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Uncertainty quantification for competing failure mechanisms in unidirectionally reinforced carbon–carbon composites

Microstructure-informed finite element models play a key role in the carbon–carbon composite design process. Variability in manufacturing process parameters and experimental limitations introduce model parameter uncertainty. This study quantifies the effect of model parameter uncertainty on transverse tensile fracture behavior and proposes a methodology to predict the failure mode based on competing microscale damage mechanisms. Finite element simulations incorporate fiber–matrix interface debonding with cohesive zones and matrix damage with a smeared crack band approach in a unidirectional carbon–carbon composite. Results from a variance-based global sensitivity analysis identifies interfacial and matrix damage parameters as the primary source of variability in fracture behavior. Sobol’ indices indicate that matrix and cohesive zone strengths contribute 94% of the variance in the effective ultimate stress. A local analysis elucidates the relationship between these constituent strength parameters and failure mode by estimating the probability of cohesive, matrix, and mixed-mode dominated failure. Based on the results for 4000 simulations, 93% exhibit mixed-mode or interfacial dominated failure, which underscores the crucial role of fiber–matrix interface debonding in the transverse tensile failure of carbon–carbon composites. These uncertainty quantification results facilitate more efficient model calibration and provide a framework for microstructure-informed failure predictions in the face of manufacturing-induced uncertainty.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Influences of Introduced Yttrium Oxide Particles on Superalloy 718

Additive manufacturing has proven useful for introducing oxide particles into superalloys, to provide oxide dispersion strengthening (ODS) at high temperatures. This study screened how such an approach can influence microstructure and failure modes for superalloy 718. The objective of this study was to compare tensile and creep failure modes for additively manufactured superalloy 718 having introduced oxide particles. Fine yttrium-oxide (yttria) particles were introduced into 718 powder using two different powder mixing methods. Additive manufacturing by laser powder bed fusion was then used to prepare specimen blanks for each case, oriented parallel and transverse to the building direction. These were subsequently given consistent stress relief, hot isostatic pressurization, and final heat treatments, then subjected to tensile and creep tests at varied temperatures. Additively manufactured 718 without ODS (“no-ODS”) had nearly equiaxed grains at 50 μm in width. Roll-mixed ODS material had a bimodal grain size distribution, with fine grains at 9 μm and coarse grains at 66 μm in average width. The fine grains were elongated about 5x in the building direction. Acoustic-mixed ODS materials had grains at 10 μm in width that were elongated about 10x in the build direction. Compared to no-ODS, roll-mixed and acoustic mixed ODS materials did not show improved tensile strengths at room temperature, 760 °C, and 1093 °C. The tensile failure strains parallel to the building direction of roll-mixed ODS material were lowest in these tests. Flattened clumps of yttria had formed transverse to the building direction in roll-mixed material, which were easily cracked. Creep rupture response at 760 °C in the building direction was highest for acoustic-mixed material test. Creep tests at 1093 °C showed varied results, with low rupture lives associated with enhanced cavitation at grain boundaries and surface oxidation. Transverse to the building direction, all three materials had low failure strains in tests at 760 °C. The elongated grain boundaries failed readily in all transverse specimens tested at 760 °C and 1093 °C.

oxide dispersion strengthening

Multiscale Modeling of Fracture Strength in Fibrous Thermal Protection System Materials

This work presents a multiscale modeling approach to predict the fracture strength of fibrous Thermal Protection System (TPS) materials. The model assumes that system failure is initiated at the joints between individual fibers. We investigated three distinct TPS compositions: amorphous silica, alumina and aluminosilicate fibers. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations were employed to determine the fracture strength values of these fiber joints for both material systems. These fracture strength values were then integrated into simulations of 3D randomly populated fiber structures, where tensile load transfer occurs through the fiber joints. These microscale properties are upscaled through a renormalization approach [1] to predict macroscale tensile strength of 3D random fiber networks, accounting for joint-dominated failure and effective load-bearing area. The study concludes by demonstrating the resulting strength variation as a function of material composition, fiber density, and morphology. We also show validation of results by comparing them against explicit fiber finite element (FE) modeling [2] where fiber joint fracture is represented by cohesive elements.

