SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “emission rates”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.
A Time-Varying Model for Predicting Formaldehyde Emission Rates in Homes
Recent studies have succeeded in relating emissions of various volatile organic compounds to material mass diffusion transfer using detailed empirical characteristics of each of the individual emitting materials. While significant, the resulting models are often scenario specific and/or require a host of individual component parameters to estimate emission rates. This study developed an approach to estimate aggregated emissions rates based on a wide number of field measurements. We used a multi-parameter regression model based on previous mass transfer models to predict formaldehyde emission rate for a whole dwelling using field-measured, time-resolved formaldehyde concentrations, air exchange rates, and indoor environmental parameters in 63 California single-family houses built between 2011 and 2017. The resulting model provides time-varying formaldehyde emission rates, normalized by floor area, for each study home, assuming a well-mixed mass balance transport model of the home, and a well-mixed layer transport model of indoor surfaces. The surface layer model asserts an equilibrium concentration within the surface layer of the emitted materials that is a function of temperature and RH; the dwelling ventilation rate serves as a surrogate for indoor concentration. We also developed a more generic emission model that is suitable for broad prediction of emission for a population of buildings. This model is also based on measurements aggregated from 27 homes from the same study. We showed that errors in predicting household formaldehyde concentrations using this approach were substantially less than those using a traditional constant emission rate model, despite requiring less unique building information.
Long-Run Marginal CO 2 e Emission Rates for End-Use Electricity Consumption in the State of Washington [Slides]
This analysis contains an estimate of the long-run marginal emission rate for the electric sector in the state of Washington. The long-run marginal emission rate is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a long-term (i.e., more than several years) change in electrical demand. The metric explicitly takes into account both the underlying evolution of the electric grid, as well as the potential for an incremental change in electrical demand to influence the structural evolution of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). It is therefore distinct from the more-commonly-known short-run marginal, which also identifies a marginal emission rate but treats the grid assets as fixed.
Long-run Marginal Emission Rates for Electricity - Workbooks for 2021 Cambium Data
These workbooks contain modeled estimates of long-run marginal emission rates (LRMER) for the contiguous United States. The LRMER is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a long-term (i.e., more than several years) change in electrical demand. It incorporates both the projected changes to the electric grid, as well as the potential for an incremental change in electrical demand to influence the structural evolution of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). It is therefore distinct from the more-commonly-known short-run marginal, which treats grid assets as fixed. The Levelized LRMER worksheet within each workbook is set up to produce a levelized long-run marginal emission rate based on user-provided inputs. These levelized LRMER values are intended for analysts to use when estimating the emissions induced (or avoided) by a long-term change in end-use electricity demand. There are two workbooks that supply the data at two different geographic resolutions: states and GEA regions (20 regions that are similar to, but not exactly the same as, the US EPA's eGRID regions). For more data underlying these emissions factors, see the Cambium 2021 project at https://cambium.nrel.gov/. For more details on the inputs into the scenarios available in the workbooks, see the Standard Scenarios 2021 Report (https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy22osti/80641.pdf). This data was produced as part of the Cambium project. For more details about the methodology, see the Cambium Documentation: Version 2021 (https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy22osti/81611.pdf). This data is planned to be updated annually. Information on the latest versions can be found at https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/cambium.html.
Long-run Marginal Emission Rates for Electricity - Workbooks for 2022 Cambium Data
These workbooks contain modeled estimates of long-run marginal emission rates (LRMER) for the contiguous United States. A LRMER is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a change in electric demand, taking into account how the change could influence both the operation as well as the structure of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). It is therefore distinct from the more-commonly-known short-run marginal, which treat grid assets as fixed. Long-run marginal emissions rates are generally appropriate to use when trying to comprehensively estimate the impact of a long-lived (i.e., more than several years) intervention. There are two workbooks that supply the data at two different geographic resolutions: states and GEA regions (20 regions that are similar to, but not exactly the same as, the US EPA's eGRID regions). For more data underlying these emissions factors, see the Cambium 2022 project at https://scenarioviewer.nrel.gov/. For more details on input assumptions and methodology see the associated report (Cambium 2022 Scenario Descriptions and Documentation, https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy23osti/84916.pdf). This data is planned to be updated annually. Information on the latest versions can be found at https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/cambium.html.
