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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Leveraging public AI tools to explore systems biology resources in mathematical modeling

Predictive mathematical modeling is an essential part of systems biology and is interconnected with information management. Systems biology information is often stored in specialized formats to facilitate data storage and analysis. These formats are not designed for easy human readability and thus require specialized software to visualize and interpret results. Therefore, comprehending modeling and underlying networks and pathways is contingent on mastering systems biology tools, which is particularly challenging for users with no or little background in data science or system biology. To address this challenge, we investigated the usage of public Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in exploring systems biology resources in mathematical modeling. We tested public AI’s understanding of mathematics in models, related systems biology data, and the complexity of model structures. Our approach can enhance the accessibility of systems biology for non-system biologists and help them understand systems biology without a deep learning curve.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A mathematical framework for thermodynamic computing with applications to chemical reaction networks

The widespread adoption of energy-intensive computing applications has led to a growing need for energy-efficient computing approaches. Thermodynamic computing offers a promising approach for low-energy computation by leveraging the intrinsic computational capabilities of physical, chemical, or biological systems. However, the mathematical foundations of thermodynamic computing require further development to fully realize the potential energy efficiencies, as well as to assess factors like noise and operational speed. In this paper, we establish a mathematical framework for utilizing thermodynamic processes to perform fundamental operations, including addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division. We highlight the use of chemical reactions as potential computational units and explore synthetic chemical and biochemical systems as practical implementations. Additionally, we demonstrate how these principles can be applied to solving complex mathematical problems, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and suggest the necessary components to implement the thermodynamic computing framework using chemical reactions based in a microfluidic device. This work enhances our understanding of thermodynamic processes for natural computing as a basis for scalable, energy-efficient computation in paradigm disruptive next-generation systems.

Cannon, William R. [Pacific Northwest National Lab↗
DOE OSTI2025

Research Connections: Career and Research Journeys from the SMP Community. Association for Women in Mathematics Series

This book aims to provide perspectives on important questions that undergraduate and graduate students in mathematics ask themselves. Each chapter gives readers a taste of a different mathematician’s work, presented with enough background material that an advanced undergraduate or early graduate student can understand the key ideas of the research. Each mathematical contribution is prefaced by a short biography of the mathematician who wrote the chapter, to give the reader a connection to the author and provide examples of paths from undergraduate education, through graduate school and beyond.

mathematics, research, biographies↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mathematical Modeling of the Potential and Time Dependence of Ir Dissolution from Hydrous Ir Oxide Oxygen Evolution Catalysts

One of the main degradation mechanisms of hydrous iridium oxide acidic oxygen evolution reaction (OER) catalysts is dissolution and loss into the acidic membrane. While degradation models have been proposed, there is a gap in understanding the potential and time dependence of the iridium dissolution reaction and its mechanistic underpinnings. In this work, Ir dissolution rates measured as a function of time and potential via time-resolved inductively-coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) in aqueous acidic electrolyte are used to establish a mathematical model for Ir dissolution. The mathematical model is generated using proposed formation and dissolution reactions for Ir species. Through comparison with the ICP-MS data and existing information on the potential-dependent Ir phase, we find that the potential and time-dependence of dissolution can be modeled as dissolution of an oxide phase, here represented as IrO 2 , with potential dependent kinetics and formation of a passivating species, a process with a rate-limiting step that is not potential dependent. This understanding of the potential dependence of dissolution and passivation kinetics using aqueous electrolyte half-cell measurements can be used to predict the degradation of Ir oxide in operating energy conversion devices relying on the OER, such as proton-exchange membrane water electrolyzers.

Kariuki, Nancy N. [Argonne National Laboratory (AN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning mathematical models for incidence estimation during pandemics

Accurate estimates of the incidence of infectious diseases are key for the control of epidemics. However, healthcare systems are often unable to test the population exhaustively, especially when asymptomatic and paucisymptomatic cases are widespread; this leads to significant and systematic under-reporting of the real incidence. Here, we propose a machine learning approach to estimate the incidence of a pandemic in real-time, using reported cases and the overall test rate. In particular, we use Bayesian symbolic regression to automatically learn the closed-form mathematical models that most parsimoniously describe incidence. We develop and validate our models using COVID-19 incidence values for nine different countries, confirming their ability to accurately predict daily incidence. Remarkably, despite the differences in epidemic trajectories and dynamics across countries, we find that a single model for all countries offers a more parsimonious description and is more predictive of actual incidence compared to separate models for each country. Our results show the potential to accurately model incidence in real-time using closed-form mathematical models, providing a valuable tool for public health decision-makers.