Jaehyun Cho

Nitrile/Buna N Material Failure Assessment for an O-Ring used on the Gaseous Hydrogen Flow Control Valve (FCV) of the Space Shuttle Main Engine

After the rollout of Space Shuttle Discovery in April 2005 in preparation for return-to-flight, there was a failure of the Orbiter (OV-103) helium signature leak test in the gaseous hydrogen (GH2) system. Leakage was attributed to the Flow Control Valve (FCV) in Main Engine 3. The FCV determined to be the source of the leak for OV-103 is designated as LV-58. The nitrile/Buna N rubber O-ring seal was removed from LV-58, and failure analysis indicated radial cracks providing leak paths in one quadrant. Cracks were eventually found in 6 of 9 FCV O-rings among the three Shuttle Orbiters, though none were as severe as those for LV-58, OV-103. Testing by EM10 at MSFC on all 9 FCV O- rings included: laser dimensional, Shore A hardness and properties from a dynamic mechanical analyzer (DMA) and an Instron tensile machine. The following test data was obtained on the cracked quadrant of the LV-58, OV-103 O-ring: (1) the estimated compression set was only 9.5%, compared to none for the rest of the O-ring; (2) Shore A hardness for the O.D. was higher by almost 4 durometer points than for the rest of the O-ring; and (3) DMA data showed that the storage/elastic modulus E was almost 25% lower than for the rest of the O-ring. Of the 8 FCV O-rings tested on an Instron, 4 yielded tensile strengths that were below the MIL spec requirement of 1350 psi-a likely influence of rubber cracking. Comparisons were made between values of modulus determined by DNA (elastic) and Instron (Young s). Each nitrile/Buna N O-ring used in the FCV conforms to the MIL-P-25732C specification. A number of such O-rings taken from shelf storage at MSFC and Kennedy Space Center (KSC) were used to generate a reference curve of DMA glass transition temperature (Tg) vs. shelf storage time ranging from 8 to 26 years. A similar reference curve of TGA onset temperature (of rubber weight loss) vs. shelf storage time was also generated. The DMA and TGA data for the used FCV O-rings were compared to the reference curves. Correlations were also made between the DMA modulus (at 22 C) and Shore A hardness for all 9 of the FCV O-rings used among the three Shuttle Orbiters. The radial cracking in the FCV O-rings was determined to be due to ozone attack, as nitrile/Buna N rubber is susceptible to such attack. Nitrile/Buna N material under MIL-P25732C should be used in a hydraulic fluid environment to help protect it from cracking. However, the FCV O-rings were used in an air only environment. The FCV design has as much as a 9-mil gap that allows the O.D. of the O-ring to be directly exposed to ozone, pressurized air and some elevated temperatures, accelerating the weathering process that leads to O-ring cracking. Space Shuttle flights will likely not continue past 2010. Therefore, Shuttle management decided to continue using the nitrile/Buna N material for the FCVs, but have each O-ring replaced after 3 years to minimize any chances for crack initiation.

Doug Wingard

Unveiling field-transverse spin anisotropy in the spin liquid candidate α-RuCl3 via spin Hall magnetoresistance

α-RuCl3 has emerged as a possible candidate for a quantum spin liquid (QSL) that promises exotic quasiparticles relevant for fault-tolerant quantum computation. Here, we report spin-sensitive transport measurements using a proximal spin Hall metal, platinum (Pt), to probe magnetic moments in the insulator α-RuCl3. We observe spin Hall magnetoresistance (SMR), where both the transverse and longitudinal resistivities exhibit angular oscillations between the in-plane magnetic field and the current, driven by the interplay between the spin Hall effect in Pt and local magnetic moments in α-RuCl3. These oscillations occur from 1.5 to 18 T, covering the zigzag antiferromagnetic, putative QSL, and supposedly partially field-polarized phases. The phase of the SMR oscillations suggests that the local moments, whether static or fluctuating, develop spin anisotropy with a quantization axis in-plane and largely transverse to the magnetic field across all fields from 1.5 to 18 T. Temperature dependence indicates that the spin anisotropy operates at an energy scale similar to that of the reported QSL signatures in α-RuCl3.

