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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating the Lagrangian Evolution of Subtropical Low Clouds in GCMs Using Observations: Mean Evolution, Time Scales, and Responses to Predictors

In this work, a Lagrangian framework is developed to show the daily-scale time evolution of low clouds over the eastern subtropical oceans. An identical framework is applied to two general circulation models (GCMs): the CAM5 and UKMET and a set of satellite observations. This approach follows thousands of parcels as they advect downwind in the subtropical trade winds, comparing cloud evolution in time and space. This study tracks cloud cover, in-cloud liquid water path (CLWP), droplet concentration $N_d$, planetary boundary layer (PBL) depth, and rain rate as clouds transition from regions with predominately stratiform clouds to regions containing mostly trade cumulus. The two models generate fewer clouds with greater $N_d$ relative to observations. Models show stronger Lagrangian cloud cover decline and greater PBL deepening when compared with observations. In comparing frequency distributions of cloud variables over time, it is seen that models generate increasing frequencies of nearly clear conditions at the expense of overcast conditions, whereas observations show transitions from overcast to cloud amounts between 50% and 90%. Lagrangian decorrelation time scales ($\mathcal{e}$-folding time $\tau$) of cloud cover and CLWP are between 11 and 19 h for models and observations, although they are a bit shorter for models. A Lagrangian framework applied here resolves and compares the time evolution of cloud systems as they adjust to environmental perturbations in models and observations. Increasing subsidence in the overlying troposphere leads to declining cloud cover, CLWP, PBL depth, and rain rates in models and observations. Modeled cloud responses to other meteorological variables are less consistent with observations, suggesting a need for continuing mechanical improvements in GCMs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Coherent motions and time scales that control heat and mass transfer at wind-swept water surfaces

Forecast of the heat and chemical budgets of lakes, rivers, and oceans requires improved predictive understanding of air-water interfacial transfer coefficients. Here in this paper we present laboratory observations of the coherent motions that occupy the air-water interface at wind speeds (U 10 ) 1.1–8.9 m/s. Spatiotemporal near-surface velocity data and interfacial renewal data are made available by a novel flow tracer method. The relative activity, velocity scales, and time scales of the various coherent interfacial motions are measured, namely for Langmuir circulations, streamwise streaks, nonbreaking wind waves, parasitic capillary waves, nonturbulent breaking wind waves, and turbulence-generating breaking wind waves. Breaking waves exhibit a sudden jump in streamwise interfacial velocity wherein the velocity jumps up to exceed the wave celerity and destroys nearby parasitic capillary waves. Four distinct hydrodynamic regimes are found to exist between U 10 =0 and 8.9 m/s, each with a unique population balance of the various coherent motions. The velocity scales, time scales, and population balance of the different coherent motions are input to a first-principles gas transfer model to explain the waterside transfer coefficient (k w ) as well as experimental patterns of temperature and gas concentration. The model mixes concepts from surface renewal and divergence theories and requires surface divergence strength (β), the Lagrangian residence time inside the upwelling zone (t Lu ), and the total lifetime of new interface before it is downwelled (t LT ). The model’s output agrees with time-averaged measurements k w , patterns of temperature in infrared photographs, and spatial patterns of gas concentration and k w from direct numerical simulations. Finally, several nondimensional parameters, e.g. βt Lu and τ s t LT where ss is the interfacial shear rate, determine the effectiveness of a particular type of coherent motion for affecting k w .

