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The Fermi paradox: An approach based on percolation theory

If even a very small fraction of the hundred billion stars in the galaxy are home to technological civilizations which colonize over interstellar distances, the entire galaxy could be completely colonized in a few million years. The absence of such extraterrestrial civilizations visiting Earth is the Fermi paradox. A model for interstellar colonization is proposed using the assumption that there is a maximum distance over which direct interstellar colonization is feasible. Due to the time lag involved in interstellar communications, it is assumed that an interstellar colony will rapidly develop a culture independent of the civilization that originally settled it. Any given colony will have a probability P of developing a colonizing civilization, and a probability (1-P) that it will develop a non-colonizing civilization. These assumptions lead to the colonization of the galaxy occuring as a percolation problem. In a percolation problem, there will be a critical value of percolation probability, P(sub c). For P less than P(sub c), colonization will always terminate after a finite number of colonies. Growth will occur in 'clusters', with the outside of each cluster consisting of non-colonizing civilizations. For P greater than P(sub c), small uncolonized voids will exist, bounded by non-colonizing civilizations. For P approximately = to P(sub c), arbitrarily large filled regions exist, and also arbitrarily large empty regions.

Landis, Geoffrey A.↗

Multiphase flow in porous media

A development history and current status evaluation are presented for the theory of permeability and percolation. The microscale phenomena treated in this field have proven difficult to analyze due both to their tortuous geometry and the influence of capilarity. Capilary effects may be not only important but predominant, and are differentiated into those at the fluid-fluid interface, and those involving the existence of a contact line between the solid substrate and this interface. Percolation theory has been borrowed from physics and adapted to the two-phase engineering context.

Adler, Pierre M.↗

Understanding Thermal Transport in Polymer –Silver Nanowire Composites

Understanding thermal transport across filler-polymer interfaces and filler-filler contacts within polymer composites is of great importance for better thermal design of the composites that are widely used in high-performance heat exchangers, energy storage devices, and flexible electronics. Over the past several decades, considerable progress has been made in improving the thermal conductivity of polymer composites, but several key questions concerning the influence of interfacial thermal resistance, or Kapitza resistance, still remain. Firstly, the thermal properties of these composites are highly dependent on thermal transport through the filler network and its contacts. For metallic nanofillers, the thermal conductivity is often estimated using the Wiedemann-Franz law based on electrical conductivity; however, it remains a question whether the Wiedemann-Franz law still holds at nanoscale contacts. Through investigation of silver nanowires of varying sizes, we were able to demonstrate that the Lorenz number for silver nanowire increases with decreasing nanowire diameter. Examination of the corresponding electrical and thermal conductivities indicate that these changes are due to that the relative contribution of phonons becomes more significant as a result of elastic stiffening. Furthermore, we show that for silver nanowires, the contact thermal resistance is ~8 times lower than that of multi-walled carbon nanotube (MWCNT) of similar diameters. Additionally, through systematic studies of electrospun polymer-silver nanowire composite nanofibers, we investigated the impact of interface morphology on the thermal conductivity enhancement of the composite system and probed the value of the Kapitza resistance for individual polymer-filler interfaces. For polymer nanofibers containing continuous, single silver nanowires, the thermal conductivity increases linearly with increasing volume fraction of silver, which is consistent with the prediction of percolation theory for samples above the percolation limit. By comparing this linear trend to the measured thermal conductivities of composite nanofibers with more complex structures, we were able to determine the resistance associated with any additional polymer-filler boundaries. In doing so we find that the thermal boundary resistance for polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVP)–silver interfaces is significantly lower than that of comparable polymer-MWCNT composite systems.Together our studies provide new insights into thermal transport in polymer nanocomposites and should help facilitate the design of high performance polymeric thermal interface material.

