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At least 19 records

Importance of $\delta B_{\|}$ on ETG stability, turbulence, and transport in NSTX

This study employs electron-scale gyrokinetic simulations to investigate the electron temperature gradient (ETG) driven instabilities, turbulence, and transport in the pedestal region of the National Spherical Torus Experiment, comparing non-lithiated (narrow pedestal) and lithiated (wide pedestal) scenarios. Our findings reveal that, in the non-lithiated case, a branch of strongly unstable ETG modes exhibiting finite parallel magnetic field fluctuations ($\delta B_{\parallel} \neq 0$) emerges at the pedestal top and upper density pedestal region. This branch is uncovered only when $\delta B_{\parallel}$ is retained in the simulations and is associated with substantial electrostatic electron heat flux. This region of strong ETG transport corresponds to the only region in the plasma where the pressure gradient is far below the critical gradient for kinetic ballooning modes. We investigated the origin of this finite $\delta B_{\parallel}$ ETG branch by analyzing the gyrokinetic field equations. Nonlinear saturation is also analyzed and contrasted for simulations with and without $\delta B_{\parallel}$. In contrast with the nonlithiated case, ETG modes in the lithiated case produce substantial transport in the steep gradient region, but are negligible at the pedestal top.

ETG↗

Scrape-off layer stability, turbulence and transport in MAST-U (Final Report)

U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) supported work at Lodestar Research Corporation under grant DE-SC0019270 is summarized in this final report. The research conducted under this grant explored the properties of the edge plasma in spherical torus magnetic fusion devices. Harnessing the energy that is released in fusion reactions would provide a safe and abundant source of power to meet the growing energy needs of the world population. The edge and scrape-off layer (SOL) region of fusion plasmas is the region where the hot core plasma transitions to a cooler surrounding boundary plasma. The properties of this boundary plasma determine how interactions with material surfaces will impact both the overall device performance and the lifetime of crucial components such as the walls of the device chamber and other hardware. The research carried out studied filamentary plasma instabilities and turbulent transport in the edge and SOL of the MAST U spherical torus.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Microtearing stability and turbulence in the pedestal: Linear gyrokinetics, reduced models, and nonlinear turbulent transport

Microtearing modes can play a crucial role in electron heat transport in tokamak plasmas, affecting both energy confinement and overall performance. This study investigates microtearing modes (MTM) stability and turbulence in a JET pedestal through gyrokinetic simulations using the Gene code, complemented by a reduced eigenvalue model. The focus is on how MTM properties depend on key plasma parameters, including collisionality and plasma beta β—the ratio of plasma pressure to magnetic pressure—the normalized toroidal wavenumber k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s denotes the ion sound gyroradius (typically a few millimeters in edge plasmas) and isotope mass. Collisionality enhances MT growth rates, while increasing β leads to a shift from MTMs to kinetic-ballooning modes, typically for k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s ≲ 0.2⁠. A purely collisionless branch of MTMs persists at low k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s with distinctive properties including non-negligible particle flux and ion thermal transport. Isotope mass scans reveal modest reduction of MTM growth rates as ion mass decreases. Nonlinear simulations produce experimentally relevant transport levels. Numerical experiments turning off zonal flows and fields identify the critical role of zonal flows and zonal fields in regulating MTM turbulence. Their removal leads to a significant increase in electron heat flux. These findings provide new insight into MTM-driven transport and its impact on tokamak confinement and lay a foundation for reduced modeling and predictive capabilities.

Electrostatics↗

Flow-shear destabilization of multiscale electron turbulence

The impact of sheared ${\mathbf{E} \hskip -1pt \times \hskip -1pt \mathbf{B}}$ flow on multiscale turbulence is studied with nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations. Simulations are based on DIII-D-like, high-confinement mode (H-mode) pedestal parameters in the regime of low ion temperature gradient drive, where there is a broad spectrum of electron temperature gradient (ETG)-driven turbulence. It is found that ${\mathbf{E} \hskip -1pt \times \hskip -1pt \mathbf{B}}$ shear can have a significant effect on ETG-driven electron transport, with an unexpected transition from a turbulence stabilization regime at moderate to large shearing rates $γ_E$ to a novel turbulence destabilization regime at low levels of $γ_E$. In the turbulence stabilization regime, the electron energy flux decreases monotonically with $γ_E$, even when $γ_E$ is small compared to electron mode growth rates. The stabilizing effect comes dominantly from the electron, not ion, gyrokinetic equation. In the novel destabilization regime, reduction of zonal energy results from the interaction of $γ_E$-modulated nonlinear drive in the zonal ion gyrokinetic equation, increasing the electron transport over a broad range of shearing rates. Finally, neither of these effects has been observed in previous electron-scale simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Enhanced shear stabilization of turbulence in NSTX