Idzuchi, Hiroshi [Tohoku University, Japan]

The effect of dogbone sample size in the tensile testing of TATB-based plastic‑bonded explosive materials

Mechanical properties are of interest for many plastic‑bonded explosive (PBX) materials with tensile properties being of particular interest. Direct tensile measurements using dogbone-shaped samples are considered the gold standard, but they are fairly large, making testing more costly and less desirable from a safety perspective. We investigated whether the measured tensile strength depends on the dogbone specimen size, which to our knowledge, has not been reported in the literature for PBX materials. Understanding this should inform the feasibility of employing smaller samples and how sample size should be considered when comparing PBX dogbone values in the literature. The TATB-based PBX dogbone sample size was varied by (a) scaling all dimensions proportionally and (b) varying only the length of the samples. It was observed that the measured tensile peak stress (strength) was a function of the sample size, and was more dependent on the diameter (cross-sectional area) than the length of the samples. Since peak stress is calculated as peak force normalized to the diameter of the sample, one might not expect an explicit diameter dependence for the peak stress. Therefore, these results suggest there may be an additional strengthening effect as the sample diameter is increased.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Mechanics of Preloaded Bolt Tensile Loading With Focus on Load Introduction Factor

The bolt tensile and joint separation loads are directly influenced by the locations at which the external loads enter the clamped members of a preloaded bolted joint (PBJ) and the associated load-paths through the joint. This physical load introduction mechanism affecting the bolt tensile loading is typically represented in the bolt tensile load equation, in part, by a load introduction factor (LIF), which was shown by H.M. Lee of Marshall Spaceflight Center to be a natural product of the bolt tensile load equation using a linear spring stiffness model. This LIF, being a function of load-path stiffness, has subsequently been denoted as the stiffness-based LIF (SBLIF), providing a framework to calculate the LIF using whatever load-path stiffness approximations are appropriate. Expanding upon the work of Lee, it is shown that the SBLIF and the joint stiffness factor are functions of the stiffnesses of the same load-paths and regions within a PBJ, and thus they should not be treated as independent variables. Mathematical expressions for the SBLIF are presented. Comparisons are shown between the analytically calculated SBLIF, the analytically calculated geometric LIF (GLIF), which is a simple clamped-member thickness ratio, the experimentally derived LIF, and the LIF determined by finite element analysis (FEA). Using experiment and FEA as a benchmark, the SBLIF, using traditional load-path stiffness approximations, enables a more accurate prediction of bolt tensile loading than the GLIF, although it can be unconservative near joint separation. The GLIF generally attributes more of the externally applied tensile load to the bolt than does the SBLIF, potentially resulting in heavier and/or more costly bolted joints. Mathematical relationships between the SBLIF and the GLIF are developed. Supplemental material is provided in the appendixes where the historical practice of using the joint compressive stiffness in place of the joint tensile stiffness is evaluated. The appendixes include step-by-step examples demonstrating the calculation of the SBLIF using traditional stiffness approximations and conclude with the development of the joint diagram in terms of the SBLIF, culminating into formulas for the key features of a joint diagram, which is useful for programming.

Load Path

Insights into elevated temperature tensile deformation mechanisms and kink banding in additively manufactured tungsten

Additive manufacturing (AM) potentially enables fabrication and repair of plasma facing components (PFCs) of tungsten. However, deformation mechanisms in AM-fabricated tungsten under service-relevant thermomechanical conditions remain unknown majorly due to challenges in achieving crack-free W. This study reveals the deformation mechanisms operative under tension at 800 °C and 1200 °C in the electron beam melting powder bed fusion (EBM-PBF) fabricated W. Textured columnar grains with mixed <001 >/<111 >|| build-direction were observed. Strong anisotropy in tensile properties persisted across test temperatures, and all specimens exhibited extensive deformation-induced banding phenomena. Grain boundary character analysis of the deformed specimens indicated that these deformation bands were kink bands with tilt grain boundaries prominently present at the band-matrix interface. Interestingly, the material within the kink bands rotated toward higher resolved shear stress, providing insights into the origins of kink band formation in body-centered cubic refractory metals. Intragranular misorientation axis analysis revealed that plasticity was dominated by {110} <111 > slip at 800 °C, whereas additional (213)[11⁢̄1] and (112)[11⁢̄1] slip systems activated at 1200 °C. A dense low-angle boundary networks observed near fractured surface indicated the onset of dynamic recrystallization. Results reveal plasticity governing mechanisms in AM-fabricated W under power plant-relevant conditions, and provide insights into kink band attributes in refractory metals.

