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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2026

Machine Learning for Mapping Multipactor Susceptibility in RF Systems: Capabilities and Generalization Constraints

Multipactor is a surface-driven electron avalanche phenomenon that degrades the performance and reliability of radio-frequency (RF) systems in particle accelerator and vacuum electronics applications. Multipactor behavior in a given device structure is conventionally assessed through susceptibility charts, which provide a parameter-space characterization of the instability. In this work, we assess the capabilities of machine-learning (ML) models to learn and predict such susceptibility charts and analyze the constraints governing their generalization across materials. Using a simulation-derived dataset spanning six distinct secondary-electron-yield material profiles in a canonical two-surface planar geometry, we train supervised regression models and artificial neural networks to predict the time-averaged electron growth rate, δavg, across the relevant parameter space. Model performance is evaluated using metrics that explicitly probe the structure of susceptibility charts, including Intersection over Union, Structural Similarity Index, and correlation analysis. Tree-based ensemble models outperform neural-network models in reconstructing susceptibility regions and in generalizing across material domains. Principal-component analysis reveals disjoint material feature distributions, indicating that the piecewise mode structure of multipactor susceptibility is difficult to represent with a single global model and that generalization is constrained by data coverage rather than by model complexity. An exhaustive reduced-coverage study further shows that sparse material-space coverage can yield mean performance in the same general range but producing large variability in the susceptibility-region overlap. These results clarify the capabilities of ML-based surrogate models for parameter-space characterization of multipactor discharge. They also provide guidance for their appropriate use in RF system design.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

High-Burnup LOCA Burst Susceptibility BISON Analysis in PWRs and BWRs

Accurately assessing high-burnup fuel behavior during loss-of-coolant accidents (LOCAs) is essential for understanding fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) risks across the US light-water reactor fleet. This work updates previous Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Program multiphysics LOCA analyses for a pressurized water reactor (PWR) and a boiling water reactor (BWR) by incorporating recent model and material property advancements in the BISON fuel performance code, including a high-burnup structure (HBS) model, revised cladding burst criteria, and updated thermal–mechanical correlations. This update was needed to support ongoing industry initiatives and upcoming regulatory changes. Full-core, rod-resolved operating histories generated using Virtual Environment for Reactor Analysis (VERA) and system-level LOCA conditions obtained from TRACE were applied to statistically representative rod samples in BISON to evaluate burst behavior and FFRD susceptibility. These calculations used two cladding burst correlations and three fuel pulverization models so that the predictions of these models could be compared. The updated PWR simulations show markedly improved numerical stability as the number of crashed simulations decreased by 95% compared to the previous study, and hence higher confidence in results. The updated PWR simulations predicted cladding bursts exclusively among once-burned, high-power rods, with two different cladding burst models identifying the same burst-susceptible population. Resulting FFRD susceptibility estimates are significantly reduced compared with earlier studies, driven by cooler predicted fuel and plenum temperatures, lower hoop strains, and reduced fission gas release in the updated models. In contrast, none of the BWR rods were predicted to burst under either burst criterion, reaffirming minimal BWR FFRD susceptibility even with updated HBS and material models. Comparisons between the PWR and BWR end-of-cycle predictions are made. Comparison with prior work highlights significant shifts in PWR fuel performance metrics and confirmation of earlier BWR conclusions. Overall, the updated results underscore the importance of having high-resolution detailed modeling capability and continuously integrating evolving material models and physics into high-resolution multiphysics simulations. The unified assessment presented here strengthens confidence in predicting high-burnup LOCA behavior by improving agreement between different cladding burst correlations. These results also provide an improved foundation for future BISON model development, FFRD susceptibility calculations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Flood Susceptibility Mapping Using Machine Learning and Geospatial-Sentinel-1 SAR Integration for Enhanced Early Warning Systems

This study presents a comprehensive framework for flood susceptibility mapping by integrating geospatial factors with both statistical and machine learning models. Thirteen Flood-related factors, including DEM, slope, TWI, NDVI, etc., are extracted as features of models, and historical flood data derived from Sentinel-1 SAR from 2018 to 2023 are used as the target variables of the models. These datasets are analyzed using a frequency-based statistical model and three machine learning models, including Random Forest, XGBoost, and CNN, to generate flood susceptibility maps. The performance of each model is evaluated through AUC; and SHAP scores are separately generated for Machine learning (ML) models to explain each feature contribution in the ML model. The generated susceptibility maps are validated by high-flood-risk locations monitored by flood sensors, BLE inundation models, and flood-prone areas suggested by the Local Community Task Force. The results indicate that the XGBoost model outperforms all other models, with an AUC of 0.92 and demonstrates the highest alignment with recommended high-flood-risk locations, while the frequency-based statistical model showed the weakest performance with an AUC of 0.65. SHAP value graphs highlight the elevation, slope, and TWI as the most influential features across all models. The susceptibility maps generated by the machine learning model show strong agreement with the BLE map and high-flood-risk areas identified by the local Community Task Force.

Google Engine↗

DOE OSTI2026

Machine Learning for Multipactor Susceptibility Prediction in Planar RF Gaps

Multipactor discharge is a nonlinear electron avalanche that limits the performance of high-power radio-frequency (RF) and vacuum electronic devices. Predicting multipactor susceptibility traditionally relies on Monte Carlo or particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations, which become computationally expensive for large parametric studies. In this work, we present a supervised machine-learning (ML) framework for prediction of multipactor susceptibility in a two-surface planar geometry. The models are trained using high-fidelity PIC simulation generated susceptibility data and learn the relationship between operational parameters, geometry, and material-dependent secondary electron emission properties. The proposed approach enables rapid reconstruction of susceptibility charts while preserving the physical structure of multipactor growth regions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Tre-DST: A Drug Susceptibility Test for Mycobacterium tuberculosis Using Solvatochromic Trehalose Probes

In 2024, an estimated 10 million people developed Tuberculosis (TB), nearly half a million of whom were infected with drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB). Early detection of infection and drug resistance enables rapid engagement in effective care. Bacterial culture and nucleic acid testing remain the primary diagnostic methods, with smear microscopy being phased out. However, these methods present significant limitations for diagnosing drug resistance, such as lengthy time-to-result for phenotypic tests, as well as the need for prior knowledge of resistance mutations and prohibitive cost for molecular tests. To address this, we developed a rapid phenotypic TB drug susceptibility test, termed Tre-DST, based on novel metabolically incorporated trehalose probes, which specifically detect live mycobacteria. We used the nonpathogenic Mycobacterium smegmatis and the virulence-attenuated Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) H37Ra or auxotrophic Mtb to demonstrate a strong correlation between cost-effective plate reader results and flow cytometry data, suggesting that the plate reader is a suitable fluorescence detector for Tre-DST. We determined that adding a 1-week incubation step allowed Mtb samples originally seeded at 10 4 CFU/mL to become detectable, over 2 weeks earlier than colony-forming unit analysis. We found that Tre-DST reports on drug susceptibility in a drug-agnostic manner, demonstrating loss of fluorescence with frontline TB drugs as well as the newer drug bedaquiline. Tre-DST distinguished RIF- and INH-resistant auxotrophs from susceptible controls and accurately reported the resistance activity. Ultimately, because Tre-DST is agnostic to mechanisms of drug resistance, this assay is likely compatible with all WHO-recommended and future DR-TB drugs as a diagnostic in reference laboratories.

diagnostics↗

DOE OSTI2026

YAP1 Dysfunction Promotes Molecular Properties Linked to Breast Cancer Susceptibility