In studying a particular non-stationary NSTX L-mode plasma, we observed unexpectedly high levels of flux—first with quasilinear (TGLF) modeling and subsequently with nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations. Upon more detailed analysis, a novel confinement regime was discovered in which a modest increase in E x B shear (beyond baseline experimental estimates) rapidly reduced turbulent transport to levels consistent with power balance. This modest increase is plausible given the errors inherent to the estimation of shearing rates, and the added complexity of the non-stationary (time-dependent) power balance. Remarkably, an additional small increase in shear yields the familiar ion-neoclassical transport level with what appears to be the onset of high-k electron transport only. Although analyses using the TGLF-SAT2 model successfully capture numerous parametric dependencies of this plasma, TGLF does not reproduce the rapid E x B stabilization seen in CGYRO. We believe the results presented should help to better characterize the nonlinear physics of spherical tokamak confinement regimes, provide useful ST datasets for reduced model development, and motivate more accurate experimental diagnosis of E x B shearing rates.

Atomic and molecular collisions↗

Understanding the L-H isotope effect at the DIII-D tokamak and advancements in synthetic turbulence diagnostics

Abstract It is determined that while heat flux differences between hydrogen and deuterium isotope experiments result from natural differences in carbon impurity content at DIII-D, it is not the origin of the low to high confinement mode (L-H) transition isotope effect. More specifically, a two times larger edge radial electric field in hydrogen compared to deuterium is uncovered and believed to play an important role. The origin of this radial electric field difference is determined to have two possible origins: differences in poloidal rotation and turbulent Reynolds stress in the closed field line region, and increased outer strike point temperatures and space potentials on open field lines. Experimental observations from both profile and turbulence diagnostics are supported by nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations using the code CGYRO. Simulations illustrated heat transport isotope effects in the plasma edge and shear layer resulting from differences in impurity content, electron non-adiabaticity, and main ion mass dependent E × B shear stabilization. Turbulence prediction comparisons from flux-matched CGYRO simulations to experimental measurements including electron temperature, density and velocity fluctuations are found to be in good agreement with available data. A dedicated DIII-D experiment in hydrogen was performed to seed more carbon than naturally occurring, to match deuterium experiments, and possibly reduce the L-H power threshold based on gyro-kinetic predictions. To our surprise, while ion temperature gradient (ITG) turbulence was stabilized, nodiscernible change in L-H power threshold were observed in these special hydrogen experiments. In particular, it is noticed that the edge radial electric field and Reynolds stress were observed as nearly unchanging in the presence of ITG stabilization. These experimental data have enabled a more comprehensive picture of the multitude of isotope effects at play in fusion experiments, and the important potential connection between the confined and unconfined plasma regions in regulating L-H transition dynamics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Development of Integrated Education, Training and Research Program with Interdisciplinary Applications

Plasma models have been formulated including realistic spatial profiles of both flow and radio frequency induced ponderomotive force. With these inclusions the picture of stability of various plasma and fluid instabilities, as expected, changed drastically with ground-breaking consequences. The inhomogeneous parallel flow and the radio frequency waves can actually shown to stabilize turbulence. This is different from the prevalent notion that both parallel flow shear and radio frequency waves are responsible for the excitation (destabilization) of plasma turbulence. This has several ground-breaking consequences:- (1) the stabilization by parallel flow clearly goes against the conventional notion of the origin of ionospheric oscillation which invokes parallel flow destabilization as the origin, (2) the stabilization by parallel flow opens us a new avenue for improved mode formation in fusion devices - which mostly rely on the perpendicular flow shear stabilization for improved mode formation but the perpendicular flow is damped in a tokamak - so the improved mode formed by the parallel flow can sustain longer and has more prospect for ignition, (3) the complete stabilization of the ITG mode (and consequent suppression of transport) not only explain many unknown phenomena in the space physics but it also raises a prospect for transport barrier formation by the RF waves but not by the RF induced flow (as most works suggest) which is never observed in a tokamak of that magnitude to create a barrier. These are indeed ground-breaking consequences.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Development of Integrated Education, Training and Research Program with Interdisciplinary Applications II