Thermal transport↗

Understanding Thermal Transport in Polymer - Silver Nanowire Composites

Understanding thermal transport across filler-polymer interfaces and filler-filler contacts within polymer composites is of great importance for better thermal design of the composites that are widely used in high-performance heat exchangers, energy storage devices, and flexible electronics. Over the past several decades, considerable progress has been made in improving the thermal conductivity of polymer composites, but several key questions concerning the influence of interfacial thermal resistance, or Kapitza resistance, still remain. Firstly, the thermal properties of these composites are highly dependent on thermal transport through the filler network and its contacts. For metallic nanofillers, the thermal conductivity is often estimated using the Wiedemann-Franz law based on electrical conductivity; however, it remains a question whether the Wiedemann-Franz law still holds at nanoscale contacts. Through investigation of silver nanowires of varying sizes, we were able to demonstrate that the Lorenz number for silver nanowire increases with decreasing nanowire diameter. Examination of the corresponding electrical and thermal conductivities indicate that these changes are due to that the relative contribution of phonons becomes more significant as a result of elastic stiffening. Furthermore, we show that for silver nanowires, the contact thermal resistance is ~8 times lower than that of multi-walled carbon nanotube (MWCNT) of similar diameters. Additionally, through systematic studies of electrospun polymer-silver nanowire composite nanofibers, we investigated the impact of interface morphology on the thermal conductivity enhancement of the composite system and probed the value of the Kapitza resistance for individual polymer-filler interfaces. For polymer nanofibers containing continuous, single silver nanowires, the thermal conductivity increases linearly with increasing volume fraction of silver, which is consistent with the prediction of percolation theory for samples above the percolation limit. By comparing this linear trend to the measured thermal conductivities of composite nanofibers with more complex structures, we were able to determine the resistance associated with any additional polymer-filler boundaries. In doing so we find that the thermal boundary resistance for polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVP)–silver interfaces is significantly lower than that of comparable polymer-MWCNT composite systems. Together our studies provide new insights into thermal transport in polymer nanocomposites and should help facilitate the design of high performance polymeric thermal interface material.

Matthew L. Fitzgerald↗

Composite-Based High Performance Electroactive Polymers For Remotely Controlled Mechanical Manipulations in NASA Applications

This program supported investigation of an all-polymer percolative composite which exhibits very high dielectric constant (less than 7,000). The experimental results show that the dielectric behavior of this new class of percolative composites follows the prediction of the percolation theory and the analysis of the conductive percolation phenomena. The very high dielectric constant of the all-polymer composites which are also very flexible and possess elastic modulus not very much different from that of the insulation polymer matrix makes it possible to induce a high electromechanical response under a much reduced electric field (a strain of 2.65% with an elastic energy density of 0.18 J/cu cm can be achieved under a field of 16 MV/m). Data analysis also suggests that in these composites, the non-uniform local field distribution as well as interface effects can significantly enhance the strain responses. Furthermore, the experimental data as well as the data analysis indicate that the conduction loss in these composites will not affect the strain hysteresis.

Zhang, Q. M.↗

Collisionless drift-tearing modes in the magnetopause

The linear stability properties of collisionless drift-tearing modes are analyzed in a modified Harris equilibrium model of the magnetopause. Particular attention is paid to the relevance of the parametric behavior of growth rates to the 'magnetic percolation' theory of flux transfer event formation (Galeev et al., 1986). Numerical methods are used to solve the drift-tearing eigenmode equations and the results are compared with those previously obtained by analytical methods. The analytical results are found to correctly model important parametric dependencies but to typically overestimate the rate of growth. The eigenmode equations are numerically difficult, and an integration scheme utilizing Ricatti transforms is developed to affect their solution.

Gladd, N. T.↗

Nonlinear dynamics in cardiac conduction

Electrical conduction in the heart shows many phenomena familiar from nonlinear dynamics. Among these phenomena are multiple basins of attraction, phase locking, and perhaps period-doubling bifurcations and chaos. We describe a simple cellular-automation model of electrical conduction which simulates normal conduction patterns in the heart as well as a wide range of disturbances of heart rhythm. In addition, we review the application of percolation theory to the analysis of the development of complex, self-sustaining conduction patterns.