YAP1 is a cotranscription factor that promotes malignant and stem cell properties in cancer. We previously found that YAP1 dysregulation is associated with aging in human mammary epithelia. With increased age, YAP1 expression changes in luminal epithelial cells, the prospective breast cancer cell of origin. Because age is a significant risk factor for breast cancer, we tested whether YAP1 dysregulation acted early in cancer progression by conferring cellular states associated with increased cancer susceptibility. In this study, we find that with increased age and genetic risk for developing cancer, human breast tissues showed significantly increased YAP1 expression, and cultured primary human mammary epithelial cells (HMEC) showed significantly increased expression of both YAP1 and its transcriptional targets. Increased YAP1 expression in cultured HMEC induced gene expression changes associated with increased cancer susceptibility, such as genes associated with stem cell states, increased telomerase activity, breast cancer progression, and increased age and genetic breast cancer risk. Furthermore, overexpression of YAP1 in post-stasis HMEC—finite lifespan cells that have bypassed a retinoblastoma-mediated senescence barrier—promoted properties related to increased growth potential. We found that YAP1 dysregulation in finite epithelial cells allows for access to gene programs and functions that are typically thought to be restricted to stem cells. We hypothesize that YAP1 acts early in breast cancer progression, long before the development of a tumor, to impose cancer-susceptible molecular states.

YAP1↗

DOE OSTI2025

Migrating Populus with climate change: Phenology, coppice management, cold spell susceptibility, leaf dynamics, and biomass production

Understanding the phenology and productivity of Populus species is crucial for effective management and conservation strategies amid climate change. We investigated leaf budbreak timing, susceptibility to cold damage, leaf dynamics, and biomass production of 168 Populus genotypes with diverse provenances in the southeastern United States. Our study revealed significant variation in budbreak timing across different taxa and years, with genotypes inheriting traits adapted to their parents’ local climates. Temperature emerged as a key factor triggering budbreak, while leaf development depended on other environmental cues such as photoperiod. Notably, budbreak occurred approximately 20 days earlier in 2023 compared to 2022 due to higher accumulated degree days (ADDs). Short-rotation-coppice (SRC) management delayed budbreak by five to ten days. Cold damage was significant in 2023, particularly for genotypes from northern provenances and those with P. maximowiczii parentage. Severe damage was also observed in eastern cottonwood ( Populus deltoides × Populus deltoides (D × D)) genotypes, despite most having southeastern US parentages. Leaf dynamics, including leaf duration and leaf area index (LAI), varied across taxa and sites, with earlier budbreak correlating with extended growing seasons and increased LAI. Biomass production was intricately linked to phenological events, with earlier budbreak leading to increased biomass production and greater susceptibility to cold damage. Our findings highlight the importance of genetics, environment, and coppicing management in understanding and managing Populus phenology and biomass production. These insights provide valuable guidance for developing effective breeding, conservation, and management strategies for Populus species in the context of climate change.

Accumulated degree days (ADDs)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Identifying microstructures susceptible to pulverization in commercially irradiated high burnup UO2 under LOCA conditions

High burnup fuel fragmentation (HBFF) has been a concern in the nuclear industry for many years. When UO2 reaches and exceeds pellet average burnups around 55 GWd/tU, microstructural changes in the fuel pellet begin to occur that render the pellet susceptible to fine fragmentation under loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) conditions. During a LOCA event, the cladding balloons and bursts, potentially releasing part of these fine fuel fragments into the reactor pressure vessel. This process is known as fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). Presently, the US nuclear industry is developing a safety basis for FFRD with the goal of increasing burnups and pressurized water reactor cycle lengths. Increased cycle lengths would push the burnup limits of the fuel rods past the known threshold for HBFF susceptibility. In this work, the microstructural impact on HBFF was investigated by comparing the microstructures of as-irradiated rod segments to their post-LOCA tested counterparts. This investigation found that varied operational histories result in different microstructural evolutions across the pellet radius, which impacts the fragmentation behavior and radial location of the fragmentation. It is noted that regions with a high bubble density and a high density of grain boundaries fragment under LOCA-relevant conditions. In addition to the fragmentation that has been previously reported at the periphery of the fuel, fragmentation was also noted in the dark zone toward the fuel center. Analysis of the power histories of the fuel samples suggests that the dark zone forms in the central regions of the pellet between temperatures of approximately 740 and 960 °C.