Plasma models have been formulated including realistic spatial profiles of both flow and radio frequency induced ponderomotive force. With these inclusions the picture of stability of various plasma and fluid instabilities, as expected, changed drastically with ground-breaking consequences. The inhomogeneous parallel flow and the radio frequency waves can actually shown to stabilize turbulence. This is different from the prevalent notion that both parallel flow shear and radio frequency waves are responsible for the excitation (destabilization) of plasma turbulence. This has several ground-breaking consequences:- (1) the stabilization by parallel flow clearly goes against the conventional notion of the origin of ionospheric oscillation which invokes parallel flow destabilization as the origin, (2) the stabilization by parallel flow opens us a new avenue for improved mode formation in fusion devices - which mostly rely on the perpendicular flow shear stabilization for improved mode formation but the perpendicular flow is damped in a tokamak - so the improved mode formed by the parallel flow can sustain longer and has more prospect for ignition, (3) the complete stabilization of the ITG mode (and consequent suppression of transport) not only explain many unknown phenomena in the space physics but it also raises a prospect for transport barrier formation by the RF waves but not by the RF induced flow (as most works suggest) which is never observed in a tokamak of that magnitude to create a barrier. These are indeed ground-breaking consequences.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

HIGH-FIDELITY SIMULATION OF SOOT FORMATION AND THERMAL RADIATION IN A LABORATORY-SCALE RICH-QUENCH-LEAN BURNER

High-fidelity simulations of a swirl-stabilized turbulent spray flame in a laboratory-scale aero-combustor have been performed to evaluate the predictability of state-of-the-art models in capturing soot formation. The simulations employ a complex chemical mechanism developed for Jet-A with PAH chemistry, coupled with the Hybrid Method of Moments (HMOM) soot model, and a Lagrangian dilute spray model for the fuel injection. Two simulations are performed to compare the results when thermal radiation is neglected or included in the solution with a mean spectral model. Modeling closures for the soot differential diffusion effects in mixture fraction space, as well as turbulence-radiation interaction are also evaluated using the data generated by the simulations. Given the degree of complexity of the simulation, the results showed good agreement with experimental measurements of the spatial distribution of the soot volume fraction ensemble average. A closer agreement with the experiment is observed when thermal radiation is included in the solution. Thermal radiation is observed to reduce the flame temperature and increase the flame intermittency, denoted by the increase in the temperature standard deviation in mixture fraction space. The reduction in temperature also leads to a reduction in PAH production and soot volume fraction. Turbulence is observed to have different effects on radiative emission depending on the mixture fraction. Turbulent scalar fluctuations significantly enhance radiative emission in fuel lean mixtures and can also play a role for fuel rich conditions. The statistical description of the turbulence-radiation interaction, previously proposed in the literature, was observed to correctly reproduce the high-fidelity results. Model coefficients were provided for swirl-stabilized flames. The soot differential diffusion model, previously proposed in the literature, based on the residual between the exact term and its model approximation, was also evaluated. The residual correction term further improved the agreement with exact differential diffusion term evaluated with the high-fidelity simulation data in mixture fraction space. The results suggest that the effective turbulent Lewis number can be equal to unity in simulations of turbulent non-premixed recirculating flames.

