Key Measurement Points Optimization
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key measurement point, safeguards↗
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Safeguards Facility Model for Lead-cooled and Gas-cooled Fast Reactors
Efforts have been underway for many years on the development of safeguards for fast neutron reactors. The efforts have been primarily for sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs) in cooperation with Japan, to properly implement these safeguards as the reactors are conceptualized and ultimately commercialized. The primary challenge to development of adequate safeguard approaches for fast reactors has been in understanding how to apply different aspects of safeguards when facilities widely vary from one type of fast reactor to another and is largely dependent on several key aspects of the specific reactor type. For this report, the following key areas were identified for further analysis to determine where Lead-cooled Fast Reactors (LFRs) and Gas-Cooled Fast Reactors (GCFR) fuel material flow and key measurement points would differ from previously studied SFR safeguards.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
Regressing Nuclear Reactor Power Level Using Low-Cost Sensor Network Data
Multisensor networks deployed at nuclear facilities can be leveraged to collect data used as inputs to machine learning models predicting nuclear safeguard relevant information. This work demonstrates an application of this idea by regressing nuclear reactor power levels, a key indicator for nuclear safeguard verification, at the McClellan Nuclear Research Center using data collected by five Merlyn multisensor platforms with LASSO and LSTM models. This work also demonstrates the use of Leave One Node Out to measure the importance of each multisensor for this regression problem providing insight into model explainability and allowing inferential hypotheses about the nuclear facility to be made. This work can be used as a starting point for future development of methods for regression on reactor power levels at nuclear facilities using multisensor network data.
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
Quantification of LEU Holdup using gamma ray imaging and inverse transport solver
Holdup is the residual amount of special nuclear material (SNM) remaining in a processing facility after the bulk materials have been cleaned out. In commercial uranium processing facilities, quantification of holdup is a major challenge because of the highly variable shapes and sizes of the deposits. Any method that attempts to generalize and calibrate deposit shapes in order to quantify holdup will be prone to high uncertainties. Uncertainties on the order of ±50% are typical in holdup results. In international safeguards applications, a ±50% uncertainty can result in a large amount of material unaccounted for (MUF) thereby increasing the difficulty of detecting material diversion and facility misuse. An imaging-based methodology has been developed with the objective of significantly reducing this uncertainty by using the true deposit shape, instead of relying on oversimplified geometric assumptions. The project is a collaboration between ORNL, Y-12, and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN. Uranium sources of known masses were measured using the Germanium Gamma-ray Imager (GeGI), a high-resolution imaging spectrometer, creating a pixelated map for each spectral bin. Two different gamma imaging methods are employed in this work: coded aperture imaging and Compton imaging. A validated MonteCarlo model of the detector has been developed using the GEANT4 code for determining the intrinsic response of the detector, its enclosure, and the coded aperture mask. An inverse transport solver based on the Markov Chain Monte-Carlo approach known as Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) is employed to use the measurement data from the image pixels (coded aperture or Compton) to solve for the mass of 235 U in the deposit. A reliable method based on the DREAM solver has been developed to flag the infinite thickness condition of a uranium deposit. The project team is working towards improving the image reconstruction for Compton imaging so that a better localization of the source can be achieved. Besides treating the coded aperture and Compton imaging methods independently, the project is also evaluating a combined method that uses the Compton scatter data from a coded aperture measurement. GEANT4 simulations are being performed to evaluate the combined approach. The impact on the DREAM optimization as the source thickness progressively approaches infinite thickness is being evaluated. A number of uranium sources available at ORNL have been measured, and the DREAM results have been tested and validated for the coded aperture imaging. A similar effort will be carried out to validate the Compton based method once the development of algorithms for better localization are complete. The imaging based quantification is very amenable to unattended monitoring of holdup accumulation at key measurement points. A proof of concept measurement has been completed to demonstrate this capability The current work used the high energy resolution imager GeGI. However, the approach and methodologies are applicable to other imagers such as the cadmium zin telluride (CZT) based imager manufactured by H3D, Inc.
