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At least 19 records

A Rule-Based Expert System Applied to Moisture Durability of Building Envelopes

The moisture durability of an envelope component such as a wall or roof is difficult to predict. Moisture durability depends on all the construction materials used, as well as the climate, orientation, air tightness, and indoor conditions. Modern building codes require more insulation and tighter construction but provide little guidance about how to ensure these energy-efficient assemblies remain moisture durable. Furthermore, as new products and materials are introduced, builders are increasingly uncertain about the long-term durability of their building envelope designs. Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the US Department of Energy's Building America Program are applying a rule-based expert system methodology in a web tool to help designers determine whether a given wall design is likely to be moisture durable and provide expert guidance on moisture risk management specific to a wall design and climate. The expert system is populated with knowledge from both expert judgment and probabilistic hygrothermal simulation results.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A Sustainability-Based Expert System for Additive Manufacturing and CNC Machining

The objective of this research study is to develop a set of expert systems that can aid metal manufacturing facilities in selecting binder jetting, direct metal laser sintering, or CNC machining based on viable products, processes, system parameters, and inherent sustainability aspects. For the purposes of this study, cost-effectiveness, energy, and auxiliary material usage efficiency were considered the key indicators of manufacturing process sustainability. The expert systems were developed using the knowledge automation software Exsys Corvid ® V6.1.3. The programs were verified by analyzing and comparing the sustainability impacts of binder jetting and CNC machining during the fabrication of a stainless steel 316L component. According to the results of this study, binder jetting is deemed to be characterized by more favorable indicators of sustainability in comparison to CNC machining, considering the fabrication of components feasible for each technology.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DAQExpert - An expert system to increase CMS data-taking efficiency

The efficiency of the Data Acquisition (DAQ) of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment for LHC Run 2 is constantly being improved. A significant factor affecting the data taking efficiency is the experience of the DAQ operator. One of the main responsibilities of the DAQ operator is to carry out the proper recovery procedure in case of failure of data-taking. At the start of Run 2, understanding the problem and finding the right remedy could take a considerable amount of time (up to many minutes). Operators heavily relied on the support of on-call experts, also outside working hours. Wrong decisions due to time pressure sometimes lead to an additional overhead in recovery time. To increase the efficiency of CMS data-taking we developed a new expert system, the DAQExpert, which provides shifters with optimal recovery suggestions instantly when a failure occurs. DAQExpert is a web application analyzing frequently updating monitoring data from all DAQ components and identifying problems based on expert knowledge expressed in small, independent logic-modules written in Java. Its results are presented in real-time in the control room via a web-based GUI and a sound-system in a form of short description of the current failure, and steps to recover.

Andre, J. M.↗

An expert-systems approach to automatically determining flaw depth within Candu pressure tubes - 221

Delayed Hydride Cracking (DHC) is a crack growth mechanism that occurs in zirconium alloys, including the pressure tubes of CANDU reactors. DHC is caused by hydrogen in solution in zirconium components being diffused to any flaws present, resulting in an increased concentration of hydrogen within these flaws. An increased hydrogen concentration can lead to brittleness, followed by cracking, in high-stress regions of a pressure tube. Regular in-service ultrasonic inspection of CANDU pressure tubes aims to locate and classify any flaws that pose a potential for DHC initiation. A common approach to inspection is the use of a bespoke tool containing multiple ultrasonic transducers to ensure that each point on the pressure tube is inspected from a minimum of three angles during a scan. All flaws from within the inspected pressure tubes must be characterized prior to restarting the reactor, thus the time-consuming analysis process lies on the critical outage path. This process is manually intensive and often requires a significant amount of expert knowledge. A modular system to automatically process outage data to provide decision support to analysts has been developed. This system saves time on the critical outage path while providing repeatable and explicable measurements. Part of the analysis process requires the depth of all flaws to be measured, which is often the most time consuming stage of the analysis process. This paper describes an approach that utilizes captured analysts knowledge to perform automatic flaw depth estimation. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

An Expert System to Assist Researchers with Nuclear Materials Experiment Design

The Nuclear Science User Facilities (NSUF) was created in 2007 to open National Laboratory capabilities to university, laboratory, and industry researchers. Originally founded at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL), NSUF leveraged excess capacity in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) and the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) hot cells. In the eleven years since its inception, the NSUF has expanded to include most of the capabilities at the Idaho National Laboratory as well as twenty external ‘partner’ facilities. The inclusion of the partner facilities makes the NSUF the first distributed user facility, a ‘laboratory without walls.’ This paper will present recent developments in CoMET, including how the databases interconnect to create a powerful tool for NSUF users and how the Wizard is expected to change the workflow for NSUF users, staff, and partner facilities. The paper will conclude with some remarks of how CoMET demonstrates the feasibility of a broader integration of nuclear information and tools, paving the way for further collaboration and innovation following the NuKIT paradigm.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Knowledge-based fault diagnosis system for refuse collection vehicle

The refuse collection vehicle is manufactured by local vehicle body manufacturer. Currently; the company supplied six model of the waste compactor truck to the local authority as well as waste management company. The company is facing difficulty to acquire the knowledge from the expert when the expert is absence. To solve the problem, the knowledge from the expert can be stored in the expert system. The expert system is able to provide necessary support to the company when the expert is not available. The implementation of the process and tool is able to be standardize and more accurate. The knowledge that input to the expert system is based on design guidelines and experience from the expert. This project highlighted another application on knowledge-based system (KBS) approached in trouble shooting of the refuse collection vehicle production process. The main aim of the research is to develop a novel expert fault diagnosis system framework for the refuse collection vehicle.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Neural-based time series forecasting of loss of coolant accidents in nuclear power plants

During the last few years, deep learning in neural networks has demonstrated impressive successes in the areas of computer vision, speech and image recognition, text generation, and many others. However, sensitive engineering areas such as nuclear engineering benefited less from these efficient techniques. In this work, deep learning expert systems are utilized to model and predict time series progression of a design-basis nuclear accident, featuring a loss of coolant accident. Two major findings are accomplished in this work. First, the ability to train expert systems with high accuracy, which could help nuclear power plant operators to figure out plant responses during the accident. Second, building fast, efficient, and accurate deep models to simulate nuclear phenomena, which could be valuable to nuclear computational science. In this work, large amount of time series data is obtained from simulation tools by simulating different conditions of the base-case/nominal accident scenario. Four critical outputs/responses are monitored during the accident (e.g. temperature, pressure, break flow rate, water level). Two approaches are adopted in this work. The first approach is to use feedforward deep neural networks (DNN) to fit all time steps and outputs in a single model. The second approach is to use long short-term memory (LSTM) to fit all time steps together for each reactor response separately. Both DNN and LSTM demonstrate very good performance in predicting the test and base-case scenarios, with accuracy as low as 92% and as high as 99%, where these test scenarios are unknown to the expert systems and are not included in the model training. In addition, both approaches demonstrate a significant reduction in computational costs, as the deep expert system is able to accurately predict the accident 100,000 times faster than the original simulation tool. Given sufficient data, the methodology adopted in this study demonstrates that DNN/LSTM expert systems can be used as a decision support system to model advanced time series phenomena within nuclear power plants with high accuracy and negligible computational costs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NSUF CoMET Project, Implementation Plan FY2019