McKinney, Casey [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000335383614)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Combining four-point bending and corrosion to map stress-dependent corrosion susceptibility of 316H stainless steel in FLiNaK

Understanding the effect of stress on the corrosion of steels in molten salts is important for material screening and safety assessment of molten salt reactors. We present a method that combines four-point bending with corrosion testing, enabling the mapping of corrosion susceptibility as a function of local stress from a single specimen. Guided by finite element analysis, a four-point bending setup was used to bend a 316H stainless-steel bar under controlled elastic stress during a 100-hour exposure in FLiNaK at 700 °C. Post-exposure characterization using scanning electron microscopy and energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy revealed a pronounced correlation between stress and corrosion. Regions under tensile stress exhibited significantly deeper attack depths and greater chromium depletion along grain boundaries, whereas compressive zones showed shallower corrosion cracks. The stress effect is attributed to stress concentration under tensile loading, which promotes chromium dissolution and crack propagation. This technique can be readily applied to other structural alloys, enabling quantitative measurement of corrosion susceptibility as a function of local stress.

316H↗

DOE OSTI2025

A strategy for automated core design to increase economic viability and minimize fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal susceptibility in high-burnup cores

The nuclear industry aims to increase the cycle length of pressurized water reactors from 18 to 24 months to increase power plant capacity factors and economic viability. These cycle length extensions will inherently require fuel rods to exceed the current peak rod average burnup limit of 62 GWd/MTU. A chief concern of operating beyond the current burnup limit is the fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) phenomenon in which pulverized fuel fragments can axially relocate and escape through a burst in the cladding formed during a loss-of-coolant accident. In this work, we demonstrate an approach for automating core design employing an optimization tool based on a penalty-free, parallel simulated annealing algorithm to produce pressurized water reactor core designs with two different optimization objectives. The two objectives were to produce core designs with (1) mitigated FFRD susceptibility while achieving 24-month cycle lengths (2) maximum cycle length with no regard for the likelihood of FFRD. Batch size was considered in tandem with both cases to maximize economic viability. The PARCS nodal model was the primary reactor physics tool used in the optimizations and used nuclear cross sections calculated with 2D Polaris lattice physics models. Reactor performance and safety characteristics of the optimized cores were verified using high-fidelity Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications models. The core designs produced by the optimization tool are compared with each other and to a high-burnup core design produced and analyzed in previous works to highlight the fuel management strategies that may enhance high-burnup reactor safety and economic viability. The optimized cores satisfied their respective objective functions, producing a maximum cycle length of 720 effective full-power days in one core design and one that may reduce FFRD susceptibility by up to 50% based on the first-order approximation to FFRD risk formulated in this work. The optimized cores met most constraints but exceeded the hot channel factor limit, especially in FFRD cases where fresh fuel carried more power. Furthermore, this highlights the need for future lattice-level optimizations and broader assembly options.

Cycle length↗

DOE OSTI2024

Adaptive Variational Quantum Computing Approaches for Green’s Functions and Nonlinear Susceptibilities

Here, we present and benchmark quantum computing approaches for calculating real-time single-particle Green’s functions and nonlinear susceptibilities of Hamiltonian systems. The approaches leverage adaptive variational quantum algorithms for state preparation and propagation. Using automatically generated compact circuits, the dynamical evolution is performed over sufficiently long times to achieve adequate frequency resolution of the response functions. We showcase accurate Green’s function calculations using a statevector simulator on classical hardware for Fermi-Hubbard chains of 4 and 6 sites, with maximal ansatz circuit depths of 65 and 424 layers, respectively, and for the molecule LiH with a maximal ansatz circuit depth of 81 layers. Additionally, we consider an antiferromagnetic quantum spin-1 model that incorporates the Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya interaction to illustrate calculations of the third-order nonlinear susceptibilities, which can be measured in two-dimensional coherent spectroscopy experiments. These results demonstrate that real-time approaches using adaptive parametrized circuits to evaluate linear and nonlinear response functions can be feasible with near-term quantum processors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

scRNA seq of an F1 cross of Marek’s disease resistant and susceptible chickens identifies allele specific expression signatures enriched in transcription modulators