NASA Discipline Cardiopulmonary↗

Subtle alternating electrocardiographic morphology as an indicator of decreased cardiac electrical stability

Observations from finite-element computer models, together with analytic developments based on percolation theory have suggested that subtle fluctuations of ECG morphology might serve as an indicator diminished cardiac electrical stability. With fixed-rate atrial pacing in canines, we have previously observed a pattern of alternation in T wave energy which correlated with cardiac electrical stability. We report here on a series of 20 canine experiments in which cardiac electrical stability (measured via Ventricular Fibrillation Threshold determination) was compared to a non-degenerate, multidimensional measurement of the degree of alternating activity present in the ECG complex morphology. The decrease in cardiac electrical stability brought on by both coronary artery occlusion and systemic hypothermia was consistently accompanied by subtle alternation in ECG morphology, with the absolute degree of alternating activity being significantly (negatively) correlated with cardiac electrical stability.

Ventricular Fibrillation↗

Displacement Damage Induced Catastrophic Second Breakdown in Silicon Carbide Schottky Power Diodes

A novel catastrophic breakdown mode in reversed biased Silicon carbide diodes has been seen for low LET particles. These particles are too low in LET to induce SEB, however SEB was seen from particles of higher LET. The low LET mechanism correlates with second breakdown in diodes due to increase leakage and assisted charge injection from incident particles. Percolation theory was used to predict some basic responses of the devices, but the inherent reliability issue with silicon carbide have proven challenging.

breakdown↗

Percolation effect in thick film superconductors: Using a Bi(Pb)SrCaCuO based paste to prepare a superconducting planar transformer

A thick film superconductor paste has been developed to study the properties of granulated superconductor materials, to observe the percolation effect and to confirm the theory of the conducting mechanism in the superconducting thick films. This paste was also applied to make a superconducting planar transformer. Due to the T(sub c) and advantageous current density properties the base of the past was chosen to be of Bi(Pb)SrCaCu) system. For contacts a conventional Ag/Pt paste was used. The critical temperature of the samples were between 110 K and 115 K depending on the printed layer thickness. The critical current density -at the boiling temperature of the liquid He- was between 200 - 300 A/sq cm. The R(T) and V(I) functions were measured with different parameters. The results of the measurements have confirmed the theory of conducting mechanism in the material. The percolation structure model has been built and described. As an application, a superconducting planar thick film transformer was planned and produced. Ten windings of the transformer were printed on one side of the alumina substrate and one winding was printed on the other side. The coupling between the two sides was possible through the substrate. The samples did not need special drying and firing parameters. After the preparation, the properties of the transformer were measured. The efficiency ans the losses were determined. Finally, some fundamental advantages and problems of the process were discussed.

Sali, Robert↗

A Hierarchical Approach to Fracture Mechanics

Recent research conducted under NASA LaRC's Creativity and Innovation Program has led to the development of an initial approach for a hierarchical fracture mechanics. This methodology unites failure mechanisms occurring at different length scales and provides a framework for a physics-based theory of fracture. At the nanoscale, parametric molecular dynamic simulations are used to compute the energy associated with atomic level failure mechanisms. This information is used in a mesoscale percolation model of defect coalescence to obtain statistics of fracture paths and energies through Monte Carlo simulations. The mathematical structure of predicted crack paths is described using concepts of fractal geometry. The non-integer fractal dimension relates geometric and energy measures between meso- and macroscales. For illustration, a fractal-based continuum strain energy release rate is derived for inter- and transgranular fracture in polycrystalline metals.