The Combined Materials and Experiment Toolkit (CoMET) is an NSUF information management resource designed to give users access to the information and tools necessary for designing meaningful experiments and writing clear, structured proposals. NSUF has a milestone to deploy an experiment design expert system to the NSUF website to support applications for the FY2020 CINR, due on August 30, 2019. To meet this milestone, the CoMET project work for FY2019 focuses on three main objectives: 1.) Integrate the three NSUF web applications by linking data fields in one application with the data found in the others. The NSUF web applications are: The Rapid Turnaround Experiment (RTE) Proposal Solicitation system, the Nuclear Fuels and Materials Library (NFML) and the Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Database (NEID) and the researcher and technical staff account and profile management systems. 2.) Build an Experiment Design Wizard (expert system) that will guide users through the process of writing a statement of work for a CINR or RTE experiment. 3.) Build an Irradiation Effects Calculator to help a PI choose the best neutron irradiation facility for their needs, estimate the time needed to achieve their goals, and estimate the resulting radioactivity of their samples, post-irradiation. These objectives are designed to support the mission of the NSUF and optimize the experiment design portion of the proposal processes. The new researcher database will make finding collaborators easier. The wizard will provide the PI with early NSUF expertise so that their proposed experiments, at the “Letter of Intent” and “Pre-Application” stages are better designed to work within the available NSUF facilities. Utilization of these tools should reduce the proportion of proposals that are judged to be infeasible or “not ready” for NSUF access. It should also improve the efficiency of the NSUF technical leads since the PI will be starting with a better statement of work for the project. The tools will also provide resources for NSUF staff to more efficiently screen and score incoming proposals. This implementation plan will layout the work breakdown structure, activities, resources required, and plan for completion of the activities for CoMET in FY2019.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Yes, No, Maybe So: Human Factors Considerations for Fostering Calibrated Trust in Foundation Models Under Uncertainty

High-stakes analytical environments require analysts to evaluate evidence and generate conclusions to inform critical decisions often under conditions of uncertainty. Probabilistic decision-making based on incomplete or inaccurate information can reduce productivity, compromise national interests, and endanger public safety. Researchers are developing expert systems built on foundation models (FMs) to support analysts’ decision-making processes by enabling human-artificial intelligence (AI) teaming, in part through the quantification and expression of uncertainty information. As FMs continue to mature, it is imperative to correspondingly consider analysts’ needs for appropriately interpreting and using uncertainty information. However, prior research indicates that it remains unclear how analysts engage with FM-generated uncertainty information and the extent to which these interactions influence trust in, and reliance on, expert systems. We plan to review the state of the science and conduct an exploratory, qualitative study to (a) understand how properly communicated uncertainty can foster calibrated trust and appropriate reliance and (b) identify approaches for effectively conveying FM-generated uncertainty information during analytical workflows. We will administer semi-structured interviews with analysts from a specific high-stakes analytical environment to collect their current experiences with job-related uncertainty and their impressions when viewing FM-generated uncertainty information. During the interview protocol, participants will be presented with several different FM outputs and invited to discuss their thoughts and beliefs about the uncertainty information displayed. Participants may provide insights into how trust and reliance may be influenced by uncertainty. The results of this study will help us to better understand how analysts currently interpret and use uncertainty information. Our findings may inform human factors recommendations for effectively conveying uncertainty information to foster calibrated trust in, and appropriate reliance on, expert systems. Interaction designers and FM developers can use this knowledge to enhance human-AI teaming and ensure the responsible deployment of FM-based expert systems in analytical workflows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Smart electric vehicle (EV) charging and grid integration apparatus and methods

An expert system manages a power grid wherein charging stations are connected to the power grid, with electric vehicles connected to the charging stations, whereby the expert system selectively backfills power from connected electric vehicles to the power grid through a grid tie inverter (if present) within the charging stations. In more traditional usage, the expert system allows for electric vehicle charging, coupled with user preferences as to charge time, charge cost, and charging station capabilities, without exceeding the power grid capacity at any point. A robust yet accurate state of charge (SOC) calculation method is also presented, whereby initially an open circuit voltage (OCV) based on sampled battery voltages and currents is calculated, and then the SOC is obtained based on a mapping between a previously measured reference OCV (ROCV) and SOC. The OCV-SOC calculation method accommodates likely any battery type with any current profile.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Validation of Hygrothermal Simulations with Wall Performance Experiments in an Environmental Chamber

