we developed a cost-effective, commercially available prelithiated micro carbon fiber framework (Li-Cf) anode featuring a high-pressure-tolerance, for use with argyrodite solid-state electrolytes (SSEs). This 3D structure accommodates uniform lithium deposition, simplifies cell assembly under elevated pressure, inhibits dendrite growth toward SSEs, reduces heat generation, and enhances overall compatibility. Notably, our architecture enables the cell to tolerate pressures up to 400 MPa without short-circuiting during assembly. Meanwhile, the 3D framework serves as a preferential pathway for lithium deposition, thereby reducing lithium growth toward the SSEs and mitigating the risk of dendrite formation in SSEs. Operando calorimetry and distribution of relaxation times analysis reveal that lithium morphology degradation at the interface with the SSEs is a key failure mechanism in lithium metal argyrodite SSBs, leading to increased diffusion resistance and heat generation. In contrast, the Li-Cf anode mitigates these issues by reducing both heat flux and charge transfer resistance. Full cells with LiNi 0.8 Co 0.1 Mn 0.1 O 2 /Li 6 PS 5 Cl/Li-Cf retain ~79% capacity after 600 cycles, demonstrating significantly improved cycling stability and strong potential for practical energy storage applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE