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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Defect Production and Microstructural Feature Impact for Radiation Damage in Additively Manufactured 316 Stainless Steel

This milestone presents multi-scale modeling research results for additively manufactured 316 stainless steel. A combination of phase field, cluster dynamics, molecular dynamics, and density functional theory with machine learning is used, allowing for predictions of radiation-driven microstructural evolution in additively manufactured 316 stainless steel over a range of temperatures, damage rates, neutron spectra, and microstructures, and supporting the development of combined ion and neutron irradiation for material qualification. Informed by ion irradiation and neutron irradiation results across the Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies program, we investigate the unique aspects of radiation-driven microstructure evolution in additively manufactured 316 stainless steel. In particular, we focus on understanding the impact of carbon concentration (varying, for example, between the 316L and 316H standards) on void formation; radiation-induced segregation at dislocation cells and grain boundaries; and the evolution of dislocation loops and network dislocation populations. We find that the unique characteristics of the additively manufactured microstructures must be accounted for in understanding the evolution of dislocation populations under thermal and irradiation conditions, such as the variation in sink strengths arising due to the variation in dislocation density. We also find that the radiation-induced segregation of Cr and Ni to grain boundaries and cell walls differs due to the differences in their defect sink biases. We also find that increasing the Ni content can slow vacancy diffusion, which may provide a mechanism for the observed reduction in transient swelling rate for austenitic Fe-Cr-Ni alloys with increasing Ni content. In addition, ion irradiations have shown that increasing carbon content in 316 SS results in a larger population of smaller voids, suggesting reduced vacancy diffusion. Our results show that the carbon content of additively manufactured 316 SS has a significant impact on the migration rate of defect clusters. The presence of carbon atoms results in carbon-vacancy trapping, significantly reducing the diffusion rate of vacancies. Carbon atoms may also be trapped near the surface of a void, which may reduce void growth by trapping vacancies that diffuse toward the void.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Integrating Deep Learning and Hydrodynamic Modeling to Improve the Great Lakes Forecast

The Laurentian Great Lakes, one of the world’s largest surface freshwater systems, pose a modeling challenge in seasonal forecast and climate projection. While physics-based hydrodynamic modeling is a fundamental approach, improving the forecast accuracy remains critical. In recent years, machine learning (ML) has quickly emerged in geoscience applications, but its application to the Great Lakes hydrodynamic prediction is still in its early stages. This work is the first one to explore a deep learning approach to predicting spatiotemporal distributions of the lake surface temperature (LST) in the Great Lakes. Our study shows that the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, trained with the limited data from hypothetical monitoring networks, can provide consistent and robust performance. The LSTM prediction captured the LST spatiotemporal variabilities across the five Great Lakes well, suggesting an effective and efficient way for monitoring network design in assisting the ML-based forecast. Furthermore, we employed an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) technique named SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to uncover how the features impact the LSTM prediction. Our XAI analysis shows air temperature is the most influential feature for predicting LST in the trained LSTM. The relatively large bias in the LSTM prediction during the spring and fall was associated with substantial heterogeneity of air temperature during the two seasons. In contrast, the physics-based hydrodynamic model performed better in spring and fall yet exhibited relatively large biases during the summer stratification period. Finally, we developed a statistical integration of the hydrodynamic modeling and deep learning results based on the Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE). The integration further enhanced prediction accuracy, suggesting its potential for next-generation Great Lakes forecast systems.

Xue, Pengfei (ORCID:000000025702421X)↗

Performance and power modeling and prediction using MuMMI and 10 machine learning methods

Energy-efficient scientific applications require insight into how high performance computing system features impact the applications' power and performance. This insight can result from the development of performance and power models. Here, in this article, we use the modeling and prediction tool MuMMI (Multiple Metrics Modeling Infrastructure) and 10 machine learning methods to model and predict performance and power consumption and compare their prediction error rates. We use an algorithm-based fault-tolerant linear algebra code and a multilevel checkpointing fault-tolerant heat distribution code to conduct our modeling and prediction study on the Cray XC40 Theta and IBM BG/Q Mira at Argonne National Laboratory and the Intel Haswell cluster Shepard at Sandia National Laboratories. Our experimental results show that the prediction error rates in performance and power using MuMMI are less than 10% for most cases. By utilizing the models for runtime, node power, CPU power, and memory power, we identify the most significant performance counters for potential application optimizations, and we predict theoretical outcomes of the optimizations. Based on two collected datasets, we analyze and compare the prediction accuracy in performance and power consumption using MuMMI and 10 machine learning methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Investigating explainable transfer learning for battery lifetime prediction under state transitions

