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Secondary Crash Identification using Crowdsourced Waze User Reports

Secondary crashes are crashes that occur as a result of the nonrecurrent congestion originating from primary crashes, and always have a greater impact on safety and traffic than a single crash. A better understanding of secondary crashes would benefit traffic incident management, and this requires accurate identification of secondary crashes. This study explores using crowdsourced Waze user reports to identify secondary crashes. Here, a network-based clustering algorithm is proposed to extract the primary crash cluster, including all user reports originating from the primary crash, and any crash that occurred within the cluster would be a secondary crash. This method works as a filter to select accurate primary–secondary relationships, thus precisely identifying secondary crashes. A case study is performed with crashes occurring from June to December 2019 on a 30-mi stretch of I-40 in Knoxville, TN. A static threshold method (crash duration and 10 mi) was used to preselect the potential primary–secondary crash pairs, and 75 out of 708 crashes were identified as potential secondary crashes. Based on the preselected primary–secondary crash pairs, 17 secondary crashes were obtained with the proposed method and the results were compared with one of the commonly used methods, the speed contour plot method. Though the proposed method captured fewer secondary crashes, it did identify several secondary crashes that could not be observed with the speed contour plot method. The results showed the applicability of the method and the potential of crowdsourced Waze user reports in secondary crash identification.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Simulation of Li-pellet triggered ELMs in EAST with an impurity model implemented under BOUT++ framework

A simple impurity model has been developed under the BOUT++ framework to investigate the Li-pellet triggered edge localized mode (ELM) in EAST configuration. The present impurity model decouples the ion pressure enhancement effect (IPEE) (which affects radial E X B flow shear and gyro-viscosity of deuterium ions and is implicitly included in our previous work) to make the simulation of Li pellet injection more physically reasonable. In addition, the present impurity model also includes the impurity equilibrium effect (IEE) (which induces modifications on vorticity and gyro-viscosity). The simulation results show that without IPEE a turbulent ELM induced by Li pellet is triggered by multiple peeling-ballooning modes (PBMs) rather than by a single dominant mode, and the simultaneous growth of multiple modes is conducive to reducing the time for pedestal entering the energy loss state. When a turbulent ELM occurs, the nonlinearly dominant modes undergo a secondary fast growth during fast crash phase. The finding explains the secondary increase of D α emission observed in the DIII-D Li injection experiments. During the evolution of a turbulent ELM, the continuous pedestal collapse dominates the pedestal energy loss in turbulent transport phase; however, in saturation phase, the stabilizing effects on PBMs (n ≠ 0) by n = 0 mode and radial E X B flow shear within the steepest gradient region are more prominent. It is also found that with IEE and without IPEE, the size threshold of ELM triggering and the magnitude of ELM sizes both show a good agreement with EAST and DIII-D experimental observations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Investigating the relation between instantaneous driving decisions and safety critical events in naturalistic driving environment

The availability of large-scale naturalistic driving data provides enormous opportunities for studying relationships between instantaneous driving decisions prior to involvement in safety critical events (SCEs). This study investigates the role of driving instability prior to involvement in SCEs. While past research has studied crash types and their contributing factors, the role of pre-crash behavior in such events has not been explored as extensively. The research demonstrates how measures and analysis of driving volatility can be leading indicators of crashes and contribute to enhancing safety. Highly detailed microscopic data from naturalistic driving are used to provide the analytic framework to rigorously analyze the behavioral dimensions and driving instability that can lead to different types of SCEs such as roadway departures, rear end collisions, and sideswipes. Modeling results reveal a positive association between volatility and involvement in SCEs. Specifically, increases in both lateral and longitudinal volatilities represented by Bollinger bands and vehicular jerk lead to higher likelihoods of involvement in SCEs. Further, driver behavior related factors such as aggressive driving and lane changing also increases the likelihood of involvement in SCEs. Driver distraction, as represented by the duration of secondary tasks, also increases the risk of SCEs. Likewise, traffic flow parameters play a critical role in safety risk. The risk of involvement in SCEs decreases under free flow traffic conditions and increases under unstable traffic flow. Further, the model shows prediction accuracy of 88.1 % and 85.7 % for training and validation data. These results have implications for proactive safety and providing in-vehicle warnings and alerts to prevent the occurrence of such SCEs.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