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2017

In Vivo Protein Dynamics on the Nanometer Length Scale and Nanosecond Time Scale

Selectively labeled GroEL protein was produced in living deuterated bacterial cells to enhance its neutron scattering signal above that of the intracellular milieu. Quasi-elastic neutron scattering shows that the in-cell diffusion coefficient of GroEL was (4.7 ± 0.3) × 10 –12 m 2 /s, a factor of 4 slower than its diffusion coefficient in buffer solution. Furthermore, for internal protein dynamics we see a relaxation time of (65 ± 6) ps, a factor of 2 slower compared to the protein in solution. Comparison to the literature suggests that the effective diffusivity of proteins depends on the length and time scale being probed. Retardation of in-cell diffusion compared to the buffer becomes more significant with the increasing probe length scale, suggesting that intracellular diffusion of biomolecules is nonuniform over the cellular volume. This approach outlined here enables investigation of protein dynamics within living cells to open up new lines of research using “in-cell neutron scattering” to study the dynamics of complex biomolecular systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2016

Variations of characteristic time scales in rotating stratified turbulence using a large parametric numerical study

In this work, we study rotating stratified turbulence (RST) making use of numerical data stemming from a large parametric study varying the Reynolds, Froude and Rossby numbers, Re, Fr and Ro in a broad range of values. The computations are performed using periodic boundary conditions on grids of 10243 points, with no modeling of the small scales, no forcing and with large-scale random initial conditions for the velocity field only, and there are altogether 65 runs analyzed in this paper. The buoyancy Reynolds number defined as R B = ReFr 2 varies from negligible values to ≈ 105, approaching atmospheric or oceanic regimes. This preliminary analysis deals with the variation of characteristic time scales of RST with dimensionless parameters, focusing on the role played by the partition of energy between the kinetic and potential modes, as a key ingredient for modeling the dynamics of such flows. We find that neither rotation nor the ratio of the Brunt-Väisälä frequency to the inertial frequency seem to play a major role in the absence of forcing in the global dynamics of the small-scale kinetic and potential modes. Specifically, in these computations, mostly in regimes of wave turbulence, characteristic times based on the ratio of energy to dissipation of the velocity and temperature fluctuations, T V and T P , vary substantially with parameters. Their ratio γ=T V /T P follows roughly a bell-shaped curve in terms of Richardson number Ri. It reaches a plateau --on which time scales become comparable, γ≈0.6 -- when the turbulence has significantly strengthened, leading to numerous destabilization events together with a tendency towards an isotropization of the flow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2018

Prognostic Power of Extreme Rainfall Scaling Formulas Across Space and Time Scales

Some studies documenting changes in extreme precipitation use scaling formulas to approximate the large percentiles of the rainfall distribution from average dynamical and thermodynamical variables, called predictors. Here we instead assess the performance of these formulas as approximations to the rain rates in individual events. We evaluate the accuracies of the scaling relationships as functions of spatial and temporal scales by analyzing tropical rainfall in a superparameterized model. Relationships using full vertical profiles of the predictors are more accurate than those using their values at specific vertical levels because they better characterize the specific dynamics of each event. Both types of scaling relationships perform well over a range of length scales from 200 to 2,000 km and time scales from an hour to a week, and their precision is higher in the case of simulations with superparameterization than with parameterized convection. Uncertainties emerging from the local use of the scaling relationships suggest that they may only characterize the intensification of individual extremes for a warming of 4–5 K or larger. Finally, we argue that these formulas can be used to reconstruct the tail of the rainfall distribution directly from its predictors without prior information on P. While scalings have been used as diagnostic equations conditioned on the occurrence of extreme rainfall, they are actually able to mimic the prognostic behavior of climate model parameterizations on a variety of scales when estimating the intensity, frequency, and spatial patterns of extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quenching time-scales in the IllustrisTNG simulation