Oak Ridge National Laboratory is developing a web tool, built on a rule-based expert system, that aids stakeholders in designing energy-efficient moisture-durable walls. Currently, the tool’s expert system database is mostly populated with expert opinion, but work is being done to incorporate durability assessment based on stochastic hygrothermal modeling. Chamber experiments have been conducted to validate the hygrothermal models. The measured temperature and humidity have been compared with those predicted by the hygrothermal model. Experiments and comparison to one-dimensional hygrothermal modeling results were completed with two walls, a Structural Insulated Panel (SIP) based wall and a Concrete Masonry Unit (CMU) based wall. The two walls were succumbed to typical Chicago weather in ORNL’s Heat, Air and Moisture chamber. The walls were sequentially exposed to different scenarios, including diffusion, wetting, air leakage and solar radiation. For the most part, the hygrothermal simulations can be successfully used to predict the performance of these wall systems for the moisture transport phenomenon. Errors between measured and simulated values decreased as measurements got closer to the interior side of the wall. The root mean square error was larger for relative humidity (up to 17.5%-RH for CMU) than for temperature (up to 4.5°C for CMU wall). The errors were larger for the CMU wall than the wood frame wall. The phenomenon, including liquid water, caused large discrepancies between measurement and simulation results, and simulated results showed slower drying of materials than measured results. The one-dimensional nature of the simulation model made simulating air leaks difficult but not impossible.

Salonvaara, Mikael↗

Artificial Intelligence Application to D and D - 20492

As aging facilities across the DOE complex await decommissioning, there is an ongoing need to understand any changes in the structural conditions. Many of these facilities were built over 50 years ago and, in some cases, these facilities have gone beyond the expected operational lifetime. Many facilities have been placed in a state of 'cold and dark,' sitting unused and awaiting decommissioning. Especially challenging are the aging facilities that provide unique operational/production capabilities to support critical DOE missions and cannot be shut down. In any of these scenarios, the structural integrity of these facilities may become compromised as time passes. It is critical that adequate inspections be performed on a continual basis and that the data collected undergoes sufficient analysis to support timely identification of any new or worsening structural issues as well as prompt needed maintenance and repairs to maintain the facilities in a safe condition. In recent days, Artificial Intelligence (AI) [1] and its application to various domains are growing at fast speed. FIU is performing research in this area and exploring the associated technologies to solve nuclear decommissioning problems. Artificial intelligence refers to the capability of a program to autonomously act, react and adapt to the working environment. AI enables the machine to behave like humans and perform the cognitive functions such as 'learning' and 'problem solving'. AI systems gradually moving from traditional approaches (algorithms and expert systems) towards more efficient and advanced technologies (machine learning [1] and deep learning [2] [3]). AI is the study of algorithms and statistical models that is being used by computers to perform specific tasks without using explicit instructions. FIU is working to develop a pilot-scale infrastructure to implement structural health monitoring using AI technologies with focus on machine learning, deep learning. This research is focused on Computer Vision/Image Classification area of AI applications. This can also be expanded to other areas of AI related to Object Recognition and Character Recognition in images. In addition to utilizing existing data sets, FIU will collect and investigate image and video data using FIU test-bed mockups to monitor structural health of the facility. Resulting data will be processed and analyzed using machine learning/deep learning technologies. The proposed pilot system is intended to serve as a starting point to engage the DOE field sites on related data sets and their decision making needs. It is anticipated that proposed machine learning/deep learning technologies can be effectively employed using anomaly detection to solve EM challenges in surveillance and maintenance of the D and D facilities. FIU will work with research stakeholders to identify applications at various sites and other DOE facilities. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DAQExpert the service to increase CMS data-taking efficiency