Fajardo-Fontiveros, Oscar (ORCID:0000000207058972)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mathematical Morphological Filtering with a Self-Adaptive Reconstruction Technique and Application to Local Seismic Data

Recorded seismic data are generally contaminated by noise from different sources, which masks the signals of interest. In the seismology community, frequency filtering (FF) is the standard method for noise suppression. However, when the signal of interest and noise share the same frequency band, the latter cannot be filtered out without infringing on the former. We implemented a noise suppression approach based on the mathematical morphology theorem. The method involves compound operations of dilation and erosion using structuring elements of varying lengths and decomposes an input noisy waveform into several time functions with differing characteristics. Further, the filtered waveform is constructed from the time functions using a self-adaptive reconstruction technique. Application to a data set of >4700 local waveforms suggests that the implemented mathematical morphological filtering (MMF) approach is efficient for data with low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and significantly outperforms FF in that SNR range. For most of the dataset, FF, machine learning (ML) denoising, and continuous wavelet transform (CWT) thresholding result in higher SNR values compared with the MMF method. However, for ~42% of the waveforms, MMF outperforms FF, and the SNR gain achieved with MMF is as large as ~23 dB. Compared to ML denoising and CWT thresholding, this proportion drops to only ~10%–14%. Our results suggests that in an operational setting, MMF cannot replace the other noise suppression methods; however, signal detection can be improved if MMF is used to supplement them in some scenarios. MMF could help detect signals in problematic low-SNR data, which are currently being missed particularly when using FF alone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

A consensus mathematical model of vaccine-induced antibody dynamics for multiple vaccine platforms and pathogens

Introduction: Vaccine platforms used in successful, licensed vaccines have varied among pathogens. However, antibody level is still the main clinical correlate of protection in most approved vaccines. Decisions as to the best vaccine platform to pursue for a given pathogen may be informed through improved understanding of the process of antibody generation and its temporal dynamics, as well as the relationship between these processes and the type of vaccine. Methods: We have analyzed the dynamics of antibody generation for different vaccine platforms against diverse pathogens, and developed a consensus mathematical model that captures antibody dynamics across these diverse systems. Initially, the model was fitted to a rich dataset of antibody and immune cell concentrations in a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine experiment. We then used concepts from machine learning, such as transfer learning, to apply the same model to a variety of systems, involving different pathogens, vaccine platforms, and booster dose use/timing, fixing most parameter values relating to the dynamics of the immune system. Results: The model includes B cell proliferation and differentiation, as well as the generation of plasma cells, which secrete large amounts of antibody, and memory B cells. Overall, the model describes antibody generation in all systems tested well and shows that the main differences across platforms are related to the dynamics of antigen presentation. Discussion: This model can be used to predict antibody generation in pairs of vaccine platform/pathogen, allowing for the use of in silico results to narrow down experimental burden in vaccine development.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Combined Computational and Mathematical Analysis of Interconnect Fatigue Potential in Photovoltaic Modules

A finite element model of a 60-cell monocrystalline silicon glass-polymer photovoltaic module was simulated with ±1.0 kPa and ±2.4 kPa loads applied to the glass to calculate the deformation under load. Cell-to-cell displacements were used to approximate interconnect strain and stress. A mathematical fatigue cycle life relation was fitted to data for the interconnect material (copper), to generate a life prediction at each interconnect location based on the local stress means, reversal extents, and amplitudes. Interconnect stress was found to be significantly asymmetric about zero despite symmetric positive and negative module loads due to laminate thickness offsets about the neutral plane and the effects of module framing. Cycle life results indicated that interconnect fatigue failure was unlikely to occur over a 30-year lifetime of conservative wind and snow load cycles since the typical cell design feature of leaving some unconstrained length between the cell edge and first solder pad increases the effective gauge length and decreases the stress levels below the material endurance limit. Follow-up analyses found that 3.6 mm and 6.4 mm were the minimum unconstrained lengths required to survive the assumed lifetime of wind and snow cycles, respectively, confirming that typical industrial module constructions with 8–15 mm unconstrained lengths should survive conservatively. Notably, large magnitude, low-cycle snow loading was consistently the limiting factor requiring a longer unconstrained interconnect length. Finally, insights and workflows from this study inform module interconnection design limits for survival against mechanical fatigue in deployment environments.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanistic within-host mathematical model of inhalational anthrax