ABSTRACT The time-scales for galaxy quenching offer clues to its underlying physical drivers. We investigate central galaxy quenching time-scales in the IllustrisTNG 100-1 simulation, their evolution over time, and the pre-quenching properties of galaxies that predict their quenching time-scales. Defining quenching duration τq as the time between crossing specific star formation rate (sSFR) thresholds, we find that ${\sim} 40{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ of galaxies quench rapidly with τq < 1 Gyr, but a substantial tail of galaxies can take up to 10 Gyr to quench. Furthermore, 29 per cent of galaxies that left the star-forming main sequence (SFMS) more than 2 Gyr ago never fully quench by z = 0. While the median τq is fairly constant with epoch, the rate of galaxies leaving the SFMS increases steadily over cosmic time, with the rate of slow quenchers being dominant around z ∼ 2–0.7. Compared to fast quenchers (τq < 1 Gyr), slow-quenching galaxies (τq > 1 Gyr) were more massive, had more massive black holes, had larger stellar radii, and accreted gas with higher specific angular momentum (AM) prior to quenching. These properties evolve little by z = 0, except for the accreting gas AM for fast quenchers, which reaches the same high AM as the gas in slow quenchers. By z = 0, slow quenchers also have residual star formation in extended gas rings. Using the expected relationship between stellar age gradient and τq for inside-out quenching we find agreement with Mapping Nearby Galaxies at Apache Point Observatory (MaNGA) integral field unit (IFU) observations. Our results suggest the accreting gas AM and potential well depth determine the quenching time-scale.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Exploring the parameter space of MagLIF implosions using similarity scaling. III. Rise-time scaling

Magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) is a z-pinch magneto-inertial-fusion concept studied at the Z Pulsed Power Facility of Sandia National Laboratories. Two important metrics characterizing current delivery to a z-pinch load are the peak current and the current-rise time, which is roughly the time interval to reach the peak current. It is known that, when driving a z-pinch load with a longer current-rise time, the performance of the z-pinch decreases. However, a theory to understand and quantify this effect is still lacking. Here, in this paper, we utilize a framework based on similarity scaling to analytically investigate the variations in the performance of MagLIF loads when varying the current-rise time, or equivalently, the implosion timescale. To maintain similarity between the implosions, we provide scaling prescriptions of experimental input parameters defining a MagLIF load and derive the expected scaling laws for stagnation conditions and for various performance metrics. We compare predictions of the theory to 2D numerical simulations using the radiation, magneto-hydrodynamic code hydra. For several metrics, we find acceptable agreement between the theory and simulations. Our results show that the voltage φload near the MagLIF load follows a weak scaling law φload ∝$t_{φ}^{-0.12}$ with respect to the characteristic timescale t φ of the voltage source, instead of the ideal φload ∝$t_{φ}^{-1}$ scaling. This occurs because the imploding height of the MagLIF load must increase to preserve end losses. As a consequence of the longer imploding liners, the required total laser preheat energy and delivered electric energy increase. Overall, this study helps understand the trade-offs of the MagLIF design space when considering future pulsed-power generators with shorter and longer current-rise times.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

On Which Microphysical Time Scales to Use in Studies of Entrainment-Mixing Mechanisms in Clouds

The commonly used time scales in entrainment-mixing studies are examined in this paper to seek the most appropriate one, based on aircraft observations of cumulus clouds from the RACORO campaign and numerical simulations with the Explicit Mixing Parcel Model. The time scales include: τ evap , the time for droplet complete evaporation; τ phase , the time for saturation ratio deficit (S) to reach 1/e of its initial value; τ satu , the time for S to reach -0.5%; τ react , the time for complete droplet evaporation or S to reach -0.5%. It is found that the proper time scale to use depends on the specific objectives of entrainment-mixing studies. First, if the focus is on the variations of liquid water content (LWC) and S, then τ react for saturation, τ satu and τ phase are almost equivalently appropriate, because they all represent the rate of dry air reaching saturation or of LWC decrease. Second, if one focuses on the variations of droplet size and number concentration, τ react for complete evaporation and τ evap are proper because they characterize how fast droplets evaporate and whether number concentration decreases. Moreover, τ react for complete evaporation and τ evap are always positively correlated with homogeneous mixing degree (ψ), thus the two time scales, especially τ evap , are recommended for developing parameterizations. However, ψ and the other time scales can be negatively, positively, or not correlated, depending on the dominant factors of the entrained air (i.e., relative humidity or aerosols). Third and finally, all time scales are proportional to each other under certain microphysical and thermodynamic conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Characterizing Performance of Freshwater Wetland Methane Models Across Time Scales at FLUXNET-CH 4 Sites Using Wavelet Analyses