Mayes, Riley [ORNL] (ORCID:000900089307010X)

Observational Requirements for the Regional Scale

Observational requirements are provided for the 'regional scale' (10 2 to 10 3 km space scale; 3 to 24 h time scale). Given this range, the regional scale represents a spatial and temporal domain in which important scale-interactive processes occur that act to concentrate large vertical wind shears, significant horizontal thermal gradients, and vertical motion patterns into narrow regions. A short review of the mass and momentum adjustments associated with jet streak-induced circulations is discussed. Evidence for the need to specify the wind field in the upper troposphere to accurately simulate forcing for the transverse circulations is also presented. The importance of specifying temperature tendency to resolve the lower tropospheric portion of the transverse circulations is highlighted. The observational requirements are then discussed, along with possible approaches for meeting the requirements on the regional scale.

Louis W Uccellini

Effect of Thermomechanical Processing on the Microstructure, Properties, and Work Behavior of a Ti50.5 Ni29.5 Pt20 High-Temperature Shape Memory Alloy

TiNiPt shape memory alloys are particularly promising for use as solid state actuators in environments up to 300 °C, due to a reasonable balance of proper ties, including acceptable work output. However, one of the challenges to commercializing a viable high-temperature shape memory alloy (HTSMA) is to establish the appropriate primary and secondary processing techniques for fabrication of the material in a required product form such as rod and wire. Consequently, a Ti 50.5 Ni 29.5 Pt 20 alloy was processed using several techniques including single- pass high-temperature extrusion, multiple-pass high-temperature extrusion, and cold drawing to produce bar stock, thin rod, and fine wire, respectively. The effects of heat treatment on the hardness, grain size, room temperature tensile properties, and transformation temperatures of hot- and cold-worked material were examined. Basic tensile properties as a function of temperature and the strain-temperature response of the alloy under constant load, for the determination of work output, were also investigated for various forms of the Ti 50.5 Ni 29.5 Pt 20 alloy, including fine wire.

Grain Size

Simulations of Yarn Micro-Mechanics of Woven Heat Shield Materials

Carbon and phenolic fibers are commonly used in ablative thermal protection materials, such as 3-dimensional Mid-Density Carbon Phenolic (3MDCP), a 3D-woven composite comprised of mixed-fiber yarn bundles. Predicting the micro-mechanical response and fracture of twisted yarns composed of brittle and ductile fibers requires a modeling approach that captures per-fiber yielding, fiber fracture, and inter-fiber friction and contact. This work presents an extended bonded particle model (BPM) for discrete element method (DEM) simulation of fiber and yarn mechanics, implemented in LAMMPS. The model builds on the incremental bond formulation of Guo et al. and introduces a piecewise elasto-plastic constitutive law for axial extension, enabling representation of fibers that yield before failure. 3MDCP yarns were constructed using measured fiber radius distributions and helical twist geometry. Tensile simulations of single-ply 3MDCP yarns show good agreement with vender stress–strain results. Fiber breakage models also show details on yarn breakage propagration, centered radially in the yarn. Yarn breakage of multi-ply 3MDCP also matched experimental observations in per-ply breakage; however, predicted yarn breakage strength were found higher than experimental observations.

Discrete Element Method

Simulations of Yarn Micro-Mechanics of Woven Heat Shield Materials (3MDCP)

Carbon and phenolic fibers are commonly used in ablative thermal protection materials, such as 3-dimensional Mid-Density Carbon Phenolic (3MDCP), a 3D-woven composite comprised of mixed-fiber yarn bundles. Predicting the micro-mechanical response and fracture of twisted yarns composed of brittle and ductile fibers requires a modeling approach that captures per-fiber yielding, fiber fracture, and inter-fiber friction and contact. This work presents an extended bonded particle model (BPM) for discrete element method (DEM) simulation of fiber and yarn mechanics, implemented in LAMMPS. The model builds on the incremental bond formulation of Guo et al. and introduces a piecewise elasto-plastic constitutive law for axial extension, enabling representation of fibers that yield before failure. 3MDCP yarns were constructed using measured fiber radius distributions and helical twist geometry. Tensile simulations of single-ply 3MDCP yarns show good agreement with vender stress–strain results. Fiber breakage models also show details on yarn breakage propagration, centered radially in the yarn. Yarn breakage of multi-ply 3MDCP also matched experimental observations in per-ply breakage; however, predicted yarn breakage strength were found higher than experimental observations.