Characterization of Neutron Emission Rates of Commercial 252 Cf Sources
Accurate knowledge of 252 Cf neutron emission rates is critical for modeling and fast-neutron experiments, yet commercial sources are often supplied without traceable calibration or uncertainty estimates. This report describes a method to characterize 252 Cf sources using a pulse-shape-discrimination (PSD) scintillator. The scintillator was efficiency-calibrated against a time-tagged 252 Cf fission chamber manufactured at ORNL over 40 years ago. Isotopic evolution of the calibration source was modeled using Bateman equations to account for changes in the effective average neutrons per fission at the time of measurement. The calibrated scintillator was then used to measure absolute emission rates of several commercial 252 Cf sources, revealing deviations of up to 12% from nominal manufacturer values. This methodology provides a practical approach for establishing uncertainty-quantified 252 Cf neutron emission rates, improving fidelity in simulations and supporting the accurate interpretation of measurements.
Enhancement of the photon emission rate near the QCD critical point
We compute photon emission rate enhancement near the QCD critical point using an effective theory of dynamic critical phenomena and derive a universal photon spectrum. The emission rate scales similar to conductivity, increasing with the correlation length (𝜉), diverging at the critical point. The spectrum exhibits 𝜔𝑑𝑁 𝛾 /𝑑 3 𝑘 ∝ 𝜔 −1/2 in the scaling regime, with the transition occurring at a frequency comparable to shear damping rate 𝜔 ∼ 𝛾 𝜂 /𝜉 2 , reflecting the nonequilibrium properties of the near-critical liquid.
Long-run Marginal CO2 Emission Rates Workbooks for 2020 Standard Scenarios Cambium Data
This dataset has been superseded by a new set of workbooks that can be found here: https://data.nlr.gov/submissions/183 These workbooks contain modeled estimates of long-run marginal CO2 emission rates (LRMER) for the contiguous United States. The LRMER is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a long-term (i.e., more than several years) change in electrical demand. It incorporates both the projected changes to the electric grid, as well as the potential for an incremental change in electrical demand to influence the structural evolution of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). It is therefore distinct from the more-commonly-known short-run marginal, which treats grid assets as fixed. In addition to year-over-year data, the Levelized LRMER worksheet within each workbook is set up to produce a levelized long-run marginal emission rate based on user-provided inputs. These levelized LRMER values are intended for analysts to use when estimating the emissions induced (or avoided) by a long-term change in end-use electricity demand. Three future scenarios are provided in separate workbooks: A Mid-case (i.e., business-as-usual), and two scenarios with relatively higher or lower renewable energy costs. For more details on these scenarios, see the Standard Scenarios 2020 Report ( https://www.nlr.gov/docs/fy21osti/77442.pdf ). For more data underlying each scenario, see the Standard Scenarios 2020 project (Cambium data) at https://cambium.nlr.gov/ . This data was produced as part of the Cambium project. For more details about the methodology, see the Cambium Documentation: Version 2020 ( https://www.nlr.gov/docs/fy21osti/78239.pdf ). This data is planned to be updated annually. Information on the latest versions can be found at https://www.nlr.gov/analysis/cambium.html .
Consequential Analysis of the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Impacts of Actions That Influence the Electric Grid: The Theory and Practice of Using Marginal Emissions Rates
This paper discusses consequential greenhouse gas emissions analysis for actions that influence the electric grid that is, the analytical approach of estimating how such actions change greenhouse gas emissions, relative to what they otherwise would have been without the action. Although the paper starts with general considerations, it ultimately focuses on consequential analysis with marginal emissions rates as an option likely more scalable than others.
Planning for the Evolution of the Electric Grid with a Long-Run Marginal Emission Rate [Slides]
NREL Webinar slide deck that summarizes the findings of a recent article published in iScience, "Planning for the evolution of the grid with a long-run marginal emission rate". The webinar focuses on a study of how well three different types of emissions factors can anticipate the electric-sector carbon emissions induced by different types of interventions.
Long-run Marginal Emission Rates for Electricity - Workbooks for 2023 Cambium Data
These workbooks contain modeled estimates of long-run marginal emission rates (LRMER) for the contiguous United States' electric sector. A LRMER is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a change in electric demand, taking into account how the change could influence both the operation as well as the structure of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). These workbooks provide data for 18 GEA regions covering the contiguous United States. Mappings of these regions to ZIP codes and counties is given in this workbook in the corresponding tabs. For more data underlying these emissions factors, see the Cambium 2023 project at https://scenarioviewer.nrel.gov/. For more details on input assumptions and methodology see the associated report (Cambium 2023 Scenario Descriptions and Documentation, https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy24osti/88507.pdf). Users are advised to review section 4 of the report, which discusses limitations and caveats of the data. This data is planned to be updated annually. Information on the latest versions can be found at https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/cambium.html.