Abstract Marek’s disease (MD), a T cell lymphoma disease in chickens, is caused by the Marek’s disease virus (MDV) found ubiquitously in the poultry industry. Genetically resistant Line 6 3 (L6) and susceptible Line 7 2 (L7) chickens have been instrumental to research on avian immune system response to MDV infection. In this study we characterized molecular signatures unique to splenic immune cell types across different genetic backgrounds 6 days after infection. Using three populations, L6, L7, and an F1 cross between L6xL7, we evaluated the immune cell transcriptome of responding cell types using single cell RNA sequencing. Several MDV genes were found expressed mainly in cytotoxic T cells while ICP4 and MEQ MDV genes were expressed across infected cell types. Using the F1 we quantified allele specific expression (ASE) of biallelic SNPs and found biased expression of parental alleles specific to immune cell subtypes. We identified 22 SNPs with ASE in response to MDV infection mapped to gene rich regions surrounding 59 genes of critical importance for chromatin remodeling and transcriptional regulation. Histone deacetylase genes (HDAC1 and HDAC8) had increased expression of L6 alleles, while small nuclear RNA genes (SNORA68 and SNORA72) expressed higher levels of L7 alleles with infection in T cell subsets. SNPs with ASE also mapped genes important for an adequate immune response including GNLY (cytotoxic activity) and PDIA3 (component of MHC class I peptide loading complex), and genes known to promote viral replication (MCM5 and EIF3M). These results show that functional variants associated with susceptibility to MD may have a bigger impact in subsets of immune cell types, and by characterizing the transcriptomes of these subtypes we can unravel molecular signatures specific to MD genomic resistance.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Determining the complex second-order optical susceptibility in macroscale van der Waals heterobilayers

In this work, we report on the experimental characterization of the second-order susceptibility in MoSe 2 /WS 2 heterobilayers, including their hidden complex phases. To this end, we developed a heterodyne-detection scheme for second-harmonic generation and applied it to macroscale heterobilayer samples prepared using the gold-tape exfoliation method. The heterodyne scheme enabled us to distinguish the relative orientation of the crystal domains, and furthermore, it allowed us to characterize the complex phases of the susceptibility relative to a reference quartz sample. By comparing the results from the monolayer regions and the heterobilayer region over several hundred microns of the sample area, we determined that the contribution of interlayer effects to second-harmonic generation is within the experimental uncertainty arising from the sample inhomogeneity. The results here provide fundamental quantitative information necessary for the precise design of nanophotonic systems based on stacking engineering.

2D materials↗

DOE OSTI2026

Perturbative second-order optical susceptibility of bulk materials: a symmetry-enforced return to non-orthogonal localized basis sets

The second-order optical susceptibility of semiconductors $\chi^{(2)}_{ijk}(-2\omega;\omega,\omega)$ finds application in metrology, spectroscopy, telecommunications, material characterization, and quantum information. Pioneering calculations of $\chi^{(2)}_{ijk}(-2\omega;\omega,\omega)$ utilized non-orthogonal Gaussian orbitals centered at atoms. That formulation transitioned into plane-wave-based algorithms as time went by. As of late, nevertheless, multiple tools for calculating optical susceptibilities have recast the problem using Wannier (i.e. localized) orbitals, making a comeback onto frameworks based on localized basis sets. Here, in this work, we present an approach for calculating $\chi^{(2)}_{ijk}(-2\omega;\omega,\omega)$ reliant on numerical pseudo-atomic orbitals (PAOs) within perturbation theory in the velocity gauge. Its salient feature is a calculation of ‘Slater–Koster-like’ two-center integrals of the momentum operator in between PAOs identified by symmetry. The approach was successfully tested on paradigmatic cubic silicon carbide (3C-SiC) and gallium arsenide, for which linear responses are contributed as well.