Saether, Erik↗

Micromechanics of Composite Materials Governed by Vector Constitutive Laws

The high-fidelity generalized method of cells micromechanics theory has been extended for the prediction of the effective property tensor and the corresponding local field distributions for composites whose constituents are governed by vector constitutive laws. As shown, the shear analogy, which can predict effective transverse properties, is not valid in the general three-dimensional case. Consequently, a general derivation is presented that is applicable to both continuously and discontinuously reinforced composites with arbitrary vector constitutive laws and periodic microstructures. Results are given for thermal and electric problems, effective properties and local field distributions, ordered and random microstructures, as well as complex geometries including woven composites. Comparisons of the theory's predictions are made to test data, numerical analysis, and classical expressions from the literature. Further, classical methods cannot provide the local field distributions in the composite, and it is demonstrated that, as the percolation threshold is approached, their predictions are increasingly unreliable. XXXX It has been observed that the bonding between the fibers and matrix in composite materials can be imperfect. In the context of thermal conductivity, such imperfect interfaces have been investigated in micromechanical models by Dunn and Taya (1993), Duan and Karihaloo (2007), Nan et al. (1997) and Hashin (2001). The present HFGMC micromechanical method, derived for perfectly bonded composite materials governed by vector constitutive laws, can be easily generalized to include the effects of weak bonding between the constituents. Such generalizations, in the context of the mechanical micromechanics problem, involve introduction of a traction-separation law at the fiber/matrix interface and have been presented by Aboudi (1987), Bednarcyk and Arnold (2002), Bednarcyk et al. (2004) and Aboudi et al. (2013) and will be addressed in the future.

micromechanics↗

Mean-field theory of spin-glasses with finite coordination number

The mean-field theory of dilute spin-glasses is studied in the limit where the average coordination number is finite. The zero-temperature phase diagram is calculated and the relationship between the spin-glass phase and the percolation transition is discussed. The present formalism is applicable also to graph optimization problems.

Kanter, I.↗

Theory of droplet. Part 1: Renormalized laws of droplet vaporization in non-dilute sprays

The vaporization of a droplet, interacting with its neighbors in a non-dilute spray environment is examined as well as a vaporization scaling law established on the basis of a recently developed theory of renormalized droplet. The interacting droplet consists of a centrally located droplet and its vapor bubble which is surrounded by a cloud of droplets. The distribution of the droplets and the size of the cloud are characterized by a pair-distribution function. The vaporization of a droplet is retarded by the collective thermal quenching, the vapor concentration accumulated in the outer sphere, and by the limited percolative passages for mass, momentum and energy fluxes. The retardation is scaled by the local collective interaction parameters (group combustion number of renormalized droplet, droplet spacing, renormalization number and local ambient conditions). The numerical results of a selected case study reveal that the vaporization correction factor falls from unity monotonically as the group combustion number increases, and saturation is likely to occur when the group combustion number reaches 35 to 40 with interdroplet spacing of 7.5 diameters and an environment temperature of 500 K. The scaling law suggests that dense sprays can be classified into: (1) a diffusively dense cloud characterized by uniform thermal quenching in the cloud; (2) a stratified dense cloud characterized by a radial stratification in temperature by the differential thermal quenching of the cloud; or (3) a sharply dense cloud marked by fine structure in the quasi-droplet cloud and the corresponding variation in the correction factor due to the variation in the topological structure of the cloud characterized by a pair-distribution function of quasi-droplets.

Chiu, H. H.↗

Backscatter model for the unusual radar properties of the Greenland Ice Sheet

A number of planetary objects exhibit large radar reflectivity and polarization ratios, and more recently, a similar behavior has been observed over a vast portion of the Earth's surface: the percolation facies of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Surface-based ranging radar data and snow stratigraphy studies demonstrated that the radar properties of that portion of Greenland are caused by enhanced scattering from massive, large, solid-ice bodies buried in the top few meters of the dry, cold, clean snowy surface of the ice sheet and created by seasonal melting and refreezing events. Here, we model the icy inclusions as randomly oriented, discrete, noninteracting, dielectric cylinders embedded in a transparent snow medium. An exact analytical solution is used to compute the scattered field from the cylinders. Using this model, we correctly predict the polarimetric radar observations gathered by an airborne imaging system at three wavelengths (5.6, 24, and 68 cm), between 19 deg and 65 deg incidence angle. The diameter and number density of the cylinders that are inferred from the radar data using the model are consistent with in situ observations of the icy inclusions. The large radar reflectivity and polarization ratios are interpreted as arising internal reflections of the radar signals in the icy inclusions that first-order external reflection models fail to predict. The results compare favorably with predictions from the coherent backscatter or weak localization theory and may provide a complementary framework for interpreting exotic radar echoes from other planetary objects.

Rignot, Eric↗