Soriano, Bruno [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL)↗

Explaining the lack of power degradation of energy confinement in wide pedestal quiescent H-modes via transport modeling

Wide pedestal quiescent H (WPQH)-mode is an attractive scenario for future burning plasmas as they operate without ELMs. WPQH is characterized by formation of a wider and higher pedestal (than quiescent H-mode), and broadband fluctuations in the pedestal. Unlike conventional H-modes, where the energy confinement time reduces with increasing heating power, the WPQH plasmas reported in this paper do not show power degradation of the energy confinement. As the injected neutral beam power was increased, reduced core (ρ ≤ 0.45) transport calculated by transp, as well as increased core temperatures, pressure gradient and diamagnetic E × B shear rate were observed. The reduction in the heat transport and rapid decrease in the ion temperature gradient scale length suggest the formation of an ion internal transport barrier (ITB) that was accompanied by increased stored energy in the core. Quasilinear turbulent transport modeling using the trapped gyro Landau fluid (tglf) code was used to predict the ITB and its turbulence stability properties. By using profiles and equilibria produced by matching the transp transport fluxes with the tglf transport model within the tgyro transport solver, the energy confinement time captures the experimentally observed insensitivity to the increased PNBI. Linear stability analysis reveals that drift-wave instabilities in the core are stabilized by E × B shear, T i /T e ratio and Shafranov shift; the latter was found to have the strongest effect on the turbulence suppression at the highest heating level.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Numerical modeling of pedestal stability and broadband turbulence of wide-pedestal QH-mode plasmas on DIII-D

The wide-pedestal quiescent high confinement mode discovered on DIII-D in recent years is a stationary and quiescent H-mode (QH-mode) with the pedestal width exceeding EPED prediction by at least 25%. Its characteristics, such as low rotation, high energy confinement and edge localized mode-free operation, make it an attractive operation mode for future reactors. Linear and nonlinear simulations using BOUT++ reduced two fluid MHD models and awere carried out to investigate the bursty broadband turbulence often observed in the edge of wide-pedestal QH-mode plasmas. Two kinds of MHD-scale instabilities in different spatial locations within the pedestal were found in the simulations: one mild peeling–ballooning (PB) mode γ PB < 0.04ω A ) located near the minimum in E r</:sub> well propagating in ion diamagnetic drift direction; and one drift-Alfvén wave locates at smaller radius compared to E r</:sub> well propagating in the electron diamagnetic drift direction and unstable only when the parallel electron dynamics is included in the simulation. The coupling between drift wave and shear Alfvén wave provides a possible cause of the experimentally observed local profile flattening in the upper-pedestal. The rotation direction, mode location, as well as the wavenumber of these two modes from BOUT++ simulations agree reasonably well with the experimental measurements, while the lack of quantitative agreement is likely due to the lack of trapped electron physics in current fluid model. This work presents improved physics understanding of the pedestal stability and turbulence dynamics for wide-pedestal QH-mode.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Investigation of Wind Plant Wake Effects at the AWAKEN Field Campaign

Wind plant wakes characterized by lower momentum flow with increased turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) have been shown to propagate for several kilometers and interact with neighboring plants. To better understand these interactions, an Oklahoma site hosting five wind plants is heavily instrumented as part of the American Wake Experiment (AWAKEN) field campaign. Upstream, interior-plant, and downstream flows are probed using a suite of remote sensing instruments to quantify wake properties such as the magnitude and extent of momentum deficit and TKE increase. The effects of atmospheric inflow (wind speed, turbulence, stability, etc.) are investigated. Under certain conditions, the impact of an upstream plant on its downstream neighbor can be observed using the performance data recorded by the downstream plant. In addition to providing insight into plant wake behavior, the results of this study will be used as a benchmark case for wind plant simulations.

AWAKEN↗

Deconvolving the roles of E × B shear and pedestal structure in the energy confinement quality of super H-mode experiements

Analysis of “super H-mode” experiments on DIII-D has put forward that high plasma toroidal rotation, not high pedestal, plays the essential role in achieving energy confinement quality H 98y2 >>1. Recently, super H-mode experiments with variable input torque have confirmed that high rotation shear discharges have very high levels of H 98y2 (>1.5), independent of the pedestal height, and that high pedestal discharges with low rotation shear have levels of H 98y2 only slightly above 1 (≤1.2). Although some increase in stored energy with higher pedestal occurs, the energy confinement quality mainly depends on the toroidal rotation shear, which varies according to different levels of injected neutral beam torque per particle. Here, quasi-linear gyrofluid modeling achieves a good match of the experiment when including the E×B shear; without including plasma rotation, the modeling predicts a confinement quality consistent with the empirical observation of H 98y2 ~1.2 at low rotation. Nonlinear gyrokinetic transport modeling shows that the effect of E×B turbulence stabilization is far larger than other mechanisms, such as the so-called hot-ion stabilization (T i /T e ) effect. Consistent with these experimental and modeling results are previous simulations of the ITER Baseline Scenario using a super H-mode pedestal solution, which showed the potential to exceed the Q=10 target if the pedestal density could be increased above the Greenwald limit. A close look at these simulations reveals that the predicted energy confinement quality is below 1 even at the highest pedestal pressure. The improvement in Q at higher pedestal density is due to the improved fusion power generation at the higher core density associated with higher pedestal density, not to an improved energy confinement quality.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Achievement of a high-density, high-confinement, and high-beta tokamak plasma regime in DIII-D, and implications for a lower-current path for ITER and FPP