Battery lifetime prediction at early cycles is crucial for researchers and manufacturers to examine product quality and promote technology development. Machine learning has been widely utilized to construct data-driven solutions for high-accuracy predictions. However, the internal mechanisms of batteries are sensitive to many factors, such as charging/discharging protocols, manufacturing/storage conditions, and usage patterns. These factors will induce state transitions, thereby decreasing the prediction accuracy of data-driven approaches. Transfer learning is a promising technique that overcomes this difficulty and achieves accurate predictions by jointly utilizing information from various sources. Hence, we develop two transfer learning methods, Bayesian Model Fusion and Weighted Orthogonal Matching Pursuit, to strategically combine prior knowledge with limited information from the target dataset to achieve superior prediction performance. From our results, our transfer learning methods reduce root-mean-squared error by 41% through adapting to the target domain. Furthermore, the transfer learning strategies identify the variations of impactful features across different sets of batteries and therefore disentangle the battery degradation mechanisms and the root cause of state transitions from the perspective of data mining. These findings suggest that the transfer learning strategies proposed in our work are capable of acquiring knowledge across multiple data sources for solving specialized issues.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An analytic theory for the degree of Arctic Amplification

Arctic Amplification (AA), the amplified surface warming in the Arctic relative to the global mean, is a robust and impactful feature of climate change. While the basic physical picture of AA has been depicted, a clear understanding of how the degree of AA is determined has not been established. Here, by deciphering the intricate role of atmospheric heat transport (AHT), we build a two-box energy-balance model of AA and derive that the degree of AA is a simple nonlinear function of the Arctic and global feedbacks, the meridional heterogeneity in radiative forcing, and the partial sensitivities of AHT to global mean warming and meridional warming gradient. The formula captures the varying degree of AA in individual climate models and attributes the variation to specific physical factors. It further conveys a concise picture of how essential physics mutually determine the degree of AA and limit the range within 1.5~3.5. Our results articulate AHT as both forcing and feedback to AA, highlighting its partial sensitivities instead of total change as the key parameters for understanding AA. We also find that the effect of lapse rate feedback, a widely-recognized major contributor to AA, is fully offset by the effect of water vapor feedback.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A detailed study of interpretability of deep neural network based top taggers

Abstract Recent developments in the methods of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) allow researchers to explore the inner workings of deep neural networks (DNNs), revealing crucial information about input–output relationships and realizing how data connects with machine learning models. In this paper we explore interpretability of DNN models designed to identify jets coming from top quark decay in high energy proton–proton collisions at the Large Hadron Collider. We review a subset of existing top tagger models and explore different quantitative methods to identify which features play the most important roles in identifying the top jets. We also investigate how and why feature importance varies across different XAI metrics, how correlations among features impact their explainability, and how latent space representations encode information as well as correlate with physically meaningful quantities. Our studies uncover some major pitfalls of existing XAI methods and illustrate how they can be overcome to obtain consistent and meaningful interpretation of these models. We additionally illustrate the activity of hidden layers as neural activation pattern diagrams and demonstrate how they can be used to understand how DNNs relay information across the layers and how this understanding can help to make such models significantly simpler by allowing effective model reoptimization and hyperparameter tuning. These studies not only facilitate a methodological approach to interpreting models but also unveil new insights about what these models learn. Incorporating these observations into augmented model design, we propose the particle flow interaction network model and demonstrate how interpretability-inspired model augmentation can improve top tagging performance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Expansion of Machine-Learning Method for Classifying Neutron Resonances