We present a mathematical model of the dynamics of Bacillus anthracis bacteria within the lymph nodes and blood of a host, following inhalation of an initial dose of spores. We also incorporate the dynamics of protective antigen, which is the binding component of the anthrax toxin produced by the bacteria. The model offers a mechanistic description of the early infection dynamics of inhalational anthrax, while its stochastic nature allows us to study the probabilities of different outcomes (for example, how likely it is that the infection will be cleared for a given inhaled dose of spores) in order to explain dose-response data for inhalational anthrax. The model is calibrated via a Bayesian approach, using in vivo data from New Zealand white rabbit and guinea pig infection studies, enabling within-host parameters to be estimated. We also leverage incubation-period data from the Sverdlovsk 1979 anthrax outbreak to show that the model can accurately describe human time-to-symptoms data under reasonable parameter regimes. Finally, we derive a simple approximate formula for the probability of symptom onset before time t, assuming that the number of inhaled spores has a Poisson distribution.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

“Frameworks, Algorithms and Scalable Technologies for Mathematics (FASTMath) SciDAC Institute” (Final Technical Report)

SMU personnel formed a portion of the overall “Time Integration” team within the FASTMath SciDAC-5 Institute, and we interacted very closely with team members from collaborating institutions. The major goals of our team within the FASTMath institute may be categorized into two groups: the development of advanced and application-aware time integration methods and software, and close interactions with DOE application scientists to facilitate their use of these new methods and software. The two goals are intimately linked, since our research and development of novel tools is informed by the needs of our application partners, who in turn benefit from subsequent mathematical and software advances. While the SMU personnel collaborated with the rest of the Time Integration FASTMath team on most of our shared deliverables within the larger FASTMath institute, SMU personnel primarily contributed to the following subset of those goals: ● expanding capabilities for higher-order and solve-decoupled multirate methods, ● enhancing support for temporal adaptivity within multirate methods, and ● adding structure-aware time integration methods. Each of these goals focused both on intellectual contributions through journal articles or research presentations, and on enhancements to the open-source SUNDIALS library of time integrators and nonlinear solvers, of which the SMU PI Reynolds is a core developer.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mathematical Foundation for Quantum Computing of Electromagnetic Wave Propagation in Dielectric Media

Can quantum computers effectively simulate the propagation and scattering of electromagnetic waves in a classical plasma? This chapter introduces some of the basic concepts in mathematics and physics essential to answering that question. The numerical simulations of Maxwell equations for wave propagation in dielectrics are constrained by technological limitations of the present-day computers. In contrast, there has been ample fanfare around quantum computers and their potential to far exceed the performance of traditional computers. Whether the enhanced capabilities of a quantum computer can be put to use for simulating topics in classical physics is a source of intrigue and curiosity.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

A mathematical approach to using the forgetting curve to evaluate experience and training factors in human reliability analysis

Traditional human reliability analysis (HRA) methods have difficulty dealing with the dynamic nature of factors such as time and rely on static and expert-judgment-based assessments of performance-shaping factors (PSFs) across limited levels. In this study, we introduce a mathematical approach for dynamically evaluating the experience and training PSF. Our proposed method integrates the psychological concept of the “forgetting curve” to evaluate how PSFs are impacted by the number of trainings and the time elapsed since training. To confirm the validity of the model, we provide experimental data fitted by identifying the quantitative relationship between training and human performance. This research enables dynamic and objective assessments, thus reducing reliance on subjective expert judgment and improving the accuracy of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mathematical modelling of the concave front in the adjacent high explosive detonation problem

This study presents an analysis of the transition-zone in adjacent high explosive (HE) detonation problems which uses a $D, 𝜅, \dot{D}$ relationship, where $D$ is the detonation front-normal velocity, 𝜅 is the detonation front curvature and $\dot{D}$ is the time derivative of detonation front-normal velocity. Our approach extends the traditional $(D, 𝜅)$ model to accurately predict the behaviour of both diverging and converging detonation shock fronts. Our findings affirm that a hyperbolic type of front evolution equation, enhanced with wave acceleration, provides a robust framework for modelling complex shock front dynamics in HE materials. This approach not only captures the natural effects of straightness and boundary slope jumps in the transition-zone but also bridges the gap between mathematical predictions and experimental observations, offering insights into the behaviour of both diverging and converging detonation propagations in a homogeneous HE.

