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At least 19 records

Nonlinear multiobjective and dynamic real-time predictive optimization for optimal operation of baseload power plants under variable renewable energy

Considering the increase of disruptive variable renewable energy penetration into the power grid, this article focuses on the investigation of a multiobjective and dynamic real-time optimization framework to address the cycling of large-scale power plants under renewable penetration. In this framework, a parallelized particle swarm optimization step is first performed to generate feasible initial points. Then, a multiobjective and dynamic real-time optimization formulation generates optimal trajectories. Further, the benefit of predictive capability is investigated for the dynamic component, which introduces the novel nonlinear multiobjective and dynamic real-time predictive optimization approach. Two multiobjective formulations to obtain Pareto front optimal in real time are explored: the modified Tchebycheff-based weighted metric and ϵ-constraint methods. Economic and environmental objectives are considered in this study. A novel topical discussion on the intersection of dynamic real-time optimization with model predictive control is also presented. The developed framework is successfully applied to a baseload coal-fired power plant with postcombustion CO 2 capture. Results indicate that the approach can be deployed for a large-scale system if automatic differentiation, model reduction, and parallelization are adopted to improve computational tractability, with computational improvement up to 120-folds after performing these steps. Finally, market and carbon policies showed an impact on the optimal compromise between the objectives with an additional 63 ton of CO 2 captured under favorable market conditions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Scaling considerations for supercritical carbon dioxide cycles including turbomachinery loss models

A modeling framework for the supercritical carbon dioxide recompressed closed Brayton cycle was developed. Unlike typical models, this effort incorporated generalized empirical turbomachinery loss models. Aerodynamic, windage, and leakage losses were considered in order to address the limitations of conventional constant-efficiency turbomachinery assumptions without relying on machine-specific or computationally expensive simulations. The model enables system-level exploration of optimal cycle design across a range of power scales, including smaller scales that are relevant to microreactors and extraterrestrial power applications. Parametric studies and multi-objective optimizations are used to evaluate the trade-offs between thermal efficiency and system compactness based on an analytical heat exchanger scaling model, yielding Pareto-optimal fronts across a range of operating pressures. Results reveal that at small power scales, the Pareto-optimal compressor inlet pressure becomes subcritical due to the increasing influence of density-dependent turbomachinery losses. Here, the relative contributions of each loss mechanism are quantified, and design recommendations are provided for key parameters such as recompression split ratio and generator cavity pressure across varying power scales.

Multi-objective optimization↗

Numerical modeling based machine learning approach for the optimization of falling - film evaporator in thermal desalination application

Scale formation that drastically increases thermal resistance and reduces freshwater production remains a critical challenge in thermal desalination. Novel designs of falling film evaporator and optimal operating condition hold great promise to mitigate scale formation, and increase heat transfer performance and fresh water production. In this work, CFD simulation based machine learning and multi-objective optimization are performed to identify optimal conditions and tube arrangement for evaporator. Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm is adopted to determine and analyze the optimal pareto front for multiple objectives in desalination criteria. The errors of training, validation, and testing set are computed to identify an optimal hyperparameter set. For performance ratio, fouling resistance, and water production rate, the average relative error is 2.26%, 3.67%, and 3.24%. At pareto front, both performance ratio and water production rate increase at high temperature with fouling resistance (thermal resistance of the fouling layer) increasing as well. Tradeoffs between mitigating scale formation and enhancing desalination performance are evaluated in optimizations for different objectives. Finally, potential optima are identified and can be applied as guidelines to determine evaporator design and system operating conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-objective Bayesian alloy design using multi-task Gaussian processes

In design applications, correlations among material properties (such as the tendency for stronger materials to be less ductile) are often neglected. This approach is echoed in multi-objective optimization techniques which treat each performance characteristic as an independent objective, aiming to optimize scalar functions and find optimal Pareto fronts. However, this overlooks the statistical relationships between performance characteristics inherent in a material system. To address this, we propose the use of Bayesian optimization, a highly efficient black-box optimization algorithm known for constructing Gaussian processes (GPs) – uncorrelated surrogates - to model objective functions. Rather than evaluating multiple GPs for each objective function separately, we argue for a shift towards jointly modeling these objective functions, considering their statistical correlations. This integrated approach utilizes naturally occurring relationships among material properties, providing additional information to enhance the performance of the design framework. This requires the replacement of multiple independent GPs with a single multi-task GP, employing a correlation matrix to construct a multi-task kernel function, wherein each task corresponds to a single objective function. Here, we anticipate this refined methodology will better leverage material correlations, improving design optimization results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Consideration of alternative coolants in AGR-like FHR designs