Process-based land surface models are important tools for estimating global wetland methane (CH 4 ) emissions and projecting their behavior across space and time. So far there are no performance assessments of model responses to drivers at multiple time scales. In this study, we apply wavelet analysis to identify the dominant time scales contributing to model uncertainty in the frequency domain. We evaluate seven wetland models at 23 eddy covariance tower sites. Our study first characterizes site-level patterns of freshwater wetland CH 4 fluxes (FCH 4 ) at different time scales. A Monte Carlo approach was developed to incorporate flux observation error to avoid misidentification of the time scales that dominate model error. Our results suggest that (a) significant model-observation disagreements are mainly at multi-day time scales (<15 days); (b) most of the models can capture the CH 4 variability at monthly and seasonal time scales (>32 days) for the boreal and Arctic tundra wetland sites but have significant bias in variability at seasonal time scales for temperate and tropical/subtropical sites; (c) model errors exhibit increasing power spectrum as time scale increases, indicating that biases at time scales <5 days could contribute to persistent systematic biases on longer time scales; and (d) differences in error pattern are related to model structure (e.g., proxy of CH 4 production). Our evaluation suggests the need to accurately replicate FCH 4 variability, especially at short time scales, in future wetland CH 4 model developments.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation Variability Amplitude across Time Scales

Here, objective performance metrics that measure precipitation variability across time scales from subdaily to interannual are presented and applied to Historical simulations of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 and 6 (CMIP5 and CMIP6) models. Three satellite-based precipitation estimates (IMERG, TRMM, and CMORPH) are used as reference data. We apply two independent methods to estimate temporal variability of precipitation and compare the consistency in their results. The first method is derived from power spectra analysis of 3-hourly precipitation, measuring forced variability by solar insolation (diurnal and annual cycles) and internal variability at different time scales (subdaily, synoptic, subseasonal, seasonal, and interannual). The second method is based on time averaging and facilitates estimating the seasonality of subdaily variability. Supporting the robustness of our metric, we find a near equivalence between the results obtained from the two methods when examining simulated-to-observed ratios over large domains (global, tropics, extratropics, land, or ocean). Additionally, we demonstrate that our model evaluation is not very sensitive to the discrepancies between observations. Our results reveal that CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in general overestimate the forced variability while they underestimate the internal variability, especially in the tropical ocean and higher-frequency variability. The underestimation of subdaily variability is consistent across different seasons. The internal variability is overall improved in CMIP6, but remains underestimated, and there is little evidence of improvement in forced variability. Increased horizontal resolution results in some improvement of internal variability at subdaily and synoptic time scales, but not at longer time scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Dominant Time Scales of Potentially Predictable Precipitation Variations across the Continental United States

While low-frequency variations in precipitation amount, occurrence counts (hereafter “occurrence”), and intensity can take place on seasonal to multidecadal time scales, it is often unclear at which time scales these precipitation variations can be ascribed to potentially predictable, climate-induced changes versus simple, stochastic (i.e., random) precipitation event evolutions. This paper seeks to isolate the dominant time scales at which potentially predictable changes in observed precipitation characteristics occur over the continental United States and analyze sources of revealed potentially predictable precipitation variations for particular regions. The results highlight that at interannual time scales (here defined as those shorter than 7 years), the potential for predicting annual precipitation amounts tends to be higher than for annual event occurrence or intensity, with interannual potential predictability highest in both relatively dry and wet locations and lowest in transition regions. By contrast, at time scales greater than 7 years the potential for predicting annual event occurrence tends to be higher than amount or intensity, with >20-yr time scale potential predictability highest in relatively wet locations and lowest in relatively dry locations. To highlight the utility of this type of analysis, two robust signals are selected for further investigation, including 1) approximately 10-yr time scale variations in potentially predictable annual amounts over the northwestern United States and 2) 20–60-yr time scale variations in potentially predictable annual event occurrence over the southwestern United States. While mechanistic drivers for these observed variations are still being investigated, concurrent and precursor climate-state estimates in the atmosphere and ocean—principally over the Pacific sector—are provided, the monitoring of which may help realize the potential for predicting precipitation variations in these regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multi-Time Scale Coordinated Control and Scheduling of Inverter-Based TCLs With Variable Wind Generation