Experiments on DIII-D have demonstrated a density-confinement synergy that enables sustainment of high performance in a previously unattained parameter regime of simultaneous very high energy confinement quality (H 98y2 ≥ 1.5), very high line-average density Greenwald fraction (ƒ Gr = πa 2 < n >/I P ≥ 1.4), and high toroidal beta (β T ≥ 3%). Tokamak operation in this regime is essential for a compact steady-state FPP, as well as for Q=10 with 500 MW of fusion power in ITER at I P << 15 MA. These experiments leveraged the knowledge that, in the high-poloidal-beta (β P ) regime, impurity and density gradients can enhance turbulence stabilization caused by high α MHD (α MHD ~(dβ P )⁄dr). This was described by theoretical predictions and gyrokinetic transport simulations [M.T. Kotschenreuther et al, 2024 Nucl. Fusion, 64 076033], and later confirmed by experiments on DIII-D [S. Ding et al, 2024 Nature 629 555]. To increase both β P and β T , the new experiments increased the ideal-wall stability β N -limit by using a smaller plasma-outer wall distance and higher triangularity in the plasma cross section (top/bottom average δ~0.9), enabled by the recent “shape & volume rise” (SVR) modification to the DIII-D divertor. The higher triangularity also contributed to achieving higher ƒ Gr by enabling higher pedestal density. At high density, the pedestal is ballooning limited and exhibits small and frequent ELMs, while the divertor is near detachment even without any impurity seeding. High plasma performance was attained and sustained reproducibly, with the eventual terminations brought about by an MHD mode destabilized as the current profile slowly continued to evolve. A path to stationary fully noninductive operation might include ECH injection to reduce both core impurity accumulation and the electron collisionality, thus increasing the bootstrap current. These experiments provide the first experimental demonstration of the ƒ Gr , H 98y2 , and β T values required simultaneously for ITER Q = 10 at I P < 10 MA, pointing to practical ways to improve the energy confinement in a fusion reactor.

Garofalo, Andrea M. [General Atomics, San Diego, C↗

Free-Space Optical Channel Turbulence Prediction: A Machine Learning Approach

Channel turbulence is a formidable obstacle for freespace optical (FSO) communication. Anticipation of turbulence levels is highly important for mitigating disruptions but has not been demonstrated without dedicated, auxiliary hardware. We show that machine learning (ML) can be applied to raw FSO data streams to rapidly predict channel turbulence levels with no additional sensing hardware. FSO was conducted through a controlled channel in the lab under six distinct turbulence levels, and the efficacy of using ML to classify turbulence levels was examined. ML-based turbulence level classification was found to be > 98% accurate with multiple ML training parameters. Classification effectiveness was found to depend on the timescale of changes between turbulence levels but converges when turbulence stabilizes over about a one minute timescale.

Zobaer Islam, Md [School of Electrical and Compute↗

Ion-temperature- and density-gradient-driven instabilities and turbulence in Wendelstein 7-X close to the stability threshold