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
Utilization of ACE nuclear data file toolkit ACEtk to calculate relative sensitivity coefficients of point-kinetics parameters
Sensitivity and uncertainty methods are quintessential for nuclear criticality safety and experiment design. This type of analysis relies on calculations of sensitivity coefficients; sensitivity coefficients of the effective neutron multiplication factor with respect to some nuclear data are predominantly calculated and used. As a part of the Laboratory Directed Research & Development project EUCLID (Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in nuclear Data) at Los Alamos National Laboratory, sensitivity coefficients of many radiation detector measurement responses with respect to nuclear data were investigated. Specifically, this paper outlines a method to calculate point-kinetics parameters relative sensitivity coefficients with respect to nuclear data. Point-kinetics parameters such as the prompt neutron decay constant, effective delayed neutron fraction, and neutron generation time are especially important to experimenters and reactor operators designing systems with dynamic neutron populations. This method couples capabilities of the ACE (A Compact ENDF) nuclear data file toolkit, ACEtk, with the ability to load cross sections into the radiation transport code Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP). In conclusion, key aspects of optimizing this method for a particular application and sensitivity profiles of the Jezebel criticality experiment are examined and discussed.
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗
Unattended Monitoring of Uranium Holdup with Scintillating Fibers
This work evaluated the use of scintillating fiber (SciFi) radiation sensors as a cost-effective, unattended monitoring technique for uranium holdup accumulation in reprocessing equipment. With ruggedized packaging and an outer diameter of less than 1 cm, scintillating fibers offer deployment flexibility. Additionally, plastic scintillating fibers coupled with standard optical fibers provide an affordable option to monitor locations kilometers away from a localized control room or data acquisition (DAQ) system. These combinations of characteristics along with their relatively low manufacturing costs make scintillating fibers ideal for installation at key measurement points such as pipes, valves, and filtration systems.
46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗
Simulation of Isotopic Concentrations and Gamma Spectra from Dynamic Fission Sources
A tool was developed to rapidly generate synthetic gamma-ray spectra to evaluate safeguards material control and accounting methods for liquid-fueled molten salt reactors. Molten salt reactor operations pose unique challenges to nuclear safeguards methods and protocols compared to deployed reactors designs (e.g., light water reactors). This research evaluates the use of gamma-ray spectroscopy to monitor fission product isotopic flow through a reactor model to understand expected operations and investigate changes to the spectra with material diversion scenarios. The large design space of molten salt reactors (e.g., liquid-fueled, liquid-cooled, online separations) could potentially lead to many measurement points within the reactor system. The developed analytical tool generates and evaluates synthetic gamma-ray spectra from dynamic reactor simulations by extracting isotopic inventory to generate source terms. An implementation in the Gamma Detector Response and Analysis Software (GADRAS) Application Program Interface (API) uses the source terms, a model of the reactor component, a detector response function, and measurement plan to quickly generate and analyze spectra. Prospective measurements are then evaluated in the more accurate but slower Geant4 simulations. Utilization of the developed modeling tool and analysis of the subsequent spectra enables optimization of collimation, shielding requirements, and expected count rates that are used to determine key measurement points in the modeled reactor design.
O'Brien, Sean↗
An Overview of Experiments and Modeling of Polysiloxane-Coated Thermal Protection Systems for Missions to Mars, Titan, and Beyond.
Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA) gained heritage during the historic Stardust mission, where it successfully returned samples from a comet’s tail and has since been instrumental in delivering payloads to the surface of Mars [1-3]. Most recently, PICA enabled the safe return of samples collected from asteroid Bennu as part of the OSIRIS-REx mission. This rich legacy underscores PICA’s critical role in allowing NASA’s most ambitious exploration missions. However, the friable nature of its phenolic phase presents challenges during handling and pre-launch activities. To mitigate this issue, PICA is coated with a polysiloxane resin system, which serves to suppress particulate dispersion and thereby safeguard spacecraft components. A comprehensive understanding of the polysiloxane resin’s behavior is imperative, as it profoundly shapes the material response of PICA during atmospheric entry by influencing its thermal and oxidative stability. This influence extends to thermocouple plugs embedded within thermal protection systems. These plugs have demonstrated their significance in missions such as Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) and Mars 2020, where the MEDLI and MEDLI2 instrumentation suites delivered in-valuable insights into the performance of thermal protection systems during entry into the Martian atmosphere [4]. Looking ahead, missions such as Dragonfly, set to descend into Titan’s dense atmosphere, aim to leverage advanced sensor technologies to further refine our understanding of thermal protection response [5]. Moreover, thermocouple plugs play an essential role in validating cutting-edge material response models, such as those pioneered under NASA’s Entry Systems Modeling Project (ESM), designed, in-part, to