A systematic comparison of machine learning methods for modeling of dynamic processes applied to combustion emission rate modeling
Ten established, data-driven dynamic algorithms are surveyed and a practical guide for understanding these methods generated. Existing Python programming packages for implementing each algorithm are acknowledged, and the model equations necessary for prediction are presented. A case study on a coal-fired power plant’s NO x emission rates is performed, directly comparing each modeling method’s performance on a mutual system. Each model is evaluated by its root mean squared error (RMSE) on out-of-sample future horizon predictions. Optimal hyperparameters are identified using either an exhaustive search or genetic algorithm. The top five model structures of each method are used to recursively predict future NO x emission rates over a 60-step time horizon. The RMSE at each future timestep is determined, and the recursive output prediction trends compared against measurements in time. The GRU neural network is identified as the best candidate for representing the system, demonstrating accurate and stable predictions across the future horizon by all considered models, while satisfactory performance was observed in several of the ARX/NARX formulations. Finally, these efforts have contributed 1) a concise resource of multiple proven dynamic machine learning methods, 2) a practical guide explaining the use of these methods, effectively lowering the “barrier-to-entry” of deploying such models in control systems, 3) a comparison study evaluating each method’s performance on a mutual system, 4) demonstration of accurate multi-timestep emissions modeling suitable for systems-level control, and 5) generalizable results demonstrating the suitability of each method for prediction over a multi-step future horizon to other complex dynamic systems.
Planning for the evolution of the electric grid with a long-run marginal emission rate - data and code
Data and code generated for the paper "Planning for the evolution of the electric grid with a long-run marginal emission rate", Pieter Gagnon and Wesley Cole, 2022.
Short-Run Marginal Emission Rates Omit Important Impacts of Electric-Sector Interventions
This letter to the editors of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences describes how short-run marginal emissions rates omit important impacts of electric-sector interventions.
Bedrock weathering rates, reactive nitrogen influxes and effluxes, and nitrous oxide emissions rates from the Pumphouse Hillslope, East River Watershed, Colorado
Atmospheric nitrous oxide contributes directly to global warming, yet models of the nitrogen cycle do not account for bedrock, the largest pool of terrestrial nitrogen, as a source of nitrous oxide. Although it is known that release rates of nitrogen from bedrock are large, there is an incomplete understanding of the connection between bedrock-hosted nitrogen and atmospheric nitrous oxide. Here, we quantify nitrogen fluxes and mass balances at a hillslope underlain by marine shale. We found that at this site bedrock weathering contributes 78% of the subsurface reactive nitrogen, while atmospheric sources (commonly regarded as the sole sources of reactive nitrogen in pristine environments) account for only the remaining 22%. About 56% of the total subsurface reactive nitrogen denitrifies, including 14% emitted as nitrous oxide. The remaining reactive nitrogen discharges in porewaters to a floodplain where additional denitrification likely occurs. We also found that the release of bedrock nitrogen occurs primarily within the zone of the seasonally fluctuating water table and suggest that the accumulation of nitrate in the vadoes zone, often attributed to fertilization and soil leaching, may also include contributions from weathered nitrogen-rich bedrock. Our hillslope study suggests that under oxygenated and moisture-rich conditions, weathering of deep, nitrogen-rich bedrock makes an important contribution to the nitrogen cycle. The data files are in Excel, which can be accessed using Microsoft Office, and consist of many data sets from the Pumphouse Hillslope PLM (Pumphouse Lower Montane) 1, 2, 3, and 4. They include soil to rock (0-10 meters) solid phase minerals and elements compositions; time- and depth-resolved pore-water chemistry and pore-gas compositions; time- and depth-resolved water table depths and water fluxes; subsurface weathering rates; nitrogen influxes and effluxes and mass balance. The attached paper is in a Word document, which can be accessed using Microsoft Office, and in pdf format.