The understanding of astrophysics processes and the performance of nuclear reactors and other nuclear systems depend on a precise description of the neutron interaction cross sections for materials and nuclei present in these environments. At low neutron energies, these cross sections exhibit resonance structure represented by sharp enhancements when the neutron energy is sufficiently close to excited levels in a compound nucleus. Such resonances can be characterized by their quantum numbers relative to angular momenta, which are often deduced in an ad hoc and irreproducible manner from the shape of the cross sections. The correct assignment of the quantum numbers of neutron resonances is therefore of paramount importance. To address this we have developed a machine-learning method to automate the identification and correction of these spin assignments. The algorithm is trained from simulated data, generated from statistical properties of resonance data for a given nucleus, to mimic the errors found in real data. In this project we describe five independent approaches to further develop and expand the applicability of the machine-learning spin classifier: i) Feature impact; ii) Integration with the Atlas; iii) Training optimization; iv) Spacings systematics; and v) Validation with polarized data. The premises, methods, results, and future perspectives are discussed.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Entropy-based feature selection for capturing impacts in Earth system models with abrupt forcing

This paper presents the development of a new entropy-based feature selection method for identifying and quantifying impacts. Here, impacts are defined as statistically significant differences in spatio-temporal fields when comparing datasets with and without an external forcing in an Earth system model. Temporal feature selection is performed by first computing the cross-fuzzy entropy to quantify similarity of patterns between two datasets and then applying changepoint detection to identify regions of statistically constant entropy. The method is used to capture temperate north surface cooling from a 9-member simulation ensemble of the Mt. Pinatubo volcanic eruption, which injected 10 Tg of SO 2 into the stratosphere. The results estimate a mean difference decrease in near surface air temperature of -0.560 K with a 99% confidence interval between -0.864 K and -0.257 K between April and November of 1992, one year following the eruption. A sensitivity analysis with decreasing SO 2 injection revealed that the impact is statistically significant at 5 Tg but not at 3 Tg. Using identified features, a dependency graph model based on a 9-day lag had significantly fewer nodes than a graph based on monthly means. Furthermore, this demonstrates our method’s ability to perform dimension reduction while still uncovering source-to-impact pathways.

Changepoint detection↗

Micro-structural features and material properties impact on adhesive metal joints via computational modeling and machine learning

The quality of structural bonding in practical applications depends on various factors arising from materials, pre-processing conditions, and manufacturing. Understanding how these factors influence bonding performance and determining their relative importance are of significant interest. Thus, this study evaluates the effects of microstructural features and material properties on the structural strength of adhesively-bonded metal joints at the submillimeter scale, utilizing a combination of Finite Element Modeling (FEM) and Machine Learning (ML) with Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR). The microstructural features include adhesive thickness, internal voids within the adhesive, adherend-adhesive interfacial voids, void size and volume fraction, and surface roughness. The material properties include the constitutive behavior of the adhesive, as well as the adherend-adhesive interfacial strength and fracture energy. The changes in structural strength and morphologies of the bonded metal structures with respect to different microstructural features and material properties were clarified by FEM. By further leveraging ML-GBR, the sequence of importance of these factors affecting bonding performance across various scenarios was summarized. This work provides valuable insights into the development of improved structural bonding for adhesive joints in industries such as automotive , aerospace, and beyond.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of LWR Assembly Structural Features on Cladding Burst Behavior under LOCA Conditions

This report builds on the previous work by assessing the impact of assembly structural features on cladding balloon and burst behavior. The BISON fuel performance code was used to generate two dimensional RZ meshes containing structural features commonly used in nuclear fuel assemblies. The results were then compared to the cladding burst temperature and balloon strain results from the previous work. A mesh sensitivity study was performed to ensure spacer grid effects were appropriately considered, resulting in a more refined mesh than the previous study. The balloon deformation and burst times of the cladding were compared. Consideration was also given to the effect of rod initial pressure. Overall, the BISON simulations indicated the spacer grids can locally influence cladding performance, however, the impact on the cladding performance was minor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Energy metric prediction for double insertion mutants via the RoseNet deep learning framework