Replacing carbon-dioxide coolant in AGR-like reactor with molten salt significantly affects the reactor performance characteristics. Hence, a new core design is needed. In this work, a Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimisation is used to identify the most favourable configurations for a new system layout. The performed analysis examines each configuration with respect to its thermal-hydraulic performance to assess the power uprate potential which is limited by multiple temperature constraints (e.g. fuel centreline and cladding temperatures as well as the coolant freezing/boiling). The estimated maximum power was then used in the fuel burnup calculations, from which a discharge burnup and cycle average Coolant Temperature Coefficients (CTC) were obtained. As a result of the optimisation process, several families of possible solutions were identified, which form an optimal Pareto Front. The most attractive configurations in terms of achievable power density, however, were not necessarily on the Pareto front. Several coolant options are examined and compared in this paper. The newly identified design options have the potential to achieve power density that is higher than that of a typical AGR by up to a factor of five while maintaining negative CTC through the burnup cycle. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Analysis and Optimization of the Recompression Cycle with High Temperature Recuperator Bypass for Concentrating Solar Power Applications

This work analyzes the sCO2 recompression with high temperature recuperator (HTR) bypass power cycle for use in concentrating solar power (CSP) systems. CSP operation differs from other thermal power plants in that CSP must balance between maximizing the heat transfer fluid (HTF) temperature difference and maximizing the cycle thermal efficiency, which typically are inversely related. Large HTF temperature differences reduce the size and cost of thermal energy storage (TES), improve the solar receiver efficiency, and require lower mass flow rates that reduce pumping power required to elevate the HTF to the receiver. The recompression cycle with HTR bypass potentially offers improved thermal efficiency with larger HTF temperature differences as compared to the recompression cycle, and it has fewer turbomachinery components than the partial cooling cycle. The recompression with HTR bypass cycle adds a second lower temperature primary heat exchanger which transfers heat from the HTF to the fraction of sCO2 flow that bypasses the HTR. We developed a model to compare the recompression with HTR bypass cycle to the recompression and partial cooling cycles. A sweep of design parameters including bypass fraction, recompression fraction, recuperator conductance, and pressure ratio is used to form a pareto-optimal front with the cycle thermal efficiency and HTF temperature difference as objectives. An optimization routine has also been developed to find optimal design point parameters for a target HTF temperature difference. The performance of the recompression with HTR bypass cycle is compared with recompression and partial cooling cycles.

concentrating solar power↗

Low Space Harmonic Content Windings (LSHWs) Applied to Improve the Pareto Front in Design Optimization of Electric Machines

In design optimization of high performance electric machines where the power density is increasingly a key metric, it is often desirable to maximize the average torque output within a given volume. However, if a smooth output is also required, the torque ripple may become a hurdle as it tends to increase with the average torque for conventional windings. A direct benefit of low space harmonic content windings (LSHWs), featuring the suppression or elimination of targeted non-working orders in the winding magnetomotive force (MMF), is the torque ripple reduction. This paper provides a detailed analysis of torque ripple pairs and the space-time harmonic order mapping, with concise results that applies to both distributed windings and fractionalslot concentrated windings (FSCWs) of any slot/pole combination. Metamodel-based optimizations are performed to compare two LSHWs with a conventional winding. Improved Pareto fronts are validated, which confirms higher torque producing capabilities at various torque ripple thresholds for LSHWs.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Design and Optimization of a Gas-Cooled, Airfoil Fin Microchannel Heat Exchanger

High-performance microchannel heat exchangers are needed to supply heat for power conversion for nuclear microreactors. An airfoil fin microchannel design, constructed of Alloy 617 with helium as the working fluid, was analyzed and optimized using a design of experiments with artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques. The use of airfoil fins offers the potential to reduce pressure drop across the heat exchanger, as compared to other types of channel configurations. A framework for topology optimization of airfoil fin PCHEs has been developed that can be readily extended to different fin sizes and shapes, as well as different inlet and operating conditions, materials of construction, and working fluids. An optimization procedure was developed that employs computational fluid dynamics for a set of design points identified using Latin hypercube sampling. STAR-CCM+ was used to analyze a simplified two-channel configuration where five parameters were varied – inlet angle, fin scale, extent of staggering, transverse and longitudinal pitches. Two methods were compared for generating surrogate models – a 5D polynomial and a regression neural network. A response surface approximation was created from the surrogate models and input to a genetic algorithm. The genetic algorithm identified a set of optimal points on the Pareto front. The optimal geometry was found across six channel Reynolds numbers ranging from 1000 to 5000 to analyze how varying inlet conditions affects the optimal design. A set of optimal designs that maximizes heat transfer and minimizes pressure drop was identified, and a thermal stress analysis was performed on the optimal design. This work has developed a digital framework for the expedient topology design and evaluation of PCHE designs for gas-cooled microreactor applications. Correlations for the Nusselt number and Darcy friction factor were developed that can be useful for thermal hydraulic analyses using system codes. A thermal stress analysis was conducted and a brief discussion of the status of code cases of PCHEs for nuclear applications is given. Testing and thermomechanical modeling is needed to facilitate future code compliance of PCHEs for high pressure and high temperature applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantum approximate multi-objective optimization