acceleration↗
DOE OSTI2025

Recovery Simulator and Analysis Formulation: Mathematical Framework for Enhanced Resilience and Resource Allocation

This report introduces recovery simulator and analysis (RSA), a framework aimed at enhancing the resilience of electrical grids post-disruption. The RSA model leverages an optimization problem formulation that focuses on maximizing the load served (or optionally customers served) through a coordinated and cooptimized recovery of non-black start generation, transmission lines, feeders and substations subject to labor budget constraints. By integrating advanced linear programming techniques, the simulator selects efficient reocovery pathways, optimizing both short-term and long-term grid recovery strategies. The mathematical framework guides decision-making through a comprehensive evaluation of potential recovery actions, factoring in the trade-offs between labor constraints and load (or optionally customer) restoration efficacy. This enables grid operators to simulate diverse outage scenarios and delineate optimal recovery pathways, thereby prioritizing critical repair tasks and ensuring resource allocation is both economical and effective. The intended use case of RSA is to allow planners to explore many recovery scenarios quickly and determine assets most critical across a wide range of scenarios, and therefore strong candidates for hardening or additional investment. RSA might also be used in an operational setting, following a single event, for exploring efficient recovery pathways.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
NASA NTRS2021

Mathematical Characterization of Battery Models

The purpose of this document is to demonstrate the use of the Extended Kalman Filter as a tool for battery state estimation and the estimation of battery state of charge. The mathematical details based on the equivalent circuit model are presented followed by an electrochemical engineering model. A simplified first-order model is used to demonstrate the procedure followed by second and third-order models. Next a simplified electrochemistry model is presented along with observer development. State observability is calculated for the simpler equivalent circuit models and the simplified electrochemistry model. An outline of the battery model parameter identification method is presented, and model performance based on experimental and flight data is demonstrated.

Battery↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mathematical Models and Numerical Methods for High-Fidelity Simulation of Ignition of Reactive Mixtures by Nanosecond Plasma Discharges in Realistic Configurations

We present a newly developed framework for the numerical simulation of ignition of reactive mixtures using single or repeated nanosecond discharge pulses. The framework builds upon the AMReX library, using the existing compressible solver PeleC and low-Mach solver PeleLMeX and allowing for adaptive mesh refinement, complex geometries, and execution on next-generation high-performance computing (HPC) systems. High-fidelity elementary models are adopted for weakly-ionised plasma discharges with significant energy deposition, consistent with nanosecond discharge pulses, and then implemented in the solver. The treatment of non-thermal electrons and charged species, thermodynamics of non-equilbrium species, plasma kinetics, limiting time scales, and boundary conditions for charged species are discussed and addressed for computational efficiency. The framework is demonstrated for three relevant applications: single and multi-pulse discharges in air, single pulse ignition of an ethylene/air mixture, and a three-dimensional plasma discharge in air with temperature stratification. The successful application of the framework demonstrates the feasibility of high-fidelity simulation of ignition of air/hydrocarbon mixtures in three-dimensions with multiple discharge pulses.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Frameworks, Algorithms, and Scalable Technologies for Mathematics (FASTMath) SciDAC Institute

As computational models scale to larger computers, the rate at which they produce data has far outstripped the same computers ability to write that data and further the file systems ability to store that data. Almost all of the SciDAC applications, but especially those related to fusion solve very large scale PDEs whose scientific output his impacted by this problem. To gain access to dynamics in an exascale simulation that are not identifiable a priori and to make that dynamical data available to machine learning requires fundamental research in the area of in situ data data analytics. Here data analytics includes compression, visualization, uncertainty quantification, and machine learning. This in situ data analytics will enable on-the-fly spatial and temporal compression of solution dynamics, expose that space-time compressed field to machine learning algorithms that have been specialized to work with dynamically evolving data (existing machine learning algorithms treat data sets as static), greatly improving the opportunity for machine learning to provide feedback to the compression, all within an ongoing simulation, without the need to write data to files. The same concepts are also being applied to uncertainty quantification and multi-fidelity modeling which have similar needs for spatial and temporal compression of the ongoing exascale simulation to perform either without the typical, unacceptable writing of data to files.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