Huamán, Angiolo [Univ. of Arkansas, Fayetteville, ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Controlling 4 f antiferromagnetic dynamics via itinerant electronic susceptibility

Optical manipulation of magnetism holds promise for future ultrafast spintronics, especially with lanthanides and their huge, localized 4 f magnetic moments. These moments interact indirectly by spin polarizing the conduction electrons (the Ruderman-Kittel-Kasuya-Yosida exchange interaction), influenced by interatomic orbital overlap, and the conduction electron's susceptibility around the Fermi level. Here, we study this influence in a series of 4 f antiferromagnets, Gd T 2 Si 2 ( T = Co, Rh, Ir), using ultrafast resonant x-ray diffraction. We observe a twofold increase in the ultrafast intersublattice angular momentum transfer rate between the materials, originating from modifications in the conduction electron susceptibility, as confirmed by first-principles calculations. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Generalized susceptibilities and the properties of charm degrees of freedom across the QCD crossover temperature

We study the generalized charm susceptibilities in 2+1 flavor QCD on the lattice at several lattice spacings. We show that, below the chiral crossover, these susceptibilities are well described by the hadron resonance gas (HRG) model if charmed hadrons not listed in tables of the Particle Data Group are included. However, the HRG description abruptly breaks down just above the chiral crossover. To understand this, we use a model for the charm pressure in which it is expressed as the sum of partial pressures from charmed baryons, charmed mesons, and charm quarks. We present continuum estimates of these partial pressures and find that, while the partial pressures of charmed mesons and baryons drop below their respective HRG predictions, the charm quark pressure becomes nonzero above the chiral crossover.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

The diurnal susceptibility of subtropical clouds to aerosols

The diurnal susceptibility of clouds and their radiative properties to aerosols is examined during their Lagrangian transition from subtropical stratocumulus to shallow cumulus regimes. Using large-eddy simulations, we analyze the six-day evolution of an air mass along a 3800 km observed trajectory from the coast of Peru toward the equator. Pristine and polluted scenarios are simulated with forcing imposed from weather reanalysis. The polluted scenario exhibits stronger diurnal variations in cloud water, cloud fraction, and albedo, with enhanced nighttime entrainment and suppressed precipitation. The overall response of cloud properties and outgoing shortwave radiation to droplet number concentration follows a distinct diurnal pattern: strong positive cloud adjustments dominate at night and in the morning, while weak negative adjustments prevail in the afternoon. This cycle is driven by the competition between precipitation suppression, which enhances cloud water and coverage, and entrainment drying, which depletes them. In polluted conditions, enhanced entrainment leads to a deeper and more decoupled boundary layer that cannot be sustained by surface fluxes in the afternoon, resulting in negative cloud adjustments. The enhanced entrainment rate under polluted conditions is caused by the reduced sedimentation of cloud and precipitation water from the entrainment zone. While the Twomey effect dominates the diurnal average albedo response, the diurnal variation in the competing cloud adjustments lead to a near-neutral net susceptibility in the afternoon, highlighting the critical role of diurnally varying processes in aerosol-cloud interactions.

Geosciences↗

DOE OSTI2025

Measurement of the dynamic charge susceptibility near the charge density wave transition in ErTe 3

A charge density wave (CDW) is a phase of matter characterized by a periodic modulation of valence electron density coupled with lattice distortion. Its formation is closely tied to the dynamical charge susceptibility, χ(q, ω) , which reflects the collective electron dynamics of the material. Despite decades of study, χ(q, ω) near a CDW transition has never been measured at nonzero momentum, q, with meV energy resolution. Here, we investigate the canonical CDW transition in ErTe 3 using momentum-resolved electron energy loss spectroscopy, a technique uniquely sensitive to valence band charge excitations. Unlike phonons, which soften via the Kohn anomaly, we find the electronic excitations exhibit purely relaxational dynamics well described by a diffusive model, with the diffusivity peaking just below the critical temperature, T C1 . Additionally, we report for the first time a divergence in the real part of χ(q, ω) in the static limit (ω → 0), a long-predicted hallmark of CDWs. Unexpectedly, this divergence occurs as T → 0, with only a weak thermodynamic signature at T = T C1 . Our study necessitates a reexamination of the traditional description of CDW formation in quantum materials.

M-EELS↗