A Technical basis for in-house calibration of 252 Cf neutron source emission rates
10CFR835 stipulates that radiation protection instruments must be calibrated at least annually. Accordingly, calibration of dose rate instruments are reliant on well-known reference fields. The neutron-free-in-air facility (NFIA) located at TA36-0214 provides such a capability for neutron remmeters. One of the reference NFIA sources, 252 Cf, must be replaced every 8-10 years due to its relatively short half-life (2.645 ± 0.008 y). In the past, each newly purchased 252 Cf source has been calibrated at NIST using the Mn-bath technique prior to shipping to LANL. However, because of COVID-19 complications, the most recently acquired 252 Cf source (FTC-CF-7167) has been stored at LANL pending approval to ship to NIST for calibration. Due to the considerable expense in transporting the source to and from NIST, this TBD was written to demonstrate that new sources can be accurately calibrated via intercomparison measurements with older NIST-calibrated 252 Cf sources. It had been previously noted that such measurements yielded emission rates that agreed very well with the official rates established by NIST
Effects of 18 O Exchange on Neutron Emission Rates of Aging 238 PuO 2 LWRHUs
The Lightweight Radioisotope Heater Unit (LWRHU) provides about 1 Watt of thermal power to critical electrical and mechanical systems in the extreme temperatures of space, maintaining the operating temperature of the spacecraft’s scientific and general operating equipment. Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) designed and tested the LWRHU in the 1970s through early 1980s. The first production campaign at LANL was in the early 1980s in support of the Galileo mission in which over 100 LWRHUs were manufactured. In the mid-1990s, almost 200 LWRHUs were manufactured in support of the Cassini mission. After the primary Cassini manufacturing campaign, the Department of Energy (DOE) approved the fabrication of more than 10 additional LWRHUs as spares in 1998. The LWRHU assembly contains the following components: a fuel pellet, a vented capsule, a pyrolytic graphite insulator, and a fine-weave pierced fabric (FWPF) graphite aeroshell. The fuel pellet is a hot-pressed 238 PuO 2 cylindrical pellet that is sintered to create a ceramic pellet. The pellet is encapsulated in a platinum-rhodium encapsulation. The welded fueled clad is placed inside a pyrolytic graphite thermal insulation to protect the fuel from the heat produced in reentry events. The exterior layer of the LWRHU assembly is the FWPF aeroshell. Before sintering, PuO 2 granules are heated in a furnace at temperatures greater than or equal to 700°C under an enriched 16 O atmosphere in order to reduce trace quantities of 18 O. Because 18 O undergoes an (α,n) reaction, 18 O needs to be removed as much as possible to meet radiation emission requirements set by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), as well as other agencies. The relative abundances of the oxygen isotopes are indicated by neutron emission rate (NER) measurements. LWRHUs are vented with a sintered platinum frit vent (George 1986). During extraterrestrial operation, the vent in the cladding allows helium from the decay of plutonium to escape and relieves pressure from the system while preventing the solids from escaping (Rinehart 1996, Tate 1982 & 1985). This vent is protected during manufacture by a platinum-30 rhodium cover. The capsule vent is activated by milling a 0.025-inch diameter hole through the protective cover to a nominal depth of 0.015 inches, generally immediately before the LWRHU is loaded into the aeroshell (George 1986). Prior to long-term storage, LWRHUs are vented and thus potentially allow infiltration of 18 O from the ambient atmosphere. Although NER decreases with age due to the reduction in emitted alpha particles, it might be expected that NER reduction is mitigated by the exchange of 18 O. However, this is not necessarily the case and no trend was observed relating NER to age other than the natural decay of 238 Pu (Mulford 2021). The most probable and dominant factor for determining specific NER was manufacturing discrepancies between individual units. It is important to understand the lack of observed 16 O- 18 O exchange and to compare LWRHU pellets as much as possible.
In-Use Passenger Vessel Emission Rates of Black Carbon and Nitrogen Oxides
This study quantified emission factors of black carbon (BC) and nitrogen oxides (NO x ) from 21 engines on in-use excursion vessels and ferries operating in California's San Francisco Bay, including EPA uncertified and Tier 1-4 engines and across engine operating modes. On average, ~60 fuel-based emission factors per engine were measured using a novel combination of exhaust plume capture combined with GPS location and speed data that can be more readily deployed than common portable emissions measurement systems. Here, BC and NO x emission factors (g kg -1 ) were lowest and least variable during fast cruising and highest during maneuvering and docked operation. Selective catalytic reduction (SCR) reduced NO x emissions by ~80% when functional. However, elevated NO x emissions that exceeded corresponding exhaust standards were measured on most Tier 3 and Tier 4 engines sampled, which can be attributed to inactive SCR during frequent low engine load operation. In contrast, BC emissions exceeded the PM emission standard for only one engine, and SCR systems employed as a NO x reduction technology also reduced emitted BC. Using these measured emission factors to compare commuting options, we show that the CO 2 -equivalent emissions per passenger-kilometer are comparable when commuting by car and ferry, but BC and NO x emissions can be several to more than ten times larger when commuting by ferry.