Electrostatic gyrokinetic instabilities and turbulence in the Wendelstein 7-X stellarator are studied. Particular attention is paid to the ion-temperature-gradient (ITG) instability and its character close to marginal stability [Floquet-type turbulence (Zocco et al., Phys. Rev. E, vol. 106, 2022, p. L013202) with no electron temperature gradient]. The flux tube version of the δƒ code stella (Barnes et al., J. Comput. Phys., vol. 391, 2019, pp. 365–380) is used to run linear and nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations with kinetic electrons. The nature of the dominant instability depends on the wavelength perpendicular to the magnetic field, and the results are conveniently displayed in stability diagrams that take this dependence into account. This approach highlights the presence of universal instabilities, which are less unstable but have longer wavelengths than other modes. A quasi-linear estimate of the heat flux suggests they are relevant for transport. Close to the stability threshold, the linear eigenmodes and turbulence form highly extended structures along the computational domain if the magnetic shear is small. Numerical experiments and diagnostics are undertaken to assess the resulting radial localisation of the turbulence, which affects the interaction of the latter with zonal flows. Increasing the amplitude of the magnetic shear (e.g.through current drive) has a stabilising effect on the turbulence and, thus, reduces the nonlinear energy transport.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

On FIRE mode in KSTAR

We report on the status of Fast Ion Regulated Enhancement (FIRE) mode experiments in the Korea Superconducting Tokamak Advanced Research. This regime is being developed for high-performance, steady-state operation which features a stationary ion internal transport barrier, enabling a central ion temperature approaching 10 keV to be sustained for up to 50 s, without the need for delicate profile control and with no significant impurity accumulation. As its key novelty lies in the significant contribution of fast ions that stabilize core turbulence, the regime has been named FIRE mode. To achieve this regime, neutral beam injection is applied at moderate power levels near the L–H power threshold, while maintaining low plasma density to avoid the L–H transition. The scenario is typically established in diverted magnetic configurations. The core features of FIRE mode were investigated through power balance analysis and fluctuation measurements, revealing a clear transport bifurcation in the ion channel. At the plasma edge, FIRE mode occasionally exhibits I-mode characteristics, particularly in unfavorable magnetic null configurations with q 95 ∼ 4, including the presence of weakly coherent modes. In terms of MHD activity, sawtooth oscillations are observed but appear to be stabilized during the high-performance phase. Fast ion-driven Alfvénic eigenmodes (AEs), indicated by strong frequency chirping near 200 kHz, are also observed. Additionally, lower-frequency MHD activities, distinct from the fast ion-driven AEs, are present and have some influence on plasma performance. The enhancement of core confinement is primarily attributed to fast ion effects, which were evaluated with respect to dilution, alpha stabilization, and resonant interactions with turbulence using gyrokinetic analyses. Among these, the dilution effect was found to be the most dominant. The characteristics of FIRE mode were compared with those of other hot ion plasma scenarios, such as supershot and hot ion mode. While they share many similarities, FIRE mode is distinguished by the accessibility to conditions with T i ≈ T e , presence of I-mode edge features, and its long-duration sustainment. Predictive simulations of FIRE mode were performed using integrated transport modeling with TRIASSIC, employing the TGLF anomalous transport model. These simulations confirmed the critical role of fast ions in achieving this regime. The future prospect of FIRE mode for application in fusion reactors is discussed, with an emphasis on possibly extending the regime to higher density operation.

FIRE mode↗

The winter central Arctic surface energy budget: A model evaluation using observations from the MOSAiC campaign

This study evaluates the simulation of wintertime (15 October, 2019, to 15 March, 2020) statistics of the central Arctic near-surface atmosphere and surface energy budget observed during the MOSAiC campaign with short-term forecasts from 7 state-of-the-art operational and experimental forecast systems. Five of these systems are fully coupled ocean-sea ice-atmosphere models. Forecast systems need to simultaneously simulate the impact of radiative effects, turbulence, and precipitation processes on the surface energy budget and near-surface atmospheric conditions in order to produce useful forecasts of the Arctic system. This study focuses on processes unique to the Arctic, such as, the representation of liquid-bearing clouds at cold temperatures and the representation of a persistent stable boundary layer. It is found that contemporary models still struggle to maintain liquid water in clouds at cold temperatures. Given the simple balance between net longwave radiation, sensible heat flux, and conductive ground flux in the wintertime Arctic surface energy balance, a bias in one of these components manifests as a compensating bias in other terms. This study highlights the different manifestations of model bias and the potential implications on other terms. Three general types of challenges are found within the models evaluated: representing the radiative impact of clouds, representing the interaction of atmospheric heat fluxes with sub-surface fluxes (i.e., snow and ice properties), and representing the relationship between stability and turbulent heat fluxes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