Studying the structural and functional implications of protein mutations is an important task in computational biology and bioinformatics. We leverage our previously proposed RoseNet neural network architecture to predict energy metrics of proteins with double amino acid insertions or deletions (InDels). We train models on previously generated benchmark datasets containing the exhaustive double InDel mutations for three proteins, as well as an additional three proteins for which ∼145k random mutants, each with two InDels, have been generated. We expand on our previous work by evaluating three additional proteins and analyzing domain features that impact the prediction capabilities of RoseNet. These features include InDels into secondary structures and the solvent accessible surface area (SASA) scores of the residues. We uncover further evidence to support that RoseNet has a higher proficiency of generalizing to unseen residue combinations than unseen insertion positions. We also observe that RoseNet produces higher-quality predictions when inserting into a β-sheet over an α-helix. Additionally, when the insertions fall in an area of high SASA, RoseNet often displays better performance than inserting into areas of low SASA.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of LWR assembly structural features on cladding burst behavior under LOCA conditions

This provides an initial scoping study on clad balloon and burst behavior for burnup extension of reactor fuel. The associated issues with burnup extension are fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal in the event of cladding failure. The general finding of this work is that the structural features, spacer grids and mixing vanes, locally suppress cladding deformation but have little impact on the overall clad performance during loss-of-coolant accidents. The work detailed in a previous report by Capps et al. focused on core optimization via neutronics, thermal hydraulics and thermomechanical analysis for burnups beyond 62 GWD/tU and enrichments above 5%. Uncertainty of fuel fragmentation relocation and dispersal in high-burnup rods during accident conditions was also investigated. The dispersal aspect of fuel fragmentation depends on cladding rupture. Thus, assessing uncertainties in the rupture behavior is helpful in estimating the dispersal of high-burnup fuel. This study builds on the previous work by assessing the impact of assembly structural features on cladding balloon and burst behavior in a full-length fuel rod. In this work, the BISON fuel performance code was used to generate 2D radial and height meshes containing structural features commonly used in nuclear fuel assemblies. First, meshes were generated with spacer grids. Results were then compared to the cladding burst temperature and balloon strain results from the previous work. A mesh sensitivity study was performed to ensure that mixing vanes and spacer grid effects were appropriately considered, resulting in a more refined mesh than the previous study. The balloon deformation and burst times of the cladding were compared to the original case. Consideration was also given to the effect of rod initial pressure. In conclusion, 3D quarter rod simulations were also performed and found good agreement with the 2D simulations in clad deformation and reasonable agreement in burst times.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Enabling site-specific well leakage risk estimation during geologic carbon sequestration using a modular deep-learning-based wellbore leakage model

Geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) is a promising technology for mitigating net carbon emissions and growing climate concern by storing CO 2 in reservoirs. Oil and gas brownfields are an attractive option for CO 2 storage, but these sites have many historical wellbores from petroleum production and can be a potential leakage pathway for CO 2 or formation brine. Therefore, risk management of GCS operations requires an assessment of potential well leakage. Due to the high uncertainty of the system, stochastic approaches are ideal for quantifying the range of risk behaviors, but they must be computationally efficient in the face of complex physics. Here, we develop a new physics-centric deep learning wellbore model to predict the leakage of CO 2 and brine through leaky wellbores. Multi-physics numerical simulations were used to generate data sets, and physics-informed features were introduced. Neural networks were optimized with an automated searching algorithm. Feature analysis quantifies the impact of each feature on model prediction and confirms the role of physics-inspired parameters. The model shows high predictive performance across a wide range of geologic and injection conditions and well attributes. In conclusion, a case study illustrates how the model is applied to assess well leakage in GCS operations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A practical guide to characterizing irradiated nuclear fuels using FIB tomography

We report focused ion beam (FIB) tomography with combined electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) and energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy (EDS) is a technique capable of statistically characterizing the microstructure and spatial compositional variation of nuclear fuel in three-dimensions (3D). The 3D visualization from FIB tomography provides a comprehensive picture of the interconnected microstructural and compositional features that can impact fuel performance. While these features are often characterized with surface examination, the complexity and relationship of fission products and grain boundary networks may not fully be captured by these 2D methods. This work presents a practical guide to FIB tomography that is tailored to nuclear fuel characterization. The steps used to collect and process the data are provided along with the scripts used to process the data. Additionally, suggestions for future characterization efforts utilizing this approach are given.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