To address microgrid tie flow errors caused by wind generation variability, here we propose and develop a multi-time scale coordinated control and scheduling strategy for inverter-based thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs). First, in hour-time scale, inverter-based TCLs with adjusting temperature set-point are modeled as virtual generators to compensate tie flow deviations in the day-ahead plan. Next, in minute-time scale, virtual batteries representing operating behaviors of inverter-based TCLs with frequency control are scheduled determined by the control of virtual generators in hour-time scale. The virtual batteries are scheduled to smooth out tie flow errors corresponding to day-ahead plan and hour-time scale schedules. The multi-time scale control methods are coordinated to employ the response potential of inverter-based TCLs and response curve-based methods are proposed to control inverter-based TCLs considering the customer privacy. The multi-time scale stochastic schedules which are based on response curves of inverter-based TCLs are coordinated to accommodate wind generation variability. Simulation results demonstrate that the microgrid tie flow errors are effectively mitigated by the proposed multi-time scale coordinated control and scheduling of inverter-based TCLs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Time Scale Dependence of the Meridional Coherence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability is suggested to be incoherent between the subpolar and subtropical gyres in the Atlantic on interannual and even decadal time scales, questioning the representativeness of AMOC variability at a single latitude in modern observation and paleoreconstruction. Paleoreconstructions of the Florida Current transport suggest that Florida Current variability is associated with the AMOC on the millennial time scale, but the Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) mooring array suggests a weak correlation between the Florida Current and the AMOC. In this study, we investigate the meridional coherence of AMOC variability and the relationship between the Florida Current variability and the AMOC variability on different time scales in a transient 20,000-year simulation. We find that with the increase of time scales, the meridional coherence of the AMOC increases. On decadal and longer time scales, the coherent subtropical and subpolar AMOC is caused by the coherent buoyancy forcing in the subpolar gyre. Also, the Florida Current transport is highly correlated with AMOC variability on decadal and longer time scales, suggesting that observations of the Florida Current can be used to indicate AMOC variability on long time scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Storm and Annual Time Scale Hydrological Data for the Russian River Watershed 1996-2022

These files contains observed and simulated hydrological data (discharge, precipitation) that have been aggregated to the storm-event scale and to the annual time scale for the Russian River Watershed (RRW), California. Observed data are obtained from 12 different USGS hydrological stations located throughout the watershed, and discharge is simulated using the GR5H hourly hydrological model. Precipitation data are obtained from the NASA NLDAS NOAH Community Land Surface Model. All simulated and observed discharge are aggregated to the storm and annual time scales. We investigated changes in watershed hydrological conditions in the Russian River Watershed, a Mediterranean, drought prone, wildfire-adapted ecosystem, following eleven wildfires that occurred from 2017-2020. We ask two research questions: 1) How do interacting wildfire events, drought, and atmospheric rivers impact hydrological conditions of the watershed and in particular streamflow?, and 2) What percentage of new and/or cumulative wildfire disturbance is required to initiate hydrological change? We hypothesize that sub-watersheds of the RRW Mediterranean ecoregion have not burned beyond an intrinsic, and still unknown, threshold required to initiate change. Using a series of paired burned/unburned catchments nested within the larger watershed, we examined temporal and spatial patterns of pre-and-post wildfire water hydrology using a rainfall runoff hydrological model compared with data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