The Data Acquisition (DAQ) system of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment at the LHC is a complex system responsible for the data readout, event building and recording of accepted events. Its proper functioning plays a critical role in the data-taking efficiency of the CMS experiment. In order to ensure high availability and recover promptly in the event of hardware or software failure of the subsystems, an expert system, the DAQ Expert, has been developed. It aims at improving the data taking efficiency, reducing the human error in the operations and minimising the on-call expert demand. Introduced in the beginning of 2017, it assists the shift crew and the system experts in recovering from operational faults, streamlining the post mortem analysis and, at the end of Run 2, triggering fully automatic recovery without human intervention. DAQ Expert analyses the real-time monitoring data originating from the DAQ components and the high-level trigger updated every few seconds. It pinpoints data flow problems, and recovers them automatically or after given operator approval. We analyse the CMS downtime in the 2018 run focusing on what was improved with the introduction of automated recovery; present challenges and design of encoding the expert knowledge into automated recovery jobs. Furthermore, we demonstrate the web-based, ReactJS interfaces that ensure an effective cooperation between the human operators in the control room and the automated recovery system. We report on the operational experience with automated recovery.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Stand-Alone Dynamic System Simulation of a Fissile Solution System

Dynamic system simulations (DSS) of fissile solution systems (FSS) have been performed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) for several years. DSS have been designed and executed using the DESIRE (Direct Executing Simulation in Real Time) system, a platform ideal for expert system modelers, as it allows for direct mathematical specification of a model, and facilities for performing experiments and analyses with the model. Models built in DESIRE have been compared to historical data from several historic aqueous homogeneous reactors (AHR) showing close agreement between experimental data and model estimates. Historical systems modeled include: SUPO (Super Power), an AHR that operated at Los Alamos National Laboratory from 1951 to 1974; SILENE, which was operated by CEA at Valduc, France until 2011; KEWB (Kinetics Experiment Water Boiler) A-2 and B-5 cores, operated by North American Atomics during the 1960’s and 1970’s. SUPO is considered a benchmark for steady-state operations, SILENE for pulse, and KEWB as confirmatory for both modes. However, there are some simulation tasks that are not well-suited to DESIRE model implementation. These tasks include engineering design and analysis and providing a hardware simulator backend. It has been determined that executable simulation models would better suit these purposes, hence a process for converting DESIRE simulation models to executable simulation models was designed and implemented, and several models have been converted. DESIRE simulation models are converted to C++ executable models by an automated process. The conversion process is quick, accurate and repeatable, giving confidence that converted models will perform as well as the original DESIRE models. Extensive testing on the SUPO and accelerator driven subcritical system models has shown that the executable models perform almost identically to the DESIRE models. All major trends and events are simulated with excellent agreement and the steady-state results typically agree within a small fraction of a percent (always better than 0.1% and generally better than 0.01% agreement).

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Experiment Design with Confidence: CoMET

The Nuclear Science User Facilities (NSUF) has been facilitating nuclear materials research since 2007 by providing access to national laboratory and other partner capabilities at no cost to the researchers. With funding from the Department of Energy – Office of Nuclear Energy, approximately 400 projects have been awarded to support research into radiation effects on fuels and materials. During these ten years, the NSUF has created tools to help researchers write better proposals and perform better research projects. In 2018, several of those tools have been combined to create a single point of access to NSUF information management resources. The Combined Materials Experiment Toolkit or CoMET, combines the Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Database (NEID), the Nuclear Fuels and Materials Library (NFML), and the NSUF proposal system, with a new subject matter expert database and an experiment design tool. The NEID contains information on 500 nuclear R&D facilities around the world, including 85 NSUF partner facilities. The NFML has information on nearly 10,000 material specimens, mostly irradiated materials, which can be used for research in NSUF projects. The new SME database includes contact information for NSUF researchers and scientists. The experiment design tool is an expert system that can guide a researcher through the process of designing an NSUF project by interacting with the other resources. Once a researcher has worked through this process, they will be able to save their experiment plan and input it into the NSUF proposal system. These tools are intended to aid both new and veteran researchers build solid research projects and take full advantage of NSUF resources. They also help the NSUF administer the hundreds of proposals that it receives each year. In the future, NSUF plans to add integrated data storage and retrieval to CoMET.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