The goal of multi-objective optimization is to understand optimal trade-offs between competing objective functions by finding the Pareto front, that is, the set of all Pareto-optimal solutions, where no objective can be improved without degrading another one. Multi-objective optimization can be challenging classically, even if the corresponding single-objective optimization problems are efficiently solvable. Thus, multi-objective optimization represents a compelling problem class to analyze with quantum computers. Here we use a low-depth quantum approximate optimization algorithm to approximate the optimal Pareto front of certain multi-objective weighted maximum-cut problems. We demonstrate its performance on an IBM Quantum computer, as well as with matrix product state numerical simulation, and show its potential to outperform classical approaches.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Optimization of the Second Target Station cold source moderators using an automated workflow

The Second Target Station (STS) at the US Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory is designed to become the world’s highest peak-brightness spallation source of cold neutrons. Successful completion of the STS, which is currently in the preliminary design phase, will provide transformative new capabilities to examine novel materials for future technologies. At STS, neutrons will be generated by spallation reactions in a solid tungsten target. They will be moderated and thermalized in two cold (20 K) para-hydrogen moderators. Careful optimization of these moderators is essential to the project’s success. To find optimal moderator designs, an advanced optimization workflow integrates high-fidelity neutronics calculations using the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) transport code MCNP6.2 with state-of-the-art optimization algorithms in the Dakota optimization toolkit. For each design iteration, a parametrized solid CAD geometry is generated in Creo and automatically converted into an unstructured mesh geometry by Attila 4MC for the neutronics calculation with MCNP. Iterations repeat until optimal designs are found. Herein this paper presents the results of a sensitivity and optimization study for the cylindrical and tube moderators. Both moderators can be optimized for maximum peak brightness, maximum time-integrated brightness, or any combination between these extremes. Maximum peak brightness is achieved by using smaller optimal dimensions of the moderators, whereas maximum time-integrated brightness is achieved by using larger dimensions. A Pareto front details the designs that optimally balance both brightness metrics. The Pareto front can be found in only 40–110 iterations with 4–5 design parameters when using the efficient global and Pareto-set optimization algorithms in Dakota. Additionally, important engineering constraints can be taken into account, such as the coupling between the cylindrical moderator radius and aluminum vessel wall thicknesses required to ensure structural integrity of the vessels. This interaction has a significant impact on the resulting optimal designs. Our new, highly efficient, fully automated optimization workflow will be used to optimize additional STS components in the future and can be adopted for design and optimization studies at other experimental neutron and accelerator facilities.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Deep Learning–Assisted Multiobjective Optimization of Geological CO 2 Storage Performance under Geomechanical Risks

In geological CO 2 storage, designing the optimal well control strategy for CO 2 injection to maximize CO 2 storage while minimizing the associated geomechanical risks is not trivial. This challenge arises due to pressure buildup, CO 2 plume migration, the highly nonlinear nature of geomechanical responses to rock-fluid interaction, and the high computational cost associated with coupled flow and geomechanics simulations. In this paper, we introduce a novel optimization framework to address these challenges. The optimization problem is formulated as follows: maximize total CO 2 storage while minimizing geomechanical risks by adjusting the injection schedules within bounded constraints. The geomechanical risks are primarily driven by injection-induced pressure build-up, which is characterized by ground displacement and the induced microseismicity. We used the Fourier neural operator (FNO)-based deep learning model to construct surrogate models, replacing the time-consuming coupled flow and geomechanics simulations for evaluating the aforementioned objective functions. The developed surrogate models have been incorporated into a multiobjective optimization framework through a genetic algorithm to reduce the computational burden. The proposed optimization framework reduces the computational cost from approximately 2,400 hours, when using objective function evaluations based on physics-based simulations, to around 20 minutes. A set of Pareto-optimal solutions of the proposed workflow yields nontrivial optimal decisions, reducing the microseismicity potential and the vertical displacement. This Pareto front highlights the optimal trade-offs between CO 2 storage amount, safety, and ground displacement, emphasizing the need for careful optimization and management of injection strategies to achieve a balanced outcome. The novelty of this work is twofold. First, we demonstrate the importance of incorporating the minimization of the geomechanical risks as objective functions into the CO 2 storage optimization workflow to mitigate the potential risk of induced microseismicity and ground displacement. Second, we leverage the FNO-based surrogate models to optimize a real-field CO 2 storage operation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Input-response space-filling designs