Woven

Properties and Potential of Two (Ni,Pt)Ti Alloys for Use as High-Temperature Actuator Materials

The microstructure, transformation temperatures, basic tensile properties, shape memory behavior, and work output for two (Ni,Ti)Pt high-temperature shape memory alloys have been characterized. One was a Ni 30 Pt 20 Ti 50 alloy (referred to as 20Pt) with transformation temperatures above 230 °C and the other was a Ni 20 Pt 30 Ti 50 alloy (30Pt) with transformation temperatures above 530 °C. Both materials displayed shape memory behavior and were capable of 100% (no-load) strain recovery for strain levels up to their fracture limit (3-4%) when deformed at room temperature. For the 20Pt alloy, the tensile strength, modulus, and ductility dramatically increased when the material was tested just above the austenite finish (A f ) temperature. For the 30Pt alloy, a similar change in yield behavior at temperatures above the A f was not observed. In this case the strength of the austenite phase was at best comparable and generally much weaker than the martensite phase. A ductility minimum was also observed just below the A s temperature in this alloy. As a result of these differences in tensile behavior, the two alloys performed completely different when thermally cycled under constant load. The 20Pt alloy behaved similar to conventional binary NiTi alloys with work output due to the martensite-to-austenite transformation initially increasing with applied stress. The maximum work output measured in the 20Pt alloy was nearly 9 J/cm 3 and was limited by the tensile ductility of the material. In contrast, the martensite-to-austenite transformation in the 30Pt alloy was not capable of performing work against any bias load. The reason for this behavior was traced back to its basic mechanical properties, where the yield strength of the austenite phase was similar to or lower than that of the martensite phase, depending on temperature. Hence, the recovery or transformation strain for the 30Pt alloy under load was essentially zero, resulting in zero work output.

High-Temperature Shape Memory Alloy

Thermostructural Testing of PICA-D for NASA Planetary Science Missions

Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator–Domestic (PICA‑D) has been selected as the heatshield thermal protection system (TPS) material for two upcoming NASA planetary science missions: the Dragonfly mission to Titan and the Mars Sample Retrieval Lander (SRL). Early testing revealed differences between PICA‑D and heritage PICA, particularly in in‑plane (IP) tensile stiffness and thermal expansion. Thermostructural analyses using Finite Element Method (FEM) tools subsequently predicted the potential for IP compressive failure in the near‑surface layers of PICA‑D under both Dragonfly and SRL flight environments. Over the past three years, the Dragonfly and SRL teams have carried out an extensive thermostructural qualification campaign to address these concerns and validate PICA‑D for flight. This effort began with a comprehensive mechanical property characterization program at Kratos test laboratories, which significantly improved understanding of PICA‑D mechanical behavior and increased the fidelity of FEM predictions. The teams also conducted six large‑scale test entries at the National Solar Thermal Test Facility (NSTTF) solar tower, exposing PICA‑D articles—including gap fillers and representative design features or flaws—to combined thermal and mechanical loads. The talk will summarize key findings from these mechanical and thermostructural test campaigns and present the current status of PICA‑D qualification for NASA’s planetary science missions.

TPS

Modeling of a Four-Stage Linear Ionization Cooling Channel for a Muon Collider in G4Beamline

A previous study of an eight-stage rectilinear ionization cooling channel in the ICOOL software demonstrated a five-order-of-magnitude reduction in a muon beam’s 6D emittance. In this study, we look to compare the ways ICOOL and Muons, Inc.’s g4Beamline software model ionization cooling by comparing their modeling of the first four stages to this optimized cooling channel constructed in ICOOL. We begin by identifying the parameters used to construct the optimized ionization cooling channel in ICOOL. We then reconstruct this beam in g4Beamline with identical parameter specifications and simulate the cooling of an identical input beam. Finally, we compare the two simulations based on their beam transmission, longitudinal emittance, and transverse emittance along the channel length. Through this process, we demonstrate that G4Beamline accurately reproduces transverse cooling results but predicts systematically different longitudinal emittance evolution while maintaining similar overall cooling performance, reproducing a 97.9% reduction in 6D emittance over four stages.

Keeler, Dominic [Purdue U., West Lafayette] (ORCID