predict the operational integrity of thermal protection systems under the extreme stresses of atmospheric entry. To achieve these modeling goals, ground-based experiments are crucial to provide the foundational data necessary for developing and refining these predictive tools. To this end, an extensive test campaign was conducted at the Hypersonic Materials Environmental Test System (HyMETS) to investigate the high-temperature behavior of the polysiloxane resin in an air environment [6]. These experiments revealed critical phenomena, including the formation of a silicon oxycarbide layer that enhances oxidation resistance, moderates surface temperatures, and alters in-depth thermal response. Building on these findings, subsequent tests were designed to simulate atmospheric entry conditions in reactive gases, such as CO2 and N2, to mimic the environments of Mars and Titan, respectively, as well as non-reactive gases representing the atmospheres of the Ice Giants (Neptune and Uranus). A heating rate dependent decomposition mechanism has been identified for the polysiloxane resin under oxidizing conditions (Fig. 1). In the initial stage, the resin and the underlying thermal protection system undergo pyrolysis, rapidly generating a thin amorphous silicon oxycarbide interwoven with carbonaceous char and residual fibers from PICA. During the second stage, the nascent oxide layer establishes a robust, oxidation-resistant thermal barrier coating, which significantly impedes heat transfer to the underlying carbonaceous char, resulting in a stagnation of the surface temperature. A key factor contributing to this thermal resistance is the low recombination efficiency of atomic oxygen (γ), which further diminishes the heat load on the material’s interior layers [7]. Moreover, as the surface temperature stagnates, the silicon oxycarbide phase separates into distinct regions of silica and free graphite. Ultimately, when the heat flux reaches a critical threshold, a third stage is triggered, leading to the breakdown of the coating through carbothermal reduction, exposing the underlying char layer. This exposure leads to a dramatic surface temperature spike, driven by highly exothermic reactions between atomic oxygen and the char layer, further accelerating material degradation. A detailed mass and heat transfer model of PICA coated with polysiloxane resin was implemented in the Porous material Analysis Toolbox based on OpenFOAM, PATO [8]. The initial stage was considered negligible in this model because the resin decomposition occurs rapidly within a thin surface layer. Instead, the coating was directly considered as an oxygen-resistant thermal barrier coating. For the second stage, the thin amorphous silicon oxycarbide was treated as a pure silica surface to simplify the thermochemical behavior. The model ac-counts for surface equilibrium processes using representative elements of the coating-environment system. For the third stage, specific boundary conditions were developed to estimate the onset and progression of the coating removal. Two-dimensional material response simulations were conducted to compare uncoated and coated PICA using boundary conditions calibrated with HyMETS data. Fig. 2 illustrates that the simulations closely align with experimental data, successfully reproducing measured temperature profiles. This work will include the latest advancements in the coating model, including the calibration of recombination of atomic oxygen at the surface during the second phase. These simulated results will be further validated against additional CO2 data points from HyMETS, reinforcing the models’ predictive capabilities. These mechanisms and their effects on thermal protection systems, including thermochemical behavior and thermocouple probe performance in extreme environments, provide crucial insights for optimizing spacecraft designs that safeguard scientific payload and ensure mission success in future planetary exploration endeavors.
Active Oxidation↗
Treatment of uncertainties for security-related design aspects of advanced reactors when using a risk-informed licensing approach
Sabotage of nuclear plants and theft of special nuclear material are different from many other issues potentially affecting public health and safety, and some of those differences drive the content of the present report. A high-level indication of these differences is provided in the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s Safety Goal Policy. Promulgated in the mid-1980’s, when it had become reasonably clear that risk analysis had improved to the point where it was possible to understand the risks associated with plant operation, the Safety Goal Policy articulates qualitative safety goals and quantitative health objectives that are meant to guide regulatory and risk management activities, with the following key exceptions noted in the original policy statement: The possible effects of sabotage or diversion of nuclear material are also not presently included in the safety goals. At present there is no basis on which to provide a measure of risk on these matters. It is the Commission’s intention that everything that is needed will be done to keep these types of risks at their present very low level; and it is the Commission’s expectation that efforts on this point will continue to be successful. With these exceptions, it is the Commission’s intent that the risks from all the various initiating mechanisms be considered to the best of the capability of current evaluation techniques. The present report discusses extensions of classical risk management to address some of the special issues that arise in the context of security. Although the present emphasis is on physical security, some attention will be paid to cyber security. A particular focus of the report is on quantitative framework to manage and address uncertainties. This framework is demonstrated via a couple of hypothetical examples.
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