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On The Deflagration to Detonation Transition in 1.65 g cm -3 Pentaerythritol Tetranitrate

The LANL Weapons Response Group is charged with making determinations for a wide range of scenarios regarding the probability that inadvertent ignition of the high explosive (HE) components might cause nuclear yield, or dispersal of special nuclear material, during assembly/disassembly operations at the Pantex Plant. These scenarios are categorized based on the nature of the ignition causing stimulus, i.e. impact, electrostatic discharge, pressure-shear, etc. However, for all of these scenarios, regardless of how ignition is achieved, there must also be a credible path for the burning HE to transition to detonation for yield or dispersal to occur. If it can be determined that there is no feasible path for deflagration-to-detonation transition (DDT), the scenario space that requires mitigative action is greatly reduced. The strategy to support Weapons Response determinations is to use experimentation and observation to evaluate HE response in severe “overtest” configurations. To increase with confidence in the margins of HE response, these overtests are designed, by controlling parameters known to enhance HE response violence, to be more severe than what is ever encountered in the actual operations environment at the Plant. This study is focused on DDT in pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN), a high explosive that is used in LANL’s detonators. PETN is known to be able to DDT at certain densities, and this represents a safety concern. The PETN in LANL’s detonators is commonly a density of 1.65 g cm -3 . However, DDT has never been observed at this density in PETN. In this work, we studied the DDT reaction in 1.65 g cm -3 PETN to determine whether DDT is possible at this density, and if so, what length of PETN is required for the transition to occur. In any of the tests conducted, we did not observe DDT in 1.65 g cm -3 PETN. It is possible that the DDT length for 1.65 g cm -3 PETN is greater than 6” (the available run length in the experiments), but this length is simply not available in a detonator, and is therefore not a concern.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Geometric Tail Approximation for Reliability and Survivability

A common problem in developing high-reliability systems is estimating the reliability for a population of components that cannot be 100% tested. The radiation survivability of a population of components is often estimated by testing a very small sample to some multiple of the required specification level, known as an overtest. Given a successful test with a sufficient overtest margin, the population of components is assumed to have the required survivability or radiation reliability. However, no mathematical justification for such claims has been crafted without making aggressive assumptions regarding the statistics of the unknown distribution. Here we illustrate a new approach that leverages geometric bounding arguments founded on relatively modest distribution assumptions to produce conservative estimates of component reliability.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Initial Testing of Promess Press Shielding

Testing of the initial design for the shielding to be added to the Promess servo press installed in TA9 0032 was completed on April 28, 2026. This shielding design did not provide satisfactory protection to either workers or equipment within the bay when tested at an explosive quantity of 82.5g. This memo details the design, testing method, and results of the test.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