Traditional space-filling designs are a convenient way to explore throughout an input space of flexible dimension and have design points close to any region where future predictions might be of interest. In some applications, there may be a model connecting the input factors to the response(s), which provides an opportunity to consider the spacing not only in the input space but also in the response space. In this paper, we present an approach for leveraging current understanding of the relationship between inputs and responses to generate designs that allow the experimenter to flexibly balance the spacing in these two regions to find an appropriate design for the experimental goals. Applications where good spacing of the observed response values include calibration problems where the goal is to demonstrate the adequacy of the model across the range of the responses, sensitivity studies where the outputs from a submodel may be used as inputs for subsequent models, and inverse problems where the outputs of a process will be used in the inverse prediction for the unknown inputs. Here, we use the multi-objective optimization method of Pareto fronts to generate multiple non-dominated designs with different emphases on the input and response space-filling criteria from which the experimenter can choose. The methods are illustrated through several examples and a chemical engineering case study.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Optimization of Water-Alternating-CO2 Injection Field Operations Using a Machine-Learning-Assisted Workflow

Summary This paper will present a robust workflow to address multiobjective optimization (MOO) of carbon dioxide (CO2)-enhanced oil recovery (EOR)-sequestration projects with a large number of operational control parameters. Farnsworth unit (FWU) field, a mature oil reservoir undergoing CO2 alternating water injection (CO2-WAG) EOR, will be used as a field case to validate the proposed optimization protocol. The expected outcome of this work would be a repository of Pareto-optimal solutions of multiple objective functions, including oil recovery, carbon storage volume, and project economics. FWU’s numerical model is used to demonstrate the proposed optimization workflow. Because using MOO requires computationally intensive procedures, machine-learning-based proxies are introduced to substitute for the high-fidelity model, thus reducing the total computation overhead. The vector machine regression combined with the Gaussian kernel (Gaussian-SVR) is used to construct proxies. An iterative self-adjusting process prepares the training knowledge base to develop robust proxies and minimizes computational time. The proxies’ hyperparameters will be optimally designed using Bayesian optimization to achieve better generalization performance. Trained proxies will be coupled with multiobjective particle swarm Optimization (MOPSO) protocol to construct the Pareto-front solution repository. The outcomes of this workflow will be a repository containing Pareto-optimal solutions of multiple objectives considered in the CO2-WAG project. The proposed optimization workflow will be compared with another established methodology using a multilayer neural network (MLNN) to validate its feasibility in handling MOO with a large number of parameters to control. Optimization parameters used include operational variables that might be used to control the CO2-WAG process, such as the duration of the water/gas injection period, producer bottomhole pressure (BHP) control, and water injection rate of each well included in the numerical model. It is proved that the workflow coupling Gaussian-SVR proxies and the iterative self-adjusting protocol is more computationally efficient. The MOO process is made more rapid by squeezing the size of the required training knowledge base while maintaining the high accuracy of the optimized results. The outcomes of the optimization study show promising results in successfully establishing the solution repository considering multiple objective functions. Results are also verified by validating the Pareto fronts with simulation results using obtained optimized control parameters. The outcome from this work could provide field operators an opportunity to design a CO2-WAG project using as many inputs as possible from the reservoir models. The proposed work introduces a novel concept that couples Gaussian-SVR proxies with a self-adjusting protocol to increase the computational efficiency of the proposed workflow and to guarantee the high accuracy of the obtained optimized results. More importantly, the workflow can optimize a large number of control parameters used in a complex CO2-WAG process, which greatly extends its utility in solving large-scale MOO problems in various projects with similar desired outcomes.

Energy & Fuels↗

Finding the Pareto front for high-entropy-alloy catalysts

Finding catalysts that have both high activity and high stability presents a long-standing challenge. Since optimizing activity and stability are conflicting objectives, the best one can do is find the Pareto front that yields optimal tradeoffs between these features. On the Pareto front, there is a trade-off where a portion of catalytic activity must be sacrificed to gain further stability and vice versa . Here, we provide a method to optimize the front by designing a multi-objective genetic algorithm that combines machine learning, graph neural network calculations, and density functional calculations. The application considered is the oxygen evolution reaction catalyzed by high-entropy alloys. We find that the Pareto front generally contains alloys with diverse elements, but that enhancing stability inevitably inflicts a toll on activity. We compare the general conclusions of our work to a survey of 545 experiments.

Zhang, Chengyi [Univ. of Auckland (New Zealand)]↗

Constraining nuclear mass models using 𝑟-process observables with multiobjective optimization

Modeling nuclear masses, particularly for nuclei far from stability, remains a key objective in nuclear physics. One contemporary approach is machine learning (ML), which trains on experimental data, but can suffer large errors when extrapolating toward neutron-rich species. In nature, such masses shape observables for the rapid neutron capture process (𝑟 process), which in principle could inform ML models. Here, we introduce a multiobjective optimization approach using the Pareto front algorithm. We show that this technique, capable of identifying models that generate 𝑟-process abundances aligning with both solar and stellar data, is a promising method to select ML models with reliable extrapolation power.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